Oracle Boar
@bored2boar • 25,542 subscribers
𝗢𝗻-𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 / 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 / 𝗗𝗲𝗙𝗶 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝘀
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I asked Claude Fable 5 (Extra High) to build an arb bot for Polymarket. One rule: trade only when YES + NO in 2 hours it almost doubled it (+$96.31) > in 5 hours it showed +$579 PnL > current balance: +$3,799.73 Cost: 10M tokens. Here's how it works and why: Every BTC Up/Down market on Polymarket has exactly two outcomes. YES and NO. When the market resolves, one pays $1. The other pays $0. That means owning BOTH sides should always cost exactly $1. But markets aren't perfect. Sometimes YES trades at $0.48 while NO trades at $0.49. Together that's only $0.97 so the bot instantly buys both. A position worth $1... for just $0.97. And Claude knows it, this is the simplest arb that exists. You can paste this to it and use this logic in your prompt. This $0.03 difference is locked in regardless of whether Bitcoin pumps, dumps, or goes sideways. No prediction required. And difficult part isn't finding the opportunity, it's execution. These pricing gaps usually disappear in seconds. If one order fills but the other doesn't, the trade can become a loss. So my bot constantly scans every BTC market, checks fees, validates liquidity, places both orders almost simultaneously and skips what isn't worth the risk. It's less like trading and more like catching tiny accounting mistakes before everyone else notices them. Funny enoughh, the hardest part was not writing arb logic. It was making the execution reliable enough that free money actually stayed free. This completely changed how I think about trading. What's the point of it if you can just fill mispriced BTC markets?? Automatically. The biggest edge is getting AI to execute simple ideas faster and more consistently than any human ever could. Shared the exact build in my last article, leaving it below. Good luck!
Oracle Boar152,917 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen
I gave Claude full access to my Polymarket account and $100. Just one rule. Grow this by morning or I unplug you. Current wallet balance: +$4,865.36 And it didn't try to predict Bitcoin even ONCE. Here's what it did and why arb is smarter than 99% of traders: It went hunting for broken math. On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. the other ends at zero. Always. no middle ground. But the orderbook is sloppy and the two sides trade like strangers. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents locked, and it does not care where Bitcoin goes. Claude scanned every crypto market at once, hundreds of windows a second, never tired, never bored. The instant two sides summed under a dollar it grabbed both legs before the gap closed. Not one prediction the whole night. The honest catch is execution. These gaps live for seconds and fees eat the thin ones. A human can watch one market. A bot watches all of them and pounces the moment the math breaks. This is why vibe coding an arbitrage terminal is the fastest way to profit on prediction markets. Leaving the full guide below. Paste it into your own prompt and let see what happens. Bookmark while it's still public.
Oracle Boar120,209 Aufrufe • vor 23 Tagen
Claude Fable 5 bots will REPLACE human traders Built the simplest arb bot for Polymarket in ~4 hours Cost: 5M tokens Current session PnL: +$2,793.36 And it still does one thing: Opening a trade when YES + NO One side pays $1, the other pays $0 So if both contracts can be bought for less than $1 combined, the math is in your favor. And it happens EVERY DAY hundreds of times due to orderbook inefficiency. For a few seconds YES sits at 48 cents while NO sits at 50. That's 98 cents you spend to buy a dollar. But the problem isn't finding these opportunities, it's getting there before everyone else. My first version was slow. Every loop it recalculated everything from scratch. Downloaded metadata, parsed markets, prepared orders, then checked prices. By the time it was ready, the opportunity was usually gone. The new version works differently. It caches all market metadata in memory and only refreshes the prices. Even more importantly, the orders are prepared before the opportunity exists. So when YES + NO finally drops below $1, there's almost nothing left to calculate. The bot just validates the numbers and fires both orders immediately. Those few hundred milliseconds sound tiny. But arbitrage is a race. The bot with the best strategy doesn't always win. The bot that gets there first usually does. Use this tip before building yours and make sure to explain Claude to focus on speed first. The detector is an easy part anyone can make. In arbitrage that's the only edge that matters. Attaching a full build guide below if you wanna deep dive into arb. Good luck!
Oracle Boar66,250 Aufrufe • vor 15 Tagen
POLYMARKET COPY TRADING SETUP (or how to make your bot print passively) Most traders consider mirroring as a passive income. And... They are RIGHT. But only if you set up your tools right. Copy trading bots have multiple features most traders skip. And that’s why they lose even when the trader is profitable. Here's how to set up your bot right: 1) Go to This is the fastest and the cheapest bot for both trading and copy trading on Polymarket 2) Click on Start -> Copy Trade -> Add 3) Click on Target Wallet and paste the wallet address 4) Click on Tag to name it (for example "Elections insider") 5) Click the next button to set up fixed amount or % I use a fixed amount for traders with a small trade count per day, and % for those who trade a lot and use limit orders. 6) Set slippage to 10% 7) Set up TP and SL if needed I don’t use them and fully rely on trader’s actions. 8) Skip the next four buttons and just set the Total Spend Limit. 9) Set Min and Max price if needed If you don’t want to take too much risk, set min $0.30 per share. 10) Click on Ignore Target Wallet Trades Under and set it to $5 This will help the bot avoid unnecessary trades. Now your setup is ready so click Create and watch your portfolio grow (if you picked decent wallets). I'll share BEST wallets to follow in my next post. Turn your notis on so you don't miss this.
Oracle Boar439,954 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
I gave Claude $100 and told it to exploit Polymarket. No strategy. No instructions. Just full access to my machine and one rule: grow this or get unplugged. It didn't try to predict a single thing. Instead it went hunting for math errors. Here is what it understood that most traders never do: On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to $1. One of them ends at a dollar, the other at zero. Always. But the orderbook is messy. For brief windows YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That is 96 cents to own both sides of a market that pays out a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents of profit that does not care where Bitcoin goes. Claude scanned for that gap across every crypto market at once. Hundreds of windows, every second, never tired, never distracted. The moment two sides summed under a dollar, it took both legs before the gap closed. By the end of the day it had stacked those tiny locked margins into $2,890. Not one prediction the entire time. The reason a person cannot do this is simple. These gaps live for seconds. You can watch one market. Automatic bot watches all of them and pounces the instant the math breaks. Leaving a full guide below this post, just use it in your prompt and let AI do the rest of work for you.
Oracle Boar47,171 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen
COPY TRADING GUIDE FOR POLYMARKET (full video + exact settings included) I spent months testing different tools, setups and configs. Lost everything at the start. Then made it back and started earning once the setup was right. This cost me a lot of time, you need ~3 minutes: 1) Open this bot: I tried different tools, but this one has more advanced features and the fastest execution. 2. Click Copy trade -> Add Task -> W1 3. Paste wallet address and name it Use particular names like "AI trader", "sports 85% win rate whale" etc. 4. After entering the amount choose the exact setup: • Fixed (same trading amount every time) • Exact (each trade is the same as main trader's) • Portfolio based (proportional to your balance) You have to use the one that fits trader's beaviour. How to choose? • Use Fixed for traders with Start Congrats, now your bot runs automatically. This setup has worked best for me over the last 3 months. Hope this will help you too.
Oracle Boar207,014 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
Those who copy traded him turned $200 into $88k. In one month. This trader is absolutely dominant in his niche. Win Rate: 90.3% 30d PnL: $88,457 Sector: esports He trades only CS:GO, LoL, and Dota 2 markets. And his results are insane. He probably resigned from work after realizing he can make $100k per month by watching Counter-Strike tournaments. By focusing on what he knows best, he turned gaming tournaments into a money printer. His profile: Wallet address: 0x25e28169faea17421fcd4cc361f6436d1e449a09 Full Polymarket copy trading guide is attached below.
Oracle Boar206,050 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
I left my bot running one rule while i slept: Open both sides on BTC market when YES + NO < $1 The result is absolutely shocking. Now simplest arb makes me ~$4,750 per Claude session. No charts, prediction or strategy. Only fire when the math on a market is broken. Here's exactly how it works: On every BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO add up to exactly $1 at the end. One side a dollar, one side zero. So if the book ever offers both for less than a dollar, you buy both and lock the difference. 47 cents for YES, 49 for NO. 96 cents for a guaranteed dollar, simple as that. 4 cents that doesn't care if Bitcoin pumps, dumps or sits dead flat. While i was asleep the scanner watched EVERY crypto market at once. Every second. All night. Each time the two sides summed under a dollar it took both legs before the gap snapped shut. I made exactly ZERO decisions overnight. The honest part: those gaps are thin and brief, fees kill the small ones, and you need both legs filled before it closes. So it skipped way more than it took. And that's correct behavior, not a bug. The best trade i made last night was probably going to sleep. Setup guide below if you want to build the same one. Make sure to compress this info into a prompt before pasting into Claude. Good luck, will drop an update in my next post.
Oracle Boar26,154 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen
Claude will replace manual traders in 2026. New update lets you give it full control of your computer. That's why I decided to test it with $100 and total access. Asked to turn it into $1,000 on Polymarket or I shut it down. 3 hours later it was scanning every wallet on Polymarket for copy trading opportunities. It found best wallets and started testing them through this bot: At first, it lost $73 trying each wallet to understand which ones were profitable. Then it picked 7 wallets, executed copy trades automatically and did something i don't believe even now. $3,467 profit in 24 hours. Automatically. With no monitoring. What’s insane is how it works: • Claude monitors hundreds of wallets 24/7 • Evaluates win rates, market timing and sizing • Tests micro trades to find the best strategy • Executes automatically with AL and TP rules This is why AI is mandatory in 2026. Markets move faster than humans, I've been telling it for months. Your edge is speed, analysis, and execution. Anyone still clicking buttons manually will lose edge within months. I just reinvested the profits and let Claude keep copy trading. This is the future. Manual trading is probably dead FOREVER.
Oracle Boar66,164 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
IS IT EVEN LEGAL? This trader predicted US x Iran strike with 99.9% accuracy He made $500k by buying YES shares 24h before it happened The craziest part? The account was created yesterday... He suddenly started loading thousands into different US x Iran markets and won. Those who tracked or copy traded him made thousands. His wallet address: 0x1caa6a7ad0c6916aef7b67946de2e57ad24846a0 Added him to my copy trading list here: [ I’ll post an update once he opens his next position.
Oracle Boar60,721 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
You know NOTHING about arbitrage. If you watch sport or crypto markets, you already LOST. This guy makes $30k / month on weather markets. Because there's NO COMPETITION. His bot is trading every market AUTOMATICALLY. Here's how he applied the strategy from my article: His script identifies weather markets with spreads. And the best part is that almost each of them has it. Why? Because of low liquidity. This trader used one simple formula to trade those markets: Buy YES if P_model > P_market + T Buy NO if P_model < P_market − T So each time he's buying two outcomes at the same time. And wins. Check his last trade: It looks like he turned $200 into $6,000+ by betting on 0.2% outcome. But here's the real math: He he bought his YES shares at $0.002. At the same time he bought NO side at $0.994. The spread was tiny, just $0.004. That's why his actual profit is not $6k. He lost his NO position (-$6,072k) and won on YES side (+$6,172k). So his actual profit is just $100. His profile: He’s not betting on temperature. He’s buying a mispriced binary pair. If both sides together cost less than $1, the payout at resolution is $1. Most people try to be right. He just makes sure the math can’t be wrong. That's why you always have to double check everything. Details show the full picture.
Oracle Boar61,326 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
DON'T BUILD POLYMARKET BOT BEFORE READING THIS Everyone thinks they can quickly launch an arbitrage bot... Reality check: you won’t. ClawdBot + a few clicks = free money? Nope. Here’s what you’ll face on your very first attempt: 1. The window is microscopic Arb gaps don’t last seconds. In competitive markets they close in API -> public RPC -> execute You’re already too slow. By the time your trade hits, the spread is gone so you become exit liquidity. 2. LLMs generate probabilities, not certainty Trading systems require: • Deterministic logic • Strict state control • Precise orderbook parsing • Failure handling • Reproducibility Same input must = same output. If your bot sometimes behaves differently, that’s uncontrolled risk. An LLM can help write snippets. But it cannot guarantee production-grade execution logic. 3. Infrastructure > Interface Adding an AI layer doesn’t create edge. Real Polymarket edge comes from: • Modeling correlated markets • Understanding resolution mechanics • Exploiting structural inefficiencies • Latency optimization • Thousands of backtests The bot that made $115k in a week? That’s a clean algorithm + optimized infra + defined edge. You can’t reach that precision through an LLM abstraction layer. 4. Competition is brutal You’re not competing with beginners. You’re competing with: • Quants • Low-latency infra • Bots running 24/7 • Teams optimizing every millisecond Arb margins are already razor thin. Add LLM latency and non-determinism? You’re feeding stronger bots. Building a profitable Polymarket bot is systems engineering. Edge + speed + discipline. Without those, there is no free money. Look at this guy. He makes ~$30k EVERY DAY. Profile link: Looks like a miracle until you realise how long it took to create such a bot. And there are like 10 successful bots all around the world. Still think one prompt will change your life? Time + education + multiple attempts and losses. That's the only way.
Oracle Boar59,439 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
Remember I told you about Martingale strategy? Well, this guy literally made it. He started from $1,400 and doubled it 6 times in a row. Result? $90,000 profit in one single day. And it's not even a bot. Just a Polymarket trader with deep TA, RSI and macro understanding. He's trading 1h $BTC markets only. His profile: Everything is possible guys.
Oracle Boar58,344 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
This is the cleverest arbitrage on Polymarket. And NOBODY talks about it. It hides between two windows of the same market. Here is the relationship that makes it work: (or how to turn $100 into $10,000 in one month) Take "Will BTC be above $60k by 5pm" and "Will BTC be above $60k by 6pm." There's a hard logic here. 6pm window has more time for the condition to be met. So its probability must be greater than or equal to the 5pm window. Always. More time can only help, never hurt. That means the later window should never be priced lower than the earlier one. But sometimes it is. The two windows trade separately, with separate liquidity and separate crowds. They get mispriced against each other. When the later window dips below the earlier one, a relationship that cannot logically invert just inverted on the book. That's your trade. Buy the underpriced later window, take the other side of the earlier one and collect when the prices return to a logical order. It's a riskless relationship being temporarily broken by sloppy pricing. The honest catch (as always) is execution. The inversion can be small and brief, and fees plus fill risk eat thin gaps. But the beauty is that almost nobody is even looking here. Everyone watches single markets. Very few compare the same market's own windows against each other. The cleanest edges live where nobody is looking fam. Leaving a full arbitrage guide attached below this post.
Oracle Boar13,618 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen
I interviewed the dev of the best Polymarket bot His bot trades BTC Up/Down markets automatically 24/7 Result? +$650k each month passively Here're the tips he gave me on how to create the same bot: First thing: stop trying to predict Better build a system that reacts. His bot doesn’t guess tops or bottoms, but waits for confluence. Core stack: • EMA (defines trend: filters chop) • VWAP (shows fair value: avoid bad entries) • OBV (confirms money flow: no volume = no trade) • RSI (detects extremes: don’t buy highs or sell lows) • MACD (confirms momentum) Then he adds a volatility filter. Most bots die because they trade in dead or chaotic markets. His doesn’t. Risk model is everything: • fixed % per trade • no overtrading • strict cooldown after losses And the real edge: the bot trades only when 3-4 signals align at once No signal = no trade. His wallet address: It’s not about being right more often. It’s about only playing when odds are clearly in your favor. That’s how you turn a bot from a toy into a machine.
Oracle Boar40,363 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
This trader fooled EVERYONE... And turned $0.10 into $280,260 in ONE DAY. Everyone was flexing their bot dashboards. Meanwhile this guy quietly farmed them: • 41 trades • near 100% Win Rate And he didn’t even predict anything. He hunted liquidity. Here’s what he understood that most don’t: Bots dominate Polymarket during dead hours. Late nights. Weekends. Low volume windows. Books get thin, but models stay active. Human oversight disappears. That’s when small capital can distort price massively. So what did he do? You probably already guessed. He didn’t chase direction. He nudged price. Push a contract slightly off balance so bots recalibrate mechanically. They start selling or buying based on their spread logic, not context. They see deviation. They respond automatically. He forces them into bad fills. Then, once price is stretched far from real probability, he accumulates size the other way. No rush. No panic. When liquidity returns and price normalizes? He just exits. Not because of news. Not because of edge in outcome. Because structure snapped back. This isn’t prophecy trading. It’s understanding how automated systems behave when liquidity is stressed. Most people think Polymarket profits come from being right. Wrong. Big money flows to whoever understands: • when bots are dominant • when books are fragile • when models overreact He didn’t beat the market. He beat the bots and took their profit. He made the market overreact and sold it back to itself. His profile: Absolute cinema, right? Leaving a full copy trading guide in the attached quote.
Oracle Boar51,827 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
I’ve analyzed hundreds of wallets on Polymarket This one is different: • 42 trades • 90% win rate • Turned $174 into $123k on esports This traded compounded aggressively thanks to CS2 and LoL markets. You can clearly see the pattern: He doesn’t trade boring markets. He trades games he understands better than the market makers. Recent wins: • $17k on a Counter-Strike line • $14k on League of Legends • $9k on another LoL matchup Polymarket rewards specialists. If you know roster changes before Twitter does… If you understand map veto dynamics… If you follow team form daily… You price probabilities better than casual liquidity. This is what niche dominance looks like. And yes, this is one of the rare wallets I’m publicly copy trading. His wallet: 0x25e28169faea17421fcd4cc361f6436d1e449a09 The competition between copy traders so make sure you're using the fastest bot for it. This one proved to execute txns < 1s: Full copy trading breakdown is quoted below for those who want to do this properly. Study first, then allocate.
Oracle Boar46,667 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
Polymarket vs Binance BTC charts are DIFFERENT A millisecond gap generates $100k daily for bots Those who noticed it are quietly printing THOUSANDS Open APIs + ClawdBot = a 24/7 goldmine Here’s what you didn’t know about 5-minute markets: (and how you can use it too) Stream 1-second Binance spot and watch 5-minute BTC markets on Polymarket side by side. You’ll notice something most manual traders miss. When BTC makes a sharp impulse on Binance, Polymarket doesn’t reprice in the same millisecond. It reacts slightly later. For a brief window, spot has already broken structure, but the 5-minute UP/DOWN market still sits around 0.45-0.55 like nothing happened. Orderbook inertia. Human reaction time. UI lag. That gap is the edge. By the time manual traders process the move, click, sign, and confirm, odds already shifted to $0.75. ClawdBots and other automated systems print thousands without predicting direction. They stream Binance tick data in real time and detect micro-impulses on the 1-second level. Then simply hit Polymarket while pricing still reflects the previous state. Some even structure entries on both sides under $1 total to cap downside if volatility snaps back. Near expiry, they rebalance toward the dominant move once probability converges. Over thousands of cycles, milliseconds compound. Take a look at this trader: He makes ~$20k / day trading these markets. Total PnL: $1.6M in two months. Manual traders compete on opinion. Automated systems compete on timing. And timing wins. Check 5 min markets yourself: Trading just entered a new era.
Oracle Boar43,247 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
Here's how to identify a SCAM memecoin using 1 tool: We'll take $SACHI as an example ($8M market cap right now) You need to check just 2 things: • Top holders • Top traders If you see that the Top 10 wallets are empty (low $SOL balance) or marked with ghosts, run away. This means that developers sniped the majority of supply before going live and are dumping their tokens right now. This simple trick will save your money. Trading and analyzing here:
Oracle Boar49,189 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten