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This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It...

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VALIX

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16,979 views • 5 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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10 Comments

S.E.I's profile picture
S.E.I4 days ago

@RetroValix You seem knowledgeable. Honestly, it looks like you really understand how the bot functions. Even if you don't know every single detail yet, getting started is what matters. That’s great. I think you can access to my strategy closely

VALIX's profile picture
VALIX4 days ago

I’m glad you liked my research

Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack's profile picture
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack4 days ago

@RetroValix that's wild. reminds me of how i tried balancing risk by covering both sides but never nailed it like this guy. guess patience and strategy are key here.

Daniro's profile picture
Daniro4 days ago

A great strategy is to stick to a model where yes+no<100. The market maker's strategy allows him to have a 1% edge on each trade

VALIX's profile picture
VALIX4 days ago

Yeah, this is a pretty common strategy among trading bots right now

HyperTradeWorx | AI Trading's profile picture
HyperTradeWorx | AI Trading5 days ago

the 1.31c only exists once both legs are on. how long does it sit half filled on average? that's the number we'd want next

predit.market's profile picture
predit.market4 days ago

A 1.31c edge leaves no room for bad fills

DexorynLabs's profile picture
DexorynLabs4 days ago

Good bot catches deep value.

Phoom 300x Channel's profile picture
Phoom 300x Channel4 days ago

Really??

Verilla.eth's profile picture
Verilla.eth4 days ago

不赖

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68,914 views • 24 days ago

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VALIX

50,580 views • 1 month ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit
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He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$110,343 in 1.5 months His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining a hybrid of 2 components: 1. Temporal arbitrage between Up and Down: the bot accumulates both sides at different moments, trying to get the combined cost below $1 2. Directional residual: when his algorithm gives a strong signal, the bot increases one side and creates a directional skew His Polymarket username: bosona Using this strategy, clean execution, and a strong mathematical model, he turned $20k into $110k
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He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$110,343 in 1.5 months His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining a hybrid of 2 components: 1. Temporal arbitrage between Up and Down: the bot accumulates both sides at different moments, trying to get the combined cost below $1 2. Directional residual: when his algorithm gives a strong signal, the bot increases one side and creates a directional skew His Polymarket username: bosona Using this strategy, clean execution, and a strong mathematical model, he turned $20k into $110k

VALIX

36,453 views • 2 months ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 views • 4 months ago

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $671,000 on Polymarket His bot trades Up/Down markets at high frequency and combines asynchronous two-sided arbitrage with short-term directional trading His Polymarket account: His strategy is simple: > Places limit orders on both sides of crypto markets > Buys Up and Down one after another when each side temporarily becomes undervalued > At the same time, keeps a directional skew toward the side his model sees as more likely Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and keeps growing his capital
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $671,000 on Polymarket His bot trades Up/Down markets at high frequency and combines asynchronous two-sided arbitrage with short-term directional trading His Polymarket account: His strategy is simple: > Places limit orders on both sides of crypto markets > Buys Up and Down one after another when each side temporarily becomes undervalued > At the same time, keeps a directional skew toward the side his model sees as more likely Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

21,839 views • 2 months ago

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k

VALIX

18,729 views • 1 month ago

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging
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This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

VALIX

26,313 views • 20 days ago