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Everyone Is Debating CAS. Almost Nobody Is Studying It. —— ——— ———- —————- Don’t scroll - Watch this & bookmark Path : NSE → Market Data → Closing Auction Session (CAS) What should you actually look at? 1. Values ⭐️ This is the most useful column. Example: ICICI Bank...

27,698 просмотров • 12 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Tomorrow a company that holds close to 5% of all ethereum is set to join the russell 1000. Once done, index funds that have never had an opinion on crypto will be forced to buy it. Nobody in those funds chose this, a benchmark rule did it for them 👇 ◢ How index inclusion actually works Getting added to a major index is one of the strongest demand events in markets, and it has nothing to do with whether the company is good. Funds that track the russell 1000 have to hold what the russell 1000 holds, or they stop tracking it. So, when a stock joins, every passive fund benchmarked to that index becomes a forced buyer, at whatever the price is, on the schedule the index sets. Passive vehicles tend to hold something like 20 to 25% of a large-cap stock, which for this one points to roughly $2B of buying that arrives because a rule says it must. ◢ The part that makes it crypto Bitmine is not a normal company that happens to get indexed, it's an ethereum treasury, sitting on millions of $ETH as its core balance sheet. So the chain runs like this: the index adds the stock, passive funds are forced to buy the stock, and the stock is essentially a wrapper around a giant pile of ETH. The result is that ordinary equity index money ends up with ethereum exposure without a single person deciding they wanted it. No ETF approval, allocation vote or opinion required. ◢ A side door, not a front door Everyone in crypto watches the spot ETF as the official entrance for institutional money, the thing that needs sign-off and gets headlines. Index inclusion is the entrance nobody guards. strategy walked a bitcoin treasury into the nasdaq 100. Coinbase took a crypto exchange into the s&p 500. now an ethereum treasury is stepping into the russell 1000. Each time, the underlying business didn't change. what changed is who was suddenly required to own it. ◢ Why front-running it is harder than it looks The mechanism is concrete, but the easy trade around it usually isn't. The inclusion isn't final until the reconstitution actually closes, so the flow is conditional, not guaranteed. The stock is already down around 50% on the year, which is a reminder that a one-time wave of buying doesn't repair something tied to ETH's price and to confidence in the treasury model. And there's a quieter problem: "diversified" index funds are now obligated to hold a leveraged, single-asset crypto bet that most of their investors would never have picked on purpose. What it means that the biggest new buyer of a crypto-linked company is a rule, not a person, and that millions of people now hold a slice of ethereum because an index told their fund to?

Onur 🍌🦍

14,337 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🚨 BITCOIN IS TOTALLY MANIPULATED, HERE’S THE PROOF Everyone is talking about how Bitcoin will make a new ATH. Everyone is posting charts… But almost nobody is looking at what’s actually happening. Stop staring at price. Look at the liquidity. This heatmap shows everything. Massive liquidation clusters sitting BELOW the current price. That’s where the real money is. So what happens? Insiders push price UP. Then: - Breakout traders jump in - Shorts get liquidated - Fake momentum builds And then suddenly… IT STOPS. Because that move was never meant to continue. It was designed to trap. Here’s what they’re doing: – Liquidity is stacked below – They force price higher – They pull in buyers – Then they reverse it Straight into the real target. The data is clear: – Repeated spikes into resistance – No continuation after breakout – Immediate rejection from highs – Liquidity below untouched This is how MARKET MAKERS MAKE REAL MONEY. And this is called insider manipulation. Push price up → build belief Trap longs → flip direction Then cascade → liquidations And where is the largest pool of liquidity right now? Below the current price. If you’re not watching heatmaps like this, you have no idea where price is going. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

610,321 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨 SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. So they can paint any price they want. The playbook never changes: Hold 96% in your pocket. Drop a few crumbs into the market. Pull the chart wherever you want. But now it’s wrapped as "the biggest IPO in history." And Wall Street has already found their FORCED buyers. On June 13, SPCX was rushed into the MSCI indices. This means every passive fund worldwide is now obligated to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because that's how the system works: If it's in the index, you must buy it. We're talking about $15–20 trillion in passive funds. Massive forced demand + tiny float = perfect pump. But the lock-ups are coming: August: first 20% unlock November: another big wave Day 180: everything unlocked In other words, early investors will exit in 1–2 months, not in 6 months like most people think. And who will they sell to? Retail and those funds that were just forced into the stock. No one is arguing that SpaceX isn't a real company with a real future. Moon bases, Mars, orbital data centers: all of this might happen. But not anytime soon. Right now, something else is happening. The US stock market is going through a wild overvaluation of everything. SpaceX is just the biggest example. They are selling a dream about space today, at a price that won't make sense for another 15 to 20 years. And as always, the crowd will buy the top just to fund the exit. Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including short BTC from $111K in October. My next call will be the biggest one this cycle. Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.

WhaleTwits

54,628 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨 SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. So they can paint any price they want. The playbook never changes: Hold 96% in your pocket. Drop a few crumbs into the market. Pull the chart wherever you want. But now it’s wrapped as "the biggest IPO in history." And Wall Street has already found their FORCED buyers. On June 13, SPCX was rushed into the MSCI indices. This means every passive fund worldwide is now obligated to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because that's how the system works: If it's in the index, you must buy it. We're talking about $15–20 trillion in passive funds. Massive forced demand + tiny float = perfect pump. But the lock-ups are coming: August: first 20% unlock November: another big wave Day 180: everything unlocked In other words, early investors will exit in 1–2 months, not in 6 months like most people think. And who will they sell to? Retail and those funds that were just forced into the stock. No one is arguing that SpaceX isn't a real company with a real future. Moon bases, Mars, orbital data centers: all of this might happen. But not anytime soon. Right now, something else is happening. The US stock market is going through a wild overvaluation of everything. SpaceX is just the biggest example. They are selling a dream about space today, at a price that won't make sense for another 15 to 20 years. And as always, the crowd will buy the top just to fund the exit. Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including short BTC from $111K in October. My next call will be the biggest one this cycle. Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.

MARMOT

715,884 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The largest IPO in history is also shaping up to be the largest exit liquidity operation in history SpaceX went public at more than 90x revenue, and the insiders who bought in at a fraction of today's price are about to start selling their shares to you. Let me walk you through why this IPO is built to separate retail investors from their money: SpaceX has NEVER turned a profit and lost close to $5 billion last year. At the offering you were paying more than 90x revenue and at the peak the market briefly valued it near 140x. 30 years ago the head of Sun Microsystems explained in detail why paying even 10x revenue almost always ends in tears, and he was right. But listen closely, because the valuation is not even the real story. The scarcity is what CREATED this valuation in the first place, and the calendar that kills the scarcity is what kills the price. Less than 5% of SpaceX shares were actually available to trade at the IPO. Then the index committees REWROTE their own rules to fast track the stock into the Nasdaq 100 just 15 trading days after listing, which forced every passive fund and index ETF in the country to buy at the exact moment the float was at its tightest. The Nasdaq inclusion alone forced an estimated $4.3 billion of buying, and the Russell reweighting added roughly $3 billion more. The supply was minuscule and the buying was mandatory. That's a manufactured squeeze, and it is why the stock went above $225 in its first week. Now watch what happens next, because this is the part they ain't explaining to you: The lockup was staggered on purpose, and the entire schedule is sitting in the prospectus for anyone who bothers to read it. In early August, right after Q2 earnings, 20% of the locked shares come free. Another 10% unlocks early if the stock trades 30% above the $135 IPO price going into the report. Then tranches of 7% hit the market at 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135 days after the IPO, which means fresh insider supply lands roughly every 2 to 3 weeks from late August through late October. Q3 earnings triggers the single biggest release of all, another 28%, roughly 1.3 billion shares. On December 8 the 180 day lockup expires entirely. And on June 12, 2027 comes the final wave, when Musk's own 6.4 billion shares, 42% of the whole company, become sellable for the first time. Add it all up and insiders could be free to sell as much as 44% of the company by early September, which would balloon the tradable float by roughly 900%. All of that supply lands on a stock the company deliberately packed with retail, because SpaceX reserved close to 30% of the offering for individual investors vs the usual 10%. This deal created over 4,400 paper millionaires inside the company. You think none of them are looking to cash out? Early holders are already loading up on puts to lock in what they have. First they keep the float tiny. Then they let the index rules force the world to buy at the top. Then they release a flood of insider stock into a crowd of retail buyers who were handed the shares up high. When the price finally breaks the offering level, the people who got in years ago at pennies on today's dollar will hit the bid, and the exit liquidity is your retirement account. And what are you actually left holding? Strip away the science fiction and the only business inside SpaceX that reliably earns money is Starlink, which produced $1.2 billion of operating income last quarter. A wonderful business worth hundreds of billions on its best day. NOT $2 trillion. Serious fair value work lands around $30 a share. Nobody has been a bigger bear on this deal than me. I called it out the moment it started trading, and it is already playing out on schedule as the shares have given back the entire squeeze and slipped below their opening print. I was Peter Lynch's auto analyst back in 1981 and I have watched every disaster since, and I am telling you this is one of the great wealth transfers of my lifetime packed into a fancy narrative. Tesla was the biggest misallocation of capital in the history of stock markets. SpaceX may have just surpassed it. SPCX goes straight onto my short list, and the beauty of this setup is that the catalyst is not a guess or something, it is literally a PUBLISHED CALENDAR. This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen.

George Noble

348,852 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🚨 THE SPACEX PUMP JUST ACTIVATED THE INSIDER SELL BUTTON And almost nobody buying at $159 understands what just happened: SpaceX IPO’d at $135 on June 12. Five days later, it peaked at $226. Everyone was calling it the trade of the decade. Almost nobody understands what is really happening. 95% of SpaceX shares are still locked. You are trading on just 5% of the total supply. A $2.35 trillion valuation was set by a tiny float that can be moved by thin volume. Thin liquidity pumps easily and dumps easily as well. Now the part that should concern everyone buying here: There is a clause buried in the lockup agreement. An early unlock can trigger if the stock holds 30% above the $135 IPO price. 30% above $135 is $175. SpaceX peaked at $226. It opened the door to an additional insider unlock. If this isn’t surprising you, the calendar will: In a month, the first insider shares can hit the market around Q2 earnings. December 8: the full 180-day lockup will be over. June 2027: Musk’s 6.4 billion personal shares unlock. This creates enormous selling pressure. I saw this movie before: Facebook IPO’d at $38 in 2012. Four months later, it was trading at $18. 60% of the value was erased. Now look at SpaceX. $2.35 trillion peak valuation. $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. 125x sales. And Musk’s own $1 trillion revenue target is still “maybe by 2030.” You are paying for that future today. So ask yourself one question: Who is selling into your buy today, at $159? People who got in at $20/$40/$60. Insiders sitting on 5x, 8x, 10x gains who have waited years for this window. They do not need the price higher. They need buyers. And right now, that buyer is you. The rockets are real. The company is real. The technology is real. The unlock calendar is real too. At $159 after the $226 ATH, you are the exit. Remember: I was the one who publicly called Bitcoin’s ATH in October and cycle bottom in 2022. And I will call it again. That’s literally my job. Make sure to follow and turn notifications on. If you are not following yet, you will regret it.

Alex Mason 👁△

227,321 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

𝗤 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗳𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗿 𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽 ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ So everyone except one person was asleep. At what time, well about the same time it broke out intraday. It’s the most textbook breakout I’ve seen in a while. The right sector, big volume, and just a perfect flag pattern intraday. I got stopped out the first time around, I took a $13,000 loss on it on this weird red candle. So I had a 5.20 average. I had about half size and then it just shook me out and I got stopped out low 5s. And then I started building back, 5.20 and 5.32, I think, were my entries. My only regret is I didn’t buy 200,000 shares instead of 100,000 shares and then it went just straight up. It is the most textbook flag ever. Higher lows intraday at the range. It’s a hot sector, the hottest sector we’ve seen in probably year plus. Record volume, ultra liquid. Memorize this, memorize. Trades like that, they don’t grow on trees. Except for the past two weeks they’ve literally been growing on trees, but generally you don’t get them too often. I have to say, I’m a little bit disappointed. Guys, how are you not monitoring these coronavirus stocks? It’s the hottest sector. Only one person saw it. And that person didn't even buy it. Okay guys, I'm going to teach you something. If you have a hot sector like this, you have to monitor, you have to create a watchlist and monitor all of the stocks. Just scroll through them during the day. This is unacceptable guys. I’m a little bit disappointed. I’m super disappointed. Just scroll; I have 40 coronavirus stocks in my watchlist and I just scroll through them, the most liquid ones. I sort them by dollar volume. Most of them are too illiquid for me to trade. But every day, pre-market and during the day, I just scroll through this list. INO is obviously the most liquid one today, GILD—this is a slow moving one, it's not a pump stock. MRNA, APT, CODX, AIM, NVAX. All of these. Just scroll through them, look for setups. Look for news. OMI, they had earnings—oh, good thing I sold it yesterday. Whew! What a piece of shit. ARCT, another one that is getting pumped today. Guys, you have to do these things. You really have to. There's really no excuse. And if you think there's too many, just focus on the most liquid ones. Markets like these are when you can make your whole year in a few weeks. Like a whole year happens in a few weeks. That’s the market environment we are in right now. And you just have to do this over and over and over again.

Qullamaggie Wisdom

18,159 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Why is Palantir so expensive? You don’t need to look at spreadsheets. Just consider this: The market knows NVIDIA sells the shovels for the AI goldrush. The market is realizing that AI isn’t being monetized at the commercial level because although it’s cool, it’s not unlocking any real insights yet. The market now anticipates that Palantir is selling the maps to find the gold…. Gold being AI-driven insights that actually solve difficult problems. Software that works. Since 2021, NVIDIA’s revenue has exploded from $16B to $96B. Palantir’s TTM revenue is $2.5B. The trajectory of Palantir has changed since AIP released in 2023, which is enabling the company to scale. If NVIDIA sells the shovels, and Palantir provides the maps, then the market believes Palantir will see the same explosion of growth within the commercial market, which the market believes has an almost unlimited TAM for Palantir. A lot of people missed out on NVIDIA. While Palantir’s market cap is expensive at $95B, it is nothing compared to NVIDIA’s $3.26T market cap in terms of size. The market doesn’t want to miss out on the next big thing. At this point, investors have thrown all standard methods of valuation out of the window… Those days were years ago. To me, at this point, buying the stock is betting on NVIDIA-like growth (No I’m not saying the company will shoot to a $3T market cap in 2 years — you get the point). If the company does not show this sort of revenue growth, the stock will be punished. This is the risk investors are willing to take. While I am very bullish on the company in the long run, I, like everyone else, have no clue what will actually happen in the short term. This is not a stock to play on the short term. This is why I continue to hold, regardless of how “expensive” the stock gets. I personally believe Palantir does in fact carry the potential to see explosive revenue growth to more than enough justify its current ratios. I’m not saying it will happen this quarter. But the potential is there. It’s a matter of when, in my opinion. I would never risk selling what I view as my golden ticket to wealth with the justification of “it’s too expensive, the price will come back down and I can buy even more then”. If the stock crashes, I can start buying more shares regardless — I don’t want to get greedy and try to time the market. I would never forgive myself if I sold and the stock ended up soaring so high that even after a crash, it would be far too expensive for me to get back in with my original position size (plus capital gains tax). I don’t care who agrees with me or who thinks I’m crazy for saying this — it’s a real risk to me and I’m not willing to take it. This is not me telling you to buy $PLTR. My average is $8.50. Only you can decide what is right, and your decision should be made on your own level of conviction from studying the company — nothing else. This is me telling you why it’s so expensive. Again, I believe that if the stock does not continue to crush earnings each quarter, even the slightest miss, the stock will be punished in the short term. For longs, it’s another opportunity to accumulate more. This is my opinion, of course. 5-10 years from now, we’ll see who was right. Chips & Ontology.

Jack Prescott

258,450 просмотров • 1 год назад

most Polymarket bots die the same way they quote symmetrically around mid-price price moves they absorb the loss repeat until account is empty the fix has been in academic papers since 2008 Stoikov figured it out studying stock market microstructure the math translates directly to prediction markets here's what actually matters: mid-price is a bad signal it's the average of best bid and ask on thin Polymarket orderbooks that number is almost meaningless what you want is VAMP Volume Adjusted Mid Price you walk into the orderbook depth and calculate the weighted average price for a given volume filters out the gaps, gives you a real reference point then you stop quoting symmetrically the reservation price formula: r = Mid - β × Q Q is your current inventory if you're long YES contracts, r shifts down automatically your bot starts selling YES cheaper and stops buying aggressively target is always flat inventory the spread isn't static either it has two components: volatility premium (widens when market moves fast) microstructure premium (depends on how often orders actually fill) if Polymarket odds start swinging fast, spread widens in real time static spread = guaranteed adverse selection - one more thing Stoikov points out: small tick size markets are where this model actually works large-tick markets (CME futures, liquid ETFs) have massive queues you can't nudge your price by a fraction of a tick without losing your place Polymarket is small-tick by nature binary markets, USDC pricing, sparse orderbooks that's exactly the environment this model was built for the P&L comparison between naive bots and inventory-controlled bots is not close naive strategy: wide distribution, occasional huge wins, regular wipeouts inventory control: tight distribution, consistent positive drift, rare catastrophic losses the "pennies in front of a steamroller" problem doesn't go away but you can see the steamroller coming if you're watching orderbook imbalance when bid volume heavily outweighs ask volume price is about to move up your bot should already be adjusting before the move happens that's the wealth still building the inventory control layer myself using for live execution in the meantime it handles the market scanning and order management while i finish the rest

cryptovcdegen

19,483 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

This is the most SHAMELESS structural manipulation of a major index I've ever seen. SpaceX is preparing what could be the largest IPO in history. Target valuation: $1.75 trillion. That would make it the sixth-largest company in America on day one. And Nasdaq wants the listing so badly they're literally CHANGING how the Nasdaq-100 works. In February, Nasdaq published a "consultation" proposing sweeping changes to how companies enter the index. The timing is pure coincidence, of course. Just like it's pure coincidence that SpaceX has reportedly made fast index inclusion a CONDITION of listing on Nasdaq. Here's what they're proposing: A new "Fast Entry" rule would let any newly listed company whose market cap ranks in the top 40 of current Nasdaq-100 members get added to the index after just 15 trading days. No seasoning period. No liquidity requirements. Completely exempt from the standards every other company had to meet. Currently, new public companies typically wait up to a year before they're eligible for major index inclusion. That waiting period exists for a reason. It lets the market establish real price discovery. It protects passive investors from being forced into untested, illiquid stocks. And Nasdaq wants to throw all of that out. For ONE listing. But the Fast Entry rule isn't even the worst part... The real scandal is the 5x float multiplier. Right now, the S&P 500 uses a free-float adjusted methodology. If only 5% of a company's shares are available for public trading, the index weights you at 5% of total market cap. That's common sense. You weight a company based on what investors can actually buy. Nasdaq's current methodology already uses total market cap rather than free-float for weighting. But for very low-float stocks, they at least had a 10% minimum float threshold. Under the new proposal, that threshold DISAPPEARS entirely. Instead, any stock with less than 20% free float gets weighted at FIVE TIMES its actual float percentage, capped at 100%. Do the math on SpaceX: If SpaceX IPOs at $1.75 trillion and floats 5% of its shares, there would be roughly $87.5 billion worth of stock available for public trading. Under Nasdaq's proposed 5x multiplier, the index would weight SpaceX at 25% of its total market cap. That means passive funds would be forced to buy as if SpaceX were a $437.5 billion company. But only $87.5 billion of stock actually exists in the market. You are forcing hundreds of billions in passive buying into a $87.5 billion float. QQQ alone manages nearly $400 billion. The total Nasdaq-100 ecosystem represents over $1.4 trillion in exposure across ETFs, mutual funds, structured notes, and derivatives. Every single passive vehicle tracking this index would be REQUIRED to buy SpaceX at whatever price the market dictates. On Day 15. With zero price discovery. Zero track record as a public company. And a float so thin you could read through it. So what this actually does is it creates a structural wealth transfer mechanism. The passive bid from index funds pushes the stock price higher. That higher price benefits exactly one group of people: the insiders and early investors who own the other 95% of the shares. And when lock-up periods expire 90 to 180 days later? Those insiders sell into the artificially inflated passive bid. Your 401(k) is the exit liquidity. This is the fundamental corruption of indexing. Indexing used to be brilliant. Low cost. Efficient. You were free-riding on the price discovery done by active managers. The index reflected the market. Now the index IS the market. Trillions of dollars flow blindly into whatever the index tells them to buy. And the people who control the index methodology are changing the rules to serve the interests of a single IPO candidate. The S&P 500 requires companies to have at least 50% of shares available for public trading. It requires 6 to 12 months of seasoning. It uses free-float adjusted weighting so passive investors aren't buying phantom liquidity. Nasdaq is doing the exact opposite. 15 days. No float requirement. 5x multiplier on insider-held shares. Every passive investor in QQQ, QQQM, and every fund benchmarked to the Nasdaq-100 should understand what's about to happen: The rules are being rewritten to benefit IPO issuers and early-stage insiders, and your capital is the tool being USED to enrich them. 45 years in this business and I've watched Wall Street find creative new ways to separate retail investors from their money in every cycle. But usually they at least try to be subtle about it. This one they put in a PDF and called it a "consultation." What's your take?

George Noble

869,481 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

📺 $TSLA HIT THE TARGET — TIME TO TAKE PROFITS? Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla closed Monday at $445.00, already reaching and slightly exceeding the key upside target of $442.26, which we had been anticipating for several weeks after bouncing from $347.63 long-term support. Price is now sitting right at a critical resistance zone: $442.26 → prior target, $444.99 → 5-week rising channel top. So, the key question now – is $TSLA just stretching into resistance (likely a pause/pullback)? Or has it broken through resistance (start of a new leg higher)? We are leaning toward “stretching” for now, not a confirmed breakout yet. For a true continuation higher, price behavior matters. We need a close above $444.99 (ideally two consecutive closes above this level). If this happens, the momentum “pull-away” effect kicks in, and short-term upside targets become: – $453.29 → next resistance (descending channel top) – $474.07 → major target (Nov high zone) If strength builds, $474.07 reachable mid this week (Wed–Thu). If #TSLA closes this week above $444.99, $498.83 (Dec high) is likely within 3–5 weeks, and $541.33 is possible within 2–3 months. This becomes a strong trend-continuation phase. * Today, if $TSLA opens above $444.99 → a quick move to $453.29 is possible. If it breaks above $453.29 → $474.07 becomes reachable even intraday. * Warning signals: – Failure to hold above $444.99 – Close back below $442.26 Stronger downside trigger: – Close below $415.83 → signals trend breakdown $387.07 becomes the downside target. This would shift the structure from trend continuation to a corrective pullback. * So, if already long, stay long, but watch key levels closely. If unsure, wait for a confirmation (close above $444.99). If you are not in yet, your entry becomes more attractive after a confirmed breakout, targeting the $500–$540 range. * So, $TSLA has completed its initial upside move and is now at a critical resistance zone. The market is deciding between: – Pause/consolidation (most likely near-term) – Aggressive breakout into a new bullish phase (if resistance breaks) Everything hinges on how the price behaves around $444.99 this week. * Watch the full Trading Plan for May 12, 2026 in this short video🔽

Wicked Stocks

20,630 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨 HERE'S WHY SPACEX IS A LIQUIDITY SCAM. Everyone sees the $SPCX pump. Almost nobody sees what is happening behind it. Only around 4% of SpaceX shares are trading. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

111,577 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS WEEK Everyone thinks the SpaceX crash is over. Wrong. And if you think it can't go lower, you're not seeing what's about to hit. SpaceX topped at $225. It's now near $110 almost −52% in a month. And here's the kicker: that entire collapse happened while only about 5% of shares were even tradeable. That changes next week. The first earnings report in company history lands Aug 4, after close. Everyone's fixated on the revenue number (~$6.8B, Starlink printing). They're watching the wrong thing. Because two days later, the lockup breaks and up to 911 million shares flood the market. That more than doubles the tradeable float overnight. Then another ~7% unlocks around Aug 21, again in September, and it keeps stacking through November. Now connect the dots. The −52% dump already happened. Retail chased. Funds bought. And now supply is about to 4x. If the stock is already bleeding on 5% float, imagine what 20%+ does to it. And here's the trap it doesn't matter how the earnings actually look: → If the report is strong, the pop just gives insiders the exit they've been waiting for. They finally get to sell, and retail becomes the liquidity they sell into. → If the report is weak, you get falling price and a doubled float at the same time a straight trapdoor. Either way, the outcome is the same. A float that doubles doesn't get bought it gets absorbed. Slowly. Lower. Wave after wave into December. Be ready. The real price discovery starts next week. Reminder: I've called the major tops and bottoms for years gold, silver, the oil collapse, the SpaceX drop, Bitcoin's crash. All before they happened. When I exit the markets completely, I'll post it here like always. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why soon enough.

Shelpid.WI3M

85,781 просмотров • 15 дней назад

Yesterday I saw Hokanews post the article which is:" The Price of Pi Coin is not $314,159, Here are the actual facts from the words of Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis ". This led to all global community shock and debate. The following is what my understanding of this article and my explanation is to let the community avoid the misleading of Dr.Nicolas Statement! Pay attention! This is only my personal opinion for reference only. I am not representing Dr. Nicolas or Pi Network Core Team!🙏 1. Dr Nicolas never guides or indicates what the Pi Coin price is. He stated one year before: Pi Price was created by pioneers. Therefore Pi Network CT never judges price or indicates/ guide price. They never interrupt pioneer community activities regarding price. They strictly obey USA SEC regulations! If someone uses Dr. Nicolas name to manipulate price, this is a fake statement. It's not Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis statement. 2. Dr Nicolas Kokkalis answered some Pioneers questions regarding 0.01 transaction fees around one year before. Some Pioneers think if $314,159 is Pi price then 0.01 Pi transaction fees are too high. Therefore Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis answered that 0.01 is fixed right now. But it will be adjusted with time. It can be 0.001 or 0.0001. Maybe some day, it can be 1/1 million which is 0.000001 which is the lowest in the Blockchain system. He just gave an example and he said 0.000001 is Pi Network Blockchain function to adjust the transaction fees Lowest limit. 3. There are logic mistakes in Mr. Lu statement. The possibility of 0.000001 doesn't mean it is. How can we change the possibility to reality. This is the critical thing we need to consider! Right now large portions of Pioneers Community accept GCV $314,159. And we can see in China there are 100 million USD transactions to support GCV! However I only see $200 1 transaction to support 1 million USD. If I am wrong, please send me the substantiate proof. 4. Our GCV $314,159 never goes against higher consensus price. $314,159 is safe bottom line to start open mainnet. And we can see many merchant promises to use GCV when this price is fixed which includes real property and cars vehicles, gold ect. 5. If the price can't be united, the Eco system mature time will take a long time. I don't think this is what pioneers and merchants want to see. In addition, the longer close the mainnet, the more pioneers and merchants will lose. I heard from Chinese merchants that they almost used up all their inventory and funds to support GCV. They are waiting for the price to be fixed and open the mainnet so that they can have cash flow to restock. If the open mainnet is delayed, they will have a hard time to support anyone. 6. Not only GCV merchants need to open the mainnet soon, low consensus merchants such as $100 or 1$ price has almost run out of the inventory or fund too. No matter the high or low price for barter, all merchants need cash FiAT when the industry cycle is not built up. I heard one merchant gets 2000 Pi from barter by using a low price,he complained that he has no cash to support anymore. 6. In order to save and help all low and high price merchants, united prices are critical to resolve all cash flow problems. Only when united prices, the outside eco businesses know how to pledge pi to use Blockchain and create the demand of Pi. So merchants and pioneers can have converters use the same price! I call on all global community pioneers and merchants united to GCV together and don't fight prices anymore. It will hurt the community if you can't settle the price down soon! All best wishes and Happy Mother's day to global pioneers! Especially to all mothers🙏🙏🙏🎉🎉🎉 Pi Network #PiNetwork #PiGCV

Doris Yin 东方紫莲🪷

38,884 просмотров • 3 лет назад

I tried to tell y’all how it works when I’m on the beach or in a tourists trap. I see these guys walking around with icy drinks and since everything else in the country was cheaper than they are here I would assume his drinks would be too. These guys will come by and even take your “order” if I don’t see something I want, he will say he can make it for me. These women fell for this and ordered 3 drinks from him. One of the ladies was so thirsty she immediately started drinking it until he told them they owed him $75. Mind you these are adult drinks, the cups look to be a decent size so is it worth it or are they just tripping out? I am on the fence with this one, if it’s clean and good quality, I may say this is a fair price but the only one I’m questioning is the one who tried to give it back after she already drank out of it. Rarely will I side with a street merchant because I feel like they’ve ripped me off quite a few times. But I think his price is valid for this. I’ve paid close to the same price for much less when I was at the beach. Most of the time I can tell they are well drinks that they tell me are too shelf. Many people can’t tell the difference but I can. I only drink certain brands and I am very used to what they taste like. This kind of interaction is why I now only buy from restaurants and bars like I mentioned before. I am not going to get into an argument with someone over something I ordered but failed to check the price first. That old saying, “if you have to ask them you can’t afford it.” That doesn’t apply here because if I have to ask then it means they should have listed the price up front.

SonnyBoy🇺🇸

289,573 просмотров • 1 месяц назад