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🚨 THIS LOOKS REALLY SCARY We've seen this before: Dot-Com crash & 2008 crisis 1. The S&P 500 saw strong growth from 1995 to 1999 1995: +37.6% 1996: +23.0% 1997: +33.4% 1998: +28.6% 1999: +21.0% 5 year and then came a 50% CRASH 2. Later, since 2003, the S&P...

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Leni

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🚨 THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500 Read the post carefully before buying stocks 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion( $SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation IPOs at these kinds of valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are often a sign of market euphoria I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important
0:39

🚨 THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500 Read the post carefully before buying stocks 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion( $SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation IPOs at these kinds of valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are often a sign of market euphoria I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

552,724 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING THE DANGEROUS ZONE The chart has already completed 5 phases. Now comes the most dangerous part: Phase 6: euphoria top. The entire S&P 500 is now concentrated in a handful of companies: Apple. Microsoft. Nvidia. Amazon. Meta. Alphabet. Tesla. Broadcom. Together, they control 35% of the entire index. That means the S&P 500 is no longer a broad market. And the first crack is already here: Meta has lost around 7% of its market cap in the last 10 days. If this spreads to the rest of the mega caps, the entire S&P 500 will break. First concentration. Then euphoria. Then one leader breaks. Then the whole index follows. Phase 7 is next. Large-scale drop. Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:40

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING THE DANGEROUS ZONE The chart has already completed 5 phases. Now comes the most dangerous part: Phase 6: euphoria top. The entire S&P 500 is now concentrated in a handful of companies: Apple. Microsoft. Nvidia. Amazon. Meta. Alphabet. Tesla. Broadcom. Together, they control 35% of the entire index. That means the S&P 500 is no longer a broad market. And the first crack is already here: Meta has lost around 7% of its market cap in the last 10 days. If this spreads to the rest of the mega caps, the entire S&P 500 will break. First concentration. Then euphoria. Then one leader breaks. Then the whole index follows. Phase 7 is next. Large-scale drop. Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

216,256 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH THE S&P 500 Read this carefully before buying stocks! The biggest IPO wave in decades is colliding with one of the most concentrated markets in history. 1. The IPO wave is already here. > SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history in June, raising $75 BILLION at a ~$1.77 TRILLION valuation. > Anthropic is now preparing for a potential Nasdaq IPO, with its valuation reportedly reaching as high as ~$2 TRILLION. > OpenAI was also considered one of the next trillion-dollar IPO candidates, but Sam Altman has now ruled out an IPO in 2026. And that actually makes the setup even more interesting! 2. The S&P 500 is already extremely concentrated. The Magnificent Seven currently represent roughly 34% of the entire S&P 500, with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, Apple, and Tesla carrying an enormous share of the index. Now imagine another massive Anthropic offering pulling tens of billions of dollars into a brand-new AI stock. That money has to come from somewhere. Funds could rotate capital out of today's biggest winners to make room for the next generation of AI giants. Nvidia. Microsoft. Google. Amazon. THE SAME STOCKS CURRENTLY HOLDING UP THE INDEX! SpaceX also showed exactly how extreme this IPO cycle has become: $75 BILLION raised in a single offering. Anthropic could potentially be even bigger. 3. History has seen this setup before. Near the peak of every major bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of companies investors believed could not lose: > The Roaring Twenties > The Nifty Fifty > Japan's 1980s asset bubble > The Dot-Com Bubble Today, U.S. market concentration is once again near historic extremes. 4. Great companies can still become terrible investments at the wrong valuation. During the Dot-Com collapse, some of the strongest companies on Earth suffered brutal drawdowns: Amazon: ~-95% Microsoft: ~-65% Intel: ~-80%+ Oracle: ~-80%+ Yahoo: ~-97% A great business does not protect investors from extreme valuations. And now private AI companies are approaching trillion-dollar valuations while the industry is still burning enormous amounts of capital. THAT IS EXACTLY THE KIND OF EUPHORIA THAT SHOULD MAKE INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION! I've said this before, and the cycle is still moving in the same direction. Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below. THE NEXT PHASE COULD BE THE MOST IMPORTANT ONE YET!
0:39

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH THE S&P 500 Read this carefully before buying stocks! The biggest IPO wave in decades is colliding with one of the most concentrated markets in history. 1. The IPO wave is already here. > SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history in June, raising $75 BILLION at a ~$1.77 TRILLION valuation. > Anthropic is now preparing for a potential Nasdaq IPO, with its valuation reportedly reaching as high as ~$2 TRILLION. > OpenAI was also considered one of the next trillion-dollar IPO candidates, but Sam Altman has now ruled out an IPO in 2026. And that actually makes the setup even more interesting! 2. The S&P 500 is already extremely concentrated. The Magnificent Seven currently represent roughly 34% of the entire S&P 500, with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, Apple, and Tesla carrying an enormous share of the index. Now imagine another massive Anthropic offering pulling tens of billions of dollars into a brand-new AI stock. That money has to come from somewhere. Funds could rotate capital out of today's biggest winners to make room for the next generation of AI giants. Nvidia. Microsoft. Google. Amazon. THE SAME STOCKS CURRENTLY HOLDING UP THE INDEX! SpaceX also showed exactly how extreme this IPO cycle has become: $75 BILLION raised in a single offering. Anthropic could potentially be even bigger. 3. History has seen this setup before. Near the peak of every major bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of companies investors believed could not lose: > The Roaring Twenties > The Nifty Fifty > Japan's 1980s asset bubble > The Dot-Com Bubble Today, U.S. market concentration is once again near historic extremes. 4. Great companies can still become terrible investments at the wrong valuation. During the Dot-Com collapse, some of the strongest companies on Earth suffered brutal drawdowns: Amazon: ~-95% Microsoft: ~-65% Intel: ~-80%+ Oracle: ~-80%+ Yahoo: ~-97% A great business does not protect investors from extreme valuations. And now private AI companies are approaching trillion-dollar valuations while the industry is still burning enormous amounts of capital. THAT IS EXACTLY THE KIND OF EUPHORIA THAT SHOULD MAKE INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION! I've said this before, and the cycle is still moving in the same direction. Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below. THE NEXT PHASE COULD BE THE MOST IMPORTANT ONE YET!

Qmo

59,017 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

🚨 SOMETHING VERY BAD IS HAPPENING The top 10 stocks now make up around 40% of the S&P 500 AI-related stocks (direct AI + infrastructure) account for up to 50% The market has basically turned into one massive bet on artificial intelligence This is an overvalued AI bubble that's already inflating the entire market Big Tech - Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, and others - has been pouring massive amounts of money into AI infrastructure throughout 2025-2026 For 2026, projected hyperscaler capex is around $560-725 billion, with some estimates as high as $800-900 billion That's comparable to the telecom boom of the late '90s The money is flowing into data centers, chips, and energy infrastructure But here's the problem - monetization is lagging way behind Many AI projects, including OpenAI, are still losing money Competition is growing with open-source models, while regulatory risks and energy constraints are also becoming bigger issues Investors are paying for a future trillion-dollar AI market that still isn't showing up in actual profits Stocks have been climbing on expectations, not current results On top of that, the Shiller CAPE Ratio is sitting around 41x To put that into perspective: That's one of the highest readings in history, getting close to the peak of the 2000 dot-com bubble at 43x+ That's why I think the S&P 500 could eventually drop 20-30% or more, similar to what happened in 2000-2002, when the index lost nearly 50%, although today's market is more mature It's gonna be painful, there'll be a crash, and there'll be temporary damage But AI technology is real The models will keep getting better, computing will get cheaper, and adoption will continue to grow. The infrastructure being built today isn't going anywhere After crash, AI will keep transforming the economy on a much healthier and more sustainable foundation, without all the speculative excess I've said this before, and everything is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications. If you're not following me yet, you might realize later that it was a mistake because I warned you Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important
0:29

🚨 SOMETHING VERY BAD IS HAPPENING The top 10 stocks now make up around 40% of the S&P 500 AI-related stocks (direct AI + infrastructure) account for up to 50% The market has basically turned into one massive bet on artificial intelligence This is an overvalued AI bubble that's already inflating the entire market Big Tech - Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, and others - has been pouring massive amounts of money into AI infrastructure throughout 2025-2026 For 2026, projected hyperscaler capex is around $560-725 billion, with some estimates as high as $800-900 billion That's comparable to the telecom boom of the late '90s The money is flowing into data centers, chips, and energy infrastructure But here's the problem - monetization is lagging way behind Many AI projects, including OpenAI, are still losing money Competition is growing with open-source models, while regulatory risks and energy constraints are also becoming bigger issues Investors are paying for a future trillion-dollar AI market that still isn't showing up in actual profits Stocks have been climbing on expectations, not current results On top of that, the Shiller CAPE Ratio is sitting around 41x To put that into perspective: That's one of the highest readings in history, getting close to the peak of the 2000 dot-com bubble at 43x+ That's why I think the S&P 500 could eventually drop 20-30% or more, similar to what happened in 2000-2002, when the index lost nearly 50%, although today's market is more mature It's gonna be painful, there'll be a crash, and there'll be temporary damage But AI technology is real The models will keep getting better, computing will get cheaper, and adoption will continue to grow. The infrastructure being built today isn't going anywhere After crash, AI will keep transforming the economy on a much healthier and more sustainable foundation, without all the speculative excess I've said this before, and everything is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications. If you're not following me yet, you might realize later that it was a mistake because I warned you Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

70,362 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CRASH GLOBAL MARKETS!! Most investors don't see what's coming. Read this before buying stocks. 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion($SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation IPOs at these kinds of valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are often a sign of market euphoria I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important
0:31

🚨 WARNING: THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CRASH GLOBAL MARKETS!! Most investors don't see what's coming. Read this before buying stocks. 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion($SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation IPOs at these kinds of valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are often a sign of market euphoria I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

WhaleTwits

109,802 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs. Meanwhile, Anthropic and OpenAI are rushing to go public. Most people think this is a coincidence. It's not. Here's what they're missing: Insiders bought into these companies years ago on private markets. Now, at the peak of market greed, they are selling at a 100x markup. These IPOs aren't opportunities for you. They are the final exit liquidity before the bubble pops. We've seen this movie before: 2000 (Dot-Com Bubble): Palm IPO → S&P 500 drops 50% 2007 (Housing Bubble): Blackstone IPO → S&P 500 drops 56% 2021 (COVID Peak): Rivian IPO → S&P 500 drops 27% 2026 (AI Bubble): SpaceX kicked off the final wave in June. Now OpenAI and Anthropic are rushing to follow. Same pattern. Same ending. The countdown has officially started. For the record: I've called every major market turn for the last 10 years, including Bitcoin's crash from $111K and the SpaceX drop. I'll post the warning BEFORE the next leg down begins. Stay close.
0:28

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs. Meanwhile, Anthropic and OpenAI are rushing to go public. Most people think this is a coincidence. It's not. Here's what they're missing: Insiders bought into these companies years ago on private markets. Now, at the peak of market greed, they are selling at a 100x markup. These IPOs aren't opportunities for you. They are the final exit liquidity before the bubble pops. We've seen this movie before: 2000 (Dot-Com Bubble): Palm IPO → S&P 500 drops 50% 2007 (Housing Bubble): Blackstone IPO → S&P 500 drops 56% 2021 (COVID Peak): Rivian IPO → S&P 500 drops 27% 2026 (AI Bubble): SpaceX kicked off the final wave in June. Now OpenAI and Anthropic are rushing to follow. Same pattern. Same ending. The countdown has officially started. For the record: I've called every major market turn for the last 10 years, including Bitcoin's crash from $111K and the SpaceX drop. I'll post the warning BEFORE the next leg down begins. Stay close.

MARMOT

56,970 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING THE DANGEROUS ZONE The chart has already completed 5 phases. Now comes the most dangerous part: Phase 6: euphoria top. The entire S&P 500 is now concentrated in a handful of companies: Apple. Microsoft. Nvidia. Amazon. Meta. Alphabet. Tesla. Broadcom. Together, they control 36% of the entire index. That means the S&P 500 is no longer a broad market. And the first crack is already here: Tesla has lost around 8% of its market cap in the last 7 days. If this spreads to the rest of the mega caps, the entire S&P 500 will break. First concentration. Then euphoria. Then one leader breaks. Then the whole index follows. Phase 7 is next. Large-scale drop. For the record: I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 four years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. When I exit markets completely, I’ll share it publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:27

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING THE DANGEROUS ZONE The chart has already completed 5 phases. Now comes the most dangerous part: Phase 6: euphoria top. The entire S&P 500 is now concentrated in a handful of companies: Apple. Microsoft. Nvidia. Amazon. Meta. Alphabet. Tesla. Broadcom. Together, they control 36% of the entire index. That means the S&P 500 is no longer a broad market. And the first crack is already here: Tesla has lost around 8% of its market cap in the last 7 days. If this spreads to the rest of the mega caps, the entire S&P 500 will break. First concentration. Then euphoria. Then one leader breaks. Then the whole index follows. Phase 7 is next. Large-scale drop. For the record: I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 four years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. When I exit markets completely, I’ll share it publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

102,443 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Chamath reveals that the real ROI of AI is just 0-2% for companies in the S&P 500 "The problem with enterprise revenue is that at some point, the person who's spending it has to see an ROI. I asked Fable, what is the lift of the S&P 500 earnings per share growth since 2024 from AI?" "Fable answered, oh it's 50%. Then I looked through it and I said well no, you're including the money that NVIDIA makes from selling chips." "I asked a different question; what was the EPS growth of the S&P 493? The answer was 9%. The overwhelming majority of that was from pricing power sitting on top of inflation, and then the other 3% was from buybacks." "So the answer, as far as all publicly available data shows, was that the actual ROI was somewhere between zero and 2%."
1:09

Chamath reveals that the real ROI of AI is just 0-2% for companies in the S&P 500 "The problem with enterprise revenue is that at some point, the person who's spending it has to see an ROI. I asked Fable, what is the lift of the S&P 500 earnings per share growth since 2024 from AI?" "Fable answered, oh it's 50%. Then I looked through it and I said well no, you're including the money that NVIDIA makes from selling chips." "I asked a different question; what was the EPS growth of the S&P 493? The answer was 9%. The overwhelming majority of that was from pricing power sitting on top of inflation, and then the other 3% was from buybacks." "So the answer, as far as all publicly available data shows, was that the actual ROI was somewhere between zero and 2%."

dnap

124,778 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500 Read this carefully before buying stocks like $SPCX. S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs. The crowd thinks they are buying a resilient index. In reality, they are holding a ticking time bomb. And Big Tech is the one lighting the fuse. Apple, Microsoft, Google, Meta are no longer cash machines. Now they are just massive factories drowning in debt. By end of 2026, every cent of profit burns on chips and data centers. Even worse: their own billions aren't enough anymore. Big Tech borrowing exploded 357% in a single year. They are literally begging the market for cash. Why? This is pure FOMO. They're buried in debt for infrastructure that may never turn a profit. If AI doesn't fix productivity, this will be the most expensive bubble in history. And when this bubble bursts, it won't just hit tech. It will drag the entire S&P 500 into the abyss. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:22

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500 Read this carefully before buying stocks like $SPCX. S&P 500 keeps hitting new all-time highs. The crowd thinks they are buying a resilient index. In reality, they are holding a ticking time bomb. And Big Tech is the one lighting the fuse. Apple, Microsoft, Google, Meta are no longer cash machines. Now they are just massive factories drowning in debt. By end of 2026, every cent of profit burns on chips and data centers. Even worse: their own billions aren't enough anymore. Big Tech borrowing exploded 357% in a single year. They are literally begging the market for cash. Why? This is pure FOMO. They're buried in debt for infrastructure that may never turn a profit. If AI doesn't fix productivity, this will be the most expensive bubble in history. And when this bubble bursts, it won't just hit tech. It will drag the entire S&P 500 into the abyss. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

42,675 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500 Microsoft gave OpenAI $13B. OpenAI sent it back through Azure. Microsoft booked it as revenue. Google committed $40B to Anthropic. Anthropic agreed to send it back through Google Cloud and chips. They all call this loop “revenue.” Let's connect the dots: - Big Tech invests in the AI. - The AI buys Big Tech cloud. - Big Tech reports AI growth. - AI valuations explode. And Wall Street calls it demand. Ray Dalio warned that late-stage bubbles are driven by loops. That is what this looks like now. The technology is real. But the money is moving in circles. When holders finally ask how much of this “AI demand” is real, the bubble will burst. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:25

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500 Microsoft gave OpenAI $13B. OpenAI sent it back through Azure. Microsoft booked it as revenue. Google committed $40B to Anthropic. Anthropic agreed to send it back through Google Cloud and chips. They all call this loop “revenue.” Let's connect the dots: - Big Tech invests in the AI. - The AI buys Big Tech cloud. - Big Tech reports AI growth. - AI valuations explode. And Wall Street calls it demand. Ray Dalio warned that late-stage bubbles are driven by loops. That is what this looks like now. The technology is real. But the money is moving in circles. When holders finally ask how much of this “AI demand” is real, the bubble will burst. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

291,574 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500 Microsoft gave OpenAI $13B. OpenAI sent it back through Azure. Microsoft booked it as revenue. Google committed $40B to Anthropic. Anthropic agreed to send it back through Google Cloud and chips. They all call this loop “revenue.” Let's connect the dots: - Big Tech invests in the AI. - The AI buys Big Tech cloud. - Big Tech reports AI growth. - AI valuations explode. And Wall Street calls it demand. Ray Dalio warned that late-stage bubbles are driven by loops. That is what this looks like now. The technology is real. But the money is moving in circles. When holders finally ask how much of this “AI demand” is real, the bubble will burst. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:34

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL BREAK THE S&P 500 Microsoft gave OpenAI $13B. OpenAI sent it back through Azure. Microsoft booked it as revenue. Google committed $40B to Anthropic. Anthropic agreed to send it back through Google Cloud and chips. They all call this loop “revenue.” Let's connect the dots: - Big Tech invests in the AI. - The AI buys Big Tech cloud. - Big Tech reports AI growth. - AI valuations explode. And Wall Street calls it demand. Ray Dalio warned that late-stage bubbles are driven by loops. That is what this looks like now. The technology is real. But the money is moving in circles. When holders finally ask how much of this “AI demand” is real, the bubble will burst. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

WhaleTwits

52,667 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

The most overvalued market in 100 years. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. 100 out of 100 years have proved one thing: This pattern has never failed. And the S&P 500 is following it again. - Dot-com bubble (1999) - Housing bubble (2007) - AI bubble (2026) You are not ready for what's coming. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:38

The most overvalued market in 100 years. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. 100 out of 100 years have proved one thing: This pattern has never failed. And the S&P 500 is following it again. - Dot-com bubble (1999) - Housing bubble (2007) - AI bubble (2026) You are not ready for what's coming. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

555,892 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 S&P 500 WILL CRASH TOMORROW 🚨 Why? SpaceX goes public on June 12 at a $1.75T valuation The market is already at distribution And now the largest IPO in modern history lands tomorrow $1.75T valuation needs $1.75T worth of buyers That liquidity has to come from somewhere - and right now it's sitting in equities 95% insider-held shares with the most aggressive unlock schedule ever approved Within ~9 months $1.66T of private wealth starts hitting the open market The S&P 500 doesn't have room for this I'm expecting a 40-50% dump on the index I've been calling major market turns publicly since 2020 - every single one documented on this page The next call is already forming and it might be the most important one yet Follow now because timing is everything in this market
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🚨 S&P 500 WILL CRASH TOMORROW 🚨 Why? SpaceX goes public on June 12 at a $1.75T valuation The market is already at distribution And now the largest IPO in modern history lands tomorrow $1.75T valuation needs $1.75T worth of buyers That liquidity has to come from somewhere - and right now it's sitting in equities 95% insider-held shares with the most aggressive unlock schedule ever approved Within ~9 months $1.66T of private wealth starts hitting the open market The S&P 500 doesn't have room for this I'm expecting a 40-50% dump on the index I've been calling major market turns publicly since 2020 - every single one documented on this page The next call is already forming and it might be the most important one yet Follow now because timing is everything in this market

NoName

39,904 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE S&P 500 WILL CRASH The stock market has stopped growing. And the next Fed rate hike will break it. The upcoming Anthropic IPO is just the final cash grab before the bubble pops. Here’s how the multi-trillion-dollar trap snaps: Right now, just 7 tech companies (Mag 7) make up over 34% of the entire S&P 500. When Anthropic ($2T target) goes public, institutions will need massive liquidity to buy in. That money isn't sitting in bank accounts. They will be forced to sell what they already own: Their bloated, overweight positions in Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. As Mag 7 drops, the entire S&P 500 goes down with them. And here is where the trap locks: S&P 500 rules require sustained profitability for index inclusion. Anthropic isn't profitable, so it won't be added to the index to support it. Capital drains out of the index, and zero passive ETF inflows come in to replace it. The sequence is inevitable: Extreme Concentration → Forced Rebalancing → Liquidity Shock → Bubble Pops We've seen this playbook before: • The Nifty Fifty (1972) • Japan’s Asset Bubble (1989) • The Dot-Com Crash (2000) This mega-IPO is not an opportunity for retail investors. It is the ultimate exit liquidity for early insiders before the crash. You have been warned. Remember, I've called every major market turn for the last 10 years, including Bitcoin's crash from $111K in October. I'll post the warning BEFORE the next leg down begins. Stay close.
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🚨 THIS IS HOW THE S&P 500 WILL CRASH The stock market has stopped growing. And the next Fed rate hike will break it. The upcoming Anthropic IPO is just the final cash grab before the bubble pops. Here’s how the multi-trillion-dollar trap snaps: Right now, just 7 tech companies (Mag 7) make up over 34% of the entire S&P 500. When Anthropic ($2T target) goes public, institutions will need massive liquidity to buy in. That money isn't sitting in bank accounts. They will be forced to sell what they already own: Their bloated, overweight positions in Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. As Mag 7 drops, the entire S&P 500 goes down with them. And here is where the trap locks: S&P 500 rules require sustained profitability for index inclusion. Anthropic isn't profitable, so it won't be added to the index to support it. Capital drains out of the index, and zero passive ETF inflows come in to replace it. The sequence is inevitable: Extreme Concentration → Forced Rebalancing → Liquidity Shock → Bubble Pops We've seen this playbook before: • The Nifty Fifty (1972) • Japan’s Asset Bubble (1989) • The Dot-Com Crash (2000) This mega-IPO is not an opportunity for retail investors. It is the ultimate exit liquidity for early insiders before the crash. You have been warned. Remember, I've called every major market turn for the last 10 years, including Bitcoin's crash from $111K in October. I'll post the warning BEFORE the next leg down begins. Stay close.

MARMOT

113,000 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen

🚨 THIS IS VERY, VERY BAD The S&P 500 is sitting near all-time highs. But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening. Markets are pricing in a 60% chance of a Fed rate hike this month. Last time this happened: S&P 500: $4,800 → $3,500 -25% wiped out. But this time there’s another problem: The AI bubble. The same AI stocks holding the S&P 500 up are exactly what higher rates hit the hardest. Higher rates mean: → Stronger dollar → Higher bond yields → Lower stock valuations → Less liquidity for risk assets And Bitcoin is exposed to the same liquidity shock. Stronger dollar + less liquidity + lower risk appetite = pressure on BTC. That lines up perfectly with the final Bitcoin market-cycle low I’m expecting this autumn. Stocks dump. Bitcoin follows. And this time, the S&P 500 drop could be much bigger than 25%. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:29

🚨 THIS IS VERY, VERY BAD The S&P 500 is sitting near all-time highs. But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening. Markets are pricing in a 60% chance of a Fed rate hike this month. Last time this happened: S&P 500: $4,800 → $3,500 -25% wiped out. But this time there’s another problem: The AI bubble. The same AI stocks holding the S&P 500 up are exactly what higher rates hit the hardest. Higher rates mean: → Stronger dollar → Higher bond yields → Lower stock valuations → Less liquidity for risk assets And Bitcoin is exposed to the same liquidity shock. Stronger dollar + less liquidity + lower risk appetite = pressure on BTC. That lines up perfectly with the final Bitcoin market-cycle low I’m expecting this autumn. Stocks dump. Bitcoin follows. And this time, the S&P 500 drop could be much bigger than 25%. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

114,223 Aufrufe • vor 25 Tagen

PRICE IS GOING UP, VOLUME IS NOT, THAT'S THE TELL. 15 years of trading and I've never seen the S&P 500 push this aggressively into all-time highs on volume this weak Everyone is watching price almost nobody is watching what's underneath it Low volume rallies don't have real buyers behind them they have price being pushed on thin liquidity We saw this exact setup in early 2025 low volume grind higher, no real demand, then the selloff came Now add the macro backdrop: 1990 → oil shock → S&P 500 -20% 2008 → oil hit $147 → S&P 500 -57% 2022 → oil surged 70% → S&P 500 -28% The market is grinding higher into the exact conditions that have historically broken it When volume finally returns to this market it won't be buyers It will be sellers I've called every major top and bottom for 15 years, including the $16K bottom and the $126K top both publicly, both before they happened When I exit the markets completely, this account posts it first Turn notifications on if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later
0:37

PRICE IS GOING UP, VOLUME IS NOT, THAT'S THE TELL. 15 years of trading and I've never seen the S&P 500 push this aggressively into all-time highs on volume this weak Everyone is watching price almost nobody is watching what's underneath it Low volume rallies don't have real buyers behind them they have price being pushed on thin liquidity We saw this exact setup in early 2025 low volume grind higher, no real demand, then the selloff came Now add the macro backdrop: 1990 → oil shock → S&P 500 -20% 2008 → oil hit $147 → S&P 500 -57% 2022 → oil surged 70% → S&P 500 -28% The market is grinding higher into the exact conditions that have historically broken it When volume finally returns to this market it won't be buyers It will be sellers I've called every major top and bottom for 15 years, including the $16K bottom and the $126K top both publicly, both before they happened When I exit the markets completely, this account posts it first Turn notifications on if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later

philarekt

78,153 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.
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🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

973,924 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500 Read the post carefully before buying stocks. 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion ($SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation The next few days will be INSANE, but don't worry - I'll break down every move as it happens, like I always do. Like it or not, I called every major top and bottom of the last decade publicly. I'll call this one too. Many people are going to wish they followed me before June 12, 2026. Soon, you'll understand why.
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🚨 WARNING: THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500 Read the post carefully before buying stocks. 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion ($SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation The next few days will be INSANE, but don't worry - I'll break down every move as it happens, like I always do. Like it or not, I called every major top and bottom of the last decade publicly. I'll call this one too. Many people are going to wish they followed me before June 12, 2026. Soon, you'll understand why.

DANNY

42,087 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE ENDS. SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all racing to IPO at the same time. The market needs to come up with $200 BILLION in fresh capital to absorb them. That money has to come from somewhere. Large funds will start selling their biggest tech positions to free up cash. NVIDIA, Microsoft, Google will be the first to get sold. The problem is, those three names are carrying the entire S&P 500. When they drop, everything drops. This exact setup played out during the COVID-era IPO wave. Rivian, Coinbase, Robinhood all went public at absurd valuations. When the Fed tightened and liquidity disappeared, every single one crashed over 80%. AI and tech are already stretched thin. A $200B capital drain on top of that creates a forced liquidation event. If you've been following me, you already caught the $16k bottom and the $126k top. Missed those calls? The next one is coming. Follow me and turn notifications on.
0:37

THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE ENDS. SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all racing to IPO at the same time. The market needs to come up with $200 BILLION in fresh capital to absorb them. That money has to come from somewhere. Large funds will start selling their biggest tech positions to free up cash. NVIDIA, Microsoft, Google will be the first to get sold. The problem is, those three names are carrying the entire S&P 500. When they drop, everything drops. This exact setup played out during the COVID-era IPO wave. Rivian, Coinbase, Robinhood all went public at absurd valuations. When the Fed tightened and liquidity disappeared, every single one crashed over 80%. AI and tech are already stretched thin. A $200B capital drain on top of that creates a forced liquidation event. If you've been following me, you already caught the $16k bottom and the $126k top. Missed those calls? The next one is coming. Follow me and turn notifications on.

Nonzee

968,930 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING VERY WIERD IS HAPPENING. The S&P 500 keeps printing new highs. Everyone is celebrating. Nobody is looking at what's actually holding it up. Semiconductor stocks are now worth $13.4 trillion. 19.7% of the entire index. Five years ago that number was closer to 5%. It quadrupled in a single cycle on a single bet. AI. And here's the number that should concern everyone. AI chips generate 50% of all semiconductor revenue. They represent less than 0.2% of total chip shipments. Half the revenue, a fraction of the volume, trillions in market cap sitting on top of a sliver of actual production. Three companies are carrying all of it. Nvidia. Broadcom. TSMC. The same names in every major institutional portfolio simultaneously. Everyone owns them, nobody can afford to be the first one out. And the way the money moves inside this system should sound familiar. Big players fund AI startups. AI startups spend that money on Big Tech infrastructure. Big Tech reports record AI revenue. Valuations justify the next round, the same dollar completes the loop and gets counted as growth every time. We watched this exact dynamic play out once before. 2000. A handful of tech companies carried the entire market. Valuations made no sense, narratives did the work that fundamentals couldn't. Then one company missed earnings, then another, then the S&P lost 50% and the Nasdaq lost 78%. The current setup is more concentrated, the valuations are more extreme. And one cut in AI spending is all it takes to start the unwind. I called the $16K Bitcoin bottom. I called the $126K top. Every major turn for 15 years public, before the move. The next call is already forming. Follow now and turn on notifications, you'll understand why that matters sooner than you think.
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🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING VERY WIERD IS HAPPENING. The S&P 500 keeps printing new highs. Everyone is celebrating. Nobody is looking at what's actually holding it up. Semiconductor stocks are now worth $13.4 trillion. 19.7% of the entire index. Five years ago that number was closer to 5%. It quadrupled in a single cycle on a single bet. AI. And here's the number that should concern everyone. AI chips generate 50% of all semiconductor revenue. They represent less than 0.2% of total chip shipments. Half the revenue, a fraction of the volume, trillions in market cap sitting on top of a sliver of actual production. Three companies are carrying all of it. Nvidia. Broadcom. TSMC. The same names in every major institutional portfolio simultaneously. Everyone owns them, nobody can afford to be the first one out. And the way the money moves inside this system should sound familiar. Big players fund AI startups. AI startups spend that money on Big Tech infrastructure. Big Tech reports record AI revenue. Valuations justify the next round, the same dollar completes the loop and gets counted as growth every time. We watched this exact dynamic play out once before. 2000. A handful of tech companies carried the entire market. Valuations made no sense, narratives did the work that fundamentals couldn't. Then one company missed earnings, then another, then the S&P lost 50% and the Nasdaq lost 78%. The current setup is more concentrated, the valuations are more extreme. And one cut in AI spending is all it takes to start the unwind. I called the $16K Bitcoin bottom. I called the $126K top. Every major turn for 15 years public, before the move. The next call is already forming. Follow now and turn on notifications, you'll understand why that matters sooner than you think.

Hanzo ㊗️

18,356 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten