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🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD JUST HAPPENED!! The U.S. market just lost over $1 TRILLION in one day. But the worst things are happening with chip and AI companies. Trump came to China with 30 CEO's of TOP world companies. And NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang was with them. Nvidia...

258,046 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN!! Everyone is waiting for the SpaceX IPO like it's easy money. BUT in reality, it could turn into a DISASTER for the market. And a massive wipeout for retail investors. Here are the main reasons why this is not EASY money but a TRAP: When Facebook ($META) went public, everyone was excited too. But it trapped the crowd, and the stock crashed 70%. JUST IMAGINE: -70% IN JUST 100 DAYS. While early investors were cashing out billions at the same time. The company is expected to be valued at around $1.75-$2 TRILLION. It would instantly become one of the largest giants in the United States. Around 95% of all shares are currently held by employees and early investors, and only 5% will be available for public trading. Insiders are sitting on $1.6 trillion of "paper" wealth. For them, the IPO is the perfect opportunity to cash out that wealth at the expense of ordinary buyers. The same Michael Burry who predicted the 2008 financial crisis. He warns that the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs will absorb MORE money than the DOT-COM in 2000. And he has already opened short positions against inflated tech giants like Nvidia and Palantir. A SpaceX IPO would suck capital out of every other asset class. Investors would start selling regular stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other high-risk assets. Why? To rotate money into Elon Musk's flagship company. The crowd sees a beautiful story and Musk's genius. Professionals see a giant bubble and preparations for the largest cash-out by major players in history. This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here. When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money. Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON, as I will share my strategy soon. Many will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

127,838 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING The stock market keeps pushing to new all-time highs. But nobody is paying attention to what’s actually happening. Semiconductor stocks are now worth $13.4T. That’s 19.7% of the entire S&P 500. 4x growth in just five years. And all of that growth depends on one trade: AI. Numbers do not lie: - AI chips generate 50% of all semiconductor revenue - They represent less than 0.2% of total chip shipments - A small group of companies is carrying the entire market Nvidia. Broadcom. TSMC. The same companies every major institution already owns. Here’s how the bubble feeds itself: - Big players fund each other - Partnerships create paper revenue - Money circulates inside the same system We have seen this before: 2000: - A few tech companies carried the entire market - Massive valuations - Narratives driving everything Then reality hit. The S&P 500 collapsed 50%. Now we’re watching the same cycle again. Less than 0.2% of chip volumes are now holding up trillions in market value. And one cut in AI spending is all it takes to break the entire market. Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

227,729 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Why is Palantir so expensive? You don’t need to look at spreadsheets. Just consider this: The market knows NVIDIA sells the shovels for the AI goldrush. The market is realizing that AI isn’t being monetized at the commercial level because although it’s cool, it’s not unlocking any real insights yet. The market now anticipates that Palantir is selling the maps to find the gold…. Gold being AI-driven insights that actually solve difficult problems. Software that works. Since 2021, NVIDIA’s revenue has exploded from $16B to $96B. Palantir’s TTM revenue is $2.5B. The trajectory of Palantir has changed since AIP released in 2023, which is enabling the company to scale. If NVIDIA sells the shovels, and Palantir provides the maps, then the market believes Palantir will see the same explosion of growth within the commercial market, which the market believes has an almost unlimited TAM for Palantir. A lot of people missed out on NVIDIA. While Palantir’s market cap is expensive at $95B, it is nothing compared to NVIDIA’s $3.26T market cap in terms of size. The market doesn’t want to miss out on the next big thing. At this point, investors have thrown all standard methods of valuation out of the window… Those days were years ago. To me, at this point, buying the stock is betting on NVIDIA-like growth (No I’m not saying the company will shoot to a $3T market cap in 2 years — you get the point). If the company does not show this sort of revenue growth, the stock will be punished. This is the risk investors are willing to take. While I am very bullish on the company in the long run, I, like everyone else, have no clue what will actually happen in the short term. This is not a stock to play on the short term. This is why I continue to hold, regardless of how “expensive” the stock gets. I personally believe Palantir does in fact carry the potential to see explosive revenue growth to more than enough justify its current ratios. I’m not saying it will happen this quarter. But the potential is there. It’s a matter of when, in my opinion. I would never risk selling what I view as my golden ticket to wealth with the justification of “it’s too expensive, the price will come back down and I can buy even more then”. If the stock crashes, I can start buying more shares regardless — I don’t want to get greedy and try to time the market. I would never forgive myself if I sold and the stock ended up soaring so high that even after a crash, it would be far too expensive for me to get back in with my original position size (plus capital gains tax). I don’t care who agrees with me or who thinks I’m crazy for saying this — it’s a real risk to me and I’m not willing to take it. This is not me telling you to buy $PLTR. My average is $8.50. Only you can decide what is right, and your decision should be made on your own level of conviction from studying the company — nothing else. This is me telling you why it’s so expensive. Again, I believe that if the stock does not continue to crush earnings each quarter, even the slightest miss, the stock will be punished in the short term. For longs, it’s another opportunity to accumulate more. This is my opinion, of course. 5-10 years from now, we’ll see who was right. Chips & Ontology.

Jack Prescott

258,450 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Nvidia chips have become the most smuggled technology on the planet. And the criminal networks moving them look EXACTLY like drug cartels. The entire operation just got exposed, and the details are absolutely insane: A co-founder of Supermicro, one of Nvidia's biggest hardware partners, was secretly running a $2.5 BILLION smuggling pipeline to China. Servers were assembled in the US, shipped to Taiwan, repackaged into unmarked boxes at a shell company in Southeast Asia, then forwarded to Chinese buyers who wanted the chips inside. $510 million worth of servers moved to China in just THREE WEEKS. When a broker sent him a news article about other chip smugglers getting arrested by the feds, the co-founder replied with sobbing emojis on his encrypted chat. Then kept going. This is the same Supermicro that helped Elon Musk build his Colossus AI cluster in 122 days. The same company flagging $13 billion in Nvidia Blackwell orders on their earnings call. And their co-founder was running the biggest illegal chip operation in history out the back door. It gets even crazier here though... In New York, a marketing executive was pitching GPU smuggling on WeChat calling it "lucrative." In Tampa, a guy set up a fake realty company to ship A100s to China and moved 400 GPUs before getting caught. In one of the wildest stings ever, federal agents seized smuggled chips and the smugglers thought they'd been STOLEN. They sent an inspection team to a government warehouse, verified the Nvidia labels, then wired a $1 million ransom to a government-controlled bank account. The feds watched it all on surveillance cameras. Next day the smugglers rolled up with three semi trucks. Federal agents were waiting. In the past 12 months, the Commerce Department has collected nearly $420 million in penalties for semiconductor smuggling to China. Applied Materials paid $252 million and Cadence paid $95 million after admitting employees sent chip design tech to a Chinese university running nuclear simulations. Now here's where the story gets complicated: The US government spent YEARS building export controls to keep these chips out of China. Billions of dollars in enforcement, sanctions, entity lists, licensing requirements. But none of it worked. Nvidia's market share of AI chips in China has dropped to ZERO because China found other ways to get what it needs through Huawei. Jensen Huang told American lawmakers the export controls "largely backfired." Conceding an entire market the size of China makes no strategic sense when Chinese AI talent is world class and their energy is cheaper. Meanwhile Trump approved H200 sales to China with a 25% fee to the US government. Ten Chinese companies got clearance. But not a SINGLE chip has been delivered because China's own government is now BLOCKING the purchases. Beijing told Chinese firms not to buy American chips. They want domestic investment flowing to Huawei instead. So now you have a situation where the US spent years trying to stop China from getting Nvidia chips, criminal networks built a billion dollar black market to smuggle them anyway, Trump finally approved sales, and China said "we don't want them anymore." The chips America tried to keep out of China are now being REFUSED by China. Nvidia is caught in the middle of all of it. Jensen Huang flew to Beijing this week after originally being left off Trump's delegation. Trump saw the news coverage about his absence and called him the morning of the trip. The most valuable chips in the world are being smuggled through shell companies, fake real estate firms, encrypted chats, unmarked boxes, and billion dollar laundering operations. America spent billions trying to keep these chips away from China, and criminals spent billions trying to sneak them in. But China just moved on and built their own through Huawei. The entire war was basically for nothing.

Ricardo

17,419 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

973,824 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Jensen Huang just admitted Nvidia is paying for BOTH ends of its own $500 billion deal. Every outlet ran the same headline: Nvidia is putting half a trillion dollars into Korea. The largest AI infrastructure commitment ever announced with a single partner. But when asked what was actually inside that number and whether this is Nvidia spending money in the Korean economy, or SK fronting the capital themselves, Jensen said this: "We're gonna be purchasing memories from them for many years to come. In order to build a trillion dollars worth of Vera Rubin systems, you're gonna have to buy a lot of system memories to go with it. And so we have large purchase agreements and large purchase intentions with SK Hynix. Meanwhile, SK Telecom is gonna become an AI cloud. And in that agreement, we will be selling AI supercomputers to them. So between us, we're gonna do $500 billion worth of business." He literally described two completely different transactions and added them together. Nvidia pays SK Hynix for memory chips. SK Telecom pays Nvidia for supercomputers. Both directions get stacked into one figure and handed to the market as demand. A large share of that half trillion dollars is Nvidia's own money going OUT the door. This is the CEO of the most important chip company on Earth. His silicon runs every serious AI system on the planet. If anyone alive could announce a clean half trillion in customer demand, it's him. Instead he announced a number that counts his own supplier payments as "business." But now this is where it gets genuinely crazy... Bloomberg asked how badly Nvidia needs Korean supply to grow. Jensen said Nvidia does not have enough bits. He said the company is constrained in HBM memory, constrained in LPDDR memory, and constrained in just about every part of the supply chain. Then he named the bottleneck nobody expected: "We're even constrained now with land and power and construction workers to set up the data centers." The company announcing the biggest AI deal in history cannot hire enough people to pour concrete. Then he capped the entire industry. He said the industry has the ability to double each year, and will have a hard time growing much faster than that. Now hold that against the target he set at the top of the same interview: He said the semiconductor industry probably has to become 10x larger than it is today over the next decade. Doubling annually clears that on a spreadsheet. But in reality it only happens if land, power and construction crews cooperate every single year for ten years straight. And the demand justifying all of it is a number most people have not heard yet. Jensen is planning for 100 BILLION AI agents and billions of robots using computers. That is the actual bet. 10x the industry, financed by deals where the vendor is also the customer, and gated by how fast you can find electricians. Korea's market did not celebrate any of this by the way. The KOSPI has been falling hard and SK Hynix and Samsung both slumped while the half trillion dollar headline was running. Jensen listed both directions of money and totaled them on camera because he does not think there is anything wrong with it. Maybe there isn't. Chips have to be bought before systems can be sold. But the market is pricing these announcements as demand, and at least half of this one is spending.

Ricardo

35,095 görüntüleme • 12 gün önce

Nvidia just made its biggest acquisition ever... A small startup. On Christmas Eve. While everyone was distracted. The startup is Groq. They make AI chips that run faster than Nvidia's. In September, Groq raised $750 million at a $6.9 billion valuation. Investors included BlackRock, Samsung, Cisco, and Donald Trump Jr.'s fund 1789 Capital. Yesterday, Nvidia paid $20 billion for them. That's a 3x markup in 90 days. Trump Jr. just made a fortune overnight. But the money isn't even the craziest part... Nvidia dominates AI chips. They have 90%+ market share. All of big tech depends on them. So why would they pay 3X for a tiny competitor? Let me explain: Groq was building inference chips that threatened Nvidia's monopoly. Faster processing. Lower costs. Better architecture. If Groq succeeded, they'd crack open the market. So Nvidia did what monopolies always do: bought them before they became a threat. They're buying silence - not innovation. And this isn't a one-off. In September, Nvidia spent $900 million on Enfabrica, another AI chip startup. Same playbook. They committed $100 billion to OpenAI with a requirement that OpenAI deploy 10 gigawatts of Nvidia products. Now $20 billion for Groq. Nvidia isn't competing anymore. They're consolidating. They're using their cash pile to swallow every potential rival before they grow. The founder and CEO of Groq, Jonathan Ross, is joining Nvidia. So is the president and the entire leadership team. Groq's cloud business will keep running independently. But the tech, the IP, the competitive advantage? All Nvidia's now. This is the largest acquisition Nvidia has EVER made. Their previous record was $7 billion for Mellanox in 2019. They just tripled that. And nobody's questioning why. Everyone's celebrating "innovation" and "consolidation" and "strategic partnerships." But what actually happened is this: Nvidia looked at the one company that could challenge their monopoly and paid whatever it took to kill them. $20 billion is cheap insurance when you're worth trillions. The only question left is who's next.

Ricardo

224,264 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce