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This year's climatological peak in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity has been characterized by unusually quiet conditions. Check out how ACE starts well above average in August, but ends up flatlining & falling below average as numerous waves fail to develop:

Tomer Burg

55,514 subscribers

205,893 次观看 • 1 年前 •via X (Twitter)

教育新闻政治科学技术

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

10 条评论

Tomer Burg 的头像

Tomer Burg1 年前

The ACE inset in the upper left was my own addition. The background summary plot can be reproduced with tropycal:

Brad L 的头像

Brad L1 年前

It's quite impressive what a bust this hurricane season has turned out to be, not that it's a bad thing.

Michael Fischer 的头像

Michael Fischer1 年前

Tomer’s visualizations remain undefeated. Awesome stuff!

The American Storm 的头像

The American Storm1 年前

Here is your reason. Put this on 4 weeks ago. Reversing now.

Lata. M e/acc 的头像

Lata. M e/acc1 年前

This is so cool!!! Can you do another when the season ends in Nov?

Todd Sondles 的头像

Todd Sondles1 年前

As a resident of Puerto Rico, this makes me very happy.

MNWeatherGeek 的头像

MNWeatherGeek1 年前

That saharan dust is working like magic!

Jordan Danzansky 的头像

Jordan Danzansky1 年前

Your graphics are so incredible. Great work. Feels like everything is lagging a month. Peak might be middle of October. #wilma

Crimmi 的头像

Crimmi1 年前

Ngl this video looks really cool, how did you get it?

Erhard🌈⚡🌞🦉♉ 的头像

Erhard🌈⚡🌞🦉♉1 年前

The consequence of a wet sahara???

相关视频

September 10 is the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. It's been relatively quiet in the tropics lately, but in this video, Senior Hurricane Specialist Brad Reinhart and Hurricane Specialist Andrew Hagen explain how 60% of activity typically occurs after September 10, and that our attention starts to turn toward the western part of the basin as we head into late September and October.

September 10 is the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. It's been relatively quiet in the tropics lately, but in this video, Senior Hurricane Specialist Brad Reinhart and Hurricane Specialist Andrew Hagen explain how 60% of activity typically occurs after September 10, and that our attention starts to turn toward the western part of the basin as we head into late September and October.

National Hurricane Center

128,744 次观看 • 11 个月前

NOAA’s National Weather Service Winter Outlook has been released. This outlook shows the likely temperature and precipitation the U.S. could experience during meteorological winter (December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026) and drought conditions through January 31, 2026. Here are the highlights: 🌎La Niña conditions are expected to develop later this fall and will be a factor in the winter outlook. 🌡️A milder-than-average winter is favored across the southern tier of the country and along the Eastern Seaboard. 💧Wetter-than-average conditions for the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes region, along with most of Alaska, are also favored. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in the desert Southwest, along the Gulf Coast, and from Florida to the Carolinas. 🌤️Drought conditions are expected to persist and worsen from southern Texas to California. NOAA’s seasonal outlooks provide the likelihood that average temperature and total precipitation for the three-month period will be above-, near- or below-average and how drought conditions are anticipated to change in the months ahead. Keep In Mind: The outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations as snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance, and cold weather can still be experienced in areas that are warmer-than-normal over the course of the season.

NOAA’s National Weather Service Winter Outlook has been released. This outlook shows the likely temperature and precipitation the U.S. could experience during meteorological winter (December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026) and drought conditions through January 31, 2026. Here are the highlights: 🌎La Niña conditions are expected to develop later this fall and will be a factor in the winter outlook. 🌡️A milder-than-average winter is favored across the southern tier of the country and along the Eastern Seaboard. 💧Wetter-than-average conditions for the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes region, along with most of Alaska, are also favored. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in the desert Southwest, along the Gulf Coast, and from Florida to the Carolinas. 🌤️Drought conditions are expected to persist and worsen from southern Texas to California. NOAA’s seasonal outlooks provide the likelihood that average temperature and total precipitation for the three-month period will be above-, near- or below-average and how drought conditions are anticipated to change in the months ahead. Keep In Mind: The outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations as snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance, and cold weather can still be experienced in areas that are warmer-than-normal over the course of the season.

National Weather Service

72,740 次观看 • 10 个月前

I remember how fired up I was listening to Beamer talk before the 2024 season, and how excited I was finishing 9-4. I thought, “Finally!” But a 4–8 season isn’t just “average,” it’s far below the standard. And nobody in that building, or in this fanbase, is wired to accept average… let alone less than. We deserve better. We all want better. Now it’s time to hit the portal hard and bring in real difference-makers. Not filler, but greatness. The standard has been raised next season, period. LFG!!

I remember how fired up I was listening to Beamer talk before the 2024 season, and how excited I was finishing 9-4. I thought, “Finally!” But a 4–8 season isn’t just “average,” it’s far below the standard. And nobody in that building, or in this fanbase, is wired to accept average… let alone less than. We deserve better. We all want better. Now it’s time to hit the portal hard and bring in real difference-makers. Not filler, but greatness. The standard has been raised next season, period. LFG!!

𝐿𝒶𝓊𝓇𝑒𝓃 𝐵𝑒𝒶𝓈𝓁𝑒𝓎

31,425 次观看 • 7 个月前

REPORTER: "Gas prices, they've been going up over the last month $0.20/gallon...Is president considering any new actions?" KJP: "I don’t have any new actions to read out. I will note, gas prices remain well below their peak back in 2022...The average gas price is cheaper than this time last year." REPORTER: "It's only $0.03 lower than a year ago. It's up 52% from when President Biden came into office."

REPORTER: "Gas prices, they've been going up over the last month $0.20/gallon...Is president considering any new actions?" KJP: "I don’t have any new actions to read out. I will note, gas prices remain well below their peak back in 2022...The average gas price is cheaper than this time last year." REPORTER: "It's only $0.03 lower than a year ago. It's up 52% from when President Biden came into office."

Townhall.com

2,576,345 次观看 • 2 年前

🇷🇺 Russia is facing a massive bottleneck in its oil sector as loaded crude effectively piles up at sea because the country cannot find buyers for a surging surplus of unprocessed oil. According to a Bloomberg report citing EA Analytics data, this crisis is directly linked to Ukraine's intensified drone campaign, which has successfully struck at least 24 of Russia's 34 major oil refineries over the past 100 days. Consequently, domestic oil refining output has plummeted to an average of 3.91 million barrels per day this July, marking its lowest level in over 21 years since March 2005 and falling more than 1.4 million barrels below last year's average. Because Russia lacks large-scale storage facilities and cannot process the crude domestically, it has been forced to aggressively divert the raw oil into seaborne exports simply to keep its oil fields from shutting down. However, this sudden surge in raw exports has not been matched by global demand, causing nearly 135 million barrels of Russian crude to become stranded on tankers idling off the coasts of Egypt, Singapore, and Russia's Far East ports. This massive maritime gridlock and drop in sales has hit the Kremlin's bottom line, cutting weekly seaborne export revenues by approximately $200 million in a single week.

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NSTRIKE

70,554 次观看 • 1 个月前

Chamboi being cute as a button! Rescued as a days old orphan, he will grow into one of Africa’s most formidable creatures. Prehistoric in appearance, adult male black rhinos average 1.5 tons by weight, 1.6 metres in height, and 3.5 metres in length. They are territorial by nature and not to be trifled with. They are also recovering as a species, having been almost wiped out by poachers - targeted for their horns. As well as rescuing and raising orphans like Chamboi, we operate extensive conservation programs for their protection in the wild. But at this exact moment, let’s just enjoy sweet Chamboi, who you can adopt at:

Chamboi being cute as a button! Rescued as a days old orphan, he will grow into one of Africa’s most formidable creatures. Prehistoric in appearance, adult male black rhinos average 1.5 tons by weight, 1.6 metres in height, and 3.5 metres in length. They are territorial by nature and not to be trifled with. They are also recovering as a species, having been almost wiped out by poachers - targeted for their horns. As well as rescuing and raising orphans like Chamboi, we operate extensive conservation programs for their protection in the wild. But at this exact moment, let’s just enjoy sweet Chamboi, who you can adopt at:

Sheldrick Wildlife Trust

22,120 次观看 • 1 年前

Tyler Rogers is the only MLB pitcher with an average release height under two feet. The focus of my off-season training has been lowering my own release point from roughly three feet to Rogers-range, but twelve years using the same slot has grooved an extremely deep attractor well. Early in the off-season, @Crider_HP programmed variable slot and implement work to destabilize my old angle and open up different solutions within my movement landscape. More recently, I’ve built familiarity with my desired slot by constraining start positions at/below the goal, adding rhythm to access the new angle dynamically, and then using variability/representative context to stabilize the pattern. My recent bullpen average? 1.8 feet. Good training, as they say.

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437,291 次观看 • 7 个月前

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jj smith

177,071 次观看 • 1 年前

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🚨#BREAKING MAJOR HURRICANE expected to FORM in the ATLANTIC over the next week or so! 🤯 Its been a semi SLOW start to the season but IF these models stay true we WILL be seeing Hurricanes in NO TIME! Anything after 5 days is a coin flip but THIS is significant! We have not had a SINGLE Hurricane yet this year and again IF these models stay as is we may see our first Hurricane this year as a "MAJOR Hurricane!" This particular model has PLENTY of time to change. The point here is to show how the ocean temps and conditions that are now changing and supporting the formation to tropical cyclones! HAVE A PLAN BEFORE ITS TO LATE!

In2ThinAir

187,180 次观看 • 1 年前

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newZWire

30,548 次观看 • 1 年前

#WATCH | Ghaziabad, UP: During the launch of his book 'Decoding Success', Author and founder of the PrashantAdvait Foundation, Acharya Prashant, says "We have to start with the ground reality...In 2015, we had already realised that the climate crisis is the gravest danger mankind has ever faced. In 2015, we set a target for ourselves. We said we have to reduce our carbon emissions by 43% before 2030, and we have to come to a net-zero state by 2050. If we do this successfully, only then will we be able to limit the global average temperature rise to below 1.5 degrees. The objective was to limit the temperature rise to 1.5 degrees C above the normal, and the means was the reduction of emissions compared to the 2019 levels... The 1.5 degrees temperature rise that we wanted to desperately avoid, is already upon us. In 2025, we are already seeing global average temperatures above normal by not only 1.5 degrees C, but by 1.75 degrees C also...We stand exactly where we stood in 2019..."

#WATCH | Ghaziabad, UP: During the launch of his book 'Decoding Success', Author and founder of the PrashantAdvait Foundation, Acharya Prashant, says "We have to start with the ground reality...In 2015, we had already realised that the climate crisis is the gravest danger mankind has ever faced. In 2015, we set a target for ourselves. We said we have to reduce our carbon emissions by 43% before 2030, and we have to come to a net-zero state by 2050. If we do this successfully, only then will we be able to limit the global average temperature rise to below 1.5 degrees. The objective was to limit the temperature rise to 1.5 degrees C above the normal, and the means was the reduction of emissions compared to the 2019 levels... The 1.5 degrees temperature rise that we wanted to desperately avoid, is already upon us. In 2025, we are already seeing global average temperatures above normal by not only 1.5 degrees C, but by 1.75 degrees C also...We stand exactly where we stood in 2019..."

ANI

26,271 次观看 • 1 年前

Tropical Storm Bavi has been named to the west of the Marshall Islands, and the early model runs for her potential future intensity are some of the most extreme you will ever see. The ECMWF, which is historically one of the less aggressive models, showed Bavi hitting ~871 mbar earlier today. Now, the latest run is barely budging from this ultraviolent estimate, still dropping Bavi down to ~882 mbar between the Philippines, Taiwan, and Japan. This in no way means we’re super likely to actually see that happen, as it would take an absolutely perfect sequence of meteorological events to occur, but it at least shows how explosive the conditions in the Philippine Sea are. For context, the most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded on Earth peaked at 870 mbar.

Tropical Storm Bavi has been named to the west of the Marshall Islands, and the early model runs for her potential future intensity are some of the most extreme you will ever see. The ECMWF, which is historically one of the less aggressive models, showed Bavi hitting ~871 mbar earlier today. Now, the latest run is barely budging from this ultraviolent estimate, still dropping Bavi down to ~882 mbar between the Philippines, Taiwan, and Japan. This in no way means we’re super likely to actually see that happen, as it would take an absolutely perfect sequence of meteorological events to occur, but it at least shows how explosive the conditions in the Philippine Sea are. For context, the most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded on Earth peaked at 870 mbar.

Backpirch Weather

39,612 次观看 • 2 个月前

There's a lot of talk surrounding Dodgers prospects, their valuation, and how they turn out. The reality is: They do just make players better. Ching-Hsien Ko is the perfect example. Physical specimen at 6'3", 215 pounds. Lefty, above average raw power, walks a ton, but never got to much in-game power with a GB% near 50%. He never hit more than 4 HR up until 2026. He's 19 now, and in his second Single-A stint, he has 16 HR. His GB% is down by nearly 10% Swing is tweaked. Results follow. Value goes up. Maybe the GB-issue is fixed forever, maybe not. Either way, his value it's ever been, and they did it by just doing what organizations should do: Develop their weaknesses to let the strengths play. It might not translate levels. It could. But if he puts up these numbers at a higher level, his value for the next trade deadline will only rise. All by literal player development.

There's a lot of talk surrounding Dodgers prospects, their valuation, and how they turn out. The reality is: They do just make players better. Ching-Hsien Ko is the perfect example. Physical specimen at 6'3", 215 pounds. Lefty, above average raw power, walks a ton, but never got to much in-game power with a GB% near 50%. He never hit more than 4 HR up until 2026. He's 19 now, and in his second Single-A stint, he has 16 HR. His GB% is down by nearly 10% Swing is tweaked. Results follow. Value goes up. Maybe the GB-issue is fixed forever, maybe not. Either way, his value it's ever been, and they did it by just doing what organizations should do: Develop their weaknesses to let the strengths play. It might not translate levels. It could. But if he puts up these numbers at a higher level, his value for the next trade deadline will only rise. All by literal player development.

LouisAnalysis

26,702 次观看 • 29 天前

NEW: FBI says they have "strong evidence" that the email shared on Shawn Ryan's show *was* sent by Livelsberger before the explosion. The statement was made just 1 hour after Ryan released the episode. In the email, the individual believed to be Livelsberger said the NJ drones were operated by a "gravitic propulsion system." The email suggested that the drones could have been operated by China. "What we have been seeing with "drones" is the operational use of gravitic propulsion systems powered aircraft by most recently China in the east coast, but throughout history, the US," the email claims. "Only we and China have this capability. Our OPEN location for this activity in the box is below. China has been launching them from the Atlantic from submarines for years, but this activity recently has picked up." "As of now, it is just a show of force and they are using it similar to how they used the balloon for sigint and isr, which are also part of the integrated coms system. There are dozens of those balloons in the air at any given time." Investigators have not yet said what Livelsberger's state of mind was at the time of the incident.

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Collin Rugg

9,250,520 次观看 • 1 年前

Keir Starmer has caused photographic hilarity at home and abroad with his upshooting and photoshopping all in the name of vanity. The man has a Napoleon Complex, or Small Man Syndrome, unhappy with his decidedly average as it happens apparent height of 5' 8" he has photographers on the floor as he tours Estonia, dressed in fatigues and posing like a knock off Mitchell brother, with shadow Defence Secretary John Healey joining in as the bald one, whilst at home he sent out his Xmas card, photoshopped to make him look taller than his wife! How sad can you get, but we've become accustomed to how petty and pathetic this small minded, 'small' man can be, this time he's just been more obvious than usual! #DamoRants #StarmerOutNow

Keir Starmer has caused photographic hilarity at home and abroad with his upshooting and photoshopping all in the name of vanity. The man has a Napoleon Complex, or Small Man Syndrome, unhappy with his decidedly average as it happens apparent height of 5' 8" he has photographers on the floor as he tours Estonia, dressed in fatigues and posing like a knock off Mitchell brother, with shadow Defence Secretary John Healey joining in as the bald one, whilst at home he sent out his Xmas card, photoshopped to make him look taller than his wife! How sad can you get, but we've become accustomed to how petty and pathetic this small minded, 'small' man can be, this time he's just been more obvious than usual! #DamoRants #StarmerOutNow

Damien Willey (Kernow Damo) 🟢 🔴

31,715 次观看 • 2 年前

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bee🐝

26,332 次观看 • 1 个月前

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🚨 ETH REPEATING THIS STRUCTURE FOR 10 YEARS And most people have no idea which phase we're in right now Let me break it down simply Phase 1 was 2013–2021 - Five waves up. Macro wave 1 ending at $4,500 Phase 2 started in 2022 - An ABC correction that's been grinding everyone down ever since We're in the final leg of that correction right now - the C wave And C waves end near $900-$1,000 That's the bottom I've been waiting for. That's where Phase 2 ends Phase 3 starts in 2026–2027. Base formation first. Then the real expansion Macro wave 3 target: $13,000-$15,000 I know that sounds insane right now. It always does at the bottom But the structure has been playing out exactly as it should for 10 years I'm not fighting it. I'm following it And you??

NoName

60,434 次观看 • 29 天前

🔥🚨DEVELOPING: Dubai underwater, Influencers are stranded in their Rolls Royces in flooded roads as skies turn black in apocalyptic scenes as storm hits region. More than 4.7ins (120mm) of rain has already fallen today - the typical yearly average in the city - with more expected in the coming hours. Nearly 50 flights in and out of Dubai have been cancelled since this morning, with shocking video showing several jets cutting through murky water at Dubai International Airport, the busiest for international travel. Flood water cascaded through luxury underground malls while shoppers in designer clothes waded through water. Above ground, howling winds blew furniture off tower-block balconies while the skies turned black with apocalyptic videos showing lightning strikes every few seconds. Unstable weather conditions are expected to continue in the region through to Wednesday, UAE's National Center of Meteorology said.

🔥🚨DEVELOPING: Dubai underwater, Influencers are stranded in their Rolls Royces in flooded roads as skies turn black in apocalyptic scenes as storm hits region. More than 4.7ins (120mm) of rain has already fallen today - the typical yearly average in the city - with more expected in the coming hours. Nearly 50 flights in and out of Dubai have been cancelled since this morning, with shocking video showing several jets cutting through murky water at Dubai International Airport, the busiest for international travel. Flood water cascaded through luxury underground malls while shoppers in designer clothes waded through water. Above ground, howling winds blew furniture off tower-block balconies while the skies turned black with apocalyptic videos showing lightning strikes every few seconds. Unstable weather conditions are expected to continue in the region through to Wednesday, UAE's National Center of Meteorology said.

Dom Lucre | Breaker of Narratives

16,248,658 次观看 • 2 年前