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ะะฐ ะณะปะฐะฒะฝัƒัŽ

๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต $๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฐ,๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿญ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜†. ๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ป'๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต? My guest today, Roger Ibbotson, Yale Professor and creator of the SBBI data the entire industry quotes, built the numbers and has the answer. We get into: โ€ข Why young investors should be...

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Meb Faber

143,842 subscribers

12,701 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด โ€ขvia X (Twitter)

ะšะพะผะผะตะฝั‚ะฐั€ะธะธ: 7

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั Meb Faber
Meb Faber21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Apple: Spotify: YouTube:

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั Aaron Randak, CFPยฎ, EA
Aaron Randak, CFPยฎ, EA21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Because nobody gets the 1926 holding period. Investors interrupt it - a house, a job loss, tuition, then retirement withdrawals. The compounding math assumes no cash ever leaves, and every dollar that leaves in a down year never comes back to compound. That gap is the answer.

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั D. Amirault
D. Amirault21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Are we richer with healthcare, better vehicles, homes, roads etc maybe thatโ€™s where the money went. Maybe even a lot of unproductive jobs in industries and government. Just my guess

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั it's sophia
it's sophia21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

So real

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั Timothy Norton
Timothy Norton21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Of course you had to invest in a company that survived and you needed not to be starving, homeless or in desperate need of money.

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั Peatmoss
Peatmoss21 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Because most people alive have minimal capital and werenโ€™t around in 1926. I have hundreds of HNW clients and see this reality. True time horizons arenโ€™t that long.

ะคะพั‚ะพ ะฟั€ะพั„ะธะปั MoneyAlchemist
MoneyAlchemist20 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

The gap between $1 turning into $14,751 and what actual investors earn is the whole behavioral story. I've watched allocation decks get abandoned at exactly the wrong moment. Compounding is simple, staying in it is not.

ะŸะพั…ะพะถะธะต ะฒะธะดะตะพ

๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ก๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—ป, ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฝ ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ. ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜. My guest today is Robin Wigglesworth (Robin Wigglesworth), editor of FT Alphaville and author of A Fabulous Debt, a thousand-year history of the market that sets the price of everything else. We get into: โ€ข An Austrian 100 year bond that lost 80%, while a defaulting Argentina paid off better โ€ข Why T-bills feel safe but can lose you 50%+ in real terms after inflation โ€ข Is private credit the next systemic blowup? โ€ข Why the $12 trillion repo market props up US treasuries with hidden leverage โ€ข How fixed income ETFs are making bonds trade like stocks โ€ข Dutch bonds written on goat skin that still pay interest 400 years later

Meb Faber

15,703 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 28 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Last episode: Henrik Zeberg predicts that #Bitcoin crashes 90%. This episode, one of the world's leading liquidity experts explains why the opposite is structurally locked in. "The West is bust, and the world is changed." Michael Howell (CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes) founded CrossBorder Capital and has spent decades tracking one variable: global liquidity. His argument is that governments have quietly stopped borrowing the normal way, and started printing without calling it printing: "Governments are issuing three month Treasury bills, and those Treasury bills are like printing money." Long-term debt has become too expensive to issue in a world of higher yields. So everything shifts to the short end, the debt gets rolled instead of repaid, and monetary inflation becomes the release valve. Not a policy choice. A structural one. And his model puts a number on what that means: for every 10% increase in global liquidity, Bitcoin's price has historically doubled. We cover: - Why "the West is bust", and why that makes printinginevitable, not optional - The debt refinancing wall: why governments can't issue real long-term debt anymore - His liquidity model, and the Bitcoin relationship inside it - Why monetary inflation quietly destroys wealth that isn't in the right assets - Why he says most people still have close to zero allocation to the one asset built for this environment - Aging demographics, AI, and the future of bonds Thanks to OKX for being sponsor of todays show! Timestamps: 00:50 - The West Is Bust 03:01 - Debt Refinancing Explained 06:14 - Causes Of Monetary Inflation 09:05 - The Debt Liquidity Cycle 12:14 - Government Spending And Rates 14:50 - Aging Demographics And Policy 17:47 - Central Banks In A Changing Economy 21:04 - Assets In High Inflation 23:56 - Rate And Growth Projections 29:44 - Debt And Inflation On Assets 35:00 - Financial Crises And Liquidity 40:21 - Portfolio Strategy In Volatility 45:32 - AI And Interest Rates 51:23 - The Future Of Bonds

Michaรซl van de Poppe

174,070 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 17 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

๐—ข๐˜„๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป'๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ, ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฑ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. My guest today, Dave Iben, Chief Investment Officer, of Kopernik Global Investors, makes the case for each. We get into: โ€ข The money supply is up 111 times since he was born and the dollar has lost over 99% of its value โ€ข Why bubbles always form around the real deal, from canals and railroads to AI โ€ข Owning brand new Chinese nuclear reactors for less than it costs to build them โ€ข Ukrainian farmland companies trading at 80% to 90% discounts to Midwest land values โ€ข Taking South Korea to 19% of the portfolio after the president tried to seize control

Meb Faber

12,410 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 14 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Naval Ravikant explains why "the meaning of life" is the wrong question: "It's a 'why' question. You can keep asking 'why' forever. Any answer I give you, you just ask 'why' again." Naval explains where every "why" question ends: "There's a thing called Agrippa's Trilemma. It says that any questioning like this will always end in one of three places. First is infinite regress: 'why?' 'because of this,' 'why?' and you just keep playing it. Second is circular reasoning: 'why A?' 'because of B,' 'why B?' 'because of A.' Third is an axiom. The most popular axiom is God. But it could be anything: math, science, the Big Bang, the simulation. These are all just stopping points. Saying 'we're in a simulation' or 'it's the Big Bang' is just another way of saying God. It's just that God's a dirty word now." He shares what this means: "So there is no answer. The real answer is 'because.' You get to make up your own answers. The beauty is, if there was a single answer, we would not be free. We would be trapped. We'd be Borg-like robots competing with each other to fulfill that single meaning. But luckily there is no answer. So you just do whatever you want." Naval addresses the fear of being insignificant: "All the great questions are paradoxes. You're asking, 'Do I matter?' On one hand, you're completely separate. No one will have your thoughts, your emotions, your experience. Your life is a single-player game. You're trapped inside your head. On the other hand, I cannot say the words 'Joe Rogan' without invoking the entire universe. What's Joe Rogan? A human. What's a human? A bipedal ape. What's an ape? On earth. What's earth? A planet. Where was the carbon made? Inside stars. I have to create the entire universe just to say the words 'Joe Rogan.'" He concludes: "So the answer to 'Do I matter?' is: I am nothing and I am everything. The answers to all great questions are paradoxes. It's pointless to pursue them for a trite answer, but the act of pursuing them brings a level of peace."

Jaynit

155,482 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 7 ะผะตััั†ะตะฒ ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Peter Lynch, the man who turned $20 million into $14 billion running Fidelity's Magellan Fund, averaging 29.2% annual returns for 13 straight years (Save this). And his most famous lesson is the simplest one: "Know what you own, and know why you own it." He's talking about something that happens every day, people spend hours researching which refrigerator to buy. They'll spend days hunting for the best airfare deal to save $50 then they'll hear a stock tip on the bus and drop $10,000 on it without a second thought. "The reason I own this is the sucker is going up" Lynch said that's the actual answer he gets when he presses most investors on why they own a stock and that, he says, is not a reason. His test is brutal and simple, if you can't explain to a 10 year old in two minutes or less why you own a stock, you shouldn't own it because if you don't understand the business, you have no idea when to hold, when to add, or when to sell. You're just riding price movement blind. This is why most retail investors lose money not because they pick bad stocks but because they panic out of good ones during normal volatility. When you don't understand why you own something, every 10% dip feels like a reason to sell. Lynch built his entire career on the opposite approach, find simple businesses, understand exactly what they do, know why they'll be worth more in five years, and hold with conviction while everyone else panics. The most important thing isn't your stock screener or your price target but rather being able to look at what you own and say, I understand this, I know why it goes up, and I can handle it going down 30% without losing my mind.

StockMarket.News

170,341 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 5 ะผะตััั†ะตะฒ ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

To those raising the Palestinian flag, Where were you when ISIS was launched and beheaded tens of thousands of Arabs in Iraq, Libya, and Syria in the name of Islam? Why didnโ€™t you take to the streets and raise their flags? Why didnโ€™t you condemn the terror and call for a โ€ceasefireโ€? Where were you when Arab dictators and terrorists killed hundreds of thousands of Arabs in Syria and Libya? Why didnโ€™t you take to the streets and raise their flags? Why didnโ€™t you condemn the terror and call for a โ€ceasefireโ€? Where were you in the last decade when Saudi Arabia, backed by 8 Arab countries, killed 400,000 Yemenis, my own people? I didnโ€™t see any of you take to the streets or raise the Yemeni flag. I did not see any of you condemning the terror and calling for a โ€ceasefireโ€ while Arab countries were slaughtering my own people. This must lead to some self-reflection. When millions of Arabs are slaughtered by other Arabs, you say nothing. But when 7 thousand of Arabs are killed by Jews defending their right to exist, you revolt, you get angry, you storm the streets in the East and the West, you raise the Palestinian flag, you condemn the terror, you call for a ceasefire, you turn the world upside down. Why is that? Why were you so silent then but SO LOUD now? Can it be that you are finally raising a flag and creating chaos because you only hate that the perpetrators are Jews? Because you obviously don't care when millions of Arabs are killed by other Arabs. Can it be that you storming the streets is just you venting out your hatred towards Jews? The same hatred we learned in our mosques and schools? You speak of โ€numbers and proportionality.โ€ But by the rules of proportionality, you should not be raising Palestinian flags. Unless, there is another agenda at play: Jew-hatred. Or as I would call it: Hatred.

Luai Ahmed

4,434,837 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 2 ะปะตั‚ ะฝะฐะทะฐะด

Today I sit down with Shlomo Chopp, Founder of Case Equity Partners. His job is helping real estate owners get out of or restructure loans they can't pay. Shlomo got into this after an attorney told him to read the CMBS loan documents, and he read them cover to cover. Today his clients range from owners with a couple million dollars of debt to an $800 million capital stack. We get into what is actually in a modern loan document, and what a borrower should do before the lender starts looking. We discuss: โ€ข Why 2008 did not play out like the savings and loan crisis โ€ข How a non-recourse loan turns into full recourse โ€ข How a payment due on a holiday can lock up your cash โ€ข How to study your loan documents before the next deal โ€ข Why an underwater property is the borrower's biggest leverage โ€ข Why he thinks the worst has already happened โ€ข Where he would put $50 million today Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (01:03) Why the Savings and Loan Playbook Failed in 2008 (08:18) How Loan Documents Got Tougher After 2008 (16:12) Why You Should Model Every Clause in Your Loan Documents (22:16) Which Lenders Hide Full Recourse in the Fine Print (25:21) How to Learn and Negotiate Your Loan Documents (32:18) What's Usually Gone Wrong by the Time a Borrower Calls (39:54) A Borrower's Leverage in a Loan Workout (44:09) Restructuring a Loan When You're Out of Cash (49:36) The Game Theory of Negotiating With Your Lender (53:14) A Good Operator Is Not the Same as a Good GP (54:53) Why Office and Multifamily Are Seeing the Most Distress (1:01:17) How Lenders' View of Office Has Shifted (1:03:26) Why the Worst of the Distress Is Already Here

Chris Powers

17,546 ะฟั€ะพัะผะพั‚ั€ะพะฒ โ€ข 9 ะดะฝะตะน ะฝะฐะทะฐะด