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Slippage Comparison Test #2 using stop market orders: FOMC Minutes (High Volatility period) 7/30/2025 ProjectX: 1 tick slippage (execute @ 23562 fill @ 23562.25) Tradovate: 1 tick slippage (execute @ 23562 fill @ 23562.25)

26,755 просмотров • 1 год назад •via X (Twitter)

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This trader reportedly made $90,000 in one day after using Claude Fable 5 to test 600 strategies in 48 hours. He was not smarter than Wall Street. He simply killed bad ideas thousands of times faster. His old backtesting system needed nearly a week to evaluate one strategy. Claude Fable 5 reportedly reduced the same process to around two minutes, letting him test hundreds of ideas over a single weekend. The results were brutal. 597 strategies failed. Only 3 survived. Those three were then deployed into live Polymarket trading and reportedly generated $90,000 in one day. The real edge was not discovering one brilliant strategy. It was eliminating almost every weak strategy before real money touched the market. His process started with a simple rule: “When the order book leans 70/30 during the final 90 seconds, buy the UP side.” Fable 5 then replayed that rule tick by tick across thousands of settled markets, including real order books, fills, liquidity and slippage. Two minutes later, the system could show whether the idea had any chance of surviving. The three successful strategies now reportedly run through MiroFish, use Kelly-based position sizing and only enter when simulated expectations diverge from the live market. That is what makes AI quant trading powerful. It does not instantly turn someone into a trading genius. It gives them far more attempts to test ideas, reject weak setups and identify the few patterns that remain profitable after realistic simulation. A traditional fund might test 20 strategies in a quarter. He tested 600 in one weekend. The advantage was not better intuition. It was faster elimination.

Secta

85,341 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

M E S S I E R | P2P Roadmap Think P2P swaps are just a simple trade between two users? Think again! The current P2P Exchange goes far beyond basic P2P trading, offering Multi-Swap order fills where multiple buyers can partially fill your order, along with Linear or Locked Token Vesting for gradual payments to team members, KOLs, or token discount promotions that attract new holders without immediate sell risks. You can trade at Live Market Rates, or set offers at fixed percentages above or below market rates to create better deals. And with Order Alerts sent to over 100 Telegram groups and easy-to-share order URLs, your offer gets filled even faster. And we’re just getting started! The New Roadmap takes P2P trading to the next level! We’re building a community-driven TradeHub to keep users and liquidity active. Users can place Direct Bids on each other’s funds and receive real-time Email Notifications, creating a dynamic and active P2P trading environment. To give users even more control, we’re introducing P2P Limit Orders for automated buy and sell orders at user-defined prices. If your order isn’t filled in time, you can set a custom countdown timer to trigger Smart DEX Routing, which will partially or fully execute the order based on your predefined slippage tolerance, helping you tap into the best available price through DEX liquidity. And that’s just the beginning. Upcoming features include: ▪️ TradeHub ▪️ P2P Wallet ▪️ Bidding System ▪️ P2P Orderbook ▪️ P2P NFT Trading ▪️ P2P Limit Orders ▪️ Email Notifications ▪️ Smart DEX Routing ▪️ DEX Fallback Timer ▪️ DEX Slippage Guard ▪️ CEX-Style Homepage ▪️ Base & BNB Chain Integration

MESSIER | M87

81,882 просмотров • 1 год назад

The Complete Futures Trading Strategy (Just 3 Steps, 2 Timeframes) (and if you want the full 2-hour masterclass from which the video below was clipped from—just comment “MASTERCLASS” and I’ll DM it to you in the next few minutes) Firstly, futures trading helps you achieve consistent profits with maximum flexibility—trade around your 9-5, your timezone, or any lifestyle commitment. It's one of the easiest markets to trade because: (1) You get regulated leverage without shady brokers (2) Deep liquidity means instant execution with zero slippage (3) Markets are open 23 hours a day from Sunday evening to Friday evening (4) And you can trade during Asia, London, or New York sessions—whenever fits YOUR schedule. HOW TO START: You only need 2 timeframes: 1) Higher timeframe: 5-minute 2) Lower timeframe: 1-minute Then we use these while following the 3-step strategy: Step 1: Identify Break of Structure On the 5-minute chart, find where price breaks the previous swing high (bullish) or swing low (bearish). This tells you the trend direction. If bullish, only look for longs. If bearish, only shorts. Step 2: Mark High-Probability Zones Find the supply/demand zone that LED to that break of structure. A high-probability zone must have all three: 1) Created a break of structure 2) Left an imbalance (gap in price) 3) Swept liquidity (triggered stop losses) Step 3: Wait for Entry Signal Avoid entering on first mitigation—that's the trap (inducement). Instead, wait for price to: 1) Mitigate your zone 2) Create a fake bounce (inducement) 3) Sweep the liquidity below/above that first reaction 4) THEN enter on the second move Then place stop loss below the liquidity sweep candle. Target minimum 1:2 risk-reward.

The Trading Geek (Brad Goh)

21,919 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

most Polymarket bots die the same way they quote symmetrically around mid-price price moves they absorb the loss repeat until account is empty the fix has been in academic papers since 2008 Stoikov figured it out studying stock market microstructure the math translates directly to prediction markets here's what actually matters: mid-price is a bad signal it's the average of best bid and ask on thin Polymarket orderbooks that number is almost meaningless what you want is VAMP Volume Adjusted Mid Price you walk into the orderbook depth and calculate the weighted average price for a given volume filters out the gaps, gives you a real reference point then you stop quoting symmetrically the reservation price formula: r = Mid - β × Q Q is your current inventory if you're long YES contracts, r shifts down automatically your bot starts selling YES cheaper and stops buying aggressively target is always flat inventory the spread isn't static either it has two components: volatility premium (widens when market moves fast) microstructure premium (depends on how often orders actually fill) if Polymarket odds start swinging fast, spread widens in real time static spread = guaranteed adverse selection - one more thing Stoikov points out: small tick size markets are where this model actually works large-tick markets (CME futures, liquid ETFs) have massive queues you can't nudge your price by a fraction of a tick without losing your place Polymarket is small-tick by nature binary markets, USDC pricing, sparse orderbooks that's exactly the environment this model was built for the P&L comparison between naive bots and inventory-controlled bots is not close naive strategy: wide distribution, occasional huge wins, regular wipeouts inventory control: tight distribution, consistent positive drift, rare catastrophic losses the "pennies in front of a steamroller" problem doesn't go away but you can see the steamroller coming if you're watching orderbook imbalance when bid volume heavily outweighs ask volume price is about to move up your bot should already be adjusting before the move happens that's the wealth still building the inventory control layer myself using for live execution in the meantime it handles the market scanning and order management while i finish the rest

cryptovcdegen

19,657 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

This trader built a bot with Claude Fable 5 that makes 876 trades per hour. Result: $226,000 profit on Polymarket. Starting capital: $2,366. Time frame: 1 month. The bot does high-frequency scalping and arbitrages 5-min and 15-min Bitcoin markets. Execution speed: 14.6 trades per minute. The strategy is simple: 1. Buys only with limit orders to control entry price Average market cost: $10 per position. No market orders. No slippage. Just precise entries. 2. Uses 5-min markets for arbitrage Average edge per trade: 7.27% The bot identifies mispriced outcomes and captures the spread before it closes. 3. Builds directional positions on 15-min markets Trigger: order book imbalance appears. The edge is reading order flow faster than everyone else and leaning into the side with momentum. The entire edge is execution speed + order book reading. While manual traders place 1-2 trades per hour, this bot completes 876. No hesitation. No emotion. Just high-frequency scalping repeating itself at scale. Some context: Most people try to predict where Bitcoin goes next. This system just identifies arbitrage windows on 5-min markets, builds directional positions when order book imbalance appears on 15-min markets, and captures micro-edges before they disappear. Limit order arbitrage + scalping turned $2,366 into $226,000 in 30 days. The system runs autonomous: → Claude Fable 5 handles decision logic → Monitors 5-min and 15-min BTC markets continuously → Executes limit orders when arbitrage edge appears → Builds directional positions on order book imbalance → Scalps micro-edges at 14.6 trades per minute No manual trading. No chart analysis. Just finding mispriced markets and exploiting the edge before anyone else. 💡 I'm sharing the complete Claude Fable 5 prompt and high-frequency scalping workflow. Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1️⃣ Comment the "Fable" 2️⃣ Like and Repost 3️⃣ Follow Himanshu Kumar I'll DM you the setup.

Himanshu Kumar

56,295 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

I asked Claude Fable 5 (Extra High) to build an arb bot for Polymarket. One rule: trade only when YES + NO in 2 hours it almost doubled it (+$96.31) > in 5 hours it showed +$579 PnL > current balance: +$3,799.73 Cost: 10M tokens. Here's how it works and why: Every BTC Up/Down market on Polymarket has exactly two outcomes. YES and NO. When the market resolves, one pays $1. The other pays $0. That means owning BOTH sides should always cost exactly $1. But markets aren't perfect. Sometimes YES trades at $0.48 while NO trades at $0.49. Together that's only $0.97 so the bot instantly buys both. A position worth $1... for just $0.97. And Claude knows it, this is the simplest arb that exists. You can paste this to it and use this logic in your prompt. This $0.03 difference is locked in regardless of whether Bitcoin pumps, dumps, or goes sideways. No prediction required. And difficult part isn't finding the opportunity, it's execution. These pricing gaps usually disappear in seconds. If one order fills but the other doesn't, the trade can become a loss. So my bot constantly scans every BTC market, checks fees, validates liquidity, places both orders almost simultaneously and skips what isn't worth the risk. It's less like trading and more like catching tiny accounting mistakes before everyone else notices them. Funny enoughh, the hardest part was not writing arb logic. It was making the execution reliable enough that free money actually stayed free. This completely changed how I think about trading. What's the point of it if you can just fill mispriced BTC markets?? Automatically. The biggest edge is getting AI to execute simple ideas faster and more consistently than any human ever could. Shared the exact build in my last article, leaving it below. Good luck!

Oracle Boar

155,656 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

I asked Claude Fable 5 (Extra High) to build an arb bot for Polymarket. One rule: trade only when YES + NO in 2 hours it almost doubled it (+$98.40) > in 5 hours it showed +$493 PnL > current balance: +$3,279.73 Cost: 7.5M tokens. Here's how it works and why: Every BTC Up/Down market on Polymarket has exactly two outcomes. YES and NO. When the market resolves, one pays $1. The other pays $0. That means owning BOTH sides should always cost exactly $1. But markets aren't perfect. Sometimes YES trades at $0.48 while NO trades at $0.49. Together that's only $0.97 so the bot instantly buys both. A position worth $1... for just $0.97. And Claude knows it, this is the simplest arb that exists. You can paste this to it and use this logic in your prompt. This $0.03 difference is locked in regardless of whether Bitcoin pumps, dumps, or goes sideways. No prediction required. And difficult part isn't finding the opportunity, it's execution. These pricing gaps usually disappear in seconds. If one order fills but the other doesn't, the trade can become a loss. So my bot constantly scans every BTC market, checks fees, validates liquidity, places both orders almost simultaneously and skips what isn't worth the risk. It's less like trading and more like catching tiny accounting mistakes before everyone else notices them. Funny enoughh, the hardest part was not writing arb logic. It was making the execution reliable enough that free money actually stayed free. This completely changed how I think about trading. What's the point of it if you can just fill mispriced BTC markets?? Automatically. The biggest edge is getting AI to execute simple ideas faster and more consistently than any human ever could. Shared the exact build in my last article, leaving it below.

Oracle Boar

78,062 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

I gave Claude Opus 5 full access to my laptop and turned on bypass permission mode. Asked him tuild me a Polymarket arbitrage bot. With no complicated strategy. Just this: Only open a trade when YES + NO < $1. I put $100 into the account and let it run. 2 hours: +$78.40 5 hours: +$479 Current balance: $1,791.30 in just 24 hours. Total Claude usage: roughly 7.5M tokens. But here's the part I find interesting: The bot doesn't care if Bitcoin goes up or down. It cares when the market prices both outcomes incorrectly. A BTC Up/Down market has two contracts: YES or NO At settlement, exactly one pays $1. The other pays $0. So buying both should cost $1. But during fast market moves, the two orderbooks can temporarily drift apart. For example: YES = $0.48, NO = $0.49 Combined = $0.97 The bot buys both. You're paying 97 cents for a position that settles to $1. That's a 3-cent gross spread without needing to predict BTC direction. And this isn't some complicated quant strategy. It's basic arbitrage. The difficult part is capturing it. These gaps can disappear almost instantly. A few cents of edge can also disappear after fees, slippage, or a bad fill. So the bot doesn't blindly buy every time the equation looks good. It checks the available liquidity, estimates the actual executable price, accounts for costs, and only fires when the remaining edge is large enough. It also has to handle the ugly scenario: One leg fills. The other doesn't. That's where a theoretical arbitrage can turn into a very real directional position. This is why I care much more about execution than adding another indicator. A human can find one opportunity. A bot can monitor hundreds of markets continuously. A human needs to click. The bot can react immediately. The strategy itself is almost boring. That's exactly why I like it. The interesting part is turning a simple mathematical rule into software that can actually execute it reliably. I shared the exact build process and prompts in my last article. Leaving it below if you want to build your own. The future of trading might just be better execution. Think bout that...

Oracle Boar

22,315 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

I lost $27K on Polymarket not because I was wrong with my prediction. I lost because the interface is designed to kill my deposit. Most of you don't even understand that you are trading naked. You go to the website press Buy and go to sleep. And in the morning you see zero on your balance. Why? Because Polymarket in its current form is a trap for retail. Face the truth: > No Stop-loss: The price drops 40% while you sleep. You get liquidated because you physically cannot monitor the market 24/7. > No Take-profit: You had +80% profit. You hesitated. Went to sleep. In the morning you have -5%. > Limit orders don't work: You hit the button getting execution 3% worse than the screen due to slippage. Now look at who sits on the other side of your trade. Whales and market makers don't use the website. They use institutional terminals. TWAP algorithms: They spread their entry over hours to enter big without moving the price against themselves. Trailing Stops: The robot pulls the stop-loss following the price rise locking in profit automatically. You came to play chess. They came to play chess using the Stockfish engine. Your chances are zero. I spent weeks trying to find an equalizer tool. Most Telegram bots asked for my private key which is a scam. GitHub scripts required a programming degree. But I found what the institutions use TradeFox: This is not a garage project. Alliance DAO and CMT Digital are behind them. Real venture capital real audit. How this changes the game: Stop-Loss & Take-Profit: I set the exit rules once. The system executes them while I sleep. My deposit is protected. TWAP: I can enter with a big position without causing a price pump and without losing on slippage. Smart Discovery: Filter by liquidity and dumb money. No guessing. And most importantly for paranoids like me: 100% Self-Custodial. No KYC. Your money stays in your wallet. Infrastructure is protected by Privy with SOC 2 compliance. They physically cannot steal your funds. Fees? Lower than on Polymarket itself at 0.75% + cashback. I don't promise that this tool will make you a millionaire. The market is brutal. But with this terminal it is at least a fair fight. Stop trading naked. Put on your armor.

Blaze

20,598 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

i cancelled $2,000/month in trading subscriptions replaced every single one with open-source repos here's the full stack: 1. TradingView Pro ($30/mo) → lightweight-charts 14K stars. by TradingView themselves. 45KB. free 2. Bloomberg Terminal ($2,000/mo) → fredapi + Claude every macro dataset the Fed publishes. free API 3. backtest platform ($100/mo) → prediction-market-backtesting NautilusTrader fork with Polymarket + Kalshi adapters 4. real-time dashboard → polyrec terminal UI: Chainlink oracle, Binance feed, orderbook depth 70+ indicators. auto CSV logging. strategy backtester 5. bot framework (7 strategies) → Polymarket-Trading-Bot 53K lines TypeScript. arbitrage, momentum, market making, AI forecast, whale copy-trade, convergence 6. strategy reverse engineering → polybot execution + market data infrastructure. paper trading Kafka, ClickHouse, Grafana. full analytics pipeline 7. paper trading for AI agents → polymarket-paper-trader real order books. exact fee model. slippage tracking your Claude agent gets $10K paper money and trades 8. token savings → rtk CLI proxy. cuts Claude Code tokens by 60-90% Rust. single binary. 10 AI tools supported 9. Claude Code itself ($200/mo) → goose 35K stars. by Block (Jack Dorsey). Rust works with any LLM. full agent loop. free 10. wallet tracking + copy trading → Kreo track top Polymarket wallets. auto copy trades the only tool on this list i actually pay for because it makes more than it costs total before: ~$2,600/month total now: $0 + Kreo bookmark this. you'll need it

self.dll

803,521 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

I replaced a wall street desk with 9 grok bot agents, slept through the night, and woke up to $10,175 I placed 0 trades, the floor placed 69, 61 filled, average fill 4 ms. That screenshot is my desk at 7:05 AM, pre-market, lights on, 9 agents at their stations, and me still in bed. LEAD sits at the command desk and routes the other 8, then hands me 1 page at the open, while SIGNALS reads rates, CPI and FOMC and tells me what kind of day it is before I open a single chart. RADAR sweeps 12,400 tickers for my setup, not interesting stocks but mine, and MODELS retrains every 15 minutes and kills the edge the second decay shows up. NEWSROOM eats every earnings call and 8-K the moment it drops, while ONCHAIN sat at 95% load all night watching wallets, flows and funding nobody has the energy to check at 3 AM. GUARD sizes, stops and limits and is the only agent allowed to say no, FILLS routes the order and reports slippage in basis points, AUDIT logs every decision so I can audit myself instead of lying to myself. Here's what they did while my phone was face down: 1:47 AM book flat, good 3:03 AM signal decay low 5:34 AM pre-announce, MU 6:25 AM BTC whale in 6:50 AM edge 2.1, vol up 3 flags, exposure 46%, latency 5 ms, 0 humans awake. That floor costs millions a year to staff on Wall Street, and it still walks out the door at 6 PM. The part that actually got me: GUARD wrote no overnight risk at 6:10 AM and cut positions I would have held out of pride, because a bot never moves a stop and I always do. I didn't find a strategy, I hired a floor and went to sleep. The desk never sleeps, I finally can.

West Lord

26,063 просмотров • 22 дней назад