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Robert Shiller called the dot-com bubble in 2000 - the market collapsed months later then he called the housing bubble years before 2008, while everyone laughed he won the Nobel Prize for explaining why markets aren't rational and he put his entire Yale course on financial markets online, for... show more

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46,017 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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The most overvalued market in 100 years. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. 100 YEARS. Samuel Benner predicted this in 1875. But this pattern has NEVER failed. 100 out of 100 years showed the same thing: The S&P 500 is already following it. → Dot-com bubble → Housing bubble → AI bubble And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before it all breaks. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

The most overvalued market in 100 years. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. 100 YEARS. Samuel Benner predicted this in 1875. But this pattern has NEVER failed. 100 out of 100 years showed the same thing: The S&P 500 is already following it. → Dot-com bubble → Housing bubble → AI bubble And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before it all breaks. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

77,735 Aufrufe • vor 24 Tagen

Jeremy Grantham made $1 billion on every global crash for 40 years - now he says he's selling all his US stocks before the next bubble he asked 400 Wall Street analysts: "will the market crash?" - 99% said yes - then their firms told clients everything was fine "Goldman Sachs will NEVER tell you to get out - it's suicidal for their business - no help is coming - you are on your own" he predicted the dot-com crash, the 2008 crisis, and the Japanese bubble - all before they happened "AI is the biggest bubble in history - a 70% decline would not be unexpected " he gave away 95% of his billion - "I'm called a billionaire but only because they count the money I gave away " bookmark & watch!

Jeremy Grantham made $1 billion on every global crash for 40 years - now he says he's selling all his US stocks before the next bubble he asked 400 Wall Street analysts: "will the market crash?" - 99% said yes - then their firms told clients everything was fine "Goldman Sachs will NEVER tell you to get out - it's suicidal for their business - no help is coming - you are on your own" he predicted the dot-com crash, the 2008 crisis, and the Japanese bubble - all before they happened "AI is the biggest bubble in history - a 70% decline would not be unexpected " he gave away 95% of his billion - "I'm called a billionaire but only because they count the money I gave away " bookmark & watch!

bodila

95,726 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

🇺🇸 MICHAEL BURRY IS CALLING THE NEXT US STOCK MARKET CRASH!!! When he warned us last time - the entire financial system collapsed Now read carefully: Real Estate (2005) - "The market is broken. I'm not wrong, the market is wrong" Then S&P crashed 57%. $725M profit for his investors AI Bubble (2026) - "Sell" And these aren't just words He just placed a $1,100,000,000 short against the AI bubble - $912M against Palantir - $187M against Nvidia. The same man Wall Street called crazy in 2007 is now positioned identically against AI. FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON

🇺🇸 MICHAEL BURRY IS CALLING THE NEXT US STOCK MARKET CRASH!!! When he warned us last time - the entire financial system collapsed Now read carefully: Real Estate (2005) - "The market is broken. I'm not wrong, the market is wrong" Then S&P crashed 57%. $725M profit for his investors AI Bubble (2026) - "Sell" And these aren't just words He just placed a $1,100,000,000 short against the AI bubble - $912M against Palantir - $187M against Nvidia. The same man Wall Street called crazy in 2007 is now positioned identically against AI. FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON

Crypto Rover

76,761 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

RAY DALIO JUST SAID HE THINKS THE AI BUBBLE IS GOING TO POP On Bloomberg, he laid out exactly when, why, and how he sees it happening. He also compared the current market to two specific years: "We are right now rising closer to, not at, the same level in 2000 and the same level in 1929, a specific level where you say, oh no, here's the one that we really need to worry about." On all tech revolutions: "All great technology changes produce bubbles. And the reason they produce bubbles is because nobody can get it exactly right." On the mechanism that pops bubbles: "There's a bubble, and then there's the pricking of the bubble. The pricking of the bubble happens when there's a need for wealth to be sold to get the money." On the wealth gap that comes with it: "A very small percentage of the population is going to do unbelievably and a lot of people won't." On a political solution: "I'm not optimistic on us working together to solve." He says the technology is real. The prices and the debt are the problem.

RAY DALIO JUST SAID HE THINKS THE AI BUBBLE IS GOING TO POP On Bloomberg, he laid out exactly when, why, and how he sees it happening. He also compared the current market to two specific years: "We are right now rising closer to, not at, the same level in 2000 and the same level in 1929, a specific level where you say, oh no, here's the one that we really need to worry about." On all tech revolutions: "All great technology changes produce bubbles. And the reason they produce bubbles is because nobody can get it exactly right." On the mechanism that pops bubbles: "There's a bubble, and then there's the pricking of the bubble. The pricking of the bubble happens when there's a need for wealth to be sold to get the money." On the wealth gap that comes with it: "A very small percentage of the population is going to do unbelievably and a lot of people won't." On a political solution: "I'm not optimistic on us working together to solve." He says the technology is real. The prices and the debt are the problem.

WOLF

183,531 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

MICHAEL BURRY IS CALLING THE NEXT CRASH When he warned us last time - the entire financial system collapsed Now read carefully: Real Estate (2005) - "The market is broken. I'm not wrong, the market is wrong" Then S&P crashed 57%. $725M profit for his investors AI Bubble (2026) - "Sell" And these aren't just words He just placed a $1,100,000,000 short against the AI bubble - $912M against Palantir - $187M against Nvidia. The same man Wall Street called crazy in 2007 is now positioned identically against AI If you can trust one guy in this game, it’s Michael Burry Think about it FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON

MICHAEL BURRY IS CALLING THE NEXT CRASH When he warned us last time - the entire financial system collapsed Now read carefully: Real Estate (2005) - "The market is broken. I'm not wrong, the market is wrong" Then S&P crashed 57%. $725M profit for his investors AI Bubble (2026) - "Sell" And these aren't just words He just placed a $1,100,000,000 short against the AI bubble - $912M against Palantir - $187M against Nvidia. The same man Wall Street called crazy in 2007 is now positioned identically against AI If you can trust one guy in this game, it’s Michael Burry Think about it FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON

bee🐝

23,447 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This is what peak bubble pricing looks like. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. But the chart and the numbers are already screaming. SpaceX valuation: $1.55T Walmart valuation: $1.05T SpaceX revenue: $18.7B Walmart revenue: $681B Read that again. SpaceX is worth $500B more than Walmart… while making 36x less revenue. But this pattern has NEVER failed. 100 out of 100 years showed the same thing: → Dot-com bubble → Housing bubble → AI bubble And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before it all breaks. But $SPCX won’t dump below $130, right? Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

This is what peak bubble pricing looks like. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. But the chart and the numbers are already screaming. SpaceX valuation: $1.55T Walmart valuation: $1.05T SpaceX revenue: $18.7B Walmart revenue: $681B Read that again. SpaceX is worth $500B more than Walmart… while making 36x less revenue. But this pattern has NEVER failed. 100 out of 100 years showed the same thing: → Dot-com bubble → Housing bubble → AI bubble And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before it all breaks. But $SPCX won’t dump below $130, right? Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

58,407 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

I warned you the S&P 500 crash is coming. Dot-com bubble → Today The final phase always looks the same. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

I warned you the S&P 500 crash is coming. Dot-com bubble → Today The final phase always looks the same. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

94,344 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Nassim Taleb breaks down the Black-Scholes formula - and the story he tells starts with a forgotten man. Louis Bachelier priced options 73 years before Black-Scholes - and modeled Brownian motion 5 years before Einstein. it was 1900. a 30-year-old Frenchman defends a thesis under Henri Poincaré that quietly invents two fields at once: the math of random markets, and the first real formula for pricing options. his reward? the committee marks it down - "too much finance." no top grade, no patron, no career. he spends his life applying for jobs one rank below what his work deserved, and dies forgotten in 1946. then 1973: Black, Scholes & Merton publish the option-pricing formula. it reshapes Wall Street and wins the 1997 Nobel - for two of them (Black had died, so missed it). almost nobody remembers the Frenchman who got there first. and here's Taleb's twist: traders never actually use Black-Scholes. what the market runs on is a version of Bachelier's original. the Nobel, he argues, wasn't even for the pricing - it was for dressing it up to fit the economic theory of the day. ~15-min lecture, free. the man who built modern finance — and watched the credit go to everyone but him ↓

Nassim Taleb breaks down the Black-Scholes formula - and the story he tells starts with a forgotten man. Louis Bachelier priced options 73 years before Black-Scholes - and modeled Brownian motion 5 years before Einstein. it was 1900. a 30-year-old Frenchman defends a thesis under Henri Poincaré that quietly invents two fields at once: the math of random markets, and the first real formula for pricing options. his reward? the committee marks it down - "too much finance." no top grade, no patron, no career. he spends his life applying for jobs one rank below what his work deserved, and dies forgotten in 1946. then 1973: Black, Scholes & Merton publish the option-pricing formula. it reshapes Wall Street and wins the 1997 Nobel - for two of them (Black had died, so missed it). almost nobody remembers the Frenchman who got there first. and here's Taleb's twist: traders never actually use Black-Scholes. what the market runs on is a version of Bachelier's original. the Nobel, he argues, wasn't even for the pricing - it was for dressing it up to fit the economic theory of the day. ~15-min lecture, free. the man who built modern finance — and watched the credit go to everyone but him ↓

0xDipper

242,826 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

🚨 BURRY: THIS IS WORSE THAN 1999 THE MAN WHO PREDICTED THE 2008 COLLAPSE NOW SEES TODAY'S NASDAQ AS A MORE DANGEROUS BUBBLE THAN THE DOT-COM ERA $SNDK is up 4,000% in the 12 months $QCOM's 1999 peak was 2,620% and marked the final top Three months later, Nasdaq collapsed 78% Current S&P concentration is just ugly The top 10 stocks now make up a record 41.2% of the S&P 500 — the most lopsided US market in 150 years Michael Burry has placed his BILLION SHORT: $912M in $PLTR and $187M in $NVDA puts as of his last 13F He predicts 3 paths from here: 1. MELT-UP — Momentum sucks in the last FOMO buyers. The top gets more extreme, the crash gets even worse. Target: -75%, dot-com style 2. LIQUIDITY SHOCK — A rate surprise, a geopolitical event, something BREAKS. Markets reprice in hours. Target: -40% in a single quarter 3. DISTRIBUTION — Insiders sell into strength. Sideways chop lulls everyone, then the rollover. Target: -50% over 12-18 months All three end with mean reversion that wipes out latecomers Burry shorted housing when everyone called him crazy. Now everyone thinks his crazy again

🚨 BURRY: THIS IS WORSE THAN 1999 THE MAN WHO PREDICTED THE 2008 COLLAPSE NOW SEES TODAY'S NASDAQ AS A MORE DANGEROUS BUBBLE THAN THE DOT-COM ERA $SNDK is up 4,000% in the 12 months $QCOM's 1999 peak was 2,620% and marked the final top Three months later, Nasdaq collapsed 78% Current S&P concentration is just ugly The top 10 stocks now make up a record 41.2% of the S&P 500 — the most lopsided US market in 150 years Michael Burry has placed his BILLION SHORT: $912M in $PLTR and $187M in $NVDA puts as of his last 13F He predicts 3 paths from here: 1. MELT-UP — Momentum sucks in the last FOMO buyers. The top gets more extreme, the crash gets even worse. Target: -75%, dot-com style 2. LIQUIDITY SHOCK — A rate surprise, a geopolitical event, something BREAKS. Markets reprice in hours. Target: -40% in a single quarter 3. DISTRIBUTION — Insiders sell into strength. Sideways chop lulls everyone, then the rollover. Target: -50% over 12-18 months All three end with mean reversion that wipes out latecomers Burry shorted housing when everyone called him crazy. Now everyone thinks his crazy again

Leshka.eth ⛩

944,044 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

this is legitimately brilliant trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like Polymarket i just gone through The Smart Ape 🔥's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything. the insight here gathered is perfect: - top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots. - they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality. - markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane: - AI scrapes every major publisher - flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart - updates in minutes. for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40% I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free absolute gold here i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets. the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

this is legitimately brilliant trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like Polymarket i just gone through The Smart Ape 🔥's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything. the insight here gathered is perfect: - top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots. - they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality. - markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane: - AI scrapes every major publisher - flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart - updates in minutes. for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40% I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free absolute gold here i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets. the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

arndxt

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Michael Saylor watched his company lose -99.8% of its value in the dot com bubble. MSTR stock went from $333 a share to $0.42. He humbled himself and grinded on for 2 decades while his stock went sideways. It was 20 years before he put Bitcoin on the balance sheet and reinvented his company. Do you honestly believe someone who has been through this kind of adversity is going to let a brief 20% drawdown stop him?

Michael Saylor watched his company lose -99.8% of its value in the dot com bubble. MSTR stock went from $333 a share to $0.42. He humbled himself and grinded on for 2 decades while his stock went sideways. It was 20 years before he put Bitcoin on the balance sheet and reinvented his company. Do you honestly believe someone who has been through this kind of adversity is going to let a brief 20% drawdown stop him?

The ₿itcoin Therapist

73,655 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen

how Peter Thiel screens for generational monopolies while managing an $11 billion venture capital fund as Thiel famously said: "what important truth do very few people agree with you on? because if you're doing what everyone else is doing, you're competing, and competition is for losers." while most investors look for trends and incremental growth, Thiel only backs founders who create entirely new industries from scratch. this 50-minute stanford lecture breaks down his extreme psychological framework for spotting monopolies early bookmark this, and watch the full video below breaking down how the paypal mafia boss reads the future of markets

how Peter Thiel screens for generational monopolies while managing an $11 billion venture capital fund as Thiel famously said: "what important truth do very few people agree with you on? because if you're doing what everyone else is doing, you're competing, and competition is for losers." while most investors look for trends and incremental growth, Thiel only backs founders who create entirely new industries from scratch. this 50-minute stanford lecture breaks down his extreme psychological framework for spotting monopolies early bookmark this, and watch the full video below breaking down how the paypal mafia boss reads the future of markets

ludoonchart

45,581 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

JEREMY GRANTHAM JUST CALLED THIS THE MOST EXPENSIVE MARKET IN AMERICAN HISTORY The GMO co-founder built his name calling the 2000 and 2021 bubbles. On CNBC, he was asked how far stocks fall when this one breaks. His number is bigger than people expect: Grantham said getting back to trend from here looks closer to a 70% decline than a 50% one. His reasoning is that since 2010, the market's PE has averaged more than 60% above its prior 100-year norm. On timing, he was blunt that nobody can pin it: the peak could come anywhere from two weeks ago to two years from now. On AI specifically, he put it alongside railroads and the internet. World-changing inventions, every one of them accompanied by overinvestment and a temporary collapse where, in his words, everyone in the end loses their shirt. His track record on the size of the drop: he called for a 75% NASDAQ decline in 2000. It fell 82%.

JEREMY GRANTHAM JUST CALLED THIS THE MOST EXPENSIVE MARKET IN AMERICAN HISTORY The GMO co-founder built his name calling the 2000 and 2021 bubbles. On CNBC, he was asked how far stocks fall when this one breaks. His number is bigger than people expect: Grantham said getting back to trend from here looks closer to a 70% decline than a 50% one. His reasoning is that since 2010, the market's PE has averaged more than 60% above its prior 100-year norm. On timing, he was blunt that nobody can pin it: the peak could come anywhere from two weeks ago to two years from now. On AI specifically, he put it alongside railroads and the internet. World-changing inventions, every one of them accompanied by overinvestment and a temporary collapse where, in his words, everyone in the end loses their shirt. His track record on the size of the drop: he called for a 75% NASDAQ decline in 2000. It fell 82%.

WOLF

149,863 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

Jeff Bezos just explained the “AI bubble” better than anyone. At Italian Tech Week 2025, Bezos didn’t deny the hype, he embraced it. “Yes, there’s a bubble. But AI is real and it’s going to transform every single industry.” He called it an industrial bubble, not a financial one. That’s a crucial difference: •A financial bubble (like 2008) destroys value and leaves nothing behind. •An industrial bubble (like AI, the internet, or fiber optics) creates massive value, even if investors get crushed. “Even when those companies went bankrupt, the fiber stayed in the ground. Society got the infrastructure. That’s what we’ll see with AI.” Bezos says right now we’re in the “chaotic, beautiful” phase of overfunding, where every wild idea gets money. Investors can’t tell the good ideas from the bad ones. But that’s exactly how big shifts happen. He compared it to Amazon’s early days: “Our stock went from $113 to $6, while every internal metric improved. The market and the reality had completely diverged.” His point: bubbles distort prices, not progress. AI valuations might crash, but the technology won’t. “This is not a mirage. This is a horizontal technology, like electricity and it will touch everything.” Bezos isn’t predicting an apocalypse. He’s predicting a reset, where the hype burns off, and the real builders remain. AI isn’t a bubble, it’s a boom disguised as one.

Jeff Bezos just explained the “AI bubble” better than anyone. At Italian Tech Week 2025, Bezos didn’t deny the hype, he embraced it. “Yes, there’s a bubble. But AI is real and it’s going to transform every single industry.” He called it an industrial bubble, not a financial one. That’s a crucial difference: •A financial bubble (like 2008) destroys value and leaves nothing behind. •An industrial bubble (like AI, the internet, or fiber optics) creates massive value, even if investors get crushed. “Even when those companies went bankrupt, the fiber stayed in the ground. Society got the infrastructure. That’s what we’ll see with AI.” Bezos says right now we’re in the “chaotic, beautiful” phase of overfunding, where every wild idea gets money. Investors can’t tell the good ideas from the bad ones. But that’s exactly how big shifts happen. He compared it to Amazon’s early days: “Our stock went from $113 to $6, while every internal metric improved. The market and the reality had completely diverged.” His point: bubbles distort prices, not progress. AI valuations might crash, but the technology won’t. “This is not a mirage. This is a horizontal technology, like electricity and it will touch everything.” Bezos isn’t predicting an apocalypse. He’s predicting a reset, where the hype burns off, and the real builders remain. AI isn’t a bubble, it’s a boom disguised as one.

VraserX e/acc

630,193 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

He broke the Bank of England, made $1 billion in a single day, ran a $12 billion fund for 30 years, and never had one losing year this is him sitting down with Bloomberg to explain why he just put most of his portfolio into one AI stock and why a guy who shorted entire currencies just put most of his portfolio into one AI stock bookmark & watch it today ↓

He broke the Bank of England, made $1 billion in a single day, ran a $12 billion fund for 30 years, and never had one losing year this is him sitting down with Bloomberg to explain why he just put most of his portfolio into one AI stock and why a guy who shorted entire currencies just put most of his portfolio into one AI stock bookmark & watch it today ↓

slash1s

225,010 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

SPACEX IS THE FINAL LIQUIDITY EVENT BEFORE IT ALL BREAKS The most overvalued market in 100 years and retail is still buying This pattern has appeared before every major crash in modern history. Not most of them. All of them. Dot-com: internet was real, Nasdaq lost 78% Housing: real estate was real, $8 trillion disappeared AI: technology is real just like the others were The technology being real has never stopped the bubble from bursting Now SpaceX enters at $2.35 trillion, 95% of shares still locked, insider supply hitting the market on a fixed schedule starting in August Every major bubble had one final moment where retail money got pulled into the most exciting trade imaginable right before everything collapsed Dot-com had AOL. Housing had mortgage-backed securities. AI has SpaceX. Same movie. Different cast. Final act. I've called every major top and bottom for 15 years, including the $16K bottom and the $126K top both publicly, both before they happened The next call will be even more important I'll post it here publicly like I always do Turn notifications on - if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later

SPACEX IS THE FINAL LIQUIDITY EVENT BEFORE IT ALL BREAKS The most overvalued market in 100 years and retail is still buying This pattern has appeared before every major crash in modern history. Not most of them. All of them. Dot-com: internet was real, Nasdaq lost 78% Housing: real estate was real, $8 trillion disappeared AI: technology is real just like the others were The technology being real has never stopped the bubble from bursting Now SpaceX enters at $2.35 trillion, 95% of shares still locked, insider supply hitting the market on a fixed schedule starting in August Every major bubble had one final moment where retail money got pulled into the most exciting trade imaginable right before everything collapsed Dot-com had AOL. Housing had mortgage-backed securities. AI has SpaceX. Same movie. Different cast. Final act. I've called every major top and bottom for 15 years, including the $16K bottom and the $126K top both publicly, both before they happened The next call will be even more important I'll post it here publicly like I always do Turn notifications on - if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later

ardizor 🧙‍♂️

102,890 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

The biggest IPO warning in 100 YEARS. This pattern has NEVER failed. 1926 → Goldman Sachs 1972 → Intel 1999 → AT&T Wireless 2026 → SpaceX Each mega IPO arrived exactly on the peak of a major market bubble. Then the S&P 500 crashed. → 1926 crash: 86% → 1972 crash: 53% → 1999 crash: 51% → 2026 crash: **% And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

The biggest IPO warning in 100 YEARS. This pattern has NEVER failed. 1926 → Goldman Sachs 1972 → Intel 1999 → AT&T Wireless 2026 → SpaceX Each mega IPO arrived exactly on the peak of a major market bubble. Then the S&P 500 crashed. → 1926 crash: 86% → 1972 crash: 53% → 1999 crash: 51% → 2026 crash: **% And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

146,574 Aufrufe • vor 23 Tagen

🚨 WARREN BUFFETT IS WARNING US AGAIN Berkshire is now sitting on $397.4B in cash. Do you understand what it means? The last times Buffett did this, a generation of investors got wiped out: 1999 → Nasdaq crashed 79% 2008 → S&P 500 crashed 57% 2020 → S&P 500 crashed 34% Now he is saying it again: “We’ve never had people in a more gambling mood than now.” See? The man who called the Dot-com bubble is not buying a single thing. He is hiding in cash. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 WARREN BUFFETT IS WARNING US AGAIN Berkshire is now sitting on $397.4B in cash. Do you understand what it means? The last times Buffett did this, a generation of investors got wiped out: 1999 → Nasdaq crashed 79% 2008 → S&P 500 crashed 57% 2020 → S&P 500 crashed 34% Now he is saying it again: “We’ve never had people in a more gambling mood than now.” See? The man who called the Dot-com bubble is not buying a single thing. He is hiding in cash. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

94,727 Aufrufe • vor 5 Tagen

A CARNEGIE MELLON PROFESSOR WAS TOLD HE HAD 3 TO 6 MONTHS TO LIVE. One month later he walked into a packed auditorium. His name was Randy Pausch. He was 46 years old. He had terminal pancreatic cancer. He had three children under the age of 6. And he stood on that stage and gave the most joyful lecture ever recorded. He did not talk about dying. He did not talk about regret. He did not talk about the unfairness of what was happening to him. He talked about achieving childhood dreams. He did one-armed push-ups on stage to prove he was still strong. He made the audience laugh for 76 minutes straight. He said: "We cannot change the cards we are dealt. Just how we play the hand." The video hit 20 million views overnight. Oprah called. Congress called. He testified before the Senate about pancreatic cancer funding. He got a cameo in Star Trek because the director heard his story and personally invited him. He wrote a book that sold 5 million copies in 48 languages. He died 10 months after the lecture. He was 47 years old. The bridge connecting computer science and the arts at Carnegie Mellon is named after him. Because Randy Pausch spent his entire career connecting the two. Watch the lecture tonight. 4 minutes that will permanently change how you think about time. Bookmark this. Follow CyrilXBT for more stories about people who used their time better than anyone else alive.

A CARNEGIE MELLON PROFESSOR WAS TOLD HE HAD 3 TO 6 MONTHS TO LIVE. One month later he walked into a packed auditorium. His name was Randy Pausch. He was 46 years old. He had terminal pancreatic cancer. He had three children under the age of 6. And he stood on that stage and gave the most joyful lecture ever recorded. He did not talk about dying. He did not talk about regret. He did not talk about the unfairness of what was happening to him. He talked about achieving childhood dreams. He did one-armed push-ups on stage to prove he was still strong. He made the audience laugh for 76 minutes straight. He said: "We cannot change the cards we are dealt. Just how we play the hand." The video hit 20 million views overnight. Oprah called. Congress called. He testified before the Senate about pancreatic cancer funding. He got a cameo in Star Trek because the director heard his story and personally invited him. He wrote a book that sold 5 million copies in 48 languages. He died 10 months after the lecture. He was 47 years old. The bridge connecting computer science and the arts at Carnegie Mellon is named after him. Because Randy Pausch spent his entire career connecting the two. Watch the lecture tonight. 4 minutes that will permanently change how you think about time. Bookmark this. Follow CyrilXBT for more stories about people who used their time better than anyone else alive.

CyrilXBT

22,278 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: CHINA’S REAL ESTATE BUBBLE JUST COLLAPSED!! China’s real estate just crashed 25% and wiped out TRILLIONS. But this is not a China-only crisis. It’s a GLOBAL market event. Stocks. Metals. Crypto. If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know what's coming next: This is a global liquidity event in motion. The collapse of the largest property bubble in modern history. For decades, China’s economy was built on one thing: Real estate. Developers borrowed endlessly. Households concentrated wealth into property. Local governments funded themselves through land sales. That entire system is now breaking. Home sales are collapsing. Prices are falling. Developers are defaulting. Liquidity is evaporating. Confidence is disappearing fast. And when housing breaks in an economy this large - everything gets hit. Banks absorb losses. Consumers cut spending. Construction activity freezes. Debt stress spreads. THIS IS EXTREMELY, EXTREMELY SERIOUS. Because China is not just a domestic economy. It is the second-largest economy in the world. And when China slows - global demand slows. That means commodities get crushed. Industrial metals weaken. Energy demand falls. Export economies take damage. And then financial markets react. Global equities reprice lower. Bond markets shift into risk-off mode. Emerging markets face capital flight. And risk assets get hit hardest. Bitcoin does not escape liquidity shocks. When global stress rises, capital pulls back fast. Speculation gets unwound first. Crypto gets sold first. High-growth tech stocks get hit next. Then broader equities follow. That is how risk cascades through markets. This is how contagion starts. China’s housing market was one of the largest stores of wealth on Earth. Its collapse destroys confidence. And confidence is the foundation of every financial system. When confidence breaks in China - global markets feel it. And history is clear: property busts trigger financial stress. Financial stress destroys risk appetite. And when risk appetite disappears - stocks fall. Bitcoin falls harder. Speculative assets get crushed. This is not a correction. This is the deflation of a global macro bubble. And the market has not fully priced it in. I’ve spent years tracking macro turning points and market reactions like this. When the next move becomes clear, I’ll share it here. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning BEFORE the headlines catch up.

🚨 WARNING: CHINA’S REAL ESTATE BUBBLE JUST COLLAPSED!! China’s real estate just crashed 25% and wiped out TRILLIONS. But this is not a China-only crisis. It’s a GLOBAL market event. Stocks. Metals. Crypto. If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know what's coming next: This is a global liquidity event in motion. The collapse of the largest property bubble in modern history. For decades, China’s economy was built on one thing: Real estate. Developers borrowed endlessly. Households concentrated wealth into property. Local governments funded themselves through land sales. That entire system is now breaking. Home sales are collapsing. Prices are falling. Developers are defaulting. Liquidity is evaporating. Confidence is disappearing fast. And when housing breaks in an economy this large - everything gets hit. Banks absorb losses. Consumers cut spending. Construction activity freezes. Debt stress spreads. THIS IS EXTREMELY, EXTREMELY SERIOUS. Because China is not just a domestic economy. It is the second-largest economy in the world. And when China slows - global demand slows. That means commodities get crushed. Industrial metals weaken. Energy demand falls. Export economies take damage. And then financial markets react. Global equities reprice lower. Bond markets shift into risk-off mode. Emerging markets face capital flight. And risk assets get hit hardest. Bitcoin does not escape liquidity shocks. When global stress rises, capital pulls back fast. Speculation gets unwound first. Crypto gets sold first. High-growth tech stocks get hit next. Then broader equities follow. That is how risk cascades through markets. This is how contagion starts. China’s housing market was one of the largest stores of wealth on Earth. Its collapse destroys confidence. And confidence is the foundation of every financial system. When confidence breaks in China - global markets feel it. And history is clear: property busts trigger financial stress. Financial stress destroys risk appetite. And when risk appetite disappears - stocks fall. Bitcoin falls harder. Speculative assets get crushed. This is not a correction. This is the deflation of a global macro bubble. And the market has not fully priced it in. I’ve spent years tracking macro turning points and market reactions like this. When the next move becomes clear, I’ll share it here. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning BEFORE the headlines catch up.

0xNobler

39,431 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten