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We built the cleanest BTC Up/Down bot on Polymarket. ⁠ We engineered the entire stack from scratch around one principle: never bet on outcomes, only capture mispricings. ⁠ How it works: When YES + NO sums to less than $1.00 on Polymarket’s 15-min BTC market, the engine fires both...

138,666 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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100% win rate on BTC for 2 hours straight! BTC Up/Down module is back. And we finally figured out how to make it print ↓ We killed it in January when the edge compressed to zero. Pure Chainlink oracle latency arb the same playbook every bot on GitHub was running. After Polymarket’s 2% fee, net negative two weeks in a row. Took three months to rebuild around what still works. The new module doesn’t predict BTC direction. It captures YES+NO mispricings on Jupiter Predict’s 15-minute Bitcoin markets. When retail panics during a window, YES+NO momentarily sums below $1.00. We buy both sides atomically via Jito bundles, lock the edge at fill, and let Chainlink resolve the window. Doesn’t matter if BTC closes green or red. One of the two sides always pays $1 at resolution. Live results from the last 2 hours: · 8 trades executed · 100% win rate · +$389.47 P&L · +5.74% daily ROI · $24.5K volume deployed · 0.64% avg edge net of fees All windows verifiable on Binance BTCUSDT 15m chart. Three edges enabled: YES+NO mispricing capture, last 30-second resolution hedging, multi-signal confluence directional (CVD + funding + DVOL + 25 skew + OBI, ridge-weighted). Infrastructure: Helius LaserStream gRPC, Jito Sender + ShredStream, Chainlink Streams, Jupiter Predict API. Sub-10ms execution. PSAt: we don’t know how long this edge window stays open. Every mechanical inefficiency eventually gets arbitraged away. For now it’s wide. Plug in while it is. Toggle in settings → BTC Up/Down → LIVE.

PolyArb

19,819 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

We found a flaw in Polymarket that can’t be patched. Then we built the most powerful bot of the World Cup around it. Here’s the flaw: their orderbook will always be slower than the pitch. When a goal, red card, or penalty hits, pro feeds (Sportradar, Opta, ScoutingFeed) register it in 200-500ms. Polymarket takes 2 to 8 seconds to reprice. For those few seconds the book is quoting a score that no longer exists. No amount of engineering closes that gap the event happens in the physical world before any oracle can confirm it on-chain. The engine detects the event, recalculates fair value, and fires via Jito bundles before the book catches up. In at the old price, out at the new. The match outcome is irrelevant we don’t bet on who wins. We capture the lag every event creates. We’ve been building Polymarket bots since 2025. This is the most powerful machine we’ve shipped yet. Two months ago we posted the architecture for this. It hit 1M views one of our most popular posts ever on X. That told us everything: this was the engine to build. First 7 days, - Starting balance: $5,000 - 22 matches scanned, 19 captured - Total profit: +$1,946.86 - ROI: +38.94% in 7 days Why it prints harder than anything we’ve built: the World Cup is the deepest liquidity event prediction markets have ever seen. Tens of millions in volume per match. Dozens of probability-shifting events per game. And an orderbook that physically can’t keep pace with the pitch. How to plug in: 1.Sign up at PolyArbiter (link in bio) 2.Generate PolyArbiter RPC URL 3.Paste it into Jupiter Predict (Polymarket but native on Solana) 4.Set your parameters, activate the World Cup module It’s free to use. We take a share of the profit the engine makes for you. You never deposit anything with us everything runs from your wallet. One honest note: the $1,946 above is our engine at our size and settings. Your numbers depend on your capital, your parameters, and how many matches you’re live for. We’re not promising you’ll match it we’re showing you the machine works, and handing you the same one. These numbers are from the engine running solo. Closed test, just us, before any public access wanted to confirm the whole loop held up end to end before handing it to anyone. That changes the second this goes public. Edge per capture is going to compress. When an event fires the mispriced liquidity is thin and gone in a few seconds more wallets hitting the same window, less left for each. Nothing we can do about it, that’s just how latency arb works. So if the edge thins out past the point where it’s still worth running, we cap access. Hard ceiling on how many engines can hit the same liquidity before it’s gone. Not gonna promise the machine stays this sharp in a few days it might not. But right now it’s live and free. Enjoy 🪄

PolyArbiter

100,534 görüntüleme • 16 gün önce

We’re building a latency Football bot for Polymarket. Target: operational before the World Cup. Save this. The principle: pro sports feeds (Sportradar, Opta) deliver pitch events in ~200-500ms. The Polymarket orderbook takes longer to reprice thin liquidity, market makers pulling quotes while they reassess. That window is the edge. Yesterday, first live test on Bayern vs Real (Champions League QF). 86th minute, Camavinga gets his second yellow. Pipeline receives the event from Sportradar 280ms after the card. “Bayern advances” market was at ~0.55. Model recomputes to ~0.68 post-red and fires a $500 order. Partial fill as expected: ~$180 caught around 0.55-0.57, the rest slipped to 0.63. Average 0.59. Market stabilized at 0.67 a few seconds later. Unrealized +$30. +6% in seconds. It’s a test. But the loop worked end to end detection, decision, fill, before the book caught up. What we learned: network latency is part of the problem. The real bottleneck is orderbook depth. We’re competing with sharp bots, not retail on their couch. And “next goal” markets have better spreads than qualification markets. Pivoting there. What we’re building before June: fill routing across 12 venues via Jito atomic bundles. Low-signal event modeling (dangerous fouls, injuries, tactical shifts). UMA oracle hedging. Node co-location near Sportradar servers. Why the World Cup matters. 104 matches in 39 days. $2.5B+ in projected prediction market volume. Deep liquidity means bigger positions fill cleanly. Thin liquidity in group stages means wider spreads. Both environments leave serious money on the table. 56 days to ship. We’re on it.

PolyArbiter

935,706 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

I found a bot that REALLY beats 15min BTC markets on Polymarket. 300% profit per day. This is NOT CLICKBAIT, post really does contain working code and all links. Below you can find links to the code, bot creator wallet, my test wallet where I ran this bot + a clear setup guide: GitHub bot link: Bot creator wallet: My test wallet: Bot creator achieved 300% ROI on invested capital in less than 24 hours - $45 to $150. I made test $50 deposit, ran the software and in exactly 24 hours we will check the result. The bot's strategy is super simple and has positive expected value: - works on Polymarket BTC 15min prediction markets - places 45c limit orders on both UP and DOWN outcomes - monitors positions with real-time WebSocket prices - auto redeems resolved positions via gasless relayer If both limit orders fill, total cost for both sides comes to $0.90 instead of $1.00 - guaranteeing 10% profit per cycle. According to the creator's observations, 45¢ limits fill in 9 out of 10 cases. For profitability, we only need about 6 out of 10 successful cycles. There's also a built-in protection feature: if one side spikes above 72¢ while the other remains unfilled, it sells the filled side to cut losses. To set it up, you'll need: - your EVM wallet's private key (use burner wallet) - fund wallet address on Polymarket - Polymarket builder API (Polymarket->Profile->Settings->Builder) - test deposit of $50-100 (script is tuned for $100, adjust share quantities in the code for smaller amounts) Any AI (even ChatGPT) can help you get it running - Python scripts like this are beginner-friendly. If you don't want to risk your own money or deal with setup, just follow me - tomorrow I'll update with the actual results: Does this bot really deliver hundreds of percent returns?

cvxv666

39,551 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

One Python bot made $316K by finding the same loophole thousands of times. Broken prices appear every few seconds. This bot catches them before anyone else. I found distinct-baguette buried in a leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15-minute windows. Almost closed the tab. Then I saw the win rate. 71%. That is low for a profitable bot. Way too low. Something was off. → Account: Turns out I was looking at it wrong. This bot does not predict anything. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It just watches one thing: prices that do not add up. Sounds weird until you see the trick. Polymarket 15-minute windows have two sides. YES and NO. One of them always pays $1. So YES + NO should always equal $1. That is just math. But when markets move fast, prices slip. YES at 48 cents. NO at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents. The bot sees this. Buys both sides. Waits. Market closes. One side pays $1. He spent 97 cents. Keeps the 3 cent difference. Does not matter who wins. The script checks Polymarket every few seconds. BTC. SOL. XRP. Anything with volume. The moment prices slip under 99 cents combined, it fires. Three cents per trade. Repeat it tens of thousands of times. That is how you get to $316K. The 71% win rate finally made sense. He is not trying to pick winners. He is locking profit before the bet even resolves. Some trades the spread was not wide enough. Does not matter. The edge is in the volume. Everyone else bets on outcomes. This bot bets on broken math.

Blaze

337,995 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce