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🇦🇪 WeRide & Uber launched Middle East’s 1st fully driverless Robotaxi commercial ops in Abu Dhabi! Also the 1st city outside U.S. offering L4 ops on Uber platform. Public rides now available on Yas via UberX, Uber Comfort, or “Autonomous” category. On track for breakeven. $WRD

792,724 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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One side says Tesla will kill Uber. The other says Uber owns the customer relationship and can just aggregate competing robotaxi fleets. I think both miss what changes when you remove the human driver. Uber built an incredible business around a scarce resource: people willing to drive other people around. Recruiting those drivers, coordinating them, and connecting them with riders is difficult. Uber solved a real problem. But a robotaxi network changes that equation. Once you solve autonomous driving safely, you can grow supply by manufacturing vehicles. You don’t have to recruit another human for every additional car. That’s a completely different business. Imagine a company putting enough robotaxis into a city to offer much shorter waits at half the price of Uber. How hard is it to convince someone to download another app at that point? People talk about Uber’s brand, payment relationships, and existing users as if those automatically carry over into a robotaxi world. They matter. But I think people underestimate how quickly a dramatically better service can create demand for its own network. And this is where the “Uber will aggregate everyone else” argument gets difficult. If another company actually solves robotaxis and can deploy them at scale, why would it keep giving Uber a meaningful cut of every ride? Why wouldn’t it build its own network and pass those savings to customers? Uber might help it get started. That doesn’t mean Uber remains essential once it scales. There’s an even bigger problem for the second and third robotaxi networks: they have to compete with whoever gets to scale first. I mean real scale. Enough vehicles, coverage, and availability that the service feels significantly better to the customer. A few impressive demos don’t establish that. Once a network reaches that point, the next competitor has to match its availability AND its price. That could require a lot of subsidies while building out a fleet. This is why I think Tesla’s work on Cybercab manufacturing is such a big deal. A competitor needs great autonomous driving software. But it also needs a vehicle cost structure that lets it compete sustainably. Tesla is working on both sides of that equation. If Tesla gets the software right and scales a much cheaper vehicle, that combination becomes extremely difficult to compete against. Does that mean Uber goes bankrupt overnight? I don’t think so. There are plenty of services where people want or need a human involved. Delivery, assistance, specialized transportation. Habits also change more slowly than people in the tech world sometimes assume. Uber has room to adapt. But I think a true robotaxi network becomes a different class of transportation: cheaper, more available, and useful for far more trips. The big questions are when Tesla can reach the required safety and reliability, how quickly it can deploy, and who else can match the complete service at a competitive cost.

Dave Lee

89,971 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

If you're interested in Tesla Robotaxi, Tesla AI or Tesla FSD, then you ought to know about jimmah . He's probably the one person who's done the deepest public dives on Tesla FSD and Tesla AI over the years. In fact, over the past 4 years I've published 40+ videos (!) with James Douma on Tesla AI/FSD (they are all on a playlist on my YouTube channel). I first discovered James Douma a long time ago (maybe almost 8-10 years ago?) on a web forum called . Back then it was one of the only places for early Tesla owners and TSLA investors to discuss issues deeply. While I posted about investing topics, James posted about Tesla Autopilot and its hardware but in a way that was more thorough than anybody else. When I started posting YouTube videos years later, I invited him on my channel to hear his thoughts on Tesla Autopilot/FSD. It was a riveting discussion and I was surprised at how much I could learn from him. I invited him again for another interview on my channel, and once again I was floored by how much I was learning. So over the years, James has been a great resource for me (and many others) to keep pulse on what Tesla is doing with FSD and AI (and even robotics). He doesn't have his own YouTube channel. He doesn't have any paid services or subscriptions. He probably has mixed feelings about so many people knowing about him. But I appreciate his willingness over the years to be available and help the Tesla community by offering his insights and knowledge. Yesterday I spent most of the day with James taking Robotaxi rides and discussion all things Robotaxi: - current state of Robotaxi - quality of Robotaxi rides - possible scaling plans - challenges - comparison to Waymo and others - Tesla AI 5 - and much more Attached is a 2+ hour edited video of our Robotaxi rides and discussion. We also had an hour+ discussion on Optimus humanoid robots that I'll upload as a separate video tomorrow.

Dave Lee

104,758 просмотров • 1 год назад