Video wird geladen...

Video konnte nicht geladen werden

Beim Laden dieses Videos ist ein Problem aufgetreten. Dies könnte an einem vorübergehenden Netzwerkproblem liegen oder das Video ist möglicherweise nicht verfügbar.

STRATEGY TO THE S&P 500 BECAUSE IT'S INEVITABLE Everyone thinks MSTR’s S&P 500 path is just “Bitcoin goes up, number goes up.” Wrong. This is about Strategy turning from a deranged Bitcoin trebuchet into an institutionally legible capital markets weapon. GAAP profitability. Convertible debt cleanup. USD liquidity reserves. Passive... show more

Adam Livingston

86,244 subscribers

41,875 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

Wissenschaft & Technologie Finanzen

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Kommentare

Keine Kommentare verfügbar

Kommentare vom Original-Post werden hier angezeigt

Ähnliche Videos

Why the S&P 500 Will Be Forced To Buy Bitcoin In this Swan Bitcoin presentation, Adam Livingston explains why passive index mechanics will force the S&P 500 to ingest Bitcoin exposure the moment Strategy qualifies for inclusion. This is not about taste or ideology, it is about rules, float, weights, and the blind math of passive flows. When the index updates the list, trillions in benchmark trackers and benchmark huggers follow, which pipes Bitcoin exposure into every 401k and pension that hugs the S&P. You will learn: - The exact checklist for S&P 500 inclusion and how Strategy now clears it - How passive funds like SPY and VOO are compelled to buy new entrants, not asked - Why a small initial weight can still trigger billions in forced purchases - How spot Bitcoin ETFs amplify the same flows with daily rebalancing - The reflexive loop that forms when Bitcoin rises, Strategy’s weight rises, and passive capital buys again - Real world proofs from prior inclusions that show how fast the index effect hits - Why miners, exchanges, and Bitcoin treasury companies create a second order wave of exposure - Why this is inevitability, not opinion Who this is for: - Finance pros who want the plumbing, not the memes - Bitcoiners who need a clean, shareable explanation for skeptics - CIOs, advisors, and analysts who live and die by benchmark risk Why it matters: - The passive system cannot ignore Bitcoin once the rules are triggered - Index mechanics will distribute Bitcoin exposure across global portfolios by default

Why the S&P 500 Will Be Forced To Buy Bitcoin In this Swan Bitcoin presentation, Adam Livingston explains why passive index mechanics will force the S&P 500 to ingest Bitcoin exposure the moment Strategy qualifies for inclusion. This is not about taste or ideology, it is about rules, float, weights, and the blind math of passive flows. When the index updates the list, trillions in benchmark trackers and benchmark huggers follow, which pipes Bitcoin exposure into every 401k and pension that hugs the S&P. You will learn: - The exact checklist for S&P 500 inclusion and how Strategy now clears it - How passive funds like SPY and VOO are compelled to buy new entrants, not asked - Why a small initial weight can still trigger billions in forced purchases - How spot Bitcoin ETFs amplify the same flows with daily rebalancing - The reflexive loop that forms when Bitcoin rises, Strategy’s weight rises, and passive capital buys again - Real world proofs from prior inclusions that show how fast the index effect hits - Why miners, exchanges, and Bitcoin treasury companies create a second order wave of exposure - Why this is inevitability, not opinion Who this is for: - Finance pros who want the plumbing, not the memes - Bitcoiners who need a clean, shareable explanation for skeptics - CIOs, advisors, and analysts who live and die by benchmark risk Why it matters: - The passive system cannot ignore Bitcoin once the rules are triggered - Index mechanics will distribute Bitcoin exposure across global portfolios by default

Swan

26,400 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

WHY THE BITCOIN STANDARD IS INEVITABLE Lots of bearishness on the timeline lately. Unfortunately for the haters, Bitcoin's ascension to the new monetary operating system is not up to them because it is INEVITABLE. Capital follows the LAWS of MONETARY GRAVITY. Gold sucks compared to Bitcoin. Real estate sucks compared to Bitcoin. S&P 500 sucks compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the APEX ASSET and NOTHING comes even REMOTELY CLOSE. HATERS BE DAMNED:

WHY THE BITCOIN STANDARD IS INEVITABLE Lots of bearishness on the timeline lately. Unfortunately for the haters, Bitcoin's ascension to the new monetary operating system is not up to them because it is INEVITABLE. Capital follows the LAWS of MONETARY GRAVITY. Gold sucks compared to Bitcoin. Real estate sucks compared to Bitcoin. S&P 500 sucks compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the APEX ASSET and NOTHING comes even REMOTELY CLOSE. HATERS BE DAMNED:

Adam Livingston

160,723 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Michael Saylor just said Strategy will be incorporated into the S&P 500 forcing TRILLIONS in passive funds to automatically buy Bitcoin whether they want to or not!!! 😱😱😱 IS THIS THE BIGGEST FORCED BUY IN FINANCIAL HISTORY?!!! 🔥🔥🔥

Michael Saylor just said Strategy will be incorporated into the S&P 500 forcing TRILLIONS in passive funds to automatically buy Bitcoin whether they want to or not!!! 😱😱😱 IS THIS THE BIGGEST FORCED BUY IN FINANCIAL HISTORY?!!! 🔥🔥🔥

Green Candle

114,121 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

JUST IN: MICHAEL SAYLOR JUST SAID LIVE ON CNBC THAT HE IS CONFIDENT THAT STRATEGY WILL BE ADDED TO THE S&P 500 #BITCOIN IS A "BRAND NEW CONCEPT." "IT WILL HAPPEN."

The Bitcoin Historian

164,716 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

🚨BREAKING: STRATEGY GETS B- CREDIT RATING FROM S&P GLOBAL🚨 S&P Global just gave Strategy, the first Bitcoin Treasury Company, a B- credit rating. That’s the same rating they give to bankrupt car rental companies and debt-soaked airlines. Strategy holds 640,808 Bitcoin. Roughly $74 billion in transparent, self-verifying collateral. JetBlue burns cash. Hertz burns cars. Strategy holds Bitcoin. Same rating. In this video, I break down why this isn’t just a bad rating, it’s a historic failure of legacy finance to understand digital solvency. The rating model didn’t expose Strategy’s risk. It exposed theirs. That said, this is an INCREDIBLE WIN for Strategy and Bitcoin as a whole. PRECEDENT is important, and now we get to watch the climb up. Welcome to the moment when credit agencies got graded by reality:

🚨BREAKING: STRATEGY GETS B- CREDIT RATING FROM S&P GLOBAL🚨 S&P Global just gave Strategy, the first Bitcoin Treasury Company, a B- credit rating. That’s the same rating they give to bankrupt car rental companies and debt-soaked airlines. Strategy holds 640,808 Bitcoin. Roughly $74 billion in transparent, self-verifying collateral. JetBlue burns cash. Hertz burns cars. Strategy holds Bitcoin. Same rating. In this video, I break down why this isn’t just a bad rating, it’s a historic failure of legacy finance to understand digital solvency. The rating model didn’t expose Strategy’s risk. It exposed theirs. That said, this is an INCREDIBLE WIN for Strategy and Bitcoin as a whole. PRECEDENT is important, and now we get to watch the climb up. Welcome to the moment when credit agencies got graded by reality:

Adam Livingston

62,005 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

🚨STRATEGY MISSES S&P 500 - TOTAL CLOWN SHOW DESTROYED!🚨 This is an OUTRAGE. The S&P committee is a TOTAL JOKE. REPOST THIS TO SEND THESE CLOWNS A MESSAGE. Strategy (MSTR) just got ghosted by the S&P 500 while a loot-box ad pusher, a meme-stock pawn shop, and an HVAC handyman grabbed the velvet rope. Welcome to the corporate clown show where reality is optional and earnings are apparently a fashion crime. Strategy stacks six-hundred-plus-thousand Bitcoin and spits ten-billion dollars a quarter like a demented cash volcano, yet the index committee still hands it a participation ribbon at the kiddie table. Grab a seat, bring asbestos popcorn, watch the tent catch fire:

🚨STRATEGY MISSES S&P 500 - TOTAL CLOWN SHOW DESTROYED!🚨 This is an OUTRAGE. The S&P committee is a TOTAL JOKE. REPOST THIS TO SEND THESE CLOWNS A MESSAGE. Strategy (MSTR) just got ghosted by the S&P 500 while a loot-box ad pusher, a meme-stock pawn shop, and an HVAC handyman grabbed the velvet rope. Welcome to the corporate clown show where reality is optional and earnings are apparently a fashion crime. Strategy stacks six-hundred-plus-thousand Bitcoin and spits ten-billion dollars a quarter like a demented cash volcano, yet the index committee still hands it a participation ribbon at the kiddie table. Grab a seat, bring asbestos popcorn, watch the tent catch fire:

Adam Livingston

87,791 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

The real story with Strategy isn't a margin call, it's that buying Bitcoin is now only one of the many things it has to manage "Strategy is not facing an automatic Bitcoin margin call or the imminent liquidation of its treasury. The significance is much subtler. Even the company that created the model has entered a new and more complicated phase" "Strategy is no longer simply raising dollars to buy Bitcoin. It's issuing common and preferred securities, holding billions of dollars, paying dividends, servicing debt, managing liquidity, considering repurchases" "And selling Bitcoin when management believes that is less damaging than issuing more securities. That may be entirely rational"

The real story with Strategy isn't a margin call, it's that buying Bitcoin is now only one of the many things it has to manage "Strategy is not facing an automatic Bitcoin margin call or the imminent liquidation of its treasury. The significance is much subtler. Even the company that created the model has entered a new and more complicated phase" "Strategy is no longer simply raising dollars to buy Bitcoin. It's issuing common and preferred securities, holding billions of dollars, paying dividends, servicing debt, managing liquidity, considering repurchases" "And selling Bitcoin when management believes that is less damaging than issuing more securities. That may be entirely rational"

The Wolf Of All Streets

33,147 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen

🔥MSTR DOMINATION - SAYLOR IS WINNING - THE BEARS ARE DESTROYED🔥 Strategy just bought back 48x the Bitcoin they sold. The clowns who called "death spiral" are still in denial. Strategy continues to raise $131 MILLION PER TRADING DAY in 2026. Their annual dividend obligation is made up in 13 TRADING DAYS OF RAISING. Strategy now only needs $94.4k Bitcoin for their Bitcoin NAV to reach an all-time high. This is because despite a huge Bitcoin bear market... Strategy is RAISING CAPITAL FASTER THAN EVER BEFORE. THE BEARS ARE IN DENIAL AND THE HATERS ARE LOSING IT. ONWARD TO THE GREAT ORANGE SINGULARITY:

🔥MSTR DOMINATION - SAYLOR IS WINNING - THE BEARS ARE DESTROYED🔥 Strategy just bought back 48x the Bitcoin they sold. The clowns who called "death spiral" are still in denial. Strategy continues to raise $131 MILLION PER TRADING DAY in 2026. Their annual dividend obligation is made up in 13 TRADING DAYS OF RAISING. Strategy now only needs $94.4k Bitcoin for their Bitcoin NAV to reach an all-time high. This is because despite a huge Bitcoin bear market... Strategy is RAISING CAPITAL FASTER THAN EVER BEFORE. THE BEARS ARE IN DENIAL AND THE HATERS ARE LOSING IT. ONWARD TO THE GREAT ORANGE SINGULARITY:

Adam Livingston

19,015 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

My pitch for a new financial instrument for Strategy to use to acquire BTC: In this video, I unveil $STRD, the most powerful Bitcoin accumulation instrument ever designed. A stealth, dynastic-grade financial weapon engineered for Strategy to acquire billions in Bitcoin without issuing a single share. Every dollar raised through $STRD goes directly into spot BTC - while preserving Strategy’s treasury, tightening float, and stacking Bitcoin at scale. This is the vehicle that allows Strategy to tap billions of dollars of old money. This is how Michael Saylor wins the endgame.

My pitch for a new financial instrument for Strategy to use to acquire BTC: In this video, I unveil $STRD, the most powerful Bitcoin accumulation instrument ever designed. A stealth, dynastic-grade financial weapon engineered for Strategy to acquire billions in Bitcoin without issuing a single share. Every dollar raised through $STRD goes directly into spot BTC - while preserving Strategy’s treasury, tightening float, and stacking Bitcoin at scale. This is the vehicle that allows Strategy to tap billions of dollars of old money. This is how Michael Saylor wins the endgame.

Adam Livingston

30,847 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Threadguy explains why the market won't let Bitcoin recover while Saylor's still in "If you put a gun to your head and asked what makes a real emphatic bottom for Bitcoin, it's Strategy deleveraging, forced selling of the Bitcoin, and Michael Saylor on trial for financial crimes. That's a bottom right there." "Strategy has $1.7 billion promised annually to the end of time. Out of 5,000 public companies in America, maybe 100 make $1.7 billion in profit a year, and Strategy owes that forever. They're only worth their balance sheet in Bitcoin and they can't sell the Bitcoin. The whole bit is earnings per share, but the only way they earn is by selling more Strategy, and that only works if Bitcoin goes up, which it can't while Saylor's still in. So the market is just saying say uncle."

Threadguy explains why the market won't let Bitcoin recover while Saylor's still in "If you put a gun to your head and asked what makes a real emphatic bottom for Bitcoin, it's Strategy deleveraging, forced selling of the Bitcoin, and Michael Saylor on trial for financial crimes. That's a bottom right there." "Strategy has $1.7 billion promised annually to the end of time. Out of 5,000 public companies in America, maybe 100 make $1.7 billion in profit a year, and Strategy owes that forever. They're only worth their balance sheet in Bitcoin and they can't sell the Bitcoin. The whole bit is earnings per share, but the only way they earn is by selling more Strategy, and that only works if Bitcoin goes up, which it can't while Saylor's still in. So the market is just saying say uncle."

Kai

52,699 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

📺 The Bitcoin For Corporations Show Episode 8 now live — hosted by Pierre Rochard Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, shares how MSTR became the world’s first Bitcoin-native public company—and why it’s more than just a software stock. From capital markets to balance sheet strategy, Phong lays out the new rules of valuation in the #Bitcoin era. 00:00 – Intro: How to Value a Bitcoin Treasury Company 01:28 – Phong Le on Strategy’s Bitcoin Thesis 04:45 – Why MSTR Isn’t Just a Tech Stock Anymore 08:12 – The Role of FASB Accounting in Bitcoin Adoption 11:39 – Capital Markets: Equity, Debt & Bitcoin 15:20 – Convertible Bonds & Leveraged Bitcoin Exposure 19:05 – What Investors Miss When Valuing MSTR 23:34 – How Institutions View Bitcoin 27:48 – Risks, Volatility, and Shareholder Expectations 32:15 – Bitcoin’s Role in Long-Term Corporate Strategy 36:20 – Advice for Other Bitcoin Treasury Companies 39:12 – Building a Bitcoin-Backed Capital Market 43:10 – Addressing Bitcoin Volatility 46:00 – Why STRF Is Gaining Market Traction 48:30 – Final Thoughts from Phong Le

📺 The Bitcoin For Corporations Show Episode 8 now live — hosted by Pierre Rochard Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, shares how MSTR became the world’s first Bitcoin-native public company—and why it’s more than just a software stock. From capital markets to balance sheet strategy, Phong lays out the new rules of valuation in the #Bitcoin era. 00:00 – Intro: How to Value a Bitcoin Treasury Company 01:28 – Phong Le on Strategy’s Bitcoin Thesis 04:45 – Why MSTR Isn’t Just a Tech Stock Anymore 08:12 – The Role of FASB Accounting in Bitcoin Adoption 11:39 – Capital Markets: Equity, Debt & Bitcoin 15:20 – Convertible Bonds & Leveraged Bitcoin Exposure 19:05 – What Investors Miss When Valuing MSTR 23:34 – How Institutions View Bitcoin 27:48 – Risks, Volatility, and Shareholder Expectations 32:15 – Bitcoin’s Role in Long-Term Corporate Strategy 36:20 – Advice for Other Bitcoin Treasury Companies 39:12 – Building a Bitcoin-Backed Capital Market 43:10 – Addressing Bitcoin Volatility 46:00 – Why STRF Is Gaining Market Traction 48:30 – Final Thoughts from Phong Le

Bitcoin For Corporations

237,146 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Michael Saylor explains how 5 years ago it took his company, Strategy, an entire year to make $70 million and today his company makes $70 million every time Bitcoin goes up $100 in price. This may be the world’s most efficient business model EVER. Permanent capital.

Michael Saylor explains how 5 years ago it took his company, Strategy, an entire year to make $70 million and today his company makes $70 million every time Bitcoin goes up $100 in price. This may be the world’s most efficient business model EVER. Permanent capital.

The ₿itcoin Therapist

220,075 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🔥BITCOIN AND STRATEGY ARE GOING TO WIN SO HARD IT IS ABSOLUTELY RIDICULOUS🔥 Strategy sold some Bitcoin and the bears started hyperventilated into a paper bag in the parking lot of a Rent-A-Center. The company sacrificed the economic equivalent of one French fry from the family combo and bought enough time to sit through an entire Bitcoin regime change. Bears responded as though Michael Saylor had sold the building copper and escaped to Paraguay. BITCOIN AND MSTR WINNING ARE INEVITABLE. FULL BREAKDOWN:

🔥BITCOIN AND STRATEGY ARE GOING TO WIN SO HARD IT IS ABSOLUTELY RIDICULOUS🔥 Strategy sold some Bitcoin and the bears started hyperventilated into a paper bag in the parking lot of a Rent-A-Center. The company sacrificed the economic equivalent of one French fry from the family combo and bought enough time to sit through an entire Bitcoin regime change. Bears responded as though Michael Saylor had sold the building copper and escaped to Paraguay. BITCOIN AND MSTR WINNING ARE INEVITABLE. FULL BREAKDOWN:

Adam Livingston

13,857 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen

"The significance for Bitcoin is that Saylor basically just surrendered. Strategy has gone from the biggest buyer to the biggest seller" Peter Schiff on why Strategy turning seller flips the entire Bitcoin market "He can hide and say we're still a net buyer. He's not. He's gonna be a net seller now. He needs to sell Bitcoin to pay the dividends on the preferreds, to raise the reserves, to cover the interest and principal on the debt, and to buy back stock. He sold preferreds at 100, why not buy them back at 80?" "I don't see how the market is gonna absorb this shift where the biggest buyer becomes the biggest seller. And it's not just Strategy. A lot of people bought knowing Strategy was gonna buy. That was their comfort, their safety buyer. There's a bid in the market, they're gonna keep buying, so I'm gonna buy on his coattails" "Now the markets are anticipating Strategy as a seller. It's gonna be the reverse. Strategy is gonna sell, let me get out first"

"The significance for Bitcoin is that Saylor basically just surrendered. Strategy has gone from the biggest buyer to the biggest seller" Peter Schiff on why Strategy turning seller flips the entire Bitcoin market "He can hide and say we're still a net buyer. He's not. He's gonna be a net seller now. He needs to sell Bitcoin to pay the dividends on the preferreds, to raise the reserves, to cover the interest and principal on the debt, and to buy back stock. He sold preferreds at 100, why not buy them back at 80?" "I don't see how the market is gonna absorb this shift where the biggest buyer becomes the biggest seller. And it's not just Strategy. A lot of people bought knowing Strategy was gonna buy. That was their comfort, their safety buyer. There's a bid in the market, they're gonna keep buying, so I'm gonna buy on his coattails" "Now the markets are anticipating Strategy as a seller. It's gonna be the reverse. Strategy is gonna sell, let me get out first"

The Wolf Of All Streets

282,475 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇

Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇

One Chair

32,736 Aufrufe • vor 15 Tagen

🚨 THE CRASH IS NOT STOPPING AND MICHAEL SAYLOR IS NOW IN REAL TROUBLE. Bitcoin just crashed nearly -5% in 30 minutes. $STRC collapsed to a new all-time low. $MSTR is already down over -83% from its peaK. The market is starting to fear the unthinkable: Could Strategy eventually be forced to sell Bitcoin?

🚨 THE CRASH IS NOT STOPPING AND MICHAEL SAYLOR IS NOW IN REAL TROUBLE. Bitcoin just crashed nearly -5% in 30 minutes. $STRC collapsed to a new all-time low. $MSTR is already down over -83% from its peaK. The market is starting to fear the unthinkable: Could Strategy eventually be forced to sell Bitcoin?

Crypto Rover

642,586 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

STRATEGY & BITCOIN CREDIT: THE GREATEST ASYMMETRIC BET This is my attempt to fully explain the massive opportunity with digital credit, starting from first principles by defining money and debt, and then articulating the massive opportunity Strategy has to do something totally unprecedented. We are on the frontier of changing the global financial landscape and a world being rebuilt on Bitcoin. A new monetary operating system. This is the biggest story in all of global finance, and a whole lot larger than worrying about leverage to outperform Bitcoin on a short time horizon. This is about fundamentally rewriting the rules of the capital markets and being first when the information isn't consensus. FEW.

STRATEGY & BITCOIN CREDIT: THE GREATEST ASYMMETRIC BET This is my attempt to fully explain the massive opportunity with digital credit, starting from first principles by defining money and debt, and then articulating the massive opportunity Strategy has to do something totally unprecedented. We are on the frontier of changing the global financial landscape and a world being rebuilt on Bitcoin. A new monetary operating system. This is the biggest story in all of global finance, and a whole lot larger than worrying about leverage to outperform Bitcoin on a short time horizon. This is about fundamentally rewriting the rules of the capital markets and being first when the information isn't consensus. FEW.

Adam Livingston

173,972 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

🚨 RUMORS: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! Michael Saylor’s Strategy may now sell up to $5 BILLION worth of Bitcoin. That equals 73,365 BTC. This is NOT confirmed yet. But the timing is insane. When it happened in 2022, $BTC dumped 30%+. Now the same setup is forming again. Strategy has: → $2.55B in cash reserves → Only 17 months of dividend and interest coverage → 847,000 BTC → Around $13B in unrealized losses → MSTR down almost 30% in one week And we have seen a similar setup before. In 2022, Strategy sold 704 BTC. Bitcoin then continued dumping HARD. Now rumors claim Strategy may be able to sell up to $5B worth of Bitcoin in 2026. The same setup is forming again. The board can now approve BTC sales to refill reserves, pay dividends, and fund buybacks. They call it flexibility. I call it a pressure valve. Strategy controls 2.8% of all Bitcoin. Selling just 1% = 8,470 BTC. 5% = 42,350 BTC. A $5B sale = 73,365 BTC. Then the loop begins: MSTR dumps → stock dumps harder → raising capital gets harder → more pressure to sell BTC. That is the black swan. Turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.

🚨 RUMORS: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! Michael Saylor’s Strategy may now sell up to $5 BILLION worth of Bitcoin. That equals 73,365 BTC. This is NOT confirmed yet. But the timing is insane. When it happened in 2022, $BTC dumped 30%+. Now the same setup is forming again. Strategy has: → $2.55B in cash reserves → Only 17 months of dividend and interest coverage → 847,000 BTC → Around $13B in unrealized losses → MSTR down almost 30% in one week And we have seen a similar setup before. In 2022, Strategy sold 704 BTC. Bitcoin then continued dumping HARD. Now rumors claim Strategy may be able to sell up to $5B worth of Bitcoin in 2026. The same setup is forming again. The board can now approve BTC sales to refill reserves, pay dividends, and fund buybacks. They call it flexibility. I call it a pressure valve. Strategy controls 2.8% of all Bitcoin. Selling just 1% = 8,470 BTC. 5% = 42,350 BTC. A $5B sale = 73,365 BTC. Then the loop begins: MSTR dumps → stock dumps harder → raising capital gets harder → more pressure to sell BTC. That is the black swan. Turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.

Wimar.X

114,386 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

How does Strategy navigate a challenging Bitcoin market, return $STRC to par, and continue compounding Bitcoin per share? In our Q2 earnings call, we laid out the strategy, reviewed our financial position and capital-management framework, and answered questions from equity analysts and industry experts. Prepared Remarks 00:00:00 - Welcome 00:01:20 - 843,775 BTC, 203,683 sats per share, $17B raised year to date, and Strategy’s position as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin 00:03:27 - Q2 balance sheet: $49.7B of digital assets, $3.75B current USD reserve, lower debt, higher preferred equity, and strong stress-case coverage 00:08:57 - Bitcoin KPIs: 4.5% BTC Yield, 29,997 BTC Gain, and ~3.6x growth in Bitcoin per share since 2020 00:12:47 - Q2 execution: higher Bitcoin holdings, lower debt, larger USD reserves, stronger Bitcoin per share, and active capital management 00:15:03 - Strategy as a net buyer of Bitcoin and net issuer of Digital Credit: 48x more BTC bought than sold and 300x more Digital Credit issued than repurchased 00:18:47 - Returning $STRC to $99–$100 through USD reserves, Bitcoin monetization, repurchases, dividend management, and disciplined issuance 00:24:50 - Bitcoin liquidity: why Strategy’s bitcoin purchases and sales are not material to overall Bitcoin trading volume 00:33:03 - Bitcoin as Digital Capital: website metrics, the 200-week moving average, current headwinds, Bitcoin Dominance, banking adoption, and security coordination 00:44:08 - $STRC as flagship Digital Credit: liquidity, lower volatility, market depth, yield, investor base, path to par, and updated credit metrics 01:05:04 - Equity framework: hurdle rate, breakeven rate, floor rate, market skepticism, $MSTR outperformance, franchise advantages, and Strategy’s long-term ambition Q&A 01:19:31 - Why Bitcoin-backed borrowing is not currently the preferred path to build USD reserves 01:23:11 - Why Strategy is consolidating around $STRC instead of creating more instruments or selling volatility 01:40:37 - Equitizing, repaying, or refinancing convertible debt 01:43:18 - Covered calls, cash-secured puts, Digital Credit, Bitcoin as money, and marketing products to the 99% outside Bitcoin 01:59:22 - USD reserve minimums and the path to $STRC trading at par 02:00:55 - Amplification, USD/BTC reserve mix, and countercyclical capital management 02:12:04 - Why Strategy does not intend to issue $STRC below par 02:20:34 - Lessons from 2022 and 2026, tokenized securities, Digital Money, and the June 26 $STRC dislocation 02:34:54 - Closing remarks

How does Strategy navigate a challenging Bitcoin market, return $STRC to par, and continue compounding Bitcoin per share? In our Q2 earnings call, we laid out the strategy, reviewed our financial position and capital-management framework, and answered questions from equity analysts and industry experts. Prepared Remarks 00:00:00 - Welcome 00:01:20 - 843,775 BTC, 203,683 sats per share, $17B raised year to date, and Strategy’s position as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin 00:03:27 - Q2 balance sheet: $49.7B of digital assets, $3.75B current USD reserve, lower debt, higher preferred equity, and strong stress-case coverage 00:08:57 - Bitcoin KPIs: 4.5% BTC Yield, 29,997 BTC Gain, and ~3.6x growth in Bitcoin per share since 2020 00:12:47 - Q2 execution: higher Bitcoin holdings, lower debt, larger USD reserves, stronger Bitcoin per share, and active capital management 00:15:03 - Strategy as a net buyer of Bitcoin and net issuer of Digital Credit: 48x more BTC bought than sold and 300x more Digital Credit issued than repurchased 00:18:47 - Returning $STRC to $99–$100 through USD reserves, Bitcoin monetization, repurchases, dividend management, and disciplined issuance 00:24:50 - Bitcoin liquidity: why Strategy’s bitcoin purchases and sales are not material to overall Bitcoin trading volume 00:33:03 - Bitcoin as Digital Capital: website metrics, the 200-week moving average, current headwinds, Bitcoin Dominance, banking adoption, and security coordination 00:44:08 - $STRC as flagship Digital Credit: liquidity, lower volatility, market depth, yield, investor base, path to par, and updated credit metrics 01:05:04 - Equity framework: hurdle rate, breakeven rate, floor rate, market skepticism, $MSTR outperformance, franchise advantages, and Strategy’s long-term ambition Q&A 01:19:31 - Why Bitcoin-backed borrowing is not currently the preferred path to build USD reserves 01:23:11 - Why Strategy is consolidating around $STRC instead of creating more instruments or selling volatility 01:40:37 - Equitizing, repaying, or refinancing convertible debt 01:43:18 - Covered calls, cash-secured puts, Digital Credit, Bitcoin as money, and marketing products to the 99% outside Bitcoin 01:59:22 - USD reserve minimums and the path to $STRC trading at par 02:00:55 - Amplification, USD/BTC reserve mix, and countercyclical capital management 02:12:04 - Why Strategy does not intend to issue $STRC below par 02:20:34 - Lessons from 2022 and 2026, tokenized securities, Digital Money, and the June 26 $STRC dislocation 02:34:54 - Closing remarks

Michael Saylor

326,913 Aufrufe • vor 29 Tagen