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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket that trades markets with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$254,000 His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, dynamic hedging, and volatility harvesting: 1. It finds mispricing using its own model It receives spot/perp...

28,194 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$222,374 Its bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets through a hybrid of directional trading and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for directional edge through its own fair probability It gets data on the underlying asset from external sources and compares it with the price on Polymarket Its model includes momentum, acceleration, volatility, order-flow imbalance, and time to resolution If it sees an edge, it starts building a position and increases it while the signal remains active 2. When the signal changes, it hedges the position with the opposite outcome If the price movement reverses, the algorithm starts buying the other side This reduces net exposure while also using new price moves to accumulate the second side If it can buy cheap enough, part of the inventory turns into a complete set where Up + Down costs less than $1 3. It keeps a large directional residual In two-sided markets, the median size of the smaller side is only around 36% of the larger side The hedge covers only part of the position, while the main remainder continues working in the direction of its model’s signal His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Stats: > Trades / active hour: 132.3 > Average trade: $60.02 > Win Rate: 55% This guy’s main edge is built on a combination of two mechanics: it tries to identify the stronger outcome before the market, and when the signal changes, it turns part of the position into a hedge or a cheap complete set

VALIX

12,905 次观看 • 2 个月前

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket and made +$304,915 His bot trades 5-minute BTC Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for mispricing using its own fair-value model The model constantly tracks BTC relative to the opening price, momentum, acceleration, and volatility, while comparing PM prices with spot prices from external sources If the price on Polymarket lags behind its fair-value estimate, it starts buying the corresponding outcome 2. When the signal changes, it starts accumulating the opposite side If the underlying asset changes direction, it doesn’t sell the existing position. Instead, it starts buying the opposite outcome The opposite outcome reduces net exposure and works as a dynamic hedge, while the majority of the remaining position stays directional His nickname: 0xAAAAA The signal is generated before the trade even happens: first, the model reads BTC movements on external markets, then uses that data to estimate the probability of Up and Down But if you want to trade the actual BTC/ETH price movement rather than a binary outcome, you can take a look at KCEX: The exchange currently offers zero fees on some spot/perp pairs, as well as 0% fees on the first 100 withdrawals per month across all assets With $1M in trading volume, even a 0.1% fee turns into $1,000 in costs. That’s why zero fees can provide a significant advantage to the edge of any trading strategy

VALIX

39,031 次观看 • 1 个月前