Loading video...

Video Failed to Load

There was a problem loading this video. This could be due to a temporary network issue or the video might be unavailable.

Jordi Visser explains why he thinks Google’s Gemini model has fallen behind. - Anthropic & OpenAI are fast, lean & focused - Google is bloated & distracted - Recursive learning extends advantages - Open source models put more pressure on $GOOG Jordi Visser

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

2,153,799 subscribers

66,469 views • 2 months ago •via X (Twitter)

News & Politics Science & Technology

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Comments

No comments available

Comments from the original post will appear here

Related Videos

The US government is becoming more involved in controlling AI models, while open-source Chinese models are improving at a rapid pace. Jordi Visser explains why this should push more people to open-source AI in the coming months.

The US government is becoming more involved in controlling AI models, while open-source Chinese models are improving at a rapid pace. Jordi Visser explains why this should push more people to open-source AI in the coming months.

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

48,359 views • 2 months ago

Jordy Visser Jordi Visser: "Google's not a player in this anymore." Visser is an AI-native power user who tracks his own model usage as a leading indicator. Two months ago Claude was 35% of his usage, ChatGPT 25%, Google 20%. Now ChatGPT and Claude are 90% combined and Gemini is near zero. The same week, two senior DeepMind scientists left for Anthropic. He would never short Google. But multiple compression is already underway, the same pattern that hit Meta and Microsoft. A business does not have to fail to destroy shareholder value. Why the AI race narrowed to two: Source: Anthony Pompliano Podcast -

Jordy Visser Jordi Visser: "Google's not a player in this anymore." Visser is an AI-native power user who tracks his own model usage as a leading indicator. Two months ago Claude was 35% of his usage, ChatGPT 25%, Google 20%. Now ChatGPT and Claude are 90% combined and Gemini is near zero. The same week, two senior DeepMind scientists left for Anthropic. He would never short Google. But multiple compression is already underway, the same pattern that hit Meta and Microsoft. A business does not have to fail to destroy shareholder value. Why the AI race narrowed to two: Source: Anthony Pompliano Podcast -

Podcast Alpha

32,589 views • 2 months ago

Sundar Pichai (Sundar Pichai), Google CEO, on: 🔹Race to AGI 🔹Agents 🔹AI & Information Diet 🔹Open Source 🔹Cybersecurity 🔹US vs China Intro AI agents replacing parts of the internet AI agents deciding our information diet Will agents kill the “raw internet”? AI cyberattacks and Google’s defense strategy Should dangerous cyber AI models be held back? The threshold for releasing powerful AI Why Google hasn't open-sourced a large model The broken business model with open-source AI American companies using Chinese AI The risk of building on China’s AI ecosystem Why Google cares so much about cheap, fast AI models Sundar on self-improving AI and the race to AGI Google’s compute situation Google has more AI demand than compute Google’s biggest compute bottleneck

Sundar Pichai (Sundar Pichai), Google CEO, on: 🔹Race to AGI 🔹Agents 🔹AI & Information Diet 🔹Open Source 🔹Cybersecurity 🔹US vs China Intro AI agents replacing parts of the internet AI agents deciding our information diet Will agents kill the “raw internet”? AI cyberattacks and Google’s defense strategy Should dangerous cyber AI models be held back? The threshold for releasing powerful AI Why Google hasn't open-sourced a large model The broken business model with open-source AI American companies using Chinese AI The risk of building on China’s AI ecosystem Why Google cares so much about cheap, fast AI models Sundar on self-improving AI and the race to AGI Google’s compute situation Google has more AI demand than compute Google’s biggest compute bottleneck

Matthew Berman

307,816 views • 3 months ago

Not NVIDIA. Not OpenAI. Eli Lilly. Jordi Visser (Jordi Visser) says a 150-year-old pharma company in Indianapolis has the best shot at becoming the world's largest company within five years. The case: ~1,000 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs in a private data center, a co-innovation lab with Jensen Huang, an AlphaFold partnership via Isomorphic Labs, Toon Lab in Silicon Valley, and 150 years of proprietary metabolic disease data no general model can replicate. That last moat is the one that matters. You cannot train your way to that dataset. Eli Lilly has it. The investor gap: the stock is filed under healthcare. The thesis is AI application. That category mismatch is where the repricing happens. The full breakdown on why $LLY is the AI trade the market hasn't priced: Source: Anthony Pompliano Podcast -

Not NVIDIA. Not OpenAI. Eli Lilly. Jordi Visser (Jordi Visser) says a 150-year-old pharma company in Indianapolis has the best shot at becoming the world's largest company within five years. The case: ~1,000 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs in a private data center, a co-innovation lab with Jensen Huang, an AlphaFold partnership via Isomorphic Labs, Toon Lab in Silicon Valley, and 150 years of proprietary metabolic disease data no general model can replicate. That last moat is the one that matters. You cannot train your way to that dataset. Eli Lilly has it. The investor gap: the stock is filed under healthcare. The thesis is AI application. That category mismatch is where the repricing happens. The full breakdown on why $LLY is the AI trade the market hasn't priced: Source: Anthony Pompliano Podcast -

Podcast Alpha

63,599 views • 3 months ago

Jensen Huang was asked whether AI's future is open source or proprietary the question the whole industry keeps fighting over. He didn't pick a side. He said something that quietly ends the fight. "models is a technology, not a product. Model is a technology, not a service" "For the vast majority of consumers, the horizontal layer, the general intelligence, I would really, really love not to go fine-tune my own" "all these industries, their domain expertise, their specialization has to be channeled, has to be captured in a way that they can control, and that it can only come from open models" "the open model industry we're contributing tremendously to it is near the frontier" Everyone else is arguing about which lab wins OpenAI or Anthropic, who has the smartest frontier model this quarter. Jensen is standing on stage saying that's the sideshow. The proprietary model is the convenience layer you rent when you don't care. The open model is the thing you own when the work is yours. Two different products for two different needs not two horses in one race. open models are the second-biggest in the room. Ahead of Anthropic. Behind only OpenAI.

Jensen Huang was asked whether AI's future is open source or proprietary the question the whole industry keeps fighting over. He didn't pick a side. He said something that quietly ends the fight. "models is a technology, not a product. Model is a technology, not a service" "For the vast majority of consumers, the horizontal layer, the general intelligence, I would really, really love not to go fine-tune my own" "all these industries, their domain expertise, their specialization has to be channeled, has to be captured in a way that they can control, and that it can only come from open models" "the open model industry we're contributing tremendously to it is near the frontier" Everyone else is arguing about which lab wins OpenAI or Anthropic, who has the smartest frontier model this quarter. Jensen is standing on stage saying that's the sideshow. The proprietary model is the convenience layer you rent when you don't care. The open model is the thing you own when the work is yours. Two different products for two different needs not two horses in one race. open models are the second-biggest in the room. Ahead of Anthropic. Behind only OpenAI.

Vikram M

12,078 views • 1 month ago

E182: Jordi Visser - Why Aging is a disease, Why Bitcoin is a hedge against abundance and why you shouldn't buy a house! Jordi Visser spent three decades on Wall Street, from a Morgan Stanley trading desk to CIO at Weiss Multi-Strategy. These days he studies AI, macro, and longevity full time. We cover why he thinks aging is optional, why Bitcoin is the only asset he'd bet on for the next decade, and why money never actually made him happy. 00:00 Intro 02:10 Jordi's Weekend Recap 03:49 The Blueprint For Living To 100 04:31 Why Longevity Became An Obsession 05:44 What Kills A Healthy Habit 07:20 Supplements & Meds: Worth It? 09:51 Partnerships: Variational Bitwise 10:44 The First Step Into Longevity 12:17 Wealth's Hidden Effect On Longevity 14:03 Peptides & Hormones: Jordi's Take 17:47 What Is Heart-Rate Variability? 21:21 How To Track Your HRV 23:17 Average vs. Great HRV 25:12 Lessons From The Finance World 29:10 Learning What Money Really Means 31:58 Partnership: KAST 32:47 Why Make More Money At All 35:20 "AI Will Make Everything Abundant" 38:20 Does Abundance Mean Cheaper? 38:54 Why We'll Still Need Wealth 41:22 How Jordi Fell Into Bitcoin 47:44 Jordi's Bitcoin Thesis, Simplified 50:10 How Much Bitcoin Is In His Portfolio 50:48 Would Jordi Ever Sell? 51:52 Partnerships: Jupiter Ethena 52:38 How Big Can Bitcoin Get 54:00 On "Bitcoin Is Too Expensive" 55:28 Why A Crypto Channel, Not Just Bitcoin 56:25 Does Jordi Own Other Crypto 57:24 Other Scarce Assets He's Bought 58:41 Should 20-Somethings Buy A House 01:02:00 Routine vs. Unique 01:03:57 Why Allergies Aren't Real 01:07:02 Closing Thoughts

E182: Jordi Visser - Why Aging is a disease, Why Bitcoin is a hedge against abundance and why you shouldn't buy a house! Jordi Visser spent three decades on Wall Street, from a Morgan Stanley trading desk to CIO at Weiss Multi-Strategy. These days he studies AI, macro, and longevity full time. We cover why he thinks aging is optional, why Bitcoin is the only asset he'd bet on for the next decade, and why money never actually made him happy. 00:00 Intro 02:10 Jordi's Weekend Recap 03:49 The Blueprint For Living To 100 04:31 Why Longevity Became An Obsession 05:44 What Kills A Healthy Habit 07:20 Supplements & Meds: Worth It? 09:51 Partnerships: Variational Bitwise 10:44 The First Step Into Longevity 12:17 Wealth's Hidden Effect On Longevity 14:03 Peptides & Hormones: Jordi's Take 17:47 What Is Heart-Rate Variability? 21:21 How To Track Your HRV 23:17 Average vs. Great HRV 25:12 Lessons From The Finance World 29:10 Learning What Money Really Means 31:58 Partnership: KAST 32:47 Why Make More Money At All 35:20 "AI Will Make Everything Abundant" 38:20 Does Abundance Mean Cheaper? 38:54 Why We'll Still Need Wealth 41:22 How Jordi Fell Into Bitcoin 47:44 Jordi's Bitcoin Thesis, Simplified 50:10 How Much Bitcoin Is In His Portfolio 50:48 Would Jordi Ever Sell? 51:52 Partnerships: Jupiter Ethena 52:38 How Big Can Bitcoin Get 54:00 On "Bitcoin Is Too Expensive" 55:28 Why A Crypto Channel, Not Just Bitcoin 56:25 Does Jordi Own Other Crypto 57:24 Other Scarce Assets He's Bought 58:41 Should 20-Somethings Buy A House 01:02:00 Routine vs. Unique 01:03:57 Why Allergies Aren't Real 01:07:02 Closing Thoughts

MR SHIFT 🦁

139,580 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇺🇸 OPENAI DECLARES "CODE RED" AS GOOGLE AND ANTHROPIC EAT THEIR LUNCH Sam Altman has sent an internal memo telling OpenAI employees to drop everything and focus on fixing ChatGPT. Jason Calacanis from the All In Podcast: "A Code Red has been called by Sam Altman. He sent a memo on Monday, told employees to stop working on side quests, you know, like ads, et cetera, and focus on the core ChatGPT experience. Make it faster, make it better. And I think we all know why, because Gemini and Claude from Anthropic have been crushing it. ChatGPT 5, let's call it what it is, was a bit of a flop. It didn't perform to expectations. And Anthropic is beating OpenAI in enterprise revenue." For those of you unaware, Google released Gemini 3 last month, which surpassed ChatGPT in a range of benchmark tests and set a new record on "Humanity's Last Exam," a test designed to identify artificial superintelligence. Altman publicly called Gemini 3 a "great model." Privately, he told staff ChatGPT had fallen behind and they're "catching up fast." And then there's Grok. Elon Musk xAI started years behind everyone else and is already nipping at OpenAI's heels. OpenAI was supposed to be the unbeatable first mover. Now they're playing defense while the competition sprints ahead. The AI wars just got real. Source: The Information, Wall Street Journal, The All-In Podcast

🚨🇺🇸 OPENAI DECLARES "CODE RED" AS GOOGLE AND ANTHROPIC EAT THEIR LUNCH Sam Altman has sent an internal memo telling OpenAI employees to drop everything and focus on fixing ChatGPT. Jason Calacanis from the All In Podcast: "A Code Red has been called by Sam Altman. He sent a memo on Monday, told employees to stop working on side quests, you know, like ads, et cetera, and focus on the core ChatGPT experience. Make it faster, make it better. And I think we all know why, because Gemini and Claude from Anthropic have been crushing it. ChatGPT 5, let's call it what it is, was a bit of a flop. It didn't perform to expectations. And Anthropic is beating OpenAI in enterprise revenue." For those of you unaware, Google released Gemini 3 last month, which surpassed ChatGPT in a range of benchmark tests and set a new record on "Humanity's Last Exam," a test designed to identify artificial superintelligence. Altman publicly called Gemini 3 a "great model." Privately, he told staff ChatGPT had fallen behind and they're "catching up fast." And then there's Grok. Elon Musk xAI started years behind everyone else and is already nipping at OpenAI's heels. OpenAI was supposed to be the unbeatable first mover. Now they're playing defense while the competition sprints ahead. The AI wars just got real. Source: The Information, Wall Street Journal, The All-In Podcast

Mario Nawfal

65,725 views • 9 months ago

So comes the biggest threat to the AI trade, which relies on ever-increasing revenues to the AI model companies to support ever-increasing valuations. Those revenues are a function of price and quantity. Quantities are all good, from my perspective. Despite increasing competition from open source and Chinese models, OpenAI and Anthropic continue adding more businesses and drawing more token usage from new and existing customers. Price, as a lever, is deteriorating. Over the last month, the average cost per million tokens has fallen 27%. This week, OpenAI cut prices for it's frontier model by another 20%. Further gains to the model companies will have to rely on driving more volume, and driving it even faster as prices fall, to support their valuations.

So comes the biggest threat to the AI trade, which relies on ever-increasing revenues to the AI model companies to support ever-increasing valuations. Those revenues are a function of price and quantity. Quantities are all good, from my perspective. Despite increasing competition from open source and Chinese models, OpenAI and Anthropic continue adding more businesses and drawing more token usage from new and existing customers. Price, as a lever, is deteriorating. Over the last month, the average cost per million tokens has fallen 27%. This week, OpenAI cut prices for it's frontier model by another 20%. Further gains to the model companies will have to rely on driving more volume, and driving it even faster as prices fall, to support their valuations.

Ara Kharazian

36,878 views • 21 days ago

Bitcoin just had its largest week in history. Jordi Visser and I discuss what happened, why the rally should be sustainable, and what to expect from bitcoin going forward. We also break down the collision of AI and crypto, why bitcoin is the purest AI trade, Stripe and Ramp's battle to control AI model routers, and how to think about sizing bitcoin in your portfolio. YouTube: Spotify: Apple: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 1:02 - Bitcoin's weekly surge & the "sigma week" behind it 5:38 - The bitcoin vibe shift & intersection with AI 15:26 - Is multiple compression a warning sign for the market? 19:03 - How much bitcoin should be in your portfolio? 23:27 - Moderna, AI & the future of biotech 29:20 - Stripe's OpenRouter deal & the fight for AI model routers 34:13 - Are model routers a threat to Anthropic and OpenAI? 44:00 - Why people fear data centers more than nuclear plants 54:46 - Jordi's bitcoin call to arms

Bitcoin just had its largest week in history. Jordi Visser and I discuss what happened, why the rally should be sustainable, and what to expect from bitcoin going forward. We also break down the collision of AI and crypto, why bitcoin is the purest AI trade, Stripe and Ramp's battle to control AI model routers, and how to think about sizing bitcoin in your portfolio. YouTube: Spotify: Apple: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 1:02 - Bitcoin's weekly surge & the "sigma week" behind it 5:38 - The bitcoin vibe shift & intersection with AI 15:26 - Is multiple compression a warning sign for the market? 19:03 - How much bitcoin should be in your portfolio? 23:27 - Moderna, AI & the future of biotech 29:20 - Stripe's OpenRouter deal & the fight for AI model routers 34:13 - Are model routers a threat to Anthropic and OpenAI? 44:00 - Why people fear data centers more than nuclear plants 54:46 - Jordi's bitcoin call to arms

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

287,741 views • 23 days ago

J-Cal: Nvidia is taking the gloves off with its open source model. They will own the whole stack. “You will not be able to tell the difference between Jensen Huang's open source LLM and Claude for 95% of your searches, I guarantee you. Now, why has Nvidia and Jensen downplayed their open source model until this moment? Why would he do that? Why would he never bring it up in the All-In interview, never bring it up? Because his top customers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.) were very concerned, from what I understand, about the fact that Nvidia had made so much progress on their open source model. But suddenly, after OpenAI announced their Jalapeno chips, after Anthropic started making chips, after AMD did successful projects with both of these companies, after Elon said he's going to do his own fab, Nvidia's taking the gloves off. They are going to own the whole stack. You get the hardware from them, and you're going to get a model that's competitive with OpenAI's for free.”

J-Cal: Nvidia is taking the gloves off with its open source model. They will own the whole stack. “You will not be able to tell the difference between Jensen Huang's open source LLM and Claude for 95% of your searches, I guarantee you. Now, why has Nvidia and Jensen downplayed their open source model until this moment? Why would he do that? Why would he never bring it up in the All-In interview, never bring it up? Because his top customers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.) were very concerned, from what I understand, about the fact that Nvidia had made so much progress on their open source model. But suddenly, after OpenAI announced their Jalapeno chips, after Anthropic started making chips, after AMD did successful projects with both of these companies, after Elon said he's going to do his own fab, Nvidia's taking the gloves off. They are going to own the whole stack. You get the hardware from them, and you're going to get a model that's competitive with OpenAI's for free.”

The All-In Podcast

227,658 views • 2 months ago

Open source AI just became the biggest policy fight in tech. Our full conversation with Ben Horowitz, where he tells Theo and Sofia why banning open source is nearly impossible, why it's historically the safer path, the risk of one company controlling AI and why distillation isn't the threat people claim. 01:21 The Nvidia-backed open letter on open-weight AI 01:49 The OpenAI–Hugging Face hacking incident 02:27 Why you can't actually ban open source 03:05 Historically, open source has been safer (Linux vs. Windows) 05:17 Jensen's Twitter account and the letter's significance 07:25 China, "sleeper agent" models, and national security risk 09:23 Anthropic defying the US government 15:18 The danger of building your business on Anthropic 18:51 BYD, EVs, and rebuilding US manufacturing 21:30 Why would a company ever release an open model? 23:58 The DeepSeek moment: why nothing actually changed 28:25 Paying 100x more for an AI researcher vs. a janitor 29:06 AI art, the "slop" problem, and a coming renaissance benahorowitz.eth Theo Jaffee sof 𓋹

Open source AI just became the biggest policy fight in tech. Our full conversation with Ben Horowitz, where he tells Theo and Sofia why banning open source is nearly impossible, why it's historically the safer path, the risk of one company controlling AI and why distillation isn't the threat people claim. 01:21 The Nvidia-backed open letter on open-weight AI 01:49 The OpenAI–Hugging Face hacking incident 02:27 Why you can't actually ban open source 03:05 Historically, open source has been safer (Linux vs. Windows) 05:17 Jensen's Twitter account and the letter's significance 07:25 China, "sleeper agent" models, and national security risk 09:23 Anthropic defying the US government 15:18 The danger of building your business on Anthropic 18:51 BYD, EVs, and rebuilding US manufacturing 21:30 Why would a company ever release an open model? 23:58 The DeepSeek moment: why nothing actually changed 28:25 Paying 100x more for an AI researcher vs. a janitor 29:06 AI art, the "slop" problem, and a coming renaissance benahorowitz.eth Theo Jaffee sof 𓋹

MTS

11,246 views • 1 month ago

Dylan on why Anthropic leading on models doesn't mean OpenAI loses. Even the tier 2 and 3 labs will sell out of tokens: "Everyone's like Anthropic won. They had Mythos, Opus 4.7 and their revenue is adding $10 billion a month all before OpenAI's alleged Spud release. So clearly Anthropic is in the lead and OpenAI is cooked. Anthropic has such bounds on compute, they can only grow it so fast. Dario used to gloat about how OpenAI was being too aggressive on compute and Anthropic was more sensible in their scaling. Now Anthropic is like I wish we had a lot more compute. OpenAI just raised a ton of money to get incremental compute in addition to the irresponsible levels of compute that they were buying. By the end of the year, let's say a 4.6 Opus tier model, the economy would spend $100 billion on. Anthropic won't have enough compute to do that. And presumably OpenAI and Google will hit that tier soon. Anthropic may get to charge 70%+ gross margins but if OpenAI hits it next, they charge 50% gross margins. They still get all of this incremental demand. There is such demand for these tokens and such limitations on compute. It's pretty clear even the tier 2 or tier 3 lab are going to be sold out of tokens. The economic value that the best model can deliver is growing faster than our ability to actually serve those tokens to people via the infrastructure."

Dylan on why Anthropic leading on models doesn't mean OpenAI loses. Even the tier 2 and 3 labs will sell out of tokens: "Everyone's like Anthropic won. They had Mythos, Opus 4.7 and their revenue is adding $10 billion a month all before OpenAI's alleged Spud release. So clearly Anthropic is in the lead and OpenAI is cooked. Anthropic has such bounds on compute, they can only grow it so fast. Dario used to gloat about how OpenAI was being too aggressive on compute and Anthropic was more sensible in their scaling. Now Anthropic is like I wish we had a lot more compute. OpenAI just raised a ton of money to get incremental compute in addition to the irresponsible levels of compute that they were buying. By the end of the year, let's say a 4.6 Opus tier model, the economy would spend $100 billion on. Anthropic won't have enough compute to do that. And presumably OpenAI and Google will hit that tier soon. Anthropic may get to charge 70%+ gross margins but if OpenAI hits it next, they charge 50% gross margins. They still get all of this incremental demand. There is such demand for these tokens and such limitations on compute. It's pretty clear even the tier 2 or tier 3 lab are going to be sold out of tokens. The economic value that the best model can deliver is growing faster than our ability to actually serve those tokens to people via the infrastructure."

Patrick OShaughnessy

295,307 views • 4 months ago

Yann LeCun just said something at Davos that nobody is talking about. The man who built Meta's AI for 12 years. The godfather of deep learning. Said this on stage, in front of the world's most powerful people: "The best open source AI models right now come from China. Everybody in the research community is using Chinese models." Here's what makes this more uncomfortable. He said it in the same breath as warning that the US is making a catastrophic mistake. OpenAI — increasingly closed. Anthropic — never open. Google — more closed every year. Meta — changing direction. Meanwhile China's labs are publishing. Open sourcing. Sharing. And the global research community is downloading their models. LeCun's warning was blunt: "We are slowing down progress in the West because of this." The irony is brutal. America built the open internet. Linux runs the world. The entire software stack humanity depends on is open source. And now the country that invented openness is closing its most important technology. While China does the opposite. The next AI revolution won't be won by the country with the most money. It will be won by the country whose models researchers actually use. Right now that answer is changing.

Yann LeCun just said something at Davos that nobody is talking about. The man who built Meta's AI for 12 years. The godfather of deep learning. Said this on stage, in front of the world's most powerful people: "The best open source AI models right now come from China. Everybody in the research community is using Chinese models." Here's what makes this more uncomfortable. He said it in the same breath as warning that the US is making a catastrophic mistake. OpenAI — increasingly closed. Anthropic — never open. Google — more closed every year. Meta — changing direction. Meanwhile China's labs are publishing. Open sourcing. Sharing. And the global research community is downloading their models. LeCun's warning was blunt: "We are slowing down progress in the West because of this." The irony is brutal. America built the open internet. Linux runs the world. The entire software stack humanity depends on is open source. And now the country that invented openness is closing its most important technology. While China does the opposite. The next AI revolution won't be won by the country with the most money. It will be won by the country whose models researchers actually use. Right now that answer is changing.

Shruti

31,597 views • 4 months ago

Gavin Baker: "Anthropic is roughly four times more capital efficient than OpenAI - they're growing really fast and they're not burning that much cash" this is him explaining why he thinks token efficiency decides who wins, why xAI has the lowest cost per token of anyone, and what a Tesla board member says is actually the most advanced AI in the world right now "an Anthropic model can give you a comparable quality answer to a Google model using half as many tokens - and each token is literally cost" "xAI has the lowest cost per token because they build data centers faster and at a lower cost than everyone, and they run GPUs at a higher utilization" Tesla board member Antonio Gracias: "Tesla actually is today the most advanced AI in the world - it does the most complex thing a human does, drive a car" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓

Gavin Baker: "Anthropic is roughly four times more capital efficient than OpenAI - they're growing really fast and they're not burning that much cash" this is him explaining why he thinks token efficiency decides who wins, why xAI has the lowest cost per token of anyone, and what a Tesla board member says is actually the most advanced AI in the world right now "an Anthropic model can give you a comparable quality answer to a Google model using half as many tokens - and each token is literally cost" "xAI has the lowest cost per token because they build data centers faster and at a lower cost than everyone, and they run GPUs at a higher utilization" Tesla board member Antonio Gracias: "Tesla actually is today the most advanced AI in the world - it does the most complex thing a human does, drive a car" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓

Сarm1ne

128,347 views • 1 month ago

I spoke with Jordi Visser this week to break down: - AI mid-cycle slowdown - $90 trillion AI infrastructure buildout - memory and Micron's role in AI bottleneck - Fed under Warsh - what rate cuts could mean for markets - why bitcoin is positioned to be the best performing assets once the negatives of AI start to show up YouTube: Apple: Spotify: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 1:20 - Has bitcoin bottomed? 6:03 - Bitcoin vs the Mag 7: is the correlation breaking? 9:00 - Sam Altman, OpenAI & the government getting involved 11:11 - American open source vs Chinese AI models 14:28 - AI compute demand & the infrastructure buildout 20:37 - AI slowdown: how bad, how long? 22:44 - Where do markets go from here? 27:30 - AI agents in the workplace & security risk 34:50 - Memory, Micron & the AI bottleneck 39:53 - The next 10-20 years: robots, AI & society 44:18 - The Fed, rate cuts & inflation's impact on AI 49:55 - Why bitcoin wins in the end

I spoke with Jordi Visser this week to break down: - AI mid-cycle slowdown - $90 trillion AI infrastructure buildout - memory and Micron's role in AI bottleneck - Fed under Warsh - what rate cuts could mean for markets - why bitcoin is positioned to be the best performing assets once the negatives of AI start to show up YouTube: Apple: Spotify: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 1:20 - Has bitcoin bottomed? 6:03 - Bitcoin vs the Mag 7: is the correlation breaking? 9:00 - Sam Altman, OpenAI & the government getting involved 11:11 - American open source vs Chinese AI models 14:28 - AI compute demand & the infrastructure buildout 20:37 - AI slowdown: how bad, how long? 22:44 - Where do markets go from here? 27:30 - AI agents in the workplace & security risk 34:50 - Memory, Micron & the AI bottleneck 39:53 - The next 10-20 years: robots, AI & society 44:18 - The Fed, rate cuts & inflation's impact on AI 49:55 - Why bitcoin wins in the end

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

64,370 views • 2 months ago

SemiAnalysis Dylan shares his thoughts on xAI Grok and research labs: > xAI has ALOT of compute concentrated > ALOT of great researchers > 200K GPUs already running > purchased a new factory in memphis > building out a new data center > now they are buying a power plant and shipping it from overseas because you can’t get a new one in time in the US > Grok models are good > elon is hyping up next model > maybe it’ll be great / good > will it be openai level? or slightly behind? > we’ll see > he uses grok for current events > grok knows exactly what’s happening way better than google search, gemini or openai > every research lab is generally doing the same thing > even SSI

SemiAnalysis Dylan shares his thoughts on xAI Grok and research labs: > xAI has ALOT of compute concentrated > ALOT of great researchers > 200K GPUs already running > purchased a new factory in memphis > building out a new data center > now they are buying a power plant and shipping it from overseas because you can’t get a new one in time in the US > Grok models are good > elon is hyping up next model > maybe it’ll be great / good > will it be openai level? or slightly behind? > we’ll see > he uses grok for current events > grok knows exactly what’s happening way better than google search, gemini or openai > every research lab is generally doing the same thing > even SSI

NIK

293,607 views • 1 year ago

Jensen Huang on "distillation" On his new interview with axios, he was asked this question "Should open source model companies be allowed to distill closed models" "Distillation—learning from AI, learning from other people, and learning from other sources of knowledge, is fundamental to intelligence. We are constantly learning from other people. I am learning from you through the questions you are asking, and you are learning from me. All day long, we are learning from one another. AI also has to learn from something. The original AI models, whether they were open or closed, were trained on previously created knowledge from the internet. Now, AI is generating more content than humans. In a few more years, the internet could be 99% AI-generated content, and that content will have been created by some form of AI. As a result, AI systems will constantly be distilling knowledge and intelligence from other AI systems. The fact that AI can learn is a good thing. We want AI systems to be intelligent because a smarter AI can also be a safer AI." ---- From "Axios" YouTube channel, (full video link in comment)

Jensen Huang on "distillation" On his new interview with axios, he was asked this question "Should open source model companies be allowed to distill closed models" "Distillation—learning from AI, learning from other people, and learning from other sources of knowledge, is fundamental to intelligence. We are constantly learning from other people. I am learning from you through the questions you are asking, and you are learning from me. All day long, we are learning from one another. AI also has to learn from something. The original AI models, whether they were open or closed, were trained on previously created knowledge from the internet. Now, AI is generating more content than humans. In a few more years, the internet could be 99% AI-generated content, and that content will have been created by some form of AI. As a result, AI systems will constantly be distilling knowledge and intelligence from other AI systems. The fact that AI can learn is a good thing. We want AI systems to be intelligent because a smarter AI can also be a safer AI." ---- From "Axios" YouTube channel, (full video link in comment)

Rohan Paul

443,639 views • 1 month ago

Windsurf CEO explains why traditional startup moats are mostly silly. Varun said even with 50-100 of the best MIT engineers, that's still just "hundreds of engineering years" in your product. Someone else can build something similar in the same space. He used Nvidia as an example. People think CUDA is their real moat, but that's not accurate. Large companies like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic spend tens of billions on chips. If CUDA didn't exist, they'd find a way to write assembly code and make GPUs work. People use CUDA because Nvidia made it really capable at low floating-point math, great interconnect, and fast computers. Not because they're locked in. Every year Nvidia has pressure - if they don't make hardware, interconnect, and memory bandwidth much faster, their profit margins shrink and AMD will compete. For startups, the only moat is speed. Learning where the dead bodies are. Understanding what doesn't work and building compounding advantages through that knowledge. Speed lets you learn from the market faster, which means you're first to the next idea too.

Windsurf CEO explains why traditional startup moats are mostly silly. Varun said even with 50-100 of the best MIT engineers, that's still just "hundreds of engineering years" in your product. Someone else can build something similar in the same space. He used Nvidia as an example. People think CUDA is their real moat, but that's not accurate. Large companies like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic spend tens of billions on chips. If CUDA didn't exist, they'd find a way to write assembly code and make GPUs work. People use CUDA because Nvidia made it really capable at low floating-point math, great interconnect, and fast computers. Not because they're locked in. Every year Nvidia has pressure - if they don't make hardware, interconnect, and memory bandwidth much faster, their profit margins shrink and AMD will compete. For startups, the only moat is speed. Learning where the dead bodies are. Understanding what doesn't work and building compounding advantages through that knowledge. Speed lets you learn from the market faster, which means you're first to the next idea too.

Aish

334,732 views • 1 year ago

The most dangerous thing a company can do right now is rent intelligence from the same place as its competitors (Save this). You cannot rent intelligence from the same place that rents it to your competitor as Chamath Palihapitiya points out. If every company in an industry is feeding their workflows into the same frontier model, they are all converging on the same outputs, the same decisions, the same product improvements. The model becomes the equalizer and everyone pays a premium to become more mediocre. This is happening exactly as Chamath predicted, and the evidence is now concrete. Anthropic and OpenAI have established what analysts are now openly calling an emerging model layer duopoly. Anthropic crossed $45 billion ARR in may 2026, more than tripling from $9 billion at the end of 2025, OpenAI was at roughly $24 to $33 billion ARR at the same time. Together, the two companies combined could hit $160 to $240 billion ARR by end of 2026 and Anthropic and OpenAI now control 88% of enterprise LLM spend. That concentration is the structural problem Chamath is pointing at. And Anthropic isn't just winning on merit because it's actively lobbying for regulatory outcomes that would make that duopoly permanent. Dario Amodei has explicitly framed open source models as unsafe, pushing a safety agenda that, if enshrined in regulation, would effectively make it illegal for enterprises to use the cheaper, private, sovereign alternatives locking them into a closed model dependency by government decree rather than by choice. So you have market forces producing a duopoly, and potential regulatory capture moving to enforce it from the top down. This is exactly why the Nvidia Palantir partnership is not just a product announcement but rather a strategic counter to that duopoly. The logic is straightforward from both sides because If you're Palantir, sitting at the application layer, the last thing you want is to be permanently beholden to Anthropic or OpenAI for the intelligence that powers your product. You want competitive model options, sovereignty and be able to tell enterprise customers they can run AI on their own infrastructure with their own data without any of it touching a frontier lab's servers. If you're Nvidia, sitting at the chip layer, an Anthropic-OpenAI duopoly is an existential concentration risk. Right now, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and dozens of other companies buy Nvidia's hardware. If the model layer consolidates into two players, both of which are building their own chips Nvidia faces a monopsony where its best customers are building the tools to displace it. A healthy open source ecosystem where thousands of enterprises train, fine tune, and deploy their own models is Nvidia's ideal market structure. More buyers, more diversity, more demand, less pricing leverage from any single customer.

The most dangerous thing a company can do right now is rent intelligence from the same place as its competitors (Save this). You cannot rent intelligence from the same place that rents it to your competitor as Chamath Palihapitiya points out. If every company in an industry is feeding their workflows into the same frontier model, they are all converging on the same outputs, the same decisions, the same product improvements. The model becomes the equalizer and everyone pays a premium to become more mediocre. This is happening exactly as Chamath predicted, and the evidence is now concrete. Anthropic and OpenAI have established what analysts are now openly calling an emerging model layer duopoly. Anthropic crossed $45 billion ARR in may 2026, more than tripling from $9 billion at the end of 2025, OpenAI was at roughly $24 to $33 billion ARR at the same time. Together, the two companies combined could hit $160 to $240 billion ARR by end of 2026 and Anthropic and OpenAI now control 88% of enterprise LLM spend. That concentration is the structural problem Chamath is pointing at. And Anthropic isn't just winning on merit because it's actively lobbying for regulatory outcomes that would make that duopoly permanent. Dario Amodei has explicitly framed open source models as unsafe, pushing a safety agenda that, if enshrined in regulation, would effectively make it illegal for enterprises to use the cheaper, private, sovereign alternatives locking them into a closed model dependency by government decree rather than by choice. So you have market forces producing a duopoly, and potential regulatory capture moving to enforce it from the top down. This is exactly why the Nvidia Palantir partnership is not just a product announcement but rather a strategic counter to that duopoly. The logic is straightforward from both sides because If you're Palantir, sitting at the application layer, the last thing you want is to be permanently beholden to Anthropic or OpenAI for the intelligence that powers your product. You want competitive model options, sovereignty and be able to tell enterprise customers they can run AI on their own infrastructure with their own data without any of it touching a frontier lab's servers. If you're Nvidia, sitting at the chip layer, an Anthropic-OpenAI duopoly is an existential concentration risk. Right now, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and dozens of other companies buy Nvidia's hardware. If the model layer consolidates into two players, both of which are building their own chips Nvidia faces a monopsony where its best customers are building the tools to displace it. A healthy open source ecosystem where thousands of enterprises train, fine tune, and deploy their own models is Nvidia's ideal market structure. More buyers, more diversity, more demand, less pricing leverage from any single customer.

Milk Road AI

34,385 views • 2 months ago