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.Michael Nielsen made an incredibly interesting argument about why the tech tree is actually way larger than we realize, and how our descendants will get to explore very little of it.

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Dwarkesh Patel

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105,972 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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.Michael Nielsen provides another example of how the tech tree is far vaster than we realize, and how we won't really get to explore much of it at all, even over millions of years: Think about how many interesting biological technologies are downstream of the particular way in which life evolved here on Earth. It's like we're learning about an alien civilization's tech stack. There’s an interesting implication here for thinking about the far future. There could potentially be huge gains from trade between different civilisations, if each one has radically different kinds of technology from the others. Different civilizations might have strong incentives to cooperate and trade.
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.Michael Nielsen provides another example of how the tech tree is far vaster than we realize, and how we won't really get to explore much of it at all, even over millions of years: Think about how many interesting biological technologies are downstream of the particular way in which life evolved here on Earth. It's like we're learning about an alien civilization's tech stack. There’s an interesting implication here for thinking about the far future. There could potentially be huge gains from trade between different civilisations, if each one has radically different kinds of technology from the others. Different civilizations might have strong incentives to cooperate and trade.

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