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Jason Ware shares why he's a long-term tech bull, especially when it comes to Oracle. Will Koulouris @TanvirGill2 Jason Ware | MBA, BFA™ @AlbionFinGrp $GOOGL $AMZN $MSFT $AAPL $ORCL $ACN $IJR $LVHD

27,324 views • 3 years ago •via X (Twitter)

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HOLD MORE CASH - says legendary tech investor Dan Niles in this week’s episode of The Master Investor Podcast, just six weeks after he correctly called for a more aggressive risk-on approach at the end of March, since when Nasdaq has surged 25%. SEMIS: “So in the short term, are semis at the most overbought they've been since 2000 or 1995 before they had horrific corrections? Absolutely.” IRAN WAR: “If it going to take a lot longer for this situation at the Strait of Hormuz to get sorted out, then you're going to see stock prices collapse to catch up with where bond yields & oil prices are. I don't think that's the case. But, I'm viewing things as you should be sitting with a lot of cash.” MEGA CAP WINNER: “It's obviously Google. They have the full stack & they're the ones you should bet on...they've got everything & they've got the massive cashflow to fund it.” However, the shift to Agentic AI should sustain earnings upgrades this year, making today more like 1998 than 99/00, but be prepared for 30-50% AI trade pull-back in early 2027. We also discussed what the shift to Agentic AI means for $NVDA (not ideal), Intel $INTC (great) and $AMD (good); why concerns over $META are NOT overdone; why $AAPL fortunes should improve; why $AMZN & $MSFT are struggling short term, & why $GOOGL shines bright. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:39 Why today feels like 1998, NOT 1999/2000 05:25 Agentic AI suggests more upside to bull market 07:52 But Iran War could derail things 11:18 Agentic AI means CPU’s over GPU’s 13:35 Semis are overbought 17:51 Is shift to CPUs bad for Nvidia? 19:13 Google the standout performer 21:15 Apple leadership transition 23:45 Meta concerns not overdone 25:37 Google best placed 27:36 30-50% AI crash by early 2027 30:01 Concerns about OpenAI 34:27 Upcoming IPOs, oil, bonds signal problems 36:16 Hold more cash 37:48 Kevin Warsh a positive, but watch bonds 45:44 Conclusion: 1998 or 1999?

Wilfred Frost

293,343 views • 2 months ago

$NBIS and $CRWV growing like crazy shouldn't be surprising. Satya Nadella publicly explained 6 months ago on a podcast that $MSFT would be leasing a lot of capacity going forward rather than building all itself. Here is what I think is happening: These neo-cloud businesses, both $NBIS and $CRWV, exist solely because $NVDA wants them to exist. Nvidia has an equity stake in both companies, and they are both members of the Nvidia Partners Program. Nvidia grants early access to its chips to the partners. Nvidia does that because it knows all hyperscalers, especially $MSFT and $AMZN, are racing to develop their own cutting-edge GPUs, as this is their biggest cost in scaling cloud operations. Nvidia knows that if they are allowed to control the supply, it will prolong the upgrade cycles and reduce orders to gain time to develop its own chips. This is why it's providing early access to the neo-clouds that are 100% dependent on Nvidia chips. Hyperscalers know that if they delay orders for the fresh capacity, the demand will shift to the neo-clouds that can build capacity fast with the support of $NVDA. Thus, $NVDA corners hyperscalers and strategically compels them to put new orders and cripples their ability to focus on their own chips. $MSFT sees this and says, "If this is the case, I'll just lease the capacity from the neo-clouds." It's basically a strategic response to $NVDA. It leases the bulk of their capacity, making them dependent on it. So, if $MSFT backs down, they'll have a really hard time staying alive. There is a small window of opportunity here for neo-clouds. If they can scale beyond hyperscalers and form a fragmented customer base, they may keep thriving even if hyperscalers reduce leases. Currently, $NBIS has a better shot at it than $CRWV, as $MSFT already makes up 72% of its revenue. I am long $NBIS, and I have already made 4x of money in the stock. I'll remain long $NBIS and even grow my position, but I'll remain skeptical of $CRWV for its unfavorable strategic position, as I explained above.

Oguz Erkan

180,169 views • 10 months ago

Jason Calacanis: The bottom half of H-1Bs are “a giant scam” and in some cases “indentured servitude” @jason on E244: “The Trump administration announced a new $100K fee for all future H-1B applications.” “It’s a one-time fee. This is a huge jump. The current fee is nothing. It's like $2-5K.” “Every discussion I've ever had about H-1Bs in relation to IT and consulting has always been about saving money.” “It's a giant scam on the bottom half of these.” “I witnessed it firsthand when I was in IT in the early 90s.” “The abuse was happening all the time, and it was indentured servitude. It was disgraceful.” “The IT people would hire typically Indians and they would say stuff to the effect of, ‘These guys are gonna work for half as much and twice as long. And they can't say no. That's the best part of it. They can't say no when we put them on weekend coverage because we can kick 'em out of the country and they have 30 days to find a new job.’” “And the truth is, it's been abused.” “And I talked about this in 2015 on CNBC when Trump first started to talk about it. He's been on this for a while.” “This hits on a lot of the Trump campaign promises, tougher on immigration, looking out for US workers.” “They had an interesting Polymarket: ‘Will courts block Trump's $100K H-1B by September 30th?’” “3% chance of that happening. So it looks like everybody's kind of aligned with this program.”

The All-In Podcast

145,651 views • 10 months ago

Naval Ravikant shares the common thread he sees across the great companies “I definitely believe that, as an entrepreneur, you’ll never accomplish anything great in life unless you stick with it through the end.” In this clip from a 2011 interview with Jason Calicanis on This Week in Startups, Naval shares that he was reminiscing on the several amazing companies he had seen in his career: Dropbox, Twilio, Airbnb, Square, Twitter, etc. “I was thinking to myself: What was the common thread amongst each of them? It’s very hard to draw a common thread across such a large group. And I realized that the entrepreneurs were extremely deliberate in every early decision that they made. They were not haphazard. And the reason is because they really felt like they were laying the foundation for a 10-year business. None of them were thinking of it as something they would try and flip.” He continues: “That’s necessary, but not sufficient. There are plenty of entrepreneurs who are forward-looking who will not make it. But I think that unless you’re extremely forward-looking, in it for the long haul, and you ooze that with every fiber of your being, you’re never going to build a great business.” The best founders, he argues: “Work every detail out: the name, the logo, every investor, every person they hire, where they put the office. Every little detail really matters to them because they’re laying bricks to a foundation.” And the less forward-looking founders will “sell when they get the first offer or shut down when they hit the first speed bump.” Video source: This Week in Startups @jason (2012)

Startup Archive

90,365 views • 9 months ago

🚨Scott Ritter: Russia Is Winning the War - and Winning Decisively 🚨Zelensky will be dead or in jail or, or run away. Syrskyi is gone. Zaluzhnyi, history. Budanov. 🚨All of these players are dead men walking. 🚨They have no future. Denazification is a reality, and denazification means the literal liquidation of everybody. Vladimir Putin has said, "We are collecting names. Your names are on the list. We will hold you to account." Take him at his word. This is why there will no be... there will not be a Zelensky government post-conflict. Anybody affiliated with the Nazi regime, the Banderist regime, is gone. There will be no rump state in, West Ukraine. Lviv, you know. Every single Banderist in Ukraine will be eradicated. sort of a bastion of Banderist ideology. That's how this war ends. You say, how long will it take? It doesn't matter. It will take as long as needed. Vladimir Putin is looking for long-term stability. That means that this war cannot end in a way that allows it to be rekindled five, ten years down the road. When this war is over, a red line is drawn. That means it will never happen again. And that's the foundation of stability, Putin needs to be doing the growth going forward. People need to put that in their thick skulls. Vladimir Putin cares about everybody in Russia, but the idea that he's going to dramatically change the trajectories on because two people in Feodosia are stuck on a hill without gasoline is the dumbest thing I ever heard in my entire life.

Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil

129,913 views • 15 days ago

── Letters from Midsummer 《盛夏来信》 Li Youlin x Dong Yueyu Binge-watched this last night, and it was such a sweet slow-burn romance filled with everyday warmth and affection. The way their relationship develops is so well written, taking them from strangers, to friends, to lovers in the most natural way He suffers from a hereditary disease but initially hides it from her because he's planning to end his life in three months. His mother and younger brother both died from the same illness, and his condition leaves him unable to stand for long periods due to weakness in his legs. But when she and her family learn about his illness, they don't abandon him—instead, they shower him with even more love and care. He's calm, gentle, and kind, while she's optimistic, cheerful, independent, and strong. She truly becomes his salvation, helping him find hope again. They both have their own wonderful qualities, so it makes perfect sense why they're drawn to each other. Their interactions are incredibly sweet, especially when he's already fallen for her but keeps acting cool and aloof—it's both adorable and hilarious. I couldn't stop smiling while watching them 😆 After they officially get together, she thinks he no longer wants to die. But then she discovers that he's still planning to go through with it. He even writes a will, leaving everything to her. Furious, she writes a breakup letter and leaves. He lets her go because he still believes that short-term pain is better than long-term suffering. But afterward, he starts imagining her becoming a rich widow after his death, spending his money on new boyfriends every day and burning paper money for him during festivals. Suddenly, he doesn't want to die anymore 🤣🤣 060终于有好本子了,董玥妤也特别可爱

biee🎐*:.⋆°

20,026 views • 1 month ago

🚨NEW EPISODE🚨 with Anthony Anthony Scaramucci: “Expect failure. If you're taking exogenous risk expect that your ass is going to get kicked. And don't be a baby about it & play the victim. When they fired me from the White House, I got torched by everybody. Did I care? No, I faced the music & never played the victim. So you got to have that mentality if you're going to take risk, if you're not comfortable with that, then don't do it.” An absolutely action packed hour with Anthony Scaramucci of career & investment advice on The Master Investor Podcast this week. We covered his more punchy early trading days taking huge short term risks; his evolution to a more careful long term investor focusing on mega trends; why he is a major believer in blockchain & specifically Bitcoin; why he owns & will hold SpaceX for the long term; his belief we will face deflation not inflation in a few years; his tips for young investors; & compelling career advice from someone who has taken big risks, had major lows, & now bigger highs. KNOW YOURSELF: “So first thing I would say to your viewers & listeners is self-awareness. Know who you are & know if you have the ability to take on the pain & the uncertainty of entrepreneurship because entrepreneurs jump off the cliff & they're trying to build the plane as they're descending to earth. You have to be able to do that.” PAY YOURSELF: “What I've been doing since the age of 17 is I've been buying stocks every month. And it could be the SP500, it could be Berkshire Hathaway, it could be Amazon. If you just take that discipline & you buy every month irrespective of where markets are & you sit back and wait five or 10 years, I think you'll be rewarded.” SPACEX & ELON MUSK: “When I have a win like SpaceX, my attitude is I'm not going to bet against Elon Musk. It's almost as if Thomas Edison got together with Henry Ford & John Rockefeller & made Elon Musk in a laboratory. He's got vision, execution skills, he's an engineer, & he's just not somebody I want to bet against. So SpaceX, I get it, I understand how expensive it is, I understand the revenues versus the market capitalization, but I believe this guy could catch up.” BITCOIN: “If you're an investor, you can't just flip off Bitcoin, you have to do the homework. And I submit to people that do the homework, nine out of 10 of them will probably own a little bit of Bitcoin. I've done the homework & I'm a believer in it. I do believe that it could trade to half of the market cap of gold, which is sort of a 10x from here over the next decade.” Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 3:35 Servant Leadership 6:30 Focus on very long term 12:37 Fear deflation more than inflation 15:57 SpaceX – long term holder 20:28 The case for blockchain & $BTC 28:12 $BTC still under-owned 31:46 Inflation vs innovation 37:31 Wall St vs Washington 40:31 Lessons from President Trump 45:26 UK too hard on itself 47:59 Take risk, expect failure

Wilfred Frost

78,040 views • 1 month ago