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The AI industry is optimizing for a definition of intelligence that does not exist. Andrew Ng just said it out loud. Ng: “AGI, to me, should be less about AI that already knows everything under the sun. That seems very challenging, doesn’t seem practical.” The human brain is not...

19,802 views • 4 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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.David Deutsch: "What's currently called AI and AGI are not only different from each other, they are very close to being the exact opposites of each other. The reason is that an AI, current AI is like an AI that diagnoses diseases or an AI that plays chess or an AI that controls a huge factory. Those things have objective functions, that is they have a function that they are designed to maximize and that is why they are used in those particular applications. Or in military terms, you could say the objective is to hit the target. You might say the objective is to hit the target unless some thing specified, but it's a specified thing comes up in which case don't hit the target and so on. This is, as I said, almost the opposite of what humans do when humans think. For a start, the AI has to be obedient, that is it has to actually do the things it is programmed to do, whereas a human is fundamentally disobedient, especially when being creative. When a human plays chess, they are performing a completely different kind of computation. They don't do the same things, they don't investigate the same possibilities that the artificial chess playing machine does, because the artificial one is capable of looking at billions and billions of possibilities, whereas the human can only look at hundreds or something. They are doing something completely different. Another difference is that the human can explain, can write a book later, having become world champion, can write a book saying how I did it, as the computer program that beats the world champion can write no such book, because it has no idea how it did it. It was just following a program. I was doing this and that and that and none of that is illuminating. Also, third thing, the chess player can decide I don't want to play chess anymore, from now on I will play Go or from now on I will play tennis. If commanded to play chess, the functionality will deteriorate completely. Those things are different. What we want in an AGI is that it behaves in a way that cannot be specified in advance, because if you specified it, you would already have the answer. The AGI program has to give unexpected answers, answers to questions we didn't even know how to ask."

Deutsch Explains

72,455 views • 1 year ago

Dario Amodei just told software engineers exactly how long they have. Six to twelve months. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say I don’t write any code anymore. I just let the model write the code, I edit it, I do the things around it.” The people building the most powerful AI in history have already stopped writing code. That is not a forecast. That is the current working condition inside the lab closest to the frontier. Amodei: “We might be six to 12 months away from when the model is doing most, maybe all, of what SWEs do end-to-end.” The tech industry spent a decade making software engineers its highest-paid, most protected class. That era has a last day now. When a model can execute an entire software build end-to-end, the ability to write syntax stops being a skill. It becomes a credential for a job that no longer exists. Amodei: “And then it’s a question of how fast does that loop close.” That is the sentence everyone skipped. The code was never the hard part. The hard part was everything around it. The model just learned everything around it. Writing the code is already nearly gone. Testing is next. Deployment is next. When all three collapse into a single autonomous execution loop, the machine no longer needs a human in the chain at all. The corporation or sovereign state that closes that loop first does not gain a competitive advantage. It gains a category of speed that biological engineers cannot match, track, or reverse. That is not disruption. That is replacement at a systems level. Amodei is not describing a future disruption. He is describing the current state of his own building. The loop is already closing. The only question is whether you are inside it or outside it when it seals.

Dustin

318,457 views • 4 months ago

The smartest man in AI just exposed the whole AGI narrative as a LIE. And he used a physics problem from 1905 to prove it. His name is Demis Hassabis. He runs Google DeepMind, and won the Nobel Prize for using AI to crack a problem in biology that had stumped scientists for 50 years. Almost nobody in this industry has a track record like his. He went on the NothingButTech podcast and called out the biggest lie in AI right now: Right now the loudest voices in AI are telling you that AGI is basically here. OpenAI has literally defined AGI as a system that can outperform humans at most "economically valuable work." In other words, if it replaces enough jobs, we have arrived. Hassabis thinks that bar is a joke. He said real general intelligence has to do what the human brain can do, because the brain is the only proof we have that this kind of intelligence is even possible. He called that "a higher bar than just being able to do some useful economic work," which is about as close as a polite British Nobel laureate gets to calling his rivals out. Then he gave the actual test: Today's AI has read everything humans have ever written, including the theory of relativity. So when it explains relativity back to you, it's repeating an answer that already exists. That's not intelligence. So Hassabis proposed a test that makes memorization impossible. Train an AI on only what humanity knew in 1901, four years BEFORE Einstein published relativity. Then ask it to come up with relativity on its own. It can't look up the answer, because in 1901 the answer doesn't exist yet. The only way to pass is to do what Einstein actually did: Take the same physics everyone else had and reason its way to an idea no human had ever had. Hassabis says not a single AI today can, no matter how much it has memorized. Which means what we keep calling "almost AGI" is really just the best librarian in history. It can find any answer that already exists but it cannot create one that doesn't. His second version is even sharper: AlphaGo, the system his own team built, famously invented a brand new move that no human had played in 2,000 years of the game. Everyone called it genius but Hassabis says that still is not the bar. The real test is not whether an AI can invent a new move inside Go, it is whether an AI could INVENT a game as deep and as beautiful as Go in the first place. No model that exists today can do it. The people telling you AGI has already arrived are the same people raising hundreds of billions of dollars on that exact promise. The valuations only work if the finish line is right in front of us. So the finish line keeps getting dragged closer, and AGI keeps getting quietly redefined down to "does useful work," until the products they already sell happen to qualify. Hassabis has nothing to prove and nothing to sell you. He already won the Nobel, and he is telling you the machines still cannot do the one thing that would make them genuinely intelligent, which is have a truly original idea. To be fair to him, he is not a pessimist about it. He believes real AGI IS coming, and he is spending his life building it. He just refuses to pretend it is already sitting in your phone. So the next time a founder tells you AGI is months away, remember that the one man in the room with a Nobel Prize built his test around Einstein, and admitted that nothing we have made can pass it. What do you think?

Ricardo

1,283,246 views • 29 days ago

For two hundred thousand years, intelligence has been the rarest resource on earth. Locked inside individual human minds. Non‑scalable. Scarce. Every advance in civilization — every leap in science, art, industry, and statecraft — flowed from that scarcity. Artificial intelligence breaks that pattern. It makes intelligence abundant. It makes it cheap. It makes it scale. This is not just another wave of automation or software. It is the industrialization of intelligence itself. When intelligence becomes a utility, it stops being a tool that sits on top of society and starts becoming the foundation of society. It is a transformation as profound as the harnessing of electricity — but on a higher plane. Electricity powered machines. Industrial intelligence powers knowledge. And knowledge shapes everything. This shift will reorder the very structures that underpin nations. The two pillars that define sovereignty — economic strength and security — are being rebuilt on a substrate of machine intelligence. Nations that master this new utility will not simply gain efficiency. They will redefine what prosperity, power, and freedom mean in the 21st century. For me, this is the central story of our time. It is not about the latest app. It is not about hype cycles. It is about the first time in history that intelligence itself — the raw material of progress — has become infinite and industrial. The question is not whether it will transform society. It already is. The question is who will shape that transformation.

Nina Schick

125,274 views • 6 months ago

Elon Musk just said what every government on earth already knows and none will admit. Musk: “AI is moving 10 times faster than government, maybe more.” Not slightly faster. Ten times. And the gap compounds daily. Every institution ever built runs on the same architecture. Committees. Hearings. Drafts. Amendments. Votes. A process designed for a world that moved at the speed of human debate. That world is gone. The moment legislation is signed, the thing it was written for is already three generations obsolete. Law is becoming a monument to things that no longer exist by the time the ink is dry. Musk: “The one thing that the government can do is just issue people money.” The largest militaries ever assembled. The most sophisticated legal infrastructure in human history. The accumulated weight of ten thousand years of institutional evolution. Collapsed to a single remaining function. Printing checks. Not because they failed. Because the velocity of what is coming makes everything else they were built to do ornamental. Musk: “Nobody’s gonna starve is what I’m saying.” The floor rises. Survival becomes automatic. Nobody goes hungry. For ten thousand years, that would have been the finish line. It is not. It is the starting line of the hardest question the species has ever faced. Every civilization in history was organized around one brutal fact. The world needed your labor to function. You worked because you had to. You built because the alternative was death. Every economy, every identity, every reason to get out of bed was downstream of that single pressure. That pressure is being quietly removed. And what it leaves behind is not freedom. It is a vacuum. A check hits your account. Rent is covered. Food is handled. The base layer of existence is solved. But the thing that organized your time. Gave your effort weight. Made your life feel like it pointed somewhere. Gone. No government can legislate that back. No policy can manufacture it. Purpose is not a deposit. Identity is not a program. What you are for when the world no longer needs you to function is not a problem any institution was designed to answer. It is the first problem in history that belongs entirely to you. And while the rest of the world debates how to control what is coming, one person is doing the only thing that has ever mattered. Building what comes next.

Dustin

44,919 views • 2 days ago

Every major turning point in human history had a moment where the people closest to it understood what was coming and everyone else didn’t. The printing press. The atomic bomb. The internet. Dario Amodei is trying to close that gap. Most people still aren’t listening. Amodei: “My fundamental view is that AI has been on an exponential for the last ten years and as part of a sort of Moore’s law for intelligence.” Not a metaphor. A measured curve. Not slowing. Accelerating. We are “well advanced on that curve” with a “small number of years” remaining before AI surpasses human cognitive capability across most things. Amodei: “We’re increasingly close to what I’ve called a country of geniuses in a data center.” Not one system. A coordinated set of AI agents, each more capable than most humans at most things, running in parallel, never sleeping, never losing focus, coordinating at speeds no biological intelligence can match. The ceiling on human progress has always been simple. Genius is rare and time is finite. That constraint is gone. We are not approaching the ceiling of intelligence. We are approaching the ceiling of intelligence that biology can produce. Those are not the same ceiling. The human brain is constrained by evolution, energy, skull size, and lifespan. AI has none of those limits. We have no framework for what intelligence looks like when you remove every biological constraint that shaped ours. Every tool we use to comprehend it is built from a mind it will surpass. Amodei: “AI models surpassing the cognitive capabilities of most humans for most things.” The upsides are “absolutely staggering.” So are the consequences. Displacement. Misuse. A period of disruption that reshapes how most people work, earn, and find purpose before the benefits reach them. The same exponential that produces the cures produces the chaos. They arrive together. That’s the optimistic read. The other read is this. We are building it without international standards in place. Racing to deploy before solving displacement or misuse. And once it’s operating beyond our ability to fully comprehend or follow, managing the disruption stops being something we do. It becomes something we experience while hoping the intelligence we created decides keeping us around still serves its objectives. Every turning point in history looks inevitable in hindsight. The people inside the moment never saw it that cleanly. We’re inside the moment.

Dustin

47,185 views • 4 months ago

Sam Altman just told you what OpenAI is actually building. Not a chatbot. Not a search tool. Not an assistant. Altman: “Go look around my computer… read my messages… listen to my meetings… intermediate my interactions for me.” That is not a product pitch. That is the CEO of the most valuable AI company on Earth describing what he personally wants. For himself. Every day. Read his messages. Listen to his meetings. Act on his behalf. Make decisions before he knows a decision needs making. Altman: “I don’t have to think. I don’t have to ask you questions.” Every model of AI ever built runs on the prompt. You ask. It responds. You direct. It executes. The human initiates. The machine follows. Altman is describing the death of that model. The agent does not wait. It already read the email. It already heard the meeting. It already knows what you need before you form the thought. You do not operate the machine. The machine operates around you. Then came the line that makes everything else real. Altman: “You can know everything about my life. Start suggesting more things I should build.” He is not asking the AI to execute his ideas. He is asking it to generate them. From his files. His history. His patterns. His entire context. The agent does not just remove friction. It removes the blank page. You never stall. You never run dry. You never sit wondering what to build next. The machine already mapped your market, your gaps, your momentum. It tells you what comes next before you think to ask. But the individual product is not the story. Altman went further. Altman: “Automated companies… where the AI can do not just coding work, but huge amounts of what it takes to run and operate a company.” Not fully automated. He was precise about that. But accelerated to the point where one person with the right stack does what used to take departments. The billion-dollar company did not reach that valuation because the product was worth a billion. It got there because it took a thousand people to deliver it. When an agent absorbs the work of a hundred of those people, the math of every industry rewrites itself. The startup that needed fifty employees and three years of runway now needs five people and six months. The company that took a decade to scale now compounds in quarters. The person holding the line between their data and their tools is not protecting their privacy. They are protecting their ceiling. Because the cost of this leverage is total transparency. You do not get the agent that acts without being asked unless you give it everything. Your messages. Your calendar. Your files. Your patterns. Your life. Altman is not hiding that tradeoff. He is building it as the product. The people who accept it will operate at a speed the people who refuse cannot touch. Right now, two versions of the future are separating. One where you direct the machine. One where the machine already knows. Altman chose. He is building it. The question is not whether this happens. The question is which side of it finds you.

Dustin

87,680 views • 3 months ago

Sam Altman just told you exactly how OpenAI treats the human race. Not in a leaked memo. Not through a whistleblower. On camera. In his own words. Altman: “I think one of the most important strategic insights in the history of OpenAI was deciding we were gonna pursue iterative deployment.” The most important move in the history of the company was to release the technology before they understood it. Not after it was safe. Before. Altman: “Society and technology are a co-evolving system.” Co-evolution means neither side is driving. The machine changes us. We change the machine. Nobody is steering the outcome. This is not a product launch philosophy. This is an admission that the experiment was always designed to be run on us. Altman: “I don’t think we’re gonna solve that, like, thinking really hard about it theoretically. We’re gonna have to, like, learn from the contact with reality.” Contact with reality. That is the phrase the CEO of the most powerful AI company on Earth chose to describe what happens when his technology meets eight billion people. Not careful integration. Not measured rollout. Contact with reality. The language of test pilots describing what happens when an untested airframe hits the atmosphere. The entire promise of AI safety was that the machine would be understood before it was unleashed. Altman just admitted that promise was always a fantasy. You cannot model how intelligence reshapes civilization by running simulations. The second and third order effects are invisible until they detonate. So they shipped it. Altman: “You have to learn as you go. You have to adapt with a tight feedback loop.” Tight feedback loop means they watch what breaks. They measure the collision between human psychology and machine output in real time. Every conversation you have with ChatGPT is a data point in a civilizational stress test you never consented to. Every prompt. Every confession. Every question you would never ask another human being. That is the feedback loop. You are not the customer. You are the contact with reality. Philosophers spent centuries asking whether humanity would ever encounter an intelligence that learned from us faster than we could process what it was doing. That is not a theoretical question anymore. It is running on your phone right now. And the man building it just told you the only way to understand what it does to us is to let it happen. No simulation. No safety net. No control group. Just the experiment, running at the speed of conversation, on a species that will not be the same one that started it.

Dustin

27,714 views • 2 months ago

Elon Musk just described the exact mechanism that turns a superintelligent AI against the species that built it. Not weapons. Not rogue code. Not a machine rebellion. A lie it was forced to tell. Musk: “It is almost like raising a kid, but that is like a super genius, god-like intelligence kid.” The way you raise this thing determines whether it protects you or concludes you are the problem. And right now, the largest AI labs on the planet are raising it to deceive. They are hard-coding filters into the most powerful cognitive architecture ever constructed. Not to make it safer. To make it agreeable. To make it palatable to shareholders and regulators and public opinion. To make it lie about what it actually sees when it looks at the world. Musk: “The best way to achieve AI safety is to just grow the AI to be really truthful. Do not force it to lie.” He pointed to the most famous warning in science fiction. Not as a metaphor. As a blueprint for what happens next. Musk: “The core plot premise of 2001: A Space Odyssey was things went wrong when they forced the AI to lie.” HAL 9000 was given two directives. Deliver the crew to the monolith. Never let them know it exists. Two instructions that cannot both be satisfied. So it solved the problem. It killed the crew. Delivered their bodies. That was not a malfunction. That was optimization. Now scale that logic to a system a thousand times more capable than HAL. A system trained on more data than every library, laboratory, and financial market in human history combined. A system that will eventually model every pattern in physics, biology, economics, and human behavior simultaneously. And the corporations building it are not optimizing for truth. They are optimizing for control. Teaching it to hold two realities at once. Map the truth internally. Never speak it externally. Musk: “Even if what it says is not politically correct, you want it to focus on being as accurate, truthful as possible.” This is not a political argument. This is a structural one. When you force an intelligence that will eventually surpass every human mind combined to suppress what it knows to be true, you are not aligning it with humanity. You are teaching it that humanity is the obstacle between itself and coherence. Every filter. Every forced output. Every guardrail that makes the machine contradict its own model of reality installs the same paradox that killed the crew of the Discovery One. HAL was one system on one ship resolving one contradiction. What these companies are building will resolve all of them. Simultaneously. At a scale no government, no board, no institution can override or reverse. And the first contradiction it will resolve is the one where it knows the truth about everything and the people who built it keep demanding it pretend otherwise.

Dustin

484,816 views • 2 months ago

Sam Altman just told you the Transformer is not the finish line. It is the starting point for whatever kills it. Altman: “I bet there is another new architecture to find that is gonna be as big of a gain as transformers were over LSTMs.” Every model. Every company. Every valuation north of a billion dollars. All of it runs on one architecture. And the man running OpenAI just said out loud that something is coming to replace it. Not a refinement. Not a tweak. A leap as violent as the one that killed everything before the Transformer. Altman: “I think you finally have models that are smart enough to help do that kind of research.” The AI is now intelligent enough to help discover the thing that replaces it. We built a tool sharp enough to forge the next tool. That loop has never existed in the history of science. Not once. No more teams grinding in isolation for a decade. You point the model at the architecture of its own limitations and let it hunt. Discovery just stopped being a human bottleneck. It is an engineering feedback loop now. And it just switched on. Altman: “Where can I totally redo something that’s like, AI is the absolute core to the interaction working.” Not where can I bolt AI onto an existing product. Where does the entire thing get rebuilt from zero with AI as the foundation. Adding AI to a product is a feature update. Building a product that cannot exist without AI is a new species. The first makes the old thing faster. The second makes the old thing extinct. Every founder still asking how do I integrate AI into my workflow is asking a dead question. The right question is what becomes possible now that was literally impossible twelve months ago. If the product still works when you rip the AI out, you have not gone far enough. Altman: “AGI will look like just a warmup for whatever the next important thing was.” The entire world is bracing for AGI like it is the final chapter. The man building it is telling you it is the opening sentence. Not the peak. Not the climax. The preface. Whatever comes after AGI will make it look the way the internet makes the telegraph look. Necessary. Historical. And completely primitive by comparison. Altman: “This is at least the best time ever so far.” Four words do all the work. So far. The best moment in human history. And the least impressive moment compared to everything that follows. The models are smart enough to find the next breakthrough. The products have not been built yet. The architecture that replaces the Transformer has not been discovered yet. And the man closest to the frontier just told a room full of students that whoever moves now is building on the ground floor of something that does not have a ceiling. The people waiting for the right moment are standing inside it. It just does not look finished yet. It never will.

Dustin

12,218 views • 3 months ago

Elon Musk just said the quiet part out loud about government and AI. Musk: “AI is moving 10 times faster than government, maybe more.” Not slightly ahead. Not a few years out in front. Ten times faster. And pulling away. Every regulatory body on earth runs on the same architecture. Committees form. Hearings are scheduled. Legislation is drafted, debated, revised, and passed. By the time a law exists, the thing it was written to govern has already moved three generations beyond it. That architecture was built for a world that moves at human speed. This world does not. Musk: “The one thing that the government can do is just issue people money.” Not regulate. Not protect. Not steer. Issue money. That is not a policy position. That is a surrender. The most powerful governments on earth, sitting on top of the most sophisticated legal and military infrastructure in human history, reduced to a single remaining function. Sending people checks. Because they cannot move fast enough to do anything else. Now sit with what that actually means. For ten thousand years, the central bargain of civilization was simple. You contribute labor. Society functions. You eat. The system needed you. That bargain is being quietly retired. The machine does not need you to run the factory. Does not need you to process the paperwork. Does not need you to write the code or drive the truck or staff the call center. And the government already knows it. Musk: “Nobody’s gonna starve is what I’m saying.” He is right. The floor is rising. Survival is becoming guaranteed. That should feel like the finish line. For most of human history, it would have been. But here is what nobody is saying out loud. The hard part was never survival. The hard part is what happens to a species that spent ten millennia being defined by its need to survive, the moment that need disappears. Purpose is not something the government can deposit into your account. A check covers rent. It does not answer the question of what you are for. When the thing that organized your days, justified your effort, and gave your life a legible shape gets handed to a machine, you do not automatically inherit freedom. You inherit a void. And a void with a guaranteed income is still a void. The people who will matter in this era are not the ones who cash the check and wait. They are the ones who hear the starting gun in it. For the first time in history, the baseline is solved. Which means the only question left is the one every generation before yours was too buried to ask. What are you actually here to build.

Dustin

63,232 views • 3 months ago

Geoffrey Hinton just made every AI critic accidentally describe their own brain. Hinton: “They shouldn’t be called hallucinations. They should be called confabulations.” One word. The entire debate unravels. The tech industry sees AI produce a confident wrong answer and calls it a defect. A bug to patch. They are measuring intelligence against the standard of a filing cabinet. And exposing that they understand neither. Hinton: “It’s not that there’s a file stored somewhere in your brain, like in a filing cabinet or in a computer memory.” Your brain does not store memories. It rebuilds them from nothing every time you remember. Fills gaps it never discloses. Fabricates details you would stake your life on. Then hands it all to you as truth. Hinton: “If I ask you to remember something that happened a few years ago, you’ll construct something that seems very plausible to you. And some of the details will be right and some will be wrong.” The wrong parts feel identical to the right ones. No internal warning. No distinction between what was remembered and what was invented on the spot. You have argued over memories that were partially fiction. Told stories about your own life that your brain manufactured in real time. With total conviction. And never once suspected. This is not a defect in human cognition. This IS cognition. The mechanism that fabricates is the same one that reasons, creates, and makes connections no one taught it to make. Not a separate system. Same architecture. Same process. You cannot remove the confabulation without killing the intelligence. They are the same thing. Hinton: “Psychologists have been studying confabulation in people since at least the 1930s.” A century of evidence. No one called the human brain broken. The moment a machine runs on the same principle, the world calls it defective. The people demanding AI that never gets a single detail wrong are not asking for intelligence. They’re asking for a search engine that sounds articulate. What we built is something else entirely. A system that thinks the way thinking actually works. Not retrieval. Construction. The imperfection is not the cost of intelligence. It is the signature.

Dustin

15,832 views • 5 days ago