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The North Atlantic active pattern is going nuts! Countless deep low blasts across the ocean over the next 10 days. Thanks to the High over Greenland, an open corridor has been established for cold-air outbreaks moving in from Arctic Canada into the Atlantic, triggering intense storms. Video via WXCharts... show more

SWE | severe-weather.eu

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91,623 views • 6 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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An Arctic cold air mass is now spreading south across western Europe and gradually intensifying. A much colder-than-normal air mass will reach the western Mediterranean and NW Africa by Friday as well. Video via WXCharts - a MetDesk Company

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Arctic air will sweep across much of the US bringing freezing rain & snow There is some uncertainty but snow is possible in cities like Washington and New York In turn, the North Atlantic jet stream strengthens, increasing the chance of deeper low pressure systems into the UK

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What’s driving the upcoming record breaking cold snap?? It’s widespread warmth (up-to 30F above normal) and intense blocking in the Arctic/ Greenland/N Canada. That is squeezing out the (tropospheric) Cold Polar Vortex and forcing it south deep into the US. While it may be tempting to blame Global warming-low Arctic sea ice-& Arctic amplification for this, the climate change component is likely enhancing, but is not the primary driver. Teleconnections to various natural oscillations (and the stratosphere) working in tandem are often the culprit in these high latitude blocks. Climate change simply piggy backs and makes the blocking - and amp’d pattern - more extreme. (But it does NOT make the cold air, colder which is a common misconception)

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Not a fan of the cold? Well temperatures are on the up with some milder Atlantic air moving in from Tuesday and temperatures will push back into the mid-teens for some 🌡️

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A change in wind direction will bring a chillier feel over the coming days As high pressure builds over Scandinavia, we'll tap into cold air across Europe However, a slight southwards shift means the air won't be as cold as previous easterly winds the UK has seen in winter

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The Atlantic jet stream reaches extraordinary strength next week with 250mph winds! Some very quick flights travelling between the US and UK with these tailwinds This powerful jet stream develops an intense low with gusts over 100mph OVER THE SEA to the west of the UK

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A strong Pacific Jet will blast mild air across the nation over the next week. Temps will once again jump to 30°+F above normal - a “blowtorch” pattern through next weekend. But we are in a very changeable/ transient pattern, with both a strong Pacific jet and also strong high-latitude blocking. The combo of these two players means, strong shifts - a week to week see-saw pattern. Not just changeable, but volatile, herky-jerky weather whiplash. In about 8-10 days cold should return to the Eastern US. The real question is: can it lock in? Or will the pattern stay transient? Probably transient given the active Pacific jet, but we’ll see.

A strong Pacific Jet will blast mild air across the nation over the next week. Temps will once again jump to 30°+F above normal - a “blowtorch” pattern through next weekend. But we are in a very changeable/ transient pattern, with both a strong Pacific jet and also strong high-latitude blocking. The combo of these two players means, strong shifts - a week to week see-saw pattern. Not just changeable, but volatile, herky-jerky weather whiplash. In about 8-10 days cold should return to the Eastern US. The real question is: can it lock in? Or will the pattern stay transient? Probably transient given the active Pacific jet, but we’ll see.

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52,051 views • 5 months ago