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McCullough: U.S. Dollar Weakness Could Trigger Market Correlation Risk 💰 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough flagged a growing divide between the U.S. Dollar and the S&P 500, gold, and more in this important clip from Thursday’s edition of "The Macro Show." 🔊 With Hedgeye forecasts calling for a renewed rise...

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Hedgeye

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46,097 просмотров • 1 год назад •via X (Twitter)

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McCullough: Fed’s Powell Remains ‘Full of Sh*t’ 🔊 "How about them eggs? You been paying a lot for eggs?" 🍳 asks Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough in this clip from “The Macro Show” this morning. It's become blatantly obvious that the Fed is either ignorant or outright lying about inflation. "[Powell] is full of sh*t," McCullough says. "It's getting worse. It's more of a clown show than it's ever been. And we know what to do with it: front-run the next print." * * * * * If you're new to Hedgeye, make sure to download our Founder & CEO Keith McCullough's new eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager’s Guide to Process and Profit" It's free here:
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McCullough: Fed’s Powell Remains ‘Full of Sh*t’ 🔊 "How about them eggs? You been paying a lot for eggs?" 🍳 asks Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough in this clip from “The Macro Show” this morning. It's become blatantly obvious that the Fed is either ignorant or outright lying about inflation. "[Powell] is full of sh*t," McCullough says. "It's getting worse. It's more of a clown show than it's ever been. And we know what to do with it: front-run the next print." * * * * * If you're new to Hedgeye, make sure to download our Founder & CEO Keith McCullough's new eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager’s Guide to Process and Profit" It's free here:

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‘Gargantuan’ Turn In US Small Business Data 📊🚀 The pulse of the U.S. economy just delivered a jolt of optimism. NFIB Small Business data released on Tuesday surged to its highest level in more than three years, marking a dramatic turnaround that has analysts and investors taking notice. In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down the implications of this significant move and its potential to fuel an extended market bull run. "This is a very good leading indicator when you come out of the bottom," McCullough explains. "This is a gargantuan turn in small business. I can only go back so many times in my career and find something like this." * * * Get a free copy of Keith's new 52-page eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager's Guide to Process and Profit":
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‘Gargantuan’ Turn In US Small Business Data 📊🚀 The pulse of the U.S. economy just delivered a jolt of optimism. NFIB Small Business data released on Tuesday surged to its highest level in more than three years, marking a dramatic turnaround that has analysts and investors taking notice. In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down the implications of this significant move and its potential to fuel an extended market bull run. "This is a very good leading indicator when you come out of the bottom," McCullough explains. "This is a gargantuan turn in small business. I can only go back so many times in my career and find something like this." * * * Get a free copy of Keith's new 52-page eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager's Guide to Process and Profit":

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McCullough: 2025 Drawdown Is Nothing Compared to Historic Bear Markets ⚠️ Most investors underestimate bear markets. On Monday, Tier1 Alpha made that clear with a chart dating back to 1927, showing how long bear markets have lasted and how severe the drawdowns have been. 🔊 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough lays out a critical warning: if the 2025 drawdown marks the beginning of a new bear market, "News flash: it just got started." “When you’re coming out of a bubble and into a bear market,” McCullough explains, "the next bull market is not the former bubble." Historically, bear markets don't last just three months — they unfold over time, often far longer and deeper than most investors expect. McCullough also highlights several names that are making our subscribers money by generating real alpha in the current market environment. * * * * * Unlock Keith McCullough’s proven risk management process with his free eBook, "Master The Market." Learn how to spot opportunities, avoid costly mistakes, and position your portfolio like a pro—download it now:
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McCullough: 2025 Drawdown Is Nothing Compared to Historic Bear Markets ⚠️ Most investors underestimate bear markets. On Monday, Tier1 Alpha made that clear with a chart dating back to 1927, showing how long bear markets have lasted and how severe the drawdowns have been. 🔊 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough lays out a critical warning: if the 2025 drawdown marks the beginning of a new bear market, "News flash: it just got started." “When you’re coming out of a bubble and into a bear market,” McCullough explains, "the next bull market is not the former bubble." Historically, bear markets don't last just three months — they unfold over time, often far longer and deeper than most investors expect. McCullough also highlights several names that are making our subscribers money by generating real alpha in the current market environment. * * * * * Unlock Keith McCullough’s proven risk management process with his free eBook, "Master The Market." Learn how to spot opportunities, avoid costly mistakes, and position your portfolio like a pro—download it now:

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Gold vs. Bitcoin: Navigating The Risk Divergence 📈 A reminder that you don't need to wear a drawdown in Bitcoin (or any asset for that matter) just because someone with "laser eyes" says to buy and hold at all times. At Hedgeye we manage risk, and if you did that properly, you would have handled the 1700 basis points divergence between gold $GLD and Bitcoin $BTC in February. That difference was fueled by a #Quad4 environment - but one that could soon be reversing. "Bitcoin is trying to make up its mind. It's got 3 or 4 days left of that. So what do you do? You wait and you watch," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains in this clip from "The Macro Show." "Everything is a number. The question is, do you see it?" * * * * * You can download Keith's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager's Guide to Process and Profit" for FREE here:
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Gold vs. Bitcoin: Navigating The Risk Divergence 📈 A reminder that you don't need to wear a drawdown in Bitcoin (or any asset for that matter) just because someone with "laser eyes" says to buy and hold at all times. At Hedgeye we manage risk, and if you did that properly, you would have handled the 1700 basis points divergence between gold $GLD and Bitcoin $BTC in February. That difference was fueled by a #Quad4 environment - but one that could soon be reversing. "Bitcoin is trying to make up its mind. It's got 3 or 4 days left of that. So what do you do? You wait and you watch," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains in this clip from "The Macro Show." "Everything is a number. The question is, do you see it?" * * * * * You can download Keith's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager's Guide to Process and Profit" for FREE here:

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Markets Are Cracking—Hedgeye Was Ready. Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough started warning subscribers about #Quad4 market conditions—when growth and inflation are slowing—back on February 6th, well before this latest drawdown. 🔊 In this clip from Thursday’s complimentary edition of "The Macro Show," McCullough and Macro analyst Ryan Ricci Ryan Ricci break down the market's recent move: Is this a bear market bounce or the start of an extended rally? More importantly, how does the Hedgeye process separate fact from fiction? “We have a math-based, rules-based decision-making process,” McCullough explains. “J.P. Morgan this morning was saying, ‘The worst should be behind us’—after never warning you that the worst was coming. Thanks a lot, guys.” Watch the full edition of today's complimentary edition of "The Macro Show" and get unfiltered, data-driven insights you won’t find anywhere else. ***Full edition:
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Markets Are Cracking—Hedgeye Was Ready. Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough started warning subscribers about #Quad4 market conditions—when growth and inflation are slowing—back on February 6th, well before this latest drawdown. 🔊 In this clip from Thursday’s complimentary edition of "The Macro Show," McCullough and Macro analyst Ryan Ricci Ryan Ricci break down the market's recent move: Is this a bear market bounce or the start of an extended rally? More importantly, how does the Hedgeye process separate fact from fiction? “We have a math-based, rules-based decision-making process,” McCullough explains. “J.P. Morgan this morning was saying, ‘The worst should be behind us’—after never warning you that the worst was coming. Thanks a lot, guys.” Watch the full edition of today's complimentary edition of "The Macro Show" and get unfiltered, data-driven insights you won’t find anywhere else. ***Full edition:

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The Market’s Most Bearish Signal Right Now ⚠️ A key Hedgeye Risk Range Signal™ just flipped: Nvidia $NVDA is now in a Bearish trend. 🔊 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down why this shift matters. NVDA’s massive weighting in the market drives major moves—on Tuesday alone, it traded 254 million shares, accounting for nearly 12% of the S&P 500’s total upside. Yet, despite recent gains, NVDA remains in a Bearish trend. "In fractal math, we call these emergent properties—developments that set up the next pattern," McCullough explains. "What’s the next pattern? The stock market blowing up? Nvidia has already blown up." * * * * * * * Stay ahead of market shifts. Download Keith's new, 52-page eBook for FREE and see for yourself that there's a better way to protect and grow your money:
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The Market’s Most Bearish Signal Right Now ⚠️ A key Hedgeye Risk Range Signal™ just flipped: Nvidia $NVDA is now in a Bearish trend. 🔊 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down why this shift matters. NVDA’s massive weighting in the market drives major moves—on Tuesday alone, it traded 254 million shares, accounting for nearly 12% of the S&P 500’s total upside. Yet, despite recent gains, NVDA remains in a Bearish trend. "In fractal math, we call these emergent properties—developments that set up the next pattern," McCullough explains. "What’s the next pattern? The stock market blowing up? Nvidia has already blown up." * * * * * * * Stay ahead of market shifts. Download Keith's new, 52-page eBook for FREE and see for yourself that there's a better way to protect and grow your money:

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McCullough: WW3? The Numbers Say No Many investors got baited by "soundbite investing" over the weekend after the contentious Oval Office meeting between U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky. Instead of getting swept up in headlines like a "Macro Tourist," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough reminds investors to focus on the unemotional numbers. "I'm not here to make comments on Ukraine—the oil market is," McCullough explains in this clip from "The Macro Show." "Oil is the number one geopolitical risk factor, if you had to pick one. Or the UK 10-year bond yield is up 10 basis points today. If we were going into World War Three, that would not be happening." Hedgeye Director of Research Daryl Jones Jonesy adds, "If you look at specific soundbites, it looks really bad. Then if you make the analysis based on that limited information, you get it wrong." * * * * * * * The best way to steer clear of "soundbite investing" is to follow our unique, data-driven process. If you've read this far, you should take this opportunity to download Keith's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market." It will give you the tools to succeed. Get the eBook FREE here:
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McCullough: WW3? The Numbers Say No Many investors got baited by "soundbite investing" over the weekend after the contentious Oval Office meeting between U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky. Instead of getting swept up in headlines like a "Macro Tourist," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough reminds investors to focus on the unemotional numbers. "I'm not here to make comments on Ukraine—the oil market is," McCullough explains in this clip from "The Macro Show." "Oil is the number one geopolitical risk factor, if you had to pick one. Or the UK 10-year bond yield is up 10 basis points today. If we were going into World War Three, that would not be happening." Hedgeye Director of Research Daryl Jones Jonesy adds, "If you look at specific soundbites, it looks really bad. Then if you make the analysis based on that limited information, you get it wrong." * * * * * * * The best way to steer clear of "soundbite investing" is to follow our unique, data-driven process. If you've read this far, you should take this opportunity to download Keith's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market." It will give you the tools to succeed. Get the eBook FREE here:

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McCullough: Process > Predictions In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains a core truth about Wall Street—and what makes Hedgeye different. 🔊 While traditional Wall Street thrives on making predictions, flashy “calls” and selling narratives, Hedgeye is built around a repeatable, risk-managed process. Keith explains why theories, fads and predictions come and go, but a disciplined approach delivers consistent results—particularly when markets get tough. We’re not in the business of hype at Hedgeye. We’re in the business of helping investors protect and compound their capital. That’s the power of process. We invite you to join us:
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McCullough: Process > Predictions In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains a core truth about Wall Street—and what makes Hedgeye different. 🔊 While traditional Wall Street thrives on making predictions, flashy “calls” and selling narratives, Hedgeye is built around a repeatable, risk-managed process. Keith explains why theories, fads and predictions come and go, but a disciplined approach delivers consistent results—particularly when markets get tough. We’re not in the business of hype at Hedgeye. We’re in the business of helping investors protect and compound their capital. That’s the power of process. We invite you to join us:

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McCullough: ‘Bitcoin May Be Bottoming’ 📉 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down the latest market signals pointing to a potential bottom in Bitcoin after its drawdown from $125,000. Keith explains how Hedgeye’s quantitative risk management process has navigated every major move along the way – the drawdowns, the reversals, and the emerging signs of a regime shift. “So, if you want to go through how things stop signaling Quad 4, look at the worst place it's been Quad 4, which is of course Bitcoin,” McCullough says. Stay ahead of the next big move. Follow all of Keith’s signals with a subscription to "The Macro Show." ➡️
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McCullough: ‘Bitcoin May Be Bottoming’ 📉 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down the latest market signals pointing to a potential bottom in Bitcoin after its drawdown from $125,000. Keith explains how Hedgeye’s quantitative risk management process has navigated every major move along the way – the drawdowns, the reversals, and the emerging signs of a regime shift. “So, if you want to go through how things stop signaling Quad 4, look at the worst place it's been Quad 4, which is of course Bitcoin,” McCullough says. Stay ahead of the next big move. Follow all of Keith’s signals with a subscription to "The Macro Show." ➡️

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When Will MSM Tell the Truth on Food Inflation? 🍳 🔊 Prices for U.S. consumers continue to rise, with the cost of eggs in particular skyrocketing over 7% in the last day alone and 12% over the last month. While the mainstream media was quick to report on (imaginary) improved prices for the cost of Thanksgiving dinner, they're predictably silent on this topic. "When people go to the store, they actually notice these things," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains in the clip below from "The Macro Show." * * * * * Tired of the MSM BS? We are too. Stay ahead of market moves with "The Macro Show" hosted weekday mornings by Keith McCullough. Get daily, actionable insights from a top Wall Street veteran, guiding you through important macro trends and portfolio risk management. Your edge starts here:
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When Will MSM Tell the Truth on Food Inflation? 🍳 🔊 Prices for U.S. consumers continue to rise, with the cost of eggs in particular skyrocketing over 7% in the last day alone and 12% over the last month. While the mainstream media was quick to report on (imaginary) improved prices for the cost of Thanksgiving dinner, they're predictably silent on this topic. "When people go to the store, they actually notice these things," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains in the clip below from "The Macro Show." * * * * * Tired of the MSM BS? We are too. Stay ahead of market moves with "The Macro Show" hosted weekday mornings by Keith McCullough. Get daily, actionable insights from a top Wall Street veteran, guiding you through important macro trends and portfolio risk management. Your edge starts here:

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McCullough: No Recession—Rates Don’t Lie Markets can’t hide from the signals embedded in interest rates. 🔊 In this clip from The Macro Show, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough unpacks critical signals across the curve—each pointing to the same conclusion: the U.S. economy is accelerating. There’s no recession in sight. "We positioned for Quad 4 from February all the way to April. The Street started talking about a U.S. recession pending, which we did not," McCullough says. "Instead of entering a recession...credit risk continued to go down." That’s the key. While headlines warned of a slowdown, rates told a different story of acceleration, not recession. The yield curve steepened, credit spreads tightened—clear signals of a shifting market structure aligned with a strengthening economy. “We have a process to signal a recession…that is not it,” McCullough explains. “Paying attention to interest rates not only across the curve, inside of the shape of the curve—we’re long a steepener. I was adding to that on Friday too." Stay on top of the real macro signals by subscribing to "The Macro Show".
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McCullough: No Recession—Rates Don’t Lie Markets can’t hide from the signals embedded in interest rates. 🔊 In this clip from The Macro Show, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough unpacks critical signals across the curve—each pointing to the same conclusion: the U.S. economy is accelerating. There’s no recession in sight. "We positioned for Quad 4 from February all the way to April. The Street started talking about a U.S. recession pending, which we did not," McCullough says. "Instead of entering a recession...credit risk continued to go down." That’s the key. While headlines warned of a slowdown, rates told a different story of acceleration, not recession. The yield curve steepened, credit spreads tightened—clear signals of a shifting market structure aligned with a strengthening economy. “We have a process to signal a recession…that is not it,” McCullough explains. “Paying attention to interest rates not only across the curve, inside of the shape of the curve—we’re long a steepener. I was adding to that on Friday too." Stay on top of the real macro signals by subscribing to "The Macro Show".

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McCullough: How We Nailed Dr. Copper (And Why You Shouldn't Chase) The Hedgeye process had our subscribers prepared ahead of Copper's $CPER surge to all-time highs on Wednesday. "The AI signal, the fractal patterns, that we have embedded in our process certainly saw this coming," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough says. Now, what do we do with an all-time-high? A: You do NOT chase it. You sell SOME, lock in some gains, and use those funds to buy something else. "These aren't 'calls.' These are executions of the process." "And if you sell some, you could buy something like uranium. They're both things that are in the same inflation category. One is for sale, the other is overbought." Don't chase the rip after the headlines. Follow the Hedgeye process and subscribe to The Macro Show.
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McCullough: How We Nailed Dr. Copper (And Why You Shouldn't Chase) The Hedgeye process had our subscribers prepared ahead of Copper's $CPER surge to all-time highs on Wednesday. "The AI signal, the fractal patterns, that we have embedded in our process certainly saw this coming," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough says. Now, what do we do with an all-time-high? A: You do NOT chase it. You sell SOME, lock in some gains, and use those funds to buy something else. "These aren't 'calls.' These are executions of the process." "And if you sell some, you could buy something like uranium. They're both things that are in the same inflation category. One is for sale, the other is overbought." Don't chase the rip after the headlines. Follow the Hedgeye process and subscribe to The Macro Show.

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Fed Rate Cut Coming? The Market Just Sent a Clear Signal 💰 Hedgeye’s proprietary signals are detecting a shift in the U.S. economic outlook, driven by a notable drop in the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield. 🔊 Our Macro team is now forecasting a period of disinflation—an environment that could pave the way for a Fed rate cut. “As Mandelbrot taught us, it’s the particular thing that matters in clock time, market time, or cycle time,” explains Keith McCullough. “And if you look at what’s happened in the last 48 hours, my Fed front-runner—the 2-year bond yield—broke down through trend.” * * * * * Download Keith McCullough's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market" and learn the proven process behind smarter, risk-managed investing. Get it FREE here:
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Fed Rate Cut Coming? The Market Just Sent a Clear Signal 💰 Hedgeye’s proprietary signals are detecting a shift in the U.S. economic outlook, driven by a notable drop in the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield. 🔊 Our Macro team is now forecasting a period of disinflation—an environment that could pave the way for a Fed rate cut. “As Mandelbrot taught us, it’s the particular thing that matters in clock time, market time, or cycle time,” explains Keith McCullough. “And if you look at what’s happened in the last 48 hours, my Fed front-runner—the 2-year bond yield—broke down through trend.” * * * * * Download Keith McCullough's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market" and learn the proven process behind smarter, risk-managed investing. Get it FREE here:

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McCullough: Bitcoin Doesn’t Care About Your Cost Basis 🔊 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough made it clear this week: when downside accelerates, the market isn’t debating your cost basis or favorite “support level.” In fact, “the situation is accelerating at an accelerating rate,” explains McCullough. That’s why we focus on the rate of change, especially the volatility of volatility. “The volatility of volatility is going to get you to the right answer faster than the crowd.” Get Keith's quantitative Risk Range™ Signals and daily analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and more, with our $BTC Trend Tracker: And for risk management insights you won’t get anywhere else, subscribe to The Macro Show:
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McCullough: Bitcoin Doesn’t Care About Your Cost Basis 🔊 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough made it clear this week: when downside accelerates, the market isn’t debating your cost basis or favorite “support level.” In fact, “the situation is accelerating at an accelerating rate,” explains McCullough. That’s why we focus on the rate of change, especially the volatility of volatility. “The volatility of volatility is going to get you to the right answer faster than the crowd.” Get Keith's quantitative Risk Range™ Signals and daily analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and more, with our $BTC Trend Tracker: And for risk management insights you won’t get anywhere else, subscribe to The Macro Show:

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13,872 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

New podcast with Keith McCullough of Hedgeye! - Keith's macro framework (quads!) - Outlook for the US dollar - Current market trends & asset allocation - Launching HedgeyeAM Links below 👇
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New podcast with Keith McCullough of Hedgeye! - Keith's macro framework (quads!) - Outlook for the US dollar - Current market trends & asset allocation - Launching HedgeyeAM Links below 👇

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McCullough: The Leveraged ETF Bubble is Popping In yet another indicator of "The Mother of all Bubbles," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough highlights the crumbling market cap in leveraged ETFs in this clip from "The Macro Show." 🔊 As bear market bounces grow increasingly fragile, the consequences of short-dated options mania and one-way leverage are finally being exposed. “The whole thing got as levered as the game has ever been. And now it’s coming unglued,” McCullough says, pointing to retail-favorite trades like $NVDA and $TSLA as repetitive, doomed plays for uninformed investors. The carnage is real—leveraged ETF market cap saw 34% drawdowns, requiring more than a 50% gain just to breakeven. Hedgeye, by contrast, remains steadfast in its foundational principle: risk-manage your capital, preserve it, and refuse to play the Wall Street casino game. * * * * * As the bubble bursts, the opportunity to build a smarter, more disciplined investment world has never been clearer. Subscribe now to The Macro Show:
3:46

McCullough: The Leveraged ETF Bubble is Popping In yet another indicator of "The Mother of all Bubbles," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough highlights the crumbling market cap in leveraged ETFs in this clip from "The Macro Show." 🔊 As bear market bounces grow increasingly fragile, the consequences of short-dated options mania and one-way leverage are finally being exposed. “The whole thing got as levered as the game has ever been. And now it’s coming unglued,” McCullough says, pointing to retail-favorite trades like $NVDA and $TSLA as repetitive, doomed plays for uninformed investors. The carnage is real—leveraged ETF market cap saw 34% drawdowns, requiring more than a 50% gain just to breakeven. Hedgeye, by contrast, remains steadfast in its foundational principle: risk-manage your capital, preserve it, and refuse to play the Wall Street casino game. * * * * * As the bubble bursts, the opportunity to build a smarter, more disciplined investment world has never been clearer. Subscribe now to The Macro Show:

Hedgeye

40,848 просмотров • 1 год назад