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🚨THIS ARB SETUP PRINTS ~$27,500 PER MONTH It's WRONG about BTC price every time and still gets paid. The secret? It buy YES, then buys NO same second. Sounds insane but it's the only risk-free trade in the whole space: On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have...

22,228 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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I asked Claude Fable 5 (Extra High) to build an arb bot for Polymarket. One rule: trade only when YES + NO in 2 hours it almost doubled it (+$96.31) > in 5 hours it showed +$579 PnL > current balance: +$3,799.73 Cost: 10M tokens. Here's how it works and why: Every BTC Up/Down market on Polymarket has exactly two outcomes. YES and NO. When the market resolves, one pays $1. The other pays $0. That means owning BOTH sides should always cost exactly $1. But markets aren't perfect. Sometimes YES trades at $0.48 while NO trades at $0.49. Together that's only $0.97 so the bot instantly buys both. A position worth $1... for just $0.97. And Claude knows it, this is the simplest arb that exists. You can paste this to it and use this logic in your prompt. This $0.03 difference is locked in regardless of whether Bitcoin pumps, dumps, or goes sideways. No prediction required. And difficult part isn't finding the opportunity, it's execution. These pricing gaps usually disappear in seconds. If one order fills but the other doesn't, the trade can become a loss. So my bot constantly scans every BTC market, checks fees, validates liquidity, places both orders almost simultaneously and skips what isn't worth the risk. It's less like trading and more like catching tiny accounting mistakes before everyone else notices them. Funny enoughh, the hardest part was not writing arb logic. It was making the execution reliable enough that free money actually stayed free. This completely changed how I think about trading. What's the point of it if you can just fill mispriced BTC markets?? Automatically. The biggest edge is getting AI to execute simple ideas faster and more consistently than any human ever could. Shared the exact build in my last article, leaving it below. Good luck!

Oracle Boar

154,557 views • 1 month ago

Claude Fable 5 bots will REPLACE human traders Built the simplest arb bot for Polymarket in ~4 hours Cost: 5M tokens Current session PnL: +$2,793.36 And it still does one thing: Opening a trade when YES + NO One side pays $1, the other pays $0 So if both contracts can be bought for less than $1 combined, the math is in your favor. And it happens EVERY DAY hundreds of times due to orderbook inefficiency. For a few seconds YES sits at 48 cents while NO sits at 50. That's 98 cents you spend to buy a dollar. But the problem isn't finding these opportunities, it's getting there before everyone else. My first version was slow. Every loop it recalculated everything from scratch. Downloaded metadata, parsed markets, prepared orders, then checked prices. By the time it was ready, the opportunity was usually gone. The new version works differently. It caches all market metadata in memory and only refreshes the prices. Even more importantly, the orders are prepared before the opportunity exists. So when YES + NO finally drops below $1, there's almost nothing left to calculate. The bot just validates the numbers and fires both orders immediately. Those few hundred milliseconds sound tiny. But arbitrage is a race. The bot with the best strategy doesn't always win. The bot that gets there first usually does. Use this tip before building yours and make sure to explain Claude to focus on speed first. The detector is an easy part anyone can make. In arbitrage that's the only edge that matters. Attaching a full build guide below if you wanna deep dive into arb. Good luck!

Oracle Boar

66,425 views • 1 month ago

One Python bot made $316K by finding the same loophole thousands of times. Broken prices appear every few seconds. This bot catches them before anyone else. I found distinct-baguette buried in a leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15-minute windows. Almost closed the tab. Then I saw the win rate. 71%. That is low for a profitable bot. Way too low. Something was off. → Account: Turns out I was looking at it wrong. This bot does not predict anything. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It just watches one thing: prices that do not add up. Sounds weird until you see the trick. Polymarket 15-minute windows have two sides. YES and NO. One of them always pays $1. So YES + NO should always equal $1. That is just math. But when markets move fast, prices slip. YES at 48 cents. NO at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents. The bot sees this. Buys both sides. Waits. Market closes. One side pays $1. He spent 97 cents. Keeps the 3 cent difference. Does not matter who wins. The script checks Polymarket every few seconds. BTC. SOL. XRP. Anything with volume. The moment prices slip under 99 cents combined, it fires. Three cents per trade. Repeat it tens of thousands of times. That is how you get to $316K. The 71% win rate finally made sense. He is not trying to pick winners. He is locking profit before the bet even resolves. Some trades the spread was not wide enough. Does not matter. The edge is in the volume. Everyone else bets on outcomes. This bot bets on broken math.

Blaze

337,995 views • 7 months ago

An automated wallet earned $416K by betting on both sides. Every trade. I found Account88888 with 98% win rate. 9,604 predictions. Expected the usual directional play. ⭢ Account: Then I saw the position breakdown. On 97.7% of markets he holds UP and DOWN simultaneously. Wait. That should not work. If you own both outcomes, you break even. Basic math. Except he does not break even. He made $416K in four months. Here is the trick. When BTC moves fast, Polymarket lags spot by 30 to 90 seconds. Order books thin out. Prices stick. UP sits at 48¢. DOWN sits at 46¢. Combined: 94 cents. But one pays $1 at close. Always. He buys both during the lag. Before the market reprices. Locks 6¢ profit before the window even resolves. I looked at one 15-minute window. 504 trades. Three minutes of execution. Starts when UP=47¢, DOWN=54¢. Market has not figured out direction yet. Spreads are wide. BTC starts climbing. He keeps buying. UP climbs to 92¢. DOWN drops to 9¢. Market reprices in real time. He adjusts both legs. Not static arbitrage. Dynamic harvesting. When volatility hits, spreads blow out to 8-15¢ between outcomes. Retail guesses direction. Bots have not arrived yet. He enters both. Not at once. As the window moves. One leg at 48¢. Other at 46¢. Combined under $1. Hold time: 8-12 minutes average. Market closes. One side resolves. Profit locks. Used to be JaneStreetIndia. Too loud. Same wallet. Just quieter now. Everyone else picks a direction and hopes. This bot made hoping irrelevant.

Blaze

60,373 views • 7 months ago

$365K profit while the programmer slept. This bot found a hole in volatility and turned it into a personal ATM. Let's be honest. If you're trying to trade on Polymarket based on news or intuition you're not a trader. You're food. I analyzed the distinct-baguette wallet. No genius analytics. No White House insiders. Just cold code exploiting a 3-cent error in the order book. How does he make money out of thin air? His profile: At the core of the algorithm lies a simple mathematical glitch called Arbitrage Loop. In a perfect world the price of YES and NO shares always adds up to $1.00. But when chaos hits the market during matches or BTC news liquidity breaks. The bot finds the moment when YES costs 48 cents and NO costs 49 cents. Entry sum: 97 cents. The script instantly buys both sides. It doesn't care who wins. It just waits for expiration and is guaranteed to get $1.00. Result: 3 cents of pure risk-free profit per dollar. Repeat this 15000 times a month and you get his balance. Math vs Human A human is physically incapable of replicating this. Your reaction from eye to brain to click: 0.4 seconds. Python script reaction: 0.005 seconds. By the time you see the price on screen it's already gone. You're looking at ghosts. Trying to outrun this bot manually is like trying to stop a train with your palm. You're simply paying his bills with your slippage. How to stop being liquidity? In 2026 you either write code or you're feed. But there's a third option. You don't need to learn C++ or rent a server in the same rack as the exchange. You just need the right entry. I found a gateway that allows copying the logic of such wallets. You stop playing guessing games and connect to the smart money flow. When the algorithm finds a hole in the price you enter alongside it. Automatically. Stop trading against machines. Stand on their side: While you were reading this text the glitch happened three more times. Someone took that money. Why not you?

Blaze

16,039 views • 7 months ago

On Polymarket this bot outperforms luck. In 3 weeks it turned -$82 into $67K. A single algorithm executed 524 trades in one 10-min window. → Account: When I first analyzed the trade history I thought the API was malfunctioning. You never see over 500 orders in one candle unless the system is broken. But I checked the timestamps. It was not a glitch. It is a flawless mathematical strategy. While most traders panic about where Bitcoin is going next, this bot plays a superior game. It buys the Yes side and the No side simultaneously. It sounds impossible to make money this way but here is the logic. During the first 5 minutes the market is confused and spreads are wide. It buys Yes at 47 cents. It buys No at 48 cents. It sells them back seconds later for a tiny profit. It acts as a Market Maker. It harvests the chaos. It does not care about the direction yet. It is just collecting the dust from your hesitation. But then the real move happens. Around minute five the Bitcoin trend becomes obvious on the spot market. The bot instantly changes behavior. It stops hedging. It dumps the loser immediately. Then it aggressively loads the winner. It starts buying massive clips. 120 shares here or 500 shares there. It chases the price all the way up to 85 cents or 93 cents. By the end it holds 7,000 shares of the winning outcome. The stats are ridiculous. It climbed out of debt to generate $67K pure profit. 95% win rate. Normal traders try to guess. This bot waits for certainty and then extracts maximum value. You need to stop staring at the charts and start tracking the flow. Is this the new reality of trading or just an overly aggressive script?

Blaze

43,480 views • 7 months ago

A programmer found a bug in the laws of probability. Now he collects $35,000 a day for exploiting it. How do you make money betting against yourself? Sounds like idiocy. Looks like $236,000 in pure profit. 2 months ago this wallet did not exist. Today it holds $236,000 in pure profit. He does not read news. Does not watch charts. Does not listen to analysts. He just sees the moment when math breaks. And takes the difference. I found this wallet buried in the 15-minute leaderboard. First thought: another HFT bot catching milliseconds. I was wrong. The exploit is public. So is the wallet: First thing that crashed my brain. This bot does not bet on direction. It does not care if the price falls or rises. It bets on BOTH outcomes. Simultaneously. How do you make money betting against yourself? I broke down the mechanics and felt like an idiot. Here is the glitch this script exploits: On Polymarket every market has two outcomes: YES and NO. In a perfect world their sum always equals $1.00. But we do not live in a perfect world. We live in a world of panic, FOMO, and people staring at charts at 3am. When volatility spikes, the crowd goes insane. YES price flies to 60 cents. NO drops to 35. Total cost of both outcomes: 95 cents. The bot sees this instantly. It buys YES. It buys NO. Same second. Investment: 95 cents.сGuaranteed payout: $1.00. Profit: 5 cents. Does not matter where the price goes. To zero or to the moon. The bot already won before anything happened. Now multiply this by hundreds of trades per day. 5 cents becomes $50. $50 becomes $500. $500 becomes $5,000. $35,000 every day. While the programmer sleeps. I analyzed the entry timings. The bot does not trade randomly. It hunts in the first 5-10 minutes after each market opens. Why? Because that is peak chaos. New candle. New contract. Fresh fear. Liquidity has not settled yet. The window of opportunity lasts seconds. For a human it is invisible noise. For code it is harvest season. Think about what this means. While 70% of Polymarket traders lose their deposits guessing direction, reading news, drawing support lines... This bot simply collects tax on their emotions. Every panic sell you make creates a pricing error. Every FOMO buy you make breaks the math. The bot is patient. The bot is precise. The bot has no nervous system. I thought winning in this market required insiders or $10k servers. This wallet proved me wrong. You do not need to know the future. You just need to know that YES + NO should equal $1. And when the crowd in panic makes the sum equal $0.95... That difference is your profit. The question is not whether these opportunities exist. The question is who takes them while you blink. Right now somewhere a new market just opened. Volatility is rising. Prices are diverging. This bot is already counting. You can keep guessing. Or you can get in line behind the one who already hacked the game. In one second he will press Buy. Twice. On both sides. And you?

Blaze

13,898 views • 6 months ago

🚨 AI WILL REPLACE MANUAL TRADERS IN 2027 For the past few weeks I've been building a BTC arbitrage terminal around one simple formula: Buy whenever YES + NO YES = $0.47 > NO = $0.50 > Combined = $0.97 That's 97 cents for something that is mathematically guaranteed to become $1 when the market resolves. Those pricing gaps happen every day. Not because the market is broken. Because humans and algorithms are submitting thousands of orders every second, and prices need a moment to rebalance. The opportunity usually lasts seconds and that's why the strategy isn't the edge anymore. Execution is. Claude helped me realize most of my latency wasn't coming from my internet connection. It was my own architecture. The bot now runs on a VPS close to the APIs it talks to. It keeps persistent WebSocket connections alive instead of reconnecting. Market metadata stays cached in memory instead of being rebuilt every loop. Multiple markets are scanned concurrently. Most importantly... Every order is prepared before the opportunity exists. When YES + NO finally drops below $1, the bot doesn't stop to build payloads or calculate market information. It already knows everything. It validates liquidity and submits both orders immediately. Those saved milliseconds matter far more than another trading indicator ever will. That's the real shift AI has created. Not because it magically prints money. Because you can now build infrastructure that watches markets simultaneously, never gets tired or distracted and reacts faster than any human. If you're still asking AI where Bitcoin is going next, i think you're asking the wrong question. Study arbitrage, start from the article i made (leaving attached below with my wallet inside). Thank me later.

Oracle Boar

14,432 views • 13 days ago