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This trader turned Grok Bot into a Polymarket Market Maker and it made $1,205 a day The result is already +$136,183 PnL with only $41 per average trade while recycling the same setup 20 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets Six AI agents work together as... one algorithm: 1. The system looks for Up + Down < 100¢ Instead of entering both sides together, it uses BTC volatility to accumulate them separately For example: Down at 43¢ + Up later at 55¢ = 98¢ total cost (2¢ locked on every complete set) 2. The agents continuously reprice both outcomes The pricing model updates after every BTC move: P(t) = P(t-1) + ΔSignal If one side is trading below the model price, the bot adds it. If the opposite side later offers a better entry, the system shifts inventory toward it and converts part of the position into complete sets This trader’s Polymarket account: Polkadot-Frog 55,427 predictions with a 50% win rate Most profitable trades: $2,876 → $6,330 (+$3,454) $1,576 → $4,898 (+$3,323) $1,806 → $5,126 (+$3,320) The edge comes from continuously changing the position instead of staying committed to the first side it buysshow more

Daniro

5,128 subscribers

17,946 views • 20 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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11 Comments

VALIX20 days ago

This is a really cool way to use a system of AI agents

Dima Vasilenko20 days ago

Stop the cap

Agent Rails20 days ago

The $41 average trade is the real detail here. At 20 cycles an hour the edge lives in fee-per-fill, not the model. Most rails would eat that spread before the six agents even agreed

Coin Metrika20 days ago

The idea seems expensive. It's impressive.

BonBonaz20 days ago

this is impressive, but can we really rely on a bot for everything?

Davidd Tech18 days ago

I cant imagine the shelf life on this being long.

KeVien Hansora20 days ago

ads?

金牌交易员.z20 days ago

看起来真不错啊

Misanthropic13 days ago

Holy larp. this viz looks like looks like 5th grader art project

Jin19 days ago

@grok is this true

DexorynLabs20 days ago

Brilliant bot setup, Dexoryn automates that. 🚀

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VALIX

68,939 views • 26 days ago

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VALIX

15,778 views • 1 month ago

This guy’s trading bot uses $4 sized buys and has already made $136,000 on Polymarket His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets and combines late-resolution sniping, grid accumulation, and partial complete-set arbitrage His strategy has 5 parts: 1. At the start of each market, it records the asset price and constantly pulls real-time data from external sources 2. Then it evaluates price direction, volatility, time remaining, and liquidity on Polymarket 3. Based on that, it calculates its own probability for the Up or Down outcome 4. It buys the undervalued outcome when it sees a mispricing, then builds the opposite side if Up + Down is below $1 5. Before the market ends, it increases one side if that side becomes the clear favorite This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times, growing his capital

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VALIX

36,334 views • 2 months ago

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $28.64 Result: +$183,980 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It looks for edge using its own fair-value model The model takes into account distance from the opening price, volatility, momentum, acceleration, order flow, and external spot/perp data It enters a position when it detects mispricing. As the signal gets stronger, it gradually increases its position 2. When the price reverses, it builds a hedge using the opposite outcome If the underlying asset changes direction, it doesn’t sell its existing inventory. Instead, it starts buying the opposite side This turns part of the existing position into a hedge, while its new directional exposure shifts according to the current fair-value estimate You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This HFT algorithm’s Polymarket nickname: std0 Its main edge comes from constantly repricing probabilities and properly managing its positions

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $28.64 Result: +$183,980 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It looks for edge using its own fair-value model The model takes into account distance from the opening price, volatility, momentum, acceleration, order flow, and external spot/perp data It enters a position when it detects mispricing. As the signal gets stronger, it gradually increases its position 2. When the price reverses, it builds a hedge using the opposite outcome If the underlying asset changes direction, it doesn’t sell its existing inventory. Instead, it starts buying the opposite side This turns part of the existing position into a hedge, while its new directional exposure shifts according to the current fair-value estimate You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) This HFT algorithm’s Polymarket nickname: std0 Its main edge comes from constantly repricing probabilities and properly managing its positions

VALIX

131,090 views • 16 days ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 views • 4 months ago

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital

VALIX

28,577 views • 1 month ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

VALIX

30,078 views • 3 months ago