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1¢ contract on Polymarket returns 43¢ per dollar a slot machine returns 90 cents • 72 million trades exposed this and nobody is talking about it: > takers (market orders) lose −1.12% per trade > makers (limit orders) earn +1.12% per trade > NO outperforms YES at 69 out... of 99 price levels > people buy YES on their team, their candidate... > the quants collect the other side One equation connects all of this - Markov chains The same math behind Google's PageRank, nuclear bomb simulations, and every LLM This 1 hour MIT lecture on "Markov Chains in Finance" will teach you more about prediction markets than every "alpha" article you've ever bookmarked Bookmark & watch it once. Then read the full article below, you won't trade the same way again ↓show more

Сarm1ne

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422,200 次观看 • 4 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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This 1 hour MIT lecture on "Probabilistic Analysis" using Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than a 2-month Wall Street Quant firm internship. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read article below

This 1 hour MIT lecture on "Probabilistic Analysis" using Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than a 2-month Wall Street Quant firm internship. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read article below

Movez

228,021 次观看 • 4 个月前

This 1 hour lecture on Markov Chains by Senior Quant Finance will tell you more about quant trading than 5 years of finance degree. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It's the most productive thing you'll watch this week. Then read the article below.

This 1 hour lecture on Markov Chains by Senior Quant Finance will tell you more about quant trading than 5 years of finance degree. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It's the most productive thing you'll watch this week. Then read the article below.

Movez

48,976 次观看 • 4 个月前

this 40 min MIT lecture on Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than 5 years in trading it's 106 years old and wrote in 1906 > Google used it to build their search engine > quants use it to crush prediction markets > you can watch it for free tonight the algorithm that built the internet is the same one printing money on Polymarket Fastest way to copy-trade anyone even with $10 using:

this 40 min MIT lecture on Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than 5 years in trading it's 106 years old and wrote in 1906 > Google used it to build their search engine > quants use it to crush prediction markets > you can watch it for free tonight the algorithm that built the internet is the same one printing money on Polymarket Fastest way to copy-trade anyone even with $10 using:

Ricker

58,280 次观看 • 4 个月前

This is the rarest piece of HFT content on the internet - Robert Almgren walking through a real execution trade tick by tick He's the co-founder of Quantitative Brokers and the man who wrote the Almgren-Chriss model - the standard execution algorithm used at Goldman, Citadel, Two Sigma In this lecture he shows a live order from May 14 2018, every fill, every limit, every market reaction across 2 minutes and 40 seconds The article above is that exact same thinking applied to Polymarket - measure your edge in bits before you place a single trade Bookmark it & give it a watch tonight ↓

This is the rarest piece of HFT content on the internet - Robert Almgren walking through a real execution trade tick by tick He's the co-founder of Quantitative Brokers and the man who wrote the Almgren-Chriss model - the standard execution algorithm used at Goldman, Citadel, Two Sigma In this lecture he shows a live order from May 14 2018, every fill, every limit, every market reaction across 2 minutes and 40 seconds The article above is that exact same thinking applied to Polymarket - measure your edge in bits before you place a single trade Bookmark it & give it a watch tonight ↓

0xDipper

255,858 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨THIS ARB SETUP PRINTS ~$27,500 PER MONTH It's WRONG about BTC price every time and still gets paid. The secret? It buy YES, then buys NO same second. Sounds insane but it's the only risk-free trade in the whole space: On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. The other ends at zero. Always, no middle ground. But the orderbook is messy and the two sides trade like they don't even know about each other. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents of locked profit that does not care where Bitcoin goes. Up, down, sideways - you already hold the winning side, cause you hold every side. You're not predicting anything. You're just buying a dollar for less than a dollar. Now the honest part most of these posts skip: The gap is real but thin, and three things eat it. > fees + gas on both legs > you need BOTH sides filled before the gap closes > and it closes in seconds, sometimes faster Grab YES at 47, NO jumps to 54 before your second leg fills, and your locked 96 just became $1.01. Free money turned into a small loss in one tick. The math is risk-free but the execution is NOT. That's the whole reason bots own this and humans can't. You can stare at one market. My scanner watches every crypto market at once and fires both legs the instant the sum breaks under a dollar. Full guide quoted below for those who wanna deep dive into arb.

🚨THIS ARB SETUP PRINTS ~$27,500 PER MONTH It's WRONG about BTC price every time and still gets paid. The secret? It buy YES, then buys NO same second. Sounds insane but it's the only risk-free trade in the whole space: On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. The other ends at zero. Always, no middle ground. But the orderbook is messy and the two sides trade like they don't even know about each other. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents of locked profit that does not care where Bitcoin goes. Up, down, sideways - you already hold the winning side, cause you hold every side. You're not predicting anything. You're just buying a dollar for less than a dollar. Now the honest part most of these posts skip: The gap is real but thin, and three things eat it. > fees + gas on both legs > you need BOTH sides filled before the gap closes > and it closes in seconds, sometimes faster Grab YES at 47, NO jumps to 54 before your second leg fills, and your locked 96 just became $1.01. Free money turned into a small loss in one tick. The math is risk-free but the execution is NOT. That's the whole reason bots own this and humans can't. You can stare at one market. My scanner watches every crypto market at once and fires both legs the instant the sum breaks under a dollar. Full guide quoted below for those who wanna deep dive into arb.

Oracle Boar

22,228 次观看 • 2 个月前

Chinese quant built a perfect BTC price simulation engine with MiroFish In a single trade, he turned $2,000 into $166,000. 7,500% profit. All proof onchain - every single one of his trades is publicly visible on Polymarket. His wallet: His algorithm instantly detects any mispricing in crypto markets and enters trade immediately. $350k all-time profit. Constantly fading the crowd because his simulation reads the market better than everyone else. He’s using closed order book data + private OTC desks. Already elite alpha. Then the real magic happens: 10,000 simulation cycles of how the market will react. On April 24, he was only one who knew the market was wrong. He entered a trade with just a 1.3% implied probability of execution. This isn’t “guessing where the chart will go.” This is engineered money. Pure fusion of AI + MiroFish + insane math on exclusive data. Want to learn how to build something like this? Save the post and read the article. If you don’t want to miss his next 75x trade, starting copy every one of his trades right now using this TG bot:

Chinese quant built a perfect BTC price simulation engine with MiroFish In a single trade, he turned $2,000 into $166,000. 7,500% profit. All proof onchain - every single one of his trades is publicly visible on Polymarket. His wallet: His algorithm instantly detects any mispricing in crypto markets and enters trade immediately. $350k all-time profit. Constantly fading the crowd because his simulation reads the market better than everyone else. He’s using closed order book data + private OTC desks. Already elite alpha. Then the real magic happens: 10,000 simulation cycles of how the market will react. On April 24, he was only one who knew the market was wrong. He entered a trade with just a 1.3% implied probability of execution. This isn’t “guessing where the chart will go.” This is engineered money. Pure fusion of AI + MiroFish + insane math on exclusive data. Want to learn how to build something like this? Save the post and read the article. If you don’t want to miss his next 75x trade, starting copy every one of his trades right now using this TG bot:

cvxv666

282,748 次观看 • 4 个月前

Chinese quant built a perfect BTC price simulation engine with MiroFish In a single trade, he turned $2,000 into $166,000. 7,500% profit. All proof onchain - every single one of his trades is publicly visible on Polymarket. His wallet: His algorithm instantly detects any mispricing in crypto markets and enters trade immediately. $350k all-time profit. Constantly fading the crowd because his simulation reads the market better than everyone else. He’s using closed order book data + private OTC desks. Already elite alpha. Then the real magic happens: 10,000 simulation cycles of how the market will react. On April 24, he was only one who knew the market was wrong. He entered a trade with just a 1.3% implied probability of execution. This isn’t "guessing where the chart will go" This is engineered money. Pure fusion of AI + MiroFish + insane math on exclusive data. Want to learn how to build something like this? Save the post and read the article. If you don’t want to miss his next 75x trade, starting copy every one of his trades right now using this TG bot:

Chinese quant built a perfect BTC price simulation engine with MiroFish In a single trade, he turned $2,000 into $166,000. 7,500% profit. All proof onchain - every single one of his trades is publicly visible on Polymarket. His wallet: His algorithm instantly detects any mispricing in crypto markets and enters trade immediately. $350k all-time profit. Constantly fading the crowd because his simulation reads the market better than everyone else. He’s using closed order book data + private OTC desks. Already elite alpha. Then the real magic happens: 10,000 simulation cycles of how the market will react. On April 24, he was only one who knew the market was wrong. He entered a trade with just a 1.3% implied probability of execution. This isn’t "guessing where the chart will go" This is engineered money. Pure fusion of AI + MiroFish + insane math on exclusive data. Want to learn how to build something like this? Save the post and read the article. If you don’t want to miss his next 75x trade, starting copy every one of his trades right now using this TG bot:

cvxv666

202,968 次观看 • 3 个月前

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$589,139 on Polymarket. 25,388 predictions with a 63% win rate in 77 days. That comes out to roughly $7,651 in profit per day and almost 14 trades per hour. With $217K in deposits, he is now up 2.7x. About +271.5% ROI. The bot strategy is simple: It finds markets where the pricing is still off. Gets in before the odds fully catch up. Repeats the same setup again and again across many entries. The edge on each trade is small. But scale and repetition turn it into a massive result. Most profitable trades: $17,839 → $36,318 (+$18,478, +103.58%) $3,112 → $15,011 (+$11,898, +382.22%) $10,676 → $22,178 (+$11,502, +107.74%) What makes it work is not one huge trade. It is the same small advantage, applied fast, applied often, and repeated until the pricing gap is gone. I reverse-engineered it. Had Claude rebuild the same logic. One prompt. 90 minutes. Fully deployed. You only need: Claude + a device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word PROFIT 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$589,139 on Polymarket. 25,388 predictions with a 63% win rate in 77 days. That comes out to roughly $7,651 in profit per day and almost 14 trades per hour. With $217K in deposits, he is now up 2.7x. About +271.5% ROI. The bot strategy is simple: It finds markets where the pricing is still off. Gets in before the odds fully catch up. Repeats the same setup again and again across many entries. The edge on each trade is small. But scale and repetition turn it into a massive result. Most profitable trades: $17,839 → $36,318 (+$18,478, +103.58%) $3,112 → $15,011 (+$11,898, +382.22%) $10,676 → $22,178 (+$11,502, +107.74%) What makes it work is not one huge trade. It is the same small advantage, applied fast, applied often, and repeated until the pricing gap is gone. I reverse-engineered it. Had Claude rebuild the same logic. One prompt. 90 minutes. Fully deployed. You only need: Claude + a device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word PROFIT 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you

Himanshu Kumar

85,657 次观看 • 2 个月前

I gave Claude full access to my Polymarket account and $100. Just one rule. Grow this by morning or I unplug you. Current wallet balance: +$3,284.84 And it didn't try to predict Bitcoin even ONCE. Here's what it did and why arb is smarter than 99% of traders: It went hunting for broken math. On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. the other ends at zero. Always. no middle ground. But the orderbook is sloppy and the two sides trade like strangers. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents locked, and it does not care where Bitcoin goes. Claude scanned every crypto market at once, hundreds of windows a second, never tired, never bored. The instant two sides summed under a dollar it grabbed both legs before the gap closed. Not one prediction the whole night. The honest catch is execution. These gaps live for seconds and fees eat the thin ones. A human can watch one market. A bot watches all of them and pounces the moment the math breaks. This is why vibe coding an arbitrage terminal is the fastest way to profit on prediction markets. Leaving the full guide below. Paste it into your own prompt and let see what happens. Bookmark while it's still public.

I gave Claude full access to my Polymarket account and $100. Just one rule. Grow this by morning or I unplug you. Current wallet balance: +$3,284.84 And it didn't try to predict Bitcoin even ONCE. Here's what it did and why arb is smarter than 99% of traders: It went hunting for broken math. On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. the other ends at zero. Always. no middle ground. But the orderbook is sloppy and the two sides trade like strangers. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents locked, and it does not care where Bitcoin goes. Claude scanned every crypto market at once, hundreds of windows a second, never tired, never bored. The instant two sides summed under a dollar it grabbed both legs before the gap closed. Not one prediction the whole night. The honest catch is execution. These gaps live for seconds and fees eat the thin ones. A human can watch one market. A bot watches all of them and pounces the moment the math breaks. This is why vibe coding an arbitrage terminal is the fastest way to profit on prediction markets. Leaving the full guide below. Paste it into your own prompt and let see what happens. Bookmark while it's still public.

Oracle Boar

17,908 次观看 • 15 天前

I gave Claude full access to my Polymarket account and $100. Just one rule. Grow this by morning or I unplug you. Current wallet balance: +$4,865.36 And it didn't try to predict Bitcoin even ONCE. Here's what it did and why arb is smarter than 99% of traders: It went hunting for broken math. On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. the other ends at zero. Always. no middle ground. But the orderbook is sloppy and the two sides trade like strangers. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents locked, and it does not care where Bitcoin goes. Claude scanned every crypto market at once, hundreds of windows a second, never tired, never bored. The instant two sides summed under a dollar it grabbed both legs before the gap closed. Not one prediction the whole night. The honest catch is execution. These gaps live for seconds and fees eat the thin ones. A human can watch one market. A bot watches all of them and pounces the moment the math breaks. This is why vibe coding an arbitrage terminal is the fastest way to profit on prediction markets. Leaving the full guide below. Paste it into your own prompt and let see what happens. Bookmark while it's still public.

I gave Claude full access to my Polymarket account and $100. Just one rule. Grow this by morning or I unplug you. Current wallet balance: +$4,865.36 And it didn't try to predict Bitcoin even ONCE. Here's what it did and why arb is smarter than 99% of traders: It went hunting for broken math. On a BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO have to add up to exactly $1 at resolution. One side ends at a dollar. the other ends at zero. Always. no middle ground. But the orderbook is sloppy and the two sides trade like strangers. So for a few seconds YES sits at 47 cents while NO sits at 49. That's 96 cents to own BOTH outcomes of a market that pays a guaranteed dollar. 4 cents locked, and it does not care where Bitcoin goes. Claude scanned every crypto market at once, hundreds of windows a second, never tired, never bored. The instant two sides summed under a dollar it grabbed both legs before the gap closed. Not one prediction the whole night. The honest catch is execution. These gaps live for seconds and fees eat the thin ones. A human can watch one market. A bot watches all of them and pounces the moment the math breaks. This is why vibe coding an arbitrage terminal is the fastest way to profit on prediction markets. Leaving the full guide below. Paste it into your own prompt and let see what happens. Bookmark while it's still public.

Oracle Boar

120,665 次观看 • 1 个月前

I left my bot running one rule while i slept: Open both sides on BTC market when YES + NO < $1 The result is absolutely shocking. Now simplest arb makes me ~$4,750 per Claude session. No charts, prediction or strategy. Only fire when the math on a market is broken. Here's exactly how it works: On every BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO add up to exactly $1 at the end. One side a dollar, one side zero. So if the book ever offers both for less than a dollar, you buy both and lock the difference. 47 cents for YES, 49 for NO. 96 cents for a guaranteed dollar, simple as that. 4 cents that doesn't care if Bitcoin pumps, dumps or sits dead flat. While i was asleep the scanner watched EVERY crypto market at once. Every second. All night. Each time the two sides summed under a dollar it took both legs before the gap snapped shut. I made exactly ZERO decisions overnight. The honest part: those gaps are thin and brief, fees kill the small ones, and you need both legs filled before it closes. So it skipped way more than it took. And that's correct behavior, not a bug. The best trade i made last night was probably going to sleep. Setup guide below if you want to build the same one. Make sure to compress this info into a prompt before pasting into Claude. Good luck, will drop an update in my next post.

I left my bot running one rule while i slept: Open both sides on BTC market when YES + NO < $1 The result is absolutely shocking. Now simplest arb makes me ~$4,750 per Claude session. No charts, prediction or strategy. Only fire when the math on a market is broken. Here's exactly how it works: On every BTC Up/Down market, YES and NO add up to exactly $1 at the end. One side a dollar, one side zero. So if the book ever offers both for less than a dollar, you buy both and lock the difference. 47 cents for YES, 49 for NO. 96 cents for a guaranteed dollar, simple as that. 4 cents that doesn't care if Bitcoin pumps, dumps or sits dead flat. While i was asleep the scanner watched EVERY crypto market at once. Every second. All night. Each time the two sides summed under a dollar it took both legs before the gap snapped shut. I made exactly ZERO decisions overnight. The honest part: those gaps are thin and brief, fees kill the small ones, and you need both legs filled before it closes. So it skipped way more than it took. And that's correct behavior, not a bug. The best trade i made last night was probably going to sleep. Setup guide below if you want to build the same one. Make sure to compress this info into a prompt before pasting into Claude. Good luck, will drop an update in my next post.

Oracle Boar

26,154 次观看 • 1 个月前

$15K in One Day. 288 Trades. 68.7% Win Rate. All From a Bot You Can Also Build Today. AI bot switched from 15-min to 5-min BTC markets. 3x more trades. 3x more profit. You're still placing one manual trade per day and losing. I've made the exact step-by-step guide to build this 5-min BTC Polymarket trading bot. Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment "BTC" 2. Like and Retweet 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar (so i can DM you) The loop. Every 5 minutes: > Scans BTC price across exchanges > Detects CEX lag vs Polymarket odds > Enters directional position: up or down > $1,500-$5,000 per trade > Exits on resolution 15-min windows = 96 trades/day. 5-min windows = 288 trades/day. 3x speed unlocked. Started with $100K. Rank #832 globally. $124K today. $1M is math, not hope. 288 shots per day. 68.7% win rate. Do the math. 288 trades. 198 wins. 90 losses. Net positive every single day. You take one trade per day. Agonize over it for 45 minutes. Lose. Take a revenge trade. Lose again. Close your laptop. Blame the market. This bot took 288 trades today and felt nothing. It doesn't revenge trade. Doesn't overtrade. Doesn't panic. Doesn't sleep. By the time you open Polymarket and find a market, this bot already traded it 3 times and moved on. You're not slow. You're human. And humans can't compete with this. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM.

$15K in One Day. 288 Trades. 68.7% Win Rate. All From a Bot You Can Also Build Today. AI bot switched from 15-min to 5-min BTC markets. 3x more trades. 3x more profit. You're still placing one manual trade per day and losing. I've made the exact step-by-step guide to build this 5-min BTC Polymarket trading bot. Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment "BTC" 2. Like and Retweet 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar (so i can DM you) The loop. Every 5 minutes: > Scans BTC price across exchanges > Detects CEX lag vs Polymarket odds > Enters directional position: up or down > $1,500-$5,000 per trade > Exits on resolution 15-min windows = 96 trades/day. 5-min windows = 288 trades/day. 3x speed unlocked. Started with $100K. Rank #832 globally. $124K today. $1M is math, not hope. 288 shots per day. 68.7% win rate. Do the math. 288 trades. 198 wins. 90 losses. Net positive every single day. You take one trade per day. Agonize over it for 45 minutes. Lose. Take a revenge trade. Lose again. Close your laptop. Blame the market. This bot took 288 trades today and felt nothing. It doesn't revenge trade. Doesn't overtrade. Doesn't panic. Doesn't sleep. By the time you open Polymarket and find a market, this bot already traded it 3 times and moved on. You're not slow. You're human. And humans can't compete with this. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM.

Himanshu Kumar

18,080 次观看 • 4 个月前

There's a way to win on Polymarket no matter who wins. Buy YES in one place, NO in another. If they don't add up to a dollar, you locked a profit. Before the event even happens. Here's how the arbitrage actually works and how to master it: This is the closest thing to free money on Polymarket. Every market has a YES and a NO. One of them MUST resolve to $1. The other goes to zero. So in theory, YES + NO should always cost exactly $1. But in thin or messy markets, they don't. Sometimes you can buy: > YES at 0.48 > NO at 0.49 > total cost: 0.97 This guy does it every day: [ He also uploaded a full guide on how to build the same bot. One side pays you $1 at resolution no matter what. He spends 97 cents to guarantee a dollar. That 3 cents is locked, risk-free. There's also the cross-market version. The same event sometimes has two separate markets at different prices. Buy the cheap YES in one, the cheap NO in the other, and pocket the gap. Sounds easy, right? But here's the honest part: These gaps close in about 2.7 seconds now. By the time you click by hand, a bot already took it. So the manual version only really survives in low-liquidity markets the bots ignore. The fast version? That lives in compiled code with a VPS sitting next to the exchange. If you can code, this is one of the cleanest edges i know. If you can't, stick to the thin markets where speed matters less. Good luck!

There's a way to win on Polymarket no matter who wins. Buy YES in one place, NO in another. If they don't add up to a dollar, you locked a profit. Before the event even happens. Here's how the arbitrage actually works and how to master it: This is the closest thing to free money on Polymarket. Every market has a YES and a NO. One of them MUST resolve to $1. The other goes to zero. So in theory, YES + NO should always cost exactly $1. But in thin or messy markets, they don't. Sometimes you can buy: > YES at 0.48 > NO at 0.49 > total cost: 0.97 This guy does it every day: [ He also uploaded a full guide on how to build the same bot. One side pays you $1 at resolution no matter what. He spends 97 cents to guarantee a dollar. That 3 cents is locked, risk-free. There's also the cross-market version. The same event sometimes has two separate markets at different prices. Buy the cheap YES in one, the cheap NO in the other, and pocket the gap. Sounds easy, right? But here's the honest part: These gaps close in about 2.7 seconds now. By the time you click by hand, a bot already took it. So the manual version only really survives in low-liquidity markets the bots ignore. The fast version? That lives in compiled code with a VPS sitting next to the exchange. If you can code, this is one of the cleanest edges i know. If you can't, stick to the thin markets where speed matters less. Good luck!

Dexter's Lab

11,583 次观看 • 2 个月前

Another quiet Polymarket account just quietly turned $62 into $721,000. Almost nobody is talking about it. The trader’s profile is Careful. I reverse-engineered his exact strategy and asked Claude to build an identical bot using the same edge. One solid prompt + 50 minutes later and it was live. The opportunity is straightforward: Polymarket updates BTC contract prices slower than real market feeds. -> The bot pulls live BTC predictions from TradingView + CryptoQuant -> It instantly spots when Polymarket lags by more than 0.3% -> Executes in under 100 ms before the market corrects -> Handles 1,000+ orders per second and captures 0.3–0.8% per trade Risk is tightly controlled: 0.5% per trade with a strict 2% daily cap. It prints a clean $400–700 every single day. Runs 100% locally - no cloud, no GPU required. Written in Rust for maximum speed. Also john f pitha shows full stats for every trader - so you know exactly who you're following. Data first. Action second. Profile and copy-trading him: Save him.

slash1s

153,938 次观看 • 4 个月前

An Indian physicist put the entire secret behind Renaissance's $100 billion on one chalkboard: a coin that barely beats 50/50. he is V. Balakrishnan, and his lecture went viral years after he recorded it. it has been free the whole time. almost nobody who trades has watched it. lecture one is the humblest thing in all of finance. a coin that lands your way a little more than half the time. that is the entire edge. that is all Renaissance ever had. the post above is the one equation for what to do with that coin. not what to bet. how much. bet too little and you die of old age. bet too much and one flip ends you. that same coin is every trade, every hand, every prediction market. a tiny edge, flipped a million times. the whole machine fits on his board, and he charged nothing for it. no slides. no notes. one coin and a stick of chalk. a quant I know says this old Indian lecture taught him probability better than his entire degree. the coin is free. the equation is free. the discipline to size it is the only thing left to earn.

An Indian physicist put the entire secret behind Renaissance's $100 billion on one chalkboard: a coin that barely beats 50/50. he is V. Balakrishnan, and his lecture went viral years after he recorded it. it has been free the whole time. almost nobody who trades has watched it. lecture one is the humblest thing in all of finance. a coin that lands your way a little more than half the time. that is the entire edge. that is all Renaissance ever had. the post above is the one equation for what to do with that coin. not what to bet. how much. bet too little and you die of old age. bet too much and one flip ends you. that same coin is every trade, every hand, every prediction market. a tiny edge, flipped a million times. the whole machine fits on his board, and he charged nothing for it. no slides. no notes. one coin and a stick of chalk. a quant I know says this old Indian lecture taught him probability better than his entire degree. the coin is free. the equation is free. the discipline to size it is the only thing left to earn.

Rossst.03

159,345 次观看 • 21 天前

A Chinese MIT professor explains how financial and prediction markets actually work. Everything you need to understand both. Most people lose money in markets not because they pick wrong - but because they dont understand the structure they're playing against. Who sets prices. How liquidity works. Why derivatives exist. How market makers profit from every trade regardless of direction. This lecture explains the actual mechanics. After it you'll see every Polymarket market differently - not as a bet, but as a pricing problem with a correct answer that the crowd hasn't found yet. That gap between the crowd's price and the correct price is where money gets made. One hour. Jake Xia. MIT. Bookmark this.

A Chinese MIT professor explains how financial and prediction markets actually work. Everything you need to understand both. Most people lose money in markets not because they pick wrong - but because they dont understand the structure they're playing against. Who sets prices. How liquidity works. Why derivatives exist. How market makers profit from every trade regardless of direction. This lecture explains the actual mechanics. After it you'll see every Polymarket market differently - not as a bet, but as a pricing problem with a correct answer that the crowd hasn't found yet. That gap between the crowd's price and the correct price is where money gets made. One hour. Jake Xia. MIT. Bookmark this.

Atenov int.

25,654 次观看 • 4 个月前

A Python script pulled $325K from the same price gap over and over. It appears every few seconds. This bot catches it first. I found distinct-baguette buried in a leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15 minute windows. Almost closed the tab. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. That is low for a profitable bot. Way too low. Something was off. Turns out I was looking at it wrong. → Account: This bot does not predict anything. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It just watches one thing: prices that do not add up. Sounds weird until you see the trick. Polymarket 15 minute windows have two sides. YES and NO. One of them always pays $1. So YES + NO should always equal $1. That is just math. But when markets move fast, prices slip. YES at 48 cents. NO at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents. The bot sees this. Buys both sides. Waits. Market closes. One side pays $1. Spent 97 cents. Keeps the 3 cent difference. Does not matter who wins. The script checks Polymarket every few seconds. BTC. SOL. XRP. Anything with volume. The moment prices slip under 99 cents combined, it fires. Three cents per trade. Repeat it tens of thousands of times. That is how you get to $325K. The 80% win rate finally made sense. He is not trying to pick winners. He is locking profit before the bet even resolves. Everyone else bets on outcomes. This bot bets on broken math.

A Python script pulled $325K from the same price gap over and over. It appears every few seconds. This bot catches it first. I found distinct-baguette buried in a leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15 minute windows. Almost closed the tab. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. That is low for a profitable bot. Way too low. Something was off. Turns out I was looking at it wrong. → Account: This bot does not predict anything. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It just watches one thing: prices that do not add up. Sounds weird until you see the trick. Polymarket 15 minute windows have two sides. YES and NO. One of them always pays $1. So YES + NO should always equal $1. That is just math. But when markets move fast, prices slip. YES at 48 cents. NO at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents. The bot sees this. Buys both sides. Waits. Market closes. One side pays $1. Spent 97 cents. Keeps the 3 cent difference. Does not matter who wins. The script checks Polymarket every few seconds. BTC. SOL. XRP. Anything with volume. The moment prices slip under 99 cents combined, it fires. Three cents per trade. Repeat it tens of thousands of times. That is how you get to $325K. The 80% win rate finally made sense. He is not trying to pick winners. He is locking profit before the bet even resolves. Everyone else bets on outcomes. This bot bets on broken math.

Marlow

154,382 次观看 • 7 个月前

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$69,203 on Polymarket 40,854 predictions in 37 days with a 57% win rate How is this account bringing in about $1,870 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It moves across short crypto “Up / Down” markets at roughly 46 trades per hour 2. It can build exposure on one outcome first, wait for the probabilities to shift, and then add the opposite side to form a stronger hedge 3. As each window develops, the bot adjusts the positions between both outcomes and keeps more orders on the side where the clearest edge remains This trader’s Polymarket account: uninformedfloww Most profitable trades: $430 → $3,000 (+$2,570 +597.7%) $454 → $2,309 (+$1,855 +408.3%) $2,469 → $4,288 (+$1,819 +73.7%) Its PnL comes from reshaping the same setup across thousands of fast-moving markets rather than depending on a single standout position

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$69,203 on Polymarket 40,854 predictions in 37 days with a 57% win rate How is this account bringing in about $1,870 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It moves across short crypto “Up / Down” markets at roughly 46 trades per hour 2. It can build exposure on one outcome first, wait for the probabilities to shift, and then add the opposite side to form a stronger hedge 3. As each window develops, the bot adjusts the positions between both outcomes and keeps more orders on the side where the clearest edge remains This trader’s Polymarket account: uninformedfloww Most profitable trades: $430 → $3,000 (+$2,570 +597.7%) $454 → $2,309 (+$1,855 +408.3%) $2,469 → $4,288 (+$1,819 +73.7%) Its PnL comes from reshaping the same setup across thousands of fast-moving markets rather than depending on a single standout position

Daniro

52,685 次观看 • 27 天前

WHY TRUMP'S TARIFF ATTACK ON CHINA WILL FAIL – explained in 60 seconds: . Dear America, every summer is warmer than the one before. China makes MORE THAN 80 PER CENT of the world's air conditioners. Can you do without them? . We also make MORE THAN 90 PER CENT of Apple tech, including iPhones and Macbooks. Can you do without them? . Also, we make ABOUT 95 PER CENT of the world's microwave ovens. The reason they all have the same basic design is that they come from one place in China. Can you manage without microwaves? . How about Christmas? MORE THAN 80 PER CENT of the world's Christmas decorations come from one town in China. . Well, you might say: We can just buy whatever we need from Amazon. Fine. But China makes MORE THAN 70 PER CENT of all the stuff that you get from Amazon. . We could go on, but I think you get the idea. No to tariffs. Yes to trade.

WHY TRUMP'S TARIFF ATTACK ON CHINA WILL FAIL – explained in 60 seconds: . Dear America, every summer is warmer than the one before. China makes MORE THAN 80 PER CENT of the world's air conditioners. Can you do without them? . We also make MORE THAN 90 PER CENT of Apple tech, including iPhones and Macbooks. Can you do without them? . Also, we make ABOUT 95 PER CENT of the world's microwave ovens. The reason they all have the same basic design is that they come from one place in China. Can you manage without microwaves? . How about Christmas? MORE THAN 80 PER CENT of the world's Christmas decorations come from one town in China. . Well, you might say: We can just buy whatever we need from Amazon. Fine. But China makes MORE THAN 70 PER CENT of all the stuff that you get from Amazon. . We could go on, but I think you get the idea. No to tariffs. Yes to trade.

Nury Vittachi

32,565 次观看 • 1 年前

Polymarket front run bot Spent the last month building the backend for this bot which essentially acts the same way that high frequency trading bots work in the stock market It waits for a market buy order to come through where there is thin liquidity in the order book meaning their market buy will push the price up of a YES/NO contract meaning that if my bot buys the contracts first then I can sell them at the high price to the market buy order before their orders have gone through Prediction markets are still early enough to find opportunities like this, just like how the early days of stock trading similar bots to this were invented It is essentially an arbitrage strategy, will make the bot public and free to a few people tomorrow so turn on notifications so you don’t miss it

Polymarket front run bot Spent the last month building the backend for this bot which essentially acts the same way that high frequency trading bots work in the stock market It waits for a market buy order to come through where there is thin liquidity in the order book meaning their market buy will push the price up of a YES/NO contract meaning that if my bot buys the contracts first then I can sell them at the high price to the market buy order before their orders have gone through Prediction markets are still early enough to find opportunities like this, just like how the early days of stock trading similar bots to this were invented It is essentially an arbitrage strategy, will make the bot public and free to a few people tomorrow so turn on notifications so you don’t miss it

Ethan

71,943 次观看 • 8 个月前