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Sam Altman in a new interview says Orbital Data Centers are not going to matter at scale this decade: “I honestly think the idea, with the current landscape of putting data centers in space is ridiculous. If you do the very rough math of launch costs relative to the...

72,344 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Elon Musk is building orbital data centers. Sam Altman just called the idea ridiculous. One of them is thinking in decades. The other is thinking in quarters. Altman: “I honestly think the idea with the current landscape of putting data centers in space is ridiculous.” The math he’s running is real. Launch costs are brutal. Power economics favor earth. GPUs break and you can’t send a technician to orbit. Altman: “If you just do the very rough math of launch costs relative to the cost of power we can do on Earth, to say nothing of how you’re going to fix a broken GPU in space, and they do break a lot still unfortunately.” He’s not wrong about today. He might be wrong about what today’s constraints tell us about tomorrow. Altman: “We are not there yet. Orbital data centers are not something it’s going to matter at scale this decade.” This decade. That’s the qualifier doing all the work. Musk has never been in the business of optimizing for this decade. He’s in the business of building infrastructure everyone calls ridiculous until it becomes inevitable. They called reusable rockets ridiculous. Until Falcon 9 landed itself. And the entire economics of space changed overnight. Orbital compute has the same logic underneath it. No land constraints. No permits. No power grid politics. Unlimited solar energy. Positioned anywhere on earth within milliseconds. The launch costs that make it unviable today are the same launch costs Starship is designed to collapse by orders of magnitude. Altman is doing the math on the current landscape. Musk is building a different landscape entirely. When the person who made rockets reusable tells you space infrastructure is coming, that’s not a vision. That’s a roadmap.

Dustin

28,002 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

BREAKING: Eric Romo (Eric Romo), President & COO of Impulse Space (Impulse Space) says: "The idea that launch prices are going to fall significantly in the next 5 years is nonsense." "I think there are an awful lot of business models that are predicated on “when Starship allows me to launch for $200 a kilogram…” I think they’re all broken, & all those companies are going to fail." "I think we’ve seen this play out already with Falcon 9 & the pricing around it, where the costs of Falcon 9 allowed SpaceX to deliver the Starlink constellation at a cost per CapEx that made them profitable. But they set the price in the market at something that just barely made it an okay investment to think about OneWeb or Kuiper or anything like that. So they ran that playbook exactly on Falcon 9, & they had their gross margins on Falcon 9—people think we’ll see when the S1 comes out—are like 50% plus. So they could have dropped the price, & they didn’t. They’re going to do the same thing on Starship, because why wouldn’t they? Their internal costs on Starship are going to be whatever they need to be to deploy Starlink & orbital data centers, but they’re going to set the price so that anybody trying to do comms, anybody trying to do orbital data centers—the price is going to be too high. So if you’re a third party relying on them for a lower price of access to space, I think you’re hosed." 00:20 Hot Take Launch Prices 01:41 SpaceX Market Power 02:23 Impulse Space Overview 02:54 Mira For GEO Defense 03:45 Helios Direct To GEO 05:19 Caravan Rideshare To GEO 06:42 Space Economy Reality Check 08:46 Tom Mueller Legends 10:54 SpaceX IPO 13:42 Investor Frenzy & Broomstick 14:05 Alien Eyeballs Outro Elon Musk Recorded at NYSE 🏛 x Payload 🚀 Space Summit

Molly O’Shea

197,842 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад