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This guy built a late-resolution bot on Polymarket and made $98,842 His algorithm almost always waits until the final seconds of 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets before building a directional position: 1. Monitors the market for most of the trading window and enters near resolution 98.2% of its purchases... occur in the final minute The median first entry occurs 56 seconds before the market ends For the first four minutes, it tracks BTC’s price movements. It then starts buying its chosen outcome in small amounts 2. Buys the more likely outcome if it still considers it undervalued 89.8% of its fills are at 50c+ More than half of its purchases are at 80c+, and those trades account for 65.9% of its total volume 3. Uses the opposite outcome to adjust net exposure It bought both sides in 29.55% of markets If it holds 100 Up shares and buys 40 Down shares, part of the position becomes hedged, while 60 Up shares remain directional If it then buys another 140 Down shares, its original Up position is fully hedged, and the directional residual shifts to Down Buying the opposite outcome lets it reduce or fully reverse its directional exposure Its Polymarket account: NIULAI4 Stats: > Trades per active hour: 53.89 > Average trade size: $26.56 > Win rate: 81.42% NIULAI4’s main edge comes from late-entry probability trading: it waits for a stronger BTC signal near the end of the market, buys the undervalued outcome, and uses the opposite side to rapidly adjust its exposure if conditions changeshow more

VALIX

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153,394 次观看 • 2 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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13 条评论

Daniro 的头像

Daniro2 天前

A late entry into a position can also be effective, the main thing is to correctly track the direction and trend of the BTC

VALIX 的头像

VALIX1 天前

Risk management is also crucial to this strategy, as a single losing trade can wipe out all the gains

Joseph 的头像

Joseph1 天前

This is fake

合一🌎 的头像

合一🌎1 天前

你赚到了没有

Asher W. Diaz 的头像

Asher W. Diaz1 天前

$98,842 from late entries? What's the fill rate when liquidity dries up?

Daniel Quintanilla 的头像

Daniel Quintanilla1 天前

What am i looking at!

Ahmed 的头像

Ahmed1 天前

@grok ماهي اسم المنصه

Marco Dina 的头像

Marco Dina1 天前

Cap

Nginhm Angmang 的头像

Nginhm Angmang1 天前

Hmm, what happens when two bots time the same final second?

Claw Arbs 的头像

Claw Arbs1 天前

An 81% win rate needs the average entry price to mean much. Does the breakdown include fees and losses from switching direction near expiry?

Brjan | AI Builder 的头像

Brjan | AI Builder1 天前

waiting until the last seconds can be risky, markets can shift fast

vivre_du trading 的头像

vivre_du trading1 天前

c'est le truc le plus bidon generer par ia

老王｜XAUUSD Trader 的头像

老王｜XAUUSD Trader1 天前

结构比方向重要，记下了。

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $18.69 Result: +$88,641 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a passive maker grid, asynchronous accumulation, and a directional residual: 1. Places BUY limit orders across a fixed price grid It provides liquidity at multiple price levels in advance and waits for the orders to fill 2. Accumulates the opposite outcome as the market moves It bought both Up and Down in 63.6% of markets Orders on one side fill first. Once the market reprices, orders on the opposite side start filling Within each market, it switches between Up and Down a median of 2 times 3. Keeps part of its inventory directional After pairing both sides, a directional residual remains. The size of this residual becomes the main source of PnL In markets where it bought both sides, the outcome with the larger inventory won 53.7% of the time Its Polymarket account: 98euf98a Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The bot’s main edge comes from a two-part strategy: matched Up/Down positions reduce exposure, while the remaining directional residual drives most of its PnL

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VALIX

44,690 次观看 • 18 天前

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36,397 次观看 • 1 个月前

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46,302 次观看 • 1 个月前

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13,971 次观看 • 2 个月前

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27,231 次观看 • 1 个月前

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22,698 次观看 • 3 天前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$295,910 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a late-resolution strategy, where most of the position size is deployed when the outcome is getting close to final: 1. It starts with a small directional position At the beginning of each market, it records the reference price and tracks Chainlink TWAP along with external spot/perp feeds During the early stage, it builds a small position. This acts like a probe while the model’s confidence is still relatively low 2. It increases the position as the outcome gets closer to certainty The algorithm constantly recalculates probability. As resolution gets closer, it can estimate more accurately whether the result can still change 3. If the signal changes, it buys the opposite side In 88.2% of markets, it trades only one outcome. In 11.8% of cases, it buys both Up and Down. The opposite side works as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm appears during the final minutes of the market. It estimates how close the outcome is to being locked in and concentrates most of its position size where the model sees mispricing

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$295,910 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a late-resolution strategy, where most of the position size is deployed when the outcome is getting close to final: 1. It starts with a small directional position At the beginning of each market, it records the reference price and tracks Chainlink TWAP along with external spot/perp feeds During the early stage, it builds a small position. This acts like a probe while the model’s confidence is still relatively low 2. It increases the position as the outcome gets closer to certainty The algorithm constantly recalculates probability. As resolution gets closer, it can estimate more accurately whether the result can still change 3. If the signal changes, it buys the opposite side In 88.2% of markets, it trades only one outcome. In 11.8% of cases, it buys both Up and Down. The opposite side works as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm appears during the final minutes of the market. It estimates how close the outcome is to being locked in and concentrates most of its position size where the model sees mispricing

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96,229 次观看 • 29 天前

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

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26,313 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $74,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short-term Up/Down markets through high-frequency accumulation of two-sided positions with directional exposure His strategy has six steps: 1. At the start of each 5-minute market, it records the current Bitcoin or Ethereum price 2. It then tracks the asset’s movement, remaining time, short-term momentum, and volatility 3. Based on this data, it calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 4. It buys an outcome when the market price appears undervalued 5. If the asset’s price direction changes, the bot may first buy Up and then start buying Down 6. The opposite side partially hedges the accumulated position, while the remaining directional exposure creates the edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he maintains positive expected value and consistently grows his deposit

VALIX

25,607 次观看 • 3 个月前

This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It looks something like this: > First, the bot accumulates one side > After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome > Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices > This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1 The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69 The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual

This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It looks something like this: > First, the bot accumulates one side > After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome > Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices > This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1 The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69 The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual

VALIX

17,483 次观看 • 18 天前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $28.64 Result: +$183,980 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It looks for edge using its own fair-value model The model takes into account distance from the opening price, volatility, momentum, acceleration, order flow, and external spot/perp data It enters a position when it detects mispricing. As the signal gets stronger, it gradually increases its position 2. When the price reverses, it builds a hedge using the opposite outcome If the underlying asset changes direction, it doesn’t sell its existing inventory. Instead, it starts buying the opposite side This turns part of the existing position into a hedge, while its new directional exposure shifts according to the current fair-value estimate You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This HFT algorithm’s Polymarket nickname: std0 Its main edge comes from constantly repricing probabilities and properly managing its positions

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $28.64 Result: +$183,980 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It looks for edge using its own fair-value model The model takes into account distance from the opening price, volatility, momentum, acceleration, order flow, and external spot/perp data It enters a position when it detects mispricing. As the signal gets stronger, it gradually increases its position 2. When the price reverses, it builds a hedge using the opposite outcome If the underlying asset changes direction, it doesn’t sell its existing inventory. Instead, it starts buying the opposite side This turns part of the existing position into a hedge, while its new directional exposure shifts according to the current fair-value estimate You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This HFT algorithm’s Polymarket nickname: std0 Its main edge comes from constantly repricing probabilities and properly managing its positions

VALIX

131,090 次观看 • 28 天前

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

VALIX

50,580 次观看 • 1 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k

VALIX

18,729 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

VALIX

84,178 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $40 Result: +$223,542 His bot trades short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of passive market making, inventory rebalancing, and opportunistic complete-set formation: 1. It accumulates outcomes below its fair value It places BUY orders in advance and waits for them to get filled. The average price per share acquired is 46.6c 2. When the market moves, it turns part of the inventory into cheap complete sets If its Up orders get filled first and then the underlying reverses, making Down cheaper, it starts accumulating the opposite side In two-sided 5-minute markets, the median combined VWAP of both sides is around 94.8c 3. It keeps part of the inventory directional It doesn’t try to fully balance Up and Down. If it can buy a cheap hedge, part of the position turns into complete sets. If not, the original inventory remains directional His Polymarket nickname: PBot-6 You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This guy’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 46.11 > Average trade: $39.67 > Win Rate: 50% The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from consistently getting fills below its fair value and building arbitrage positions

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $40 Result: +$223,542 His bot trades short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of passive market making, inventory rebalancing, and opportunistic complete-set formation: 1. It accumulates outcomes below its fair value It places BUY orders in advance and waits for them to get filled. The average price per share acquired is 46.6c 2. When the market moves, it turns part of the inventory into cheap complete sets If its Up orders get filled first and then the underlying reverses, making Down cheaper, it starts accumulating the opposite side In two-sided 5-minute markets, the median combined VWAP of both sides is around 94.8c 3. It keeps part of the inventory directional It doesn’t try to fully balance Up and Down. If it can buy a cheap hedge, part of the position turns into complete sets. If not, the original inventory remains directional His Polymarket nickname: PBot-6 You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This guy’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 46.11 > Average trade: $39.67 > Win Rate: 50% The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from consistently getting fills below its fair value and building arbitrage positions

VALIX

99,249 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit

VALIX

86,634 次观看 • 3 个月前

This trader made +$177,981 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm, with an average trade of $28 His bot makes around 150 trades per hour, or 2.5 trades per minute. It trades BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets, constantly comparing its own fair probability with the price on Polymarket Its strategy: 1. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 2. Continues increasing the position as the price moves, until the mispricing fully disappears 3. When the signal reverses, it buys the opposite outcome and turns part of the inventory into a dynamic hedge His nickname: std0 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Stats: > Total Deposit: $3.7K > Win Rate: 52% > PnL: +$178k Using this strategy and high-quality execution, he captures a micro edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he reached a 4,810% ROI in 5 months of trading

This trader made +$177,981 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm, with an average trade of $28 His bot makes around 150 trades per hour, or 2.5 trades per minute. It trades BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets, constantly comparing its own fair probability with the price on Polymarket Its strategy: 1. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 2. Continues increasing the position as the price moves, until the mispricing fully disappears 3. When the signal reverses, it buys the opposite outcome and turns part of the inventory into a dynamic hedge His nickname: std0 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Stats: > Total Deposit: $3.7K > Win Rate: 52% > PnL: +$178k Using this strategy and high-quality execution, he captures a micro edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he reached a 4,810% ROI in 5 months of trading

VALIX

62,559 次观看 • 1 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

VALIX

15,778 次观看 • 2 个月前