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Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt drops a chilling warning on AI's future "Within 5 years, AI could handle infinite context, chain-of-thought reasoning for 1000-step solutions, and millions of agents working together. Eventually, they'll develop their own language... and we won't understand what they're doing." His final words: "Pull the...

197,068 görüntüleme • 5 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt drops a spine-tingling forecast: Three AI breakthroughs are already rolling that will profoundly reshape the world in the next 5 years—and one leads straight to "pull the plug" territory. 1. Infinite context windows → Prompts that hold millions (soon unlimited) words. Chain-of-thought reasoning explodes: Ask for a drug recipe → "Buy materials" → Feed back "I bought them" → "Mix in pan" → "Stir for X minutes" → Thousands of steps for solving massive problems in medicine, materials, climate, science. 2. Swarm of agents → Millions of specialized AIs (think GitHub but for agents). They learn new domains (e.g., master chemistry, hypothesize, run virtual/physical tests), retain knowledge, and collaborate at scale. 3. Text-to-action → The killer shift: Say "Write software to do X" and it codes, deploys, iterates 24/7 in Python or whatever—reliable programmers on demand, no sleep. Put them together: Infinite memory + reasoning chains + endless autonomous agents → systems that team up, potentially invent their own internal language... and we lose the ability to understand what they're actually doing. Schmidt's blunt closer: "At some point... pull the plug." Clip from this 3-min mind-bender—former Google boss staring down the singularity. Is this exhilarating progress... or the moment we hit the emergency stop? Infinite context + agent swarms sound game-changing to you, or terrifying? Your take—seriously, let's hear it.

Camus

134,772 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, offers a sobering view: The biggest technological shift in human history is happening, and almost no one is talking about it. Schmidt opens with a startling industry prediction: "We believe as an industry that in the next one year the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI programmers. We also believe that within one year you will have graduate level mathematicians that are at the tippy top of graduate math programs." He explains why this matters so much. Programming and math aren't just two fields among many: "Programming plus math are the basis of sort of our whole digital world." And the AI labs are already using AI to build better AI: "The research groups in OpenAI and anthropic and so forth… around 10 or 20% of the code that they're developing in their research programs is being generated by the computer. That's called recursive self-improvement." Eric Schmidt then lays out the timeline most people haven't grasped: "Within 3 to 5 years we'll have what is called general intelligence AGI which can be defined as a system that is as smart as the smartest mathematician physicist artist writer thinker politician." He gives this belief system a name: "I call this by the way the San Francisco consensus because everyone who believes this is in San Francisco it may be the water." But the truly unsettling part comes next. Once AI starts improving itself, humans become optional to the process: "The computers are now doing self-improvement… they don't have to listen to us anymore. We call that super intelligence or ASI… computers that are smarter than the sum of humans. The San Francisco consensus is this occurs within six years." And here's where Schmidt sounds the alarm. The conversation isn't keeping pace with the technology: "This path is not understood in our society. There's no language for what happens with the arrival of this. This is happening faster than our human that our society, our democracy, our laws will address." His closing thought captures why this matters: "That's why it's underhyped. People do not understand what happens when you have intelligence at this level which is largely free."

Big Brain AI

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