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Jack Prandelli

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Daily Insights on Global Commodities Markets and Events | Commodity Trader | Founder of The Merchant (40k+ subs) 3x/week → https://t.co/P0NxCHeI5V

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3 Indian sailors are dead after a US strike disabled the tanker MT Settebello in the Gulf of Oman. CENTCOM says it was carrying Iranian crude and ignored orders. (21 crew were rescued). India has summoned the US chargé d'affaires. This incident will outlast the news cycle. It's the 2nd Indian-crewed, Palau-flagged tanker hit by US forces in a single week (MT Marivex was first; all crew survived). Blockade enforcement is no longer an abstraction between Washington and Tehran. It's now killing 3rd-country seafarers. The world's tanker fleet runs on flags of convenience and Indian, Filipino and Chinese crews. A blockade that treats every non-compliant hull as a target puts those crews at risk. For shipping, this adds a layer on top of Hormuz war-risk premia now extend into the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea, crews may refuse Gulf routings, and insurers reprice everything Iran-adjacent. The blockade's cost is no longer just barrels. It's manpower and coverage. video source: current report

3 Indian sailors are dead after a US strike disabled the tanker MT Settebello in the Gulf of Oman. CENTCOM says it was carrying Iranian crude and ignored orders. (21 crew were rescued). India has summoned the US chargé d'affaires. This incident will outlast the news cycle. It's the 2nd Indian-crewed, Palau-flagged tanker hit by US forces in a single week (MT Marivex was first; all crew survived). Blockade enforcement is no longer an abstraction between Washington and Tehran. It's now killing 3rd-country seafarers. The world's tanker fleet runs on flags of convenience and Indian, Filipino and Chinese crews. A blockade that treats every non-compliant hull as a target puts those crews at risk. For shipping, this adds a layer on top of Hormuz war-risk premia now extend into the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea, crews may refuse Gulf routings, and insurers reprice everything Iran-adjacent. The blockade's cost is no longer just barrels. It's manpower and coverage. video source: current report

761,061 views

🇺🇸The CIA director just drew the line plainly. "We're the largest economy in the world. China is the second largest economy in the world. Russia's economy is about the size of my home state, Texas. Russia has to choose where they are gonna compete. China competes with us across the board." That is the actual reason the US energy weapon thesis targets China specifically. Russia is a military problem with a Texas sized economy. China is the strategic rival with the scale to match.

🇺🇸The CIA director just drew the line plainly. "We're the largest economy in the world. China is the second largest economy in the world. Russia's economy is about the size of my home state, Texas. Russia has to choose where they are gonna compete. China competes with us across the board." That is the actual reason the US energy weapon thesis targets China specifically. Russia is a military problem with a Texas sized economy. China is the strategic rival with the scale to match.

544,929 views

The strangest oil trade of 2026 isn't happening at sea. It's 700 tanker trucks a day crossing the Iraq–Syria desert. The biggest winner is a government that barely produces oil at all. Hormuz shut → Iraq lost 90% of export revenue. Baghdad will take ANY outlet. So 2 land corridors opened: al-Waleed in Anbar (31 March) and Rabia/Yarubiyah (20 April) the latter sealed since 2013. Destination: Baniyas, Syria's Mediterranean port. Then by sea to Europe. The numbers are medieval and massive at once: 500–700 trucks/day, 30 tonnes each. Baniyas unloading capacity up 30%, 120k bpd flowing. Baseline 150k bpd, target 350k. Moving just 50k bpd of crude takes 1,000 trucks running nonstop, this is a pipeline made of wheels. 💰The economics Here's the desperation premium: SOMO is paying $20–22 per barrel to move fuel oil by land. By sea it costs cents. Iraq signed for 650k tonnes/month anyway because the alternative isn't a cheaper route.... It's zero. Damascus collects on every barrel: transit fees, storage, port charges, plus cheap Iraqi fuel. At $2–3/bbl that's $8–13M/month, rising to $21–30M at full flow. For al-Sharaa's empty treasury, possibly his most reliable hard-currency stream. The worse Iraq's crisis gets, the more Syria earns. The structural irony is that Iran shut Hormuz to punish its enemies. Result, Iraqi oil money now flows to a Damascus government Tehran calls an adversary while Iraq, Iran's closest Arab partner, sits on life support. Chokepoints don't choose their victims, Geography does.

The strangest oil trade of 2026 isn't happening at sea. It's 700 tanker trucks a day crossing the Iraq–Syria desert. The biggest winner is a government that barely produces oil at all. Hormuz shut → Iraq lost 90% of export revenue. Baghdad will take ANY outlet. So 2 land corridors opened: al-Waleed in Anbar (31 March) and Rabia/Yarubiyah (20 April) the latter sealed since 2013. Destination: Baniyas, Syria's Mediterranean port. Then by sea to Europe. The numbers are medieval and massive at once: 500–700 trucks/day, 30 tonnes each. Baniyas unloading capacity up 30%, 120k bpd flowing. Baseline 150k bpd, target 350k. Moving just 50k bpd of crude takes 1,000 trucks running nonstop, this is a pipeline made of wheels. 💰The economics Here's the desperation premium: SOMO is paying $20–22 per barrel to move fuel oil by land. By sea it costs cents. Iraq signed for 650k tonnes/month anyway because the alternative isn't a cheaper route.... It's zero. Damascus collects on every barrel: transit fees, storage, port charges, plus cheap Iraqi fuel. At $2–3/bbl that's $8–13M/month, rising to $21–30M at full flow. For al-Sharaa's empty treasury, possibly his most reliable hard-currency stream. The worse Iraq's crisis gets, the more Syria earns. The structural irony is that Iran shut Hormuz to punish its enemies. Result, Iraqi oil money now flows to a Damascus government Tehran calls an adversary while Iraq, Iran's closest Arab partner, sits on life support. Chokepoints don't choose their victims, Geography does.

533,260 views

The US Navy just turned back 8 Iranian oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, forcing them to reverse course. Iran closed the strait to everyone. The US Navy is now deciding whose oil actually moves through it. That is the 5th Fleet doing exactly what the chokepoints table says it does. Policing the strait that carries 30% of the world's seaborne crude, and now explicitly denying Iran's own barrels.

The US Navy just turned back 8 Iranian oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, forcing them to reverse course. Iran closed the strait to everyone. The US Navy is now deciding whose oil actually moves through it. That is the 5th Fleet doing exactly what the chokepoints table says it does. Policing the strait that carries 30% of the world's seaborne crude, and now explicitly denying Iran's own barrels.

187,640 views

💥Glencore's Kazzinc, Kazakhstan's largest producer of zinc, lead, copper, gold, and silver just had a deadly explosion. 2 dead, 5 injured, building partially collapsed. The critical minerals supply chain isn't just concentrated. It's fragile.

💥Glencore's Kazzinc, Kazakhstan's largest producer of zinc, lead, copper, gold, and silver just had a deadly explosion. 2 dead, 5 injured, building partially collapsed. The critical minerals supply chain isn't just concentrated. It's fragile.

268,852 views

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🛢️🇸🇦🇨🇳Saudi crude Aramco has sold 4 million barrels to China just this month using a specific workaround for the Strait of Hormuz and the company has now offered even more for September loading using the same method. 2 VLCCs, Singapore Prosperity and Algeria Prosperity, loaded inside the Gulf, transited the strait, and transferred their cargo ship to ship off Sohar in Oman to 2 other VLCCs, Xin Hui Yang and Xin Han Yang, which are now headed to Ningbo and Zhanjiang respectively with both deliveries going to Sinopec. Shipping data also shows Aramco running some of these transits with vessel trackers switched off to reduce the odds of being targeted during the crossing. This is Aramco's second straight week running sales this way. It already sold at least 4 million barrels of heavier Arab Medium and Arab Heavy grades to PetroChina and Sinochem last week after resuming loadings at Ras Tanura, and this week's offers to Asian buyers are again structured around STS transfers off Fujairah or Sohar rather than a straight transit and delivery. This kind of relay, load inside the Gulf, cross the strait, swap ships on the far side, has become one of the more established ways producers are keeping barrels moving without dropping volumes entirely. video source:Soar

🛢️🇸🇦🇨🇳Saudi crude Aramco has sold 4 million barrels to China just this month using a specific workaround for the Strait of Hormuz and the company has now offered even more for September loading using the same method. 2 VLCCs, Singapore Prosperity and Algeria Prosperity, loaded inside the Gulf, transited the strait, and transferred their cargo ship to ship off Sohar in Oman to 2 other VLCCs, Xin Hui Yang and Xin Han Yang, which are now headed to Ningbo and Zhanjiang respectively with both deliveries going to Sinopec. Shipping data also shows Aramco running some of these transits with vessel trackers switched off to reduce the odds of being targeted during the crossing. This is Aramco's second straight week running sales this way. It already sold at least 4 million barrels of heavier Arab Medium and Arab Heavy grades to PetroChina and Sinochem last week after resuming loadings at Ras Tanura, and this week's offers to Asian buyers are again structured around STS transfers off Fujairah or Sohar rather than a straight transit and delivery. This kind of relay, load inside the Gulf, cross the strait, swap ships on the far side, has become one of the more established ways producers are keeping barrels moving without dropping volumes entirely. video source:Soar

647,977 views • 2 months ago

🚨You cannot buy a new gas turbine until 2030 GE, Siemens, Mitsubishi order books stretching to 2029. Prices nearly tripled since 2019. Every AI data center, every gas power plant, every energy security project on earth is queuing for the same machine.

🚨You cannot buy a new gas turbine until 2030 GE, Siemens, Mitsubishi order books stretching to 2029. Prices nearly tripled since 2019. Every AI data center, every gas power plant, every energy security project on earth is queuing for the same machine.

659,827 views • 6 months ago

Bessent just connected every dot,like I wrote i my latest article. China bought 90% of Iran's oil exports. That's almost 10% of China's total imports. Now the blockade cuts it off. And the US is warning Chinese banks: process Iranian payments = secondary sanctions. This isn't just an energy blockade. It's a financial one too. 🇮🇷 Iran loses its only real customer 🇨🇳 China loses its cheapest oil source 🏦 Chinese banks face secondary sanctions risk 💸 Iran's $400M/day bleeding accelerates 🛢️ Chinese imports already spiking +20% y/y Bessent called China "unreliable" for hoarding oil during the war instead of sharing with allies. Trump said "Xi needs oil. We don't." Now the Treasury is closing the financial escape hatch too. Water blockade + Financial blockade... Simultaneously. The summit just got a lot more complicated. Full breakdown in my latest article 👇

Bessent just connected every dot,like I wrote i my latest article. China bought 90% of Iran's oil exports. That's almost 10% of China's total imports. Now the blockade cuts it off. And the US is warning Chinese banks: process Iranian payments = secondary sanctions. This isn't just an energy blockade. It's a financial one too. 🇮🇷 Iran loses its only real customer 🇨🇳 China loses its cheapest oil source 🏦 Chinese banks face secondary sanctions risk 💸 Iran's $400M/day bleeding accelerates 🛢️ Chinese imports already spiking +20% y/y Bessent called China "unreliable" for hoarding oil during the war instead of sharing with allies. Trump said "Xi needs oil. We don't." Now the Treasury is closing the financial escape hatch too. Water blockade + Financial blockade... Simultaneously. The summit just got a lot more complicated. Full breakdown in my latest article 👇

528,876 views • 6 months ago

🇷🇺Putin just said the quiet part loud 🇪🇺"Europe is lacking brains" Brutal, But look at the timing. -Ras Laffan offline 3-5 years -Hormuz 4 ships in 48 hours -Qatar LNG gone for every European buyer -Von der Leyen no to Russian gas And Putin's sitting on a pipeline that still works. He doesn't need to fire a single missile at Europe. He just needs to wait ♟️ #Germany shut its nuclear plants. Closed its Russian pipeline. Refused to join the coalition. Now stares down an energy winter with no exit. Putin didn't create this crisis. But he's watching Europe walk straight into it with zero leverage and zero alternatives. "Economic decisions made by politicians with no connection to the economy." 📩 I break down exactly what this means for markets every week in my newsletter. Link in bio

🇷🇺Putin just said the quiet part loud 🇪🇺"Europe is lacking brains" Brutal, But look at the timing. -Ras Laffan offline 3-5 years -Hormuz 4 ships in 48 hours -Qatar LNG gone for every European buyer -Von der Leyen no to Russian gas And Putin's sitting on a pipeline that still works. He doesn't need to fire a single missile at Europe. He just needs to wait ♟️ #Germany shut its nuclear plants. Closed its Russian pipeline. Refused to join the coalition. Now stares down an energy winter with no exit. Putin didn't create this crisis. But he's watching Europe walk straight into it with zero leverage and zero alternatives. "Economic decisions made by politicians with no connection to the economy." 📩 I break down exactly what this means for markets every week in my newsletter. Link in bio

285,362 views • 7 months ago

ExxonMobil’s CEO says the refinery squeeze won’t ease this year. Darren Woods told CNBC “refining capacity is very tight today”, and expects it to take until next year or longer to get back to normal. Chevron puts a number on it: about 10% of the world’s refining capacity is still offline. 🇷🇺 Russia’s refineries now run about 3.8m barrels a day, down from 6.5m, the lowest in 20 years, the IEA says. Ukraine’s drones did most of that. 🇮🇷 The Iran war has taken out Middle East capacity on top. 🇨🇳 China is refining less too. So whoever still runs a refinery outside the war zones gets paid. Europe’s majors are on the same side of this trade. Shell, TotalEnergies and bp made $ 28.4bn between them in Q3, and in my latest article I show how much of it came from refining: If Woods is right, that money keeps coming into 2027.

ExxonMobil’s CEO says the refinery squeeze won’t ease this year. Darren Woods told CNBC “refining capacity is very tight today”, and expects it to take until next year or longer to get back to normal. Chevron puts a number on it: about 10% of the world’s refining capacity is still offline. 🇷🇺 Russia’s refineries now run about 3.8m barrels a day, down from 6.5m, the lowest in 20 years, the IEA says. Ukraine’s drones did most of that. 🇮🇷 The Iran war has taken out Middle East capacity on top. 🇨🇳 China is refining less too. So whoever still runs a refinery outside the war zones gets paid. Europe’s majors are on the same side of this trade. Shell, TotalEnergies and bp made $ 28.4bn between them in Q3, and in my latest article I show how much of it came from refining: If Woods is right, that money keeps coming into 2027.

13,915 views • 8 days ago

🚨Jeff Currie: "I'd argue in my entire career, I have never seen an energy environment this tight." The US SPR sits near a 43-year low, with barely 19 million barrels of cushion above the operating floor Refining margins just hit a record $60+ a barrel, 6x the 40 year average, driven by supply absence, not demand Roughly 6 million bpd of global refining capacity is offline between Russia, China and the Middle East Currie is betting the barrels win.

🚨Jeff Currie: "I'd argue in my entire career, I have never seen an energy environment this tight." The US SPR sits near a 43-year low, with barely 19 million barrels of cushion above the operating floor Refining margins just hit a record $60+ a barrel, 6x the 40 year average, driven by supply absence, not demand Roughly 6 million bpd of global refining capacity is offline between Russia, China and the Middle East Currie is betting the barrels win.

100,618 views • 3 months ago

🚢 6 ship types carry the global economy Almost everything you buy has crossed an ocean on one of these ⬇️ ▪️ Oil tanker Crude and fuels. A supertanker (VLCC) carries 2M barrels. The war has made it this year's most expensive ship to hire. ▪️ LNG carrier Natural gas cooled to −162°C so it fits in a ship. Rates spiked in March, then fell once 🇶🇦 Qatar's cargoes stopped moving. ▪️ Container ship Manufactured goods in standard boxes. The largest carry 24,000 containers and Red Sea risk is pushing many around Africa. ▪️ Bulk carrier Iron ore, coal and grain loaded straight into the hold. Capesize ships are too big for the Suez or Panama canals when fully loaded. ▪️ Ro-Ro "Roll-on, roll-off": cars, trucks and machinery drive straight on board. The car carriers among them grew with China's EV exports. ▪️ Livestock carrier Floating farms moving tens of thousands of sheep or cattle, mostly from 🇦🇺 Australia and 🇧🇷 Brazil to the Middle East and Asia. ⚓ Each type is its own market with its own rates. One chokepoint can send one of them to record highs while another sits idle. Do not miss my latest article on it. Link 👇

🚢 6 ship types carry the global economy Almost everything you buy has crossed an ocean on one of these ⬇️ ▪️ Oil tanker Crude and fuels. A supertanker (VLCC) carries 2M barrels. The war has made it this year's most expensive ship to hire. ▪️ LNG carrier Natural gas cooled to −162°C so it fits in a ship. Rates spiked in March, then fell once 🇶🇦 Qatar's cargoes stopped moving. ▪️ Container ship Manufactured goods in standard boxes. The largest carry 24,000 containers and Red Sea risk is pushing many around Africa. ▪️ Bulk carrier Iron ore, coal and grain loaded straight into the hold. Capesize ships are too big for the Suez or Panama canals when fully loaded. ▪️ Ro-Ro "Roll-on, roll-off": cars, trucks and machinery drive straight on board. The car carriers among them grew with China's EV exports. ▪️ Livestock carrier Floating farms moving tens of thousands of sheep or cattle, mostly from 🇦🇺 Australia and 🇧🇷 Brazil to the Middle East and Asia. ⚓ Each type is its own market with its own rates. One chokepoint can send one of them to record highs while another sits idle. Do not miss my latest article on it. Link 👇

29,926 views • 29 days ago

🇷🇺5 of Russia's top 10 refineries are offline. 1.45 mbd down. What years of Western sanctions couldn't do, Ukrainian drones did in 2 months. Russia is being demoted from refiner to crude only exporter losing the value-add of the barrel. Source: Business Basics

🇷🇺5 of Russia's top 10 refineries are offline. 1.45 mbd down. What years of Western sanctions couldn't do, Ukrainian drones did in 2 months. Russia is being demoted from refiner to crude only exporter losing the value-add of the barrel. Source: Business Basics

148,378 views • 6 months ago

🇸🇦 Aramco's Jizan refinery has reportedly sustained a significant hit following a recent Houthi drone attack. The facility is a major 400,000 barrel per day refinery on Saudi Arabia's Red Sea coast, near the Yemeni border. 🇾🇪 The Houthis have targeted the strategic city and its refinery dozens of times over the years, including several strikes in the past few days, making it a persistent security challenge for Riyadh.

🇸🇦 Aramco's Jizan refinery has reportedly sustained a significant hit following a recent Houthi drone attack. The facility is a major 400,000 barrel per day refinery on Saudi Arabia's Red Sea coast, near the Yemeni border. 🇾🇪 The Houthis have targeted the strategic city and its refinery dozens of times over the years, including several strikes in the past few days, making it a persistent security challenge for Riyadh.

52,157 views • 2 months ago

🇸🇦🛢️Saudi Aramco just loaded 14 million barrels onto 7 VLCCs from Ras Tanura, ramping exports back through the Strait of Hormuz. Aramco already paused Hormuz loadings once this summer after tanker attacks there. They're back because with the East-West pipeline still down... Hormuz is the only real route that actually clears the crude. The question is how long Iran lets this run before testing it again. video source: Soar Atlas

🇸🇦🛢️Saudi Aramco just loaded 14 million barrels onto 7 VLCCs from Ras Tanura, ramping exports back through the Strait of Hormuz. Aramco already paused Hormuz loadings once this summer after tanker attacks there. They're back because with the East-West pipeline still down... Hormuz is the only real route that actually clears the crude. The question is how long Iran lets this run before testing it again. video source: Soar Atlas

28,621 views • 1 month ago

🛢️ The war redrew the world’s oil map in one quarter Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025 ⬇️ 📉 Routes that lost volume: Strait of Hormuz: 21.0 → 4.9 mb/d (−77%) Strait of Malacca: 23.8 → 16.6 mb/d (−30%) Danish Straits: 4.8 → 4.7 mb/d (−2%) 📈 Routes that gained Bab el-Mandeb: 4.5 → 8.1 mb/d (+80%) Panama Canal: 2.5 → 3.2 mb/d (+28%) Suez + SUMED: 5.1 → 5.8 mb/d (+14%) Turkish Straits: 3.7 → 4.1 mb/d (+11%) Cape of Good Hope: 9.3 → 9.4 mb/d (+1%) 2 things kept oil moving: 1️⃣🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia pushed crude west through its 7 mb/d East-West pipeline to the Red Sea, which is why Bab el-Mandeb jumped. 2️⃣Asia replaced Gulf barrels with crude from the Americas, which is why Panama is up and Malacca is down. 🛢️ Stockpiles covered the rest. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell from 413M to 321M barrels in one quarter, and 🇯🇵 Japan’s from 263M to 187M. ⚠️ The Q2 map is already out of date... The Houthis banned Saudi-linked ships on 20 July, and Saudi crude through Bab el-Mandeb fell to near zero in August.

🛢️ The war redrew the world’s oil map in one quarter Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025 ⬇️ 📉 Routes that lost volume: Strait of Hormuz: 21.0 → 4.9 mb/d (−77%) Strait of Malacca: 23.8 → 16.6 mb/d (−30%) Danish Straits: 4.8 → 4.7 mb/d (−2%) 📈 Routes that gained Bab el-Mandeb: 4.5 → 8.1 mb/d (+80%) Panama Canal: 2.5 → 3.2 mb/d (+28%) Suez + SUMED: 5.1 → 5.8 mb/d (+14%) Turkish Straits: 3.7 → 4.1 mb/d (+11%) Cape of Good Hope: 9.3 → 9.4 mb/d (+1%) 2 things kept oil moving: 1️⃣🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia pushed crude west through its 7 mb/d East-West pipeline to the Red Sea, which is why Bab el-Mandeb jumped. 2️⃣Asia replaced Gulf barrels with crude from the Americas, which is why Panama is up and Malacca is down. 🛢️ Stockpiles covered the rest. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell from 413M to 321M barrels in one quarter, and 🇯🇵 Japan’s from 263M to 187M. ⚠️ The Q2 map is already out of date... The Houthis banned Saudi-linked ships on 20 July, and Saudi crude through Bab el-Mandeb fell to near zero in August.

17,243 views • 26 days ago

🚢 Vessels Crossed Strait of Hormuz 🟢 Feb 26 → 132 vessels 🟢 Feb 27 → 128 vessels 🟡 Feb 28 → 98 vessels 🟠 Mar 01 → 18 vessels 🔴 Mar 02 → 7 vessels 🔴 Mar 03 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 04 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 05 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 06 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 07 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 08 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 09 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 10 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 11 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 12 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 13 → 3 vessels 🔴 Mar 14 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 15 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 16 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 17 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 18 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 19 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 20 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 21 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 22 → 3 vessels 🔴 Mar 23 → 5 vessels 🔴 Mar 24 → 6 vessels 🔴 Mar 25 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 26 → 7 vessels 🔴 Mar 27 → 4 vessels 🟠 Mar 28 → 12 vessels 🔴 Mar 29 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 30 → 4 vessels 🔴 Mar 31 → 5 vessels 🔴 Apr 1 → 8 vessels 🔴 Apr 2 → 6 vessels 🟠 Apr 3 → 14 vessels 🟠 Apr 4 → 10 vessels 🟠 Apr 5 → 11 vessels 🔴 Apr 6 → 7 vessels 🟠 Apr 7 → 11 vessels 🔴 Apr 8 → 5 vessels 🔴 Apr 9 → 9 vessels 🔴 Apr 10 → 8 vessels 🟠 Apr 11 → 14 vessels 🟠 Apr 12 → 22 vessels 🟠 Apr 13 → 17 vessels 🟠 Apr 14 → 19 vessels 🟠 Apr 15 → 15 vessels 🔴 Apr 16 → 8 vessels 🟠 Apr 17 → 12 vessels 🟠 Apr 18 → 35 vessels full article here: video source:kpler

🚢 Vessels Crossed Strait of Hormuz 🟢 Feb 26 → 132 vessels 🟢 Feb 27 → 128 vessels 🟡 Feb 28 → 98 vessels 🟠 Mar 01 → 18 vessels 🔴 Mar 02 → 7 vessels 🔴 Mar 03 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 04 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 05 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 06 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 07 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 08 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 09 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 10 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 11 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 12 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 13 → 3 vessels 🔴 Mar 14 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 15 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 16 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 17 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 18 → 1 vessel ❌ Mar 19 → 0 vessels 🔴 Mar 20 → 1 vessel 🔴 Mar 21 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 22 → 3 vessels 🔴 Mar 23 → 5 vessels 🔴 Mar 24 → 6 vessels 🔴 Mar 25 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 26 → 7 vessels 🔴 Mar 27 → 4 vessels 🟠 Mar 28 → 12 vessels 🔴 Mar 29 → 2 vessels 🔴 Mar 30 → 4 vessels 🔴 Mar 31 → 5 vessels 🔴 Apr 1 → 8 vessels 🔴 Apr 2 → 6 vessels 🟠 Apr 3 → 14 vessels 🟠 Apr 4 → 10 vessels 🟠 Apr 5 → 11 vessels 🔴 Apr 6 → 7 vessels 🟠 Apr 7 → 11 vessels 🔴 Apr 8 → 5 vessels 🔴 Apr 9 → 9 vessels 🔴 Apr 10 → 8 vessels 🟠 Apr 11 → 14 vessels 🟠 Apr 12 → 22 vessels 🟠 Apr 13 → 17 vessels 🟠 Apr 14 → 19 vessels 🟠 Apr 15 → 15 vessels 🔴 Apr 16 → 8 vessels 🟠 Apr 17 → 12 vessels 🟠 Apr 18 → 35 vessels full article here: video source:kpler

87,589 views • 6 months ago

🛢️🇺🇸Bessent Says Oil Market Headed For Oversupply "I actually think we are going to be very much oversupplied in the oil market after this. We can see $40-$50 dollar crude maybe." I have a different view, have a look here:

🛢️🇺🇸Bessent Says Oil Market Headed For Oversupply "I actually think we are going to be very much oversupplied in the oil market after this. We can see $40-$50 dollar crude maybe." I have a different view, have a look here:

33,415 views • 2 months ago

🚨 CEO Sultan Al Jaber warns Gulf oil flows could take at least 4 months to recover to just 80% of pre-war levels, even if the Iran conflict ended immediately. Reopening Hormuz is not the same as restoring normal flows. Tankers, LNG cargoes, pipelines, storage systems, and damaged infrastructure all need time to restart. Markets may be underestimating how long the supply shock could last. video source The National

🚨 CEO Sultan Al Jaber warns Gulf oil flows could take at least 4 months to recover to just 80% of pre-war levels, even if the Iran conflict ended immediately. Reopening Hormuz is not the same as restoring normal flows. Tankers, LNG cargoes, pipelines, storage systems, and damaged infrastructure all need time to restart. Markets may be underestimating how long the supply shock could last. video source The National

69,382 views • 5 months ago

🚨🇺🇸 TRUMP ON HIGH OIL PRICES: “Just give me a little time.” He is saying that oil prices will go down 📉 as it happens during the MOU…

🚨🇺🇸 TRUMP ON HIGH OIL PRICES: “Just give me a little time.” He is saying that oil prices will go down 📉 as it happens during the MOU…

42,662 views • 3 months ago

Oil power didn't stay where it started. The countries controlling energy today look nothing like the map from 50 years ago. And right now, that map is shifting again faster than anyone expected. 🇺🇸 US: from import-dependent to world's n.1 producer 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 700K bpd knocked offline by Iranian strikes 🇷🇺 Russia: sanctions-hit but Urals just hit a 13 year high 🇮🇷 Iran: controls the world's most critical chokepoint 🌍 Everyone else: scrambling for alternatives Decades of energy geopolitics rewired in weeks. Hormuz didn't just block oil. It exposed exactly who holds the cards and who doesn't. The next energy map is being drawn right now. Also in LNG something big just happened if you want to know it read my latest article here:

Oil power didn't stay where it started. The countries controlling energy today look nothing like the map from 50 years ago. And right now, that map is shifting again faster than anyone expected. 🇺🇸 US: from import-dependent to world's n.1 producer 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 700K bpd knocked offline by Iranian strikes 🇷🇺 Russia: sanctions-hit but Urals just hit a 13 year high 🇮🇷 Iran: controls the world's most critical chokepoint 🌍 Everyone else: scrambling for alternatives Decades of energy geopolitics rewired in weeks. Hormuz didn't just block oil. It exposed exactly who holds the cards and who doesn't. The next energy map is being drawn right now. Also in LNG something big just happened if you want to know it read my latest article here:

62,767 views • 7 months ago

🇪🇺Ursula von der Leyen just admitted Europe's energy bill exploded by €27 billion in 2 months of Middle East conflict and called it proof that Europe cannot be overdependent on imported energy. She's describing the fire while standing next to the people who lit it. Germany shut down its last nuclear plants in 2023 by choice a decision made in peacetime that removed 6% of European baseload electricity clean, firm, domestic power that needed no tankers, no pipelines, and no Hormuz. ⚠️Now the same European institutions calling for energy sovereignty are importing solar panels, batteries, and wind components overwhelmingly from China the country that controls 80%+ of global solar manufacturing and dominates the battery supply chain Europe needs to "go renewable." That's trading one dependency for another one. The way forward requires admitting the mistakes first.

🇪🇺Ursula von der Leyen just admitted Europe's energy bill exploded by €27 billion in 2 months of Middle East conflict and called it proof that Europe cannot be overdependent on imported energy. She's describing the fire while standing next to the people who lit it. Germany shut down its last nuclear plants in 2023 by choice a decision made in peacetime that removed 6% of European baseload electricity clean, firm, domestic power that needed no tankers, no pipelines, and no Hormuz. ⚠️Now the same European institutions calling for energy sovereignty are importing solar panels, batteries, and wind components overwhelmingly from China the country that controls 80%+ of global solar manufacturing and dominates the battery supply chain Europe needs to "go renewable." That's trading one dependency for another one. The way forward requires admitting the mistakes first.

54,161 views • 6 months ago

🚢 INSIDE THE LNG SHIPBUILDING PROCESS Building an LNG carrier is one of the most demanding engineering projects in the maritime industry. The vessel is assembled from enormous prefabricated hull blocks before specialised containment systems, insulation layers, pipelines and reliquefaction equipment are installed. Its cargo tanks must safely transport liquefied natural gas at -162°C, while limiting boil-off gas and protecting the steel hull from extreme temperatures. Every weld, membrane and insulation panel must meet exceptionally strict standards. These are not simply large ships. They are floating cryogenic facilities designed to move energy safely across the world.

🚢 INSIDE THE LNG SHIPBUILDING PROCESS Building an LNG carrier is one of the most demanding engineering projects in the maritime industry. The vessel is assembled from enormous prefabricated hull blocks before specialised containment systems, insulation layers, pipelines and reliquefaction equipment are installed. Its cargo tanks must safely transport liquefied natural gas at -162°C, while limiting boil-off gas and protecting the steel hull from extreme temperatures. Every weld, membrane and insulation panel must meet exceptionally strict standards. These are not simply large ships. They are floating cryogenic facilities designed to move energy safely across the world.

30,540 views • 3 months ago

In 15 months, the US LNG export capacity Doubled. In just over a year. And the world just realized why that matters. 🇶🇦 Qatar LNG via Hormuz: gone 🇷🇺 Russian LNG: back to sanction,backdoor deals 🇦🇺 Australia: maxed out 🇺🇸 US LNG: just doubled its export capacity. 📦 First country ever to export 100M metric tons LNG in a year 🔥 Natural gas production: record 118.5 bcf/day 🚢 Glencore locked in 3M tons/year for 20 years 🤝 Mercuria locked in 1.5M tons/year for 20 years US built the infrastructure before it happened. While Iran was building a toll booth Washington was permitting export terminals. The 121 tankers didn't appear overnight. Neither did the LNG capacity.

In 15 months, the US LNG export capacity Doubled. In just over a year. And the world just realized why that matters. 🇶🇦 Qatar LNG via Hormuz: gone 🇷🇺 Russian LNG: back to sanction,backdoor deals 🇦🇺 Australia: maxed out 🇺🇸 US LNG: just doubled its export capacity. 📦 First country ever to export 100M metric tons LNG in a year 🔥 Natural gas production: record 118.5 bcf/day 🚢 Glencore locked in 3M tons/year for 20 years 🤝 Mercuria locked in 1.5M tons/year for 20 years US built the infrastructure before it happened. While Iran was building a toll booth Washington was permitting export terminals. The 121 tankers didn't appear overnight. Neither did the LNG capacity.

52,630 views • 6 months ago

☢️🇩🇪Germany built nuclear reactors for 60 years. Then shut every one of them down. 🇯🇵Japan was next, until Fukushima changed everything overnight. 🇨🇳Now China builds faster than any country in history. 🇺🇸The US still leads with 95 reactors. China has 66 and climbing. 🇫🇷France, at 58, gets more of its power from nuclear than anyone. 🇷🇺Russia has 36. The countries that quit are watching the ones that didn't pull ahead. video source World of Statistics

☢️🇩🇪Germany built nuclear reactors for 60 years. Then shut every one of them down. 🇯🇵Japan was next, until Fukushima changed everything overnight. 🇨🇳Now China builds faster than any country in history. 🇺🇸The US still leads with 95 reactors. China has 66 and climbing. 🇫🇷France, at 58, gets more of its power from nuclear than anyone. 🇷🇺Russia has 36. The countries that quit are watching the ones that didn't pull ahead. video source World of Statistics

21,727 views • 2 months ago