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"We risk going from short-term disruption to long-term structural damage to the oil market," Mohamed A. El-Erian tells me. "The increase in the oil price is going to persist for a while and that is going to mean not only higher interest rates, but lower growth, higher unemployment and... show more

Christiane Amanpour

3,012,762 subscribers

188,069 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

Новости и политика Финансы

Anya Rossi• Live Now

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🇨🇦 greatest economic risk is not a short recession but lasting damage. Economist John Drummond warns that weak productivity, record deficits, and rising trade uncertainty with the 🇺🇸 threaten long term growth. With roughly three quarters of 🇨🇦 merchandise exports tied to one market, even uncertainty alone can stall investment. If export capacity is lost, the damage is structural, lower growth, higher permanent unemployment, and less room to fund public services. Young 🇨🇦 are already feeling the impact through weaker job prospects and housing that remains out of reach. Ignoring these warnings does not make the risk disappear. It only makes the consequences harder to reverse.

🇨🇦 greatest economic risk is not a short recession but lasting damage. Economist John Drummond warns that weak productivity, record deficits, and rising trade uncertainty with the 🇺🇸 threaten long term growth. With roughly three quarters of 🇨🇦 merchandise exports tied to one market, even uncertainty alone can stall investment. If export capacity is lost, the damage is structural, lower growth, higher permanent unemployment, and less room to fund public services. Young 🇨🇦 are already feeling the impact through weaker job prospects and housing that remains out of reach. Ignoring these warnings does not make the risk disappear. It only makes the consequences harder to reverse.

Shazi

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White House official Jarrod Agen: We're not going to have to worry about these issues in the Strait of Hormuz, because we're going to get all of the oil out of the hands of terrorists. "This is a long-term game because what we want to do is get such massive oil reserves in Iran out of the hands of terrorists. What we're going to experience here in the short term is highly outweighed of the long-term benefit," he said.

White House official Jarrod Agen: We're not going to have to worry about these issues in the Strait of Hormuz, because we're going to get all of the oil out of the hands of terrorists. "This is a long-term game because what we want to do is get such massive oil reserves in Iran out of the hands of terrorists. What we're going to experience here in the short term is highly outweighed of the long-term benefit," he said.

Anton Gerashchenko

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CNBC: What is the bigger risk for the Fed -- higher inflation or higher unemployment? HASSETT: The bottom line is the Fed should be able to lower rates and I expect that's what's going to happen when my friend Kevin Warsh gets in there

CNBC: What is the bigger risk for the Fed -- higher inflation or higher unemployment? HASSETT: The bottom line is the Fed should be able to lower rates and I expect that's what's going to happen when my friend Kevin Warsh gets in there

Aaron Rupar

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"I think the Fed's going to have to be very nimble in how they navigate this risk. Obviously if the US is headed toward an economic downturn cutting rates is probably going to be the response. If rates are high and we're not going down that recession path...rates could go a little bit higher in the near term." KKR Joseph Bae #BloombergInvest Sonali Basak ⏯️

"I think the Fed's going to have to be very nimble in how they navigate this risk. Obviously if the US is headed toward an economic downturn cutting rates is probably going to be the response. If rates are high and we're not going down that recession path...rates could go a little bit higher in the near term." KKR Joseph Bae #BloombergInvest Sonali Basak ⏯️

Bloomberg Live

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.Karoline Leavitt: "President Donald J. Trump and his energy team are on the ball. They've announced political risk insurance for cargo vessels and oil ships...President Donald J. Trump is also tapping into our newfound market in Venezuela...This is a short-term disruption...but ultimately, taking out the rogue Iranian regime is going to be a good thing for the oil industry, and those prices are going to come back down just like they have over the course of the past year because of President Trump's American energy dominance agenda."

.Karoline Leavitt: "President Donald J. Trump and his energy team are on the ball. They've announced political risk insurance for cargo vessels and oil ships...President Donald J. Trump is also tapping into our newfound market in Venezuela...This is a short-term disruption...but ultimately, taking out the rogue Iranian regime is going to be a good thing for the oil industry, and those prices are going to come back down just like they have over the course of the past year because of President Trump's American energy dominance agenda."

Rapid Response 47

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Is Oil price going up and the Asian market down a few percent going to be the end of the world economy? Is that Whale Guru guy right? It's not the most organized video that I've made, but here's a 33 minute rant for you tonight on oil and the market.

Is Oil price going up and the Asian market down a few percent going to be the end of the world economy? Is that Whale Guru guy right? It's not the most organized video that I've made, but here's a 33 minute rant for you tonight on oil and the market.

Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈

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Mockler: When they announced the tariffs, they said this is short term pain for long term gain. That was like 12 months ago. And we're still in the short term pain part. When are we going to enter the long term gain part because tariffs imposed $1,000 tax on American families in 2025. Now this war is spiking, the price of oil spiking the price of gas spiking everything. And the economy is suffering.

Mockler: When they announced the tariffs, they said this is short term pain for long term gain. That was like 12 months ago. And we're still in the short term pain part. When are we going to enter the long term gain part because tariffs imposed $1,000 tax on American families in 2025. Now this war is spiking, the price of oil spiking the price of gas spiking everything. And the economy is suffering.

Acyn

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🇺🇸 SEN KENNEDY: RATE CUTS MEAN NOTHING IF CONGRESS KEEPS BURNING CASH "Monetary policy is important, and the Fed is in charge of it. But monetary policy is not the only thing that’s important; fiscal policy matters too. I don’t care how low the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates. If the U.S. Congress is profligate in its spending, if it throws money around like it’s pond water, if it runs up $37 trillion in debt and deficit spends to the tune of 7% every year, that also impacts employment, economic growth, and inflation. In fact, the Federal Reserve can lower short-term rates through the Open Market Committee all it wants. But that doesn’t necessarily mean long-term rates, 10 years and above, are going to go down. Because the bond market counts too. You can lower rates as much as you want, but if the bond market thinks inflation is on the horizon, those long-term rates are going to keep going up, or at least stay steady." Source: John Kennedy

🇺🇸 SEN KENNEDY: RATE CUTS MEAN NOTHING IF CONGRESS KEEPS BURNING CASH "Monetary policy is important, and the Fed is in charge of it. But monetary policy is not the only thing that’s important; fiscal policy matters too. I don’t care how low the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates. If the U.S. Congress is profligate in its spending, if it throws money around like it’s pond water, if it runs up $37 trillion in debt and deficit spends to the tune of 7% every year, that also impacts employment, economic growth, and inflation. In fact, the Federal Reserve can lower short-term rates through the Open Market Committee all it wants. But that doesn’t necessarily mean long-term rates, 10 years and above, are going to go down. Because the bond market counts too. You can lower rates as much as you want, but if the bond market thinks inflation is on the horizon, those long-term rates are going to keep going up, or at least stay steady." Source: John Kennedy

Mario Nawfal

40,547 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

🚨 NEW: BlackRock Chairman and CEO Larry Fink tells Fox News’ Bret Baier the conflict with Iran will NOT have a lasting economic impact and may lead to LOWER oil prices: "Do I believe the war is going to be lasting a long time? No. Do I believe oil is going be reverting back to where it was? Maybe even lower." "If the outcome of the war is a neutralized Iran, and they are allowed to be selling … oil products into the market again, I mean there's probably a great probability that oil is gonna be below 50.” "We have seen many people pulling out of the market. And, to me, that is the wrong outcome," Fink argues. "In fact, I've been getting so many texts, ‘What should I do?’ And I said, ‘Buy more here.’ This is a good long-term opportunity."

🚨 NEW: BlackRock Chairman and CEO Larry Fink tells Fox News’ Bret Baier the conflict with Iran will NOT have a lasting economic impact and may lead to LOWER oil prices: "Do I believe the war is going to be lasting a long time? No. Do I believe oil is going be reverting back to where it was? Maybe even lower." "If the outcome of the war is a neutralized Iran, and they are allowed to be selling … oil products into the market again, I mean there's probably a great probability that oil is gonna be below 50.” "We have seen many people pulling out of the market. And, to me, that is the wrong outcome," Fink argues. "In fact, I've been getting so many texts, ‘What should I do?’ And I said, ‘Buy more here.’ This is a good long-term opportunity."

TV News Now

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This is what the entire video is intended to couch. It’s the only part that matters. “We can’t afford to restrain the growth of an important part of our energy mix, oil and gas, to meet a short term goal,” Carney said. “Our emissions will be higher in the next few years”

This is what the entire video is intended to couch. It’s the only part that matters. “We can’t afford to restrain the growth of an important part of our energy mix, oil and gas, to meet a short term goal,” Carney said. “Our emissions will be higher in the next few years”

Rachel Gilmore

254,101 просмотров • 17 дней назад

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok believes there is going to be a short-term disturbance in the bond market and 50 years of security in the Middle East that will keep oil prices down

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok believes there is going to be a short-term disturbance in the bond market and 50 years of security in the Middle East that will keep oil prices down

Bloomberg TV

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Yesterday’s increase in Interest rates is not going to do anything to fix the underlying structural imbalances in our economy. It is not going to help build one oil refinery or find a new discovery oil. The reason we have persistent inflation in Australia is because our government is running high immigration, high spending programs alongside chronic underinvestment in infrastructure and manufacturing after decades of privatisation. It is completely absurd that the Australian people are now going to be punished with higher interest rates alongside higher fuel costs. The higher fuel costs is in-itself going to dampen demand by increasing the cost of living so why pour fuel on the fire by increasing the cost of living even more. We are in this mess because of government spending not because Australians are spending too much just to survive. Manipulating interest rates is only dealing with the symptom not the cause. Notwithstanding we can’t solve inflation in the next 30 days, Australia needs to start building more infrastructure and factories and training our children the trades needed to do it. This will increase the supply of essential goods to bring inflation down. People First is the only party with the policies that will do this. We will create an infrastructure bank to fund the infrastructure free from foreign debt and we will bring back the military apprenticeship scheme to train our children how to build and maintain the infrastructure and manufacturing plants. Sign up today at

Yesterday’s increase in Interest rates is not going to do anything to fix the underlying structural imbalances in our economy. It is not going to help build one oil refinery or find a new discovery oil. The reason we have persistent inflation in Australia is because our government is running high immigration, high spending programs alongside chronic underinvestment in infrastructure and manufacturing after decades of privatisation. It is completely absurd that the Australian people are now going to be punished with higher interest rates alongside higher fuel costs. The higher fuel costs is in-itself going to dampen demand by increasing the cost of living so why pour fuel on the fire by increasing the cost of living even more. We are in this mess because of government spending not because Australians are spending too much just to survive. Manipulating interest rates is only dealing with the symptom not the cause. Notwithstanding we can’t solve inflation in the next 30 days, Australia needs to start building more infrastructure and factories and training our children the trades needed to do it. This will increase the supply of essential goods to bring inflation down. People First is the only party with the policies that will do this. We will create an infrastructure bank to fund the infrastructure free from foreign debt and we will bring back the military apprenticeship scheme to train our children how to build and maintain the infrastructure and manufacturing plants. Sign up today at

Gerard Rennick

28,618 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

“The rest of the world is going to suffer the consequences of this volatility.” Professor Mohamed El-Erian warns of the “journey” and “execution risk” towards lower tariffs and non tariff barriers. #Newsnight

“The rest of the world is going to suffer the consequences of this volatility.” Professor Mohamed El-Erian warns of the “journey” and “execution risk” towards lower tariffs and non tariff barriers. #Newsnight

BBC Newsnight

56,896 просмотров • 1 год назад

A short-term oil price shock is not going to create sky high inflation in America. Everyone needs to take a deep breath and relax. Deflation is still a much bigger concern for the US economy. I explained to CNBC's Morgan Brennan this morning.

A short-term oil price shock is not going to create sky high inflation in America. Everyone needs to take a deep breath and relax. Deflation is still a much bigger concern for the US economy. I explained to CNBC's Morgan Brennan this morning.

Anthony Pompliano 🌪

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🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 "THE U.S. CANNOT BE TRUSTED - LONG TERM, INSTABILITY IS COMING" The U.S. just pulled off a lightning-fast takedown of Maduro, and the world is watching closely. According to Alex Christoforou, no country can trust the U.S. Russia, China, Iran: all taking notes. Trump is already calling it a win, but Alex says long-term chaos in Venezuela is inevitable. The operation was fast, clean, and deadly quiet. But instability is coming, and America might not be ready for the fallout this time. "What every country is going to be saying is that the United States cannot be trusted. Russia is going to take notice of this. China is going to take notice of this. Every country is going to take notice of this. Netanyahu was in Mar-a-Lago just the other day and he was selling Trump on a round 2 conflict against Iran. Long term, most likely you’re going to get a lot of instability. In the short term, Trump is going to position this as a victory, and it is a victory. It was fast. It was quick. From what we’re getting, no casualties." Alex Christoforou

🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 "THE U.S. CANNOT BE TRUSTED - LONG TERM, INSTABILITY IS COMING" The U.S. just pulled off a lightning-fast takedown of Maduro, and the world is watching closely. According to Alex Christoforou, no country can trust the U.S. Russia, China, Iran: all taking notes. Trump is already calling it a win, but Alex says long-term chaos in Venezuela is inevitable. The operation was fast, clean, and deadly quiet. But instability is coming, and America might not be ready for the fallout this time. "What every country is going to be saying is that the United States cannot be trusted. Russia is going to take notice of this. China is going to take notice of this. Every country is going to take notice of this. Netanyahu was in Mar-a-Lago just the other day and he was selling Trump on a round 2 conflict against Iran. Long term, most likely you’re going to get a lot of instability. In the short term, Trump is going to position this as a victory, and it is a victory. It was fast. It was quick. From what we’re getting, no casualties." Alex Christoforou

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🚨 John Hope Bryant shuts down the myth that chasing money is the goal. He explains how that mindset is only a short-term fix—and breaks down why building assets and focusing on long-term financial strategies is the real key to going from paycheck to paycheck to true financial freedom 💰📈

🚨 John Hope Bryant shuts down the myth that chasing money is the goal. He explains how that mindset is only a short-term fix—and breaks down why building assets and focusing on long-term financial strategies is the real key to going from paycheck to paycheck to true financial freedom 💰📈

The Breakfast Club

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Rick Rule: Oil surged in anticipation of a shortage...By 2029, we will experience a structural shortage. - The oil industry is underinvesting by ~$1B/day - The only supply growth, US shale, is peaking - Damaged oil infrastructure will take time to repair This will impact future oil production. Meanwhile: - Oil demand is growing by ~1mbpd annually - SPRs and inventories have to be refilled In other words, we have a perfect storm of lower future supply and higher future demand. This will set the stage for a prolonged oil bull market.

Rick Rule: Oil surged in anticipation of a shortage...By 2029, we will experience a structural shortage. - The oil industry is underinvesting by ~$1B/day - The only supply growth, US shale, is peaking - Damaged oil infrastructure will take time to repair This will impact future oil production. Meanwhile: - Oil demand is growing by ~1mbpd annually - SPRs and inventories have to be refilled In other words, we have a perfect storm of lower future supply and higher future demand. This will set the stage for a prolonged oil bull market.

Lukas Ekwueme

57,031 просмотров • 9 дней назад

Rick Rule: Gold will do well over the long term, but expect short-term volatility. In the short term, as a consequence of the Iran war: - Countries have to sell gold to fund domestic needs - Higher interest rates make the USD more attractive vs gold In the long term: - The US can't afford high rates - Debt-to-GDP is too high - Deficits are surging Which will result in massive money printing and a severe loss of purchasing power for the USD in the coming years, reminiscent of the 70s, which will be bullish for gold and other hard assets. Short term pain, long term gain

Rick Rule: Gold will do well over the long term, but expect short-term volatility. In the short term, as a consequence of the Iran war: - Countries have to sell gold to fund domestic needs - Higher interest rates make the USD more attractive vs gold In the long term: - The US can't afford high rates - Debt-to-GDP is too high - Deficits are surging Which will result in massive money printing and a severe loss of purchasing power for the USD in the coming years, reminiscent of the 70s, which will be bullish for gold and other hard assets. Short term pain, long term gain

Lukas Ekwueme

96,880 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

.Howard Lutnick: "We are going to have historic growth rates in the United States of America. And that does not create inflation. Energy prices are coming down. I think what you should see is lower rates here and higher growth to finally get the Golden Age of America."

.Howard Lutnick: "We are going to have historic growth rates in the United States of America. And that does not create inflation. Energy prices are coming down. I think what you should see is lower rates here and higher growth to finally get the Golden Age of America."

Trump War Room

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💵 “I must say I’m more worried than the average,” Allianz chief economic adviser and president of Queens’ College, Cambridge, Mohamed El-Erian, told CNBC. He said the war is triggering both a “price shock” and a “demand shock,” warning of a chain reaction from “energy shock” to “inflation shock” to “demand destruction,” with Asia already fearing “actual physical shortages,” raising the risk of financial instability if the conflict continues. “I’ve gone from reduced risk to maximum risk off,” said El-Erian.

💵 “I must say I’m more worried than the average,” Allianz chief economic adviser and president of Queens’ College, Cambridge, Mohamed El-Erian, told CNBC. He said the war is triggering both a “price shock” and a “demand shock,” warning of a chain reaction from “energy shock” to “inflation shock” to “demand destruction,” with Asia already fearing “actual physical shortages,” raising the risk of financial instability if the conflict continues. “I’ve gone from reduced risk to maximum risk off,” said El-Erian.

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