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Stripe's Will Gaybrick says AI agents will navigate the internet like hummingbirds, and that's what will make microtransactions work: "If you're trying to sell an article, you're always gonna be squeezed between the subscriber business model and the free business model... I think that was probably true in the...

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a16z

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74,847 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Agents will eventually outnumber humans by orders of magnitude. Aaron Levie on the infrastructure that will be needed to manage them: "Whether you think the number is 10x or 100x... we're going to have some order of magnitude more agents than people." "There's going to be just incredibly spectacularly crazy security incidents that will happen with agents, because you'll prompt-inject an agent and find your way through the CRM system and pull out data you shouldn't have access to." "How do you make sure you have the right security, the permissions, the access controls, the data governance?" "We actually don't yet exactly know in many cases how we're going to regulate some of these agents." "No matter what, there's going to need to be a layer that manages the data they have access to and the workflows they're involved in." "This is the new infrastructure opportunity in the era of agents." Aaron Levie on Latent.Space
1:13

Agents will eventually outnumber humans by orders of magnitude. Aaron Levie on the infrastructure that will be needed to manage them: "Whether you think the number is 10x or 100x... we're going to have some order of magnitude more agents than people." "There's going to be just incredibly spectacularly crazy security incidents that will happen with agents, because you'll prompt-inject an agent and find your way through the CRM system and pull out data you shouldn't have access to." "How do you make sure you have the right security, the permissions, the access controls, the data governance?" "We actually don't yet exactly know in many cases how we're going to regulate some of these agents." "No matter what, there's going to need to be a layer that manages the data they have access to and the workflows they're involved in." "This is the new infrastructure opportunity in the era of agents." Aaron Levie on Latent.Space

a16z

64,423 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Aaron Levie says agent-driven micropayments could create an entirely new business model for the internet: "We might have truly a completely different business model for the internet." "Now actually it's probably is a good business model. Because let's say you had paywalled, really proprietary data... You could actually imagine like there's maybe like a hundred million agents that would be tapping into that data for various use cases." "All of a sudden, a penny a transaction starts to make a lot more sense than it did when you were capped at... people that maybe was interested in your content previously." "We probably have new business models for tools and APIs... We probably want an agent to be able to have a budget and make any API call it wants, and all of a sudden you have this new revenue stream, which is like these agents showing up, just transacting on your system." Aaron Levie at Daytona Compute Conference
2:02

Aaron Levie says agent-driven micropayments could create an entirely new business model for the internet: "We might have truly a completely different business model for the internet." "Now actually it's probably is a good business model. Because let's say you had paywalled, really proprietary data... You could actually imagine like there's maybe like a hundred million agents that would be tapping into that data for various use cases." "All of a sudden, a penny a transaction starts to make a lot more sense than it did when you were capped at... people that maybe was interested in your content previously." "We probably have new business models for tools and APIs... We probably want an agent to be able to have a budget and make any API call it wants, and all of a sudden you have this new revenue stream, which is like these agents showing up, just transacting on your system." Aaron Levie at Daytona Compute Conference

a16z

91,087 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Sam Altman says Google had the power to destroy OpenAI and didn't, the reason tells you everything about who wins the AI race. "If Google had really decided to take us seriously in 2023, we would have been in a really bad place. They would have just been able to smash us." "Google has probably the greatest business model in the whole tech industry, and I think they will be slow to give that up." "Bolting AI onto the existing way of doing things, I don't think it's going to work as well as redesigning stuff in an AI-first world." "If you stick AI into a messaging app that's doing a nice job summarizing your messages and drafting responses for you, that is definitely a little better. But I don't think that's the end state." PS. If you found value in this post make sure to like and repost this tweet + follow Uncover AI to stay updated with the latest AI news. See you in the next one:
1:10

Sam Altman says Google had the power to destroy OpenAI and didn't, the reason tells you everything about who wins the AI race. "If Google had really decided to take us seriously in 2023, we would have been in a really bad place. They would have just been able to smash us." "Google has probably the greatest business model in the whole tech industry, and I think they will be slow to give that up." "Bolting AI onto the existing way of doing things, I don't think it's going to work as well as redesigning stuff in an AI-first world." "If you stick AI into a messaging app that's doing a nice job summarizing your messages and drafting responses for you, that is definitely a little better. But I don't think that's the end state." PS. If you found value in this post make sure to like and repost this tweet + follow Uncover AI to stay updated with the latest AI news. See you in the next one:

Uncover AI

25,636 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Tools for Humanity CEO Alex Blania says the internet is splitting into humans, agents, and agents acting on behalf of humans. "Are you interacting with a human, an agent on behalf of a human or just an agent? I think these are roughly the three areas that we want to split apart." "What proof of human really means is that every individual that interacts on a platform has only one, ideally one, account... and stays the owner of that account." "You're looking for an initial verification that should be something like anonymous or extremely privacy preserving, and then ongoing authentication that the same person remains in control of that account." "I think all of us will have agents... It will then come down to I approve a certain action of my agent, I give [it] certain rights. So act on my behalf." Alex Blania Erik Torenberg benahorowitz.eth
1:54

Tools for Humanity CEO Alex Blania says the internet is splitting into humans, agents, and agents acting on behalf of humans. "Are you interacting with a human, an agent on behalf of a human or just an agent? I think these are roughly the three areas that we want to split apart." "What proof of human really means is that every individual that interacts on a platform has only one, ideally one, account... and stays the owner of that account." "You're looking for an initial verification that should be something like anonymous or extremely privacy preserving, and then ongoing authentication that the same person remains in control of that account." "I think all of us will have agents... It will then come down to I approve a certain action of my agent, I give [it] certain rights. So act on my behalf." Alex Blania Erik Torenberg benahorowitz.eth

a16z

28,242 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

"If you want any of these guys, you're gonna have to go in the land of a little uncomfortable ... around the amount of years, or the amount of dollars." Lance Brozdowski thinks the Cubs will have to get uncomfortable if they are going to sign big free agents.
0:50

"If you want any of these guys, you're gonna have to go in the land of a little uncomfortable ... around the amount of years, or the amount of dollars." Lance Brozdowski thinks the Cubs will have to get uncomfortable if they are going to sign big free agents.

Marquee Sports Network

50,863 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

4. Don't go to an acdemic publisher's website with a billion-dollar annual revenue. But if you do, copy the DOI of the article you want to read. Next, go to Zotero and click on the magic wand-like button on the top. This will let you enter an article's DOI. Don't paste the DOI of the article you just copied because Sci Hub will go and retrieve that article and add it to your library. If you have downloaded this article, don't open it because then you will be able to read it.
0:27

4. Don't go to an acdemic publisher's website with a billion-dollar annual revenue. But if you do, copy the DOI of the article you want to read. Next, go to Zotero and click on the magic wand-like button on the top. This will let you enter an article's DOI. Don't paste the DOI of the article you just copied because Sci Hub will go and retrieve that article and add it to your library. If you have downloaded this article, don't open it because then you will be able to read it.

Mushtaq Bilal, PhD

155,657 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

“And I just wanna say if anyone is going through hard times, if anyone is struggling and you know, want try to find some type of hope in their life when they think everything is going wrong, don’t worry you’re not alone, you’re not alone and as I would say there’s always gonna be so many ups and downs, and there’s always gonna be so many moments where you think “this is it”, but I promise you, I promise you, if you just hold on a little longer, just a little longer, you don’t even have to have a reason why, you don’t even have to have a reason why, I promise if you hold on a little longer everything will get better, I promise, okay? And you’ll always have an angel, you’ll always have beautiful people, and the people that love you will always be there for you, okay? And I just wanted to say, thank you from the bottom of my heart”
1:00

“And I just wanna say if anyone is going through hard times, if anyone is struggling and you know, want try to find some type of hope in their life when they think everything is going wrong, don’t worry you’re not alone, you’re not alone and as I would say there’s always gonna be so many ups and downs, and there’s always gonna be so many moments where you think “this is it”, but I promise you, I promise you, if you just hold on a little longer, just a little longer, you don’t even have to have a reason why, you don’t even have to have a reason why, I promise if you hold on a little longer everything will get better, I promise, okay? And you’ll always have an angel, you’ll always have beautiful people, and the people that love you will always be there for you, okay? And I just wanted to say, thank you from the bottom of my heart”

⋆˚࿔ miso 𝜗𝜚˚⋆|| #1 winterfall enthusiast

45,552 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

ELON: AI AND ROBOTICS WILL ELIMINATE POVERTY AND TRANSFORM THE ECONOMY “There will be no shortage of products and services for anyone. Basically, anyone will be able to have any products they want. The productivity gains from AI and robotics are astounding to think about. I think it could increase the economy by a factor of 10 or more. It’ll eliminate poverty, and you really will be in a situation where anyone can have anything they want. The bigger challenge may be finding meaning in life. If a robot can do anything you can do, but better, how do you find meaning? That may be the biggest question.” Source: Haider.
1:17

ELON: AI AND ROBOTICS WILL ELIMINATE POVERTY AND TRANSFORM THE ECONOMY “There will be no shortage of products and services for anyone. Basically, anyone will be able to have any products they want. The productivity gains from AI and robotics are astounding to think about. I think it could increase the economy by a factor of 10 or more. It’ll eliminate poverty, and you really will be in a situation where anyone can have anything they want. The bigger challenge may be finding meaning in life. If a robot can do anything you can do, but better, how do you find meaning? That may be the biggest question.” Source: Haider.

Mario Nawfal

206,950 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

"A generation of management teaching taught us CEOs should trust their people and get out of the way. But I don't think 'trust' and 'getting out of the way' are the same thing." Brian Chesky on how Founder Mode will become even more important with agentic AI: "Great leadership is presence, not absence." "Leadership is presence. You should actually be partnering with people. You should be on the field with them. If you're a calvalry general, you should be on a horse. You should be on the battlefield. You're not overseas just writing blueprints. You gotta be on the field with them, you gotta be leading by example." "Leadership is from the front, not the back." "I think AI is going to create the equivalent of an AI founder mode. Now you gotta be even more hands-on. I don't think in the era of AI, there should be any pure people managers. Because you're so close to the details and data. Everyone has the opportunity to be hands-on, and it's hard to imagine only managing people and not agents."
1:15

"A generation of management teaching taught us CEOs should trust their people and get out of the way. But I don't think 'trust' and 'getting out of the way' are the same thing." Brian Chesky on how Founder Mode will become even more important with agentic AI: "Great leadership is presence, not absence." "Leadership is presence. You should actually be partnering with people. You should be on the field with them. If you're a calvalry general, you should be on a horse. You should be on the battlefield. You're not overseas just writing blueprints. You gotta be on the field with them, you gotta be leading by example." "Leadership is from the front, not the back." "I think AI is going to create the equivalent of an AI founder mode. Now you gotta be even more hands-on. I don't think in the era of AI, there should be any pure people managers. Because you're so close to the details and data. Everyone has the opportunity to be hands-on, and it's hard to imagine only managing people and not agents."

TBPN

16,005 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Sequoia partner Pat Grady says software is shifting from apps that demand attention to agents that work quietly in the background. This shift will change what moats will look like, and will be especially hard for incumbents to deal with. "It's two very different business paradigms," he says. "In an era of apps, you want a lot of surface area with your customers, you want them to spend a lot of time in your product." "In an era of agents, things can just be running passively in the background. The amount of surface area you have with your customers, the amount of time they might spend in your product might be de minimis. So the nature of the moat that you [will need to build] is different." "I think we'll see a lot of companies in the coming years able to live in the software world and have some of the workflows people are accustomed to. And then separately they can deploy these passive agents that kind of function as coworkers who just come back to you when things are done."
2:02

Sequoia partner Pat Grady says software is shifting from apps that demand attention to agents that work quietly in the background. This shift will change what moats will look like, and will be especially hard for incumbents to deal with. "It's two very different business paradigms," he says. "In an era of apps, you want a lot of surface area with your customers, you want them to spend a lot of time in your product." "In an era of agents, things can just be running passively in the background. The amount of surface area you have with your customers, the amount of time they might spend in your product might be de minimis. So the nature of the moat that you [will need to build] is different." "I think we'll see a lot of companies in the coming years able to live in the software world and have some of the workflows people are accustomed to. And then separately they can deploy these passive agents that kind of function as coworkers who just come back to you when things are done."

TBPN

58,374 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Charlie Munger: "We frequently find that owners of entire businesses have schizophrenia. They want to sell their business for a little more than it's worth — taking stock so they don't have to pay taxes — and they want the stock to be in the kind of business that will make just one dumb acquisition — theirs — and thereafter will guard the stock like gold, making no more dumb acquisitions. Needless to say, the world is not that easy."
0:55

Charlie Munger: "We frequently find that owners of entire businesses have schizophrenia. They want to sell their business for a little more than it's worth — taking stock so they don't have to pay taxes — and they want the stock to be in the kind of business that will make just one dumb acquisition — theirs — and thereafter will guard the stock like gold, making no more dumb acquisitions. Needless to say, the world is not that easy."

Kevin Carpenter

340,233 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

I went on CNN and they told me that Sesame Street in Iraq will be used to stop the terrorists. If you want to STOP the terrorists; you don't give them Elmo, you give them a big bomb, and you kill them.
0:27

I went on CNN and they told me that Sesame Street in Iraq will be used to stop the terrorists. If you want to STOP the terrorists; you don't give them Elmo, you give them a big bomb, and you kill them.

James Fishback

25,846 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Jordan Peterson: "If you're competent and silent you will be ignored." "You might think well people should reward you because you're competent. And yes of course they should. But if you're competent and silent then you're just part of the background that's keeping everything functioning" On why you cannot negotiate from a position of weakness: "If you want to push your career forward you have to push it forward. You have to be competent and you have to be strategic" "To be strategic when you negotiate for a new position or a new salary you have to be able to say if you don't give me what I want then something you don't like will happen to you" "It's not a physical threat. It's that you have an option" "You have your CV in order. You're educated and competent and desirable to people outside of your immediate job. You're willing to instantly put yourself on the job market" "So that when you go talk to the person you're negotiating with you're credible" On the one thing most people completely miss about negotiation: "It's very seldom that you're talking to the person who's at the top of the pecking order. What you need to do is tell them a story that they can tell to their boss to make you not a problem" "A good story is look we really need this person because they're hyper competent and they have a better offer" "If you go in there with no power you're going to lose. Obviously" He concludes with the one thing every competent person needs to hear: "The first thing you need to know if you're going to negotiate is that you have to be able to say no. And what no means is that you're not going to do it"
2:05

Jordan Peterson: "If you're competent and silent you will be ignored." "You might think well people should reward you because you're competent. And yes of course they should. But if you're competent and silent then you're just part of the background that's keeping everything functioning" On why you cannot negotiate from a position of weakness: "If you want to push your career forward you have to push it forward. You have to be competent and you have to be strategic" "To be strategic when you negotiate for a new position or a new salary you have to be able to say if you don't give me what I want then something you don't like will happen to you" "It's not a physical threat. It's that you have an option" "You have your CV in order. You're educated and competent and desirable to people outside of your immediate job. You're willing to instantly put yourself on the job market" "So that when you go talk to the person you're negotiating with you're credible" On the one thing most people completely miss about negotiation: "It's very seldom that you're talking to the person who's at the top of the pecking order. What you need to do is tell them a story that they can tell to their boss to make you not a problem" "A good story is look we really need this person because they're hyper competent and they have a better offer" "If you go in there with no power you're going to lose. Obviously" He concludes with the one thing every competent person needs to hear: "The first thing you need to know if you're going to negotiate is that you have to be able to say no. And what no means is that you're not going to do it"

Brad

34,992 görüntüleme • 28 gün önce

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!
15:37

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

Mario Nawfal

241,051 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

This is actually extremely seriously Glenn Beck “The medical thing that they just passed in Washington state. They passed it, and the governor has signed it, and basically it says if there's an immediate medical emergency, we can do whatever we want to. You now, remember, this is the state that was talking about building little internment camps for people who wouldn't get vaccinated last time” “If you think that they won't do that, you're out of your mind. You're crazy. And so it says if the governor decides that there is a medical emergency, statewide emergency, I love this one, ‘based on scientific experts’ they will dictate what happens to every individual, what you have to get. If scientific experts tell you have to take this, you will be forced to take that.“ “If you're living in Washington state, may I just say. Get the hell out now. The entire state. Get out of the state, and I'm dead serious on that. You're living in a state that has gone absolutely insane.”
1:19

This is actually extremely seriously Glenn Beck “The medical thing that they just passed in Washington state. They passed it, and the governor has signed it, and basically it says if there's an immediate medical emergency, we can do whatever we want to. You now, remember, this is the state that was talking about building little internment camps for people who wouldn't get vaccinated last time” “If you think that they won't do that, you're out of your mind. You're crazy. And so it says if the governor decides that there is a medical emergency, statewide emergency, I love this one, ‘based on scientific experts’ they will dictate what happens to every individual, what you have to get. If scientific experts tell you have to take this, you will be forced to take that.“ “If you're living in Washington state, may I just say. Get the hell out now. The entire state. Get out of the state, and I'm dead serious on that. You're living in a state that has gone absolutely insane.”

Wall Street Apes

1,260,108 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

❗️US Senator Graham: “If we don't have a breakthrough soon, I would expect that these sanctions will be moved to the Senate and the House. And to China: if you want your economy to be ruined, keep buying Russian oil.” Will they impose the sanctions at last?
0:55

❗️US Senator Graham: “If we don't have a breakthrough soon, I would expect that these sanctions will be moved to the Senate and the House. And to China: if you want your economy to be ruined, keep buying Russian oil.” Will they impose the sanctions at last?

Volodymyr Tretyak 🇺🇦

165,163 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

a16z GP Alex Rampell explains the death of the middle in venture: “You either have to be a large generalist or a small specialist. And the hard thing is to be a midsize generalist because then you're largely going to lose to the big generalists or the small specialists.” “If I'm just like, ‘Hey, I kind of do a little bit of everything and I don't really know that much about your business, and I'm not that big and can't help you that much,’ it's just you're gonna lose.” Source: Alex Rampell on The Twenty Minute VC with Harry Stebbings
1:23

a16z GP Alex Rampell explains the death of the middle in venture: “You either have to be a large generalist or a small specialist. And the hard thing is to be a midsize generalist because then you're largely going to lose to the big generalists or the small specialists.” “If I'm just like, ‘Hey, I kind of do a little bit of everything and I don't really know that much about your business, and I'm not that big and can't help you that much,’ it's just you're gonna lose.” Source: Alex Rampell on The Twenty Minute VC with Harry Stebbings

a16z

46,014 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Just a quick reminder to the Irish: seriously, stop supporting every Third World grievance/issue because it will never be enough for them. You're White, so they will find something to complain about no matter what you do. 'Palestinianism', hungry Africans and Third World debt - don't bother. They will hate you anyway. And worse than that, they will take over your country - and if you think the English were bad...
1:13

Just a quick reminder to the Irish: seriously, stop supporting every Third World grievance/issue because it will never be enough for them. You're White, so they will find something to complain about no matter what you do. 'Palestinianism', hungry Africans and Third World debt - don't bother. They will hate you anyway. And worse than that, they will take over your country - and if you think the English were bad...

Holly Grayle

19,967 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

ELON: EVERYONE ON EARTH WILL WANT THEIR OWN ROBOT “My prediction is the robots will actually make so many robots and AI that they will actually saturate all human needs, meaning you won't be able to even think of something to ask the robot for at a certain point. There'll be more robots than people. I think everyone on Earth is going to have one and going to want one, because who wouldn't want a robot to, assuming it's very safe, watch over your kids, take care of your pet. If you have elderly parents, it's very difficult to take care of them. It's expensive, and there just aren't enough young people to take care of the old people. If you had a robot that could take care of and protect an elderly parent, I think that would be great. That would be an amazing thing to have. And I think we will have those things.” Source: Elon Musk Interview at WEF, January 2026
0:42

ELON: EVERYONE ON EARTH WILL WANT THEIR OWN ROBOT “My prediction is the robots will actually make so many robots and AI that they will actually saturate all human needs, meaning you won't be able to even think of something to ask the robot for at a certain point. There'll be more robots than people. I think everyone on Earth is going to have one and going to want one, because who wouldn't want a robot to, assuming it's very safe, watch over your kids, take care of your pet. If you have elderly parents, it's very difficult to take care of them. It's expensive, and there just aren't enough young people to take care of the old people. If you had a robot that could take care of and protect an elderly parent, I think that would be great. That would be an amazing thing to have. And I think we will have those things.” Source: Elon Musk Interview at WEF, January 2026

Mario Nawfal

47,723 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

She actually believes that under socialism that her simply existing is enough of a benefit to society that that will be all she's required to do. Just exist. Yeah, under socialism the government is going to require you to do labor and they get to choose what kind of Labor you do even if you don't feel like doing it. You will not be allowed to stay at home on the internet all day because you're lazy. You will be required to contribute in society.
1:21

She actually believes that under socialism that her simply existing is enough of a benefit to society that that will be all she's required to do. Just exist. Yeah, under socialism the government is going to require you to do labor and they get to choose what kind of Labor you do even if you don't feel like doing it. You will not be allowed to stay at home on the internet all day because you're lazy. You will be required to contribute in society.

MAGA Lorrie Ann 🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇸 AMERICA FIRST

22,989 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce