Video wird geladen...

Video konnte nicht geladen werden

Beim Laden dieses Videos ist ein Problem aufgetreten. Dies könnte an einem vorübergehenden Netzwerkproblem liegen oder das Video ist möglicherweise nicht verfügbar.

most Polymarket bots die the same way they quote symmetrically around mid-price price moves they absorb the loss repeat until account is empty the fix has been in academic papers since 2008 Stoikov figured it out studying stock market microstructure the math translates directly to prediction markets here's what... actually matters: mid-price is a bad signal it's the average of best bid and ask on thin Polymarket orderbooks that number is almost meaningless what you want is VAMP Volume Adjusted Mid Price you walk into the orderbook depth and calculate the weighted average price for a given volume filters out the gaps, gives you a real reference point then you stop quoting symmetrically the reservation price formula: r = Mid - β × Q Q is your current inventory if you're long YES contracts, r shifts down automatically your bot starts selling YES cheaper and stops buying aggressively target is always flat inventory the spread isn't static either it has two components: volatility premium (widens when market moves fast) microstructure premium (depends on how often orders actually fill) if Polymarket odds start swinging fast, spread widens in real time static spread = guaranteed adverse selection - one more thing Stoikov points out: small tick size markets are where this model actually works large-tick markets (CME futures, liquid ETFs) have massive queues you can't nudge your price by a fraction of a tick without losing your place Polymarket is small-tick by nature binary markets, USDC pricing, sparse orderbooks that's exactly the environment this model was built for the P&L comparison between naive bots and inventory-controlled bots is not close naive strategy: wide distribution, occasional huge wins, regular wipeouts inventory control: tight distribution, consistent positive drift, rare catastrophic losses the "pennies in front of a steamroller" problem doesn't go away but you can see the steamroller coming if you're watching orderbook imbalance when bid volume heavily outweighs ask volume price is about to move up your bot should already be adjusting before the move happens that's the wealth still building the inventory control layer myself using for live execution in the meantime it handles the market scanning and order management while i finish the restshow more

cryptovcdegen

2,628 subscribers

19,483 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Kommentare

Keine Kommentare verfügbar

Kommentare vom Original-Post werden hier angezeigt

Ähnliche Videos

every time you hit buy, the market maker on the other side already solved for two numbers not on the asset - on you specifically the first: their internal fair value. not the midpoint you see on screen their number is adjusted for the last 30 seconds of order flow, their current inventory imbalance and which volatility regime the model thinks the market is in it's different from the displayed price, and they never show it to you the second: your adverse selection probability. a live estimate of whether you're informed or just emotional if the model flags you as a potential informed trader, the spread widens before your fill - automatically, invisibly, before you notice anything changed that bad fill you blamed on "low liquidity"? sometimes it's a market maker's algorithm deciding you look too dangerous to fill at the quoted price this is Glosten-Milgrom - published 1985, sits in every market microstructure textbook on earth, runs inside every serious market making operation that's ever quoted you a price Bookmark this feature before it lost when you click buy, you're answering a question you didn't know was being asked retail spends all its time thinking about where price is going the desk filling your order is spending that same time thinking about you

every time you hit buy, the market maker on the other side already solved for two numbers not on the asset - on you specifically the first: their internal fair value. not the midpoint you see on screen their number is adjusted for the last 30 seconds of order flow, their current inventory imbalance and which volatility regime the model thinks the market is in it's different from the displayed price, and they never show it to you the second: your adverse selection probability. a live estimate of whether you're informed or just emotional if the model flags you as a potential informed trader, the spread widens before your fill - automatically, invisibly, before you notice anything changed that bad fill you blamed on "low liquidity"? sometimes it's a market maker's algorithm deciding you look too dangerous to fill at the quoted price this is Glosten-Milgrom - published 1985, sits in every market microstructure textbook on earth, runs inside every serious market making operation that's ever quoted you a price Bookmark this feature before it lost when you click buy, you're answering a question you didn't know was being asked retail spends all its time thinking about where price is going the desk filling your order is spending that same time thinking about you

Livsun

18,906 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Polymarket front run bot Spent the last month building the backend for this bot which essentially acts the same way that high frequency trading bots work in the stock market It waits for a market buy order to come through where there is thin liquidity in the order book meaning their market buy will push the price up of a YES/NO contract meaning that if my bot buys the contracts first then I can sell them at the high price to the market buy order before their orders have gone through Prediction markets are still early enough to find opportunities like this, just like how the early days of stock trading similar bots to this were invented It is essentially an arbitrage strategy, will make the bot public and free to a few people tomorrow so turn on notifications so you don’t miss it

Polymarket front run bot Spent the last month building the backend for this bot which essentially acts the same way that high frequency trading bots work in the stock market It waits for a market buy order to come through where there is thin liquidity in the order book meaning their market buy will push the price up of a YES/NO contract meaning that if my bot buys the contracts first then I can sell them at the high price to the market buy order before their orders have gone through Prediction markets are still early enough to find opportunities like this, just like how the early days of stock trading similar bots to this were invented It is essentially an arbitrage strategy, will make the bot public and free to a few people tomorrow so turn on notifications so you don’t miss it

Ethan

71,718 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

I vibe-coded a bot for the 5M / 15M BTC markets on Polymarket. Releasing it for you for free. Open source (Python). I just earned $400 today on Polymarket with this tool myself It doesn’t trade It just prints a signal in the console: UP or DOWN 🔸 The signal appears a few seconds before the Polymarket market actually moves. The bot exploits a Chainlink oracle inefficiency. What matters is that it consistently gives you a 4-8 second lead over the actual quotes on Polymarket. In practice, you’re seeing a few seconds into the future. What you can do with it: 🔸 Possible strategies: 1/ Momentum sniper Bot gives a signal -> instant entry into the current 5-minute market in the direction of the signal (Yes/No). Works best during strong moves >0.3-0.5%. 2/ Last-second scalp before market expiration 3-12 seconds before the 5-minute candle closes, you already see where the BTC candle is going to close. -> Enter Polymarket at the very last moment. 3/ Hedging + arbitrage Strong signal against the current Yes/No price -> hedge your position or catch crowd squeezes. Especially juicy in the final seconds, when odds are still fat, but the outcome is almost decided. 🔸 This is pure price update inefficiency. Open the 5M or 15M BTC market yourself. Run the bot. Watch who moves first. Until this gets tightened up - it’s a clean inefficiency. And yes, if you ape your entire deposit into it, the market will punish you fast. 🔸 But as a tool - this is the closest thing to a "Polymarket money printer" setup I’ve seen recently. Python bot setup instructions on GitHub: DYOR. Print hard, print smart.

I vibe-coded a bot for the 5M / 15M BTC markets on Polymarket. Releasing it for you for free. Open source (Python). I just earned $400 today on Polymarket with this tool myself It doesn’t trade It just prints a signal in the console: UP or DOWN 🔸 The signal appears a few seconds before the Polymarket market actually moves. The bot exploits a Chainlink oracle inefficiency. What matters is that it consistently gives you a 4-8 second lead over the actual quotes on Polymarket. In practice, you’re seeing a few seconds into the future. What you can do with it: 🔸 Possible strategies: 1/ Momentum sniper Bot gives a signal -> instant entry into the current 5-minute market in the direction of the signal (Yes/No). Works best during strong moves >0.3-0.5%. 2/ Last-second scalp before market expiration 3-12 seconds before the 5-minute candle closes, you already see where the BTC candle is going to close. -> Enter Polymarket at the very last moment. 3/ Hedging + arbitrage Strong signal against the current Yes/No price -> hedge your position or catch crowd squeezes. Especially juicy in the final seconds, when odds are still fat, but the outcome is almost decided. 🔸 This is pure price update inefficiency. Open the 5M or 15M BTC market yourself. Run the bot. Watch who moves first. Until this gets tightened up - it’s a clean inefficiency. And yes, if you ape your entire deposit into it, the market will punish you fast. 🔸 But as a tool - this is the closest thing to a "Polymarket money printer" setup I’ve seen recently. Python bot setup instructions on GitHub: DYOR. Print hard, print smart.

0xLanister

18,390 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

how tread.fi mm bot actually works and how to launch it safe for your balance market making with tread is not free yield you're basically renting a very fast trader that: - posts both bids and asks around the mid - tries to keep your net exposure inside a controlled band instead of letting you drift into a huge directional bet - farm tread points in the video below i walk through the clicks: > step one - pick the market and leverage if you farm trade.xyz or Ventuals be careful, those markets completely static on weekends and bot most likely will stop. there's no problems with majors though (btc, eth, hype, etc.) for less risk choose leverage below 10x > step two - fund and size the bot before you touch settings, make sure your inventory is at least a bit higher than the recommended inventory size (think +10-20% buffer) otherwise you have a risk of liquidations recommended inventory depends on the budget, bias and mode you should be ok with that whole amount being actively traded. this is not a tiny test order, this is your working capital for the bot > step three - choose bias type neutral mm goal: max volume with min price impact not profit and no loss, you're just burning dex fees in range of your budget use this if you don't have a strong view on direction long / short skew goal: combine mm with a directional opinion bot front-loads your bias in the first half of the run and unwinds later path matters: you need price behavior to roughly match your bias path (best case is up/down only), not just end higher/lower even if you bet on right direction positive pnl is not guaranteed, you should test with small amount at first to understand algos. > step four - execution mode aggressive - tighter around mid, more fills, faster volume - better for mega-liquid markets where you just want to get done and reduce exposure quickly normal - good default for most large pairs - balances between getting hit and not chasing every move passive - behave closer to a grid: slower, wider - potentially higher returns over longer periods but you need patience and monitoring > step five - run and monitor once the bot is live, watch: - pnl and executed notional (are you bleeding per notional traded?) - participation rate (if you're 80–90% of the market, you're basically trading against yourself) if something looks off, pause early. make sure all positions are closed and orders are canceled. TLDR; inventory is your work balance, it will be used to open positions keep inventory buffer at least at 10%, running with less than recommended inventory is how you get forced into bad fills or even liquidations on a weird move. a bit more inventory = more room for the bot to rebalance without panicking. bias is harder than it looks, with a skewed bot you're not just betting end price > start price, you're betting on the path monitor often, there are a lot of unpredicted maintenances happens on dexes side

how tread.fi mm bot actually works and how to launch it safe for your balance market making with tread is not free yield you're basically renting a very fast trader that: - posts both bids and asks around the mid - tries to keep your net exposure inside a controlled band instead of letting you drift into a huge directional bet - farm tread points in the video below i walk through the clicks: > step one - pick the market and leverage if you farm trade.xyz or Ventuals be careful, those markets completely static on weekends and bot most likely will stop. there's no problems with majors though (btc, eth, hype, etc.) for less risk choose leverage below 10x > step two - fund and size the bot before you touch settings, make sure your inventory is at least a bit higher than the recommended inventory size (think +10-20% buffer) otherwise you have a risk of liquidations recommended inventory depends on the budget, bias and mode you should be ok with that whole amount being actively traded. this is not a tiny test order, this is your working capital for the bot > step three - choose bias type neutral mm goal: max volume with min price impact not profit and no loss, you're just burning dex fees in range of your budget use this if you don't have a strong view on direction long / short skew goal: combine mm with a directional opinion bot front-loads your bias in the first half of the run and unwinds later path matters: you need price behavior to roughly match your bias path (best case is up/down only), not just end higher/lower even if you bet on right direction positive pnl is not guaranteed, you should test with small amount at first to understand algos. > step four - execution mode aggressive - tighter around mid, more fills, faster volume - better for mega-liquid markets where you just want to get done and reduce exposure quickly normal - good default for most large pairs - balances between getting hit and not chasing every move passive - behave closer to a grid: slower, wider - potentially higher returns over longer periods but you need patience and monitoring > step five - run and monitor once the bot is live, watch: - pnl and executed notional (are you bleeding per notional traded?) - participation rate (if you're 80–90% of the market, you're basically trading against yourself) if something looks off, pause early. make sure all positions are closed and orders are canceled. TLDR; inventory is your work balance, it will be used to open positions keep inventory buffer at least at 10%, running with less than recommended inventory is how you get forced into bad fills or even liquidations on a weird move. a bit more inventory = more room for the bot to rebalance without panicking. bias is harder than it looks, with a skewed bot you're not just betting end price > start price, you're betting on the path monitor often, there are a lot of unpredicted maintenances happens on dexes side

xxceptive

17,352 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Chinese student used AI from Anthropic to turn $1,000 into $1,500,000 He studies at Tsinghua University in Beijing. His account is k9Q2m In such a young age he already make a million simply knowing the right formulas and being able to use Claude Result: $1,430 → $1,550,750 44,364 trades Win rate 100% The biggest win $23,600 on a single bet k9Q2m profile: How it bots work: The bot runs 6 formulas hedge funds use simultaneously, every tick. Most traders guess. This bot calculates. Formula 1 - LMSR Pricing Polymarket prices move on a logarithmic curve. The bot knows the exact price impact before entering. Market says 31¢ for BTC up in 5 minutes. The model sees the curve is mispriced. The bot enters before the correction. Formula 2 - Kelly Criterion Renaissance Capital uses it. Two Sigma uses it. Now your bot uses it. Every bet is sized exactly right. Never too big to blow the account. Never too small to matter. $1,000 bankroll. Consistent edge. Kelly compounds it into something real. Formula 3 - EV Gap Detection The bot scans every BTC market looking for one thing: - Where is the market price wrong by more than 5%? - Market says 30¢. Real probability is 55¢. EV = +0.52. The bot enters. Most people never see this gap. The bot never misses it. Formula 4 - KL-Divergence BTC 5-minute and 15-minute markets are correlated. When they drift apart - that's an arb. The bot measures the statistical distance between them every second. When it crosses 0.2, it flags the trade. This is how hedge funds extracted $100K+ on correlated election markets. The same logic runs here. Formula 5 - Bayesian Updates New block confirmed. Volume spike. Price movement. The bot doesn't ignore signals - it updates. Prior probability was 54%. New data comes in. Posterior jumps to 71%. The bot re-prices in real time while the market is still asleep. Formula 6 - Stoikov Execution Entering at the wrong moment kills the edge. The bot calculates the reservation price-the exact point where the risk-adjusted entry makes sense. It doesn't chase. It doesn't panic. It waits for the right tick, then fills What this means in practice: - Every few seconds the bot runs all six formulas in parallel. - If LMSR confirms mispricing - EV gap is above 5% - Kelly says the bet size is justified - Bayesian posterior agrees - KL-divergence flags the correlated drift - Stoikov clears the execution price Only then does the bot enter. Six filters. One trade. This isn't a trading bot. It's a hedge fund strategy running on a prediction market. The edge is real. The math is public. The difference is most people never build it. Just insert all these formulas into Claude and create your own bot Add this post to bookmarks so you don’t lose it Soon I will publish another bot with working formulas

AdiiX

718,301 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: “I think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.” “And I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.” “I think we should have a federal regulatory body.” “This is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.” Chamath: “ Look at Polymarket.” “Polymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.” “And you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.” Friedberg: “ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.” “And so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.” “Polymarket actually has the news before the news does.” “And this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.” “When you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.”

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: “I think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.” “And I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.” “I think we should have a federal regulatory body.” “This is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.” Chamath: “ Look at Polymarket.” “Polymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.” “And you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.” Friedberg: “ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.” “And so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.” “Polymarket actually has the news before the news does.” “And this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.” “When you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.”

The All-In Podcast

348,178 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

I activated a bot that market makes on Polymarket and earns passive income from the spread Main function: Market Making In simple terms: The bot automatically places buy orders LOWER and sell orders HIGHER, earning from the difference (spread) > What the bot does: 1. Analyzes the market: - Checks current prices - Calculates optimal spread - Determines order size 2. Places orders 3. Waits for execution 4. Earns from the spread > Repeats the cycle: - Constantly updates orders - Monitors price - Manages position This two markets which I used to market-making:

I activated a bot that market makes on Polymarket and earns passive income from the spread Main function: Market Making In simple terms: The bot automatically places buy orders LOWER and sell orders HIGHER, earning from the difference (spread) > What the bot does: 1. Analyzes the market: - Checks current prices - Calculates optimal spread - Determines order size 2. Places orders 3. Waits for execution 4. Earns from the spread > Repeats the cycle: - Constantly updates orders - Monitors price - Manages position This two markets which I used to market-making:

cryptovcdegen

12,569 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

this is legitimately brilliant trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like Polymarket i just gone through The Smart Ape 🔥's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything. the insight here gathered is perfect: - top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots. - they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality. - markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane: - AI scrapes every major publisher - flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart - updates in minutes. for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40% I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free absolute gold here i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets. the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

this is legitimately brilliant trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like Polymarket i just gone through The Smart Ape 🔥's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything. the insight here gathered is perfect: - top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots. - they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality. - markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane: - AI scrapes every major publisher - flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart - updates in minutes. for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40% I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free absolute gold here i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets. the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

arndxt

105,303 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I Actually Want the Crypto Market to Crash, Here’s Why Everyone is praying for crypto to pump. I'm hoping for the exact opposite, and here's why. People are waiting for the CLARITY Act to pass and the Fed to cut rates so crypto explodes. I want it delayed. Keep the market down a little longer. Here's why that sounds crazy but isn't. When the market is down is exactly when you get to accumulate at cheap prices. You don't walk into a store hoping the price is high. If you want a quality product, you want it cheap. Assets are no different. But in investing people flip it. They want their bags expensive while they're still trying to buy more. That's trading with your emotions, way too attached to your portfolio. If you truly believed in your investments, you'd want what I want: more money into cheaper assets. That's how this actually works, not the other way around. Flip your perspective and you make money. Stay emotional, blame everyone else, and you stay exactly where you are. Follow for more.

I Actually Want the Crypto Market to Crash, Here’s Why Everyone is praying for crypto to pump. I'm hoping for the exact opposite, and here's why. People are waiting for the CLARITY Act to pass and the Fed to cut rates so crypto explodes. I want it delayed. Keep the market down a little longer. Here's why that sounds crazy but isn't. When the market is down is exactly when you get to accumulate at cheap prices. You don't walk into a store hoping the price is high. If you want a quality product, you want it cheap. Assets are no different. But in investing people flip it. They want their bags expensive while they're still trying to buy more. That's trading with your emotions, way too attached to your portfolio. If you truly believed in your investments, you'd want what I want: more money into cheaper assets. That's how this actually works, not the other way around. Flip your perspective and you make money. Stay emotional, blame everyone else, and you stay exactly where you are. Follow for more.

Alexander Lorenzo

13,602 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

There's a way to win on Polymarket no matter who wins. Buy YES in one place, NO in another. If they don't add up to a dollar, you locked a profit. Before the event even happens. Here's how the arbitrage actually works and how to master it: This is the closest thing to free money on Polymarket. Every market has a YES and a NO. One of them MUST resolve to $1. The other goes to zero. So in theory, YES + NO should always cost exactly $1. But in thin or messy markets, they don't. Sometimes you can buy: > YES at 0.48 > NO at 0.49 > total cost: 0.97 This guy does it every day: [ He also uploaded a full guide on how to build the same bot. One side pays you $1 at resolution no matter what. He spends 97 cents to guarantee a dollar. That 3 cents is locked, risk-free. There's also the cross-market version. The same event sometimes has two separate markets at different prices. Buy the cheap YES in one, the cheap NO in the other, and pocket the gap. Sounds easy, right? But here's the honest part: These gaps close in about 2.7 seconds now. By the time you click by hand, a bot already took it. So the manual version only really survives in low-liquidity markets the bots ignore. The fast version? That lives in compiled code with a VPS sitting next to the exchange. If you can code, this is one of the cleanest edges i know. If you can't, stick to the thin markets where speed matters less. Good luck!

There's a way to win on Polymarket no matter who wins. Buy YES in one place, NO in another. If they don't add up to a dollar, you locked a profit. Before the event even happens. Here's how the arbitrage actually works and how to master it: This is the closest thing to free money on Polymarket. Every market has a YES and a NO. One of them MUST resolve to $1. The other goes to zero. So in theory, YES + NO should always cost exactly $1. But in thin or messy markets, they don't. Sometimes you can buy: > YES at 0.48 > NO at 0.49 > total cost: 0.97 This guy does it every day: [ He also uploaded a full guide on how to build the same bot. One side pays you $1 at resolution no matter what. He spends 97 cents to guarantee a dollar. That 3 cents is locked, risk-free. There's also the cross-market version. The same event sometimes has two separate markets at different prices. Buy the cheap YES in one, the cheap NO in the other, and pocket the gap. Sounds easy, right? But here's the honest part: These gaps close in about 2.7 seconds now. By the time you click by hand, a bot already took it. So the manual version only really survives in low-liquidity markets the bots ignore. The fast version? That lives in compiled code with a VPS sitting next to the exchange. If you can code, this is one of the cleanest edges i know. If you can't, stick to the thin markets where speed matters less. Good luck!

Dexter's Lab

11,583 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem → POTS MARKET POTS MONEY

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem → POTS MARKET POTS MONEY

KAISER

12,208 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

In 2026, 90% of all Polymarket profits will be taken by Python scripts.. And this is not a prediction. It’s already happening. So if you think political pundits and sports gurus are making profits in these areas, let me be the bearer of bad news. Studies have revealed that merely “16% of users are profitable.” More importantly, “most of these users are not human.” How bots are exactly taking your money: Speed. One bot made $313 into $438K in a month. It’s a simple trick: the bot would look at the btc price a few seconds before the price update on Polymarket by checking the price on Binance. There’s no strategy or intelligence involved: simply beating the latency of the system. Risk-Free Arbitrage It looks for markets where "YES + NO" equals less than $1. "94 cents," for example. The bot buys both sides of the market and makes off with 6 cents guaranteed. This occurs thousands of times daily. Not gambling but math. Stream parsing. In esports, the script is faster than the blink of an eye when parsing the stream for games like Dota 2 and League of Legends. A team fight appears on the screen. The bot has already placed its bets on the winner using the old odds. What is meant by the turning point of 2026? Dynamic fees were introduced on Polymarket to get rid of simple bots. But what happened? The difficulty level on this marketplace simply increased. Today, it is not only fast scripts that win. Full-on AI robots have joined this game. They read news and respond to certain events within a millisecond. But here comes the painful part: barrier to entry is dirt cheap. Virtual private servers for $60 per month. Libraries written in Python waiting on GitHub. But here’s the thing: You don’t have to create a bot of your own. All you have to do is copy those which are already winning. PolyCop helps you to track the most profitable wallets and replicate their trades automatically. No code. No infrastructure. Just tap into the wallets that are already dominating. → Copy the winners: Humans deal on intuition and vibes. Bots play on numbers and network latency. In this game, "intuition" always loses against "code." You have two choices here. You could learn how to code or you could “copy” people who have done it before you

In 2026, 90% of all Polymarket profits will be taken by Python scripts.. And this is not a prediction. It’s already happening. So if you think political pundits and sports gurus are making profits in these areas, let me be the bearer of bad news. Studies have revealed that merely “16% of users are profitable.” More importantly, “most of these users are not human.” How bots are exactly taking your money: Speed. One bot made $313 into $438K in a month. It’s a simple trick: the bot would look at the btc price a few seconds before the price update on Polymarket by checking the price on Binance. There’s no strategy or intelligence involved: simply beating the latency of the system. Risk-Free Arbitrage It looks for markets where "YES + NO" equals less than $1. "94 cents," for example. The bot buys both sides of the market and makes off with 6 cents guaranteed. This occurs thousands of times daily. Not gambling but math. Stream parsing. In esports, the script is faster than the blink of an eye when parsing the stream for games like Dota 2 and League of Legends. A team fight appears on the screen. The bot has already placed its bets on the winner using the old odds. What is meant by the turning point of 2026? Dynamic fees were introduced on Polymarket to get rid of simple bots. But what happened? The difficulty level on this marketplace simply increased. Today, it is not only fast scripts that win. Full-on AI robots have joined this game. They read news and respond to certain events within a millisecond. But here comes the painful part: barrier to entry is dirt cheap. Virtual private servers for $60 per month. Libraries written in Python waiting on GitHub. But here’s the thing: You don’t have to create a bot of your own. All you have to do is copy those which are already winning. PolyCop helps you to track the most profitable wallets and replicate their trades automatically. No code. No infrastructure. Just tap into the wallets that are already dominating. → Copy the winners: Humans deal on intuition and vibes. Bots play on numbers and network latency. In this game, "intuition" always loses against "code." You have two choices here. You could learn how to code or you could “copy” people who have done it before you

Blaze

65,717 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

PRICE IS GOING UP, VOLUME IS NOT, THAT'S THE TELL. 15 years of trading and I've never seen the S&P 500 push this aggressively into all-time highs on volume this weak Everyone is watching price almost nobody is watching what's underneath it Low volume rallies don't have real buyers behind them they have price being pushed on thin liquidity We saw this exact setup in early 2025 low volume grind higher, no real demand, then the selloff came Now add the macro backdrop: 1990 → oil shock → S&P 500 -20% 2008 → oil hit $147 → S&P 500 -57% 2022 → oil surged 70% → S&P 500 -28% The market is grinding higher into the exact conditions that have historically broken it When volume finally returns to this market it won't be buyers It will be sellers I've called every major top and bottom for 15 years, including the $16K bottom and the $126K top both publicly, both before they happened When I exit the markets completely, this account posts it first Turn notifications on if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later

PRICE IS GOING UP, VOLUME IS NOT, THAT'S THE TELL. 15 years of trading and I've never seen the S&P 500 push this aggressively into all-time highs on volume this weak Everyone is watching price almost nobody is watching what's underneath it Low volume rallies don't have real buyers behind them they have price being pushed on thin liquidity We saw this exact setup in early 2025 low volume grind higher, no real demand, then the selloff came Now add the macro backdrop: 1990 → oil shock → S&P 500 -20% 2008 → oil hit $147 → S&P 500 -57% 2022 → oil surged 70% → S&P 500 -28% The market is grinding higher into the exact conditions that have historically broken it When volume finally returns to this market it won't be buyers It will be sellers I've called every major top and bottom for 15 years, including the $16K bottom and the $126K top both publicly, both before they happened When I exit the markets completely, this account posts it first Turn notifications on if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later

philarekt

78,067 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Quant on Polymarket turned $313 into $296,000 in one month - and it never predicted Bitcoin's direction once. 65% win rate on 15-minute Up/Down markets. The edge wasn't the forecast. It was the order book. Wallet proof: It's the one thing retail never sees and bots live on: full bid/ask depth on any BTC/ETH/SOL Up/Down market, at any second in its history, down to 300ms - Binance depth beside it, replayable tick-by-tick on real fills. I've been pulling it from PolyHistorical Here's why it matters. Bloomberg ran the numbers: the top 1% of wallets, mostly bots, took 80%+ of all profits. Retail lost $131M net. Same predictions - better data. What that data shows: pull the depth on a BTC 5-minute market and watch the last minute. Resting bids at T-60 sit around $1,210. At T-10, $240. At T-3, $90. 95% of the liquidity you think you can hit vanishes before resolution. A $500 buy at T-30 eats ~4.2¢ of slippage - half the edge, gone. One tested pattern: when depth leans 65/35 while price sits flat, it reverts within 60s 73% of the time. Median lag from depth to price: 11 seconds. 312 signals in 30 days. The depth wasn't lagging. It was waiting. That's the whole game here - not calling the candle, but seeing depth shift before price does. This wallet did exactly that. Every level, every 300ms, 13,000+ resolved markets, free to replay.

Quant on Polymarket turned $313 into $296,000 in one month - and it never predicted Bitcoin's direction once. 65% win rate on 15-minute Up/Down markets. The edge wasn't the forecast. It was the order book. Wallet proof: It's the one thing retail never sees and bots live on: full bid/ask depth on any BTC/ETH/SOL Up/Down market, at any second in its history, down to 300ms - Binance depth beside it, replayable tick-by-tick on real fills. I've been pulling it from PolyHistorical Here's why it matters. Bloomberg ran the numbers: the top 1% of wallets, mostly bots, took 80%+ of all profits. Retail lost $131M net. Same predictions - better data. What that data shows: pull the depth on a BTC 5-minute market and watch the last minute. Resting bids at T-60 sit around $1,210. At T-10, $240. At T-3, $90. 95% of the liquidity you think you can hit vanishes before resolution. A $500 buy at T-30 eats ~4.2¢ of slippage - half the edge, gone. One tested pattern: when depth leans 65/35 while price sits flat, it reverts within 60s 73% of the time. Median lag from depth to price: 11 seconds. 312 signals in 30 days. The depth wasn't lagging. It was waiting. That's the whole game here - not calling the candle, but seeing depth shift before price does. This wallet did exactly that. Every level, every 300ms, 13,000+ resolved markets, free to replay.

cvxv666

22,348 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

I built my own charting platform with Claude Fable, and it does a few things Tradingview straight up can't.. I call it EchoCharts.. so what it basically does is 1) Echoes: this is the big one. it takes the exact shape price action is forming right now them scans thousands of past candles, and finds every time the market looked just like this before. then it shows you what happened next. it'll tell you something like "20 matches, 30% closed higher 24 bars later, median -0.05%", and it draws those past paths forward on the chart so you see the full spread. 2) Sketch search: draw any shape with your mouse, and it finds where price actually did that in real history, then jumps you straight to it. great for the patterns you can feel but can't name. 3) Market clock: A 24-hour dial showing when this market actually moves. volatility, direction and volume, split by hour of the day and day of the week. so you stop trading dead hours and start trading when it counts. plus the basics done clean, candles, volume, a moving average, and RSI. So how it basically works is, it all runs on real binance data, 6,000 live candles.. Echoes matches the shape of the move using correlation, not the price level, so a setup today of bitcoin:native at $63K can match one from years ago at $10K and it only ever looks at fully finished history, it never peeks at the future, so the "what happened next" numbers stay honest. Now, Here’s how i built it: i described what i wanted and claude fable built it. plain javascript, the lightweight-charts library for the chart, around 700 lines, no framework. static site, opens in any browser. one thing i'll be straight about, echoes shows you what happened after similar setups in the past. that's history, not a prediction. it shows you the lay of the land, it doesn't call the future. might open-source the whole thing soon.

I built my own charting platform with Claude Fable, and it does a few things Tradingview straight up can't.. I call it EchoCharts.. so what it basically does is 1) Echoes: this is the big one. it takes the exact shape price action is forming right now them scans thousands of past candles, and finds every time the market looked just like this before. then it shows you what happened next. it'll tell you something like "20 matches, 30% closed higher 24 bars later, median -0.05%", and it draws those past paths forward on the chart so you see the full spread. 2) Sketch search: draw any shape with your mouse, and it finds where price actually did that in real history, then jumps you straight to it. great for the patterns you can feel but can't name. 3) Market clock: A 24-hour dial showing when this market actually moves. volatility, direction and volume, split by hour of the day and day of the week. so you stop trading dead hours and start trading when it counts. plus the basics done clean, candles, volume, a moving average, and RSI. So how it basically works is, it all runs on real binance data, 6,000 live candles.. Echoes matches the shape of the move using correlation, not the price level, so a setup today of bitcoin:native at $63K can match one from years ago at $10K and it only ever looks at fully finished history, it never peeks at the future, so the "what happened next" numbers stay honest. Now, Here’s how i built it: i described what i wanted and claude fable built it. plain javascript, the lightweight-charts library for the chart, around 700 lines, no framework. static site, opens in any browser. one thing i'll be straight about, echoes shows you what happened after similar setups in the past. that's history, not a prediction. it shows you the lay of the land, it doesn't call the future. might open-source the whole thing soon.

Axel Bitblaze 🪓

57,362 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

For investors who started investing after the pandemic, this is the first real market correction. Markets are cyclical, and given the way our markets went up from late 2020, this fall was inevitable. I don't know how good the data is, but it seems like the number of investors stopping their SIPs has gone up. This is the wrong thing to do. What an SIP helps you do is to average your investments across different market cycles. You averaged on your way up from 2021; now, you get to average on the way down. In 2020, large, mid, and small caps fell by 25-40% but then rose by 200-400%. If you had panicked, you would have missed the rebound. As long as you invest regularly in the right funds, diversify, and stay disciplined, your chances of long-term success are high. The other mistake to avoid is leverage. There's no shortage of businesses triggering you to borrow money to invest etc., but that's a bad idea. I've no idea where the markets go from here, and neither does anyone. What I do know is panicking now is the wrong thing to do, and you can get pushed to panic if you have borrowed. You are better off just investing every month and doing something useful in life than getting carried away by the doom and gloom. If you are new to the markets and are feeling nervous, watching this Zero1 by Zerodha video.

For investors who started investing after the pandemic, this is the first real market correction. Markets are cyclical, and given the way our markets went up from late 2020, this fall was inevitable. I don't know how good the data is, but it seems like the number of investors stopping their SIPs has gone up. This is the wrong thing to do. What an SIP helps you do is to average your investments across different market cycles. You averaged on your way up from 2021; now, you get to average on the way down. In 2020, large, mid, and small caps fell by 25-40% but then rose by 200-400%. If you had panicked, you would have missed the rebound. As long as you invest regularly in the right funds, diversify, and stay disciplined, your chances of long-term success are high. The other mistake to avoid is leverage. There's no shortage of businesses triggering you to borrow money to invest etc., but that's a bad idea. I've no idea where the markets go from here, and neither does anyone. What I do know is panicking now is the wrong thing to do, and you can get pushed to panic if you have borrowed. You are better off just investing every month and doing something useful in life than getting carried away by the doom and gloom. If you are new to the markets and are feeling nervous, watching this Zero1 by Zerodha video.

Nithin Kamath

278,692 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Devs are leaking their Polymarket bots While everyone else is asking how to build one and earn passively People who actually cracked it are doing the opposite They’re dumping the edge before it disappears and print money on Polymarket ‘moondev’ built one of the fastest bots out there using Opus 4.5 Instead of flexing it, he tore it apart in public and showed exactly how these bots work - scan markets 24/7 - buy at the lowest possible price - sell with limit orders into the spread - repeat it a thousand times THE RESULTS? - 1266% ROI That’s the part people miss By showing the process, he also revealed the secret EXECUTION BEATS IDEAS Once the secret is public, the edge compresses fast What’s interesting is that this strategy is already being used elsewhere I found a bot running the same playbook trader 'distinct-baguette' - joined 2 months ago - over 21,000 predictions - $350,000 PnL No narratives. No prediction skill Just relentless execution Buy better than everyone else. Sell higher than everyone else. Let the code do the work That’s why devs are stepping away. Once enough people understand how this really works, it stops working Before you make your bot, ask yourself Do you want to learn how bots used to make money or figure out where the next edge is before it gets dumped too?

Devs are leaking their Polymarket bots While everyone else is asking how to build one and earn passively People who actually cracked it are doing the opposite They’re dumping the edge before it disappears and print money on Polymarket ‘moondev’ built one of the fastest bots out there using Opus 4.5 Instead of flexing it, he tore it apart in public and showed exactly how these bots work - scan markets 24/7 - buy at the lowest possible price - sell with limit orders into the spread - repeat it a thousand times THE RESULTS? - 1266% ROI That’s the part people miss By showing the process, he also revealed the secret EXECUTION BEATS IDEAS Once the secret is public, the edge compresses fast What’s interesting is that this strategy is already being used elsewhere I found a bot running the same playbook trader 'distinct-baguette' - joined 2 months ago - over 21,000 predictions - $350,000 PnL No narratives. No prediction skill Just relentless execution Buy better than everyone else. Sell higher than everyone else. Let the code do the work That’s why devs are stepping away. Once enough people understand how this really works, it stops working Before you make your bot, ask yourself Do you want to learn how bots used to make money or figure out where the next edge is before it gets dumped too?

gavelsv.patron

65,851 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Before you trade futures, you MUST the contracts you are trading. Every contract, comes with two key numbers: 1) Tick size 2) Tick value Tick size is the smallest price movement the contract can make Tick value is how much money you make or lose per tick Here's how to calculate what one point is worth: For example, let’s look at the NASDAQ 100 E-mini (NQ): • Tick size: 0.25 • Tick value: $5 per tick • One point = 4 ticks × $5 = $20 per point • Margin required: ~$17,600 Or the NASDAQ 100 Micro (MNQ): • Tick size: 0.25 • Tick value: $0.50 per tick • One point = 4 ticks × $0.50 = $2 per point • Margin required: ~$1,760 See the difference? The micro contract is 1/10th the size—perfect for beginners. S&P 500 E-mini (ES): • Tick value: $12.50 per tick • One point = $50 • Margin: ~$15,400 S&P 500 Micro (MES): • Tick value: $1.25 per tick • One point = $5 • Margin: ~$1,540 Why this matters: If your stop loss is 10 points away on MES, you're risking $50. On ES? You're risking $500. It’s the same setup, but different exposure. This is why most beginners blow up—they don't understand contract specs and trade position sizes way too large for their account. Pro tip: Stick to micro contracts (MES, MNQ) until you're consistently profitable. Lower margin means mistakes cost less while you learn. — This is just scratching the surface. In the full 2-hour futures trading masterclass, I break down: • How to calculate exact position sizes so you never blow your account • The 3 beginner mistakes that cost traders thousands (and how to avoid them) • Live chart examples walking through actual entries and exits step-by-step Just comment "FUTURES" and I'll send you the complete masterclass in the next few minutes.

Before you trade futures, you MUST the contracts you are trading. Every contract, comes with two key numbers: 1) Tick size 2) Tick value Tick size is the smallest price movement the contract can make Tick value is how much money you make or lose per tick Here's how to calculate what one point is worth: For example, let’s look at the NASDAQ 100 E-mini (NQ): • Tick size: 0.25 • Tick value: $5 per tick • One point = 4 ticks × $5 = $20 per point • Margin required: ~$17,600 Or the NASDAQ 100 Micro (MNQ): • Tick size: 0.25 • Tick value: $0.50 per tick • One point = 4 ticks × $0.50 = $2 per point • Margin required: ~$1,760 See the difference? The micro contract is 1/10th the size—perfect for beginners. S&P 500 E-mini (ES): • Tick value: $12.50 per tick • One point = $50 • Margin: ~$15,400 S&P 500 Micro (MES): • Tick value: $1.25 per tick • One point = $5 • Margin: ~$1,540 Why this matters: If your stop loss is 10 points away on MES, you're risking $50. On ES? You're risking $500. It’s the same setup, but different exposure. This is why most beginners blow up—they don't understand contract specs and trade position sizes way too large for their account. Pro tip: Stick to micro contracts (MES, MNQ) until you're consistently profitable. Lower margin means mistakes cost less while you learn. — This is just scratching the surface. In the full 2-hour futures trading masterclass, I break down: • How to calculate exact position sizes so you never blow your account • The 3 beginner mistakes that cost traders thousands (and how to avoid them) • Live chart examples walking through actual entries and exits step-by-step Just comment "FUTURES" and I'll send you the complete masterclass in the next few minutes.

The Trading Geek (Brad Goh)

11,122 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

The mistake most traders make, and Mike Novogratz has made it myself more times than he’d like to admit, is losing patience waiting for the right entry point. 👇🏼 Trading is all about the entry point. If you’re patient enough to wait for it, you’re never really in that much pain. You know where you got in. You know where your stop loss is. You can breathe. But if you impulsively buy before it’s ready? It starts going down. You get nervous. You start sweating. Then you end up selling at the exact price you told yourself six months ago you were going to buy at. That’s the trap. Every time. I had a trader out here on crypto. Conviction without execution is just commentary. And we’re not in a bear market in equities yet. There’s a long way to go before you start buying the destruction. Be patient. Wait for your entry. Then have the guts to pull the trigger.

The mistake most traders make, and Mike Novogratz has made it myself more times than he’d like to admit, is losing patience waiting for the right entry point. 👇🏼 Trading is all about the entry point. If you’re patient enough to wait for it, you’re never really in that much pain. You know where you got in. You know where your stop loss is. You can breathe. But if you impulsively buy before it’s ready? It starts going down. You get nervous. You start sweating. Then you end up selling at the exact price you told yourself six months ago you were going to buy at. That’s the trap. Every time. I had a trader out here on crypto. Conviction without execution is just commentary. And we’re not in a bear market in equities yet. There’s a long way to go before you start buying the destruction. Be patient. Wait for your entry. Then have the guts to pull the trigger.

Anthony Scaramucci

59,481 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Stop Gambling, Start Engineering: The Ultimate Guide To CCXT Algorithmic Trading most traders are essentially walking into a high stakes casino with a blindfold on while the house has a high speed laser aimed directly at their bankroll. if you have ever felt the soul crushing weight of a liquidation notification at three in the morning then you know the market is a 24/7 beast that eats human emotion for breakfast there is a hidden bridge that connects your laptop to almost every major crypto exchange in existence and once you cross it the game changes forever. my name is moon dev i believe that code is the great equalizer because through losing money with liquidations and over trading i knew i had to automate my trading so i learned to code as in the past i spent hundreds of thousands on devs for app, thinking i would not be able to code myself w/ bots you must iterate to success so i decided to learn live on youtube, and now we are here, fully automated systems trading for me instead of getting liquidated. the secret weapon behind this transition is a library called ccxt which acts as a universal translator for exchanges like binance, bybit, and kucoin most people think they need to spend years studying computer science just to place a single trade via code but that is a lie designed to keep you on the sidelines. the reality is that once you understand how to initialize a connection you can control your entire portfolio with just a few lines of logic. it starts with importing the library and setting up your credentials in a way that doesn't leave your keys exposed to the world the first mistake that bankrupts most manual traders is the inability to act fast enough when the trend shifts. when you build a bot the first thing you need to master is the market order because it allows you to enter or exit a position instantly regardless of the price. it is the ultimate panic button for when a strategy goes south or a massive opportunity presents itself while market orders are great for speed they are the fastest way to get eaten alive by fees if you are not careful. this is where the limit order comes into play allowing you to dictate exactly what price you are willing to pay for an asset. by using a create limit order function you can place your bids and asks in the order book and wait for the market to come to you most traders forget that once an order is placed it stays active until it is either filled or manually removed. i have seen countless accounts go to zero because a bot kept piling on buy orders without ever checking to see if the previous ones were canceled. the cancel all orders function is the invisible shield that prevents your algorithm from accidentally over leveraging your account the real magic happens when you realize you can cancel more than just basic limit orders. there are untriggered conditional orders like stop losses and take profits that often hide in the background of an exchange waiting to ruin your day. by passing specific parameters into your cancel function you can wipe the slate clean and ensure your bot is starting from a neutral state every single time if you want to know what the whales are doing before it shows up on a candle chart then you need to be looking at the raw order book. fetching the order book gives you a direct view of every single bid and ask currently sitting on the exchange. this is the most honest data you can get because it represents real money waiting to be filled at specific price levels you can actually parse this data to find the exact top of the bid and the bottom of the ask to ensure your bot always gets the best possible entry. most retail traders are looking at delayed charts while your bot is reading the tape in real time and calculating the spread. this allows you to place orders that are optimized for the current liquidity rather than just guessing where the price might go one of the biggest hurdles in automation is managing the sheer volume of data that an exchange throws at you. when you fetch open high low close volume data you are getting the historical heartbeat of an asset across any timeframe you choose. this data is the foundation of every technical indicator from simple moving averages to complex machine learning models the problem is that raw data is often a mess of lists and dictionaries that are impossible for a human or a simple script to read efficiently. this is why we use pandas to convert that garbage into a structured data frame that looks exactly like a clean spreadsheet. once your data is in a data frame you can calculate rsi or macd with a single line of code and visualize the entire market structure the path to becoming a successful automated trader is not a sprint but a series of iterations toward a system that works. i chose to learn this live in front of the world because i wanted to prove that anyone can escape the cycle of over trading. you don't need a million dollars to start but you do need a system that removes the human element from the equation if you are still clicking buttons on a website then you are competing against machines that can process thousands of data points per second. it is time to stop playing a rigged game and start building your own edge in the market. the code is there for anyone to grab and the only thing standing between you and a fully automated portfolio is the willingness to sit down and write the first line every algorithm you build is a brick in a wall that protects your capital from the emotional swings of the crypto market. i spend my days refining these systems and sharing the process because i know how lonely it feels to lose everything to a flash crash. we are building a community where code is the tool and financial freedom is the goal the final step is realizing that your balance is just a number that your bot needs to manage with cold logic. by fetching your balance frequently your bot can calculate position sizes based on your total equity ensuring that no single trade can ever wipe you out. this is the difference between gambling and systematic trading and it is accessible to anyone with an internet connection i hope you take these tools and start building something that allows you to sleep peacefully while the markets do their thing. the industry is secretive for a reason but we are breaking those walls down one line of code at a time. the journey is long but the reward of never having to worry about a liquidation again is worth every second of the struggle

Stop Gambling, Start Engineering: The Ultimate Guide To CCXT Algorithmic Trading most traders are essentially walking into a high stakes casino with a blindfold on while the house has a high speed laser aimed directly at their bankroll. if you have ever felt the soul crushing weight of a liquidation notification at three in the morning then you know the market is a 24/7 beast that eats human emotion for breakfast there is a hidden bridge that connects your laptop to almost every major crypto exchange in existence and once you cross it the game changes forever. my name is moon dev i believe that code is the great equalizer because through losing money with liquidations and over trading i knew i had to automate my trading so i learned to code as in the past i spent hundreds of thousands on devs for app, thinking i would not be able to code myself w/ bots you must iterate to success so i decided to learn live on youtube, and now we are here, fully automated systems trading for me instead of getting liquidated. the secret weapon behind this transition is a library called ccxt which acts as a universal translator for exchanges like binance, bybit, and kucoin most people think they need to spend years studying computer science just to place a single trade via code but that is a lie designed to keep you on the sidelines. the reality is that once you understand how to initialize a connection you can control your entire portfolio with just a few lines of logic. it starts with importing the library and setting up your credentials in a way that doesn't leave your keys exposed to the world the first mistake that bankrupts most manual traders is the inability to act fast enough when the trend shifts. when you build a bot the first thing you need to master is the market order because it allows you to enter or exit a position instantly regardless of the price. it is the ultimate panic button for when a strategy goes south or a massive opportunity presents itself while market orders are great for speed they are the fastest way to get eaten alive by fees if you are not careful. this is where the limit order comes into play allowing you to dictate exactly what price you are willing to pay for an asset. by using a create limit order function you can place your bids and asks in the order book and wait for the market to come to you most traders forget that once an order is placed it stays active until it is either filled or manually removed. i have seen countless accounts go to zero because a bot kept piling on buy orders without ever checking to see if the previous ones were canceled. the cancel all orders function is the invisible shield that prevents your algorithm from accidentally over leveraging your account the real magic happens when you realize you can cancel more than just basic limit orders. there are untriggered conditional orders like stop losses and take profits that often hide in the background of an exchange waiting to ruin your day. by passing specific parameters into your cancel function you can wipe the slate clean and ensure your bot is starting from a neutral state every single time if you want to know what the whales are doing before it shows up on a candle chart then you need to be looking at the raw order book. fetching the order book gives you a direct view of every single bid and ask currently sitting on the exchange. this is the most honest data you can get because it represents real money waiting to be filled at specific price levels you can actually parse this data to find the exact top of the bid and the bottom of the ask to ensure your bot always gets the best possible entry. most retail traders are looking at delayed charts while your bot is reading the tape in real time and calculating the spread. this allows you to place orders that are optimized for the current liquidity rather than just guessing where the price might go one of the biggest hurdles in automation is managing the sheer volume of data that an exchange throws at you. when you fetch open high low close volume data you are getting the historical heartbeat of an asset across any timeframe you choose. this data is the foundation of every technical indicator from simple moving averages to complex machine learning models the problem is that raw data is often a mess of lists and dictionaries that are impossible for a human or a simple script to read efficiently. this is why we use pandas to convert that garbage into a structured data frame that looks exactly like a clean spreadsheet. once your data is in a data frame you can calculate rsi or macd with a single line of code and visualize the entire market structure the path to becoming a successful automated trader is not a sprint but a series of iterations toward a system that works. i chose to learn this live in front of the world because i wanted to prove that anyone can escape the cycle of over trading. you don't need a million dollars to start but you do need a system that removes the human element from the equation if you are still clicking buttons on a website then you are competing against machines that can process thousands of data points per second. it is time to stop playing a rigged game and start building your own edge in the market. the code is there for anyone to grab and the only thing standing between you and a fully automated portfolio is the willingness to sit down and write the first line every algorithm you build is a brick in a wall that protects your capital from the emotional swings of the crypto market. i spend my days refining these systems and sharing the process because i know how lonely it feels to lose everything to a flash crash. we are building a community where code is the tool and financial freedom is the goal the final step is realizing that your balance is just a number that your bot needs to manage with cold logic. by fetching your balance frequently your bot can calculate position sizes based on your total equity ensuring that no single trade can ever wipe you out. this is the difference between gambling and systematic trading and it is accessible to anyone with an internet connection i hope you take these tools and start building something that allows you to sleep peacefully while the markets do their thing. the industry is secretive for a reason but we are breaking those walls down one line of code at a time. the journey is long but the reward of never having to worry about a liquidation again is worth every second of the struggle

Moon Dev

14,105 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten