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Starship could unlock SpaceX’s biggest long-term value through orbital data centers. Starship reuse could unlock launch capacity no rival can match, enabling space-based AI infrastructure. Connectivity is already a strong business. Huge long-term upside ahead. — Doug Harned

49,648 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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Elon Musk is building orbital data centers. Sam Altman just called the idea ridiculous. One of them is thinking in decades. The other is thinking in quarters. Altman: “I honestly think the idea with the current landscape of putting data centers in space is ridiculous.” The math he’s running is real. Launch costs are brutal. Power economics favor earth. GPUs break and you can’t send a technician to orbit. Altman: “If you just do the very rough math of launch costs relative to the cost of power we can do on Earth, to say nothing of how you’re going to fix a broken GPU in space, and they do break a lot still unfortunately.” He’s not wrong about today. He might be wrong about what today’s constraints tell us about tomorrow. Altman: “We are not there yet. Orbital data centers are not something it’s going to matter at scale this decade.” This decade. That’s the qualifier doing all the work. Musk has never been in the business of optimizing for this decade. He’s in the business of building infrastructure everyone calls ridiculous until it becomes inevitable. They called reusable rockets ridiculous. Until Falcon 9 landed itself. And the entire economics of space changed overnight. Orbital compute has the same logic underneath it. No land constraints. No permits. No power grid politics. Unlimited solar energy. Positioned anywhere on earth within milliseconds. The launch costs that make it unviable today are the same launch costs Starship is designed to collapse by orders of magnitude. Altman is doing the math on the current landscape. Musk is building a different landscape entirely. When the person who made rockets reusable tells you space infrastructure is coming, that’s not a vision. That’s a roadmap.

Dustin

28,002 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

SpaceX has officially acquired xAI and this is a HUGE deal, probably bigger than most people realize. SpaceX + xAI together are about to build a single, vertically integrated engine that connects AI, rockets, space based internet, and real time information all into one unified system. At the core of this announcement is the fact that AI can’t scale forever on Earth. Think about it. Data centers are already running into hard limits with power, cooling, land, and environmental cost. On top of this, global AI electricity demand is exploding, and doing all of this on the ground just doesn’t scale long term. Therefore Space changes this. In orbit, you can get things like near-constant solar power, you don’t have cooling problems, there’s minimal land/environmental impact, and you can build systems that can run continuously with minimal maintenance. This is why space-based AI is actually very practical and there’s only one company that can do it, which is SpaceX! The scale that SpaceX is aiming for is pretty wild. Elon is talking about 1/ 1 million satellites acting as orbital data centers, and 2/ Launching ~1 million tons of satellites per year Which means 3/ At 100 kW per ton, that’s 100 gigawatts of AI compute every year 4/ And that can scale to 1 terawatt per year. FYI, adding 100 GW of new compute capacity annually in space would be like building out roughly 20-25% of the USA’s total average electricity demand every single year. And scaling to 1 TW/year would exceed the nation’s entire power usage, ALL without burdening Earth’s grids! Bro… this is next level… I repeat, as of today, SpaceX is the ONLY company positioned to do this, especially with Starship - the largest flying vehicle ever. In the future, Elon’s saying the team is going to have Starship launch 200 tons at a time, on an HOURLY basis… WTF?! That’s is absolutely mind boggling. In my opinion, whichever company builds the lowest cost AI compute is going to be the first company that defines the next era of AI, which will all be in space… and my $ is that SpaceX is going to be the first one to do it. Then, when you zoom out even further, this will unlock things most people aren’t even thinking about yet today bc it’s too sci-fi. Like, • Powering lunar bases • In-space propellant transfer • Manufacturing in orbit and on the Moon • Deep-space AI infrastructure using massive solar collectors • Self-growing civilizations on the Moon, Mars, and beyond By tapping into space’s unlimited solar energy, this is how we get to a Kardashev-level civilization! So for SpaceX, the faster Starship progresses, there will be massive new revenue streams and will lead in building out space-based AI infrastructures. For xAI, AI scales without ruining Earth, deeply integrated with everything SpaceX is building, further understanding the universe. For us humans, AI will grow without destroying the planet, and there’s a real path to becoming multi-planetary. I believe SpaceX acquiring xAI is officially the blueprint for where AI, energy, and humanity are headed. Congratulations to everyone, this is such an exciting time to be alive!

Teslaconomics

148,575 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten