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This animation encapsulates why slow moving storms like #Melissa are so dangerous for mountainous islands like #Hispaniola (#Haiti & #DR) If NHC is correct this will move ~3 mph or slower. But even if the storm moves a little faster, especially if this storm ends up being a near/direct...

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Jeff Berardelli

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82,034 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

Gesundheit & WellnessWissenschaft & TechnologieNachrichten & Politik#Melissa#Hispaniola#Haiti#DR
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Where will soon to be #Melissa go and how strong will it get? Here’s a fairly comprehensive / efficient animation to outline the possibilities. Tough forecast. We have high confidence (but not certainty) it will not hit Florida, but the Bahamas are certainly a concern. The real question is will the storm take the first jet stream dip -or- drift for days until it takes the 2nd jet dip and heads northeast. If it evacuates early and moves over Haiti/DR it may be weaker but it will dump very dangerous amounts of rain. These slow moving systems are notorious for deadly flooding there, especially due to mountain run-off. If instead it waits and moves west, it may become a major hurricane with near record water temps. Then as a possible major hurricane it would move near Jamaica, Caymans, Cuba, Bahamas and/or Turks & Caicos close to Halloween. Too early for details, but this has the potential to be on our radar, if you will, for 10 more days +! #Hurricane
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Where will soon to be #Melissa go and how strong will it get? Here’s a fairly comprehensive / efficient animation to outline the possibilities. Tough forecast. We have high confidence (but not certainty) it will not hit Florida, but the Bahamas are certainly a concern. The real question is will the storm take the first jet stream dip -or- drift for days until it takes the 2nd jet dip and heads northeast. If it evacuates early and moves over Haiti/DR it may be weaker but it will dump very dangerous amounts of rain. These slow moving systems are notorious for deadly flooding there, especially due to mountain run-off. If instead it waits and moves west, it may become a major hurricane with near record water temps. Then as a possible major hurricane it would move near Jamaica, Caymans, Cuba, Bahamas and/or Turks & Caicos close to Halloween. Too early for details, but this has the potential to be on our radar, if you will, for 10 more days +! #Hurricane

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Haiti and Jamaica are bracing for as much as three feet of rain as Tropical Storm Melissa gains strength in the Caribbean and is expected to be a major hurricane this weekend. Meteorologist Lonnie Quinn is tracking the storm’s path.
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Haiti and Jamaica are bracing for as much as three feet of rain as Tropical Storm Melissa gains strength in the Caribbean and is expected to be a major hurricane this weekend. Meteorologist Lonnie Quinn is tracking the storm’s path.

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For those living near the sea, listen up. If Melissa strikes southern Jamaica as a major hurricane of category 3 to 5, the storm surge could be catastrophic. In this video, The Weather Channel (U.S.) explains why storm surge is one of the deadliest aspects of any hurricane.
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For those living near the sea, listen up. If Melissa strikes southern Jamaica as a major hurricane of category 3 to 5, the storm surge could be catastrophic. In this video, The Weather Channel (U.S.) explains why storm surge is one of the deadliest aspects of any hurricane.

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Jason Cooley is right in the middle of this in Abilene Kansas and it literally looks like a hurricane. If you are in the path of this storm you need to get away from windows and treat it like a tornado warning.
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Jason Cooley is right in the middle of this in Abilene Kansas and it literally looks like a hurricane. If you are in the path of this storm you need to get away from windows and treat it like a tornado warning.

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Jamaica has mountains over 5000 ft high… a peak over 7K. Besides winds forecast to be cat 4/5 intensity (perhaps over 155 mph at the surface) the rain is expected to be prolific, due to slow movement and lift from the mountains (similar to Helene in NC) especially IF #Melissa is a direct hit. When you combine cat 4/5 winds with 3 feet plus of rain, catastrophic is not an overstatement. For all those on #Jamaica who are reading this, please take this as a serious threat to your life. It may be, and this is not meant to sensationalize.
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Jamaica has mountains over 5000 ft high… a peak over 7K. Besides winds forecast to be cat 4/5 intensity (perhaps over 155 mph at the surface) the rain is expected to be prolific, due to slow movement and lift from the mountains (similar to Helene in NC) especially IF #Melissa is a direct hit. When you combine cat 4/5 winds with 3 feet plus of rain, catastrophic is not an overstatement. For all those on #Jamaica who are reading this, please take this as a serious threat to your life. It may be, and this is not meant to sensationalize.

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The new cone from the NHC paints a terribly grim picture. It calls for Melissa to make landfall in Jamaica with winds of 155 MPH and potential gusts up to 190 MPH. And that’s if she only peaks as a low-end CAT 5. Right now, the storm has leveled off, but this actually isn’t good news. Jamaica radar indicates that Melissa is possibly about to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle or merger, which explains why the Hurricane’s pressure has risen a bit (953 mbar) despite an absolutely monstrous appearance on satellite. The problem, however, is that Melissa is still only moving at 3 mph and will have plenty of time to complete the cycle/merger; and given the favorability of the environment, it could wrap up smoothly. What’s worse, the core wind field may grow larger in size during the process. At this time, models and the NHC unfortunately remain locked on the worst case scenario prospect of Hurricane Melissa reaching Category 5 intensity.
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The new cone from the NHC paints a terribly grim picture. It calls for Melissa to make landfall in Jamaica with winds of 155 MPH and potential gusts up to 190 MPH. And that’s if she only peaks as a low-end CAT 5. Right now, the storm has leveled off, but this actually isn’t good news. Jamaica radar indicates that Melissa is possibly about to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle or merger, which explains why the Hurricane’s pressure has risen a bit (953 mbar) despite an absolutely monstrous appearance on satellite. The problem, however, is that Melissa is still only moving at 3 mph and will have plenty of time to complete the cycle/merger; and given the favorability of the environment, it could wrap up smoothly. What’s worse, the core wind field may grow larger in size during the process. At this time, models and the NHC unfortunately remain locked on the worst case scenario prospect of Hurricane Melissa reaching Category 5 intensity.

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We are LIVE right now tracking a major winter storm. We have official reports of 10 inches of snow in NC and blizzard conditions on the Outer Banks. It looks like a tropical storm but with snow. Tune in to the stream immediately for the latest updates on this snow-icane.

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🚨🇯🇲 HURRICANE MELISSA: JAMAICA’S NIGHTMARE STORM Category 5. Winds at 160 mph. Up to 40 inches of rain. Melissa isn’t a storm - it’s a continent of water with rage at its core. The U.S. National Hurricane Center calls it “catastrophic.” Jamaica calls it Monday. The island braces for flooding that could erase entire neighborhoods. Local officials warn bluntly: “Some communities will not survive this.” Melissa is the most powerful storm to hit the Caribbean since 1988’s Gilbert - the kind of hurricane people remember by name, not number. Shelters are full, zookeepers are evacuating animals, and the last flights out of Kingston fought turbulence like gunfire. Next stops: Cuba, the Bahamas, and chaos. Third Cat 5 this season - a number that used to shock meteorologists. Now it’s just the new climate math. When the ocean gets this angry, it stops asking for permission. Source: NBC News, National Hurricane Center
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🚨🇯🇲 HURRICANE MELISSA: JAMAICA’S NIGHTMARE STORM Category 5. Winds at 160 mph. Up to 40 inches of rain. Melissa isn’t a storm - it’s a continent of water with rage at its core. The U.S. National Hurricane Center calls it “catastrophic.” Jamaica calls it Monday. The island braces for flooding that could erase entire neighborhoods. Local officials warn bluntly: “Some communities will not survive this.” Melissa is the most powerful storm to hit the Caribbean since 1988’s Gilbert - the kind of hurricane people remember by name, not number. Shelters are full, zookeepers are evacuating animals, and the last flights out of Kingston fought turbulence like gunfire. Next stops: Cuba, the Bahamas, and chaos. Third Cat 5 this season - a number that used to shock meteorologists. Now it’s just the new climate math. When the ocean gets this angry, it stops asking for permission. Source: NBC News, National Hurricane Center

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🇭🇹 This is what coastal villages look like in Haiti, where the average IQ is 67 No waste management or sanitation, so every year, tons of plastic waste wash into the Caribbean during storm season. The Caribbean is actually among the most polluted places in the world -- it is home to 9% of the world’s coral reefs, but over 80% have been wiped out since the 1950s by human pollution and overfishing. Haiti's reefs are the most overfished in the world. It is also the most deforested country in the world -- the Haitians have destroyed over 99% of their forestry, and 42/50 Haiti's largest mountains have been stripped of all their forestry. This has had the knock-on effect of causing huge species extinctions in Haiti. Species extinction is estimated to be happening at up to a thousand times the global rate in Haiti, and more than half the species in Haiti are expected to be wiped out in the next ten years.
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🇭🇹 This is what coastal villages look like in Haiti, where the average IQ is 67 No waste management or sanitation, so every year, tons of plastic waste wash into the Caribbean during storm season. The Caribbean is actually among the most polluted places in the world -- it is home to 9% of the world’s coral reefs, but over 80% have been wiped out since the 1950s by human pollution and overfishing. Haiti's reefs are the most overfished in the world. It is also the most deforested country in the world -- the Haitians have destroyed over 99% of their forestry, and 42/50 Haiti's largest mountains have been stripped of all their forestry. This has had the knock-on effect of causing huge species extinctions in Haiti. Species extinction is estimated to be happening at up to a thousand times the global rate in Haiti, and more than half the species in Haiti are expected to be wiped out in the next ten years.

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🚨#BREAKING! Potential HURRICANE ANDREA Heading to the Gulf Of America! 🤯 With PLENTY of time for this to change we are ALREADY seeing forecasts showing not just the formation of a Hurricane but a potential LANDFALL in the Gulf Of America. Later next week the formation of a tropical storm and then possible hurricane is being forecast by the GFS. Lets see what they do once it gets close enough if it forms. They will take FULL advantage of all these situations in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane Season!

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253,212 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🌀 Sunday afternoon video update on newly-formed Tropical Depression Two (#TD2), expected to impact the Gulf Coast this week. If it strengthens into a tropical storm, it will be named #Bertha. 🌀 There is some uncertainty in the forecast and exact impacts expected in Gulf states. Stay tuned to the NHC forecast this week for any changes, and be prepared for potential hazards in your area.
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🌀 Sunday afternoon video update on newly-formed Tropical Depression Two (#TD2), expected to impact the Gulf Coast this week. If it strengthens into a tropical storm, it will be named #Bertha. 🌀 There is some uncertainty in the forecast and exact impacts expected in Gulf states. Stay tuned to the NHC forecast this week for any changes, and be prepared for potential hazards in your area.

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Thursday, March 26, 2026 6:41 PM: The latest water vapor satellite shows a rapidly intensifying low pressure axis of a 552 DM low approximately 345 miles northwest of the Hawaiian islands. At the same time, we have another storm axis that’s emerging just to the east of Hawaii, which was part of the storm that brought a lot of rain to the region. Now this storm has really tapped into an intensification process in the last 24 to 36 hours that honestly, the models are not picking up on for California. Kind of an interesting situation here to see how this is going to unfold. Now we are expecting some rain next week into central and southern California, and especially northern California, but the question is how much rainfall will we be getting because of this latest atmospheric view showing this rapidly developing storm situation. I think we just got to keep watch on how this will develop in the next several days, but I wanted to be brutally honest with you regarding what is happening with the atmosphere right now especially as it crosses into ongoing warming of the pacific sea surface temperatures. #CAwx
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Thursday, March 26, 2026 6:41 PM: The latest water vapor satellite shows a rapidly intensifying low pressure axis of a 552 DM low approximately 345 miles northwest of the Hawaiian islands. At the same time, we have another storm axis that’s emerging just to the east of Hawaii, which was part of the storm that brought a lot of rain to the region. Now this storm has really tapped into an intensification process in the last 24 to 36 hours that honestly, the models are not picking up on for California. Kind of an interesting situation here to see how this is going to unfold. Now we are expecting some rain next week into central and southern California, and especially northern California, but the question is how much rainfall will we be getting because of this latest atmospheric view showing this rapidly developing storm situation. I think we just got to keep watch on how this will develop in the next several days, but I wanted to be brutally honest with you regarding what is happening with the atmosphere right now especially as it crosses into ongoing warming of the pacific sea surface temperatures. #CAwx

Jason D Farhang

13,034 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten