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Kalshi has the same wash trading pattern in its prediction markets too Take the Mamdani "2028 Democratic presidential nominee" market Between August 1 and September 19, someone has been buying and selling $1 of this contract every 2 seconds for $2M The bot is active rn and you can...

649,866 views • 6 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - Hashdive: Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

Yash Palod

31,761 views • 1 year ago

CHINESE ENGINEERS JUST WROTE CLAUDE SCRIPT AND TURNED $6.02 INTO $3.3 MILLION ON POLYMARKET Nobody tells you about them and you still think this is a person placing bets manually I guess. Let me disappoint you, this is a fully automated script built by Chinese engineers 100%. This is true. They called it PHANTOM X. It runs completely through Claude. Their account here: Result: $6.02 -> $3,354,000. Win rate 71%. Biggest win: $179,000 (single bet). I’m copying their trades here: (Just added their wallet to TG bot 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf, it's so easy) How the bot works: -> It simultaneously tracks thousands of sports markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. -> Finds discrepancies between the platforms. -> Enters positions faster than any human could imo. Just three strategies in one: -- Pairs Trading: the bot sees YES on the Rockets at $0.62 while NO is at $0.41. Total = $1.03 instead of $1.00. That’s a 3% risk-free profit. It enters automatically within milliseconds. -- Sentiment AI: scans Twitter (X) and news in real time. If something big breaks, it recalculates the probability in 2 seconds before the market reacts. -- Calendar + Volatility: 15–20 minutes before the game, volatility spikes. The bot takes positions early and closes after the first major move. Why sports is perfect? Sports O/U markets have clear paired contracts that should total exactly $1.00, but constant deviations create reliable arbitrage. This is exactly how [sovereign2013] built $3.35M. > A human physically cannot monitor 50+ markets at once, react in milliseconds, stay awake 24/7, avoid emotions after losses, and run Z-scores on 60 bars of data. > The bot does all of this in parallel without breaks. Manual trading is dying. The automation era has arrived. Start learning Claude now. If you’re interested in writing your own bot on Polymarket: Comment the word "BOT" Like and repost this post Follow me (so I can message you easly) And within 24 hours I will send you a full manual on how to build a bot that can earn $2,900+/month. Also SAVE this info and article.

slash1s

16,145 views • 5 months ago

🚨 WARNING: TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! → The new Fed Chair confirmed interest rate HIKES. → Iran just officially CANCELLED the peace deal and launched ballistic missiles. → China and Japan started dumping U.S. Treasuries. When markets open on Monday, this won't be “just another dip.” Stocks will dump. Bonds will dump. Gold and Silver will dump. Bitcoin will dump even harder. Insiders already know what comes next. They are not buying the dip. They are cutting exposure and positioning for the largest risk-off event of the year. Meanwhile, pressure is building across the global financial system. China is reducing foreign Treasury holdings. At the same time, volatility in Japan's bond market has forced policymakers back into liquidity support measures. When the world's largest creditors step back from debt markets at the same time, liquidity disappears fast. → Japanese bond yields are surging → Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries is weakening → Global bond markets are under severe pressure → Energy markets remain unstable → Liquidity is tightening worldwide → Volatility is spreading across every major asset class This is no longer an isolated problem. This is systemic pressure building across MULTIPLE fronts at the same time. And now geopolitical risk is entering the equation. Diplomatic efforts are breaking down. Tensions are escalating. Markets do not price uncertainty forever. They price ESCALATION. And once markets begin pricing the possibility of a prolonged regional conflict... Energy markets become impossible to stabilize. Oil does not move gradually. It goes parabolic. Shipping routes become vulnerable. Supply chains become disrupted. Inflation accelerates globally. Which means interest rates remain higher for longer. And risk assets? They do not dip. They DUMP. This is exactly how chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing prolonged instability instead of temporary uncertainty, the entire framework changes. I have spent years tracking macro trends, liquidity cycles, and systemic market reactions like this. When the next move becomes obvious, I will share it publicly. Follow and turn notifications on. Because by the time it reaches the headlines, it is already too late.

0xNobler

214,675 views • 3 months ago

🇳🇵| #Nepal | The devastation in #Rasuwa is not an act of nature. It is the visible wound of a nation that has been carved up and sold by its own political class to foreign corporations and global financial institutions. Nepal's sovereignty has been under quiet, systematic attack for decades, and the landslide is the result. The government of Nepal did not merely fail to protect its people. It actively enabled their destruction through policies that prioritised foreign investment, "development" loans, and infrastructure projects over the lives of those in the mountains. The same pattern we have exposed across India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan is operating here. The globalist machine needs Nepal's rivers, its hydropower, its strategic location between China and India, and its people as a cheap, disposable labour force. What has happened in Rasuwa is part of this same plan. The hydropower rush in the Himalayan rivers has destabilised the slopes. Roads are carved through unstable geology without proper engineering, funded by development banks that demand Nepal remain a debtor nation. Forests are stripped. The people are told to accept "progress." Then the rains come, engineered or not, and the mountain comes down. The state calls it a natural disaster. The media says "pray for Nepal." And the same companies that pushed the projects arrive later for the "reconstruction." Nepal's tragedy is that its people have been taught to see themselves as victims of geography. They are victims of governance. The same globalist networks that are flooding Assam, burning Europe, shaking Turkey and Japan, and bulldozing Palestine are now tightening their grip on the Himalayas. Nepal is a key piece on that board. Its government has signed the agreements. The land has been mapped, zoned, and mortgaged. The people are in the way. I will not pretend that a single, tidy "plan" explains every layer of corruption in Nepal. But I will say this clearly: the flood and landslide did not have to be fatal. The deaths are the result of decades of deliberate neglect, of state capture by local and foreign oligarchs, and of an economic model that treats the mountains and their people as resources to be extracted rather than lives to be protected. The people of Nepal deserve more than prayers. They deserve the truth. That truth is that their government has failed them, and the same invisible system that is devastating the rest of the world is now using their rivers, their mountains, and their grief as fuel. The prayer posts will fade. The system will remain. Unless the people of Nepal, and of every targeted nation, choose to stop accepting the lie that the land is their enemy. The land is not the enemy. The land has been betrayed. The monsoon is the trigger. The real weapon was wielded long before the rain came.

Aprajita Nafs Nefes 🦋 Ancient Believer

29,250 views • 1 month ago

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE WILL HAPPEN ON MONDAY!! The U.S. just hit the panic button. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September have jumped to 70%. U.S. Treasury is launching a $1 TRILLION buyback program to prevent a market crash. 99% of people will lose everything next week. And it won't be “just another dip.” Stocks will crash. Metals will dump. Bitcoin will collapse even harder. Insiders already know what's coming. They are not “buying the dip.” They are raising cash, cutting risk, and positioning for a catastrophic market event. Meanwhile, alarm bells are ringing across the global financial system. China is dumping U.S. Treasuries at an alarming rate, with holdings dropping to the lowest levels since 2008. Japan's bond market volatility has forced the BOJ back into QE, but it's not enough to stem the tide. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September have jumped to 70%. In response, the U.S. Treasury is launching a $1 TRILLION buyback program to prevent a market crash. Kevin Warsh already sounds hawkish at the Jackson Hole conference. This means interest rates will stay higher for longer. And global liquidity is disappearing fast: → Japanese bond yields are surging → Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries is weakening → Global bond markets are under heavy pressure → Volatility is spreading across asset classes → Liquidity is tightening worldwide It's already spiraling out of control. When this accelerates, there will be no time left to react. Risk assets won't “dip.” They will DUMP HARD. This is exactly how chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing prolonged instability, the entire framework changes. I have spent 10+ tracking macro and systemic market reactions like this. I will share my next move here publicly. Follow and turn notifications on. Because by the time it reaches the headlines, it will be too late.

0xNobler

329,062 views • 28 days ago