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Google just told crypto to get quantum-ready by 2029. What changed: a 20x improvement to Shor’s algorithm. That takes the threat from tens of millions of qubits to ~500,000, with a possible attack window of about nine minutes. The quantum clock is ticking.

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The Google and Caltech quantum papers demonstrated 2 breakthroughs: that Bitcoin cryptography is much easier to break than previously thought, and that far fewer logical qubits may be necessary for physical qubits. Project Eleven CEO Alex Pruden explains: "These two papers are not necessarily about a quantum computer that's bigger or more capable. They're about what it takes to break cryptography." "So what changed? One of the things that changed was that physicists and quantum cryptographers that looked at this problem for a long time studied an algorithm called RSA — an older cryptographic algorithm." "But that's not what really any blockchains use, because RSA keys are very large. It turns out, and this was one of the key upshots of the Google paper, that if you focus on the cryptography used by Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other networks, it's actually way easier to break than they thought it was, compared to RSA." "The other big breakthrough, and this is from the Caltech paper: Quantum computers are very fragile, generally. So to be useful, they need to have what's called error correction applied. And that can result in a lot of overhead. You need to have tons of physical qubits to get to one logical qubit." "This Caltech paper basically showed, 'Hey, we have some new ideas for error correction. And it turns out if we apply those, we don't need hundreds or thousands of physical qubits, maybe we just need a handful to make one logical cubit.'" "The headline of their paper is 'You may only need 10,000 physical qubits to run Shor's algorithm.' And by the way, they demonstrated 6,000 last year."
2:02

The Google and Caltech quantum papers demonstrated 2 breakthroughs: that Bitcoin cryptography is much easier to break than previously thought, and that far fewer logical qubits may be necessary for physical qubits. Project Eleven CEO Alex Pruden explains: "These two papers are not necessarily about a quantum computer that's bigger or more capable. They're about what it takes to break cryptography." "So what changed? One of the things that changed was that physicists and quantum cryptographers that looked at this problem for a long time studied an algorithm called RSA — an older cryptographic algorithm." "But that's not what really any blockchains use, because RSA keys are very large. It turns out, and this was one of the key upshots of the Google paper, that if you focus on the cryptography used by Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other networks, it's actually way easier to break than they thought it was, compared to RSA." "The other big breakthrough, and this is from the Caltech paper: Quantum computers are very fragile, generally. So to be useful, they need to have what's called error correction applied. And that can result in a lot of overhead. You need to have tons of physical qubits to get to one logical qubit." "This Caltech paper basically showed, 'Hey, we have some new ideas for error correction. And it turns out if we apply those, we don't need hundreds or thousands of physical qubits, maybe we just need a handful to make one logical cubit.'" "The headline of their paper is 'You may only need 10,000 physical qubits to run Shor's algorithm.' And by the way, they demonstrated 6,000 last year."

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⚛️ THE ULTIMATE QUANTUM THREAT DEEP DIVE. Has Google just changed the timeline on the biggest threat crypto has ever faced? Ran Neuner sat down with Kostas Kryptos of MystenLabs.sui to break it all down. EVERYTHING you need to know 👇🧵
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⚛️ THE ULTIMATE QUANTUM THREAT DEEP DIVE. Has Google just changed the timeline on the biggest threat crypto has ever faced? Ran Neuner sat down with Kostas Kryptos of MystenLabs.sui to break it all down. EVERYTHING you need to know 👇🧵

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“35% of bitcoins” may be susceptible to attack. That's “millions of bitcoins… 6 or 7 million… hundreds of billions of dollars. “What a quantum computer allows you to do is to go from the public key back to the private key.” All the wallets where the public key has been exposed are at risk. That's why “you will see Satoshi’s coins being drained… once every 10 minutes or so.” - Justin Drake 👇
2:49

“35% of bitcoins” may be susceptible to attack. That's “millions of bitcoins… 6 or 7 million… hundreds of billions of dollars. “What a quantum computer allows you to do is to go from the public key back to the private key.” All the wallets where the public key has been exposed are at risk. That's why “you will see Satoshi’s coins being drained… once every 10 minutes or so.” - Justin Drake 👇

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LIVE NOW - Ethereum’s Quantum Plan Before Q-Day Quantum is no longer a distant thought experiment. Justin Drake joins Bankless to unpack: - when Q-Day could actually arriv,e - why Bitcoin and Ethereum face very different quantum risks, - what Ethereum’s post-quantum roadmap looks like, - why this upgrade could be bigger than the Merge, - and how quantum could become Ethereum’s chance to lead. --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 When is Q-Day? 5:35 The moment quantum becomes crypto-relevant 10:11 How many qubits does it take to break crypto? 16:22 What a real Bitcoin quantum attack would look like 20:19 How much Bitcoin is actually vulnerable? 26:26 Burn, freeze, or salvage? Bitcoin’s impossible choice 35:06 Proof of seed phrase and Bitcoin’s post-quantum bottleneck 41:02 Ethereum’s exposure: smaller, but not zero 45:43 Ethereum’s tougher roadmap: three layers, three upgrades 50:29 The execution-layer plan: replace ECDSA without killing throughput 57:56 Post-quantum, post-AI cryptography 1:03:36 BLS, KZG, LeanVM, and the rest of the stack 1:06:42 Is this bigger than the Merge? 1:17:21 If Bitcoin stumbles, does all crypto stumble too? 1:19:35 “Quantum is not a challenge—it’s an opportunity” 1:21:27 AI, quantum, crypto and the 2032 convergence 1:28:04 Harvest now, decrypt later 1:30:09 Defensive accelerationism and Ethereum’s role 1:39:10 Stoicism, P-doom, and why he keeps building
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LIVE NOW - Ethereum’s Quantum Plan Before Q-Day Quantum is no longer a distant thought experiment. Justin Drake joins Bankless to unpack: - when Q-Day could actually arriv,e - why Bitcoin and Ethereum face very different quantum risks, - what Ethereum’s post-quantum roadmap looks like, - why this upgrade could be bigger than the Merge, - and how quantum could become Ethereum’s chance to lead. --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 When is Q-Day? 5:35 The moment quantum becomes crypto-relevant 10:11 How many qubits does it take to break crypto? 16:22 What a real Bitcoin quantum attack would look like 20:19 How much Bitcoin is actually vulnerable? 26:26 Burn, freeze, or salvage? Bitcoin’s impossible choice 35:06 Proof of seed phrase and Bitcoin’s post-quantum bottleneck 41:02 Ethereum’s exposure: smaller, but not zero 45:43 Ethereum’s tougher roadmap: three layers, three upgrades 50:29 The execution-layer plan: replace ECDSA without killing throughput 57:56 Post-quantum, post-AI cryptography 1:03:36 BLS, KZG, LeanVM, and the rest of the stack 1:06:42 Is this bigger than the Merge? 1:17:21 If Bitcoin stumbles, does all crypto stumble too? 1:19:35 “Quantum is not a challenge—it’s an opportunity” 1:21:27 AI, quantum, crypto and the 2032 convergence 1:28:04 Harvest now, decrypt later 1:30:09 Defensive accelerationism and Ethereum’s role 1:39:10 Stoicism, P-doom, and why he keeps building

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QUANTUM COMPUTING: THE FUTURE IS NOW IBM recently announced a quantum computer capable of solving problems in minutes that would take today's supercomputers millions of years. Developed by IBM, Google, and others, quantum computers push the boundaries of science and engineering, utilizing atomic forces to achieve unprecedented computational power. A simple maze shows how quantum computing can outpace classic computers. Michio Kaku: “All the big boys who are in this race to create a workable, operationally efficient quantum computer because the nation or company that does this will rule the world economy.” Source: 60 Minutes
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QUANTUM COMPUTING: THE FUTURE IS NOW IBM recently announced a quantum computer capable of solving problems in minutes that would take today's supercomputers millions of years. Developed by IBM, Google, and others, quantum computers push the boundaries of science and engineering, utilizing atomic forces to achieve unprecedented computational power. A simple maze shows how quantum computing can outpace classic computers. Michio Kaku: “All the big boys who are in this race to create a workable, operationally efficient quantum computer because the nation or company that does this will rule the world economy.” Source: 60 Minutes

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BREAKING: France just quietly started a countdown that affects every crypto holder. Its national cyber agency will no longer certify any security product. Without quantum-safe encryption after 2027. The announcement never mentions crypto. Not once. But here is what it doesn't have to say. Bitcoin and Ethereum both run on elliptic curve cryptography. The exact algorithm France just declared obsolete. This is the quantum threat nobody likes to talk about. The fear isn't that quantum computers crack Bitcoin tomorrow. It's a strategy called "harvest now, decrypt later." Adversaries collecting encrypted data today. Waiting for the machine that can crack it. When a major government formally rejects the encryption crypto relies on. It's a signal. The timeline is shifting from theoretical to scheduled. Don't panic. Bitcoin can upgrade to quantum-resistant cryptography. The developers know this is coming. But France just made one thing clear. The clock isn't hypothetical anymore. It's ticking. And the date is set.
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BREAKING: France just quietly started a countdown that affects every crypto holder. Its national cyber agency will no longer certify any security product. Without quantum-safe encryption after 2027. The announcement never mentions crypto. Not once. But here is what it doesn't have to say. Bitcoin and Ethereum both run on elliptic curve cryptography. The exact algorithm France just declared obsolete. This is the quantum threat nobody likes to talk about. The fear isn't that quantum computers crack Bitcoin tomorrow. It's a strategy called "harvest now, decrypt later." Adversaries collecting encrypted data today. Waiting for the machine that can crack it. When a major government formally rejects the encryption crypto relies on. It's a signal. The timeline is shifting from theoretical to scheduled. Don't panic. Bitcoin can upgrade to quantum-resistant cryptography. The developers know this is coming. But France just made one thing clear. The clock isn't hypothetical anymore. It's ticking. And the date is set.

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6,100-Qubit Processor Shatters Quantum Computing Record | David Nield, ScienceAlert Another major quantum computing record has been broken, and by a considerable margin: physicists have now built an array containing 6,100 qubits, the largest of its type and way above the thousand or so qubits previous systems contained. It's the work of scientists from the California Institute of Technology, who used cesium atoms as their qubits, trapping them in place with a complex system of lasers that acted as tweezers to keep the atoms as stable as possible. Qubits differ from the classical bits of traditional computers by exploiting what's known as a superposition: not just binary states of 1 or 0, but a spread of probabilities that allows for algorithms that can solve problems considered out of reach of conventional computing methods. Related: Quantum Advantage: A Physicist Explains The Future of Computers A lot of qubits will be needed to make quantum algorithms practical, however. One reason for these large arrays is error correction, which helps overcome the inherent fragility of the qubit by providing a surplus to double-check the machine's operation. "This is an exciting moment for neutral-atom quantum computing," says physicist Manuel Endres. "We can now see a pathway to large error-corrected quantum computers. The building blocks are in place." There was no single breakthrough that enabled this jump in qubit numbers, but rather a series of engineering advancements in many key areas – from the laser tweezers to the ultra-high (very low pressure) vacuum chamber. Stability has also been a problem for quantum computing systems. The innovations in this latest array kept qubits in a superposition state for almost 13 seconds – almost ten times longer than previous configurations had managed. What's more, individual qubits could be manipulated with 99.98 percent accuracy, establishing a significant benchmark in the programmability of quantum technology. "Large scale, with more atoms, is often thought to come at the expense of accuracy, but our results show that we can do both," says physicist Gyohei Nomura. "Qubits aren't useful without quality. Now we have quantity and quality." To make quantum computers a practical alternative to modern supercomputers, more qubits and even greater levels of stability will be required. Experts are tackling the problem from several different angles, which is why records for some types of quantum computer don't necessarily apply to others. Next, the researchers need to work on exploiting entanglement, which will enable the system to make the leap from storing information to actually processing it. Not too far in the future, we could be using these computers to discover new materials, matter, and fundamental laws of physics. "It's exciting that we are creating machines to help us learn about the Universe in ways that only quantum mechanics can teach us," says physicist Hannah Manetsch. Read more:
1:54

6,100-Qubit Processor Shatters Quantum Computing Record | David Nield, ScienceAlert Another major quantum computing record has been broken, and by a considerable margin: physicists have now built an array containing 6,100 qubits, the largest of its type and way above the thousand or so qubits previous systems contained. It's the work of scientists from the California Institute of Technology, who used cesium atoms as their qubits, trapping them in place with a complex system of lasers that acted as tweezers to keep the atoms as stable as possible. Qubits differ from the classical bits of traditional computers by exploiting what's known as a superposition: not just binary states of 1 or 0, but a spread of probabilities that allows for algorithms that can solve problems considered out of reach of conventional computing methods. Related: Quantum Advantage: A Physicist Explains The Future of Computers A lot of qubits will be needed to make quantum algorithms practical, however. One reason for these large arrays is error correction, which helps overcome the inherent fragility of the qubit by providing a surplus to double-check the machine's operation. "This is an exciting moment for neutral-atom quantum computing," says physicist Manuel Endres. "We can now see a pathway to large error-corrected quantum computers. The building blocks are in place." There was no single breakthrough that enabled this jump in qubit numbers, but rather a series of engineering advancements in many key areas – from the laser tweezers to the ultra-high (very low pressure) vacuum chamber. Stability has also been a problem for quantum computing systems. The innovations in this latest array kept qubits in a superposition state for almost 13 seconds – almost ten times longer than previous configurations had managed. What's more, individual qubits could be manipulated with 99.98 percent accuracy, establishing a significant benchmark in the programmability of quantum technology. "Large scale, with more atoms, is often thought to come at the expense of accuracy, but our results show that we can do both," says physicist Gyohei Nomura. "Qubits aren't useful without quality. Now we have quantity and quality." To make quantum computers a practical alternative to modern supercomputers, more qubits and even greater levels of stability will be required. Experts are tackling the problem from several different angles, which is why records for some types of quantum computer don't necessarily apply to others. Next, the researchers need to work on exploiting entanglement, which will enable the system to make the leap from storing information to actually processing it. Not too far in the future, we could be using these computers to discover new materials, matter, and fundamental laws of physics. "It's exciting that we are creating machines to help us learn about the Universe in ways that only quantum mechanics can teach us," says physicist Hannah Manetsch. Read more:

Owen Gregorian

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Alphabet unveiled a new quantum computer that needs just five minutes to solve a problem that would take supercomputers around 10 septillion years. Here's what Google Vice President of Engineering Hartmut Neven had to say about the new technology
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Alphabet unveiled a new quantum computer that needs just five minutes to solve a problem that would take supercomputers around 10 septillion years. Here's what Google Vice President of Engineering Hartmut Neven had to say about the new technology

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During this week's Bitcoin Policy Hour, Matthew Pines laid out a timeline for Quantum computing's possible threat to Bitcoin: 🟥10% chance of fault-tolerant quantum by 2028 🟨30-50% chance by 2030-2032 🟩Best case: 10+ years out But the quantum threat to Bitcoin isn't just technical, it's about consensus on what to do with possibly exposed coins, including Satoshi's. Both Matthew Pines and Zack Shapiro agree that removing the taboo around discussing quantum-resistant upgrades must be done NOW, before we're forced into emergency decisions. Watch the full episode:
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During this week's Bitcoin Policy Hour, Matthew Pines laid out a timeline for Quantum computing's possible threat to Bitcoin: 🟥10% chance of fault-tolerant quantum by 2028 🟨30-50% chance by 2030-2032 🟩Best case: 10+ years out But the quantum threat to Bitcoin isn't just technical, it's about consensus on what to do with possibly exposed coins, including Satoshi's. Both Matthew Pines and Zack Shapiro agree that removing the taboo around discussing quantum-resistant upgrades must be done NOW, before we're forced into emergency decisions. Watch the full episode:

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A breakthrough in quantum computing. Majorana 1 brings us closer to harnessing millions of potential qubits working together to solve the unsolvable—from new medicines to revolutionary materials—all on a single chip. #QuantumComputing #QuantumReady
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A breakthrough in quantum computing. Majorana 1 brings us closer to harnessing millions of potential qubits working together to solve the unsolvable—from new medicines to revolutionary materials—all on a single chip. #QuantumComputing #QuantumReady

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This is what separates quantum from classical computing... D-Wave, $QBTS, used their quantum computer to compute properties of magnetic materials in just minutes—a task that would require more than the world’s annual energy on a classical machine. “We are able to solve problems on our quantum computers that cannot be solved classically.” - Alan Baratz, CEO of D-Wave 🗣️
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This is what separates quantum from classical computing... D-Wave, $QBTS, used their quantum computer to compute properties of magnetic materials in just minutes—a task that would require more than the world’s annual energy on a classical machine. “We are able to solve problems on our quantum computers that cannot be solved classically.” - Alan Baratz, CEO of D-Wave 🗣️

Stocktwits

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Our team ran a verifiable quantum algorithm that probes how parts of a quantum system interact, from molecules to magnets and beyond. On our Willow chip, it ran 13,000× faster than the best classical supercomputers. A first in quantum computing →
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Our team ran a verifiable quantum algorithm that probes how parts of a quantum system interact, from molecules to magnets and beyond. On our Willow chip, it ran 13,000× faster than the best classical supercomputers. A first in quantum computing →

Google Quantum AI

64,623 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Today is World Quantum Day! A great reminder that quantum's impact on cryptography isn't theoretical, it's only a matter of time. To mark the occasion, CEO StaciW_DC sat down with world-renowned post-quantum cryptographer and Algorand CSO Chris Peikert to discuss the quantum threat to blockchain. Since 2022, Algorand has been leading in blockchain quantum resilience by securing its entire chain history with Falcon-signed State Proofs. In 2025, we took it further: the first quantum-resistant transaction protecting real digital assets was executed on mainnet. With Google now targeting 2029 for its own post-quantum migration, the urgency is clear. Algorand isn't waiting, we're already building for that future. Watch now! 👇
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Today is World Quantum Day! A great reminder that quantum's impact on cryptography isn't theoretical, it's only a matter of time. To mark the occasion, CEO StaciW_DC sat down with world-renowned post-quantum cryptographer and Algorand CSO Chris Peikert to discuss the quantum threat to blockchain. Since 2022, Algorand has been leading in blockchain quantum resilience by securing its entire chain history with Falcon-signed State Proofs. In 2025, we took it further: the first quantum-resistant transaction protecting real digital assets was executed on mainnet. With Google now targeting 2029 for its own post-quantum migration, the urgency is clear. Algorand isn't waiting, we're already building for that future. Watch now! 👇

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With a landmark paper published in nature, researchers from IBM Quantum and UC Berkeley are demonstrating the usefulness of the quantum computers we have today, opening the door to a new era in quantum computing—the era of quantum utility.
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With a landmark paper published in nature, researchers from IBM Quantum and UC Berkeley are demonstrating the usefulness of the quantum computers we have today, opening the door to a new era in quantum computing—the era of quantum utility.

IBM Research

44,610 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

Majorana 1 is a groundbreaking quantum chip powered by a Topological Core. This innovation is built on a new class of materials called topoconductors. Topoconductors enable stable and scalable qubits—the fundamental units of quantum computing.
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Majorana 1 is a groundbreaking quantum chip powered by a Topological Core. This innovation is built on a new class of materials called topoconductors. Topoconductors enable stable and scalable qubits—the fundamental units of quantum computing.

Mr_Fireside 🔥

282,190 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

We just published a peer-reviewed milestone study in Nature, demonstrating a significant advancement in quantum computing systems using our commercial-grade annealing-based quantum computer with over 5,000 qubits. The study provides evident of quantum annealing's unrivaled performance. Check out our blog and video to learn more about this groundbreaking research! Read the blog here: #QuantumComputing #DWave #QuantumAnnealing #Quantum
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We just published a peer-reviewed milestone study in Nature, demonstrating a significant advancement in quantum computing systems using our commercial-grade annealing-based quantum computer with over 5,000 qubits. The study provides evident of quantum annealing's unrivaled performance. Check out our blog and video to learn more about this groundbreaking research! Read the blog here: #QuantumComputing #DWave #QuantumAnnealing #Quantum

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Colorado is a national leader on quantum. And we continue pushing the boundaries of what is possible in quantum. We held a Quantum Summit at the Governor’s mansion with leaders from across our state — our leadership is being recognized at the federal level with Colorado’s designation as a TechHub for quantum. We are proud of this significant recognition, which stemmed from a competitive national process, and we expect an equally successful Phase 2 application, unlocking up to $70 million in federal resources for the region. To further boost quantum technologies here in Colorado we’re excited to pursue legislation that will provide meaningful incentives to support Colorado as a leader in quantum.
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Colorado is a national leader on quantum. And we continue pushing the boundaries of what is possible in quantum. We held a Quantum Summit at the Governor’s mansion with leaders from across our state — our leadership is being recognized at the federal level with Colorado’s designation as a TechHub for quantum. We are proud of this significant recognition, which stemmed from a competitive national process, and we expect an equally successful Phase 2 application, unlocking up to $70 million in federal resources for the region. To further boost quantum technologies here in Colorado we’re excited to pursue legislation that will provide meaningful incentives to support Colorado as a leader in quantum.

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🚨Google recently announced the Willow - 105 Qubit Quantum computing chip. This made a lot of people question whether quantum computing is close to breaking Bitcoin. Watch this Video where we explain - What is quantum computing & can it break Bitcoin. This video is from 5 years ago - Back then Google was able to achieve close to 53 Qubit.
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🚨Google recently announced the Willow - 105 Qubit Quantum computing chip. This made a lot of people question whether quantum computing is close to breaking Bitcoin. Watch this Video where we explain - What is quantum computing & can it break Bitcoin. This video is from 5 years ago - Back then Google was able to achieve close to 53 Qubit.

Aditya Singh

17,723 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Quantum computers pose two threats to Bitcoin: Threat 1: A quantum computer will be built and used to break Bitcoin's cryptography. Threat 2: Even before a QC is built, delaying the preparations to ensure Bitcoin is quantum ready will lead to people losing confidence in Bitcoin. The solution to both threats: ensure Bitcoin becomes quantum resistant via initiatives like BIP 360 + make sure the world knows this will be taken care of in time.
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Quantum computers pose two threats to Bitcoin: Threat 1: A quantum computer will be built and used to break Bitcoin's cryptography. Threat 2: Even before a QC is built, delaying the preparations to ensure Bitcoin is quantum ready will lead to people losing confidence in Bitcoin. The solution to both threats: ensure Bitcoin becomes quantum resistant via initiatives like BIP 360 + make sure the world knows this will be taken care of in time.

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11,851 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

What do Bitcoiners do about Quantum? with Matt Corallo | SLP719 Matt Corallo 🟠, Bitcoin & Lightning developer at Spiral joins me to discuss the threat of Q-Day on Bitcoin, and his ideas on how to gracefully deal with it. (00:00) - Intro (00:51) - Quantum computing timelines (03:38) - Are Bitcoin developers taking the quantum threat seriously? (07:41) - Evaluating the quantum threat (10:00) - The 'Matt Corallo Quantum Plan' (17:48) - Future community decisions on quantum security (20:12) - Will Bitcoin need a soft fork? (23:30) - Market response to quantum threat (28:15) - The role of seed phrases in quantum security (33:40) - Post quantum cryptographic schemes (37:23) - Patoshi miner adapting to Q-Day (43:25) - Which public cryptography scheme is most suitable? (50:20) - Closing thoughts
51:08

What do Bitcoiners do about Quantum? with Matt Corallo | SLP719 Matt Corallo 🟠, Bitcoin & Lightning developer at Spiral joins me to discuss the threat of Q-Day on Bitcoin, and his ideas on how to gracefully deal with it. (00:00) - Intro (00:51) - Quantum computing timelines (03:38) - Are Bitcoin developers taking the quantum threat seriously? (07:41) - Evaluating the quantum threat (10:00) - The 'Matt Corallo Quantum Plan' (17:48) - Future community decisions on quantum security (20:12) - Will Bitcoin need a soft fork? (23:30) - Market response to quantum threat (28:15) - The role of seed phrases in quantum security (33:40) - Post quantum cryptographic schemes (37:23) - Patoshi miner adapting to Q-Day (43:25) - Which public cryptography scheme is most suitable? (50:20) - Closing thoughts

Stephan Livera

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