Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Ana Sayfaya Dön

🚨 PHYSICAL SILVER SHOWDOWN: MARCH 2026 IS THE BREAKING POINT 🚨 Nick Ward, a London precious metals director, explains why the #silver market is cracking & what you MUST know. JANUARY'S UNPRECEDENTED DEMAND: THE WARM-UP ➡️ January is normally a quiet "roll-over" month. 🚨 This January saw 4,700 contracts...

108,926 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

0 Yorum

Yorum bulunmuyor

Orijinal gönderinin yorumları burada görünecek

Benzer Videolar

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain

Mark

104,322 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.

George Noble

447,963 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance

Mark

148,732 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

🚨 JAMIE DIMON WARNED OF THE BASEL III “ENDGAME” (DEC 2023) 🚨 This wasn’t random. Jamie Dimon knew banks were on the wrong side of precious metals, and that the paper system was not built for what’s coming. Basel III Endgame is the final phase of post-2008 banking reform. It tightens: • How banks calculate risk • How much capital they must hold • What qualifies as “high-quality” capital Physical gold is now Tier 1, but only if it’s REAL. Allocated. Delivered. Specific bars. In a vault. No counterparty risk. Paper promises don’t qualify anymore. Why this matters beyond gold 👇 Precious and base metals all run through the same: • Bullion banks • Derivative infrastructure • Rehypothecation model When physical delivery demand rises in one metal, stress spreads to all of them. Silver is the weakest link: • Extremely thin physical market • Heavily shorted via derivatives • Historically suppressed • High paper-to-physical ratios COMEX and LBMA are built on paper. Unallocated metal trades 100x+ larger than physical supply. They are not designed for sustained delivery demand. What stress looks like: • Backwardation • Delivery delays • Premium spikes on physical bars • Contract roll failures There is a real risk of delivery stress in silver this month and into March. Basel III Endgame doesn’t “end manipulation” overnight, it removes the leverage that made it possible. Paper only works when confidence does. That confidence is being tested.

Echo 𝕏

14,923 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

D. JENSEN: SILVER – THE AVALANCHE HAS BEEN TRIGGERED AND CAN NO LONGER BE STOPPED This is the core of the coming crisis. The numbers are so extreme they defy any orderly solution. THE IMBALANCE IN ONE STAT: ➡️Global Bond & Equity Markets: ~$270 TRILLION ➡️Annual New Debt Issuance: ~$27.5 TRILLION ➡️Annual Total Silver Supply (Value): ~$80 BILLION The potential demand from a fractional reallocation of paper wealth into physical silver is over 300 times larger than the entire annual market. THE CONSEQUENCE: EXPONENTIAL DEMAND vs. LINEAR SUPPLY We face a compounding problem - when investment demand comes on top of industrial demand: ✅ Demand is exponential: Driven by monetary fear, de-dollarization, and the failure of paper promises. ✅ Supply is linear: Mining output increases only marginally each year. The two curves do not meet. The system cannot clear. THE AVALANCHE THEORY: "STABLE UNTIL IT ISN'T" David Jensen applies criticality theory: The LBMA's paper market is a metastable system, like a snowfield on a steep mountain. ➡️It can appear calm for decades. ➡️A single trigger (e.g., a delivery failure, a major buyer demanding physical) can initiate a catastrophic failure. Once movement starts, the entire structure collapses non-linearly and uncontrollably. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR PRICE FORECASTS ❌Traditional analysis is useless. You cannot apply gradual, linear price targets to a system experiencing binary, catastrophic failure. ❌Bullion bank forecasts of $40-50/oz are not just wrong—they are irrelevant. They model a functioning paper market, not its collapse. ✅The true price discovery will happen when the paper claim system shatters and the global bid for any available physical metal meets minuscule supply. THE ONLY PRICE CONCLUSION: The price will move to whatever level is required to destroy excess paper demand and allocate the scarce physical metal to the highest bidder. In a world of $270 trillion in financial assets, that level is orders of magnitude higher than today. HT: maneco64 I recommend watching the entire fascinating conversation between Mario Inneco and David Jenssen. YouTube video link in the comment. #Silver #LBMA #FinancialMath #PreciousMetals #AvalancheTheory #Investing #Finance $SLV

Mark

138,282 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Gold and Silver Trader Andrew Maguire 💥THE END OF WESTERN GOLD AND SILVER A MARKET IN FRACTURE ✅ The LBMA and COMEX are losing control as liquidity flees to BRICS-centric exchanges. ✅ This creates a historic divergence between "synthetic" paper prices and the real cost of physical metal. “We’ve reached the absolute inflection point where Western CME/LBMA liquidity has permanently fractured… All the institutional guys I know have gone to BRICS-facing exchanges. That leaves only a few speculators and momentum traders — and that’s all the cartel has left to play with.” THE PHYSICAL REALITY CHECK The data reveals a stunning physical shortage, hidden in plain sight. ➡️ Unprecedented "backwardations" show futures contracts trading at a massive discount to physical spot price. ➡️ This signals a critical mismatch: the paper market is deeply mispriced. ➡️ "There is insufficient physical to meet this enormous demand." THE PRICE TARGETS Given the supply/demand shock, the required price adjustments are staggering. 💰 For Gold: "It will require $8,000 gold" to bring sufficient supply to market. 💰 For Silver: The consensus is "$80 silver" in the short term, with $140-$200 longer-term. THE CATALYST IS HERE The system is primed for a major move, with two key triggers: ➡️ 1. The massive, naked short position in ETFs like GLD and SLV must be bought back, forcing prices higher. ➡️ 2. Western institutional investors are moving from 0% to a 4% allocation in gold, competing with inelastic central bank demand. THE BOTTOM LINE A pivotal wealth protection window is rapidly closing. The analysis concludes there is not enough above-ground bullion to meet soaring demand at current prices. The time to swap debasing fiat for physical, zero-counterparty risk gold and silver is now. HT: Kinesis Money Andrew Maguire Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕 #Gold #Silver #WealthProtection #BRICS #Dollar #Inflation #COMEX #Investing

Mark

78,584 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Catherine Austin Fitts: "In gold, the demand for physical reflects a demand for a core position...Silver is...different... because you have so much growing industrial demand... and they have to take physical delivery...But... people are [realizing] inflation is not going away." This clip of Fitts, a former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, investment banker, and founder of the Solari Report (The Solari Report | Catherine Austin Fitts), is taken from a discussion with Miles Franklin (Miles Franklin Precious Metals) posted to YouTube on January 26, 2026. ----------------Partial transcription of clip--------------- "In gold, the demand for physical reflects a demand for core position. Okay. And not just by individuals, but by institutions and businesses. Silver is a very different story because you have so much growing industrial demand for silver and they have to take physical delivery. You can't use silver paper to, to build a data center. So part of it is the industrial demand, including national security issues. "But then also if you're going to monetize gold being driven by the people wanting more and more core position, silver ultimately is going to be monetized too. It'll lag, but it's coming in. They want physical. And if you look at the leverage in this, the paper to silver leverage is much greater than gold. "So for two years, you probably don't know this, I'm asked about gold and I just say I'm buying silver. And people keep saying, why are you buying silver? And it's on sale. I'm buying silver because it's on sale. And so the other day I kept saying to our team, I said, I think the sale's over. "But we knew at some point that that leverage was between paper and, whatever. Anyway, so let me keep going. The investment position, the miners have clearly lagged, so they're catching up. But then finally people are beginning to realize, you know, inflation is not going away. "There are many reasons why it could get worse and they need to protect themselves. And so they're going to the trouble of educating themselves. It's a big, for somebody who's never done precious metals, it's a big education. And so, you know, so people are saying, okay, inflation's not going away. I'm going to take the time to do the education. And so I think that's a major factor in the investment part of it anyway. So it's, you know, it's complicated, but if you look at all the factors, we are clearly in the, I would call it the end of the first phase of a long-term bull market in gold and silver. "Now, there are many things that could drive the price way down. You know, a pandemic or a war is very deflationary, as you know, and can drive the price way down. But I think, you know, I think the bull market has quite a ways to run."

Sense Receptor

24,705 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

THE SILVER SELL-OFF IS BRUTAL – BUT DON’T MAKE THE MISTAKE OF SELLING TOO Silver just broke hard. Gold slipped under 4000. Silver crashed to 56. If you bought anywhere near the January high near 121, roughly half your position has vanished and it feels like the bottom may never arrive. But the number flashing on the screen is lying about what is actually happening. The sellers dumping metal right now are handing their ounces to buyers who see a sale, not a verdict. THE CORE THESIS Silver didn't get less valuable this week. The dollar got stronger. And that is a completely different thing. ➡️ The US dollar index just pushed above 101 for the first time in about a year. ➡️ When the dollar rips, every asset priced in dollars gets repriced lower almost automatically because it now takes fewer of those stronger dollars to buy the same ounce. ➡️ This is not the market rejecting silver. This is the measuring stick getting longer. ➡️ The Fed's new dot plot shows roughly half the committee projecting at least one rate hike this year, with traders pricing in as many as three quarter-point hikes before year end. THE DOUBLE HIT SILVER ALWAYS TAKES Silver wears two hats and both are getting slammed at the same time. ➡️ It is a monetary metal fighting the strong dollar. ➡️ It is also an industrial metal facing slower growth fears from higher rates. ➡️ That combination is exactly why silver falls roughly twice as hard as gold in moves like this. ➡️ The gold to silver ratio blows out because it is the nature of silver, not a flaw in silver. THE MECHANICAL SELLING DRIVING THE PAIN A lot of this selling is not anyone deciding silver is a bad investment. It is forced. ➡️ Margin requirements got jacked up. Leverage players had to dump their most liquid holdings to raise cash. ➡️ Stop losses tripped. ETFs rebalanced. The selling turned violent and mechanical. ➡️ This kind of forced selling eventually burns out when the sellers run out of metal they are willing to dump. ➡️ Conviction buyers do not run out of conviction. They are the ones quietly stepping in. THE PHYSICAL MARKET TELLS THE TRUTH The spot price is getting shoved around by macro forces and margin. The physical market is doing something very different underneath. ➡️ When metal gets crushed on the screen you would expect a flood of people dumping physical. That is not mostly what is walking in the door. ➡️ Yes, capitulation sellers who bought the top are handing over ounces. ➡️ But serious buyers are stepping in with both hands because to them a strong dollar selloff is a sale, not a verdict. "The weak hands are handing their ounces to the strong hands. That's what a bottoming process actually looks like." ➡️ Premiums on real coins and bars are holding firm and even rising. Demand is alive and well if you watch the all-in price instead of just spot. THE LONG-TERM MATH HAS NOT CHANGED The reasons you own silver in the first place are still sitting right there. ➡️ The debt has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Currency debasement over time has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Central banks are still net buyers. ➡️ The long-term destination remains 120 silver. This selloff does not erase the thesis. WHAT TO DO THIS WEEK ➡️ Do not sell into this panic unless you genuinely need the cash inside the next two years. ➡️ If you must raise cash, sell generic rounds and bars first. Protect your sovereign coins and anything inside your IRA. ➡️ For long-term buyers this is a sale, but watch the all-in price not just spot. Ladder your buys and keep dry powder. ➡️ Stress test how you hold your metal. If you have paper claims this is the week to move toward allocated segregated storage or take delivery. THE BOTTOM LINE The metal did not change this week. The dollar did. Don't let a strong dollar and a scary headline talk you out of the one asset they cannot print. Before you hit that button ask yourself one honest question. Do I actually need this money in the next 24 months? If the answer is no, you are not escaping a collapse. You are selling your insurance in the middle of the storm to the very people who will be happy to sell it back to you later at a much higher price. HT: YouTube Summit Metals #SilverSelloff #DontSellSilver #DollarStrength #PhysicalSilver #Stacking #PreciousMetals #SilverStacker

Mark

34,639 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

THE SILVER LIQUIDITY TRAP IS SNAPPING SHUT 🚨 The paper silver market is collapsing into a 15-year void. Tonight, we witness history. 🕵️‍♂️ THE PLAYERS: COMEX Shorts, Rafi Farber, and The Physical Stacker. THE PATTERN 🔥 Open interest in silver futures is crashing toward 100,000 contracts. This is rare air—a level of participation we haven't seen since the 2009 financial crisis recovery. The massive "Paper Flood" that usually suppresses price is evaporating. We are entering a structural vacuum where the fake supply can no longer satisfy real demand. THE EVIDENCE 📊 While the price sits suppressed, the underlying leverage is unwinding. Low open interest at these extremes suggests that speculative "tourist" money has fled, leaving the metal in stronger hands. We are seeing a historic divergence: paper claims are disappearing while physical supply dynamics tighten to the breaking point. The age of infinite rehypothecation is hitting a wall. THE COVERUP 🛡️ They have used leveraged paper bets to create a mirage of silver abundance for decades. But look at the precedent: when Jupiter aligns with Mars, the paper market breaks. We saw it in 2009. The manipulation narrative relies on high open interest to churn the price. Without it, the "Paper-to-Physical" ratio becomes a ticking time bomb for anyone short the real metal. THE CLIMAX 📅 Tonight. The break below 100k contracts signals the dawning of a new silver cycle. 1. RETWEET if you hold real metal. 2. REPLY with your silver price target for 2026. 3. TAG a stacker who needs to see this chart. Rafi Farber #SilverSqueeze #COMEX #PreciousMetals Entertainment purposes only • DYOR

Eronima

50,917 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce