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MIT FILMED A PROFESSOR WHOSE EXPLANATIONS ARE SO CLEAR AND INTUITIVE THAT THE MOST COMPLEX CALCULUS ON WALL STREET BECOMES OBVIOUS - AND IT PROVES WHY NEWTON'S VERSION GIVES THE WRONG ANSWER FOR EVERY OPTION PRICE This is an MIT lecture on Itô calculus, course 18.S096. The professor opens... with one equation that breaks classical calculus - dB squared equals dt. In normal calculus, dt squared vanishes when you take limits. But the quadratic variation of Brownian motion forces the second derivative term to survive. This one fact changes every formula in calculus. Then Itô's lemma. In classical calculus, if you apply a smooth function to a path, you only need the first derivative term. In Itô calculus you need an extra term - half the second derivative times dt. He derives it in 10 lines of Taylor expansion, showing exactly which terms survive and which vanish. The correction term is not a small adjustment. It is the difference between the right answer and the wrong one. Then geometric Brownian motion. The natural guess for modeling stock prices is to take the exponential of a Brownian motion. It fails - the Itô correction introduces an unwanted drift term that makes the expected value grow over time. The fix is to subtract exactly half of sigma squared from the exponent. This is the formula that runs every Black-Scholes calculation on earth. Then adapted processes and Itô integrals. In classical integration it doesn't matter which point in each interval you use to form Riemann sums - the limit is always the same. In Itô calculus left endpoints and right endpoints give different answers. Itô's choice of left endpoints is not arbitrary - it encodes the fundamental constraint that financial decisions must be made using only past information. Watch the moment he explains the Girsanov theorem - that a Brownian motion with drift and a Brownian motion without drift are equivalent probability measures. Two processes whose paths look completely different in the long run can be converted into each other by multiplication. This is how quants transform non-martingale stock price processes into martingales for pricing. A derivatives trader I know rewatched this lecture before his first day at a quantitative hedge fund. Said it was the first time Itô's lemma felt like a theorem with a reason rather than a formula to memorize. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare, Creative Commons license. bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every option price you see will feel like a solution to a stochastic differential equation waiting to be written downshow more

Zyphor

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47,157 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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No Fear T-Shirts Emporiumvor 1 Monat

Judge Ito sentenced OJ for murder.

Profilbild von Teofilo Colon Jr 💰 🇺🇲 📈 🚀

Teofilo Colon Jr 💰 🇺🇲 📈 🚀vor 1 Monat

😮

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Shiban Lal Panditavor 1 Monat

It's difficult to cancel Newton now Generations got brainwashed with F = m g^2 which is wrong.

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helixvor 1 Monat

This is pure gold. The way he derives Itô’s lemma in like 10 lines finally made it click for me.

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TTD 🇮🇩vor 1 Monat

Agreed

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A Japanese mathematician published a result in 1944 that nobody understood for twenty years. Today it runs inside every options desk on Wall Street. Goldman pays $400K to quants who can derive it from scratch and explain why classical calculus gives the wrong answer without it. His name is Choongbum Lee. MIT, 18.S096, Topics in Mathematics with Applications in Finance. The course that Wall Street watches. This is lecture 17. It derives Ito's Lemma from scratch. He opens with the problem nobody in classical calculus can solve. Then the foundation. Brownian motion is the limit of a random walk taken to infinity. Each trade pushes a price up or down by a tiny amount. A million trades a day. The limit of that process is Brownian motion. Einstein proved this for pollen particles in 1905. The finance world borrowed the math fifty years later. Then three properties that make no sense until you see them derived. Brownian motion crosses zero infinitely often. It never escapes to infinity. And it is nowhere differentiable - with probability one, every path is continuous but has no slope at any point. That last property is why classical calculus breaks completely. Then quadratic variation. For any smooth function, chop an interval into n pieces, square the increments, sum them - the result goes to zero. For Brownian motion it goes to T. The increments are too wild to vanish. That single fact is why Ito's Lemma has a second term that classical calculus does not. Watch the moment he derives it. Taylor expansion applied to a function of Brownian motion. The first term is what you expect. The second term appears precisely because the squared increment does not vanish. Without it, options pricing gives wrong answers. With it, you have Black-Scholes. A quant I know sends this lecture to junior analysts who cannot explain why their pricing model drifts. Says it fixes in ninety minutes what two years of finance courses left open. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare, 18.S096. bookmark this and watch later - the math behind every options desk on Wall Street fits on one blackboard, and this is the lecture that shows you why

A Japanese mathematician published a result in 1944 that nobody understood for twenty years. Today it runs inside every options desk on Wall Street. Goldman pays $400K to quants who can derive it from scratch and explain why classical calculus gives the wrong answer without it. His name is Choongbum Lee. MIT, 18.S096, Topics in Mathematics with Applications in Finance. The course that Wall Street watches. This is lecture 17. It derives Ito's Lemma from scratch. He opens with the problem nobody in classical calculus can solve. Then the foundation. Brownian motion is the limit of a random walk taken to infinity. Each trade pushes a price up or down by a tiny amount. A million trades a day. The limit of that process is Brownian motion. Einstein proved this for pollen particles in 1905. The finance world borrowed the math fifty years later. Then three properties that make no sense until you see them derived. Brownian motion crosses zero infinitely often. It never escapes to infinity. And it is nowhere differentiable - with probability one, every path is continuous but has no slope at any point. That last property is why classical calculus breaks completely. Then quadratic variation. For any smooth function, chop an interval into n pieces, square the increments, sum them - the result goes to zero. For Brownian motion it goes to T. The increments are too wild to vanish. That single fact is why Ito's Lemma has a second term that classical calculus does not. Watch the moment he derives it. Taylor expansion applied to a function of Brownian motion. The first term is what you expect. The second term appears precisely because the squared increment does not vanish. Without it, options pricing gives wrong answers. With it, you have Black-Scholes. A quant I know sends this lecture to junior analysts who cannot explain why their pricing model drifts. Says it fixes in ninety minutes what two years of finance courses left open. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare, 18.S096. bookmark this and watch later - the math behind every options desk on Wall Street fits on one blackboard, and this is the lecture that shows you why

Lupen

66,176 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Once you swallow the fact that Brownian motion is continuous everywhere and differentiable nowhere, Itô’s quadratic variation is the next quiet shock waiting for you: Ordinary smooth curves have zero quadratic variation...if you chop time into tiny pieces and add up (increment)² over the interval, that sum goes to zero as your partition gets finer. But for Brownian motion that same sum doesn’t vanish, it locks onto the length of the time interval.😲 So, you have this path with no velocity anywhere, but its squared wiggles accumulate in a completely rigid, deterministic way. Over time T, the total quadratic variation is exactly T. 🫡 That’s the trade the universe makes here...you lose the classical derivative, but you gain a new calculus where the “dB times dB” term behaves like dt, and suddenly integrals against Brownian motion make sense and you can do stochastic calculus. 📝 Brownian motion refuses to be smooth, but its roughness is so structured that when you look at it through the lens of quadratic variation, the randomness averages out and you’re left with a clean clock ticking underneath the noise. #BrownianMotion #ProbabilityTheory #StochasticCalculus #RandomWalks #Ito #QuadraticVariation

Once you swallow the fact that Brownian motion is continuous everywhere and differentiable nowhere, Itô’s quadratic variation is the next quiet shock waiting for you: Ordinary smooth curves have zero quadratic variation...if you chop time into tiny pieces and add up (increment)² over the interval, that sum goes to zero as your partition gets finer. But for Brownian motion that same sum doesn’t vanish, it locks onto the length of the time interval.😲 So, you have this path with no velocity anywhere, but its squared wiggles accumulate in a completely rigid, deterministic way. Over time T, the total quadratic variation is exactly T. 🫡 That’s the trade the universe makes here...you lose the classical derivative, but you gain a new calculus where the “dB times dB” term behaves like dt, and suddenly integrals against Brownian motion make sense and you can do stochastic calculus. 📝 Brownian motion refuses to be smooth, but its roughness is so structured that when you look at it through the lens of quadratic variation, the randomness averages out and you’re left with a clean clock ticking underneath the noise. #BrownianMotion #ProbabilityTheory #StochasticCalculus #RandomWalks #Ito #QuadraticVariation

Mathelirium

100,544 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

Once you’ve accepted that Brownian motion doesn’t have a classical dX/dt but does have this rigid quadratic variation, you’re ready for the first real Itô vs chain rule punch: take X_t = B_t and look at f(x) = x². In ordinary calculus you’d write d(B_t²) = 2 B_t dB_t and move on, because the only thing that survives is f′(x)·dx. Itô’s formula says that’s not enough for Brownian motion: the infinitely many tiny (dB_t)² terms don’t wash out, they add up to dt, so the correct identity is d(B_t²) = 2 B_t dB_t + dt (see insert formula). In the animation we fix one Brownian path, draw B_t² as the pale truth, then build the naive path that accumulates only the 2 B_t dB_t term and watch it drift away from B_t², while the corrected path that accumulates 2 B_t dB_t plus an extra linear drift t hugs B_t² almost perfectly. The whole point is visible on screen: the missing +t isn’t a technicality, it’s the deterministic shadow of quadratic variation correcting the chain rule so calculus survives contact with noise. #ItosFormula #BrownianMotion #StochasticCalculus #QuadraticVariation #RandomPaths #ProbabilityTheory

Once you’ve accepted that Brownian motion doesn’t have a classical dX/dt but does have this rigid quadratic variation, you’re ready for the first real Itô vs chain rule punch: take X_t = B_t and look at f(x) = x². In ordinary calculus you’d write d(B_t²) = 2 B_t dB_t and move on, because the only thing that survives is f′(x)·dx. Itô’s formula says that’s not enough for Brownian motion: the infinitely many tiny (dB_t)² terms don’t wash out, they add up to dt, so the correct identity is d(B_t²) = 2 B_t dB_t + dt (see insert formula). In the animation we fix one Brownian path, draw B_t² as the pale truth, then build the naive path that accumulates only the 2 B_t dB_t term and watch it drift away from B_t², while the corrected path that accumulates 2 B_t dB_t plus an extra linear drift t hugs B_t² almost perfectly. The whole point is visible on screen: the missing +t isn’t a technicality, it’s the deterministic shadow of quadratic variation correcting the chain rule so calculus survives contact with noise. #ItosFormula #BrownianMotion #StochasticCalculus #QuadraticVariation #RandomPaths #ProbabilityTheory

Mathelirium

31,380 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

This man teaches at a community college in California. His salary: around $800,000 a year. The engineers who passed calculus because of him: $1,800,000 to start. He has more calculus students than Harvard, MIT, and Stanford combined. This is Professor Leonard's Calculus 2, Lecture 6.2. Free on YouTube. Professor Leonard has taught calculus on YouTube for over a decade. His channel has millions of subscribers across 150 countries. Every major university has students who watch him the night before their exam. Then the concept. An inverse function is a machine that undoes another machine. If a function takes 2 and gives you 8, the inverse takes 8 and gives you back 2. Finding an inverse means switching every x and y in the equation and solving for y again. The graph flips across the line y = x like a mirror. Then the problem. Sometimes it is easy to find the inverse. Sometimes it is impossible to write it explicitly. A function like 3π sin x + sin x cannot be solved for x with algebra. You have to think. What angle makes the whole thing equal to 1? You work backwards through the unit circle until the answer appears. Then the shortcut. If you want the derivative of an inverse at a point, you do not need the inverse itself. You only need the derivative of the original function. The formula: the derivative of the inverse at a point equals 1 divided by the derivative of the original function evaluated at the switched point. The inverse flips the coordinates, so you flip where you plug in. Watch the moment he shows why G prime of 8 equals 1/12 without ever writing the inverse function. Every engineering student memorizes the derivative rules. Professor Leonard's lecture is the one that shows why the inverse derivative formula is just those same rules run backwards. A software engineer at a semiconductor company in Austin said Professor Leonard's channel is the reason she passed Calculus 2 on her second attempt. She graduated, joined the company, and now makes $165,000 a year. Bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every inverse problem on your exam will feel like a question you already answered.

This man teaches at a community college in California. His salary: around $800,000 a year. The engineers who passed calculus because of him: $1,800,000 to start. He has more calculus students than Harvard, MIT, and Stanford combined. This is Professor Leonard's Calculus 2, Lecture 6.2. Free on YouTube. Professor Leonard has taught calculus on YouTube for over a decade. His channel has millions of subscribers across 150 countries. Every major university has students who watch him the night before their exam. Then the concept. An inverse function is a machine that undoes another machine. If a function takes 2 and gives you 8, the inverse takes 8 and gives you back 2. Finding an inverse means switching every x and y in the equation and solving for y again. The graph flips across the line y = x like a mirror. Then the problem. Sometimes it is easy to find the inverse. Sometimes it is impossible to write it explicitly. A function like 3π sin x + sin x cannot be solved for x with algebra. You have to think. What angle makes the whole thing equal to 1? You work backwards through the unit circle until the answer appears. Then the shortcut. If you want the derivative of an inverse at a point, you do not need the inverse itself. You only need the derivative of the original function. The formula: the derivative of the inverse at a point equals 1 divided by the derivative of the original function evaluated at the switched point. The inverse flips the coordinates, so you flip where you plug in. Watch the moment he shows why G prime of 8 equals 1/12 without ever writing the inverse function. Every engineering student memorizes the derivative rules. Professor Leonard's lecture is the one that shows why the inverse derivative formula is just those same rules run backwards. A software engineer at a semiconductor company in Austin said Professor Leonard's channel is the reason she passed Calculus 2 on her second attempt. She graduated, joined the company, and now makes $165,000 a year. Bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every inverse problem on your exam will feel like a question you already answered.

Lupen

734,174 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

MIT filmed a mathematician proving the theorem behind every equation Maxwell ever wrote. Most engineers use it daily without understanding why any surface gives the same answer - and the ones who can explain it earn $350K at aerospace firms. Stokes' theorem is the reason Maxwell could write four equations instead of forty. Every result in electromagnetism, fluid mechanics, and differential geometry sits on top of it. Understanding it changes how you see every circulation and flux problem in physics. This is Denis Auroux. MIT, 18.02, Multivariable Calculus, Fall 2007. Lecture 31. It covers Stokes' theorem - the result that unifies line integrals, surface integrals, and curl into one statement. He opens with one confession. Then the statement. The work done by a vector field along any closed curve equals the flux of its curl through any surface bounded by that curve. Not a specific surface. Any surface you want. You pick whichever one makes the calculation easier. Then Green's theorem disappears. The result from the plane that converts line integrals to double integrals turns out to be Stokes' theorem in disguise. Same formula, restricted to a flat surface in the xy-plane. What looked like two separate theorems is one. Then orientation. Walk along the curve with the surface to your left and the normal vector points up. This rule is not chosen for elegance. It is the price of having a consistent coordinate system in three dimensions. Then the proof. Cut your surface into tiny flat tiles. Apply Green's theorem to each one. Sum everything up. All interior boundary edges cancel. Only the outer edge survives. The sum of tiny Green's theorems gives you Stokes' theorem for any surface. Watch the moment he computes the same line integral two ways. First directly - answer is pi. Then through a paraboloid instead of the obvious flat disk. Longer calculation, stranger setup, same answer. The theorem is not an abstraction. You can watch it work. A fluid dynamics engineer I know kept this lecture open during their first week modeling atmospheric circulation. Said it was the first time Stokes felt like a tool rather than a formula to verify on exams. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare, 18.02. bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every circulation, every flux, and every curl you encounter will feel like three views of the same object

MIT filmed a mathematician proving the theorem behind every equation Maxwell ever wrote. Most engineers use it daily without understanding why any surface gives the same answer - and the ones who can explain it earn $350K at aerospace firms. Stokes' theorem is the reason Maxwell could write four equations instead of forty. Every result in electromagnetism, fluid mechanics, and differential geometry sits on top of it. Understanding it changes how you see every circulation and flux problem in physics. This is Denis Auroux. MIT, 18.02, Multivariable Calculus, Fall 2007. Lecture 31. It covers Stokes' theorem - the result that unifies line integrals, surface integrals, and curl into one statement. He opens with one confession. Then the statement. The work done by a vector field along any closed curve equals the flux of its curl through any surface bounded by that curve. Not a specific surface. Any surface you want. You pick whichever one makes the calculation easier. Then Green's theorem disappears. The result from the plane that converts line integrals to double integrals turns out to be Stokes' theorem in disguise. Same formula, restricted to a flat surface in the xy-plane. What looked like two separate theorems is one. Then orientation. Walk along the curve with the surface to your left and the normal vector points up. This rule is not chosen for elegance. It is the price of having a consistent coordinate system in three dimensions. Then the proof. Cut your surface into tiny flat tiles. Apply Green's theorem to each one. Sum everything up. All interior boundary edges cancel. Only the outer edge survives. The sum of tiny Green's theorems gives you Stokes' theorem for any surface. Watch the moment he computes the same line integral two ways. First directly - answer is pi. Then through a paraboloid instead of the obvious flat disk. Longer calculation, stranger setup, same answer. The theorem is not an abstraction. You can watch it work. A fluid dynamics engineer I know kept this lecture open during their first week modeling atmospheric circulation. Said it was the first time Stokes felt like a tool rather than a formula to verify on exams. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare, 18.02. bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every circulation, every flux, and every curl you encounter will feel like three views of the same object

Zyphor

11,286 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

An MIT professor explained the one idea funds pay $500K for, and he does it in the first hour of freshman calculus. MIT put the whole lecture online. it has been free for twenty years. almost nobody finishes it. his point: calculus is not a hundred formulas to memorize. it is one idea. take two points on a curve, slide them together until the gap vanishes, and the slope you are left with is the derivative. everything else is just consequences. he is David Jerison, and his 18.01 lectures have taught more people calculus than any room on earth. skip to the board, where the power rule, the product rule, the chain rule, the fifty things you were forced to memorize, all fall out of that one limit. no formula sheet. no tricks. one definition, reused. that same slope is velocity. it is marginal cost. it is the gradient that trains a neural network. one operation, hiding everywhere something moves. the math is free. what nobody can sell you is the patience to understand the one limit instead of cramming the fifty formulas that fall out of it. that hour is the foundation, and it is the only part that ever pays.

An MIT professor explained the one idea funds pay $500K for, and he does it in the first hour of freshman calculus. MIT put the whole lecture online. it has been free for twenty years. almost nobody finishes it. his point: calculus is not a hundred formulas to memorize. it is one idea. take two points on a curve, slide them together until the gap vanishes, and the slope you are left with is the derivative. everything else is just consequences. he is David Jerison, and his 18.01 lectures have taught more people calculus than any room on earth. skip to the board, where the power rule, the product rule, the chain rule, the fifty things you were forced to memorize, all fall out of that one limit. no formula sheet. no tricks. one definition, reused. that same slope is velocity. it is marginal cost. it is the gradient that trains a neural network. one operation, hiding everywhere something moves. the math is free. what nobody can sell you is the patience to understand the one limit instead of cramming the fifty formulas that fall out of it. that hour is the foundation, and it is the only part that ever pays.

Loran

1,078,694 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

MIT filmed the single hour that makes all of calculus one subject instead of two. Free, uncut, chalk only. Almost nobody watches it. This is 18.01, Single Variable Calculus, lecture 19, taught by David Jerison. The First Fundamental Theorem of Calculus. Slopes and areas were separate problems for centuries. Different tools, different people, different questions. This lecture shows they were the same thing pointed in opposite directions. Every gradient computed in every training run rides on that connection. Most engineers use it daily and have never seen the proof that makes it legal. Watch the board work in the middle. He builds the link line by line, real students in the room, no software, no animation. A machine learning engineer I know rewatched it before an interview and said the chain from loss to update finally read as 1 object instead of 3 tricks. Full course free on YouTube under Creative Commons. You've been using the theorem. You've never seen it earned.

MIT filmed the single hour that makes all of calculus one subject instead of two. Free, uncut, chalk only. Almost nobody watches it. This is 18.01, Single Variable Calculus, lecture 19, taught by David Jerison. The First Fundamental Theorem of Calculus. Slopes and areas were separate problems for centuries. Different tools, different people, different questions. This lecture shows they were the same thing pointed in opposite directions. Every gradient computed in every training run rides on that connection. Most engineers use it daily and have never seen the proof that makes it legal. Watch the board work in the middle. He builds the link line by line, real students in the room, no software, no animation. A machine learning engineer I know rewatched it before an interview and said the chain from loss to update finally read as 1 object instead of 3 tricks. Full course free on YouTube under Creative Commons. You've been using the theorem. You've never seen it earned.

obssnnn

124,305 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

An MIT professor solved the equation Wall Street pays $500K for, in a lecture about how to find the top of a hill. MIT put the whole thing online. it has been free for years. almost nobody finishes it. his point: finding the best possible answer to almost anything is one move. write down what you want to grow, take the derivative, and find the exact spot where it stops climbing. that spot is the answer. he is Denis Auroux, and his 18.02 lectures have taught more people calculus than most universities have students. now the equation from the post above, the one that tells you exactly how much to bet. it is not a secret formula. it is this. the growth of your money is a curve. bet too little and you are low on the hill. bet too much and you have gone over the top and started falling. Kelly's number is just the peak. no magic. no fund. one hill, and the single point where it stops going up. a quant I know rewatches this exact lecture before he sizes a single position. you were handed the formula and told to trust it. Auroux shows you where it actually comes from, for free, and it has been sitting there the whole time.

An MIT professor solved the equation Wall Street pays $500K for, in a lecture about how to find the top of a hill. MIT put the whole thing online. it has been free for years. almost nobody finishes it. his point: finding the best possible answer to almost anything is one move. write down what you want to grow, take the derivative, and find the exact spot where it stops climbing. that spot is the answer. he is Denis Auroux, and his 18.02 lectures have taught more people calculus than most universities have students. now the equation from the post above, the one that tells you exactly how much to bet. it is not a secret formula. it is this. the growth of your money is a curve. bet too little and you are low on the hill. bet too much and you have gone over the top and started falling. Kelly's number is just the peak. no magic. no fund. one hill, and the single point where it stops going up. a quant I know rewatches this exact lecture before he sizes a single position. you were handed the formula and told to trust it. Auroux shows you where it actually comes from, for free, and it has been sitting there the whole time.

Loran

95,598 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The Fourier transform runs inside every MRI machine, every audio compressor, every signal processor on earth. JPMorgan pays $350K to engineers who can derive it from scratch. There is one professor alive who explains it the way nobody else can. His name is Gilbert Strang. MIT. The most brilliant mathematical mind of his generation. His textbook sits in over 10 million homes. No other person on earth holds this combination of depth and clarity in one head. He opens with one confession. The Fourier transform is unreasonably effective. It solves problems it was never designed for. The goal is not to compute it. The goal is to understand why it works at all. Then the core idea. A periodic signal breaks into pure sine waves. Each with a frequency, amplitude, and phase. The transform finds all three simultaneously. A complicated signal in time becomes a simple picture in frequency. Then 1807. Fourier invented the transform not for sound but for heat. How does warmth spread through a metal rod? In time the equation is a partial differential equation - hard. In frequency space it becomes ordinary - easy. Transform in, solve it, transform back. Then convolution. Convolution in time equals multiplication in frequency. Filtering a signal, removing noise, compressing audio - all multiplication in frequency space. Without the transform: thousands of computations. With it: a few multiplications. Then the delta function. Zero everywhere except one point where it is infinite. Integral equals one. Every mathematician in 1900 said it was not a function. Dirac used it anyway. It took 40 years to justify what engineers had been doing the whole time. Watch the moment Strang shows that the Fourier transform of a delta function is a constant - every frequency in equal measure. The more concentrated in time, the more spread in frequency. This is the uncertainty principle. Not quantum physics. A theorem about any signal at all. A signal processing engineer I know rewatched this before their first project at Apple. Said it was the first time the Fourier transform felt like a change of coordinates rather than a formula to memorize. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare. bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every sound, every image, and every signal will feel like a sum of sine waves waiting to be separated

The Fourier transform runs inside every MRI machine, every audio compressor, every signal processor on earth. JPMorgan pays $350K to engineers who can derive it from scratch. There is one professor alive who explains it the way nobody else can. His name is Gilbert Strang. MIT. The most brilliant mathematical mind of his generation. His textbook sits in over 10 million homes. No other person on earth holds this combination of depth and clarity in one head. He opens with one confession. The Fourier transform is unreasonably effective. It solves problems it was never designed for. The goal is not to compute it. The goal is to understand why it works at all. Then the core idea. A periodic signal breaks into pure sine waves. Each with a frequency, amplitude, and phase. The transform finds all three simultaneously. A complicated signal in time becomes a simple picture in frequency. Then 1807. Fourier invented the transform not for sound but for heat. How does warmth spread through a metal rod? In time the equation is a partial differential equation - hard. In frequency space it becomes ordinary - easy. Transform in, solve it, transform back. Then convolution. Convolution in time equals multiplication in frequency. Filtering a signal, removing noise, compressing audio - all multiplication in frequency space. Without the transform: thousands of computations. With it: a few multiplications. Then the delta function. Zero everywhere except one point where it is infinite. Integral equals one. Every mathematician in 1900 said it was not a function. Dirac used it anyway. It took 40 years to justify what engineers had been doing the whole time. Watch the moment Strang shows that the Fourier transform of a delta function is a constant - every frequency in equal measure. The more concentrated in time, the more spread in frequency. This is the uncertainty principle. Not quantum physics. A theorem about any signal at all. A signal processing engineer I know rewatched this before their first project at Apple. Said it was the first time the Fourier transform felt like a change of coordinates rather than a formula to memorize. Free on YouTube, MIT OpenCourseWare. bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every sound, every image, and every signal will feel like a sum of sine waves waiting to be separated

Zyphor

123,256 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Chamath: Fraud at this scale will end the American Empire if nothing is done “It is a crucible moment for American society.” “If nothing happens and we deem this kind of theft acceptable, it is the beginning of the end of the American Empire.” “It's just a level of disrespect and lack of care for this country.” “I will be waiting and observing how important it is to root this out, that's number one.” “The second, which is more tactical political calculus, this is an enormous opportunity for the Republican Party if they take this and run with this.” “Is there waste, fraud and abuse in every state? Absolutely. I don't think this is endemically a Democratic problem, but the scale of it is so gargantuan in these Democratic states that if the Republicans don't take advantage of it, I think it is a huge political miscalculation.” “So there is this tactical opportunity, which I think if you want to have a chance in the midterms and if you generally wanna have a chance to level-set the country, you must take this and run with it.” “And then separately, if as Friedberg says, it does die on the vine, it is the beginning of the end of the American Empire, unfortunately.”

Chamath: Fraud at this scale will end the American Empire if nothing is done “It is a crucible moment for American society.” “If nothing happens and we deem this kind of theft acceptable, it is the beginning of the end of the American Empire.” “It's just a level of disrespect and lack of care for this country.” “I will be waiting and observing how important it is to root this out, that's number one.” “The second, which is more tactical political calculus, this is an enormous opportunity for the Republican Party if they take this and run with this.” “Is there waste, fraud and abuse in every state? Absolutely. I don't think this is endemically a Democratic problem, but the scale of it is so gargantuan in these Democratic states that if the Republicans don't take advantage of it, I think it is a huge political miscalculation.” “So there is this tactical opportunity, which I think if you want to have a chance in the midterms and if you generally wanna have a chance to level-set the country, you must take this and run with it.” “And then separately, if as Friedberg says, it does die on the vine, it is the beginning of the end of the American Empire, unfortunately.”

The All-In Podcast

10,556,517 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Brownian Motion Has a Hidden Speed Limit Once you’ve come to terms with Brownian motion having no derivative, acquiring a deterministic Quadratic Variation, and crossing zero infinitely often in every neighbourhood, the next surprise is the Law of The Iterated Logarithm. A Brownian path may look completely unconstrained, but its largest excursions obey an astonishingly sharp envelope. The right scale is not merely √t, but √[2t log log t], and that strange log log t term is exactly what sets the true boundary for how far Bₜ can wander. The theorem says that, almost surely, the path comes arbitrarily close to the upper and lower curves ±√[2t log log t] infinitely many times, yet does not genuinely live beyond them. Choose a smaller multiple and Bₜ will break through your barrier infinitely often. Choose a larger one and, beyond some point, it almost never reaches it again. #BrownianMotion #LawOfTheIteratedLogarithm #StochasticProcesses #RandomPaths #ProbabilityTheory #FractalBehaviour

Brownian Motion Has a Hidden Speed Limit Once you’ve come to terms with Brownian motion having no derivative, acquiring a deterministic Quadratic Variation, and crossing zero infinitely often in every neighbourhood, the next surprise is the Law of The Iterated Logarithm. A Brownian path may look completely unconstrained, but its largest excursions obey an astonishingly sharp envelope. The right scale is not merely √t, but √[2t log log t], and that strange log log t term is exactly what sets the true boundary for how far Bₜ can wander. The theorem says that, almost surely, the path comes arbitrarily close to the upper and lower curves ±√[2t log log t] infinitely many times, yet does not genuinely live beyond them. Choose a smaller multiple and Bₜ will break through your barrier infinitely often. Choose a larger one and, beyond some point, it almost never reaches it again. #BrownianMotion #LawOfTheIteratedLogarithm #StochasticProcesses #RandomPaths #ProbabilityTheory #FractalBehaviour

Mathelirium

29,105 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Gilbert Strang taught linear algebra at MIT for fifty years. His last lecture is on YouTube. It has fewer views than his worst lecture. Nobody told students it was the last one. He just walked in, said "the final class in linear algebra at MIT," and started reviewing old exams. Google built a $2,000,000,000,000 company on one concept from this course. He is 88 years old. He still answers emails. This is MIT 18.06. Linear Algebra. The most watched mathematics course in history. Then the Markov matrix. Strang writes a transition matrix on the board. Three states. People moving between them every step. After enough steps - the system locks into a steady state that never changes. That steady state is an eigenvector. Google's PageRank works the same way. Websites are states. Clicks are transitions. The importance of every page on the internet is one eigenvector of one enormous matrix. Then least squares. Three data points. No line passes through all three. So you find the line that minimizes total error. That is how every AI model on earth is trained - including the ones running inside Goldman Sachs trading desks. Then the projection. The closest point on a plane to a vector outside it. Strang draws it in 30 seconds. That same operation is how Netflix decides what to recommend to 280,000,000 subscribers. Watch the moment he gives back the final exam answer and asks students to work backwards to the question - the room solves it in silence faster than any other lecture all semester. A software engineer told me 18.06 was the course that got her from $90,000 to $200,000 in two years. Same company. Different title. Bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every dataset you touch will feel like a geometry problem waiting to be solved. MIT 18.06 Lecture 34 | Linear Algebra Final Review | Gilbert Strang

Gilbert Strang taught linear algebra at MIT for fifty years. His last lecture is on YouTube. It has fewer views than his worst lecture. Nobody told students it was the last one. He just walked in, said "the final class in linear algebra at MIT," and started reviewing old exams. Google built a $2,000,000,000,000 company on one concept from this course. He is 88 years old. He still answers emails. This is MIT 18.06. Linear Algebra. The most watched mathematics course in history. Then the Markov matrix. Strang writes a transition matrix on the board. Three states. People moving between them every step. After enough steps - the system locks into a steady state that never changes. That steady state is an eigenvector. Google's PageRank works the same way. Websites are states. Clicks are transitions. The importance of every page on the internet is one eigenvector of one enormous matrix. Then least squares. Three data points. No line passes through all three. So you find the line that minimizes total error. That is how every AI model on earth is trained - including the ones running inside Goldman Sachs trading desks. Then the projection. The closest point on a plane to a vector outside it. Strang draws it in 30 seconds. That same operation is how Netflix decides what to recommend to 280,000,000 subscribers. Watch the moment he gives back the final exam answer and asks students to work backwards to the question - the room solves it in silence faster than any other lecture all semester. A software engineer told me 18.06 was the course that got her from $90,000 to $200,000 in two years. Same company. Different title. Bookmark this and watch later - after this lecture every dataset you touch will feel like a geometry problem waiting to be solved. MIT 18.06 Lecture 34 | Linear Algebra Final Review | Gilbert Strang

Zyphor

56,603 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen

Millions have watched an MIT professor accidentally destroy the American sports betting industry in a free 12-lecture undergraduate poker course. MIT charges $85,000 a year to sit in that classroom. He posted every lecture on OpenCourseWare for nothing. Almost no one who has ever placed a DraftKings same-game parlay has finished all twelve. His name is Kevin Desmond. He is an MIT alum, a professional poker player, and the instructor of 15.S50 Poker Theory and Analytics, which MIT gave undergraduates college credit for taking during January of 2015. The 43-minute clip in this video is one lecture from that course, filmed at MIT that same month. The chart on the screen behind him looks like a poker graph. It is the exact math that decides whether a Wall Street quant clears $500,000 a year, whether a FanDuel bettor loses their rent money on a Sunday afternoon, and whether a Silicon Valley founder can walk into a term sheet negotiation without being taken apart in the room. Desmond compresses the mathematical foundation of every adversarial decision on earth into five ideas. Ranges. You never know your opponent's exact hand. You know a distribution of hands weighted by probability. Every FanDuel bettor picking a parlay on a hunch is playing without a range. Every retail trader guessing a competitor's next move is guessing blind. Pot odds. The equation that tells you when a call has positive expected value. Every VC term sheet and every insurance premium reduces to it. Every same-game parlay on DraftKings violates it in ways the app is legally allowed to hide from you. Expected value. Sum every outcome weighted by probability. Casinos are built on it. Poker pros live on it. Sports bettors violate it every time they chase a loss hoping for a hot Sunday. Game theory optimal. The Nash equilibrium of poker. The strategy no opponent can exploit no matter how well they read you. Quant funds pay $500,000 bonuses for one senior who can solve for it under pressure. Exploitative play. When to deviate from GTO to punish a specific mistake. What every senior desk on Wall Street does against retail order flow, every trading session, every day. Every quant fund on Wall Street runs a hiring pipeline that starts with this material. Every prop trading desk drills it into juniors before their first live session. The MIT professor who filmed the whole course posted it on OpenCourseWare for the price of an internet connection. "Every time you play a hand differently from the way you would have played it if you could see all your opponent's cards, they gain." That is David Sklansky's Fundamental Theorem of Poker. Desmond opens the course with it. It is also the exact statement of information asymmetry that every trading floor, casino, and DraftKings promo card on earth is built to exploit. The lectures are free on MIT OpenCourseWare. The problem sets are online. Every equation Desmond derives fits on one page. The math is free. The willingness to spend 43 minutes on one lecture before opening a sportsbook app, placing a parlay, or entering a negotiation is a much rarer commodity than the confidence to walk in without it.

Millions have watched an MIT professor accidentally destroy the American sports betting industry in a free 12-lecture undergraduate poker course. MIT charges $85,000 a year to sit in that classroom. He posted every lecture on OpenCourseWare for nothing. Almost no one who has ever placed a DraftKings same-game parlay has finished all twelve. His name is Kevin Desmond. He is an MIT alum, a professional poker player, and the instructor of 15.S50 Poker Theory and Analytics, which MIT gave undergraduates college credit for taking during January of 2015. The 43-minute clip in this video is one lecture from that course, filmed at MIT that same month. The chart on the screen behind him looks like a poker graph. It is the exact math that decides whether a Wall Street quant clears $500,000 a year, whether a FanDuel bettor loses their rent money on a Sunday afternoon, and whether a Silicon Valley founder can walk into a term sheet negotiation without being taken apart in the room. Desmond compresses the mathematical foundation of every adversarial decision on earth into five ideas. Ranges. You never know your opponent's exact hand. You know a distribution of hands weighted by probability. Every FanDuel bettor picking a parlay on a hunch is playing without a range. Every retail trader guessing a competitor's next move is guessing blind. Pot odds. The equation that tells you when a call has positive expected value. Every VC term sheet and every insurance premium reduces to it. Every same-game parlay on DraftKings violates it in ways the app is legally allowed to hide from you. Expected value. Sum every outcome weighted by probability. Casinos are built on it. Poker pros live on it. Sports bettors violate it every time they chase a loss hoping for a hot Sunday. Game theory optimal. The Nash equilibrium of poker. The strategy no opponent can exploit no matter how well they read you. Quant funds pay $500,000 bonuses for one senior who can solve for it under pressure. Exploitative play. When to deviate from GTO to punish a specific mistake. What every senior desk on Wall Street does against retail order flow, every trading session, every day. Every quant fund on Wall Street runs a hiring pipeline that starts with this material. Every prop trading desk drills it into juniors before their first live session. The MIT professor who filmed the whole course posted it on OpenCourseWare for the price of an internet connection. "Every time you play a hand differently from the way you would have played it if you could see all your opponent's cards, they gain." That is David Sklansky's Fundamental Theorem of Poker. Desmond opens the course with it. It is also the exact statement of information asymmetry that every trading floor, casino, and DraftKings promo card on earth is built to exploit. The lectures are free on MIT OpenCourseWare. The problem sets are online. Every equation Desmond derives fits on one page. The math is free. The willingness to spend 43 minutes on one lecture before opening a sportsbook app, placing a parlay, or entering a negotiation is a much rarer commodity than the confidence to walk in without it.

Lumen

58,397 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The Curve That Forced Mathematicians To Invent A New Calculus There is a strange curve called Brownian path. It traces a continuous path without ever jumping, but it never settles into a well-defined direction at any point, so it’s continuous everywhere but differentiable nowhere. We’re used to the idea that if something is continuous, then if you zoom in far enough it should start to look like a straight line. A Brownian path refuses. Zoom in and you don’t reveal a hidden tangent. You reveal fresh roughness. This animation is a microscope on that fact. No matter how much we magnify, the path won’t straighten out. It keeps wrinkling at every scale. #BrownianMotion #StochasticProcesses #RandomWalks #ProbabilityTheory #Fractals #MathAnimation

The Curve That Forced Mathematicians To Invent A New Calculus There is a strange curve called Brownian path. It traces a continuous path without ever jumping, but it never settles into a well-defined direction at any point, so it’s continuous everywhere but differentiable nowhere. We’re used to the idea that if something is continuous, then if you zoom in far enough it should start to look like a straight line. A Brownian path refuses. Zoom in and you don’t reveal a hidden tangent. You reveal fresh roughness. This animation is a microscope on that fact. No matter how much we magnify, the path won’t straighten out. It keeps wrinkling at every scale. #BrownianMotion #StochasticProcesses #RandomWalks #ProbabilityTheory #Fractals #MathAnimation

Mathelirium

31,688 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

$Today we introduce Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). I find that the best way to introduce these complex concepts is to look at an application. This is part I of the lecture🙂 We look at the theory behind electromagnetic scattering/radar clutter which leads to anomaly detection on scattering statistics. When a narrowband wave scatters off a messy cloud of particles, the complex field at your receiver is a random phasor sum...at time t you can write the electric field as E_N(t) = Σⱼ₌₁ᴺ e^{iθⱼ(t)}, each term a unit arrow in the complex plane from scatterer j. This is exactly where the magic of Brownian motion appears naturally and in the most reasonable way. Think of all the microscopic chaos...tiny motions, index fluctuations, path jitters, Doppler shifts that shows up as small random kicks to the phases θⱼ(t) over very short times. If you just made θⱼ(t) random in an ad-hoc way (say, resampling independent angles at each time), the field would jump around unrealistically with no temporal structure. Brownian motion is what you get when you let each phase take the continuous-time limit of many tiny, independent kicks...it’s continuous in t, it has the right cumulative variance growth, and it remembers just enough of its past to look physical. So we model each phase as a Brownian walk, θⱼ(t) = θⱼ⁰ + σ_θ Bⱼ(t), with independent Brownian motions Bⱼ(t) and a phase-diffusion rate σ_θ. Brownian motion here isn’t window dressing...it’s the clean way to compress all the small random stuff into a single process that actually matches how the phases wander in time. #StochasticProcesses #BrownianMotion #ItoCalculus #RadarClutter #RayleighScattering #SignalProcessing$

Today we introduce Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). I find that the best way to introduce these complex concepts is to look at an application. This is part I of the lecture🙂 We look at the theory behind electromagnetic scattering/radar clutter which leads to anomaly detection on scattering statistics. When a narrowband wave scatters off a messy cloud of particles, the complex field at your receiver is a random phasor sum...at time t you can write the electric field as E_N(t) = Σⱼ₌₁ᴺ e^{iθⱼ(t)}, each term a unit arrow in the complex plane from scatterer j. This is exactly where the magic of Brownian motion appears naturally and in the most reasonable way. Think of all the microscopic chaos...tiny motions, index fluctuations, path jitters, Doppler shifts that shows up as small random kicks to the phases θⱼ(t) over very short times. If you just made θⱼ(t) random in an ad-hoc way (say, resampling independent angles at each time), the field would jump around unrealistically with no temporal structure. Brownian motion is what you get when you let each phase take the continuous-time limit of many tiny, independent kicks...it’s continuous in t, it has the right cumulative variance growth, and it remembers just enough of its past to look physical. So we model each phase as a Brownian walk, θⱼ(t) = θⱼ⁰ + σ_θ Bⱼ(t), with independent Brownian motions Bⱼ(t) and a phase-diffusion rate σ_θ. Brownian motion here isn’t window dressing...it’s the clean way to compress all the small random stuff into a single process that actually matches how the phases wander in time. #StochasticProcesses #BrownianMotion #ItoCalculus #RadarClutter #RayleighScattering #SignalProcessing

Mathelirium

55,319 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

$In 2008 a Stanford professor stood at a podium and proved, for free, that information and money grow by the exact same equation. it was filmed. it has been free for 18 years. 7,000 people watched it. Thomas Cover died four years later and took the fame with him. his life's work: Shannon's information theory and Kelly's betting formula are one thing. how much to bet is just how much you know. every quant sizing a trade in 2026 is standing on Cover, whether they know the name or not. he wrote the book every information theorist trains on. the lecture that ties it all to money sits on YouTube with fewer views than a cat clip. skip to where he turns a horse race into a stock market. same math. a bit of information, a fraction of your bankroll, one growth rate. no fund. no signal. one professor and one equation. a quant I know says this hour is the missing chapter behind every book on position sizing he owns. you are 18 years late. it is still free.$

In 2008 a Stanford professor stood at a podium and proved, for free, that information and money grow by the exact same equation. it was filmed. it has been free for 18 years. 7,000 people watched it. Thomas Cover died four years later and took the fame with him. his life's work: Shannon's information theory and Kelly's betting formula are one thing. how much to bet is just how much you know. every quant sizing a trade in 2026 is standing on Cover, whether they know the name or not. he wrote the book every information theorist trains on. the lecture that ties it all to money sits on YouTube with fewer views than a cat clip. skip to where he turns a horse race into a stock market. same math. a bit of information, a fraction of your bankroll, one growth rate. no fund. no signal. one professor and one equation. a quant I know says this hour is the missing chapter behind every book on position sizing he owns. you are 18 years late. it is still free.

Loran

33,982 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

An MIT mathematician spent the last decade building one equation that assigns every chart pattern on Wall Street a precise probability of having been drawn by pure random noise. She filmed the entire framework in a 110-minute lecture and put it on YouTube for nothing. Millions of traders draw trendlines every day. Almost none have watched it. Her name is Yilin Wang. She is a mathematician at MIT, previously at ETH Zurich, and winner of the 2023 Salem Prize, the highest recognition for a young mathematician working in analysis. The 110-minute video in this post is one of her seminars on Schramm-Loewner Evolution and Loewner energy, filmed at a chalkboard in a small university lecture hall. MIT charges $85,000 a year to sit in a room like that. She posted the entire talk to YouTube for free. Wang covers the mathematical foundation of "how random is this pattern" in one afternoon. Schramm-Loewner Evolution. A family of random curves that turned out to be the scaling limit of almost every 2D random system physicists ever studied: percolation, the Ising model, self-avoiding walks. Driving function. Every SLE curve is encoded by one 1D signal, a Brownian motion that steers it. Extract that signal from a price chart and you can measure exactly how far the chart is from pure noise. Loewner energy. The number Wang built her career on. It assigns to every smooth curve on the plane a single real value between zero and infinity. A perfect circle gets zero. Every other shape costs energy. Large deviation principle. The probability that a random SLE curve looks approximately like a given shape decays like exp of minus its Loewner energy divided by kappa. Low energy shapes are almost indistinguishable from noise. High energy shapes noise would essentially never draw. Every quant fund on Wall Street pays PhD statisticians $500,000 a year to formalize exactly this question: is the pattern on the screen a signal, or is it something pure randomness would have drawn anyway. Wang wrote the closed-form answer at a chalkboard, in one lecture, for nothing. "The most surprising fact about a random curve is not how random it looks. It is how much of what humans call a pattern is exactly what pure randomness would have drawn." That is a paraphrase of the framing she returns to across the seminar. The lecture is free on YouTube. The paper introducing Loewner energy is free on arXiv. The full framework fits in under forty pages. The formula is free. The willingness to measure the energy of a chart before betting a mortgage on the pattern is a much rarer commodity than the confidence to draw the trendline without it.

An MIT mathematician spent the last decade building one equation that assigns every chart pattern on Wall Street a precise probability of having been drawn by pure random noise. She filmed the entire framework in a 110-minute lecture and put it on YouTube for nothing. Millions of traders draw trendlines every day. Almost none have watched it. Her name is Yilin Wang. She is a mathematician at MIT, previously at ETH Zurich, and winner of the 2023 Salem Prize, the highest recognition for a young mathematician working in analysis. The 110-minute video in this post is one of her seminars on Schramm-Loewner Evolution and Loewner energy, filmed at a chalkboard in a small university lecture hall. MIT charges $85,000 a year to sit in a room like that. She posted the entire talk to YouTube for free. Wang covers the mathematical foundation of "how random is this pattern" in one afternoon. Schramm-Loewner Evolution. A family of random curves that turned out to be the scaling limit of almost every 2D random system physicists ever studied: percolation, the Ising model, self-avoiding walks. Driving function. Every SLE curve is encoded by one 1D signal, a Brownian motion that steers it. Extract that signal from a price chart and you can measure exactly how far the chart is from pure noise. Loewner energy. The number Wang built her career on. It assigns to every smooth curve on the plane a single real value between zero and infinity. A perfect circle gets zero. Every other shape costs energy. Large deviation principle. The probability that a random SLE curve looks approximately like a given shape decays like exp of minus its Loewner energy divided by kappa. Low energy shapes are almost indistinguishable from noise. High energy shapes noise would essentially never draw. Every quant fund on Wall Street pays PhD statisticians $500,000 a year to formalize exactly this question: is the pattern on the screen a signal, or is it something pure randomness would have drawn anyway. Wang wrote the closed-form answer at a chalkboard, in one lecture, for nothing. "The most surprising fact about a random curve is not how random it looks. It is how much of what humans call a pattern is exactly what pure randomness would have drawn." That is a paraphrase of the framing she returns to across the seminar. The lecture is free on YouTube. The paper introducing Loewner energy is free on arXiv. The full framework fits in under forty pages. The formula is free. The willingness to measure the energy of a chart before betting a mortgage on the pattern is a much rarer commodity than the confidence to draw the trendline without it.

Lumen

11,992 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

Every option trader believes he is forecasting a price. He is not. He is trading the market's probability distribution, priced before he arrived. Stephen Blyth ran Harvard's $37 billion endowment. His MIT lecture. "option prices, they're just probability distributions." line up the call prices across every strike, take the second difference, and out falls the exact probability curve the market is using. the prices ARE the distribution. you never had a view on where the stock lands. you bought a shape someone else already drew, priced to the cent. MIT filmed it and left it up for free. 69 minutes. Years online, and almost nobody has ever used a line of it. the edge was never predicting the price. it is reading the odds already inside it. watch it, and don't forget this.

Every option trader believes he is forecasting a price. He is not. He is trading the market's probability distribution, priced before he arrived. Stephen Blyth ran Harvard's $37 billion endowment. His MIT lecture. "option prices, they're just probability distributions." line up the call prices across every strike, take the second difference, and out falls the exact probability curve the market is using. the prices ARE the distribution. you never had a view on where the stock lands. you bought a shape someone else already drew, priced to the cent. MIT filmed it and left it up for free. 69 minutes. Years online, and almost nobody has ever used a line of it. the edge was never predicting the price. it is reading the odds already inside it. watch it, and don't forget this.

Di Krass

118,180 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Alan Oppenheim, MIT professor: "Every trader alive uses a moving average. Almost none of them know it's a filter, and funds pay quants $600K for the version they were never taught." a moving average is a filter. it smooths a jumpy price to reveal the slower signal hiding underneath. that is all it is, and it is the bluntest one there is. the same math gives you filters that lag less and cut more noise, and that gap is a real edge. this is the second half of what Simons was doing. first you accept the market is a signal buried in noise. then you build the filter that reads it, and the moving average on your chart is the crudest possible version. Oppenheim builds the real ones at the board in this lecture. here is the catch. a filter only helps if there is a real signal under the noise. smooth pure randomness and you will see a beautiful trend that means nothing. the filter is free. knowing there is a real signal worth filtering is the edge.

Alan Oppenheim, MIT professor: "Every trader alive uses a moving average. Almost none of them know it's a filter, and funds pay quants $600K for the version they were never taught." a moving average is a filter. it smooths a jumpy price to reveal the slower signal hiding underneath. that is all it is, and it is the bluntest one there is. the same math gives you filters that lag less and cut more noise, and that gap is a real edge. this is the second half of what Simons was doing. first you accept the market is a signal buried in noise. then you build the filter that reads it, and the moving average on your chart is the crudest possible version. Oppenheim builds the real ones at the board in this lecture. here is the catch. a filter only helps if there is a real signal under the noise. smooth pure randomness and you will see a beautiful trend that means nothing. the filter is free. knowing there is a real signal worth filtering is the edge.

Rossst.03

214,907 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

In 2013 an MIT mathematician wrote one minus sign on a chalkboard and explained the exact trick hedge funds farm billions from in 2026. MIT filmed it. it has been free for 13 years. it has fewer views than a phone unboxing. his point: volatility is not a risk you survive. it is a crop you harvest. every "volatility harvesting" thread charging you $500 in 2026 is reselling the one line Choongbum Lee derives for nothing. he is a mathematician, not a guru. no thumbnail, no promise. just the term that makes a shaking portfolio beat a calm one. skip to where he writes d(log S). out falls minus one-half sigma squared. that tiny term is the "$12.50 from nowhere" in the post above. no black box. no signal. one piece of chalk. a quant I know made his whole desk watch minute 40 before they could touch the rebalancer. you are 13 years late. it is still free.

In 2013 an MIT mathematician wrote one minus sign on a chalkboard and explained the exact trick hedge funds farm billions from in 2026. MIT filmed it. it has been free for 13 years. it has fewer views than a phone unboxing. his point: volatility is not a risk you survive. it is a crop you harvest. every "volatility harvesting" thread charging you $500 in 2026 is reselling the one line Choongbum Lee derives for nothing. he is a mathematician, not a guru. no thumbnail, no promise. just the term that makes a shaking portfolio beat a calm one. skip to where he writes d(log S). out falls minus one-half sigma squared. that tiny term is the "$12.50 from nowhere" in the post above. no black box. no signal. one piece of chalk. a quant I know made his whole desk watch minute 40 before they could touch the rebalancer. you are 13 years late. it is still free.

Voltex

32,751 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat