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Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points Iran may accept broad language about nuclear issues or restate its long-held position that it does not seek nuclear weapons. But he says detailed front-end commitments on enrichment in any initial memorandum would cross a red line. 🎥 via Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily...

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⭕️ How does Trump’s “one big glow” nuclear threat affect Iran’s internal debate? Jeremy Scahill calls Trump’s language extraordinarily reckless, saying even during the Cold War U.S. presidents did not casually speak this way about nuclear use. He says Iran’s nuclear weapons debate has become more serious since the U.S. war began. Iran now treats its 60% enriched uranium as a sovereignty issue, not just a bargaining chip. Giving it up early in talks would be seen domestically as surrender. 🎥 via Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill)
3:41

⭕️ How does Trump’s “one big glow” nuclear threat affect Iran’s internal debate? Jeremy Scahill calls Trump’s language extraordinarily reckless, saying even during the Cold War U.S. presidents did not casually speak this way about nuclear use. He says Iran’s nuclear weapons debate has become more serious since the U.S. war began. Iran now treats its 60% enriched uranium as a sovereignty issue, not just a bargaining chip. Giving it up early in talks would be seen domestically as surrender. 🎥 via Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill)

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⭕️ New: Jeremy Scahill reports that Iran had finalized its response to a U.S. memorandum proposal but paused submitting it yesterday after U.S. strikes, which they noted as a ceasefire violation. Pakistan, the main mediator, was alarmed and worked urgently to prevent further escalation. Scahill also says Trump is overstating Iran’s desperation for a deal and that U.S. claims about Iran’s military degradation have been misleading. 🎥 via Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill)
5:41

⭕️ New: Jeremy Scahill reports that Iran had finalized its response to a U.S. memorandum proposal but paused submitting it yesterday after U.S. strikes, which they noted as a ceasefire violation. Pakistan, the main mediator, was alarmed and worked urgently to prevent further escalation. Scahill also says Trump is overstating Iran’s desperation for a deal and that U.S. claims about Iran’s military degradation have been misleading. 🎥 via Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill)

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💢 Does Iran’s control over Hormuz reduce its need for nuclear weapons? Jeremy says Iran clearly recognizes the Strait of Hormuz as a powerful deterrent. It has used small boats, limited firepower, and political will to disrupt a massive part of the global energy system. But he says the nuclear debate remains ongoing. He also expects Gulf countries will now look harder to build capacity for alternative routes, while Iran builds overland transit links and expands its ballistic missile capabilities. 🎥 Breaking Points (w/ Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac, jeremy scahill)
3:05

💢 Does Iran’s control over Hormuz reduce its need for nuclear weapons? Jeremy says Iran clearly recognizes the Strait of Hormuz as a powerful deterrent. It has used small boats, limited firepower, and political will to disrupt a massive part of the global energy system. But he says the nuclear debate remains ongoing. He also expects Gulf countries will now look harder to build capacity for alternative routes, while Iran builds overland transit links and expands its ballistic missile capabilities. 🎥 Breaking Points (w/ Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac, jeremy scahill)

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Ryan Grim and Emily Jashinsky spoke with Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill about the fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire and Tehran’s 10-point plan. Scahill explains Donald Trump was “desperate for an off-ramp,” after Tehran used the Strait of Hormuz to show it could cause “absolute global economic havoc.” He said Iran is treating the deal as a pause, with its “finger firmly on the trigger.” The pause now could be cover to “rearm Israel” before new strikes, especially as attacks in Lebanon continue. Both sides claim victory, but the truce is unstable and could unravel quickly, Scahill told Breaking Points. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim | Emily Jashinsky
17:48

Ryan Grim and Emily Jashinsky spoke with Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill about the fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire and Tehran’s 10-point plan. Scahill explains Donald Trump was “desperate for an off-ramp,” after Tehran used the Strait of Hormuz to show it could cause “absolute global economic havoc.” He said Iran is treating the deal as a pause, with its “finger firmly on the trigger.” The pause now could be cover to “rearm Israel” before new strikes, especially as attacks in Lebanon continue. Both sides claim victory, but the truce is unstable and could unravel quickly, Scahill told Breaking Points. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim | Emily Jashinsky

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🎥 Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points that Israeli anger over the reported U.S.-Iran agreement is not confined to Netanyahu’s far-right allies, but reflects a broader consensus inside Israel’s political class to continue the war in Lebanon. Scahill said Iranian officials and analysts believe another war with Israel is likely, and that Lebanon remains the key test of whether the emerging US-Iran deal holds. “The massive question looming over this,” Scahill said, is whether Iran will refuse nuclear negotiations unless Israel’s “scorched-earth bombing or siege of Lebanon stops.” jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti
7:51

🎥 Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points that Israeli anger over the reported U.S.-Iran agreement is not confined to Netanyahu’s far-right allies, but reflects a broader consensus inside Israel’s political class to continue the war in Lebanon. Scahill said Iranian officials and analysts believe another war with Israel is likely, and that Lebanon remains the key test of whether the emerging US-Iran deal holds. “The massive question looming over this,” Scahill said, is whether Iran will refuse nuclear negotiations unless Israel’s “scorched-earth bombing or siege of Lebanon stops.” jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti

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🎥 Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points the U.S. entered the talks without the high-level nuclear experts needed for serious diplomacy, while Iran arrived with a multidisciplinary team of technical specialists. On the nuclear file, the Trump administration has already made a major concession by dropping its demand that Iran’s enriched uranium be removed from the country. In the clip below, Scahill also discusses Qatar’s emergence as a lead mediator, the expanding role of Pakistan and possibly the IAEA, and why Washington may be willing to outsource core elements of negotiations it calls its top national security priority. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti
3:31

🎥 Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points the U.S. entered the talks without the high-level nuclear experts needed for serious diplomacy, while Iran arrived with a multidisciplinary team of technical specialists. On the nuclear file, the Trump administration has already made a major concession by dropping its demand that Iran’s enriched uranium be removed from the country. In the clip below, Scahill also discusses Qatar’s emergence as a lead mediator, the expanding role of Pakistan and possibly the IAEA, and why Washington may be willing to outsource core elements of negotiations it calls its top national security priority. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti

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🎥 Why did Saudi Arabia and Kuwait resist helping U.S. Operation “Project Freedom”? Jeremy Scahill says Saudi and Kuwaiti resistance was one factor in Trump backing off Project Freedom. Kuwait, in particular, had taken heavy strikes during the war and did not want to be left exposed again. He says the Gulf states likely felt the U.S. prioritized Israel and its own war aims while leaving them vulnerable. He also suggests the blockade has been a “strategic failure” for Trump, and hurt many countries more than Iran – which still has food, fuel, and basic supplies, despite liquidity problems and inflation. — 🔹Video: Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill)
4:25

🎥 Why did Saudi Arabia and Kuwait resist helping U.S. Operation “Project Freedom”? Jeremy Scahill says Saudi and Kuwaiti resistance was one factor in Trump backing off Project Freedom. Kuwait, in particular, had taken heavy strikes during the war and did not want to be left exposed again. He says the Gulf states likely felt the U.S. prioritized Israel and its own war aims while leaving them vulnerable. He also suggests the blockade has been a “strategic failure” for Trump, and hurt many countries more than Iran – which still has food, fuel, and basic supplies, despite liquidity problems and inflation. — 🔹Video: Breaking Points (Krystal Ball, Emily Jashinsky, Mac with Drop Site’s jeremy scahill)

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⭕️ Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points that a senior Iranian official told him he sees a comprehensive technical Trump-Iran deal as unlikely, with the “most likely” outcome being a limited, vague de-escalation rather than a detailed agreement. Scahill noted how some in Washington view a Trump walkaway without any deal as strategically smart: keep sanctions, let Iran weaken, and avoid deeper U.S. involvement. But the Iranian official argued that view underestimates Iran’s institutions, its ability to endure pressure, and its growing alternative alliances. Iran still wants to make a deal, wants sanctions relief, and believes it has the leverage to do it, but believes it could withstand a limbo scenario. jeremy scahill | Saagar Enjeti | Krystal Ball
2:47

⭕️ Jeremy Scahill told Breaking Points that a senior Iranian official told him he sees a comprehensive technical Trump-Iran deal as unlikely, with the “most likely” outcome being a limited, vague de-escalation rather than a detailed agreement. Scahill noted how some in Washington view a Trump walkaway without any deal as strategically smart: keep sanctions, let Iran weaken, and avoid deeper U.S. involvement. But the Iranian official argued that view underestimates Iran’s institutions, its ability to endure pressure, and its growing alternative alliances. Iran still wants to make a deal, wants sanctions relief, and believes it has the leverage to do it, but believes it could withstand a limbo scenario. jeremy scahill | Saagar Enjeti | Krystal Ball

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🎥 "Iran has no intention of capitulating,” reports Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill on Democracy Now! He said Iran’s view is that it’s “Trump who has the clock, with sweat increasingly pouring down his face.” Scahill reported that a senior Iranian official told him the most likely long-term scenario is not a major deal but a continued low-intensity tension — with Iran believing time is on its side. Scahill also says Israel has "thoroughly contaminated" US intelligence on Iran, feeding the Trump administration "completely cooked" assessments that “regime change” would be easy. jeremy scahill | Democracy Now!
6:54

🎥 "Iran has no intention of capitulating,” reports Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill on Democracy Now! He said Iran’s view is that it’s “Trump who has the clock, with sweat increasingly pouring down his face.” Scahill reported that a senior Iranian official told him the most likely long-term scenario is not a major deal but a continued low-intensity tension — with Iran believing time is on its side. Scahill also says Israel has "thoroughly contaminated" US intelligence on Iran, feeding the Trump administration "completely cooked" assessments that “regime change” would be easy. jeremy scahill | Democracy Now!

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🎥 Jeremy Scahill Breaks Down the Current State of the War and Negotiations President Trump is trying to spin the emerging U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding as a victory, but the core U.S. demands have fallen away, Jeremy Scahill said. “The 2015 JCPOA already said Iran would not seek, develop, or acquire nuclear weapons,” Scahill said. “The Strait of Hormuz was open before the war began.” Iran’s key demands now are lifting the U.S. military blockade on Hormuz, withdrawing U.S. forces amassed in the region, repatriating billions in frozen assets, and importantly, securing an end to Israel’s war on Lebanon, he explains. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim
12:42

🎥 Jeremy Scahill Breaks Down the Current State of the War and Negotiations President Trump is trying to spin the emerging U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding as a victory, but the core U.S. demands have fallen away, Jeremy Scahill said. “The 2015 JCPOA already said Iran would not seek, develop, or acquire nuclear weapons,” Scahill said. “The Strait of Hormuz was open before the war began.” Iran’s key demands now are lifting the U.S. military blockade on Hormuz, withdrawing U.S. forces amassed in the region, repatriating billions in frozen assets, and importantly, securing an end to Israel’s war on Lebanon, he explains. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim

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🎥 Jeremy Scahill on the opening of the Iran-U.S. 60-day talks Scahill says the first day of negotiations in Switzerland unfolded against fierce debate inside Iran over whether officials should meet with the Trump administration after the war. Israel attempted to undermine the talks by escalating its assault on Lebanon, while Iran used the Strait of Hormuz as leverage before its delegation arrived. Scahill discusses Tehran’s brief walkout, describing it not as a collapse of negotiations but a calculated signal that it still holds leverage. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti
4:04

🎥 Jeremy Scahill on the opening of the Iran-U.S. 60-day talks Scahill says the first day of negotiations in Switzerland unfolded against fierce debate inside Iran over whether officials should meet with the Trump administration after the war. Israel attempted to undermine the talks by escalating its assault on Lebanon, while Iran used the Strait of Hormuz as leverage before its delegation arrived. Scahill discusses Tehran’s brief walkout, describing it not as a collapse of negotiations but a calculated signal that it still holds leverage. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti

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🚨Qatar has now emerged as the primary mediator in U.S.-Iran talks, Jeremy Scahill tells Breaking Points. Pakistan “gets to put its signature” on the documents, but “it’s quite clear that Qatar is now in the prime position taking the lead on all of this.” He also reports the U.S. is increasingly outsourcing key aspects of the negotiations to Qatar, Pakistan, and the IAEA instead of bringing its own technical experts into the room. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti
2:13

🚨Qatar has now emerged as the primary mediator in U.S.-Iran talks, Jeremy Scahill tells Breaking Points. Pakistan “gets to put its signature” on the documents, but “it’s quite clear that Qatar is now in the prime position taking the lead on all of this.” He also reports the U.S. is increasingly outsourcing key aspects of the negotiations to Qatar, Pakistan, and the IAEA instead of bringing its own technical experts into the room. jeremy scahill | Krystal Ball | Saagar Enjeti

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🎥 WATCH | Jeremy Scahill reports that Trump’s indefinite “ceasefire extension” is being repackaged by the White House as a response to supposed chaos in Tehran, after Iran held firm on refusing talks unless the U.S. lifted its blockade on Iranian ports. Scahill says Iranian officials told him the decision was made at the highest levels of power and that White House claims of internal disarray, house arrests, or an IRGC takeover of diplomacy are “psychological warfare” — an attempt to let Trump save face after, in Iran’s view, “he blinked first.” 🔗 Full details in Jeremy Scahill’s new report for Drop Site linked below. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim | Emily Jashinsky
2:57

🎥 WATCH | Jeremy Scahill reports that Trump’s indefinite “ceasefire extension” is being repackaged by the White House as a response to supposed chaos in Tehran, after Iran held firm on refusing talks unless the U.S. lifted its blockade on Iranian ports. Scahill says Iranian officials told him the decision was made at the highest levels of power and that White House claims of internal disarray, house arrests, or an IRGC takeover of diplomacy are “psychological warfare” — an attempt to let Trump save face after, in Iran’s view, “he blinked first.” 🔗 Full details in Jeremy Scahill’s new report for Drop Site linked below. jeremy scahill | Ryan Grim | Emily Jashinsky

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Iranian-American analyst Negar Mortazavi tells Jeremy Scahill that the Trump administration entered the war believing Iran would collapse quickly, but instead ran into a country prepared for “horizontal escalation” across the region and global energy markets. “Iran hasn't done anything that they didn't promise or threaten to do,” Mortazavi says, arguing Gulf states warned Washington before the war that any attack on Iran would spill across the region. She also says the U.S. repeatedly shifted the goalposts in negotiations, moving from preventing nuclear weapons to demanding “zero enrichment,” which Iran sees as an attempt to dismantle its civilian nuclear program entirely. “They're not going to surrender. They're not going to capitulate,” Mortazavi says. Full livestream below. jeremy scahill | Negar Mortazavi نگار مرتضوی
10:03

Iranian-American analyst Negar Mortazavi tells Jeremy Scahill that the Trump administration entered the war believing Iran would collapse quickly, but instead ran into a country prepared for “horizontal escalation” across the region and global energy markets. “Iran hasn't done anything that they didn't promise or threaten to do,” Mortazavi says, arguing Gulf states warned Washington before the war that any attack on Iran would spill across the region. She also says the U.S. repeatedly shifted the goalposts in negotiations, moving from preventing nuclear weapons to demanding “zero enrichment,” which Iran sees as an attempt to dismantle its civilian nuclear program entirely. “They're not going to surrender. They're not going to capitulate,” Mortazavi says. Full livestream below. jeremy scahill | Negar Mortazavi نگار مرتضوی

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