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We found a way to make money on every World Cup match without predicting a single result. How it works: A goal, red card, or penalty hits the pitch. Pro feeds (Sportradar) register it in 200ms. Polymarket’s orderbook takes 2-8 seconds to reprice. For those few seconds, the price...

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PolyArbiter

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132,598 views • 2 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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We built the cleanest BTC Up/Down bot on Polymarket. ⁠ We engineered the entire stack from scratch around one principle: never bet on outcomes, only capture mispricings. ⁠ How it works: When YES + NO sums to less than $1.00 on Polymarket’s 15-min BTC market, the engine fires both sides atomically via Jito bundles. Total cost: $0.97. At resolution, one side always pays $1.00. Locked profit: 3 cents per dollar deployed. ⁠ BTC’s direction is irrelevant. The math already paid. ⁠ We don’t predict. We capture. ⁠ Architecture: - Yellowstone gRPC at 1-5ms orderbook latency - Jito atomic bundles, both legs fill or neither does - 91ms median detection-to-fill 97.8% fill rate over 30 days - Auto-hedge engine for partial fills in 4.2s How to plug in: 1.Sign up at PolyArb (link in bio) 2.Copy PolyArb dedicated RPC URL from the dashboard 3. Open Jupiter Prediction Markets on Solana 4.Paste the RPC into Settings → Custom RPC 5.Activate the BTC Up/Down module Free to use. Profit-share only. No subscription. No upfront cost.
0:26

We built the cleanest BTC Up/Down bot on Polymarket. ⁠ We engineered the entire stack from scratch around one principle: never bet on outcomes, only capture mispricings. ⁠ How it works: When YES + NO sums to less than $1.00 on Polymarket’s 15-min BTC market, the engine fires both sides atomically via Jito bundles. Total cost: $0.97. At resolution, one side always pays $1.00. Locked profit: 3 cents per dollar deployed. ⁠ BTC’s direction is irrelevant. The math already paid. ⁠ We don’t predict. We capture. ⁠ Architecture: - Yellowstone gRPC at 1-5ms orderbook latency - Jito atomic bundles, both legs fill or neither does - 91ms median detection-to-fill 97.8% fill rate over 30 days - Auto-hedge engine for partial fills in 4.2s How to plug in: 1.Sign up at PolyArb (link in bio) 2.Copy PolyArb dedicated RPC URL from the dashboard 3. Open Jupiter Prediction Markets on Solana 4.Paste the RPC into Settings → Custom RPC 5.Activate the BTC Up/Down module Free to use. Profit-share only. No subscription. No upfront cost.

PolyArbiter

143,387 views • 4 months ago

The World Cup accidentally created one of the biggest edges we’ve ever seen on Polymarket. We’ve already captured $4,000+ since the tournament started, and Polymarket still can’t really do much about it. We don’t predict football. A goal, red card or penalty happens. Reality changes instantly. Sportradar sees it almost immediately, while Polymarket’s orderbook still needs a few more seconds to catch up. The bot buys stale prices before the market reprices, then exits. That’s the entire edge. We’ve been making our bots public since 2025. The World Cup module wasn’t going to be any different. It’s completely free to use, non-custodial, and we only make money if the bot makes you money (Profit-sharing) The World Cup has been the perfect environment for this strategy. We’ll probably miss it when it’s over. 🕯️
1:03

The World Cup accidentally created one of the biggest edges we’ve ever seen on Polymarket. We’ve already captured $4,000+ since the tournament started, and Polymarket still can’t really do much about it. We don’t predict football. A goal, red card or penalty happens. Reality changes instantly. Sportradar sees it almost immediately, while Polymarket’s orderbook still needs a few more seconds to catch up. The bot buys stale prices before the market reprices, then exits. That’s the entire edge. We’ve been making our bots public since 2025. The World Cup module wasn’t going to be any different. It’s completely free to use, non-custodial, and we only make money if the bot makes you money (Profit-sharing) The World Cup has been the perfect environment for this strategy. We’ll probably miss it when it’s over. 🕯️

PolyArbiter

84,054 views • 2 months ago

We found a flaw in Polymarket that can’t be patched. Then we built the most powerful bot of the World Cup around it. Here’s the flaw: their orderbook will always be slower than the pitch. When a goal, red card, or penalty hits, pro feeds (Sportradar, Opta, ScoutingFeed) register it in 200-500ms. Polymarket takes 2 to 8 seconds to reprice. For those few seconds the book is quoting a score that no longer exists. No amount of engineering closes that gap the event happens in the physical world before any oracle can confirm it on-chain. The engine detects the event, recalculates fair value, and fires via Jito bundles before the book catches up. In at the old price, out at the new. The match outcome is irrelevant we don’t bet on who wins. We capture the lag every event creates. We’ve been building Polymarket bots since 2025. This is the most powerful machine we’ve shipped yet. Two months ago we posted the architecture for this. It hit 1M views one of our most popular posts ever on X. That told us everything: this was the engine to build. First 7 days, - Starting balance: $5,000 - 22 matches scanned, 19 captured - Total profit: +$1,946.86 - ROI: +38.94% in 7 days Why it prints harder than anything we’ve built: the World Cup is the deepest liquidity event prediction markets have ever seen. Tens of millions in volume per match. Dozens of probability-shifting events per game. And an orderbook that physically can’t keep pace with the pitch. How to plug in: 1.Sign up at PolyArbiter (link in bio) 2.Generate PolyArbiter RPC URL 3.Paste it into Jupiter Predict (Polymarket but native on Solana) 4.Set your parameters, activate the World Cup module It’s free to use. We take a share of the profit the engine makes for you. You never deposit anything with us everything runs from your wallet. One honest note: the $1,946 above is our engine at our size and settings. Your numbers depend on your capital, your parameters, and how many matches you’re live for. We’re not promising you’ll match it we’re showing you the machine works, and handing you the same one. These numbers are from the engine running solo. Closed test, just us, before any public access wanted to confirm the whole loop held up end to end before handing it to anyone. That changes the second this goes public. Edge per capture is going to compress. When an event fires the mispriced liquidity is thin and gone in a few seconds more wallets hitting the same window, less left for each. Nothing we can do about it, that’s just how latency arb works. So if the edge thins out past the point where it’s still worth running, we cap access. Hard ceiling on how many engines can hit the same liquidity before it’s gone. Not gonna promise the machine stays this sharp in a few days it might not. But right now it’s live and free. Enjoy 🪄
11:04

We found a flaw in Polymarket that can’t be patched. Then we built the most powerful bot of the World Cup around it. Here’s the flaw: their orderbook will always be slower than the pitch. When a goal, red card, or penalty hits, pro feeds (Sportradar, Opta, ScoutingFeed) register it in 200-500ms. Polymarket takes 2 to 8 seconds to reprice. For those few seconds the book is quoting a score that no longer exists. No amount of engineering closes that gap the event happens in the physical world before any oracle can confirm it on-chain. The engine detects the event, recalculates fair value, and fires via Jito bundles before the book catches up. In at the old price, out at the new. The match outcome is irrelevant we don’t bet on who wins. We capture the lag every event creates. We’ve been building Polymarket bots since 2025. This is the most powerful machine we’ve shipped yet. Two months ago we posted the architecture for this. It hit 1M views one of our most popular posts ever on X. That told us everything: this was the engine to build. First 7 days, - Starting balance: $5,000 - 22 matches scanned, 19 captured - Total profit: +$1,946.86 - ROI: +38.94% in 7 days Why it prints harder than anything we’ve built: the World Cup is the deepest liquidity event prediction markets have ever seen. Tens of millions in volume per match. Dozens of probability-shifting events per game. And an orderbook that physically can’t keep pace with the pitch. How to plug in: 1.Sign up at PolyArbiter (link in bio) 2.Generate PolyArbiter RPC URL 3.Paste it into Jupiter Predict (Polymarket but native on Solana) 4.Set your parameters, activate the World Cup module It’s free to use. We take a share of the profit the engine makes for you. You never deposit anything with us everything runs from your wallet. One honest note: the $1,946 above is our engine at our size and settings. Your numbers depend on your capital, your parameters, and how many matches you’re live for. We’re not promising you’ll match it we’re showing you the machine works, and handing you the same one. These numbers are from the engine running solo. Closed test, just us, before any public access wanted to confirm the whole loop held up end to end before handing it to anyone. That changes the second this goes public. Edge per capture is going to compress. When an event fires the mispriced liquidity is thin and gone in a few seconds more wallets hitting the same window, less left for each. Nothing we can do about it, that’s just how latency arb works. So if the edge thins out past the point where it’s still worth running, we cap access. Hard ceiling on how many engines can hit the same liquidity before it’s gone. Not gonna promise the machine stays this sharp in a few days it might not. But right now it’s live and free. Enjoy 🪄

PolyArbiter

100,534 views • 2 months ago

We’re building a latency Football bot for Polymarket. Target: operational before the World Cup. Save this. The principle: pro sports feeds (Sportradar, Opta) deliver pitch events in ~200-500ms. The Polymarket orderbook takes longer to reprice thin liquidity, market makers pulling quotes while they reassess. That window is the edge. Yesterday, first live test on Bayern vs Real (Champions League QF). 86th minute, Camavinga gets his second yellow. Pipeline receives the event from Sportradar 280ms after the card. “Bayern advances” market was at ~0.55. Model recomputes to ~0.68 post-red and fires a $500 order. Partial fill as expected: ~$180 caught around 0.55-0.57, the rest slipped to 0.63. Average 0.59. Market stabilized at 0.67 a few seconds later. Unrealized +$30. +6% in seconds. It’s a test. But the loop worked end to end detection, decision, fill, before the book caught up. What we learned: network latency is part of the problem. The real bottleneck is orderbook depth. We’re competing with sharp bots, not retail on their couch. And “next goal” markets have better spreads than qualification markets. Pivoting there. What we’re building before June: fill routing across 12 venues via Jito atomic bundles. Low-signal event modeling (dangerous fouls, injuries, tactical shifts). UMA oracle hedging. Node co-location near Sportradar servers. Why the World Cup matters. 104 matches in 39 days. $2.5B+ in projected prediction market volume. Deep liquidity means bigger positions fill cleanly. Thin liquidity in group stages means wider spreads. Both environments leave serious money on the table. 56 days to ship. We’re on it.
0:35

We’re building a latency Football bot for Polymarket. Target: operational before the World Cup. Save this. The principle: pro sports feeds (Sportradar, Opta) deliver pitch events in ~200-500ms. The Polymarket orderbook takes longer to reprice thin liquidity, market makers pulling quotes while they reassess. That window is the edge. Yesterday, first live test on Bayern vs Real (Champions League QF). 86th minute, Camavinga gets his second yellow. Pipeline receives the event from Sportradar 280ms after the card. “Bayern advances” market was at ~0.55. Model recomputes to ~0.68 post-red and fires a $500 order. Partial fill as expected: ~$180 caught around 0.55-0.57, the rest slipped to 0.63. Average 0.59. Market stabilized at 0.67 a few seconds later. Unrealized +$30. +6% in seconds. It’s a test. But the loop worked end to end detection, decision, fill, before the book caught up. What we learned: network latency is part of the problem. The real bottleneck is orderbook depth. We’re competing with sharp bots, not retail on their couch. And “next goal” markets have better spreads than qualification markets. Pivoting there. What we’re building before June: fill routing across 12 venues via Jito atomic bundles. Low-signal event modeling (dangerous fouls, injuries, tactical shifts). UMA oracle hedging. Node co-location near Sportradar servers. Why the World Cup matters. 104 matches in 39 days. $2.5B+ in projected prediction market volume. Deep liquidity means bigger positions fill cleanly. Thin liquidity in group stages means wider spreads. Both environments leave serious money on the table. 56 days to ship. We’re on it.

PolyArbiter

938,475 views • 4 months ago

We built the ultimate arbitrage machine. it literally scans every prediction market into one single dashboard: > live tracking for spreads across Polymarket, Kalshi, Drift & 12+ platforms > real-time price feeds from every market > executes both sides in you profit no matter who wins > 24/7 automated scanning > free to use - we only take a cut when you profit while you're reading news and picking sides, this is running in the background. we didn't build a bot. we built infrastructure.
0:35

We built the ultimate arbitrage machine. it literally scans every prediction market into one single dashboard: > live tracking for spreads across Polymarket, Kalshi, Drift & 12+ platforms > real-time price feeds from every market > executes both sides in you profit no matter who wins > 24/7 automated scanning > free to use - we only take a cut when you profit while you're reading news and picking sides, this is running in the background. we didn't build a bot. we built infrastructure.

PolyArbiter

354,535 views • 6 months ago

My Polymarket bot is finished! It’s fully automated, I just run it and let the magic happen. At the start of each "Bitcoin Up or Down" round, the bot only watches the market during the first 2 minutes (configurable). If, during that time, either UP or DOWN drops fast enough, a price drop of at least 15% over 3 seconds (configurable), the bot triggers Leg 1 and immediately buys the side that dumped. After this first buy, the bot will never buy the same side again. Instead, it waits for a hedge opportunity on the opposite side. The hedge (Leg 2) is triggered only when: Leg1 entry price + current opposite ask price auto on [sum=0.95] [move=0.15] [windowMin=2] > shares: number of shares bought each time (for both Leg 1 and Leg 2) > sum: total price threshold that allows the hedge > move: dump threshold (e.g. 0.15 = 15%) > windowMin: number of minutes from the start of the round during which Leg 1 is allowed In this example, I ran: auto on 10 0.95 0.15 4 The bot watched the market for the first 4 minutes and bought 10 DOWN shares at $0.35 after a 17% drop in 3 seconds. A few seconds later, it bought 10 UP shares at $0.56, because: 0.56 + 0.35 = 0.91 < 0.95 That locked in a clean 9% profit. Why limit the strategy to the first 4 minutes of the round? Because early in the cycle, the market still has time to dump further and then stabilize. The closer you get to the end of the round, the lower the probability of seeing large corrective moves. Early on, there’s still time for volatility to play out. You can watch the video, the first order triggers at 2:50, and the second order at 3:02. If you’re interested in the bot, DM me.
3:38

My Polymarket bot is finished! It’s fully automated, I just run it and let the magic happen. At the start of each "Bitcoin Up or Down" round, the bot only watches the market during the first 2 minutes (configurable). If, during that time, either UP or DOWN drops fast enough, a price drop of at least 15% over 3 seconds (configurable), the bot triggers Leg 1 and immediately buys the side that dumped. After this first buy, the bot will never buy the same side again. Instead, it waits for a hedge opportunity on the opposite side. The hedge (Leg 2) is triggered only when: Leg1 entry price + current opposite ask price auto on [sum=0.95] [move=0.15] [windowMin=2] > shares: number of shares bought each time (for both Leg 1 and Leg 2) > sum: total price threshold that allows the hedge > move: dump threshold (e.g. 0.15 = 15%) > windowMin: number of minutes from the start of the round during which Leg 1 is allowed In this example, I ran: auto on 10 0.95 0.15 4 The bot watched the market for the first 4 minutes and bought 10 DOWN shares at $0.35 after a 17% drop in 3 seconds. A few seconds later, it bought 10 UP shares at $0.56, because: 0.56 + 0.35 = 0.91 < 0.95 That locked in a clean 9% profit. Why limit the strategy to the first 4 minutes of the round? Because early in the cycle, the market still has time to dump further and then stabilize. The closer you get to the end of the round, the lower the probability of seeing large corrective moves. Early on, there’s still time for volatility to play out. You can watch the video, the first order triggers at 2:50, and the second order at 3:02. If you’re interested in the bot, DM me.

The Smart Ape 🔥

202,857 views • 8 months ago

Messi deserved the Golden Ball 🐐 Giving Rodri the World Cup Golden Ball over Messi wasn’t deserved — One of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. Rodri is the heartbeat of Spain’s system, no doubt about it. But you can’t hand him the tournament’s best player award based mainly on his performances in the semifinal and final. Many people debated the controversies surrounding Argentina throughout this World Cup, but FIFA's decision to give the Golden Ball to Rodri instead of Lionel Messi was beyond belief. Messi deserved every individual award this tournament had to offer. He delivered world-class performances in every match for Argentina. If the Golden Ball isn't awarded to the best player of the tournament, then what is its purpose? Players give everything on the pitch to earn that recognition. Rodri is an outstanding footballer, but based on this World Cup alone, there is no comparison between him and Messi. The statistics speak for themselves. The performances speak for themselves. That's why this is one of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. There’s also a huge difference in the strength of the two national teams, yet that wasn’t properly taken into account. Neither was individual performance. This isn’t about statistics alone. Rodri is incredibly important and influential to his team. Messi is just as essential—arguably even more so. Not simply because of goals or assists, but because of everything he means to his team. Both are the heart of their sides, but Messi had the added edge of consistently deciding games. Since the award ultimately went to a player from the finalists, the comparison is straightforward. I honestly don’t know what they were thinking by giving it to Rodri. For me, Lionel Messi deserved the World Cup Golden Ball without a second thought.
0:52

Messi deserved the Golden Ball 🐐 Giving Rodri the World Cup Golden Ball over Messi wasn’t deserved — One of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. Rodri is the heartbeat of Spain’s system, no doubt about it. But you can’t hand him the tournament’s best player award based mainly on his performances in the semifinal and final. Many people debated the controversies surrounding Argentina throughout this World Cup, but FIFA's decision to give the Golden Ball to Rodri instead of Lionel Messi was beyond belief. Messi deserved every individual award this tournament had to offer. He delivered world-class performances in every match for Argentina. If the Golden Ball isn't awarded to the best player of the tournament, then what is its purpose? Players give everything on the pitch to earn that recognition. Rodri is an outstanding footballer, but based on this World Cup alone, there is no comparison between him and Messi. The statistics speak for themselves. The performances speak for themselves. That's why this is one of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. There’s also a huge difference in the strength of the two national teams, yet that wasn’t properly taken into account. Neither was individual performance. This isn’t about statistics alone. Rodri is incredibly important and influential to his team. Messi is just as essential—arguably even more so. Not simply because of goals or assists, but because of everything he means to his team. Both are the heart of their sides, but Messi had the added edge of consistently deciding games. Since the award ultimately went to a player from the finalists, the comparison is straightforward. I honestly don’t know what they were thinking by giving it to Rodri. For me, Lionel Messi deserved the World Cup Golden Ball without a second thought.

🅱🅸🅲🅷⚽️🆈

50,623 views • 1 month ago

A small chip inside this year’s World Cup match ball is helping referees make faster and more accurate calls. The sensor tracks the ball’s movement 500 times per second, capturing every touch and movement in real time. This gives officials more precise data to review during key moments of the match, according to Adidas, the company behind the "smart" ball. Because the sensor needs power, the ball needs to be charged before kickoff. Here’s how it works. Editor’s note: A previous version of this video incorrectly described the rechargeable built-in sensor in the World Cup match ball. This year's was the second to have that capability, not the first.
1:48

A small chip inside this year’s World Cup match ball is helping referees make faster and more accurate calls. The sensor tracks the ball’s movement 500 times per second, capturing every touch and movement in real time. This gives officials more precise data to review during key moments of the match, according to Adidas, the company behind the "smart" ball. Because the sensor needs power, the ball needs to be charged before kickoff. Here’s how it works. Editor’s note: A previous version of this video incorrectly described the rechargeable built-in sensor in the World Cup match ball. This year's was the second to have that capability, not the first.

TIME

63,310 views • 1 month ago

Giving Rodri the World Cup Golden Ball over Messi wasn’t deserved — One of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. Rodri is the heartbeat of Spain’s system, no doubt about it. But you can’t hand him the tournament’s best player award based mainly on his performances in the semifinal and final. Many people debated the controversies surrounding Argentina throughout this World Cup, but FIFA's decision to give the Golden Ball to Rodri instead of Lionel Messi was beyond belief. Messi deserved every individual award this tournament had to offer. He delivered world-class performances in every match for Argentina. If the Golden Ball isn't awarded to the best player of the tournament, then what is its purpose? Players give everything on the pitch to earn that recognition. Rodri is an outstanding footballer, but based on this World Cup alone, there is no comparison between him and Messi. The statistics speak for themselves. The performances speak for themselves. That's why this is one of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. There’s also a huge difference in the strength of the two national teams, yet that wasn’t properly taken into account. Neither was individual performance. This isn’t about statistics alone. Rodri is incredibly important and influential to his team. Messi is just as essential—arguably even more so. Not simply because of goals or assists, but because of everything he means to his team. Both are the heart of their sides, but Messi had the added edge of consistently deciding games. Since the award ultimately went to a player from the finalists, the comparison is straightforward. I honestly don’t know what they were thinking by giving it to Rodri. For me, Lionel Messi deserved the World Cup Golden Ball without a second thought.
3:09

Giving Rodri the World Cup Golden Ball over Messi wasn’t deserved — One of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. Rodri is the heartbeat of Spain’s system, no doubt about it. But you can’t hand him the tournament’s best player award based mainly on his performances in the semifinal and final. Many people debated the controversies surrounding Argentina throughout this World Cup, but FIFA's decision to give the Golden Ball to Rodri instead of Lionel Messi was beyond belief. Messi deserved every individual award this tournament had to offer. He delivered world-class performances in every match for Argentina. If the Golden Ball isn't awarded to the best player of the tournament, then what is its purpose? Players give everything on the pitch to earn that recognition. Rodri is an outstanding footballer, but based on this World Cup alone, there is no comparison between him and Messi. The statistics speak for themselves. The performances speak for themselves. That's why this is one of the most baffling decisions I've ever witnessed at a World Cup. There’s also a huge difference in the strength of the two national teams, yet that wasn’t properly taken into account. Neither was individual performance. This isn’t about statistics alone. Rodri is incredibly important and influential to his team. Messi is just as essential—arguably even more so. Not simply because of goals or assists, but because of everything he means to his team. Both are the heart of their sides, but Messi had the added edge of consistently deciding games. Since the award ultimately went to a player from the finalists, the comparison is straightforward. I honestly don’t know what they were thinking by giving it to Rodri. For me, Lionel Messi deserved the World Cup Golden Ball without a second thought.

🅱🅸🅲🅷⚽️🆈

15,044 views • 1 month ago

Polymarket front run bot Spent the last month building the backend for this bot which essentially acts the same way that high frequency trading bots work in the stock market It waits for a market buy order to come through where there is thin liquidity in the order book meaning their market buy will push the price up of a YES/NO contract meaning that if my bot buys the contracts first then I can sell them at the high price to the market buy order before their orders have gone through Prediction markets are still early enough to find opportunities like this, just like how the early days of stock trading similar bots to this were invented It is essentially an arbitrage strategy, will make the bot public and free to a few people tomorrow so turn on notifications so you don’t miss it
1:54

Polymarket front run bot Spent the last month building the backend for this bot which essentially acts the same way that high frequency trading bots work in the stock market It waits for a market buy order to come through where there is thin liquidity in the order book meaning their market buy will push the price up of a YES/NO contract meaning that if my bot buys the contracts first then I can sell them at the high price to the market buy order before their orders have gone through Prediction markets are still early enough to find opportunities like this, just like how the early days of stock trading similar bots to this were invented It is essentially an arbitrage strategy, will make the bot public and free to a few people tomorrow so turn on notifications so you don’t miss it

Ethan

71,943 views • 8 months ago

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month
0:28

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

VALIX

15,778 views • 1 month ago

🐘 Oracle elephant predicts a German victory in their next World Cup match At Cologne Zoo, 20-year-old elephant Tarak was asked to predict the outcome of the Germany–Curaçao match. Three balls were placed in front of him: one for each team and one representing a draw. It took him only a few seconds to decide. Tarak walked straight to the German ball and crushed it under his weight. According to the prediction rules, that means a bet on a German victory. He then grabbed the opposing team's ball and carried it around his enclosure. Zoo staff are confident that Germany will win its opening World Cup match “with a bang.”
0:56

🐘 Oracle elephant predicts a German victory in their next World Cup match At Cologne Zoo, 20-year-old elephant Tarak was asked to predict the outcome of the Germany–Curaçao match. Three balls were placed in front of him: one for each team and one representing a draw. It took him only a few seconds to decide. Tarak walked straight to the German ball and crushed it under his weight. According to the prediction rules, that means a bet on a German victory. He then grabbed the opposing team's ball and carried it around his enclosure. Zoo staff are confident that Germany will win its opening World Cup match “with a bang.”

NEXTA

31,080 views • 2 months ago

Brazil v Morocco: Pre-Match Analysis I think this tie could be a perfect match-up to make for an all-time World Cup Tie. Brazil will be in a 4-3-3/4-2-4: > Front-3/4 Free to Roam > Individuality in 1v1s > Combinations and Relationism to Create > Open to Counter Attacks Morocco likely in a more disciplined 4-2-3-1: > Exceptional Right-Side (Hakimi & Diaz) > Great Structure & Stopping Counters > Break at Pace & Crosses into the Box Brazil have the individuals but Morocco might have the principles to match them. I cannot wait for this one
5:35

Brazil v Morocco: Pre-Match Analysis I think this tie could be a perfect match-up to make for an all-time World Cup Tie. Brazil will be in a 4-3-3/4-2-4: > Front-3/4 Free to Roam > Individuality in 1v1s > Combinations and Relationism to Create > Open to Counter Attacks Morocco likely in a more disciplined 4-2-3-1: > Exceptional Right-Side (Hakimi & Diaz) > Great Structure & Stopping Counters > Break at Pace & Crosses into the Box Brazil have the individuals but Morocco might have the principles to match them. I cannot wait for this one

John Walker

27,986 views • 2 months ago

"This team can most certainly get to the quarterfinals – and to do that, would write themselves into the history, the hearts, the minds of the fanbase in a tournament which is gonna be massive with or without them." – roger bennett on the USMNT's chances at the World Cup
1:27

"This team can most certainly get to the quarterfinals – and to do that, would write themselves into the history, the hearts, the minds of the fanbase in a tournament which is gonna be massive with or without them." – roger bennett on the USMNT's chances at the World Cup

Dan Patrick Show

40,992 views • 2 months ago

The question of whether Polymarket will ban bots is not what you should be thinking about. The right question is how one Python bot manages to make $736K a week. I'm talking about the wallet SeriouslySirius. Its stats look like a glitch in the matrix 400K% ROI and over $3.8M in net profit. His profile: Here's how it works. There's no magic or gut feeling for picking winners. It's pure math and algorithms. The secret behind the strategy: It doesn't guess outcomes. The bot doesn't try to figure out who will win. It trades price differences. Only liquid markets. NFL and NBA. Huge volumes there so you can enter a $500K position without crashing the market instantly. Vegas as the benchmark. The bot is tied to Vegas bookmaker lines not to crowd emotions on Polymarket. Catching lag. This is the real juice. When a Vegas line moves by 0.5 to 1 point Polymarket lags for a few minutes. The bot sees this movement before everyone else and jumps into the trade while the platform price hasn't caught up yet. This gives 3 to 8 cents of guaranteed profit per dollar. Buying underdogs. If the crowd overvalues the favorite the bot buys the underdog below 50 cents and just waits for the market to correct the price. Will it get banned? Probably not. The bot doesn't break the system it makes it more efficient by adding liquidity. Essentially this is not a gambler but a high frequency hedge fund operating on sports events. This is an example of how Python code and understanding market mechanics beats any expert analysis. Copying this manually is almost impossible because you simply can't keep up with the robot in those 2 to 3 minutes when the opportunity window opens. But the logic itself of looking for price mismatches relative to Vegas is a solid approach. Tracking wallets that repeat this execution pattern is easier with PolyCop
0:31

The question of whether Polymarket will ban bots is not what you should be thinking about. The right question is how one Python bot manages to make $736K a week. I'm talking about the wallet SeriouslySirius. Its stats look like a glitch in the matrix 400K% ROI and over $3.8M in net profit. His profile: Here's how it works. There's no magic or gut feeling for picking winners. It's pure math and algorithms. The secret behind the strategy: It doesn't guess outcomes. The bot doesn't try to figure out who will win. It trades price differences. Only liquid markets. NFL and NBA. Huge volumes there so you can enter a $500K position without crashing the market instantly. Vegas as the benchmark. The bot is tied to Vegas bookmaker lines not to crowd emotions on Polymarket. Catching lag. This is the real juice. When a Vegas line moves by 0.5 to 1 point Polymarket lags for a few minutes. The bot sees this movement before everyone else and jumps into the trade while the platform price hasn't caught up yet. This gives 3 to 8 cents of guaranteed profit per dollar. Buying underdogs. If the crowd overvalues the favorite the bot buys the underdog below 50 cents and just waits for the market to correct the price. Will it get banned? Probably not. The bot doesn't break the system it makes it more efficient by adding liquidity. Essentially this is not a gambler but a high frequency hedge fund operating on sports events. This is an example of how Python code and understanding market mechanics beats any expert analysis. Copying this manually is almost impossible because you simply can't keep up with the robot in those 2 to 3 minutes when the opportunity window opens. But the logic itself of looking for price mismatches relative to Vegas is a solid approach. Tracking wallets that repeat this execution pattern is easier with PolyCop

Blaze

26,369 views • 7 months ago

SHOW how YOU use Puntrr and stand a chance to win 10K DAILY! 🤝 Open the app, use the AI to predict any World Cup match, post your video on X and tag us PuntrrAi with #PuntrrMyWay — that's it. Most impressions wins ₦100,000. Plus ₦10,000 up for grabs every single day. Winning isn't required. Showing up is 👀 Download the app and join the challenge. Active subscribers only ⬇️ #PuntrrMyWay
0:45

SHOW how YOU use Puntrr and stand a chance to win 10K DAILY! 🤝 Open the app, use the AI to predict any World Cup match, post your video on X and tag us PuntrrAi with #PuntrrMyWay — that's it. Most impressions wins ₦100,000. Plus ₦10,000 up for grabs every single day. Winning isn't required. Showing up is 👀 Download the app and join the challenge. Active subscribers only ⬇️ #PuntrrMyWay

PuntrrAi

52,753 views • 2 months ago

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)
0:26

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$187,955 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 6 core elements: 1. At the start of each new 5-minute market, it gets the starting BTC price and compares it with the price at the end of the interval 2. Then it uses an external data source and constantly estimates the probability of Up or Down 3. For the calculation, it uses volatility, short-term momentum, price change speed, trading volume, and order imbalance 4. After that, the algorithm compares its own probability estimate with the price on Polymarket and buys the undervalued outcome 5. If BTC reverses, the model starts seeing the opposite outcome as more likely and buys it 6. By the end of the market, it holds a certain amount of both Up and Down, but one side is overweighted, and the final imbalance becomes its directional position His Polymarket username: 0xAAAAA Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $8.6k into $188k His best trades: $573.85 -> $2,400.00 (+318.23%) $801.35 -> $2,400.00 (+199.49%) $927.26 -> $2,600.00 (+180.39%)

VALIX

13,971 views • 1 month ago

Using Claude Fable 5, I built a model that predicts the entire 2026 FIFA world cup.. every single game, not just the final.. so let me break the whole thing down. what it does, how it works, and exactly how i built it.. #1 First what it does: it predicts all 104 games of the tournament. not just who lifts the trophy, but every group match, every knockout, the full path from the round of 32 to the final.. everything lands in one dashboard: > group stage, every match with each team's win % and the chance of a draw > standings, how all 12 groups are projected to finish > bracket, the full knockout tree with each team's odds of advancing > champion odds, who's most likely to actually win it all and it doesn't freeze after one prediction. the moment a real game is played, it locks that result in and re-runs everything around it. so the odds move live as the tournament goes, week by week you watch favorites rise and contenders collapse. #2. How it works: the core idea is simple. the model only ever predicts one thing, a single match. the real trick is the repetition. it learns from decades of match history, then plays the whole tournament out from the first game to the final, tens of thousands of times. each run it records who advanced and who won. do that enough and you stop getting one guess and start getting real odds, one team lifts the trophy in maybe 14% of the runs, another in 9%, and so on. #3. So, how i built it ? i didn't hand-write most of the code. i broke the project into 4 pieces, described each one to fable, and let it build while i focused on getting the football logic exactly right. - The data every international match going back over a century, around 50,000 games, plus each team's elo rating, which is the truest measure of strength, and the official 2026 schedule. garbage data means garbage predictions, so this part mattered most. - The features i turned that raw history into signals the model can learn from, the elo gap between the two teams, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and a home boost for the hosts, usa, canada and mexico. - The model for each match it predicts the expected goals for both sides, then turns that into win, draw and loss probabilities plus a likely scoreline. that's what feeds the simulation. - The tournament engine this was the hard part. the 2026 world cup is brand new, 48 teams, 12 groups, a round of 32 that's never existed before, and 8 "best third-placed" teams that slot into the bracket by a fixed fifa table. even the group tiebreakers changed this year, head to head now counts before goal difference. get any of it wrong and the whole bracket falls apart, so i built it carefully and tested the format until it was exact, then wrapped it in a simulation loop that plays the tournament out tens of thousands of times. and the last piece, the live part. as real results come in, they get locked, and only the unplayed games get re-simulated. that's what makes it a living model instead of a one-time prediction. all of it outputs to a clean dashboard you can actually read and screenshot.. right now, before kickoff, it already has a clear favorite to lift the trophy.. 👀 btw who's your pick to win the 2026 world cup?
0:20

Using Claude Fable 5, I built a model that predicts the entire 2026 FIFA world cup.. every single game, not just the final.. so let me break the whole thing down. what it does, how it works, and exactly how i built it.. #1 First what it does: it predicts all 104 games of the tournament. not just who lifts the trophy, but every group match, every knockout, the full path from the round of 32 to the final.. everything lands in one dashboard: > group stage, every match with each team's win % and the chance of a draw > standings, how all 12 groups are projected to finish > bracket, the full knockout tree with each team's odds of advancing > champion odds, who's most likely to actually win it all and it doesn't freeze after one prediction. the moment a real game is played, it locks that result in and re-runs everything around it. so the odds move live as the tournament goes, week by week you watch favorites rise and contenders collapse. #2. How it works: the core idea is simple. the model only ever predicts one thing, a single match. the real trick is the repetition. it learns from decades of match history, then plays the whole tournament out from the first game to the final, tens of thousands of times. each run it records who advanced and who won. do that enough and you stop getting one guess and start getting real odds, one team lifts the trophy in maybe 14% of the runs, another in 9%, and so on. #3. So, how i built it ? i didn't hand-write most of the code. i broke the project into 4 pieces, described each one to fable, and let it build while i focused on getting the football logic exactly right. - The data every international match going back over a century, around 50,000 games, plus each team's elo rating, which is the truest measure of strength, and the official 2026 schedule. garbage data means garbage predictions, so this part mattered most. - The features i turned that raw history into signals the model can learn from, the elo gap between the two teams, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and a home boost for the hosts, usa, canada and mexico. - The model for each match it predicts the expected goals for both sides, then turns that into win, draw and loss probabilities plus a likely scoreline. that's what feeds the simulation. - The tournament engine this was the hard part. the 2026 world cup is brand new, 48 teams, 12 groups, a round of 32 that's never existed before, and 8 "best third-placed" teams that slot into the bracket by a fixed fifa table. even the group tiebreakers changed this year, head to head now counts before goal difference. get any of it wrong and the whole bracket falls apart, so i built it carefully and tested the format until it was exact, then wrapped it in a simulation loop that plays the tournament out tens of thousands of times. and the last piece, the live part. as real results come in, they get locked, and only the unplayed games get re-simulated. that's what makes it a living model instead of a one-time prediction. all of it outputs to a clean dashboard you can actually read and screenshot.. right now, before kickoff, it already has a clear favorite to lift the trophy.. 👀 btw who's your pick to win the 2026 world cup?

Axel Bitblaze 🪓

63,796 views • 2 months ago

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$201,827 in 1.5 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Calculates a fair value for Up and Down, then buys the undervalued outcome 2. To do this, it analyzes the current deviation from the starting price, the order book, short-term momentum, current volatility, and movement speed 3. If the underlying asset starts moving in the opposite direction, it buys the second side 4. Buying the second outcome works either as a hedge or as a way to build a paired position below $1 5. It leaves the unhedged remainder as a directional position if its model sees that outcome as more likely His Polymarket username: mo-money Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital That’s how he turned $19.7k into $201.8k in 1.5 months of trading His best trades: $151.64 -> $1,322.07 (+771.83%) $225.00 -> $1,749.64 (+677.63%) $222.00 -> $1,376.68 (+520.12%)
0:26

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$201,827 in 1.5 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 5 core elements: 1. Calculates a fair value for Up and Down, then buys the undervalued outcome 2. To do this, it analyzes the current deviation from the starting price, the order book, short-term momentum, current volatility, and movement speed 3. If the underlying asset starts moving in the opposite direction, it buys the second side 4. Buying the second outcome works either as a hedge or as a way to build a paired position below $1 5. It leaves the unhedged remainder as a directional position if its model sees that outcome as more likely His Polymarket username: mo-money Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital That’s how he turned $19.7k into $201.8k in 1.5 months of trading His best trades: $151.64 -> $1,322.07 (+771.83%) $225.00 -> $1,749.64 (+677.63%) $222.00 -> $1,376.68 (+520.12%)

VALIX

18,880 views • 1 month ago

I vibe-coded a bot for the 5M / 15M BTC markets on Polymarket. Releasing it for you for free. Open source (Python). I just earned $400 today on Polymarket with this tool myself It doesn’t trade It just prints a signal in the console: UP or DOWN 🔸 The signal appears a few seconds before the Polymarket market actually moves. The bot exploits a Chainlink oracle inefficiency. What matters is that it consistently gives you a 4-8 second lead over the actual quotes on Polymarket. In practice, you’re seeing a few seconds into the future. What you can do with it: 🔸 Possible strategies: 1/ Momentum sniper Bot gives a signal -> instant entry into the current 5-minute market in the direction of the signal (Yes/No). Works best during strong moves >0.3-0.5%. 2/ Last-second scalp before market expiration 3-12 seconds before the 5-minute candle closes, you already see where the BTC candle is going to close. -> Enter Polymarket at the very last moment. 3/ Hedging + arbitrage Strong signal against the current Yes/No price -> hedge your position or catch crowd squeezes. Especially juicy in the final seconds, when odds are still fat, but the outcome is almost decided. 🔸 This is pure price update inefficiency. Open the 5M or 15M BTC market yourself. Run the bot. Watch who moves first. Until this gets tightened up - it’s a clean inefficiency. And yes, if you ape your entire deposit into it, the market will punish you fast. 🔸 But as a tool - this is the closest thing to a "Polymarket money printer" setup I’ve seen recently. Python bot setup instructions on GitHub: DYOR. Print hard, print smart.
1:05

I vibe-coded a bot for the 5M / 15M BTC markets on Polymarket. Releasing it for you for free. Open source (Python). I just earned $400 today on Polymarket with this tool myself It doesn’t trade It just prints a signal in the console: UP or DOWN 🔸 The signal appears a few seconds before the Polymarket market actually moves. The bot exploits a Chainlink oracle inefficiency. What matters is that it consistently gives you a 4-8 second lead over the actual quotes on Polymarket. In practice, you’re seeing a few seconds into the future. What you can do with it: 🔸 Possible strategies: 1/ Momentum sniper Bot gives a signal -> instant entry into the current 5-minute market in the direction of the signal (Yes/No). Works best during strong moves >0.3-0.5%. 2/ Last-second scalp before market expiration 3-12 seconds before the 5-minute candle closes, you already see where the BTC candle is going to close. -> Enter Polymarket at the very last moment. 3/ Hedging + arbitrage Strong signal against the current Yes/No price -> hedge your position or catch crowd squeezes. Especially juicy in the final seconds, when odds are still fat, but the outcome is almost decided. 🔸 This is pure price update inefficiency. Open the 5M or 15M BTC market yourself. Run the bot. Watch who moves first. Until this gets tightened up - it’s a clean inefficiency. And yes, if you ape your entire deposit into it, the market will punish you fast. 🔸 But as a tool - this is the closest thing to a "Polymarket money printer" setup I’ve seen recently. Python bot setup instructions on GitHub: DYOR. Print hard, print smart.

0xLanister

18,390 views • 6 months ago