正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

加载此视频时出现问题。这可能是由于临时网络问题，或视频可能不可用。

THREE BEAR SIGNALS. THREE DROPS. ZERO EXCEPTIONS. 2015: -48%. 2018: -42%. 2022: -55%. 2026: triggered. -0% so far. Reclaim $72K: bulls invalidate history. Stay below: the fourth drop begins. The signal doesn't care it's early.

Merlijn The Trader

429,963 subscribers

41,857 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

THE SIGNAL THAT PREDICTED EVERY MAJOR BITCOIN CRASH JUST TRIGGERED AGAIN. And the math is brutal. 2014: -51% from this level. 2018: -46% from this level. 2022: -55% from this level. 2026 fib level: $74K. 30% dump means $47K. $74K is the last line of defense. Lose it → three cycles say $45K is next. Hold it → this time is different. Three cycles say don't ignore this. Are you prepared for both outcomes?

THE SIGNAL THAT PREDICTED EVERY MAJOR BITCOIN CRASH JUST TRIGGERED AGAIN. And the math is brutal. 2014: -51% from this level. 2018: -46% from this level. 2022: -55% from this level. 2026 fib level: $74K. 30% dump means $47K. $74K is the last line of defense. Lose it → three cycles say $45K is next. Hold it → this time is different. Three cycles say don't ignore this. Are you prepared for both outcomes?

Crypto Tice

16,317 次观看 • 8 天前

🚨 BITCOIN WEEKLY RSI JUST HIT A HISTORICAL LEVEL The weekly RSI dropping below 30 has only happened four times in history. This means that Bitcoin is extremely oversold and is likely due for a move higher. 2015, 2018, 2022 → all three times led to Bitcoin bull runs. It just happened for the fourth time. This time likely won’t be any different. This is your sign.

🚨 BITCOIN WEEKLY RSI JUST HIT A HISTORICAL LEVEL The weekly RSI dropping below 30 has only happened four times in history. This means that Bitcoin is extremely oversold and is likely due for a move higher. 2015, 2018, 2022 → all three times led to Bitcoin bull runs. It just happened for the fourth time. This time likely won’t be any different. This is your sign.

Coinvo Trading

14,804 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!

🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!

Pepesso

53,195 次观看 • 1 个月前

Q1 is officially over, and it was the worst quarter for the stock market since 2022 and for Bitcoin since 2018. Oil surged 80%, driving the entire drawdown in just 32 trading days. Tonight Trump addresses the nation on Iran at 9 PM Eastern, and this is decision week: if the S&P doesn't recover above the 200-day SMA within the next few days, history points to another 13-15% drawdown, which maps to a Bitcoin target in the low 50Ks. The core PCE delay means the next three inflation prints will all be bad regardless of what happens with the war. Here's my full Q2 game plan. 0:00 Q1 Recap: Worst Quarter Since 2022 4:17 The Iran Situation: Trump's Speech Tonight 8:45 Oil Price Is the Only Chart That Matters 14:22 Gold: the Best Macro Play Right Now 17:00 Inflation, Core PCE, and the Fed's Delay Problem 22:00 Short-Term News vs Long-Term Data 25:15 Why the Next Three Inflation Prints Will Be Bad 30:05 Unemployment: When Bad News Is Good News 33:40 S&P 200-Day SMA: Decision Week 40:15 Two Standard Deviations: the Crash Signal 42:47 Bitcoin Scenarios: 63K to Low 50Ks 48:50 Full Catalyst Calendar for Q2

Q1 is officially over, and it was the worst quarter for the stock market since 2022 and for Bitcoin since 2018. Oil surged 80%, driving the entire drawdown in just 32 trading days. Tonight Trump addresses the nation on Iran at 9 PM Eastern, and this is decision week: if the S&P doesn't recover above the 200-day SMA within the next few days, history points to another 13-15% drawdown, which maps to a Bitcoin target in the low 50Ks. The core PCE delay means the next three inflation prints will all be bad regardless of what happens with the war. Here's my full Q2 game plan. 0:00 Q1 Recap: Worst Quarter Since 2022 4:17 The Iran Situation: Trump's Speech Tonight 8:45 Oil Price Is the Only Chart That Matters 14:22 Gold: the Best Macro Play Right Now 17:00 Inflation, Core PCE, and the Fed's Delay Problem 22:00 Short-Term News vs Long-Term Data 25:15 Why the Next Three Inflation Prints Will Be Bad 30:05 Unemployment: When Bad News Is Good News 33:40 S&P 200-Day SMA: Decision Week 40:15 Two Standard Deviations: the Crash Signal 42:47 Bitcoin Scenarios: 63K to Low 50Ks 48:50 Full Catalyst Calendar for Q2

VirtualBacon

17,840 次观看 • 4 个月前

$BTC BOTTOMS ONE YEAR AFTER EVERY CYCLE PEAK Look at this chart 2018 peak -> 12 bars -> 2019 bottom = Exactly one year 2022 peak -> 12 bars -> 2023 bottom = Exactly one year The 2025 cycle peak was October 2025 Which means the bottom lands in October 2026 Three signals confirm this: And the math backs this up Average drawdown across three cycles is -83% - we're at -54% right now with months left That gap doesn't close itself GET READY! I predicted the BTC 2025 ATH (check the pinned thread) All the local moves and bear market patterns you could have known too if you'd been following me The next updates will be the most important ones as we're standing on the verge of a structure change I'll let you know as soon as I start actively loading spot Turn on notifications and you'll realize how much valuable info you've been missing by not doing it sooner

$BTC BOTTOMS ONE YEAR AFTER EVERY CYCLE PEAK Look at this chart 2018 peak -> 12 bars -> 2019 bottom = Exactly one year 2022 peak -> 12 bars -> 2023 bottom = Exactly one year The 2025 cycle peak was October 2025 Which means the bottom lands in October 2026 Three signals confirm this: And the math backs this up Average drawdown across three cycles is -83% - we're at -54% right now with months left That gap doesn't close itself GET READY! I predicted the BTC 2025 ATH (check the pinned thread) All the local moves and bear market patterns you could have known too if you'd been following me The next updates will be the most important ones as we're standing on the verge of a structure change I'll let you know as soon as I start actively loading spot Turn on notifications and you'll realize how much valuable info you've been missing by not doing it sooner

bee🐝

26,160 次观看 • 28 天前

Ethereum is quietly setting up a possible move to $3,700–$4,200. This is the same post-QT pattern that played out last cycle. Meanwhile, so many are calling the Bitcoin 200-day rejection a bear market signal. Last time it happened in 2022, QT was just getting announced. 200 day resistance in 2018 we were in the middle of first ever QT. This time, QT just ENDED in December. It's an opposite macro environment, so we should consider other explanations at the very least. It's unpopular to consider that crypto doesn't look as bad as it seems, but here you go anyway! Upside and downside discussed here. Intro 00:00 BTC 200 day resistance 1:10 This is not 2022 2:00 4 year cycles 3:55 What's going on with altcoins? 5:00 Eth altcoin analysis 6:30 Ethereum price target 10:00

Ethereum is quietly setting up a possible move to $3,700–$4,200. This is the same post-QT pattern that played out last cycle. Meanwhile, so many are calling the Bitcoin 200-day rejection a bear market signal. Last time it happened in 2022, QT was just getting announced. 200 day resistance in 2018 we were in the middle of first ever QT. This time, QT just ENDED in December. It's an opposite macro environment, so we should consider other explanations at the very least. It's unpopular to consider that crypto doesn't look as bad as it seems, but here you go anyway! Upside and downside discussed here. Intro 00:00 BTC 200 day resistance 1:10 This is not 2022 2:00 4 year cycles 3:55 What's going on with altcoins? 5:00 Eth altcoin analysis 6:30 Ethereum price target 10:00

Dan Gambardello

19,567 次观看 • 2 个月前

Fertility is collapsing all around the world, not just in the developed West: - Mexico now has lower fertility than the US (even non-Hispanic whites!). - Arab-Israeli fertility is now lower than that of Jewish Israelis. - For first time in 200 years, rich people are having MORE kids than poor. Economist Jesús Fernández-Villaverde (Jesús Fernández-Villaverde) sat down with me and Pieter Garicano to talk about the economics of the fertility collapse, why education can be such a curse for birth rates, why the collapse is happening almost as much in the Muslim and developing worlds as in the rich world, and why so many attempts to address it fail. We also discuss 'no regrets' policies that could help: clearer data for students about the value (or not) of college degrees; lotteries for admissions to the top universities; subsidies for third or fourth children; and, of course, bigger, nicer and more plentiful housing. Listen now. Links below. 0:07:48 Japan’s GDP output per worker vs. per capita 0:16:21 The debt paradox: Why are East Asian bonds still cheap despite demographic decline? 0:24:37 Fertility is falling faster in Mexico than the US 0:34:00 The rapid fall of TFRs across the Muslim world 0:42:11 Zero-to-one versus two-to-three children 0:51:00 A ‘no-regrets’ policy for fertility and welfare 0:55:48 The education trap 1:07:31 The grim returns on certain college degrees 1:11:46 Why policies must incentivize the third child, not the first.

Fertility is collapsing all around the world, not just in the developed West: - Mexico now has lower fertility than the US (even non-Hispanic whites!). - Arab-Israeli fertility is now lower than that of Jewish Israelis. - For first time in 200 years, rich people are having MORE kids than poor. Economist Jesús Fernández-Villaverde (Jesús Fernández-Villaverde) sat down with me and Pieter Garicano to talk about the economics of the fertility collapse, why education can be such a curse for birth rates, why the collapse is happening almost as much in the Muslim and developing worlds as in the rich world, and why so many attempts to address it fail. We also discuss 'no regrets' policies that could help: clearer data for students about the value (or not) of college degrees; lotteries for admissions to the top universities; subsidies for third or fourth children; and, of course, bigger, nicer and more plentiful housing. Listen now. Links below. 0:07:48 Japan’s GDP output per worker vs. per capita 0:16:21 The debt paradox: Why are East Asian bonds still cheap despite demographic decline? 0:24:37 Fertility is falling faster in Mexico than the US 0:34:00 The rapid fall of TFRs across the Muslim world 0:42:11 Zero-to-one versus two-to-three children 0:51:00 A ‘no-regrets’ policy for fertility and welfare 0:55:48 The education trap 1:07:31 The grim returns on certain college degrees 1:11:46 Why policies must incentivize the third child, not the first.

Sam Bowman

5,644,403 次观看 • 9 个月前

🚨 ETH JUST REJECTED FROM MAJOR RESISTANCE Since the $4,950 top in October, every single bounce has died on one descending trendline October, January, May - and now July at $1,860. Fourth tag, fourth rejection That line is the bear market. As long as price lives below it, rallies are exits, not entries The EMA100 is curling down right above it, so sellers get two layers of confuence at the same spot All the fundamentals agree with the chart: > ETH is down 45% since January > First THREE consecutive red quarterly candles in Ethereum's history > US spot ETFs bled over $10B in 2026, holdings down from 6.14M to 5.19M ETH > Network fees so low that supply is turning inflationary again Institutions aren't buying this dip. They've been handing it to retail for months Target: $1,343 Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

🚨 ETH JUST REJECTED FROM MAJOR RESISTANCE Since the $4,950 top in October, every single bounce has died on one descending trendline October, January, May - and now July at $1,860. Fourth tag, fourth rejection That line is the bear market. As long as price lives below it, rallies are exits, not entries The EMA100 is curling down right above it, so sellers get two layers of confuence at the same spot All the fundamentals agree with the chart: > ETH is down 45% since January > First THREE consecutive red quarterly candles in Ethereum's history > US spot ETFs bled over $10B in 2026, holdings down from 6.14M to 5.19M ETH > Network fees so low that supply is turning inflationary again Institutions aren't buying this dip. They've been handing it to retail for months Target: $1,343 Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

Pepesso

25,478 次观看 • 16 天前

Discrete Fourier Transform by hand ✍️ ~ 12 steps walkthrough below Here is a little-known secret about the DFT and the inverse DFT: it is just matrix multiplication in both directions, one the transpose of the other, exactly like the forward pass and backpropagation I drew in other examples. Goal: recover which cosine waves a signal is made of, using nothing but multiplication and addition. = 1. Given = Three signals written as sums of cosines, and a fourth, X, that we do not know yet. = 2. Frequency matrix F = Let us write the coefficients as a matrix. Each signal is a row, each frequency a column, so A = cos(w) + 2cos(2w) becomes [1, 2, 0, 0]. = 3. Sample the waves = We read the four cosine waves at ten discrete time points. That word "discrete" is the whole difference between this and the continuous transform. = 4. Cosine matrix W = Let us write those samples as a matrix: each frequency a row, each time point a column. = 5. Frequency to time = We multiply F by W. That combines the four cosine waves in the proportions F specifies, and the result T is the three signals as they would look in time. = 6. Transpose = Let us stand each signal up as a column. = 7. Time to frequency = We multiply W by that transpose. Every cell is the dot product of one signal with one cosine wave, which measures how much of that wave the signal contains. Zero means none of it. = 8. Scale = Let us multiply by 2/n, with n = 10. The projections come out five times too large, and this is the correction. = 9. Transpose back = We turn it back around, and it is F again, exactly. That is the check: the transform recovered the coefficients we started from. = 10. Now solve for X = Let us run the same multiplication on the one signal whose recipe we never knew. = 11. Scale = We divide by 5 again. = 12. Transpose back = And X reads [0, 0, 3, 2], which says X = 3cos(3w) + 2cos(4w). Note: I originally drew this to show that the DFT is a special case of a convolution layer, its filters fixed to sine and cosine waves rather than learned. No wonder, then, that a convolution layer free to learn its own filters can be trained to process signals. 💾 Save this post!

Discrete Fourier Transform by hand ✍️ ~ 12 steps walkthrough below Here is a little-known secret about the DFT and the inverse DFT: it is just matrix multiplication in both directions, one the transpose of the other, exactly like the forward pass and backpropagation I drew in other examples. Goal: recover which cosine waves a signal is made of, using nothing but multiplication and addition. = 1. Given = Three signals written as sums of cosines, and a fourth, X, that we do not know yet. = 2. Frequency matrix F = Let us write the coefficients as a matrix. Each signal is a row, each frequency a column, so A = cos(w) + 2cos(2w) becomes [1, 2, 0, 0]. = 3. Sample the waves = We read the four cosine waves at ten discrete time points. That word "discrete" is the whole difference between this and the continuous transform. = 4. Cosine matrix W = Let us write those samples as a matrix: each frequency a row, each time point a column. = 5. Frequency to time = We multiply F by W. That combines the four cosine waves in the proportions F specifies, and the result T is the three signals as they would look in time. = 6. Transpose = Let us stand each signal up as a column. = 7. Time to frequency = We multiply W by that transpose. Every cell is the dot product of one signal with one cosine wave, which measures how much of that wave the signal contains. Zero means none of it. = 8. Scale = Let us multiply by 2/n, with n = 10. The projections come out five times too large, and this is the correction. = 9. Transpose back = We turn it back around, and it is F again, exactly. That is the check: the transform recovered the coefficients we started from. = 10. Now solve for X = Let us run the same multiplication on the one signal whose recipe we never knew. = 11. Scale = We divide by 5 again. = 12. Transpose back = And X reads [0, 0, 3, 2], which says X = 3cos(3w) + 2cos(4w). Note: I originally drew this to show that the DFT is a special case of a convolution layer, its filters fixed to sine and cosine waves rather than learned. No wonder, then, that a convolution layer free to learn its own filters can be trained to process signals. 💾 Save this post!

Tom Yeh

24,442 次观看 • 5 天前

🚨 This is what straight talk sounds like — two guys (Stephen LeDrew & Dan McTeague Dan McTeague ) who actually get it dropping truth bombs on Canada’s death spiral. ⛔️ Net zero? Carbon taxes on every single industry, jacked up again and again. Construction? Trades? Dead unless you’ve got a government sinecure. Young Canadians are packing up and heading to the USA because they can’t afford to stay here. One of them nails it: “We pushed net zero so hard… demonized a life-saving molecule called CO₂… all to virtue-signal we can change the weather. It’s false science and terrible politics.” And Carney? The “smart banker” who screwed up Britain is just the next chapter of the same Liberal disaster. Media’s already running cover, but the tent cities and food banks don’t lie. Canadians voted for this three times. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Now they’re hoping the fourth time is different? Wake the hell up. This economy isn’t “transitioning” — it’s collapsing. And Carney’s net-zero religion is the wrecking ball. Drop a 🔥 if you’re done watching Canada get destroyed by ideology. #cdnpoli #NetZeroScam #CarneyGrift #LiberalFailure #CanadaFirst #CarbonTaxLie

🚨 This is what straight talk sounds like — two guys (Stephen LeDrew & Dan McTeague Dan McTeague ) who actually get it dropping truth bombs on Canada’s death spiral. ⛔️ Net zero? Carbon taxes on every single industry, jacked up again and again. Construction? Trades? Dead unless you’ve got a government sinecure. Young Canadians are packing up and heading to the USA because they can’t afford to stay here. One of them nails it: “We pushed net zero so hard… demonized a life-saving molecule called CO₂… all to virtue-signal we can change the weather. It’s false science and terrible politics.” And Carney? The “smart banker” who screwed up Britain is just the next chapter of the same Liberal disaster. Media’s already running cover, but the tent cities and food banks don’t lie. Canadians voted for this three times. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Now they’re hoping the fourth time is different? Wake the hell up. This economy isn’t “transitioning” — it’s collapsing. And Carney’s net-zero religion is the wrecking ball. Drop a 🔥 if you’re done watching Canada get destroyed by ideology. #cdnpoli #NetZeroScam #CarneyGrift #LiberalFailure #CanadaFirst #CarbonTaxLie

JayGen 𝕏 er🇨🇦

62,247 次观看 • 2 个月前

Only someone who wrote speeches for Donald Trump in 2015, voted for him three times and lost friends defending him can fully understand how painful the current betrayal is. Uncle Buck explains. 0:00 Monologue 2:20 Why Did Buckley Support Trump So Early On? 13:14 John McCain Leading the Charge Against Big Tobacco 23:55 Obama’s Presidency and Buckley’s Speeches for Trump 41:17 Reminiscing About the Trump We Had in 2020 48:16 Trump's Hatred of WASPs and His 2016 Victory Party 1:02:44 Homosexuality in Politics, Caretaking, and Ben Shapiro 1:10:20 The Failures of Trump 1:26:01 When Support for Trump Became Dissent 1:32:37 Trump’s Failure to Stand Up for Americans 1:41:22 Trump’s Failure to Investigate Charlie Kirk’s Assassination 1:48:13 The Epstein Files, 9/11 Files, and JFK Files 1:50:52 Trump’s Betrayal of Marjorie Taylor Greene 2:00:09 Has This Been the Plan? Where Does This Go? 2:13:24 Does Buckley Feel Personally Threatened?

Only someone who wrote speeches for Donald Trump in 2015, voted for him three times and lost friends defending him can fully understand how painful the current betrayal is. Uncle Buck explains. 0:00 Monologue 2:20 Why Did Buckley Support Trump So Early On? 13:14 John McCain Leading the Charge Against Big Tobacco 23:55 Obama’s Presidency and Buckley’s Speeches for Trump 41:17 Reminiscing About the Trump We Had in 2020 48:16 Trump's Hatred of WASPs and His 2016 Victory Party 1:02:44 Homosexuality in Politics, Caretaking, and Ben Shapiro 1:10:20 The Failures of Trump 1:26:01 When Support for Trump Became Dissent 1:32:37 Trump’s Failure to Stand Up for Americans 1:41:22 Trump’s Failure to Investigate Charlie Kirk’s Assassination 1:48:13 The Epstein Files, 9/11 Files, and JFK Files 1:50:52 Trump’s Betrayal of Marjorie Taylor Greene 2:00:09 Has This Been the Plan? Where Does This Go? 2:13:24 Does Buckley Feel Personally Threatened?

Tucker Carlson

2,033,497 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨 PAY ATTENTION Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price. The only thing that matters now: Time. Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure: 35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction. 2015–2017: expansion 2018: contraction 2018–2021: expansion 2022: contraction Now look at where we are. The expansion phase is complete. The contraction has just begun. And this phase always takes time. Days from cycle top → final low: 2012: ~400 days 2016: ~360 days 2020: ~370 days We are not there yet. Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy when it hits X.” But real bottoms don’t form at obvious levels. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If one of those conditions is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People ignored it. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. And there’s still one signal missing: NUPL. Every major bottom: - 2018 - COVID - 2022 Formed when NUPL entered the blue zone. We haven’t seen that yet. Remember: For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 PAY ATTENTION Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price. The only thing that matters now: Time. Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure: 35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction. 2015–2017: expansion 2018: contraction 2018–2021: expansion 2022: contraction Now look at where we are. The expansion phase is complete. The contraction has just begun. And this phase always takes time. Days from cycle top → final low: 2012: ~400 days 2016: ~360 days 2020: ~370 days We are not there yet. Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy when it hits X.” But real bottoms don’t form at obvious levels. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If one of those conditions is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People ignored it. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. And there’s still one signal missing: NUPL. Every major bottom: - 2018 - COVID - 2022 Formed when NUPL entered the blue zone. We haven’t seen that yet. Remember: For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,145,142 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 What's happening right now already happened in 2022 The same MANIPULATION is forming again for Bitcoin History suggests a much bigger move is coming 2022: Top 1 → Сorrection → Top 2 → 120-day range with a bull trap → dump → Manipulation → Accumulation 2026: Top 1 → Сorrection → Top 2 → 120-day range with a bull trap → dump → Manipulation → Accumulation Most people think the worst is already behind us, but if you compare it to 2022, this is exactly what the market looked like before the most painful part began Only after major manipulation did the market show real fear and most people capitulated I've told you this before, you need to remember that there are 3 phases: - Distribution - Manipulation - Accumulation Right now, the structure looks disturbingly familiar So far, all I see on the chart is manipulation aimed at taking liquidity from both longs and shorts Of course, the market doesn't have to repeat 2022, but the similarities are absolutely insane And if you hide the dates on both charts, the resemblance is way too strong to ignore I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan The problem is that most people will realize it too late because they're not following me Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

🚨 What's happening right now already happened in 2022 The same MANIPULATION is forming again for Bitcoin History suggests a much bigger move is coming 2022: Top 1 → Сorrection → Top 2 → 120-day range with a bull trap → dump → Manipulation → Accumulation 2026: Top 1 → Сorrection → Top 2 → 120-day range with a bull trap → dump → Manipulation → Accumulation Most people think the worst is already behind us, but if you compare it to 2022, this is exactly what the market looked like before the most painful part began Only after major manipulation did the market show real fear and most people capitulated I've told you this before, you need to remember that there are 3 phases: - Distribution - Manipulation - Accumulation Right now, the structure looks disturbingly familiar So far, all I see on the chart is manipulation aimed at taking liquidity from both longs and shorts Of course, the market doesn't have to repeat 2022, but the similarities are absolutely insane And if you hide the dates on both charts, the resemblance is way too strong to ignore I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan The problem is that most people will realize it too late because they're not following me Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

64,709 次观看 • 1 个月前

Freedomain Makeup Tutorial! Stefan Molyneux joins his daughter Izzy on Sunday Morning Live 22 February 2026 for a makeup session where she takes the lead on applying products, and they chat about how beauty standards have changed over time. They talk about how looks tie into confidence, trading jokes on makeup tricks and how society views beauty through the lens of gender. Makeup comes across as a way to express creativity and figure out who you are, beyond just looking good. Izzy weighs in on going light versus going all out, and Molyneux shares some personal anecdotes that influence their takes on self-care and identity. They touch on common beauty expectations, shifts in gender roles, and what traditional femininity brings to the table. With some laughs and stories from their time together, they get into how this kind of collaboration builds bonds, wrapping up with thoughts on self-image and fitting in today. Chapters: 0:00:00 The Transformation Begins 0:00:31 Educational Element of Makeup 0:01:23 The Purpose of This Makeup 0:02:42 David Bowie and Aesthetics 0:02:52 Suggestions from the Audience 0:03:25 Makeup Application Process 0:05:11 The Experience of Makeup 0:06:25 Squigglies and Artistic Expression 0:06:48 The Challenges of Makeup 0:07:02 Protective Measures in Makeup 0:09:00 Makeup and Gender Identity 0:14:38 Makeup for the Camera 0:19:12 Exploring the Makeup Process 0:25:39 The Transformation Journey 0:30:24 Makeup and Self-Perception 0:34:08 The Nature of Beauty 0:47:58 The Final Touches 0:57:36 The Lip Plumping Experience 1:01:54 Makeup and Social Dynamics 1:09:07 The Importance of Self-Care 1:13:25 Looks and Relationships 1:15:00 First Impressions Matter 1:16:25 The Importance of Skincare 1:19:10 Care vs. Obsession 1:21:43 Makeup and Gender Dynamics 1:26:29 Makeup as a Form of Expression 1:31:10 The Role of Appearance in Dating 1:34:35 Long Nails and Feminine Signals 1:40:32 Hair Color and Identity 1:45:31 Scarcity and Personal Growth 1:53:12 The Eye of Horus 2:07:57 Makeup Removal Strategies 2:14:46 The Eye of Horus and Rage Baiting 2:22:13 Reflections on the Experience GET FREEDOMAIN MERCH! SUBSCRIBE TO ME ON X! Follow me on Youtube! GET MY NEW BOOK 'PEACEFUL PARENTING', THE INTERACTIVE PEACEFUL PARENTING AI, AND THE FULL AUDIOBOOK! Join the PREMIUM philosophy community on the web for free! Subscribers get 12 HOURS on the "Truth About the French Revolution," multiple interactive multi-lingual philosophy AIs trained on thousands of hours of my material - as well as AIs for Real-Time Relationships, Bitcoin, Peaceful Parenting, and Call-In Shows! You also receive private livestreams, HUNDREDS of exclusive premium shows, early release podcasts, the 22 Part History of Philosophers series and much more! See you soon!

Freedomain Makeup Tutorial! Stefan Molyneux joins his daughter Izzy on Sunday Morning Live 22 February 2026 for a makeup session where she takes the lead on applying products, and they chat about how beauty standards have changed over time. They talk about how looks tie into confidence, trading jokes on makeup tricks and how society views beauty through the lens of gender. Makeup comes across as a way to express creativity and figure out who you are, beyond just looking good. Izzy weighs in on going light versus going all out, and Molyneux shares some personal anecdotes that influence their takes on self-care and identity. They touch on common beauty expectations, shifts in gender roles, and what traditional femininity brings to the table. With some laughs and stories from their time together, they get into how this kind of collaboration builds bonds, wrapping up with thoughts on self-image and fitting in today. Chapters: 0:00:00 The Transformation Begins 0:00:31 Educational Element of Makeup 0:01:23 The Purpose of This Makeup 0:02:42 David Bowie and Aesthetics 0:02:52 Suggestions from the Audience 0:03:25 Makeup Application Process 0:05:11 The Experience of Makeup 0:06:25 Squigglies and Artistic Expression 0:06:48 The Challenges of Makeup 0:07:02 Protective Measures in Makeup 0:09:00 Makeup and Gender Identity 0:14:38 Makeup for the Camera 0:19:12 Exploring the Makeup Process 0:25:39 The Transformation Journey 0:30:24 Makeup and Self-Perception 0:34:08 The Nature of Beauty 0:47:58 The Final Touches 0:57:36 The Lip Plumping Experience 1:01:54 Makeup and Social Dynamics 1:09:07 The Importance of Self-Care 1:13:25 Looks and Relationships 1:15:00 First Impressions Matter 1:16:25 The Importance of Skincare 1:19:10 Care vs. Obsession 1:21:43 Makeup and Gender Dynamics 1:26:29 Makeup as a Form of Expression 1:31:10 The Role of Appearance in Dating 1:34:35 Long Nails and Feminine Signals 1:40:32 Hair Color and Identity 1:45:31 Scarcity and Personal Growth 1:53:12 The Eye of Horus 2:07:57 Makeup Removal Strategies 2:14:46 The Eye of Horus and Rage Baiting 2:22:13 Reflections on the Experience GET FREEDOMAIN MERCH! SUBSCRIBE TO ME ON X! Follow me on Youtube! GET MY NEW BOOK 'PEACEFUL PARENTING', THE INTERACTIVE PEACEFUL PARENTING AI, AND THE FULL AUDIOBOOK! Join the PREMIUM philosophy community on the web for free! Subscribers get 12 HOURS on the "Truth About the French Revolution," multiple interactive multi-lingual philosophy AIs trained on thousands of hours of my material - as well as AIs for Real-Time Relationships, Bitcoin, Peaceful Parenting, and Call-In Shows! You also receive private livestreams, HUNDREDS of exclusive premium shows, early release podcasts, the 22 Part History of Philosophers series and much more! See you soon!

Freedomain - with Stefan Molyneux, MA

15,178 次观看 • 5 个月前

The feedback on the Jeffrey Gundlach episode has been incredible, so I'm posting the pod here on X too. 🙏 In his debut on The Julia La Roche Show, Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, breaks down why private credit is an unmitigated disaster, why the next recession will send rates up and the dollar down, and why most American investors are completely unprepared for what's coming. Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction & welcome Jeffrey Gundlach 1:33 Big picture macro: secular shift from falling to rising interest rates 16:00 The case for 100% non-US stocks 17:30 Gundlach's current asset allocation 22:00 Private credit and why it's a “total unmitigated disaster" 38:00 The Fed follows the 2-year Treasury - next move a rate hike? 42:30 Recession odds 47:00 Capital preservation mode: lowest risk positioning in DoubleLine's 17-year history 50:00 The gold call 53:00 The most dangerous force in investing 56:00 California headed for bankruptcy? 1:01:00 Non-consensus prediction: three parties on the ballot in the next presidential election 1:02:00 The Fourth Turning

The feedback on the Jeffrey Gundlach episode has been incredible, so I'm posting the pod here on X too. 🙏 In his debut on The Julia La Roche Show, Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, breaks down why private credit is an unmitigated disaster, why the next recession will send rates up and the dollar down, and why most American investors are completely unprepared for what's coming. Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction & welcome Jeffrey Gundlach 1:33 Big picture macro: secular shift from falling to rising interest rates 16:00 The case for 100% non-US stocks 17:30 Gundlach's current asset allocation 22:00 Private credit and why it's a “total unmitigated disaster" 38:00 The Fed follows the 2-year Treasury - next move a rate hike? 42:30 Recession odds 47:00 Capital preservation mode: lowest risk positioning in DoubleLine's 17-year history 50:00 The gold call 53:00 The most dangerous force in investing 56:00 California headed for bankruptcy? 1:01:00 Non-consensus prediction: three parties on the ballot in the next presidential election 1:02:00 The Fourth Turning

Julia La Roche

284,018 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING EUPHORIA ZONE... The index just printed a fresh ATH near 7,600 50+ days of straight uptrend No meaningful pullbacks. No rebalancing. Just relentless grinding higher This is what the late stage of a cycle looks like And most people won't recognize it until it's already too late Here's what I actually think happens next First, the melt-up continues A push toward 7,700-7,800 is still on the table That's when distribution begins Smart money starts quietly exiting while retail is still buying the narrative Then comes the first sell-off Not big one - just enough to shake weak hands and breed complacency "See? It bounced. Everything's fine" That's the trap Because after the complacency phase ends, the real move starts And the real move goes toward 4,000-3,500 That's not a typo That's a 50%+ drawdown from current levels Now here's what makes this cycle different Three of the most hyped companies in the world - SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic - are all expected to go public in 2026 History is clear on what happens when the biggest IPOs in a generation arrive at same time 1999-2000: dot-com peak 2021: SPAC and tech euphoria peak Every time IPO pipeline floods at cycle highs, it's because insiders need liquidity They know something retail doesn't Add historically stretched valuations on top of that Add slowing buybacks - single biggest source of equity demand for past decade And you have a market that's priced for perfection in a world that stopped being perfect a long time ago Euphoria doesn't feel like risk That's exactly what makes it dangerous I've mapped this cycle for months When I see the distribution phase begin, I'll post the signal here - same as always Turn on notifs. You'll want to be early on this one

🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING EUPHORIA ZONE... The index just printed a fresh ATH near 7,600 50+ days of straight uptrend No meaningful pullbacks. No rebalancing. Just relentless grinding higher This is what the late stage of a cycle looks like And most people won't recognize it until it's already too late Here's what I actually think happens next First, the melt-up continues A push toward 7,700-7,800 is still on the table That's when distribution begins Smart money starts quietly exiting while retail is still buying the narrative Then comes the first sell-off Not big one - just enough to shake weak hands and breed complacency "See? It bounced. Everything's fine" That's the trap Because after the complacency phase ends, the real move starts And the real move goes toward 4,000-3,500 That's not a typo That's a 50%+ drawdown from current levels Now here's what makes this cycle different Three of the most hyped companies in the world - SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic - are all expected to go public in 2026 History is clear on what happens when the biggest IPOs in a generation arrive at same time 1999-2000: dot-com peak 2021: SPAC and tech euphoria peak Every time IPO pipeline floods at cycle highs, it's because insiders need liquidity They know something retail doesn't Add historically stretched valuations on top of that Add slowing buybacks - single biggest source of equity demand for past decade And you have a market that's priced for perfection in a world that stopped being perfect a long time ago Euphoria doesn't feel like risk That's exactly what makes it dangerous I've mapped this cycle for months When I see the distribution phase begin, I'll post the signal here - same as always Turn on notifs. You'll want to be early on this one

Aralez 🐕

63,381 次观看 • 2 个月前

$🚨 ALTSEASON 2026: EARLY JULY AGGREGATED ANALYST & NARRATIVE BULL CASE TARGETS 🚀💎🌕 $SOL $280–$1,050+ $AVAX $58–$235+ $LINK $35–$145+ $ONDO $5.5–$36+ $NEAR $26–$120+ $FET/ASI $7–$55+ $RENDER $15–$98+ $TAO $1,050–$5,400+ $ETH $5,800–$21,000+ $RIVER $6–$48 + River River4FUN 🐝 $BNB $750–$3,600+ $XRP $2.8–$15.5+ $SUI $9.5–$60+ $HYPE $60–$320+ $GRASS $2.2–$17+ $AKT $4.5–$29+ $IO $9–$44+ $SUPRA $1–$6.2+ $INJ $42–$195+ $SEI $1.7–$10.5+ $PEAQ $0.35–$5.4+ $MODE $1.4–$8.5+ Fresh analyst reports, strengthening on-chain metrics, and rising X momentum this July point to these optimistic bull-case projections for an extended altseason into late 2026 and beyond. The setup assumes BTC dominance keeps fracturing, macro conditions stay supportive, and capital rotates hard into narratives with real usage and traction — especially AI × Decentralized Intelligence • DePIN & Real Infrastructure • RWA & Tokenization • Chain Abstraction & Seamless UX. These are not guarantees. Crypto is volatile. Risk management and position sizing always apply. NFA • DYOR • Purely for discussion & entertainment. Which narratives or specific projects are you stacking the hardest right now? Drop your top conviction plays, favorite analyst targets you’re seeing, or any hidden gems below 👇 LFG!!! 💥 The rotation is still building beautifully. (Vibes only • Informed optimism • Always do your own research)$

🚨 ALTSEASON 2026: EARLY JULY AGGREGATED ANALYST & NARRATIVE BULL CASE TARGETS 🚀💎🌕 $SOL $280–$1,050+ $AVAX $58–$235+ $LINK $35–$145+ $ONDO $5.5–$36+ $NEAR $26–$120+ $FET/ASI $7–$55+ $RENDER $15–$98+ $TAO $1,050–$5,400+ $ETH $5,800–$21,000+ $RIVER $6–$48 + River River4FUN 🐝 $BNB $750–$3,600+ $XRP $2.8–$15.5+ $SUI $9.5–$60+ $HYPE $60–$320+ $GRASS $2.2–$17+ $AKT $4.5–$29+ $IO $9–$44+ $SUPRA $1–$6.2+ $INJ $42–$195+ $SEI $1.7–$10.5+ $PEAQ $0.35–$5.4+ $MODE $1.4–$8.5+ Fresh analyst reports, strengthening on-chain metrics, and rising X momentum this July point to these optimistic bull-case projections for an extended altseason into late 2026 and beyond. The setup assumes BTC dominance keeps fracturing, macro conditions stay supportive, and capital rotates hard into narratives with real usage and traction — especially AI × Decentralized Intelligence • DePIN & Real Infrastructure • RWA & Tokenization • Chain Abstraction & Seamless UX. These are not guarantees. Crypto is volatile. Risk management and position sizing always apply. NFA • DYOR • Purely for discussion & entertainment. Which narratives or specific projects are you stacking the hardest right now? Drop your top conviction plays, favorite analyst targets you’re seeing, or any hidden gems below 👇 LFG!!! 💥 The rotation is still building beautifully. (Vibes only • Informed optimism • Always do your own research)

Đecentralized Člub ©

14,746 次观看 • 27 天前

🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one

🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one

Aralez 🐕

320,789 次观看 • 2 个月前

Adam Brown (Adam Brown) is back! General relativity is said to be the most beautiful idea the human mind has ever produced. Most of us will never get to fully appreciate its elegance by taking the 20-lecture graduate course Adam taught on it at Stanford. But in the video below, Adam distills the key idea at its heart so clearly and compellingly that even I could keep up lol. At the core of general relativity, Einstein is trying to figure out the principle behind a particular coincidence: that the mass that resists acceleration and the mass that gravity pulls on just happen to be exactly the same. Adam then leads us through the path of insight which Einstein called his “happiest thought.” Then Adam lectures on black holes. First, by showing how even under special relativity you could create a perpetual motion machine if black holes weren't truly black. And then, by explaining why the observations of an infalling observer and a distant bystander to the black hole would be so radically different Adam leads Blueshift, the team at Google DeepMind cracking science and reasoning. Which gave us the opportunity to discuss at the very end how close we are to AIs that could rediscover general relativity from scratch. Stay till the close for some philosophy of science. 0:00:00 – The coincidence that led Einstein to general relativity 0:16:42 – Gravity is a consequence of curved spacetime, not a force 0:31:46 – Why black holes prevent unlimited energy extraction 0:47:12 – Black holes are the ultimate power plants 1:13:50 – What falling into a black hole would actually feel like 1:18:51 – The three ways we know black holes are real 1:24:21 – The first time we saw gravity bend light 1:29:33 – How far can AI get without experimental evidence? Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on YouTube/Spotify to watch. Enjoy!

Adam Brown (Adam Brown) is back! General relativity is said to be the most beautiful idea the human mind has ever produced. Most of us will never get to fully appreciate its elegance by taking the 20-lecture graduate course Adam taught on it at Stanford. But in the video below, Adam distills the key idea at its heart so clearly and compellingly that even I could keep up lol. At the core of general relativity, Einstein is trying to figure out the principle behind a particular coincidence: that the mass that resists acceleration and the mass that gravity pulls on just happen to be exactly the same. Adam then leads us through the path of insight which Einstein called his “happiest thought.” Then Adam lectures on black holes. First, by showing how even under special relativity you could create a perpetual motion machine if black holes weren't truly black. And then, by explaining why the observations of an infalling observer and a distant bystander to the black hole would be so radically different Adam leads Blueshift, the team at Google DeepMind cracking science and reasoning. Which gave us the opportunity to discuss at the very end how close we are to AIs that could rediscover general relativity from scratch. Stay till the close for some philosophy of science. 0:00:00 – The coincidence that led Einstein to general relativity 0:16:42 – Gravity is a consequence of curved spacetime, not a force 0:31:46 – Why black holes prevent unlimited energy extraction 0:47:12 – Black holes are the ultimate power plants 1:13:50 – What falling into a black hole would actually feel like 1:18:51 – The three ways we know black holes are real 1:24:21 – The first time we saw gravity bend light 1:29:33 – How far can AI get without experimental evidence? Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on YouTube/Spotify to watch. Enjoy!

Dwarkesh Patel

649,130 次观看 • 26 天前

PEAK APATHY: NO ONE CARES ABOUT BITCOIN... WHY NOW IS THE TIME TO DOUBLE DOWN (FULL EP) _Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️ & Michael Sullivan with Walker⚡️ IS THE BOTTOM IN? In this episode, I sit down with on-chain analyst James Check (Checkmate) and sentiment researcher Michael Sullivan to dig into their joint report "Peak Apathy" and what it really means when nobody gives a damn about Bitcoin. We go deep on why this bear market feels different, how language data, social sentiment and on-chain metrics are converging on some of the clearest accumulation signals since 2022, and why the most dangerous thing you can do right now is let the herd talk you out of stacking. Future You will thank you for watching this episode. "IT'S TIME TO DOUBLE DOWN." 0:00 - Intro 1:13 - Peak Apathy Overview 3:48 - Why Nobody Cares About Bitcoin Right Now 10:44 - Algorithm Manipulation and Social Media Silos 12:00 - OG vs. Retail Anger and Sentiment Volatility 20:05 - Long Term Holder Selling and Cycle Differences 28:56 - Treasury Companies and Leverage Risk 35:56 - Post-Selloff Apathy Data 41:00 - On Chain Signals and the Third Capitulation 43:55 - DCA Strategy 46:53 - Four Year Cycle Myths 51:50 - Iran War Shorts and Getting Perfectly Wrong 58:00 - Mood as Market Signal, Not Trading Indicator 1:03:01 - Escaping Herd Mentality 1:05:50 - MVRV Ratio, Annoyance Cycles, and Data as Information 1:11:25 - Current Bullish Conviction and Accumulation Plan 1:13:35 - Ignoring Positive Narratives in Negative Emotional Regimes

PEAK APATHY: NO ONE CARES ABOUT BITCOIN... WHY NOW IS THE TIME TO DOUBLE DOWN (FULL EP) _Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️ & Michael Sullivan with Walker⚡️ IS THE BOTTOM IN? In this episode, I sit down with on-chain analyst James Check (Checkmate) and sentiment researcher Michael Sullivan to dig into their joint report "Peak Apathy" and what it really means when nobody gives a damn about Bitcoin. We go deep on why this bear market feels different, how language data, social sentiment and on-chain metrics are converging on some of the clearest accumulation signals since 2022, and why the most dangerous thing you can do right now is let the herd talk you out of stacking. Future You will thank you for watching this episode. "IT'S TIME TO DOUBLE DOWN." 0:00 - Intro 1:13 - Peak Apathy Overview 3:48 - Why Nobody Cares About Bitcoin Right Now 10:44 - Algorithm Manipulation and Social Media Silos 12:00 - OG vs. Retail Anger and Sentiment Volatility 20:05 - Long Term Holder Selling and Cycle Differences 28:56 - Treasury Companies and Leverage Risk 35:56 - Post-Selloff Apathy Data 41:00 - On Chain Signals and the Third Capitulation 43:55 - DCA Strategy 46:53 - Four Year Cycle Myths 51:50 - Iran War Shorts and Getting Perfectly Wrong 58:00 - Mood as Market Signal, Not Trading Indicator 1:03:01 - Escaping Herd Mentality 1:05:50 - MVRV Ratio, Annoyance Cycles, and Data as Information 1:11:25 - Current Bullish Conviction and Accumulation Plan 1:13:35 - Ignoring Positive Narratives in Negative Emotional Regimes

THE Bitcoin Podcast

12,435 次观看 • 1 个月前