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Most traders panic on gap-downs and get stopped out immediately. Brian Shannon teaches a method for avoiding premature stop-outs by observing post-gap price action. This allows you to differentiate between a temporary dip and a true breakdown, potentially saving profitable positions. Observe before you react.

TraderLion

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19,455 просмотров • 23 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Most swing traders size off a daily chart stop. That wide stop forces a small position to keep risk in check. Shake drops to the 30-minute chart for the entry. The stop tightens, and the math allows three times the shares on the identical risk budget. Same trade idea, same dollar risk — the only difference is where you measured your stop.

Most swing traders size off a daily chart stop. That wide stop forces a small position to keep risk in check. Shake drops to the 30-minute chart for the entry. The stop tightens, and the math allows three times the shares on the identical risk budget. Same trade idea, same dollar risk — the only difference is where you measured your stop.

TraderLion

31,856 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Markets that trade below the 21SMA or 50SMA are inherently choppy, with gaps in either direction expected day to day. If we do get more large gap downs over the coming weeks, here are some guidelines to live by (especially if you have exposure on): — Gap downs are rare in strong stocks with solid setups, but they do happen. And here's the truth: They're the market's way of telling you your original trading thesis was wrong. — The real damage of gap downs isn't just to your account — it's what they do to your head. They trigger: → Anger ("This market is rigged!") → Revenge trading ("I'll make it back today!") → Frozen decision-making ("Maybe it'll bounce back?") All three lead to even BIGGER losses. — But here's how top level traders handle gap downs (which you can easily implement): They know their numbers. ∙Exactly how much $ they lost ∙What % of their portfolio it represents ∙How many winning trades it'll take to recover Emotions cloud judgment. Numbers bring clarity. Pro traders think in terms of "R-multiples" — how many times their initial risk they've won or lost. If you risked $500 (1R) and lose $1,500 on a gap down, that's -3R. Sounds bad, but if you're up +20R on the year, you can put that -3R in perspective. — NEVER rationalize after a gap down: ❌ "It's just a market overreaction" ❌ "The news wasn't that bad" ❌ "It'll probably bounce back today" These thoughts feel good in the moment but lead to much bigger losses. Cut the position and move on. — Think like a US Investing Champ. They get caught in downside gaps from time to time too. The difference? They know it's part of the game. They have a system to manage risk and recover: ∙They exit the position ∙They know their numbers ∙They trust their strategy over time — Next time you face a gap down: 1) Exit the position without hesitation 2) Calculate the exact impact on your portfolio 3) Step away from trading for the day 4) Return tomorrow with a clear head Protect your capital AND your confidence. 🦁

Markets that trade below the 21SMA or 50SMA are inherently choppy, with gaps in either direction expected day to day. If we do get more large gap downs over the coming weeks, here are some guidelines to live by (especially if you have exposure on): — Gap downs are rare in strong stocks with solid setups, but they do happen. And here's the truth: They're the market's way of telling you your original trading thesis was wrong. — The real damage of gap downs isn't just to your account — it's what they do to your head. They trigger: → Anger ("This market is rigged!") → Revenge trading ("I'll make it back today!") → Frozen decision-making ("Maybe it'll bounce back?") All three lead to even BIGGER losses. — But here's how top level traders handle gap downs (which you can easily implement): They know their numbers. ∙Exactly how much $ they lost ∙What % of their portfolio it represents ∙How many winning trades it'll take to recover Emotions cloud judgment. Numbers bring clarity. Pro traders think in terms of "R-multiples" — how many times their initial risk they've won or lost. If you risked $500 (1R) and lose $1,500 on a gap down, that's -3R. Sounds bad, but if you're up +20R on the year, you can put that -3R in perspective. — NEVER rationalize after a gap down: ❌ "It's just a market overreaction" ❌ "The news wasn't that bad" ❌ "It'll probably bounce back today" These thoughts feel good in the moment but lead to much bigger losses. Cut the position and move on. — Think like a US Investing Champ. They get caught in downside gaps from time to time too. The difference? They know it's part of the game. They have a system to manage risk and recover: ∙They exit the position ∙They know their numbers ∙They trust their strategy over time — Next time you face a gap down: 1) Exit the position without hesitation 2) Calculate the exact impact on your portfolio 3) Step away from trading for the day 4) Return tomorrow with a clear head Protect your capital AND your confidence. 🦁

TraderLion

20,584 просмотров • 1 год назад

AMD just sold off on AI demand fears. Three days earlier it was an outlier rip. Martin Luk -- the 2025 U.S. Investing Champion who returned +969% -- bought the breakout off a tight EMA cluster and got a 42R trade after an unexpected gap up. Most traders only think about gap risk to the downside. Luk says outliers cut both ways -- the trick is being positioned with tight risk so the upside outliers actually matter. The gap that hurts you is the same shape as the one that makes your year.

AMD just sold off on AI demand fears. Three days earlier it was an outlier rip. Martin Luk -- the 2025 U.S. Investing Champion who returned +969% -- bought the breakout off a tight EMA cluster and got a 42R trade after an unexpected gap up. Most traders only think about gap risk to the downside. Luk says outliers cut both ways -- the trick is being positioned with tight risk so the upside outliers actually matter. The gap that hurts you is the same shape as the one that makes your year.

TraderLion

18,397 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Tighten the stop, size up. That isn't aggressive risk-taking; it's the actual math of R-multiple position sizing. Brian Shannon walks through it on TraderLion. The originator of Anchored VWAP and a 35-year professional trader breaks down how a $100K account with $1,000 max risk gets 4,000 shares on a 25-cent stop and only 1,000 shares on a one-dollar stop. His honesty test: is your tight stop a real higher low, or a number you picked so you can size up?

Tighten the stop, size up. That isn't aggressive risk-taking; it's the actual math of R-multiple position sizing. Brian Shannon walks through it on TraderLion. The originator of Anchored VWAP and a 35-year professional trader breaks down how a $100K account with $1,000 max risk gets 4,000 shares on a 25-cent stop and only 1,000 shares on a one-dollar stop. His honesty test: is your tight stop a real higher low, or a number you picked so you can size up?

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[Ansem 🐂🀄️ trade idea : pumpfun ] “if you look at this reclaim here, right after the unlock happened... around 1650 is where i said it made sense to get long.” while most of the timeline is busy chasing green candles and buying the top, ansem breaks down the actual mechanics of a high-probability trade. looking at the chart, he points out a classic, textbook market structure: > a rock-solid support level established between 1650 and 1700. > a long, boring period of downwards/sideways accumulation. > a token unlock event that shakes out weak hands, immediately followed by a strong "reclaim" of that exact support level that reclaim is the signal most retail traders get chopped up or bored during sideways price action. but for experienced traders, a boring accumulation range after a major event (like an unlock) is exactly where you want to build your long-term positions before the rest of the market catches on

[Ansem 🐂🀄️ trade idea : pumpfun ] “if you look at this reclaim here, right after the unlock happened... around 1650 is where i said it made sense to get long.” while most of the timeline is busy chasing green candles and buying the top, ansem breaks down the actual mechanics of a high-probability trade. looking at the chart, he points out a classic, textbook market structure: > a rock-solid support level established between 1650 and 1700. > a long, boring period of downwards/sideways accumulation. > a token unlock event that shakes out weak hands, immediately followed by a strong "reclaim" of that exact support level that reclaim is the signal most retail traders get chopped up or bored during sideways price action. but for experienced traders, a boring accumulation range after a major event (like an unlock) is exactly where you want to build your long-term positions before the rest of the market catches on

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Context Conversations If you have ever tried Notion and are curious on how you can get the most out of it, you'll enjoy this behind-the-scenes! Sam Catania has one of the best personal and workplace setups: - A personal dashboard for his docs, meetings, customer insights - 1-click flows for engineering to join customer calls - Custom agents that help file directly into Linear from Slack, powered by Notion Workers I've been at Notion for for 95 days now and the biggest opportunity is the gap between how most people use the product vs. how powerful it can be. Closing the gap is now a sidequest of mine :)

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Most traders freeze after three consecutive gap-down days. Martin Luk -- the 2025 U.S. Investing Champion who returned +969% -- was begging for one more. He watched the market hit panic mode, spotted TQQ at 20% below the hourly EMA, and bought the reversal off one-minute opening range highs. His best trade of the entire year came from the worst week. The bottom doesn't announce itself. It disgusts you into showing up.

Most traders freeze after three consecutive gap-down days. Martin Luk -- the 2025 U.S. Investing Champion who returned +969% -- was begging for one more. He watched the market hit panic mode, spotted TQQ at 20% below the hourly EMA, and bought the reversal off one-minute opening range highs. His best trade of the entire year came from the worst week. The bottom doesn't announce itself. It disgusts you into showing up.

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THIS ONE SECRET WILL SAVE YOUR ACCOUNT THOUSANDS. I breakdown: • How to identify a trend change BEFORE most traders. • How to know when the market is likely to start selling. • When to stop buying and let the market come to you. • Why doing less often leads to making more. Market examples are $SPY $QQQ $SNDK and $SMH Master this, and you'll stop giving back months of profits in a single pullback. Over the LAST year you will see I am warning and posting before moves happen. There is no hindsight. I promise together we will work to becoming consistently profitable.

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58,071 просмотров • 29 дней назад

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🚨 JUST NOW $BTC CLOSED CME GAP! $82K has already been hit and the gap has been closed Usually, after we close the gap, historical price action shows that we’re near a reversal to the downside We may see $85K+ on $BTC, and we most likely will, since funding is negative, which means people are shorting BUT that doesn’t stop this from being a fake rally that will turn into a trap before the final collapse with targets below 60K The bear flag and the overhead resistance will do their job I’m continuing to average in and hold my short position! EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DON’T WORRY TURN ON NOTIFS, FOLLOW & BOOKMARK!

Tony Research

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The market's been on fire the past couple days... But here's the truth: This is EXACTLY when most beginners blow up their accounts. Let us explain why: — When the market rallies hard off the bottom, and then everyone gets bullish (kinda like right now), beginning traders who don't have any exposure on FOMO into moves. Next thing you know, the market pulls back to test bulls' conviction, and everybody who chased is now down big... — The difference between these beginner traders and those who actually make a living trading is this: It's their ability to wait for HIGH PROBABILITY setups with CLEAR risk management. So before you go to buy anything over the next couple of days (and for the foreseeable future), ask yourself these questions: → Is the market truly healthy, or just bouncing? → Is this stock showing multiple edges? (RS phase, high volume, etc) → Can I identify a specific setup? (Base breakout, gapper, launch pad) → Is there a tight, logical stop loss? And more importantly, if you're really feeling FOMO right now, ask yourself: "If I could only take ONE trade this month, would it be this one?" This mental trick forces you to be selective and disciplined. Trading less = Trading better.

The market's been on fire the past couple days... But here's the truth: This is EXACTLY when most beginners blow up their accounts. Let us explain why: — When the market rallies hard off the bottom, and then everyone gets bullish (kinda like right now), beginning traders who don't have any exposure on FOMO into moves. Next thing you know, the market pulls back to test bulls' conviction, and everybody who chased is now down big... — The difference between these beginner traders and those who actually make a living trading is this: It's their ability to wait for HIGH PROBABILITY setups with CLEAR risk management. So before you go to buy anything over the next couple of days (and for the foreseeable future), ask yourself these questions: → Is the market truly healthy, or just bouncing? → Is this stock showing multiple edges? (RS phase, high volume, etc) → Can I identify a specific setup? (Base breakout, gapper, launch pad) → Is there a tight, logical stop loss? And more importantly, if you're really feeling FOMO right now, ask yourself: "If I could only take ONE trade this month, would it be this one?" This mental trick forces you to be selective and disciplined. Trading less = Trading better.

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Most traders have no rule for when a loser leaves the portfolio. The average winner held 8 days, the average loser gone in 24 hours — that asymmetry is the whole game. Ariel Hernandez anchors this framework with a Dan Zanger quote and builds it into something concrete: use the average as your stop after a 6–7% move, and let the math do the rest. Winners run. Losers get cut before they can argue back.

Most traders have no rule for when a loser leaves the portfolio. The average winner held 8 days, the average loser gone in 24 hours — that asymmetry is the whole game. Ariel Hernandez anchors this framework with a Dan Zanger quote and builds it into something concrete: use the average as your stop after a 6–7% move, and let the math do the rest. Winners run. Losers get cut before they can argue back.

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How I made $100,000 on SPX in one day predicting a target to 608 from days before into today and a rejection at 608 before the market opened, and going heavy on puts and bear calls at the top All called out and traded live When you understand price action, you can always prepare for what’s to come

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