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Microsoft CTO, Kevin Scott predicts: "within 5 years, 95% of code will be generated by AI" ...although the important aspect of "creation" in software engineering will remain with humans
86,640 views • 1 year ago •via X (Twitter)
9 Comments

In Dario Amodei’s view, AI could be generating 90% of code in just 3 to 6 months, and essentially all of the code within 12 months.

Meta AI researchers are fretting over the threat of Chinese AI, whose quality caught American firms, including OpenAI, by surprise.

PhD-level AI agents are bound to replace human software engineers—no doubt about it. But it'll probably take around 3 to 5 years for that to happen.

The most accurate comment so far

2 months ago 3 to 6 months were predicted.

AI is definitely changing the way we code.

Within 5 years? Thought it was by 2026.

100% and sooner. Humans are needed. AI and human cooperation will usher in a new harmony and era for humanity. •

This sounds correct. Developers have to make decisions in the absence of guidance from the business (which is typical). I could see developers taking on more formal product responsibilities, so soft skills become more important but so does an ability to manage complexity.

