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Ryan Paganetti

@RyanPaganetti52,909 subscribers

Super Bowl-winning NFL strategy & analytics coach | Former @Eagles @Jaguars @Raiders | Follow & 🔔 for research and hidden edges | Subscribe to YT below ⬇️

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File this under the great Super Bowl what-ifs. The Patriots used this exact strategy against us in Super Bowl LII. I was working for the Eagles at the time. At 2:12, they ran on 1st and 10 from our 26. If we tackle James White after a short gain, New England reaches the two minute warning with the ball and may close the half by outscoring us 7-0 or 3-0. Instead, White scored. We got the ball with 2:04. Ninety seconds later: the Philly Special.

File this under the great Super Bowl what-ifs. The Patriots used this exact strategy against us in Super Bowl LII. I was working for the Eagles at the time. At 2:12, they ran on 1st and 10 from our 26. If we tackle James White after a short gain, New England reaches the two minute warning with the ball and may close the half by outscoring us 7-0 or 3-0. Instead, White scored. We got the ball with 2:04. Ninety seconds later: the Philly Special.

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No NFL play caller this century has treated 2nd & short like a free shot more aggressively than Ben Johnson. Among 68 play callers with 70+ games since 1999, Johnson ranks: 1st in 2nd & 1 pass rate: 48.2% 1st in 2nd & 1-2 pass rate: 47.7% 1st in 2nd & 1-3 pass rate: 47.5% No current projected 2026 play caller is even within 17 percentage points of him on 2nd & 1. Clip below: Chicago using 2nd & 1 exactly the way Johnson wants to.

No NFL play caller this century has treated 2nd & short like a free shot more aggressively than Ben Johnson. Among 68 play callers with 70+ games since 1999, Johnson ranks: 1st in 2nd & 1 pass rate: 48.2% 1st in 2nd & 1-2 pass rate: 47.7% 1st in 2nd & 1-3 pass rate: 47.5% No current projected 2026 play caller is even within 17 percentage points of him on 2nd & 1. Clip below: Chicago using 2nd & 1 exactly the way Johnson wants to.

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