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Nick Bostrom says achieving general intelligence in AI will lead to "full unemployment" as it becomes difficult to find tasks at which humans would still be helpful
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Full unemployment? His job being a “philosopher” and a “futurist” could be replaced right now with AI. There are many jobs that can not be replaced with AI now or in the near future. It also doesn’t consider the new opportunities and businesses that can be created quickly because of new tools like deploying apps faster. And also this doesn’t consider that half of the world doesn’t even have the internet, let alone, AI. The ironic thing is the jobs that are most likely to be replaced first are SWEs who are building the AIs. For other types of jobs, people say, for example, Doctors will be replaced because an LLM can diagnose, but there are a lot of things like procedures, which can not be performed by an LLM and which a humanoid robot is not near being able to do. Anyways to say, “full employment” is not happening anytime soon.
We could end up like the eloi from The Time Machine - pretty stupid and helpless! I think perhaps Elon’s idea of merging with AI is our only hope 😬
that is a fun book to read
But @NickBostromPhD I work at the leading global bank and we are no way near close to allowing gbt to understand data. Text is fine but data it hasn't a clue we are decades and decades away 60+ years
All these people lack the right foundational framework to analyze these things. People will work "at the margins". Machines get the work first (they are the most efficient way to get shit done) but there is an infinite amount of demand for intelligence
AI doesn't have arms or legs.
People are focusing too much on the possibility of "full unemployment" when in reality even a 40-50% unemployment would be an unprecedented level of crisis.
💯 When we create something that functions more efficiently than us at everything, we can focus on our personal and spiritual growth, without needing to “work” to survive. We’ll be able to enjoy our world in peace and harmony, with more of us well rested and relaxed rather than exhausted and stressed. Then healed people will heal people.
The is no other path except for UBI or possibly UHI (Universal High Income)
![General Intuition CEO Pim de Witte, who's building foundation models trained on video game controller input data ("action-labeled gameplay clips"), says general intelligence won't "taste like an LLM": "We have a scale of data that's going to allow us to jump to the frontier in one capability — which is any system that can be controlled with a game controller (which is most robots) — and then, you can use that to create a sufficiently general intelligence." "As humans, the decision to talk or type is a very, very small subset of the actions that we can actually take." "So in order to create a sufficiently general intelligence to play 10,000+ video games, the model has to be able to predict across the entire action space of human cognition when they're interacting with these environments. Which are 2D and 3D environments, interfaces, long-horizon tasks, short-horizon tasks, [etc.]." "It has to be a sufficiently general intelligence in order to predict actions. Therefore, the type of model you get out is not going to taste like an LLM. This model is going to be incredibly good at navigating unforeseen environments. It's going to be incredibly good at zero-shotting any task that can be done with a game controller."](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2071731641366806768/amplify_video_thumb/2071731439247523840/img/Ar0HzGY4TZXz_4fN.jpg)
