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🇺🇸 🇨🇳 America's debt doom loop has already started spinning, and there's no exit built into it. Economist Chris Martenson lays out the mechanism in a single line: "The more they borrow, the more the rates go up. The more the rates go up, the more the interest payments... show more

Mario Nawfal

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Bill Ackman went on Money Rehab and explained why rates are the quiet risk nobody's pricing in. The government is running a deficit and financing it with treasury bonds. Meanwhile companies that used to buy back their own stock are issuing debt to fund the AI infrastructure boom. "There's a huge demand for credit at a time when the government itself is also issuing more and more of its own bonds." All that supply has to get absorbed by investors. That pushes rates up. And rates going up is one of the two things he's watching.

Bill Ackman went on Money Rehab and explained why rates are the quiet risk nobody's pricing in. The government is running a deficit and financing it with treasury bonds. Meanwhile companies that used to buy back their own stock are issuing debt to fund the AI infrastructure boom. "There's a huge demand for credit at a time when the government itself is also issuing more and more of its own bonds." All that supply has to get absorbed by investors. That pushes rates up. And rates going up is one of the two things he's watching.

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BLACKROCK SAYS THE REAL FED STORY ISN'T INTEREST RATES Most investors are asking: "Will rates go up or down?" BlackRock is asking a different question: "Will the Fed keep supporting markets with liquidity?" That may end up being more important for stocks and Bitcoin than the next rate cut.

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Bond yields are basically the interest rate on government debt. When they rise, it gets more expensive for Washington to borrow—and those higher rates can ripple out to mortgages, business loans, and the broader economy.⁣ ⁣

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Justin Wolfers

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🇺🇸 The buffer between America and a real energy crisis is now measured in weeks. PhD economist Chris Martenson ran the numbers, and the math is unforgiving. He lays out the tiers of escalation and where the US actually stands: "Going to war with China, that would be an emergency. So that's one level." By his calculation, the cushion has thinned to a razor's edge. The only real question left, Martenson says, is whether the country has two weeks or fourteen days of breathing room. Chris Martenson

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🚨 BREAKING: The US Federal Reserve has left interest rates UNCHANGED President Trump said they should be SLASHING rates to the lowest in the world, and that our GDP should be allowed to go up to 10%! 🔥

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The Pentagon already war-gamed this. It lost. Economic researcher Chris Martenson recalls a simulation run inside the Pentagon years ago, where a red team colonel threw out the playbook. No communications. Motorcycles carrying handwritten notes. He beat the U.S. so badly they reset the entire exercise and declared that wasn't how it was supposed to go: "There's nothing we can really do militarily against Iran at this stage." Forty years of hardened sites and careful preparation sit on the other side of this, with America's oil reserves draining on a clock nobody can pause. The simulation got reset back then. This one doesn't. Chris Martenson

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I built an interactive visualization of the Central Dogma. You can speed it up or slow it down. You can set the length of genes, the initiation rates of ribosomes, protein decay rates, and more.

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🇺🇸 A tiny dip in debt during 2008 nearly collapsed the entire financial system, and that was barely a flinch. Economist Chris Martenson says losing Gulf energy would gut every buyer of U.S. debt at once. "We were hours away from complete meltdown of our system simply because credit markets started to go down a tiny bit instead of up." If your biggest customers are drowning, nobody's left to buy the $10 trillion you need to roll. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 A supermax crude carrier is burning in the strait, and ship owners still won't move. PhD economist Chris Martenson breaks down why the gulf between the US and Iran may be impossible to bridge right now: "That's a really profound disconnect between those two positions." The standoff is brutally simple. One side wants the strait open today, the other wants tolls, terms, and a 60-day clock. And while they dig in, Martenson says the sea stays closed and the tankers stay put. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 Even if you add up every barrel in America, Canada and Venezuela, it's still only 30% of the world's oil. Economist Chris Martenson says the energy independence story falls apart on the numbers, because the Middle East sits on more than half of global reserves. And reserves in the ground aren't the same as fuel in a tank. Turning them into flowing barrels takes decades and hundreds of billions of dollars, which is why no amount of AI or drilling at home changes who really holds the prize. Chris Martenson

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Kevin Walsh took over the Fed with three choices to make... (only ONE is politically viable) Choice 1: Raise rates Higher rates would push the economy into recession and tank your retirement portfolio. The government already pays over $1T per year just in interest on the $39T national debt and can't afford to pay more. Choice 2: Hold rates steady Inflation lets the government repay the $39T debt with cheaper dollars each year. But because they keep borrowing $2T every year, the debt keeps growing. The problem is still there. Choice 3: Cut rates and print money The dollar weakens, inflation runs hotter, and the real value of the $39T debt shrinks year after year. The government has no choice to do this and you pay the price. If you hold cash or bonds (and the average American does), you pay the cost. This is what happened in 1946, before inflation erode the value of the dollar by 50% over the next 28 years.

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49,481 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen

Peter Schiff: It's now IMPOSSIBLE for the U.S to solve its debt crisis!! America is sitting on nearly $40 trillion in debt, interest payments are exploding, deficits keep getting bigger, and nobody in Washington is even pretending to have a serious plan anymore. And Schiff's explanation for why is brutal: The solution is more catastrophic than the crisis. Cut spending enough to stop the debt spiral, and you crash the economy. Raise taxes enough to stabilize the balance sheet, and you trigger a political revolt. Allow interest rates to rise to where they should be, and the entire system starts falling apart. So instead, America keeps choosing inflation, more debt, and more delay. What shocked me was when I asked what happens if interest rates eventually reflect the actual risk of lending money to a government drowning in debt: his answer was that the whole thing implodes. While everyone is distracted by wars, tariffs, AI, crypto, elections, and the latest political drama, he thinks the biggest story in the world is quietly ticking away in the background. America's creditors are losing faith, central banks are buying gold, the debt keeps compounding, and one day the people financing this system will decide they've had enough. Peter Schiff

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"Lower rates means QE, which floods the system with cash, which causes inflation, which pushes up federal spending, which means more debt. Hike rates and you die by interest expense. There's no way out other than massive fiscal austerity." - Roberto Rios

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Elon Musk opposing the “Big Beautiful Bill” shouldn’t be a shock to anyone. He literally sat next to Donald Trump and explained we need to cut spending, not pass more spending Elon Musk explains how to end inflation and drop interest payments forever “Provided the economy grows faster than the money supply, which means you stop the government overspending and the waste and the output of real useful goods and services exceeds the increase in money supply. You have no inflation and you also drop the interest payments that people pay The reason the interest payments are so high is because the national debt keeps increasing. So the government is competing to sell debt with the private citizens. This drives up the interest rate. If you cut back on the deficit, you actually have an amazing situation for people because you get rid of inflation and you drop the interest rates. That means people's mortgage payments go down, the credit card payments go down, their car payments go down, their student loans go down. Their life becomes more affordable and their standard of living improves.”

Elon Musk opposing the “Big Beautiful Bill” shouldn’t be a shock to anyone. He literally sat next to Donald Trump and explained we need to cut spending, not pass more spending Elon Musk explains how to end inflation and drop interest payments forever “Provided the economy grows faster than the money supply, which means you stop the government overspending and the waste and the output of real useful goods and services exceeds the increase in money supply. You have no inflation and you also drop the interest payments that people pay The reason the interest payments are so high is because the national debt keeps increasing. So the government is competing to sell debt with the private citizens. This drives up the interest rate. If you cut back on the deficit, you actually have an amazing situation for people because you get rid of inflation and you drop the interest rates. That means people's mortgage payments go down, the credit card payments go down, their car payments go down, their student loans go down. Their life becomes more affordable and their standard of living improves.”

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