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Metaplanet froze its executive share pool after it grew 595% through shareholder dilution "So Metaplanet performed exceptionally well, it was one of the darlings of the treasury boom." "The problem here is that they have an executive pool of shares that was pegged not at a fixed amount but...

34,861 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

14 Kommentare

Profilbild von Dog Walker 🍊
Dog Walker 🍊vor 1 Monat

This name is an absolute "DO NOT BUY" for any reason. Bankrupt these corrupt or incompetent fvcks.

Profilbild von Secom-stantino💛💙
Secom-stantino💛💙vor 1 Monat

Expanding the money supply reduce the purchasing power of a currency INFLATION That’s exactly what Metaplanet is doing and the opposite of what BTC was designed for Ironically, a inflationary BTC-TC

Profilbild von lil retard
lil retardvor 1 Monat

They have not performed well, it’s down -85% from last summer and mostly every investor has lost money. They have a $103,000 btc cost average; $500m in debt and they have purchased BTC 2x in 2026. By my count that is a massive failure.

Profilbild von Ted Trading Club
Ted Trading Clubvor 1 Monat

20% pool tied to diluted shares turns every capital raise into an executive windfall

Profilbild von Defi_Noal
Defi_Noalvor 1 Monat

20% was a backdoor carry on every issuance

Profilbild von Dario Rivas
Dario Rivasvor 1 Monat

Dylan is a scammer

Profilbild von DYOR Terminal
DYOR Terminalvor 1 Monat

The freeze caps it going forward. It doesn't retire the 273m the pool already picked up.

Profilbild von Cryptocards.one
Cryptocards.onevor 1 Monat

273.5M is huge

Profilbild von Pacha prefers Peace #Bitcoin
Pacha prefers Peace #Bitcoinvor 1 Monat

You're right. The share count 'got away' on them. Next time take 20% off the top. Somehow you may originate fewer shares, though.....

Profilbild von SH
SHvor 1 Monat

Did Metaplanet really performed exceptionally well? Compare $MPJPY pink sheet vs bitcoin:native since "genesis". - bitcoin:native fell 8% - $MPJPY fell 41% That's 5 times bigger loss. Proof is in the chart below. Just look how poorly $MPJPY performed relative to bitcoin:native.

Profilbild von FRG
FRGvor 1 Monat

Oh men crypto is so fucked…

Profilbild von ₿itcoin Surfer
₿itcoin Surfervor 1 Monat

Love the breakdown

Profilbild von vøv △
vøv △vor 1 Monat

bro treasury playbooks need audits. dilution is wild

Profilbild von Praveen Deshmukh
Praveen Deshmukhvor 1 Monat

👏👏👏

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🔥METAPLANET = INSANE OPPORTUNITY🔥 I think everyone is SEVERELY underappreciating what Metaplanet is building out in Japan. If Metaplanet can borrow at 4.15% today and carry that debt until Bitcoin reaches $1 million, the economics for existing shareholders resemble selling common equity at more than TEN TIMES NAV. Yup. Imagine being able to issue equity to buy Bitcoin at a 10x mNAV. Let's break it down. The first BitBond issuance was tiny, roughly ¥200 million, or $1.3 million. The pipe behind it could eventually become enormous. Metaplanet can now issue ordinary yen-denominated bonds through its own securities subsidiary, pay investors around 4.15%, use the capital to buy Bitcoin, and roll the principal into new bonds every three years. The bondholders receive a fixed yield in yen. Metaplanet’s common shareholders capture everything Bitcoin earns above that cost of capital. Here’s how absurdly powerful the math gets. Metaplanet borrows $1 at 4.15% and buys $1 of Bitcoin. After 3 years, that $1 of debt has grown to approximately $1.13 if we assume the interest is financed and rolled. If Bitcoin doubles, the Bitcoin is worth $2. Pay the $1.13 obligation and common shareholders are left with $0.87 of incremental equity without issuing a single common share. Economically, that is equivalent to selling common equity at roughly 1.77× mNAV: $2.00 of Bitcoin ÷ $1.13 bond obligation = 1.77×. Starting with Bitcoin around $63,000: At $100,000 BTC, the bond behaves like equity issued at 1.41× mNAV. At $150,000 BTC, it behaves like equity issued at 2.11× mNAV. At $200,000 BTC, it behaves like equity issued at 2.81× mNAV. That matters enormously while Metaplanet’s common stock trades around or below NAV. Selling common shares down here would dilute existing shareholders. BitBonds allow the company to acquire more Bitcoin per share while waiting for the common-stock premium to return. Now extend this idea over the next decade. Assume Bitcoin rises from $63,000 to $1 million over 10 years. Every $1 of Bitcoin purchased today becomes $15.87. $1 borrowed at 4.15% and continuously rolled becomes approximately $1.50 owed. Common shareholders capture the remaining $14.37. The mNAV-equivalent financing multiple becomes: 15.87 ÷ 1.50 = 10.57× mNAV. Read that again. Yes. I'll repeat it for you. Metaplanet can borrow at 4.15% today and carry that debt until Bitcoin reaches $1 million, the economics for existing shareholders resemble selling common equity at more than TEN TIMES NAV. So I modeled a simple scenario. Metaplanet begins with 43,000 BTC at $63,000, giving it roughly $2.71 billion of Bitcoin. It then maintains 10% balance-sheet amplification all the way to $1 million Bitcoin. Gross BTC exposure stays at 1.10× common equity. New bonds are issued monthly at 4.15%, and every bond is rolled after three years. The opening issuance would be approximately $271 million, buying another 4,300 BTC immediately. As Bitcoin appreciates, the balance sheet creates additional borrowing capacity. Metaplanet keeps issuing enough to maintain the same conservative 10% amplification instead of allowing leverage to run wild. Average monthly issuance begins around $8 million during year one. Once the three-year rollover cycle starts, new issuance plus refinancings average approximately: $37 million per month in year 3 $72 million per month in year 6 $101 million per month in year 8 $192 million per month in year 10 Across the full decade, the company issues approximately $8.9 billion of gross bonds, including around $3.5 billion of refinanced maturities. Here is where Metaplanet ends when Bitcoin reaches $1 million (not a prediction, just a projection of these inputs): 59,727 BTC $59.73 billion of gross Bitcoin assets $5.43 billion of outstanding debt $54.30 billion of common NAV Without BitBonds, the original 43,000 BTC would simply be worth $43 billion. The bond strategy therefore creates approximately $11.30 billion of additional common equity. Same common shareholders. Same original 43,000 BTC starting point. Approximately 16,727 additional Bitcoin accumulated through controlled balance-sheet amplification. That produces 26.3% more NAV per share at $1 million Bitcoin without common-share dilution from the bond program. Of course, they still need buyers for the bonds. They must stagger maturities, maintain adequate liquidity, service the coupons and avoid building some psychotic refinancing wall during a Bitcoin bear market. The relevant hurdle is also BTC measured in yen, rather than dollars. But at 10% amplification, Bitcoin only needs to outperform a 4.15% yen cost of capital for the strategy to become accretive. Metaplanet owns 43,000 Bitcoin and now owns the securities platform capable of distributing its debt directly into Japan’s gigantic market for fixed-income savings. This is becoming much bigger than a Bitcoin treasury company. They are building a machine that converts Japanese demand for fixed yen yield into permanently increasing Bitcoin per common share. The bondholders get 4.15%. Metaplanet shareholders get everything Bitcoin does above it for the next decade. Short fiat. Long Bitcoin. This trade is OBSCENE:

Adam Livingston

29,566 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

When Adam’s stock price dropped by 92% he borrowed money to buy back $6 billion in stock. That bet made the company more than $60 billion: “If no one's going to buy our shares why don't we just start buying our own shares? The company at the bottom was worth $3.8 billion. And we were generating over a billion dollars of EBITDA. Well in theory we could buy back 20% of the shares of the company just in the next year if we really believed in the path we were on. So we kicked that off. But we did it a little bit differently than what most companies do. Most companies go out and say I'm going to buy shares from the public markets and just take shares back. But you don't know who's on the other side of that trade. On the other hand we knew that we had a cap table where about 50% of the shares were going to sell at some point over the coming years. We had private equity investors that owned roughly 50% of the shares of the company alongside some other founders that were no longer there. So instead of going to the public we went to the shareholders that we knew were going to sell and got them to agree to sell back to us over time. And so for the following 18 months we ended up deploying around $6 billion of buybacks using our own capital and we leveraged some to buy back shares in the company. And over time that ended up creating somewhere in the neighborhood of $50 to $60 billion of actual proceeds from the buyback. It was one of the most successful buybacks in the history of companies.”

David Senra

518,747 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

When Adam’s stock price dropped by 92% he borrowed money to buy back $6 billion in stock. That bet made the company more than $60 billion: “If no one's going to buy our shares why don't we just start buying our own shares? The company at the bottom was worth $3.8 billion. And we were generating over a billion dollars of EBITDA. Well in theory we could buy back 20% of the shares of the company just in the next year if we really believed in the path we were on. So we kicked that off. But we did it a little bit differently than what most companies do. Most companies go out and say I'm going to buy shares from the public markets and just take shares back. But you don't know who's on the other side of that trade. On the other hand we knew that we had a cap table where about 50% of the shares were going to sell at some point over the coming years. We had private equity investors that owned roughly 50% of the shares of the company alongside some other founders that were no longer there. So instead of going to the public we went to the shareholders that we knew were going to sell and got them to agree to sell back to us over time. And so for the following 18 months we ended up deploying around $6 billion of buybacks using our own capital and we leveraged some to buy back shares in the company. And over time that ended up creating somewhere in the neighborhood of $50 to $60 billion of actual proceeds from the buyback. It was one of the most successful buybacks in the history of companies.”

David Senra

154,426 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Strategy buys 334 $BTC, but the real story is $176M in STRC buybacks, funded partly by interest on its cash pile "The big story here is not that Saylor is once again buying Bitcoin, because we've now seen that sustained for a few weeks, as they bought 334 for $28.7 million, while also spending over, I believe, $176 million buying back STRC." "We've long discussed how complicated the Strategy Bitcoin buying and corporate balance sheet game has become, and that is in the spotlight every single week, because this is not just simply raise cash and buy Bitcoin anymore." "Now it is find creative ways to raise cash and maybe use that cash to buy some of our things while also selling some other things." "The Bitcoin purchase itself was funded from $15.7 million from issuing and selling MSTR shares, so a very, very slight bit of dilution, but that's the old model. Only $13 million came from Strategy's flexible USD cash pool." "What I said is more interesting is the $176.3 million of STRC that they bought. They funded this using $154.1 million of their USD cash pile and $22.2 million of interest earned on its dollar holdings." "They've raised billions and billions and billions of dollars in cash, much like a stablecoin, they could actually earn yield with high interest rates on that cash." "They're putting that cash to work to buy back STRC. This is the first time, to my knowledge, that we've seen that part of the machine kicking in, and it's not something that I'd heard anybody even mentioning."

The Wolf Of All Streets

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