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A preview of some of the data emerging from the simulation development. Maximum sea level anomaly shown with both symlog scale (to extract early signal and definition) and linear scale (for depth analysis). ECDO S1>S2 rotation over 24 hours. Total sim time is 168 hours (1 week). After the...

11,571 görüntüleme • 4 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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The Black Sea & Eastern Mediterranean CFD-V1. State 1 to State 2 [1] over a nine-hour period (plus one hour of settling time). During the initial acceleration northwards, the water retreats to the south. Shortly after we move over the geographic north pole, the deceleration sets in, and centrifugal forcing is reversed by ±180° - the departed water returns, inundating much of Ukraine - home to considerable coal, gas, and marine sedimentary deposits. Orange markers are marine fossils. Blue/Pink markers are salt deposits. The water levels during the second phase of this simulation are lower than would be expected in reality. More than 50% of the fluid volume is lost over the Sahara to the south and leaves the simulation domain. Some of this volume would have returned during the deceleration, but is not accounted for here (this is therefore likely a conservative outcome for this scenario). A further >45% is lost to the north, leaving <5% of the original simulation domain volume. Depth, velocity, precursor- and primary-flows are visualised as follows: Depth: greyscale shading of the fluid volume. Whiter is deeper. Velocity: blue-white-red graded shading of the particle system. Precursor (thin) Flows: leading the main volume may be seen as little 'sparkles' at the head of the inundation. These provide clues as to incursion potential. Primary (heavy) Flows: white particle flows which provide a sense of volume distribution in the simulation. Pooling: Dark grey areas on land indicate pooled water. Please note that this is a physically informed visualisation of the primary (acceleration) and secondary (centrifugal) forcings only. Lunar tidal forcing is not accounted for, as it is temporally unpredictable, and of negligible effect by comparison to those under consideration. Possible overflows from the Arctic and North Sea are not modelled. Presented in 4K resolution with DEM (GEBCO bathymetry) and Google Satellite imagery. This is not a predictive safety indicator. It is a passable, evidence-supported approximation of flow direction and extent for the theorised rotation. I may iterate this solution one more time (each taking approximately a week) to improve the detail, but the agreement with existing geological, archaeological, and cultural accounts seems good at this point. [1]

Craig Stone

69,416 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Fun fact: It would take the average PC roughly 138,069,000 hours or about 15,761 years to render Avatar: The Way of Water. Here’s how I worked it out: The average PC in 2024 has 6 cores. The average blade on WetaFXs renderfarm has between 16-64 cores. There is roughly 414,000 frames in the finished film, accounting for half of the film being 48fps and half being 24fps at the final runtime of 192 minutes. Each frame took an average of 20-80 hours to render on WetaFXs blades depending on shot complexity and accounting for the 4K delivery resolution. With that info, we can work out the average: We say that the average Weta blade has 40 cores (average between the 16-64 count). That gives a Weta to PC core ratio of 6.67 We also say that the average render time per frame is 50 hours (average of 20-80) Total render time for Weta: 50 hours x 414,000 frames = 20,700,000 hours To work out how long this would be on the average home PC we must multiply by the core ratio from earlier: 50 hours x 6.67 = 333.5 hours per frame Total render time on a home PC: 333.5 hours x 414,000 frames = 138,069,000 hours, which converted to years is 15,761 DISCLAIMER: This is all an educated guess done for fun based on publicly available technical information about the film and Wetas renderfarm. It does not account for any production optimizations, storage limits etc. The real number could be drastically higher. CREDITS: Video is from WetaFXs YouTube channel:

Rassoul Edji

37,819 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Today, we’re pushing a major update to Edison Analysis, our data analysis agent, which is tuned for scientific research and SOTA across data analysis benchmarks. In contrast to Kosmos, which runs for 6-12 hours and produces tens of thousands of lines of code, Edison Analysis runs for seconds to minutes and is best for specific, well-defined computational tasks. It is available both on our platform under the Analysis tab, and via API, and costs only one credit per run, so it is available to users on both free and paid tiers. Edison Analysis is a modified version of the data analysis agent Kosmos uses in its trajectories. Try it out! One of the most important improvements over our previous data analysis agents has been the addition of a specialized data retrieval tool. Edison Analysis can either use this tool to access data, or can pull data down directly via API. To evaluate this tool, we ranked the most commonly used public data repositories across recent papers from BioRxiv, and created a new benchmark that measures the ability of a language agent system to retrieve raw data from those sources. Edison Analysis gets 71% on this benchmark, and we’ll be working to increase this over time. You can read more about our benchmarks in the our blog post, link below. Some features worth highlighting: 1. Edison Analysis produces a report on the analysis it runs, along with a Jupyter notebook that you can download to reproduce the analysis yourself. Every figure it produces is linked back to the specific lines of code used to produce the figure, to make it easy to reproduce. 2. It works well with both Python and R. 3. One of the best uses for Edison Analysis is to use it to retrieve datasets that you can then analyze with Kosmos. We have a bunch of major improvements to Edison Analysis coming in the next few months that we’re excited to share. In the meantime, congratulations to the team, especially Ludovico Mitchener, Jon Laurent, Conor Igoe , Alex Andonian, and many more.

Sam Rodriques

61,934 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

This paper is describing something which sounds remarkably similar to an ECDO state 2 to state 1 rotation a half a billion years ago. Excerpts from Evidence for a Large-Scale Reorganization of Early Cambrian Continental Masses by Inertial Interchange True Polar Wander, Kirschvink et al. (1997): "..at least two tectonic plates, involving more than two-thirds of Earth's continental lithosphere, were involved in a rapid rotation of ~90° relative to the spin axis. We speculate that the entire lithosphere may have been involved in this rotation. // The new ages, along with paleomagnetic data, indicate that continents moved at rapid rates that are difficult to reconcile with our present understanding of mantle dynamics. // The pole for this sequence is >80° away from the Vendian-Early Cambrian poles, implying that Australia underwent a large rotation while remaining near the equator sometime between Tommotian and Late Cambrian time. // Australia rotated counterclockwise during this time. // Antarctica, India, Africa, South America, and perhaps parts of East Asia also rotated with Australia. // True polar wander (TPW) is the process through which quasi-rigid spheroids align their maximum moments of inertia with the spin axis, pushing positive mass anomalies toward the rotational equator. // A variant of this mechanism, inertial interchange true polar wander (IITPW), involves discrete bursts of TPW of up to 90° in geologically short intervals of time if the magnitudes of the intermediate and maximum moments of inertia cross. This would result in a rapid movement away from the spin axis by the geographic location of the former pole with rotation of the entire solid Earth centered about the minimum moment of inertia located on the equator. // These two poles, with their stated polarity interpretation, are separated by about 68°; together they yield a plausible tropical position for Siberia, nearly on the opposite side of the globe from Australia. // If the velocities are due to TPW, however, such geodynamical considerations are obviated because the entire mantle would have rotated along with the lithosphere." [1] [2] (by Ethical Skeptic ☀)

Craig Stone

16,334 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce