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🇸🇦🇮🇷 The Gulf is diversifying its weapons and alliances, and only two countries would actually fight for it. Defense analyst Dr. Andreas Krieg says the United States and Israel remain the sole real guarantors, and neither is a comfortable answer for any Arab capital: "Fifty years of sanctions, of... show more

Mario Nawfal

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77,746 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 One US drone strike on a rocket launcher brought fifteen Iranian missiles down on Jordan, the Navy and the UAE. Defense analyst Dr. Andreas Krieg says the exchange rate tells you who has room to move and who doesn't: "America has no levers." Iran is pulling every one it holds while Washington reaches for tools it already spent, and Tehran can see the difference from across the Gulf. Dr Andreas Krieg

🇮🇷🇺🇸 One US drone strike on a rocket launcher brought fifteen Iranian missiles down on Jordan, the Navy and the UAE. Defense analyst Dr. Andreas Krieg says the exchange rate tells you who has room to move and who doesn't: "America has no levers." Iran is pulling every one it holds while Washington reaches for tools it already spent, and Tehran can see the difference from across the Gulf. Dr Andreas Krieg

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Speaking with Al Jazeera on the tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE following the bombing of an alleged weapons shipment in Yemen, Dr Andreas Krieg has described a new regional order "that includes the Israelis but excludes other Arab states, the Gulf and Turkey".

Speaking with Al Jazeera on the tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE following the bombing of an alleged weapons shipment in Yemen, Dr Andreas Krieg has described a new regional order "that includes the Israelis but excludes other Arab states, the Gulf and Turkey".

Middle East Eye

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The most likely outcome now may be neither peace nor full-scale war. Dr. Andreas Krieg says a real political deal is still possible, but he puts the odds at just 35%. He says a long-term stalemate is more likely, with the U.S. stepping back and Gulf states forced to manage the fallout. Dr Andreas Krieg

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The most likely outcome now may be neither peace nor full-scale war. Dr. Andreas Krieg says a real political deal is still possible, but he puts the odds at just 35%. He says a long-term stalemate is more likely, with the U.S. stepping back and Gulf states forced to manage the fallout. Dr Andreas Krieg

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇨🇳 China does not need to replace U.S. in the Gulf to win. Dr. Andreas Krieg says Beijing is happy to chip away at U.S. influence while keeping ties with both Iran and the Gulf states. He says that a slow strategy may reshape the region faster than any war. Dr Andreas Krieg

🚨🇨🇳 China does not need to replace U.S. in the Gulf to win. Dr. Andreas Krieg says Beijing is happy to chip away at U.S. influence while keeping ties with both Iran and the Gulf states. He says that a slow strategy may reshape the region faster than any war. Dr Andreas Krieg

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇴🇲 The most important Gulf country in this crisis may be the one nobody talks about. Dr. Andreas Krieg says Oman, not Saudi or the UAE, is best positioned to help manage Hormuz. He says Oman’s history, geography, and neutrality make it central to any lasting deal. Dr Andreas Krieg

🚨🇴🇲 The most important Gulf country in this crisis may be the one nobody talks about. Dr. Andreas Krieg says Oman, not Saudi or the UAE, is best positioned to help manage Hormuz. He says Oman’s history, geography, and neutrality make it central to any lasting deal. Dr Andreas Krieg

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"Israel is just a hammer that sees everything as a nail." Andreas Krieg (Dr Andreas Krieg) spoke to @ashfaaqC about a state that deals with everything through coercion not consensus, and the hole he says it is digging for itself. Full episode:

"Israel is just a hammer that sees everything as a nail." Andreas Krieg (Dr Andreas Krieg) spoke to @ashfaaqC about a state that deals with everything through coercion not consensus, and the hole he says it is digging for itself. Full episode:

Middle East Eye

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Tactical nukes were floated inside Trump's circle, with a specific mountain bunker in mind. Defense analyst Dr. Andreas Krieg says the proposal was raised seriously before cooler heads intervened, with the MOAB, the largest non-nuclear bomb America has, offered as the alternative: "You let that genie out of the bottle, you're in an entirely different world order." Reaching for a nuclear weapon against a country you've bombed for months tells everyone watching that nothing else worked. Dr Andreas Krieg

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Tactical nukes were floated inside Trump's circle, with a specific mountain bunker in mind. Defense analyst Dr. Andreas Krieg says the proposal was raised seriously before cooler heads intervened, with the MOAB, the largest non-nuclear bomb America has, offered as the alternative: "You let that genie out of the bottle, you're in an entirely different world order." Reaching for a nuclear weapon against a country you've bombed for months tells everyone watching that nothing else worked. Dr Andreas Krieg

Mario Nawfal

51,330 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America destroyed one rocket launcher with a single drone, and Iran answered with 515 missiles Andreas Krieg zeroed in on the mismatch. Washington chose a drone rather than an airstrike, deliberately small, hoping to stop the mine-laying without provoking much. Tehran replied with a strategic barrage across Jordan, US naval targets and the UAE. "This is a different regime from the regime that we saw in 23, 24 and early 25" They no longer wait, and they no longer answer in proportion. Which exposes the flaw in the periodic-strikes plan Axios describes. Andreas reads that leak as pressure rather than policy, and warns that telling Iran you'll hit it whenever you please, mid-negotiation, only convinces Tehran the Americans must be pushed out of the region entirely. His deeper point should worry every Gulf capital. Iran doesn't aim at Israel because Israel absorbs punishment. It aims at the Gulf because the Gulf breaks first and picks up the phone to Washington. A retired Navy captain wrote in Military Times that losing the Bahrain base equals "losing an aircraft carrier" Meanwhile Riyadh is quietly seeking $8 billion in new loans. Fifty years of punishment never bent Iran once. The only deterrent left is making the Gulf too tough to hurt, and that takes years nobody has. Dr Andreas Krieg

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America destroyed one rocket launcher with a single drone, and Iran answered with 515 missiles Andreas Krieg zeroed in on the mismatch. Washington chose a drone rather than an airstrike, deliberately small, hoping to stop the mine-laying without provoking much. Tehran replied with a strategic barrage across Jordan, US naval targets and the UAE. "This is a different regime from the regime that we saw in 23, 24 and early 25" They no longer wait, and they no longer answer in proportion. Which exposes the flaw in the periodic-strikes plan Axios describes. Andreas reads that leak as pressure rather than policy, and warns that telling Iran you'll hit it whenever you please, mid-negotiation, only convinces Tehran the Americans must be pushed out of the region entirely. His deeper point should worry every Gulf capital. Iran doesn't aim at Israel because Israel absorbs punishment. It aims at the Gulf because the Gulf breaks first and picks up the phone to Washington. A retired Navy captain wrote in Military Times that losing the Bahrain base equals "losing an aircraft carrier" Meanwhile Riyadh is quietly seeking $8 billion in new loans. Fifty years of punishment never bent Iran once. The only deterrent left is making the Gulf too tough to hurt, and that takes years nobody has. Dr Andreas Krieg

Mario Nawfal

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The sheer arrogance of the United States in forbidding other sovereign countries from having nuclear weapons is truly stunning. If Iran already had nuclear weapons, the United States and Israel would never have attacked it, and there would be no war. Having nuclear weapons is the only real deterrent to keep countries like Israel and the United States off your back.

The sheer arrogance of the United States in forbidding other sovereign countries from having nuclear weapons is truly stunning. If Iran already had nuclear weapons, the United States and Israel would never have attacked it, and there would be no war. Having nuclear weapons is the only real deterrent to keep countries like Israel and the United States off your back.

Richard

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The Iran war has exposed a widening fault line at the heart of the Gulf. Once close partners, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are now competing for economic dominance, regional influence and control of vital trade routes. From Yemen and Socotra to Sudan and Somaliland, the two powers are pursuing fundamentally different strategies. Riyadh largely backs recognised governments, while Abu Dhabi has built networks of armed non-state actors and strategic footholds across the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa. Their opposing relationships with Israel, Pakistan and the United States are pushing them further apart. In this video, Gulf security experts Dr Andreas Krieg And Dr. Cinzia Bianco explain how the war has shattered confidence in the US-led regional order, accelerated the Saudi–Emirati rivalry and raised new questions about nuclear proliferation, military alliances and the future balance of power. Can the Gulf monarchies overcome their differences, or are these prisoners of geography heading towards a permanent strategic divide?

The Iran war has exposed a widening fault line at the heart of the Gulf. Once close partners, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are now competing for economic dominance, regional influence and control of vital trade routes. From Yemen and Socotra to Sudan and Somaliland, the two powers are pursuing fundamentally different strategies. Riyadh largely backs recognised governments, while Abu Dhabi has built networks of armed non-state actors and strategic footholds across the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa. Their opposing relationships with Israel, Pakistan and the United States are pushing them further apart. In this video, Gulf security experts Dr Andreas Krieg And Dr. Cinzia Bianco explain how the war has shattered confidence in the US-led regional order, accelerated the Saudi–Emirati rivalry and raised new questions about nuclear proliferation, military alliances and the future balance of power. Can the Gulf monarchies overcome their differences, or are these prisoners of geography heading towards a permanent strategic divide?

Dr Andreas Krieg

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"Dr Andreas Krieg: The Iranians don’t have a lot of choice. They needed to escalate, and they needed to dictate the tempo of escalation as well, rather than remaining on the receiving end. I do think Iran is miscalculating in thinking it can pressure the Gulf states into becoming Trump’s pressure points—when in reality Trump’s pressure point at the moment is Israel"

"Dr Andreas Krieg: The Iranians don’t have a lot of choice. They needed to escalate, and they needed to dictate the tempo of escalation as well, rather than remaining on the receiving end. I do think Iran is miscalculating in thinking it can pressure the Gulf states into becoming Trump’s pressure points—when in reality Trump’s pressure point at the moment is Israel"

Dr Andreas Krieg

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“American policy has been up for sale and the Israelis understood this. The penetration of the Israel lobby across all aspects of decision making in Washington, media space, political space, is so deep. Now, we can speak about the truth & the truth is out there" Dr Andreas Krieg

“American policy has been up for sale and the Israelis understood this. The penetration of the Israel lobby across all aspects of decision making in Washington, media space, political space, is so deep. Now, we can speak about the truth & the truth is out there" Dr Andreas Krieg

Double Down News

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Mike Huckabee says the United States of America would not exist without Israel and the Jewish foundation. Huckabee claims America only exists because of the Jewish foundation and says its heritage is inseparable from that of the United States. "It is your heritage, without a doubt." "It is also the heritage of the United States."

Mike Huckabee says the United States of America would not exist without Israel and the Jewish foundation. Huckabee claims America only exists because of the Jewish foundation and says its heritage is inseparable from that of the United States. "It is your heritage, without a doubt." "It is also the heritage of the United States."

Shadow of Ezra

245,460 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇮🇷🇸🇦 The Gulf states have spent 40 years being used as Washington's cutout for proxy wars, and now they may be done with it. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran joining the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement is closer than most think, but U.S. sanctions and Saudi tensions are still in the way. "Gulf Arabs are saying, we keep getting used by the United States. And what has it got us? More instability and insecurity." A new security doctrine is forming in the region. Washington may not get a vote. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

🇮🇷🇸🇦 The Gulf states have spent 40 years being used as Washington's cutout for proxy wars, and now they may be done with it. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran joining the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement is closer than most think, but U.S. sanctions and Saudi tensions are still in the way. "Gulf Arabs are saying, we keep getting used by the United States. And what has it got us? More instability and insecurity." A new security doctrine is forming in the region. Washington may not get a vote. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

41,947 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

Larry Johnson (Sonar21): Right now, the Iranians have the advantage. They only have to hit a total of nine targets over and over and over in order to force the United States to abandon its presence in the Persian Gulf: the two bases in Kuwait, the Fifth Fleet headquarters in the airfield in Bahrain, Al Udeid Air Force Base in Qatar, Al Dhafra Air base in the United Arab Emirates, and Prince Hassan and Muwaffaq Salti air bases in Jordan. If Iran basically destroys those bases, makes them uninhabitable and unusable, the reality is the only thing left for the United States is to withdraw its combat air forces into Israel. And then, all of a sudden, Israel is in the trick box. Now Iran is using third-generation Beidou targeting. Beidou is the global positioning satellite system, the Chinese replacement for GPS. And the West has expressed surprise, shock, and alarm over the accuracy of the Iranian missiles. Can you point to me one damn agreement anywhere that the United States has made with Russia, China, or Iran that it has not broken? You cannot. The United States, as Sergey Lavrov has frequently said, is agreement-incapable.

Larry Johnson (Sonar21): Right now, the Iranians have the advantage. They only have to hit a total of nine targets over and over and over in order to force the United States to abandon its presence in the Persian Gulf: the two bases in Kuwait, the Fifth Fleet headquarters in the airfield in Bahrain, Al Udeid Air Force Base in Qatar, Al Dhafra Air base in the United Arab Emirates, and Prince Hassan and Muwaffaq Salti air bases in Jordan. If Iran basically destroys those bases, makes them uninhabitable and unusable, the reality is the only thing left for the United States is to withdraw its combat air forces into Israel. And then, all of a sudden, Israel is in the trick box. Now Iran is using third-generation Beidou targeting. Beidou is the global positioning satellite system, the Chinese replacement for GPS. And the West has expressed surprise, shock, and alarm over the accuracy of the Iranian missiles. Can you point to me one damn agreement anywhere that the United States has made with Russia, China, or Iran that it has not broken? You cannot. The United States, as Sergey Lavrov has frequently said, is agreement-incapable.

🅰pocalypsis 🅰pocalypseos 🇷🇺 🇨🇳 🅉

167,379 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The U.S. and Iran are locked in the same conflict, but waging completely different wars. America is destroying more targets, firing more advanced weapons, and delivering far greater firepower than Iran, but military analyst Andreas Krieg told Brandon Weichert it's still losing the war. Tehran is preserving its missile stockpiles, stretching the conflict out, and forcing the U.S. to burn through extremely expensive interceptors and precision munitions. It's a strategy of endurance, not dominance. According to Andreas, that's exactly why Iran doesn't need to win battlefield after battlefield; it simply has to survive. He points to Iranian strikes that have degraded U.S. surveillance and reconnaissance networks across the Gulf, forcing Washington to use more resources simply to maintain the same level of awareness. At the same time, the IRGC continues operating through decentralised units that don't depend on the military infrastructure America has spent weeks destroying. The U.S. can demolish radar sites, flatten bases and logistics hubs, but if the system keeps functioning, what's really changed? Andreas believes the trap Washington is falling into is measuring success by the number of targets destroyed rather than whether those strikes are changing the political reality. Meanwhile, America's own partners are paying the price. As civilian infrastructure inside Iran comes under attack, Tehran has responded by targeting energy facilities and desalination plants across the Gulf. Countries like Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar suddenly find themselves pulled into a war they never chose. According to Andreas, Gulf leaders are now putting heavy pressure on Washington to dial back the escalation before their own economies and critical infrastructure suffer even greater damage. And then there's the question Washington still hasn't convincingly answered: What does victory actually look like? America is measuring success by how much damage it can inflict. Iran is measuring success by whether it can still fight tomorrow. Andreas believes only one of those strategies has a believable path to victory. Brandon Weichert Dr Andreas Krieg

The U.S. and Iran are locked in the same conflict, but waging completely different wars. America is destroying more targets, firing more advanced weapons, and delivering far greater firepower than Iran, but military analyst Andreas Krieg told Brandon Weichert it's still losing the war. Tehran is preserving its missile stockpiles, stretching the conflict out, and forcing the U.S. to burn through extremely expensive interceptors and precision munitions. It's a strategy of endurance, not dominance. According to Andreas, that's exactly why Iran doesn't need to win battlefield after battlefield; it simply has to survive. He points to Iranian strikes that have degraded U.S. surveillance and reconnaissance networks across the Gulf, forcing Washington to use more resources simply to maintain the same level of awareness. At the same time, the IRGC continues operating through decentralised units that don't depend on the military infrastructure America has spent weeks destroying. The U.S. can demolish radar sites, flatten bases and logistics hubs, but if the system keeps functioning, what's really changed? Andreas believes the trap Washington is falling into is measuring success by the number of targets destroyed rather than whether those strikes are changing the political reality. Meanwhile, America's own partners are paying the price. As civilian infrastructure inside Iran comes under attack, Tehran has responded by targeting energy facilities and desalination plants across the Gulf. Countries like Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar suddenly find themselves pulled into a war they never chose. According to Andreas, Gulf leaders are now putting heavy pressure on Washington to dial back the escalation before their own economies and critical infrastructure suffer even greater damage. And then there's the question Washington still hasn't convincingly answered: What does victory actually look like? America is measuring success by how much damage it can inflict. Iran is measuring success by whether it can still fight tomorrow. Andreas believes only one of those strategies has a believable path to victory. Brandon Weichert Dr Andreas Krieg

Mario Nawfal

257,296 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Prof. John Mearsheimer: The United States and Israel have failed on every one of their objectives — regime change, eliminating enrichment capability, ballistic missiles, support for Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis. Every one. Israel is in real trouble because it has been unable to shut down Iran's nuclear program, which is the issue it cares about the most. There is a serious possibility that Iran will get nuclear weapons. If Israel and the United States cannot get a nuclear deal, there is a serious possibility Israel will use its nuclear weapons to attack Iran.

Prof. John Mearsheimer: The United States and Israel have failed on every one of their objectives — regime change, eliminating enrichment capability, ballistic missiles, support for Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis. Every one. Israel is in real trouble because it has been unable to shut down Iran's nuclear program, which is the issue it cares about the most. There is a serious possibility that Iran will get nuclear weapons. If Israel and the United States cannot get a nuclear deal, there is a serious possibility Israel will use its nuclear weapons to attack Iran.

Clash Report

17,081 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Pakistani politicians and military generals will deceive you once again, and this is nothing new—it has been happening for the past 70 years and they continue to fool the world. These Generals will come up with something new, there is an English proverb “The same old wine in a new bottle”. They receive military aid, financial resources, and weapons from the United States, European countries, and Gulf states, only to later use these very resources against them. It is time for the United States and other global powers to revise their policies regarding these exporters of terrorism. The aid that the world provides to Pakistan for counterterrorism is instead used for Genocide against the people, particularly the Baloch and Pashtun Nations #EndEnforcedDisappearances #StopBalochGenocide Nikki Haley

Pakistani politicians and military generals will deceive you once again, and this is nothing new—it has been happening for the past 70 years and they continue to fool the world. These Generals will come up with something new, there is an English proverb “The same old wine in a new bottle”. They receive military aid, financial resources, and weapons from the United States, European countries, and Gulf states, only to later use these very resources against them. It is time for the United States and other global powers to revise their policies regarding these exporters of terrorism. The aid that the world provides to Pakistan for counterterrorism is instead used for Genocide against the people, particularly the Baloch and Pashtun Nations #EndEnforcedDisappearances #StopBalochGenocide Nikki Haley

Javed Mengal

15,774 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

⚡️Mohammed Al-Bukhaiti, member of the political bureau of Ansar Allah (Houthis): TARGETING GULF OIL AND GAS FACILITIES IS A TACTICAL AND STRATEGIC INTEREST FOR ALL SONS OF THE ARAB AND ISLAMIC UMMAH. “All the calamities that have befallen the ummah originated from the Gulf states and were funded by them. The American occupation of Afghanistan started from the Gulf and was funded by them, and the same applies to the American occupation of Iraq, as well as the aggression against Yemen and the siege and starvation of its people, which started from the Gulf and was funded by them. Were it not for the money of the Gulf states, the genocide in Gaza would not have lasted this long. Likewise, the strife that afflicted the ummah was caused by Gulf money, whether in Afghanistan, Algeria, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Sudan, Chechnya, or in India between Muslims and Hindus, which weakened the ummah in confronting the Zionist and American enemy. Therefore, the damage inflicted on the ummah as a result of oil money in the Gulf states has been far greater than that of oil money in the state of Texas. Accordingly, targeting Gulf oil and gas facilities represents a tactical and strategic interest for all sons of the Arab and Islamic ummah.”

⚡️Mohammed Al-Bukhaiti, member of the political bureau of Ansar Allah (Houthis): TARGETING GULF OIL AND GAS FACILITIES IS A TACTICAL AND STRATEGIC INTEREST FOR ALL SONS OF THE ARAB AND ISLAMIC UMMAH. “All the calamities that have befallen the ummah originated from the Gulf states and were funded by them. The American occupation of Afghanistan started from the Gulf and was funded by them, and the same applies to the American occupation of Iraq, as well as the aggression against Yemen and the siege and starvation of its people, which started from the Gulf and was funded by them. Were it not for the money of the Gulf states, the genocide in Gaza would not have lasted this long. Likewise, the strife that afflicted the ummah was caused by Gulf money, whether in Afghanistan, Algeria, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Sudan, Chechnya, or in India between Muslims and Hindus, which weakened the ummah in confronting the Zionist and American enemy. Therefore, the damage inflicted on the ummah as a result of oil money in the Gulf states has been far greater than that of oil money in the state of Texas. Accordingly, targeting Gulf oil and gas facilities represents a tactical and strategic interest for all sons of the Arab and Islamic ummah.”

Warfare Analysis

13,991 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten