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🚨SILVER IS REPEATING THE 2011-2013 CRASH SCENARIO I've seen this before, and I don't like how it ends Since January 2026, silver has dropped around 48% from its all-time high of $121.6/oz, making January and February some of the worst months since 2011 The scenario is repeating almost perfectly:...

170,045 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 GOLD IS REPEATING THE SCENARIO OF THE 2013 CRASH I've seen this before and I don't like how it ends Back then, people also believed that after years of gains, it was just a correction Since the beginning of 2026, gold has already fallen about 24% from its all-time high of $5,600 per ounce And March turned out to be the worst month since June 2013 - the exact moment when the most painful phase of the previous bear market began The scenario is repeating: Rally → ATH → Hawkish Fed → ETF outflows → Loss of momentum → Deep correction So far, almost everything lines up: 1. After the ATH, profit-taking accelerated Just like in 2011, gold rallied for years on fear, inflation, and crisis expectations But after peaking, the market started losing momentum 2. The Fed is once again the main source of pressure In 2013, investors feared tapering and rising real yields Today looks similar: the Fed remains hawkish, inflation is still elevated, the dollar is strengthening, and real yields are rising Historically, that's one of the worst environments for gold 3. Safe-haven demand is fading Tensions around Iran have eased Some capital is already rotating out of safe-haven assets and back into risk 4. ETFs are starting to reverse March saw strong outflows from gold ETFs Historically, major ETF outflows often appear when the market regime starts changing Yes, central banks are still buying gold But even record purchases by central banks can only soften the downside if the macro environment continues to deteriorate for gold If the Fed stays hawkish and the U.S. economy remains strong, the $4,100-4,200 zone may end up being just a temporary stop The main idea is simple: The market has already gone through the euphoria phase And if the 2011-2013 analogy continues to hold, the current decline may not be the end of the correction I've said this before, and everything is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications. If you're not following me yet, you might realize later that it was a mistake because I warned you Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

280,183 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

EIGHT YEARS SILVER DEFICIT: WHY THIS CORRECTION IS THE LAST CHANCE TO LOAD UP Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger has spent 44 years in finance including 30 years focused on commodities. He watched gold drop 25 percent and silver plunge 45 percent from their peaks yet he refuses to back down. What he reveals about Asia's relentless buying and the structural supply crunch will make you rethink everything you thought you knew about this correction. THE EXPERT STANDS FIRM ➡️ Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger with 44 years of experience will not throw in the towel. ➡️ He calls gold's 25 percent correction understandable after the massive prior advance. ➡️ Silver's 45 percent decline he describes as totally overdone and exaggerated. ➡️ "I would never throw in the towel" Staiger declares without hesitation. THE GOLD TARGETS AHEAD ➡️ Gold is set to recover swiftly and target the 4800 to 5000 range in the near term. ➡️ It will then move toward 5600 as it retests previous highs. ➡️ The ultimate goal stands at 6300 as this decade unfolds. THE SILVER EXPLOSION COMING ➡️ Silver could reach 164 by the end of this year according to his chart. ➡️ The 184 level comes into view by the first half of 2027 at the latest. ➡️ By the end of the decade he sees 236 to 250 with 300 still on the table. THE ASIAN BUYING FRENZY ➡️ A huge shift is moving metal from weak Western hands straight into strong Asian hands. ➡️ China imported 25000 tons of silver in the first four months alone. ➡️ Physical markets are booming in Singapore Hong Kong Shanghai and now Dubai with instant delivery. ➡️ The COMEX paper system is fading as real physical demand takes center stage. THE SILVER SUPPLY CRUNCH ➡️ The market is now in its eighth consecutive year of structural deficits. ➡️ 1.3 billion ounces have already vanished from inventories. ➡️ COMEX holds just 325 million ounces and new supply from mines will not arrive fast enough. ➡️ Demand from solar power electric vehicles and high tech keeps climbing. THE SMART MONEY OPPORTUNITY ➡️ Retail investors still allocate only 2.7 percent to gold well below past cycles. ➡️ Family offices are slowly raising exposure from 2 to just 3 percent. ➡️ This is far from a crowded trade and the dip presents a rare chance to average down. THE BOTTOM LINE Gold and silver suffered a sharp but healthy correction after a powerful advance. The fundamentals remain rock solid with Asia leading demand and supply constraints tightening every quarter. Those who buy this dip with a clear plan will be rewarded handsomely in the years ahead. The correction ends here. The real rally in gold and silver is about to begin. MY TAKE I don’t think the correction is over yet – not just yet. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SilverTo250 #GoldTo6300 #AsiaGoldDemand #BuyTheDip

Mark

77,801 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🎙️ EXCLUSIVE INSIGHTS FROM A 30-YEAR BULLION BANK TRADER Bob Gottlieb, former precious metals trader at JP Morgan, HSBC and Citibank, explains his view of what is currently happening in the gold and silver market. TODAY'S RALLY IS NOTHING LIKE 1980 OR 2011 ✅ This isn't a Reddit-driven squeeze or a social media pump. ✅ This is a fundamental, policy-driven surge led by CENTRAL BANKS. ✅ "Central banks have decided they're going to buy and they're not going to stop buying because it's $4,600." CENTRAL BANKS DON'T CARE ABOUT PRICE – THEY CARE ABOUT POLICY ✅ Their buying is strategic, not speculative. ✅ Gold is now the #2 reserve asset for many central banks, ahead of the Euro. ✅ 75% of central banks surveyed plan to keep buying over the next 5 years. SILVER'S PERFECT STORM: DEFICITS & INDUSTRIAL DEMAND ✅ 5+ years of structural supply deficits. ✅ Soaring demand from solar, AI, EVs, and chips. ✅ New mines take 10-20 years to come online. ✅ "This is an equation for the silver price to go up." "THE BIGGEST MYTH: BANKS ARE SHORT THE WORLD'S SILVER" ❌ "This is false misinformation" because ✅ Banks are typically LONG physical and SHORT futures as part of a complex arbitrage. ✅ This structure allows them to profit from spreads, not bet against the metal. THE BOTTOM LINE This rally is built on rock-solid fundamentals: relentless central bank buying, structural silver deficits, and geopolitical fear. Gottlieb's statement that banks are never net short may remain open to question, as may his reluctance to explain price manipulation through the derivatives structure of precious metals trading. HT: Paul Buitink 🎙 YouTube: Reinvent Money #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #CentralBanks #Investing #Markets #Finance #ETF #Bullion #Trading

Mark

94,576 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain

Mark

104,322 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

I am extremely bullish on silver prices long term. There are clearly supply shortages in this market which has caused the increase in the silver prices from $30 last year to over $70 today. The issue is global silver mine supply. It is in decline. All of the mines in the world produced 900 million oz in 2015. In 2026 it will be about 820 million oz. Production is steadily declining. The best mines have been found and depleted. Meanwhile silver demand is still increasing. EVs, solar panels, electronics, Ai chips, etc. I have invested in physical silver, but I also invest in a few silver mining stocks. Most mining stocks are struggling just to maintain current silver production. The key is to find the companies that can increase production. My top silver stock in my portfolio is Aya Gold & Silver (ticker AYASF). The reason why is because this company is one of the few that can seriously increase it's production in the coming years. They are already producing 6 million oz of silver per year from their first mine, Zgounder. They mine at a cost of $20 per oz, they are selling their silver at over $70 per oz. That is over $50 per oz profit margins on 6 million oz. They are building their next mine, Boumadine, which is currently projected to produce 37 million oz AgEq in 2030. So this is a company that will increase revenue and profits by about 6x to 7x even if gold and silver prices remain at current levels. If gold and silver prices increase from here, the upside for AYASF is even higher. Here is a brief clip from an interview last week where the CEO, Benoit La Salle, walks through the numbers and the comparison to other silver miners. Benoit has built multiple mines in his career and he is doing it again with Aya (ticker AYASF). I will leave the link to the full interview in the replies below. This is just a brief clip. Bookmark this post. I will be posting about Aya regularly in the coming years.

Wall Street Mav

64,907 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Catherine Austin Fitts: "In gold, the demand for physical reflects a demand for a core position...Silver is...different... because you have so much growing industrial demand... and they have to take physical delivery...But... people are [realizing] inflation is not going away." This clip of Fitts, a former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, investment banker, and founder of the Solari Report (The Solari Report | Catherine Austin Fitts), is taken from a discussion with Miles Franklin (Miles Franklin Precious Metals) posted to YouTube on January 26, 2026. ----------------Partial transcription of clip--------------- "In gold, the demand for physical reflects a demand for core position. Okay. And not just by individuals, but by institutions and businesses. Silver is a very different story because you have so much growing industrial demand for silver and they have to take physical delivery. You can't use silver paper to, to build a data center. So part of it is the industrial demand, including national security issues. "But then also if you're going to monetize gold being driven by the people wanting more and more core position, silver ultimately is going to be monetized too. It'll lag, but it's coming in. They want physical. And if you look at the leverage in this, the paper to silver leverage is much greater than gold. "So for two years, you probably don't know this, I'm asked about gold and I just say I'm buying silver. And people keep saying, why are you buying silver? And it's on sale. I'm buying silver because it's on sale. And so the other day I kept saying to our team, I said, I think the sale's over. "But we knew at some point that that leverage was between paper and, whatever. Anyway, so let me keep going. The investment position, the miners have clearly lagged, so they're catching up. But then finally people are beginning to realize, you know, inflation is not going away. "There are many reasons why it could get worse and they need to protect themselves. And so they're going to the trouble of educating themselves. It's a big, for somebody who's never done precious metals, it's a big education. And so, you know, so people are saying, okay, inflation's not going away. I'm going to take the time to do the education. And so I think that's a major factor in the investment part of it anyway. So it's, you know, it's complicated, but if you look at all the factors, we are clearly in the, I would call it the end of the first phase of a long-term bull market in gold and silver. "Now, there are many things that could drive the price way down. You know, a pandemic or a war is very deflationary, as you know, and can drive the price way down. But I think, you know, I think the bull market has quite a ways to run."

Sense Receptor

24,705 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance

Mark

148,732 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

ANOTHER VIRAL AI SILVER STORY: 🇳🇴 NORWAY'S ENORMOUS WEALTH FUND IS NOW BUYING SILVER! 🤖 Another viral ‘AI Silver’ video is making the rounds. This time, it's not ‘Asian Guy,’ but an AI-generated Kevin O'Leary claiming to be in possession of a leaked memo. The Spectacular Claim: Norway's $1.6T and Saudi Arabia's $900B sovereign wealth funds have jointly allocated $89 BILLION to buy 50 million ounces of physical silver. ➡️ Execution to begin January 6, 2026. Here’s the Critical Reality Check: ✅ I have found zero independent confirmations of this. ✅ Here is my personal experience with the Norwegian Wealth Fund: Years ago, I wrote to the Norwegian Fund and asked why it did not own any gold and silver. The official response was: ‘The rules do not allow this.’ This is the core tension. The story is likely fiction. But it’s built on a foundation of very real market truths: 🔸 The Scale: 50M oz is ~95% of COMEX registered silver. 🔸 The Mechanism: If a sovereign fund did enter, it would break the paper market. 🔸 The Motive: Diversification away from dollars and into critical commodities is a legitimate strategic shift. Why This Narrative Matters: It perfectly packages the structural vulnerabilities of the silver market—its small size, drained inventories, and physical scarcity—into a compelling "what if" scenario that feels plausible in 2026. The Bottom Line: Treat this as a thought experiment. It's a fictional story that highlights a very non-fictional market setup. It is the underlying fragility and also the geopolitical and macro-financial relevance that this thought experiment clearly reveals, suddenly making this idea very relevant. What if it was not fiction? HT: YouTube Learyomics #Silver #AI #Markets #Viral #SovereignWealth #COMEX #PreciousMetals #Investing #Storytelling

Mark

30,346 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

UPDATE: M. OLIVER - The Asset Class Shift Has Officially Begun. 🚀 "We’ll probably see $200 silver by the second quarter. Now, I could be wrong. We might vastly overshoot and see something even higher than that." – "Be in #Silver and #Miners now !" Michael Oliver, Momentum Structural Analysis. 📈 This is the breakout from a HALF-CENTURY trading range. For 50 years, silver has been contained. That containment is now failing. Why This Time is Structurally Different: ✅ Gold has broken out vs. the S&P 500 on a spread basis—signaling a major asset class rotation. ✅ Silver has broken out vs. gold—meaning it's set to outperform dramatically. ✅ The miners ( $XAU, $GDX) are breaking multi-decade spreads vs. gold, poised to double relative value. The Historical Precedent is Stunning: ➡️When copper broke out of a 30-year range in 2005-2006, it quadrupled in two quarters. ➡️When lead did the same in 2007, it also quadrupled in a few quarters. ➡️Silver is now breaking out of a 50-year range. The potential velocity is immense. This is the START, not the end. 🔄The breakout signals the beginning of a multi-year trend, not a short-term spike. Capital is just starting to rotate from inflated equities (S&P, Nasdaq) into the monetary metals complex. ⏰ "Is it too late to invest?" The clear technical answer is NO. Entry points are always higher in a genuine breakout. This is the last major entry before the move accelerates. The Bottom Line: The charts are screaming that a historic, compressed repricing of silver and mining equities is imminent. This is a structural shift, not a speculative spike. Being early feels late, but being late will be costly. HT: Palisades Gold Radio Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Stocks #Trading #Miners #Breakout #Commodities 🔄

Mark

159,318 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce