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MARKETS HAVE QUIETLY TURNED THIS INTO A REPEATABLE PLAYBOOK: The TACO trade (Trump Always Chickens Out) Sequence: - Tariff threat - Market sells / fear spikes / liquidity pulls back - Policy walkback - Relief rally Bitcoin doesn’t find demand in celebration… it finds demand in fear. $BTC is...

68,653 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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After 1,000+ trades, this is the only setup that consistently works in any market condition. It's called liquidity sweep reversal—and it's the highest probability trading strategy I know. Before I show you what it is, here are the two things most traders get wrong with it: 1) They enter too early and get stopped out on the second sweep. 2) They try to predict the LAST sweep with certainty This is a sure-fire way to burn your money. Here's what to do instead: Step 1: Identify market control Look at structure. Higher highs and higher lows? Buyers are in control. We're only trading from demand zones. Step 2: Mark your liquidity zones Find equal lows. When retail sees a "double bottom," they go long because textbooks tell them to. Their stop losses sit right below those lows. Available liquidity for institutions to sweep. Step 3: Wait for the sweep Price drops, sweeps those stops, liquidates retail traders, then creates a sharp V-shaped reaction. This sweep breaks structure. Zoom into 1-hour timeframe - price was making lower highs and lows. After the sweep? Higher highs and higher lows. That sweep zone becomes your institutional demand zone. Step 4: Enter on mitigation Wait for price to pull back to the liquidity zone. Enter there. Stop below the zone. Target 2-3R. Remember: You'll NEVER predict with 100% certainty when it's the LAST liquidity sweep. Sometimes price sweeps 2-3 times before the real move. But that's trading—we trade probabilities, not certainties. Also, keep in mind: If you can't spot the liquidity, you ARE the liquidity. — This is just a breakdown of one of the trading strategies we covered in our 2-hour long cryptocurrency trading course. I also discussed the trend pullback strategy, how to trade breakout retests without getting stopped out on fake moves, and why understanding liquidity is the only way to avoid becoming exit liquidity. Just comment "COURSE" and I'll DM it to you immediately so you can watch it.

The Trading Geek (Brad Goh)

54,129 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Everyone's blaming Michael Saylor for this drawdown. Jamie Coutts looked at the data and came to a different conclusion: "#Bitcoin didn't top because of MicroStrategy." Jamie Coutts (Jamie Coutts CMT) is chief crypto analyst at Real Vision and one of the most rigorous liquidity researchers in the space. He joined me to explain the one force that actually drives this market: "Global liquidity is the main driver of all asset prices." We cover: - Why we're really in a bear market — a lack of demand, not one company: long-term holders selling peaked in Q3 last year, a classic cycle-top signal - His honest miss: his cycle risk model flagged the top, but he read it as a 30-40% correction — "it ended up being the cycle top" - Where the liquidity actually went: AI hyperscalers cutting buybacks and issuing debt, the SpaceX listing, and "the granddaddy of all" — record US government issuance - The debasement math: debt growing faster than liquidity, why "something's got to give," and why more liquidity has to enter this year or next - His warning: it often requires things to get worse before they get better - The 12-month playbook: tokenization and AI agents as the two demand drivers, and why supply discipline meeting real demand would be a first for crypto Thanks to Jamie for coming on New Era Finance Podcast. Thanks to OKX for being today's sponsor of the show. Make sure to use their 8% Deposit bonus with the link in the comment tweet. Timestamps: 00:45 - Michael Saylor's Impact on Bitcoin 02:47 - Global Liquidity, Debt and Interest Rates 09:02 - Bitcoin, AI and the Agentic Era 14:49 - Navigating Economic Uncertainty 30:37 - The Future of Crypto: Supply and Demand 39:00 - Bitcoin, Altcoins and Market Risk 46:33 - NEAR Protocol and Interoperability 52:05 - Zcash and Privacy Coins 54:55 - Market Momentum and Investment Strategy

Michaël van de Poppe

102,022 просмотров • 13 дней назад

Former BlackRock fund manager Ed Dowd on the Bitcoin drop: "Bitcoin has always been a global liquidity canary in the coal mine" "what [this] says to me is that Bitcoin is being sold to fund and chase... momentum stocks, particularly NASDAQ and semiconductors" "[this] means the liquidity situation isn't as good as everyone thinks, because if this was truly a liquidity driven market rise, Bitcoin would be participating right now" This clip of Dowd (Edward Dowd), a former BlackRock fund manager and co-founder of Phinance Technologies, is taken from an interview with Daniela Cambone-Taub (Daniela Cambone-Taub) posted to the ITM TRADING, INC. YouTube channel on June 5, 2026. ---------------Partial transcription of clip---------------- "So Bitcoin peaked in October of last year and in this most recent move, in three weeks it's gone from 81,000 to 67,000. That's a 17% decline in three weeks. And technically it looks like it wants to go find a new low. "At the moment it may rally from here, but, the NASDAQ and Bitcoin have a strong correlation, historically 95%. "Bitcoin is a risk-on trade. So recently that's decoupled a little bit, which implies one of two things. Bitcoin needs to rally back up to make the correlation hold or the NASDAQ has to move down a lot for the correlation to hold. "So given Bitcoin's decline, it makes me concerned that global— and Bitcoin has always been a global liquidity canary in the coal mine. So what it says to me is that Bitcoin is being sold to fund and chase, you know, momentum stocks, particularly NASDAQ and semiconductors, which means the liquidity situation isn't as good as everyone thinks. "Because if this was truly a liquidity driven market rise, Bitcoin would be participating right now. "[And Michael] Saylor's stock has been a disaster for the last year and a half. He's selling some Bitcoin to pay some dividends. There is a thesis that he gets a margin call. I don't know whether that's true or not, but at these levels, it's margin call. "People have said in $74,000 bitcoins, margin call territory, we're now at $67,000. We'll see if that continues to unwind the Bitcoin space. But it just doesn't bode well for global liquidity that Bitcoin is struggling, in my humble opinion."

Sense Receptor

39,191 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The market is afraid of all the wrong things. Everyone's locked onto the AI bubble, the Middle East, or private credit cracking. But the MAIN event is liquidity, and it's draining out of the system as you read this. Gold is down nearly 30% from its high while silver's been cut by more than half. Bitcoin has lost half its value too. Gold and Bitcoin are barometers of liquidity. When money floods in, they fly. When money gets pulled out, they're the first things to bleed - long before stocks feel it. So they're falling because the tide is going out on liquidity, and they feel it first. Wall Street finds out last like it always does. So the reason why I'm cautious is one man: Michael Howell. Learn the name if you don't know it. They called Bill Gross the Bond King. Michael Howell is the Liquidity King - a title I gave him myself, because nobody alive reads the flow of money through markets the way he does. And nobody has been more right. Bearish in late 2021, before the wreckage. Nailed the 2022 collapse, and flipped bullish at the end of 2022 - I ignored that one, to my lasting regret. He also turned cautious this past January, right at the top. Every major turn, called in advance. Now he's back with the same warning. Liquidity peaked in late 2025, and it tightens from here - slowly at first, then more and more into year-end and 2027. And the accelerant nobody's pricing in: Kevin Warsh now runs the Fed, and he's told the markets flat out he wants them to tighten. The last time the Fed tightened like this, stocks fell 25% and Bitcoin fell 75%. That's gasoline on a house fire. The interview is one of the best I've seen all year. Watch it, then ask yourself if you're really positioned for what's coming.

George Noble

127,819 просмотров • 1 месяц назад