Shane Parrish
@shaneparrish • 560,694 subscribers
Uncovering the timeless principles that drive success. Host @tkppodcast Author Clear Thinking & The Great Mental Models
Videos
My conversation with Bill Gurley on thinking, making decisions, and the future 0:00 Systems Thinking & Mental Models 05:21 The Power of Knowing Industry Bedrock 08:50 Traits in Founders 11:44 Surprising AI Use 13:13 The Future of AI 23:04 Is Tesla Self-driving THAT good? 24:15 Non-Consensus Opinions 24:53 The AI Buildout (Bubble?) 29:40 The Role of Retail Investors 34:26 Stablecoin 39:55 AI and Debt Analysis 45:05 Storytelling as a Superpower 50:12 Lessons from Uber 52:10 Inside the Benchmark Structure 59:42 Success Listen and Learn! (Includes paid partnerships.)
Shane Parrish467,018 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce
My conversation with mark pincus, founder of Zynga creator of Farmville, Words with Friends, and so much more. 00:00 The Principles of Great Products 12:04 The Book of Life 17:56 Good Instincts and Bad Ideas 22:29 Copying Your Competitors 24:05 Proven Better New 37:25 Pitching Zynga to Steve Jobs 41:24 The Peter Thiel and Sequoia Fight 54:03 Speed Beats Accuracy 58:50 Democratic Dictatorship 1:03:44 Jeff Bezos' Invaluable Management Trick Includes paid partnerships.
Shane Parrish266,938 görüntüleme • 13 gün önce
Greg Brockman talked about this on The Knowledge Project. "Our data centers use incredibly little water." "That's actually misinformation." "It's less than a household. It's because it's a closed loop." "Think of it as like a swimming pool of water, and you just circle it around. And so it's a fixed amount of water that's not very large." And then he goes on to nail what's really happening. People are scared. They don't know how AI will benefit them.
Shane Parrish272,526 görüntüleme • 25 gün önce
My conversation with liemandt on why the future of education is better than you think. 0:00 The current education system 7:01 What makes Alpha School different 11:01 What are the results 23:20 Current classroom struggles 26:40 What does mastery mean? 35:37 Changing the education system 39:19 Teaching through AI 44:27 How do you solve motivation? 57:01 What makes a good teacher? 1:01:04 Coaching 1:05:17 What life skills matter? 1:08:18 Doing hard things 1:13:25 AI Monitoring 1:21:08 Effort vs. IQ 1:24:40 What happens after Alpha School? 1:38:21 The Genius of Jack Welch 1:45:49 Trilogy IPO: the choice to not go public 1:51:40 Physical vs. virtual learning 2:03:18 Does Paying Kids To Learn work? 2:11:01 What Is Success For You? (Includes paid partnerships)
Shane Parrish828,231 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce
My conversation with Winston Weinberg, co-founder of Harvey. 0:00 The List that Powers His life and Work 2:20 How to Say “No” 7:26 3 Principles for Decision-Making 8:18 How Harvey is Changing the Legal World 11:36 The Cold Email to Sam Altman 12:56 The Demo Strategy that Shocked 17:55 Advice Winston Didn't Take 19:34 The Deal that Almost Killed Harvey 21:56 How to Build Resilience to Failure 24:00 How Winston Hacks His Stress 29:36 Creating a Sense of Urgency on Your Team 31:29 Who Not to Hire 35:09 How to Screen for Resiliency in Interviews 45:28 Does AI Make a Better Lawyer? 48:54 The Future Law Firms 54:52 Why Legal Costs Aren't Going Down 00:56:48 3 Principles The Work 01:00:54 How Winston Defines Success Listen now 👇 (Includes paid partnerships.)
Shane Parrish289,251 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce
My conversation with OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman This is the most detailed first-person account of the 72 hours after Sam Altman was fired. We also go deep on what comes next: the global race to AGI, why ChatGPT stopped showing reasoning, how much of OpenAI's own code is now written by AI ("it's hard to know what percent is not"), and the untold story of how OpenAI actually started in 2015. 00:00:00 Introduction 00:00:49 Meeting Sam Altman and Starting OpenAI 00:02:40 Building the Founding Team 00:04:25 DeepMind's Lead Over OpenAI 00:04:54 Changing OpenAI to a For-Profit Model 00:06:05 Breakthrough Moments at OpenAI 00:08:22 What Dota 2 Meant for OpenAI 00:10:04 Reasoning Versus Prediction 00:11:59 Tensions Grow at OpenAI 00:15:44 Sam Altman's Firing 00:17:49 Greg Quits OpenAI 00:19:56 Sam Explores Deal with Microsoft's Satya 00:20:28 Petition for Altman's Return 00:23:43 Ilya Sutskever Leaves OpenAI 00:24:59 Lessons Learned after Sam Ousting 00:28:22 The Thing Ilya Said that Greg Can't Forget 00:32:22 Is AI Going Parabolic? 00:33:24 How Much of OpenAI's Code is Written by AI? 00:36:21 Do AI Chatbots Tell Us What We Want to Hear? 00:38:06 The Global AI Race to Reach AGI 00:38:40 What Happens if US Doesn't Reach AGI First? 00:39:49 Are Countries Stealing AI Advancements? 00:40:38 Why ChatGPT No Longer Shows Reasoning 00:41:47 The Finite Constraints of Compute 00:43:38 On Investing Early in Data Centers 00:46:31 The Future of Data Center Specialization 00:47:52 How to Decide Whose Queries to Serve 00:49:08 OpenAI on Consumer vs Enterprise Models 00:53:05 Data Centers in Space? 01:00:56 What Should AI Regulation Look Like? 01:04:33 The Future of AI-Powered Entrepreneurship 01:04:44 AI and Job Loss 01:07:15 The Skills Young People Should Invest In 01:11:30 What Does Success Look Like For You? Full episode on X below. Also find it on: • YouTube: • Spotify: • Apple:
Shane Parrish450,631 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce
The Doorman Fallacy 'You have a five-star hotel and it has a doorman, welcoming incoming guests. McKinsey or Accenture will come in and say, “Your doorman currently costs you X thousand dollars a year. We have defined his or her function as opening the door. We’ll replace said doorman with an automatic door-opening mechanism and an infrared human detector and we’ll save you $30–$40,000 a year.” They walk away, and they take the credit for the cost savings. Two years later, the hotel’s a catastrophe ... because the doorman was doing multiple things, many of which were human and kind of tacit. Security would be one; there are no vagrants asleep in the doorway. Hailing taxis, dealing with luggage, recognizing regular guests, providing status to the hotel—there are loads and loads of value creation components to that doorman which aren’t captured in the open-the-door definition." It's easy to see the visible things, but the invisible things make the difference.
Shane Parrish1,196,589 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce
At 28 mark pincus was nearly broke, had been fired by John Malone and Bain, and as he says "my life sucked so badly." He wanted a place to think and ended up in a synagogue. Sitting there something happened ... but it wasn't a religious experience. He started writing what he calls the book of life. He documented every single thing that sucked in his life (and it was a long list.) Then he wrote out a goal for the next year that taught he he was the master of his circumstances, not the other way around. And he's done this every year of his life since. The key question he's trying to answer each year is: "What would your future self thank you for doing this year?"
Shane Parrish69,403 görüntüleme • 13 gün önce
My conversation with James Clear James understands habits, motivation, and psychology better than nearly anyone and has a knack for making things practical and useful. Enjoy! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 00:56 The Role of Identity in Habit Formation 03:38 Lack of Patience Changes the Outcome 13:46 Creating Conditions for Success 17:44 Finding the Confidence to Start 34:32 Positioning in Business and Life 01:07:21 Sequencing Through the Eras of Your Life 01:25:34 The Most Important Habits 01:37:31 Become Stronger Than Your Feelings 01:54:40 Consistency vs. Intensity 02:06:40 Prioritization
Shane Parrish827,546 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce
My conversation with Morgan Housel 0:00 Intro 7:22 Happiness vs Contentment 11:45 Independence Is a Spectrum 14:40 Survival Beats Intelligence 21:05 Why You’ll Underperform 22:32 Should You Buy a House? 22:32 Housing Is the Problem 35:08 Money Across Life Stages 43:50 Raising Kids With Wealth 55:46 The Vanderbilt Warning 1:07:51 Depressions, Panics, Downturns 1:14:20 Passive Income 1:32:27 What Matters 1:40:38 What Can History Teach Us About Inflation? 1:47:46 How Morgan Invests 1:53:36 Defining Success (Includes paid partnerships. Thanks Granola for sponsoring this episode.)
Shane Parrish727,462 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce
Connor Teskey is one of the least-known people in asset management. And yet, at 38, he just took over as CEO of Brookfield Asset Management from Bruce Flatt and is now responsible for managing over 1 trillion in assets. Few people have as wide a view of the global economy and what's happening in it as Connor. We discuss: - The lessons he learned working with Bruce Flatt (and where they differ) - His meteoric rise in a highly competitive firm - What's not changing in the global economy - How he isolates variables to de-risk decisions - Why waiting for perfect information is futile - Betting against the crowd and being right - Using AI to increase value, not cut people And so much more. This is Connor's first-ever podcast (and long-form interview for that matter). It's time to listen and Learn.
Shane Parrish362,917 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce
This is brilliant. 'I write a paragraph about why I should take a meeting.' If you should take the meeting it's easy to do, but if you start writing and you're like “I don’t want to do this,” then the meeting is a waste of time. "For the things that I think are really important when I’m like, “I got to write that paragraph, I could write 20 pages. It's easy” A lot of otherwise smart people, don't spend enough time thinking about what they're working on.
Shane Parrish112,861 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce
My conversation with Nicolai Tangen Tangen runs the world's largest sovereign wealth fund and sees AI as a once-in-a-lifetime inflection point. He is responsible for managing $2.1 trillion. That's roughly 1.7% of all listed companies on Earth. This episode is full of surprising insights. Enjoy! (Includes paid promotions)
Shane Parrish406,237 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce
Why do smart people make bad decisions? Charlie Munger discovered 25 tendencies sabotaging your judgment right now. Here they are: 1. Reward and Punishment Superresponse Tendency 2. Liking/Loving Tendency 3. Disliking/Hating Tendency 4. Doubt-Avoidance Tendency 5. Inconsistency-Avoidance Tendency 6. Curiosity Tendency 7. Kantian Fairness Tendency 8. Envy/Jealousy Tendency 9. Reciprocation Tendency 10. Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency 11. Simple, Pain-Avoiding Psychological Denial 12. Excessive Self-Regard Tendency 13. Overoptimism Tendency 14. Deprival-Superreaction Tendency 15. Social-Proof Tendency 16. Contrast-Misreaction Tendency 17. Stress-Influence Tendency 18. Availability-Misweighing Tendency 19. Use-It-or-Lose-It Tendency 20. Drug-Misinfluence Tendency 21. Senescence-Misinfluence Tendency 22. Authority-Misinfluence Tendency 23. Twaddle Tendency 24. Reason-Respecting Tendency 25. Lollapalooza Tendency—The Tendency to Get Extreme Consequences from Confluences of Psychology Tendencies Acting in Favor of a Particular Outcome Listen now "Charlie Munger and The Psychology of Human Misjudgement on The Knowledge Project"
Shane Parrish675,771 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce
"You get instant gratification from making progress in the way that people think progress is made. You don't get instant gratification from being like, "I think you're wrong, and I know the business better than you do, and really I need to go do this other thing, but that's gonna take me six months to prove you wrong." That takes a lot of conviction and a lot of discipline to be able to do that." Put the blinders on and ignore the noise.
Shane Parrish105,818 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce
My conversation with CEO Mario Harik, CEO of XPO His journey from bomb shelters in Lebanon to becoming Brad Jacobs protégé, has never been told before. Enjoy. 0:00 Approach to Solving Problems 3:38 Letting Go of Perfection 5:14 Lessons from Brad Jacobs 10:51 Disagreement vs. Consensus 19:41 Leading from the Front 22:35 Using AI to track performance 29:30 Structuring Meetings 32:36 Pre-meeting Prep 39:48 Hiring & Assessing Candidates 47:30 Escaping Lebanon Bomb Shelters 49:29 How he Makes Decisions 59:23 Framework for evaluating talent 1:02:12 High Performance Environment 1:07:33 Value Creation (Includes paid partnerships.)
Shane Parrish194,972 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce
Top Performance Coach Jim Murphy (Jim Murphy) reveals how to quiet the mind and execute when it matters most. Jim spent 5 years writing Inner Excellence, the mental toughness manual that shot from obscurity to #1 New York Times bestseller overnight when star athlete A.J. Brown was caught reading it on the sidelines of an NFL playoff game. 00:00 Introduction 01:01 The 3 Pillars of Inner Excellence 04:14 A Manual on Mental Toughness 07:55 Goals are Secondary 11:53 Clean Fuel vs. Dirty Fuel 14:23 What You Want Most 16:26 Ad Break 18:41 The Achievement Treadmill 21:47 The Busy Trap 22:34 The Best Vacation 25:39 What's Your Purpose? 27:41 The Spiral of Isolation 31:09 The Key to Performance 34:00 The Courage to Be Disliked 35:55 What the Most Successful People Do 39:49 Redefine Success and Failure 41:43 Comparison & Envy 42:53 Individual Cost and Collective Gain 46:31 Talking to Your Kids About Mental Toughness 47:34 Discovering Your Inner Excellence (Where to Start) 51:25 Tension Between Achievement and Happiness 55:09 Dealing With Guilt 58:10 Knowledge vs. Wisdom 01:01:21 Changing Focus to Accomplish Goals 01:05:40 Using Automatic Rules 01:10:40 Daily Mantras for Success 01:12:15 Ambition or Love? 01:14:52 Train Your Mind 01:15:38 What Is Success? Out now wherever you listen to the knowledge project. Includes paid partnerships.
Shane Parrish575,683 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce
My conversation with Rory Sutherland, Vice Chairman at Ogilvy 00:00 Introduction 01:31 AI and Decision Making 03:48 Looking for Efficiency in the Wrong Place 04:44 The Doorman Fallacy 08:54 How to Spend Your Marketing Budget 15:52 Ad Break 18:09 Cold Beer Thought Experiment 20:25 The Psychopath Detection Test 27:15 Brand Quake 29:21 Customer Value Thinking 34:28 Why Is Dyson So Effective at Marketing? 36:28 Ad Break 38:51 The Map is Not the Territory 39:27 The Problem with Shareholders 42:29 'Tech Bro' Decision Making 45:15 Warren Buffett’s Obsession 47:52 Why John Bragg Paid the Most 51:23 High Trust vs Low Trust Societies 58:45 What The Mad Men Era Teaches Us 1:03:59 The Danger of Bad Marketing 1:07:56 Copy Nothing 1:17:47 Navigating Cancel Culture 1:29:59 Signalling to Ourselves 1:39:06 Changing of Societal Norms 1:43:27 How to Write Good Copy 1:56:30 What Is Success for You? (Includes paid partnerships. If you're interested in sponsoring the show, reach out.)
Shane Parrish448,265 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce
Steve Wozniak is the engineer who quietly built Apple. Here are 26 ideas I took away from this episode and my research you can use. 1. Constraints force deep understanding. 2. Focus on the step, not the outcome. 3. Committees kill revolutions. 4. Learning is the prize. 5. Institutions by default reject anything that means existing beliefs are wrong. 6. Happiness equals smiles minus frowns. 7. Misplaced loyalty is a waste. 8. Work alone on what matters if you must. 9. Patience compounds. 10. Hold your ideas with the right grip. Let go of incorrect ideas. 11. If it's worth doing, it's worth giving it 100%. 12. Obsession isn't a problem. It's an advantage. 13. Simplicity has the fewest moving parts. 14. Time will do the work for you if you align with how the world works. 15. Move with urgency. You can do it much faster than you think. 16. Design around engineering, not marketing. 17. Optimize for happiness, not fairness 18. You don't have to run the company to be a co-founder. 19. "It takes a lot of work to make something simple." 20. Obsess over customers. 21. Don't accept something because it's the way it is. 22. You win in the dark, when everyone else is partying or sleeping. 23. The only way to understand is to get your hands dirty in the work. 24. "Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication." 25. The best are always learning more. 26. Never lie. Honesty is the most important thing. (Listen now "Steve Wozniak on The Knowledge Project" or see links in comments.)
Shane Parrish502,798 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce
My conversation with Michael Ovitz. We discuss power, momentum, competition, identifying and hiring top talent, being fearless, why you should always allow people to keep their dignity, and so much more. Listen and Learn! Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 3:41 Always Tell The Truth 5:50 The Loneliest Professions 8:17 Where People go Wrong 10:16 Importance of Being Well Read 16:42 Don’t Fight Your Job 18:28 Managing Relationships 26:47 "All publicity is nonsense" 30:27 What Do You Look For in People? 33:28 Meeting Marc Andreessen 36:44 Fearless 42:12 Allow People to Keep Dignity 43:42 Failure 47:48 Michael Crichton 53:10 The Collison Brothers 57:51 The Woke Culture Influence 1:01:30 Information Overload 1:11:30 What Makes A Good Leader 1:14:13 Business Education 1:16:28 Momentum 1:17:36 Leverage 1:26:30 Trust 1:29:15 What is Success (Includes paid partnerships.)
Shane Parrish303,085 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce