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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if... show more

Mario Nawfal

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38,076 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying to use economic pressure to isolate Tehran, while its biggest economic partner is building ways to make that pressure harder to enforce. The irony is brutal: The more aggressively the U.S. weaponizes the financial system, the more incentive its rivals have to build a system that can operate without it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying to use economic pressure to isolate Tehran, while its biggest economic partner is building ways to make that pressure harder to enforce. The irony is brutal: The more aggressively the U.S. weaponizes the financial system, the more incentive its rivals have to build a system that can operate without it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

60,078 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇦🇫 U.S. foreign policy is executing a conditional surrender. Not a smart strategic repositioning. While eventually leaving the region could let the U.S. focus on the home front long-term, Brandon Weichert says the near-term reality looks like the chaotic 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal. U.S. is ceding ground to its adversaries. By failing to exit on its own terms, the U.S. is handing Eurasia and the Middle East over to China and Russia as their sphere of influence. A shift that will hurt America geopolitically for the next decade. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇦🇫 U.S. foreign policy is executing a conditional surrender. Not a smart strategic repositioning. While eventually leaving the region could let the U.S. focus on the home front long-term, Brandon Weichert says the near-term reality looks like the chaotic 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal. U.S. is ceding ground to its adversaries. By failing to exit on its own terms, the U.S. is handing Eurasia and the Middle East over to China and Russia as their sphere of influence. A shift that will hurt America geopolitically for the next decade. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

28,210 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 BIG | President Donald Trump says the United States is currently "low-keying it" with Iran, signaling that Washington is holding back from another major military escalation while allowing economic pressure on Tehran to build. According to Axios, Trump said the U.S. is maintaining only limited negotiations with Iran while closely watching the country's deteriorating economic situation. "We're only semi-negotiating with them. We're just watching Iran with its huge inflation and the fact that they have no money," Trump said. The president argued that Iran is in "very bad shape" economically and is even struggling to pay its military personnel, while the U.S. naval blockade continues to intensify financial pressure on Tehran. Trump suggested that Washington is prepared to wait rather than immediately return to large-scale military operations, calculating that mounting economic pressure could eventually force Iran toward a more favorable agreement. "It will work out. It always works out. It's like a chess game," Trump said of the confrontation with Tehran. The remarks indicate that, for now, Washington appears willing to let economic pressure do much of the work while keeping military escalation available as leverage if diplomacy fails. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 BIG | President Donald Trump says the United States is currently "low-keying it" with Iran, signaling that Washington is holding back from another major military escalation while allowing economic pressure on Tehran to build. According to Axios, Trump said the U.S. is maintaining only limited negotiations with Iran while closely watching the country's deteriorating economic situation. "We're only semi-negotiating with them. We're just watching Iran with its huge inflation and the fact that they have no money," Trump said. The president argued that Iran is in "very bad shape" economically and is even struggling to pay its military personnel, while the U.S. naval blockade continues to intensify financial pressure on Tehran. Trump suggested that Washington is prepared to wait rather than immediately return to large-scale military operations, calculating that mounting economic pressure could eventually force Iran toward a more favorable agreement. "It will work out. It always works out. It's like a chess game," Trump said of the confrontation with Tehran. The remarks indicate that, for now, Washington appears willing to let economic pressure do much of the work while keeping military escalation available as leverage if diplomacy fails. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

51,776 Aufrufe • vor 12 Tagen

🇺🇸 Brandon Weichert warns that a ceasefire or deal with Iran may only be a pause, not the end of the crisis. While reports suggest the U.S. has heavily depleted its stockpile of long-range precision weapons, Brandon says he remains concerned by suggestions that Washington could revisit military action within months if negotiations falter. His concern is that even a partial replenishment of U.S. munitions could convince the White House that military options are back on the table. "They assume Trump is going to restart hostilities, quote, soon." Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸 Brandon Weichert warns that a ceasefire or deal with Iran may only be a pause, not the end of the crisis. While reports suggest the U.S. has heavily depleted its stockpile of long-range precision weapons, Brandon says he remains concerned by suggestions that Washington could revisit military action within months if negotiations falter. His concern is that even a partial replenishment of U.S. munitions could convince the White House that military options are back on the table. "They assume Trump is going to restart hostilities, quote, soon." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

52,338 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The leaked text of this deal could become a political bomb for Trump before the ink is even dry. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says the agreement gives Iran a major win while leaving Washington exposed. “The Iranians are getting a conditional surrender from the United States.” Now Israel holds the match. The only question is whether they light it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The leaked text of this deal could become a political bomb for Trump before the ink is even dry. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says the agreement gives Iran a major win while leaving Washington exposed. “The Iranians are getting a conditional surrender from the United States.” Now Israel holds the match. The only question is whether they light it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

68,531 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

374,538 Aufrufe • vor 20 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's pressure strategy against Iran may be reaching its breaking point, because Tehran's answer to more pressure is more war Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent says Washington is preparing to move from “Epic Fury” to “Economic Fury,” with unprecedented measures designed to isolate Iran and squeeze its economy even harder. There's just one problem. Tehran is signalling that the more Washington turns up the financial pressure, the more Iran is prepared to turn up the military pressure. An adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader has now warned that if Iran's demands aren't met, Tehran could shift from a defensive posture to an offensive one. Meanwhile, CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper is reportedly becoming increasingly pessimistic that renewed fighting can be avoided. So while Washington publicly talks about pressure creating the conditions for diplomacy, the military appears to be preparing for the possibility that it produces exactly the opposite. And events on the ground are already moving in that direction. Two UAE-owned tankers were attacked by drones while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with the UAE blaming Iran. The Houthis are escalating around Yemen and Saudi Arabia. And during our discussion, reports emerged of another attack targeting Saudi Aramco infrastructure. But America may be preparing for another round of fighting without having solved one of the biggest problems exposed by the last one: Weapons production. The U.S is finally fielding its Dark Eagle hypersonic missile, but the production rate is roughly one missile per month, with ambitions to increase that to two. And increasingly, America's adversaries appear to understand that the economics of warfare matter just as much as the weapons themselves. Fire cheaper weapons, force your enemy to burn expensive interceptors, drain their magazines, then use the weapons you've been saving. Trump's strategy rests on the assumption that enough pain eventually forces Tehran back to the negotiating table. Iran is betting on something very different: That enough pain forces America to decide this war simply isn't worth the price. And if neither side backs down, “Economic Fury” may not be the alternative to another war; it may be the trigger for it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's pressure strategy against Iran may be reaching its breaking point, because Tehran's answer to more pressure is more war Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent says Washington is preparing to move from “Epic Fury” to “Economic Fury,” with unprecedented measures designed to isolate Iran and squeeze its economy even harder. There's just one problem. Tehran is signalling that the more Washington turns up the financial pressure, the more Iran is prepared to turn up the military pressure. An adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader has now warned that if Iran's demands aren't met, Tehran could shift from a defensive posture to an offensive one. Meanwhile, CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper is reportedly becoming increasingly pessimistic that renewed fighting can be avoided. So while Washington publicly talks about pressure creating the conditions for diplomacy, the military appears to be preparing for the possibility that it produces exactly the opposite. And events on the ground are already moving in that direction. Two UAE-owned tankers were attacked by drones while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with the UAE blaming Iran. The Houthis are escalating around Yemen and Saudi Arabia. And during our discussion, reports emerged of another attack targeting Saudi Aramco infrastructure. But America may be preparing for another round of fighting without having solved one of the biggest problems exposed by the last one: Weapons production. The U.S is finally fielding its Dark Eagle hypersonic missile, but the production rate is roughly one missile per month, with ambitions to increase that to two. And increasingly, America's adversaries appear to understand that the economics of warfare matter just as much as the weapons themselves. Fire cheaper weapons, force your enemy to burn expensive interceptors, drain their magazines, then use the weapons you've been saving. Trump's strategy rests on the assumption that enough pain eventually forces Tehran back to the negotiating table. Iran is betting on something very different: That enough pain forces America to decide this war simply isn't worth the price. And if neither side backs down, “Economic Fury” may not be the alternative to another war; it may be the trigger for it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

281,298 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington has blindly stumbled into a devastating proxy trap in Iran, and Beijing is reaping all the rewards. Every single weapon system the U.S. expends in the Middle East is one less deterrent available to stop a Chinese move on Taiwan. Brandon Weichert argued that Trump's recent concessions to China reveal how completely overextended the U.S. is, warning that America will feel extreme economic consequences for the forseeable future. Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington has blindly stumbled into a devastating proxy trap in Iran, and Beijing is reaping all the rewards. Every single weapon system the U.S. expends in the Middle East is one less deterrent available to stop a Chinese move on Taiwan. Brandon Weichert argued that Trump's recent concessions to China reveal how completely overextended the U.S. is, warning that America will feel extreme economic consequences for the forseeable future. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

100,196 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making it very clear: Washington is willing to use the full force of its financial system to choke Iran economically. That may look like strength, but it also confirms what much of the world already suspects, that access to the dollar system is conditional and can be weaponised at will. Every time the US turns sanctions into a blunt instrument, it reinforces the case for countries to reduce their exposure to American financial dominance. You don’t have to admire BRICS to understand the dynamic. When the world’s reserve currency is used as leverage, other nations start building alternatives. Not out of ideology,out of self-preservation. Economic coercion doesn’t just pressure adversaries. It signals to neutral states that their sovereignty could be one policy shift away from being constrained. That accelerates diversification, parallel payment systems, and long-term de-dollarisation efforts. Washington may believe it’s tightening control. In reality, it may be steadily teaching the world how to operate without it. Power used recklessly has a cost. And over time, the cost compounds......

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making it very clear: Washington is willing to use the full force of its financial system to choke Iran economically. That may look like strength, but it also confirms what much of the world already suspects, that access to the dollar system is conditional and can be weaponised at will. Every time the US turns sanctions into a blunt instrument, it reinforces the case for countries to reduce their exposure to American financial dominance. You don’t have to admire BRICS to understand the dynamic. When the world’s reserve currency is used as leverage, other nations start building alternatives. Not out of ideology,out of self-preservation. Economic coercion doesn’t just pressure adversaries. It signals to neutral states that their sovereignty could be one policy shift away from being constrained. That accelerates diversification, parallel payment systems, and long-term de-dollarisation efforts. Washington may believe it’s tightening control. In reality, it may be steadily teaching the world how to operate without it. Power used recklessly has a cost. And over time, the cost compounds......

Richard

43,036 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just declared economic war on anyone keeping Iran alive. There's just one HUGE problem: China. Trump's “Economic D-Day” is an attempt to financially isolate Iran on a scale Washington says has never been attempted before. And Treasury Sec. Bessent made the objective brutally clear: They want to collapse the Iranian regime. That means targeting not just Iran, but the countries, banks and businesses that continue trading with it. Which brings Washington directly into collision with Beijing. China buys the overwhelming majority of Iran's shipped oil. So if Trump genuinely intends to economically strangle Tehran, eventually he has to answer the question everyone is asking: What happens when China refuses to stop? He faces two choices: Don't enforce the sanctions aggressively against China, and Tehran retains the economic lifeline Washington is trying to sever. Enforce them, and what began as an economic war against Iran starts becoming an economic confrontation with the world's second-largest economy. And China isn't Iran. Beijing has economic weapons of its own: Rare earths, manufacturing, critical supply chains, and, crucially, an alternative financial architecture it's spent years developing precisely because it never wanted Washington to possess a permanent veto over Chinese commerce. That's the part of this story that could become far more consequential than whatever happens in Hormuz. America's greatest economic weapon isn't an aircraft carrier, it's the dollar. Access to the dollar system gives Washington an extraordinary ability to punish governments, banks and companies almost anywhere on Earth. But that power only remains overwhelming for as long as the rest of the world has no viable alternative. Every time Washington weaponises it, it creates another incentive to build one. And Trump is now threatening to demonstrate that vulnerability on an enormous scale. China doesn't need to overthrow the dollar tomorrow; it just needs enough infrastructure to continue trading when Washington says: Stop, or else. And once that infrastructure exists, other countries gain access to the same insurance policy. Trump's war on Iran exposed the limits of American military power. His economic war may be about to expose the limits of America's financial power too. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just declared economic war on anyone keeping Iran alive. There's just one HUGE problem: China. Trump's “Economic D-Day” is an attempt to financially isolate Iran on a scale Washington says has never been attempted before. And Treasury Sec. Bessent made the objective brutally clear: They want to collapse the Iranian regime. That means targeting not just Iran, but the countries, banks and businesses that continue trading with it. Which brings Washington directly into collision with Beijing. China buys the overwhelming majority of Iran's shipped oil. So if Trump genuinely intends to economically strangle Tehran, eventually he has to answer the question everyone is asking: What happens when China refuses to stop? He faces two choices: Don't enforce the sanctions aggressively against China, and Tehran retains the economic lifeline Washington is trying to sever. Enforce them, and what began as an economic war against Iran starts becoming an economic confrontation with the world's second-largest economy. And China isn't Iran. Beijing has economic weapons of its own: Rare earths, manufacturing, critical supply chains, and, crucially, an alternative financial architecture it's spent years developing precisely because it never wanted Washington to possess a permanent veto over Chinese commerce. That's the part of this story that could become far more consequential than whatever happens in Hormuz. America's greatest economic weapon isn't an aircraft carrier, it's the dollar. Access to the dollar system gives Washington an extraordinary ability to punish governments, banks and companies almost anywhere on Earth. But that power only remains overwhelming for as long as the rest of the world has no viable alternative. Every time Washington weaponises it, it creates another incentive to build one. And Trump is now threatening to demonstrate that vulnerability on an enormous scale. China doesn't need to overthrow the dollar tomorrow; it just needs enough infrastructure to continue trading when Washington says: Stop, or else. And once that infrastructure exists, other countries gain access to the same insurance policy. Trump's war on Iran exposed the limits of American military power. His economic war may be about to expose the limits of America's financial power too. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

523,315 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran has reportedly given Washington a new ultimatum: return to diplomacy and lift the naval blockade within “a few weeks,” or Tehran will expand the war. Iran says the previous 60-day MOU deadline is meaningless because Washington violated the agreement before negotiations even began. The new deadline is different. This one is coming from Tehran. And the pressure is already visible. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to a near standstill, with only five commodity vessels reportedly transiting Saturday and none Sunday, compared with 31 the previous weekend. The dispute at the center of everything is Hormuz. Iran wants control over passage and the ability to charge fees. Washington appears unwilling to accept that, making the Strait the central bargaining chip in the entire conflict. Trump, meanwhile, claims the U.S. has “total control” of Hormuz, says he is communicating with the IRGC, and has threatened Oman if it obstructs efforts to reopen the Strait. The IRGC has publicly denied that any backchannel negotiations with Washington are taking place. That leaves both sides claiming leverage while preparing for another round of escalation. Iran is reportedly shifting from a defensive posture to an offensive one, with officials warning that a failed diplomatic process could bring attacks on Gulf infrastructure, internet cables and other regional targets. The bigger concern is that Tehran appears to be preparing for a long war rather than assuming another ceasefire will hold. Inside Iran, authorities are also tightening restrictions, including proposed criminal penalties for unauthorized contact with foreign media, foreign-funded organizations and scientific institutions. Meanwhile, the U.S. is dealing with growing questions about military morale, political constraints and whether Washington actually has a viable off-ramp. The core problem is becoming increasingly difficult to escape: Iran believes Washington will eventually try to escalate again. Washington cannot easily accept Iran gaining control over Hormuz. And neither side appears willing to concede the point that matters most. The next few weeks could determine whether this remains a standoff or becomes the next phase of the war. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran has reportedly given Washington a new ultimatum: return to diplomacy and lift the naval blockade within “a few weeks,” or Tehran will expand the war. Iran says the previous 60-day MOU deadline is meaningless because Washington violated the agreement before negotiations even began. The new deadline is different. This one is coming from Tehran. And the pressure is already visible. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to a near standstill, with only five commodity vessels reportedly transiting Saturday and none Sunday, compared with 31 the previous weekend. The dispute at the center of everything is Hormuz. Iran wants control over passage and the ability to charge fees. Washington appears unwilling to accept that, making the Strait the central bargaining chip in the entire conflict. Trump, meanwhile, claims the U.S. has “total control” of Hormuz, says he is communicating with the IRGC, and has threatened Oman if it obstructs efforts to reopen the Strait. The IRGC has publicly denied that any backchannel negotiations with Washington are taking place. That leaves both sides claiming leverage while preparing for another round of escalation. Iran is reportedly shifting from a defensive posture to an offensive one, with officials warning that a failed diplomatic process could bring attacks on Gulf infrastructure, internet cables and other regional targets. The bigger concern is that Tehran appears to be preparing for a long war rather than assuming another ceasefire will hold. Inside Iran, authorities are also tightening restrictions, including proposed criminal penalties for unauthorized contact with foreign media, foreign-funded organizations and scientific institutions. Meanwhile, the U.S. is dealing with growing questions about military morale, political constraints and whether Washington actually has a viable off-ramp. The core problem is becoming increasingly difficult to escape: Iran believes Washington will eventually try to escalate again. Washington cannot easily accept Iran gaining control over Hormuz. And neither side appears willing to concede the point that matters most. The next few weeks could determine whether this remains a standoff or becomes the next phase of the war. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

296,727 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

86,521 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 STRATEGIC PATIENCE: WHY THE U.S. IS UNDERESTIMATING IRAN The U.S. may be celebrating tactical strikes, but they are facing an adversary that has been preparing for this exact war for decades. Iran has mastered the art of "strategic patience," holding back its most advanced missiles and drones while observing the American footprint in the region. Matthew Hoh highlights how the U.S. lacks a clear political objective, while Iran is executing a long-term plan to ensure this is the last time regime change is ever mentioned. Underestimating a prepared enemy is the fastest way to lose a war you thought was already won. Matthew Hoh

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 STRATEGIC PATIENCE: WHY THE U.S. IS UNDERESTIMATING IRAN The U.S. may be celebrating tactical strikes, but they are facing an adversary that has been preparing for this exact war for decades. Iran has mastered the art of "strategic patience," holding back its most advanced missiles and drones while observing the American footprint in the region. Matthew Hoh highlights how the U.S. lacks a clear political objective, while Iran is executing a long-term plan to ensure this is the last time regime change is ever mentioned. Underestimating a prepared enemy is the fastest way to lose a war you thought was already won. Matthew Hoh

Mario Nawfal

79,024 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have reached the point where every option makes America's position worse. Middle East expert Joshua Landis says Iran isn't just retaliating to U.S. pressure anymore. It's deliberately expanding the battlefield to convince Washington that escalation carries a higher cost than compromise. Start with the recent strikes. An American response inside Iran is followed by Iranian attacks on U.S. assets in Jordan and on ships in Egypt. If Washington turns to economic warfare or tries to blockade Iran, Tehran will simply drag the conflict back into military escalation. Landis agrees. He argues the White House still believes it can force Iran to back down by gradually degrading its economy, missile capabilities and military infrastructure. But every new round of pressure pushes Iran to widen the conflict instead, creating economic pain for America's regional partners and demonstrating that no country is insulated from the consequences. Egypt is the perfect example. Even if American ships are the intended target, attacks near Egypt threaten tourism, Suez Canal traffic and one of the region's most fragile economies. The point isn't necessarily Egypt itself. It's proving that pressure on Iran can quickly become pressure on everyone else. That brings Landis to the real issue: the Strait of Hormuz. He argues this war is ultimately about who controls one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. For decades, American dominance in the Gulf has underpinned its global influence. But Landis says preserving that dominance through military force is becoming increasingly difficult. His argument is that even if Washington steps back, Iran cannot simply shut off global oil forever. Tehran also depends on exporting its own energy, meaning every Gulf state ultimately has an incentive to reach some form of accommodation. The real question isn't whether oil will keep flowing, but whether the United States remains the power that guarantees it. Landis warns that continuing to escalate may actually accelerate the decline Washington is trying to prevent. Joshua Landis

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have reached the point where every option makes America's position worse. Middle East expert Joshua Landis says Iran isn't just retaliating to U.S. pressure anymore. It's deliberately expanding the battlefield to convince Washington that escalation carries a higher cost than compromise. Start with the recent strikes. An American response inside Iran is followed by Iranian attacks on U.S. assets in Jordan and on ships in Egypt. If Washington turns to economic warfare or tries to blockade Iran, Tehran will simply drag the conflict back into military escalation. Landis agrees. He argues the White House still believes it can force Iran to back down by gradually degrading its economy, missile capabilities and military infrastructure. But every new round of pressure pushes Iran to widen the conflict instead, creating economic pain for America's regional partners and demonstrating that no country is insulated from the consequences. Egypt is the perfect example. Even if American ships are the intended target, attacks near Egypt threaten tourism, Suez Canal traffic and one of the region's most fragile economies. The point isn't necessarily Egypt itself. It's proving that pressure on Iran can quickly become pressure on everyone else. That brings Landis to the real issue: the Strait of Hormuz. He argues this war is ultimately about who controls one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. For decades, American dominance in the Gulf has underpinned its global influence. But Landis says preserving that dominance through military force is becoming increasingly difficult. His argument is that even if Washington steps back, Iran cannot simply shut off global oil forever. Tehran also depends on exporting its own energy, meaning every Gulf state ultimately has an incentive to reach some form of accommodation. The real question isn't whether oil will keep flowing, but whether the United States remains the power that guarantees it. Landis warns that continuing to escalate may actually accelerate the decline Washington is trying to prevent. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

272,598 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America is fighting Iran like it has years to win, but it may only have weeks before the global economy starts collapsing around it. Most people are still comparing Iran to Iraq, Afghanistan or Vietnam, and former U.S Navy SEAL Matt Bracken says that's a fatal mistake. In those wars, America could spend years burning money, munitions and lives before eventually deciding to leave. This war doesn't give Washington that luxury, because every week it continues, the world economy loses more oxygen. The U.S can't simply fight for another decade and then fly home, because the battlefield isn't confined to Iran; it's the entire global trading system, and that's before you even get to the military economics. Every inexpensive drone and ballistic missile forces the U.S and its allies to launch interceptors worth millions of dollars: it's an exchange ratio that heavily favours Iran. Even if Washington succeeded in turning Iran into a failed state, Matt argues the price could be catastrophic. For more than a century, U.S and British strategy was built around controlling the world's sea lanes and preventing the great powers of Eurasia from consolidating. Now, he argues, America's foreign policy has done the opposite. Russia, China and Iran are drawing closer together. At the same time, cheap long-range missiles and drones are pushing the U.S Navy farther away from hostile coastlines. America once projected power deep into Asia with gunboats, but today, Matt argues, even non-state actors can force billion-dollar warships to keep their distance. Matt Bracken

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America is fighting Iran like it has years to win, but it may only have weeks before the global economy starts collapsing around it. Most people are still comparing Iran to Iraq, Afghanistan or Vietnam, and former U.S Navy SEAL Matt Bracken says that's a fatal mistake. In those wars, America could spend years burning money, munitions and lives before eventually deciding to leave. This war doesn't give Washington that luxury, because every week it continues, the world economy loses more oxygen. The U.S can't simply fight for another decade and then fly home, because the battlefield isn't confined to Iran; it's the entire global trading system, and that's before you even get to the military economics. Every inexpensive drone and ballistic missile forces the U.S and its allies to launch interceptors worth millions of dollars: it's an exchange ratio that heavily favours Iran. Even if Washington succeeded in turning Iran into a failed state, Matt argues the price could be catastrophic. For more than a century, U.S and British strategy was built around controlling the world's sea lanes and preventing the great powers of Eurasia from consolidating. Now, he argues, America's foreign policy has done the opposite. Russia, China and Iran are drawing closer together. At the same time, cheap long-range missiles and drones are pushing the U.S Navy farther away from hostile coastlines. America once projected power deep into Asia with gunboats, but today, Matt argues, even non-state actors can force billion-dollar warships to keep their distance. Matt Bracken

Mario Nawfal

309,186 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is calling the U.S. bluff. The judiciary chief says Washington doesn’t have the power to enforce a real naval blockade, warning that past U.S. failures like Tabas will repeat again in the Persian Gulf.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is calling the U.S. bluff. The judiciary chief says Washington doesn’t have the power to enforce a real naval blockade, warning that past U.S. failures like Tabas will repeat again in the Persian Gulf.

Mario Nawfal

106,031 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 47 years of economic warfare and the regime never buckled once. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says Washington is repeating its oldest miscalculation on Iran, betting on a collapse that half a century of pressure never delivered. And this time, he warns, the price of being wrong is terminal: "It's going to be the end of the American empire in the Middle East. And it'll be a spectacular defeat." Everyone will see it. No one will be able to deny it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 47 years of economic warfare and the regime never buckled once. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says Washington is repeating its oldest miscalculation on Iran, betting on a collapse that half a century of pressure never delivered. And this time, he warns, the price of being wrong is terminal: "It's going to be the end of the American empire in the Middle East. And it'll be a spectacular defeat." Everyone will see it. No one will be able to deny it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

48,350 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is turning the war into a global energy conflict, and each day that passes increasingly favors Tehran Most people still think this war will be decided by airstrikes, missiles, or whichever side destroys more military targets. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks that's yesterday's way of looking at it; the real battlefield is energy. Every additional day that the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted creates costs that spread far beyond the Middle East. Higher energy prices, more expensive shipping, pressure on agriculture, manufacturing, and global supply chains. Even if the shooting stopped tomorrow, those economic effects wouldn't disappear overnight. And that's exactly why Brandon believes time increasingly favours Tehran. Iran doesn't need to defeat the U.S military; it simply needs to keep imposing economic costs that Washington, its allies and the global economy become less willing to absorb. That's the strategic shift he believes many people still haven't recognised. The U.S isn't fighting a conventional war of conquest; it's trying to restore normal trade, shipping and energy flows. Iran's objective is much simpler: Prevent that from happening. The longer disruption continues, the more pressure builds on Washington to either negotiate or dramatically escalate. Trump would probably prefer a negotiated settlement if it preserved U.S interests. Iran also wants a deal, but on terms that recognise the leverage it has created. The obstacle, in Brandon's view, is that Israel's strategic objectives are much broader than Washington's. As long as those objectives remain misaligned, every diplomatic opening becomes harder to turn into an actual agreement. That's why he thinks this conflict is becoming more dangerous, not less. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is turning the war into a global energy conflict, and each day that passes increasingly favors Tehran Most people still think this war will be decided by airstrikes, missiles, or whichever side destroys more military targets. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks that's yesterday's way of looking at it; the real battlefield is energy. Every additional day that the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted creates costs that spread far beyond the Middle East. Higher energy prices, more expensive shipping, pressure on agriculture, manufacturing, and global supply chains. Even if the shooting stopped tomorrow, those economic effects wouldn't disappear overnight. And that's exactly why Brandon believes time increasingly favours Tehran. Iran doesn't need to defeat the U.S military; it simply needs to keep imposing economic costs that Washington, its allies and the global economy become less willing to absorb. That's the strategic shift he believes many people still haven't recognised. The U.S isn't fighting a conventional war of conquest; it's trying to restore normal trade, shipping and energy flows. Iran's objective is much simpler: Prevent that from happening. The longer disruption continues, the more pressure builds on Washington to either negotiate or dramatically escalate. Trump would probably prefer a negotiated settlement if it preserved U.S interests. Iran also wants a deal, but on terms that recognise the leverage it has created. The obstacle, in Brandon's view, is that Israel's strategic objectives are much broader than Washington's. As long as those objectives remain misaligned, every diplomatic opening becomes harder to turn into an actual agreement. That's why he thinks this conflict is becoming more dangerous, not less. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

273,838 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A Hormuz deal giving Iran a formal role in managing shipping would amount to a major strategic setback for the United States Brandon Weichert says the consequences go far beyond the Strait itself. In his view, the outcome could reshape perceptions of U.S. military credibility, encourage rivals to test American power elsewhere, and accelerate broader shifts in the global financial order, including renewed questions about the future of the petrodollar. "If that's accurate, from a strategic perspective, this is a resounding defeat. Self-imposed, self-inflicted." Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A Hormuz deal giving Iran a formal role in managing shipping would amount to a major strategic setback for the United States Brandon Weichert says the consequences go far beyond the Strait itself. In his view, the outcome could reshape perceptions of U.S. military credibility, encourage rivals to test American power elsewhere, and accelerate broader shifts in the global financial order, including renewed questions about the future of the petrodollar. "If that's accurate, from a strategic perspective, this is a resounding defeat. Self-imposed, self-inflicted." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

76,035 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 Trump is preparing to tighten the economic noose around an already battered Iran, betting that unprecedented financial pressure can force Tehran into a deal without immediately returning to large-scale military strikes. According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration is preparing “unprecedented economic measures” against Iran, with the goal of forcing Tehran toward an agreement before the November midterm elections. The move suggests that, for now, Trump prefers economic pressure and diplomacy over renewed strikes, despite calls from parts of the U.S. military leadership for a tougher military approach. Washington’s strategy now appears to be straightforward: use Iran’s weakened post-war economy as the battlefield and sanctions as the weapon. Tehran may have survived the military campaign, but if the U.S. can further restrict its oil revenues, financial access and ability to rebuild, Trump could try to achieve through economic strangulation what another costly round of warfare might not guarantee. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 Trump is preparing to tighten the economic noose around an already battered Iran, betting that unprecedented financial pressure can force Tehran into a deal without immediately returning to large-scale military strikes. According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration is preparing “unprecedented economic measures” against Iran, with the goal of forcing Tehran toward an agreement before the November midterm elections. The move suggests that, for now, Trump prefers economic pressure and diplomacy over renewed strikes, despite calls from parts of the U.S. military leadership for a tougher military approach. Washington’s strategy now appears to be straightforward: use Iran’s weakened post-war economy as the battlefield and sanctions as the weapon. Tehran may have survived the military campaign, but if the U.S. can further restrict its oil revenues, financial access and ability to rebuild, Trump could try to achieve through economic strangulation what another costly round of warfare might not guarantee. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

18,048 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen